Episode Transcript
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0:00
absolute banger of an episode coming your way today. Dalton
0:02
Del Don joins the show to deliver 12 spicy
0:05
post draft takes. I'm going to heat
0:07
check Dalton on some of his post
0:10
draft ranking of these rookies and veterans that
0:12
were impacted. James Cook, is he really a
0:15
good pick where he's going in the draft?
0:17
Anthony Richardson, how high is too high? I
0:19
mean, this one is going to melt your
0:21
face off. I don't even want to hide
0:23
it. Uh, that one's going to be crazy.
0:25
And Jonathan Brooks, is he somebody
0:27
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0:29
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acura.com. It's
1:12
Tuesday, May 14th. I'm Matt Harmon. Welcome to
1:14
the Yahoo fantasy football show. It is a
1:17
hell of a day to talk ball and join
1:19
me to do just that. Very excited about it
1:22
is the one and only Dalton
1:24
Del Don Dalton. It's been a minute. What's going on,
1:26
buddy? Not much. Harmon, it's been
1:28
far too long since we talked ball. So I have
1:30
a few takes and I need you to, you know,
1:32
tell me if I need to dial the heat back
1:34
on, on some of these rankings, but yeah, I'm excited
1:36
to talk some rookies and man, it it's been way
1:38
too long since we, we potted. Absolutely.
1:41
Way too long. Uh, as we both
1:43
said, look, here's the premise for this
1:45
show. Let's do a little bit of
1:47
table setting here. For one, if something
1:50
weird happens in the NFL, Dak
1:53
Prescott like got traded or signed a contract and send
1:55
you with the Dallas Cowboys. I'm not sure which would
1:57
be weirder at this point because that saga is so.
2:00
weird or you know, Brandon
2:02
Ayuk is playing for a different team. Brock
2:04
Purdy has decided to retire
2:07
from the NFL and go on a spiritual
2:09
quest across East
2:11
Asia or something. And we don't
2:14
mention it on the pod. There's a good reason
2:16
for that because I am on vacation right
2:18
now. I am not actually working.
2:20
We pre-taped this show a few days ahead.
2:22
So listen, give me a break. I
2:25
need a vacation. I
2:28
need a vacation very, very badly. So that is
2:30
one bit of table setting here. So with that
2:32
in mind, we did want to pre-tape something for
2:34
you guys. So you had a show in the
2:36
podcast feed, you had something on
2:39
YouTube. And honestly, Dalton,
2:41
we came up with the idea for this
2:43
show just within
2:45
like a two second conversation where
2:47
you just say, hey, I've got
2:49
takes, potentially some hot takes about
2:52
the NFL draft. Because I had told our boss,
2:54
our fearless leader, Jason Kobaka that I'm kind of
2:56
drafted out. I'm kind of done talking about the
2:58
draft. I didn't want to do like, sure
3:01
as hell didn't want another, write another draft piece.
3:03
That's for damn sure. And two, I was like,
3:05
another draft pod. I'm not sure. But then Dalton
3:07
says, Oh, no, I've got takes
3:10
on the draft. And it had been way
3:12
too long since we had podcasted. And all
3:14
of a sudden, buddy, because I you know
3:16
that I love when you get going, my
3:18
juices are flowing again. So with that, we've
3:20
got 12 draft hot takes
3:22
from the man, the myth, the legend Dalton del Don.
3:24
And that's what we're gonna do on the show, buddy,
3:26
you're gonna just throw me takes, I have no idea
3:28
what you're gonna say. And this is basically gonna serve
3:31
as a heat check for you. Absolutely.
3:33
First of all, I'm not trying to make these
3:35
takes hot, per se, these are my
3:37
natural rankings. But if you if you think
3:39
they're a little hot, then that's okay, too.
3:42
But I need a heat check on some
3:44
of these. The first I'll start with is
3:46
Jaden Daniels, have him ranked as my QB
3:48
12. Right now
3:50
his ECRs expert consensus rank is the QB
3:53
18. I
3:55
got two sides to this story here. Okay. There
3:58
are similar red flags as Zach Wilson to
4:00
Jaden Daniels. He won't turn, he'll
4:02
turn 24 years old this season.
4:04
Didn't break out until his sixth college year
4:06
when he had two wide receivers who were drafted
4:08
in the top 25 of the draft. Really
4:11
bad pressure at a sack rate. He's
4:13
six foot four, 200 pounds and
4:15
his best comp is Johnny Knoxville.
4:19
Honestly, there's a, there's a really good chance
4:21
that they regret passing on
4:23
Drake May here. However, this is a
4:25
fantasy show. Daniels is the best scrambler
4:27
ever to enter the league. Average more
4:29
than 60 rushing yards, 34 touchdowns in
4:32
college. You look at the NCAA
4:34
leaders by fantasy points per dropback in
4:37
power five schools. Jalen Hertz
4:39
had the best season ever in
4:41
2019. Daniels number two last year.
4:43
Compare Daniels is last year fantasy
4:45
points per dropback with Caleb Williams'
4:47
best year. Williams got 0.8,
4:52
0.81. Daniels 1.20. I mean, it's
4:54
a different class here. The history of nine
4:56
quarterbacks have ran for a hundred yards in
4:58
their first two years in the league. Eight
5:00
of them have averaged more than 18 fantasy
5:02
points per game. I mean, it's just the
5:04
cheat code. I don't know how Cliff Kingsbury
5:06
is going to do his OC. He'll
5:09
have Terry McCloren, the running man.
5:11
It both increases his floor and his ceiling. I
5:13
don't think it's wild to have him as the
5:15
QB 13. I have him over
5:17
Jordan Love. Now maybe that's the hot take, but
5:19
really are we drafting Matthew Stafford
5:21
at his age, Kirk Cousins 36
5:23
years old, come off Achilles new
5:26
team, Tua, Goff, Rogers, Herbert. I
5:28
mean, that's not a hot take. I'm
5:30
sorry. Daniels is the QB 12. Where
5:32
did you say he was in extra consensus ranks?
5:34
18 right now. I mean, that's
5:37
just, that's, that's just, that's, this isn't even, I opened
5:39
up with not even a hot take here, but I
5:41
mean, that's, this is going to move, move there. I
5:43
mean, Jayden Daniels is going to be drafted as a
5:45
top 12 guy. I feel like in August. Well,
5:48
in, in early best ball drafts, ADP
5:50
of QB 18, according to fantasy pros
5:52
consent data, which listen, I,
5:54
and I'm, I'm with you a hundred percent,
5:57
like anybody that knows Dalton is, and I
5:59
kind of. almost like I should I should
6:01
say this for maybe new listeners to the podcast
6:03
like Dalton is not you know damn Stephen
6:06
A. Smith or something like that he's not just
6:08
making hot takes for hot takes he's not skip
6:10
Bayless but he is an aggressive rancor and an
6:12
aggressive drafter as Andy Behrens likes
6:14
to make fun of you for like he did on
6:16
the previous episode but they
6:18
always come with well-reasoned thoughts and like
6:20
should push you to consider your priors
6:22
number one and number two like you
6:24
get good results you you are a
6:26
good rancor objectively on
6:28
a weekly basis on draft ranking basis it's just the
6:30
reality of the situation buddy so like I will pump
6:32
you up and say that that you come here with
6:34
some of these hot takes and they
6:36
actually they sound aggressive and then they end
6:39
up working out and this one with
6:41
Jayden Daniels is gonna work out for you like
6:43
this is this one I'm totally on board with
6:45
you just from the rushing perspective
6:47
and it is kind of funny that you
6:50
know some fantasy analysts are gonna come out here
6:52
over the summer like Jayden Daniels is a QB
6:54
one and like it's not an aggressive take it's
6:56
not a hot take really it's it's honestly kind
6:58
of like it should be obvious at this point
7:00
just because of that rushing boost
7:02
that you mentioned this tweet
7:04
from Ian Harditz that I included in
7:06
my rookie quarterback write-up in terms of
7:08
how they're gonna impact their offenses per
7:11
game fantasy football ranks of quarterbacks with 125 plus
7:14
carries in a season in NFL history minimum
7:16
of eight games one one
7:18
one two two three
7:20
three four four five five
7:22
six seven eight twelve seventeen
7:24
which was 2020 Cam Newton
7:27
you know Patriots COVID Cam Newton so yeah if
7:29
you're gonna run the ball 125 plus
7:32
times you're gonna be a dynamic fantasy quarterback
7:34
Daniels ran the ball 135 times last year
7:36
8.4 yards per clip he's probably not gonna
7:38
do that in the NFL and I do
7:40
wonder about like the injury risk just
7:43
because it is playing style but yeah overall
7:45
I'm with you that Daniels is going
7:47
to be I'm interested
7:49
to see where he ends up being drafted just because
7:51
there are a lot of decent quarterback options this year
7:53
I don't know that he's gonna go full sophomore
7:56
season Lamar Jackson and be drafted
7:59
as a and become one of
8:01
the top scorers of the position. But the
8:03
floor from a rushing perspective is absolutely there.
8:06
Yeah, the key is can he stay healthy at
8:08
his size and the recklessness of the way he
8:10
plays. But also maybe I'm wrong about the passing
8:13
and the late breakout. I mean, he was really
8:15
good this last year and maybe he's even, there's
8:17
upside there too. So I think it's fair that
8:19
he's gonna settle in as at least the top
8:22
15 guy come August. You know, the more aggressive
8:24
drafters will treat him as the top 12. My
8:27
next take is- Well, let me just finish up
8:29
on this one here because my
8:31
question to you is gonna be how
8:33
do you regard that situation in Washington?
8:35
Because I think I can go back
8:37
and forth on it, right? Because again,
8:40
I could go back and forth on
8:42
I could talk myself in multiple different directions
8:44
which I can kind of do with Jayden
8:46
Daniels as a player. But I overall think
8:48
like he's gonna be a good quarterback in
8:50
the NFL. I think it's just the long-term
8:52
ceiling. The second contract question, stuff like that.
8:55
Did Washington make a mistake passing up on Drake May as
8:57
you mentioned, maybe that's what it ends up looking like. But
9:00
just in terms of the situation in Washington to drop a
9:02
rookie quarterback in, how do you kind of regard that? Well,
9:05
for fantasy terms, we love scary Terry.
9:07
He's an alpha, poor guy, just continuously
9:09
gets shaky quarterback play though. But
9:12
outside of that, I think we realized that Datsun, we
9:14
all overrated. I mean, McCaffrey, Sanat, I don't know how
9:16
to pronounce that rookie's tight end name, help me there.
9:19
Outplaying outdoors, Cliff Kingsbury offensive line. I mean,
9:22
it's not the greatest setup there for a
9:24
fantasy term for him to land in, but
9:26
at least Daniels will get a shot. For real life
9:29
football, I think, I don't know. I'm
9:31
not a college ball guy, but man, if I
9:33
just look at the resumes objectively, it seemed
9:35
to me they made a mistake here passing on
9:37
Drake May, but it's, May is gonna have a
9:40
tougher time proving them wrong in the New England
9:42
setup there. But you look at Washington, you look
9:44
at New England, these are how teams that are
9:46
supposed to look like when you get drafted high,
9:48
unlike Caleb Williams, who happened to be the top
9:50
pick and also gets these awesome receivers to throw
9:52
too. That's why I actually do have him ranked
9:54
once, Caleb ranked one spot ahead of Daniels in
9:56
fantasy, despite the rough rushing differences.
9:58
I think, you know. Caleb A, the
10:00
talent and B, just the setup pushes him
10:03
slightly above Daniels for me on my fantasy
10:05
board. I think that makes
10:07
all the sense in the world. With Washington specifically, Cliff
10:10
Kingsbury, I think he designs a good run game.
10:12
I don't love the pass game design. I'm kind
10:14
of mixed on him as an offensive coordinator. The
10:17
offensive line is a huge problem and
10:20
I think that could end up being
10:22
a debilitating thing for this offense. That
10:24
certainly has me concerned. And
10:27
then the skill position talent, yeah, I love Terry McLauren.
10:29
I still have a lot of hope for Jehan Dutton
10:31
being a quality NFL starting receiver. I don't know if
10:33
he's going to be a fantasy superstar, but quality
10:36
NFL starting receiver. But
10:39
that's it though. Then after that, I think it's kind
10:41
of a mixed bag. And then the running back committee
10:43
could be good, but how good are they going to
10:45
be with Jaden Daniels sort of siphoning some work from
10:47
them as well? So I think it's going to be
10:49
a weird offense for fantasy, but I think for Jaden
10:51
Daniels, he's going to be fine. So all right, let's
10:53
get into your second take here. Okay,
10:55
I love the Michael Penix pick. Loved
10:58
it. Man, you loved it. Oh,
11:01
loved it. Yeah, don't get me wrong. I
11:03
was as surprised as you were when it
11:05
happened. But a couple of reasons here. A,
11:07
I like being contrarian and it's everyone's so
11:09
against it. And man, I'm sorry, but worst
11:12
decisions have been made and loading up on
11:14
the most important position in sports by far
11:17
behind, you know, a newcomer and Kirk Cousins who's 36
11:19
and coming off the torn Achilles.
11:21
And you look deeper into that deal. And Gretsch did
11:24
a good job of it. It's essentially 100% a
11:26
two year deal for Cousins. I
11:29
have no opinion about Penix the player.
11:31
You suffered four season ending injuries in
11:33
college four. He's older than Trey
11:35
Lance, but he has a great arm.
11:37
And I just respect getting your guy. He said, I'm
11:39
an aggressive drafter. Go for it, Falcons. I mean, you
11:41
like the quarterback there? Go for it. Yes,
11:44
he'd be 26 when he starts, but quarterback, you can play till 40.
11:47
So I get why the process could
11:49
be questioned and all that. But more
11:51
importantly, as a fantasy guy, Harmon Drake,
11:54
London and Kyle Pitts didn't get any competition
11:56
while the backup quarterback was upgraded. I mean,
11:58
this is awesome. for us.
12:01
I mean London scored six touchdowns
12:03
on 13 expected touchdowns over the
12:05
last two seasons, biggest gap among
12:07
all wide receivers. Cousins had 10
12:09
more catchable passes per game than
12:11
Desmond Ritter last season. Andy Barron's,
12:13
you hate to give the guy
12:16
credit, but he did a good
12:18
comparison last podcast with you with
12:20
the Drake London and Garrett Wilson. Like I know you're
12:22
gonna push back as I have
12:25
London ranked aggressively a little here even though you're
12:27
a London guy, but Wilson
12:29
were projecting drafting in the first round and that's
12:31
what I'm doing projecting drafting London in the second
12:33
round that he's gonna improve, but through two years
12:36
London yards per out run 2.0, Garrett Wilson 1.7,
12:38
targets per out run London
12:42
also higher 24.3 to 23.8. So love the Drake London,
12:44
he's my wide receiver 7,
12:50
but you're gonna give me a heat check on
12:52
that one for sure. I mean it's maybe
12:55
over AJ Brown's insane and that's crazy. You
12:57
have to wait in the first half, the
13:00
second half he really fell off and there's
13:02
more competition for targets and they increased, they
13:04
improved their offensive coordinator situation in Philly, but
13:06
Pukka Nakua, you know he had the same
13:09
target rated. I think him and Cup are
13:11
about even and you know
13:13
we got San Francisco guys, they're battling
13:15
each other. So yeah give me Drake
13:17
London indoors, cousins. Yeah I'm in there.
13:20
I'm not gonna come out and like talk
13:22
down Drake London. I'm just not, I'm not gonna
13:25
put myself in that corner. I'm starting to just
13:27
be like let's just be aware here
13:29
that there we could be drafting into
13:31
the ceiling, which you are definitely grafting
13:33
into the ceiling if you are taking him wide
13:35
receiver 7. Like I already think it's like pretty
13:37
aggressive that he's the 12th wide receiver off
13:40
the board in consensus 8 ADP in
13:42
terms of best ball drafts. Like that
13:44
is aggressive. You're even more aggressive bro,
13:46
but here's the thing that's interesting about
13:48
Drake London and specifically the Michael Penix
13:50
thing, which yeah from a selfish fantasy
13:53
football perspective, like I think
13:55
the offense would have been better if they had taken Roma
13:57
Dunes at 8. That would have been start
13:59
to... to be a real tight
14:03
target tree, a real big squeeze there for
14:05
a guy in Drake London who could, I
14:07
think is good enough to handle a 27% target share on
14:12
a good healthy passing offense, not like
14:14
an Arthur Smith low ball passing offense.
14:17
And the fact that he's now pretty much set
14:19
to do that is incredible. And
14:21
specifically with PENIX, if Kirk Cousins
14:24
suffers a setback, if Kirk Cousins
14:26
just has an injury where
14:28
he's gonna miss two or three games, four
14:31
games, I actually think that
14:33
Michael PENIX, I do question his
14:35
fit in like a, an
14:39
offense like this gonna work over
14:41
the middle of the field that's gonna do a lot of play
14:43
action, that's gonna go under center, cause that's pretty different from what
14:45
he did in college. But specifically you look
14:47
at like the routes that Drake London is very good
14:49
on. I mean, obviously it's some
14:51
of those over the middle routes, but like out routes, 88%
14:53
success rate in reception perception.
14:56
Corner routes, 63.2% success rate in reception perception.
15:00
Like he can win on
15:02
those out breaking vertical routes and Michael
15:04
PENIX is gonna throw those routes. So
15:06
if there is a, the reason you can talk
15:09
yourself into the PENIX pick if you're a Drake
15:11
London bag holder is actually pretty easy cause I
15:13
think stylistically they overlap pretty well. Yeah,
15:16
like to hear that. And man, I
15:18
know that you're being cautious and I
15:20
respect it and it's probably the right
15:22
route here, but you have to
15:25
help me out here and say reception perception
15:27
loves London, right? I mean, he's legit, you
15:29
see those highlights? I mean, he's head
15:31
topping guys last year and I just think he
15:33
can be a star and now
15:35
the actual opportunity will be there. But
15:38
maybe it is definitely projecting. I mean,
15:40
it is saying he's going to see
15:43
a lot more targets than he has, but I
15:45
think he's ready to live up to the hype.
15:48
Yeah, listen, I probably shouldn't even
15:50
be doing this cautious nonsense because
15:52
if he was one of
15:54
the, like I think he is truly
15:56
by the end of the season, I
15:58
think he will be talent wise, considered like a
16:00
top 12 receiver in the league. It's
16:02
just from a production standpoint, like will it get
16:05
there? That's a big ask. But I
16:07
mean, shoot, man, the ability is there. There's
16:09
no question about that. And I think the
16:11
fact that they've insulated the backup quarterback position
16:14
actually, again, it could be good news for
16:16
Drake London because the
16:18
way I think the Pennics pick happened is, I
16:20
think we forget how weird it is
16:23
when you hire a new coaching staff, what
16:26
like the Falcons did, when, I
16:28
think they got into the building and
16:30
you know, cause the GM's there, the owners there
16:33
previously, and they're already like set on we're signing
16:35
Kirk Cousins cause like, we're just not gonna be
16:37
embarrassing a quarterback again. Like that's happening. Coaching staff
16:39
gets on board with it. And
16:42
then this coaching staff starts watching the draft
16:44
prospects and they're like, oh my God, we
16:46
love this Michael Pennics guy. And
16:48
like, that's how the process goes. It's not
16:51
like Raheem Morris, who had a job with
16:53
another NFL team that was in the playoffs
16:55
in January, he's breaking down
16:57
fricking rookies at any
16:59
point until he absolutely has to be. And I
17:01
think at that point, that's when they fell in
17:03
love with Pennics. That's why he becomes an Atlanta
17:05
Falcon quarterback. And yeah, it's a weird pick. But
17:08
man, I mean, look, Pennics is good. It's
17:11
gonna be good for Drake London, which I think is great. So yeah,
17:13
I'm actually, I am gonna be like,
17:15
wow, wide receiver seven, that's so aggressive for Drake London.
17:17
But he is the guy that I want to draft
17:20
this year. I just hope I don't get it priced
17:22
out of doing it. What off season
17:24
and dynasty for him though, adding cousins and
17:26
Pennics and just no competition in the draft.
17:28
I mean, just perfect. Darnell, Mooney, Rondell, more
17:30
like these guys are not high quality target
17:32
earners. So all right, let's move on to
17:34
your third take here. All right,
17:36
wasn't sure how to couch this one,
17:38
but make Blake Corum a priority mid
17:40
round fantasy pick. I
17:43
have to preface something here. Far be it
17:45
from me to talk about a guy being
17:47
injury prone. Okay, Harmon, a month ago, I
17:50
threw my back out at a golf tournament on
17:52
the second swing of the day, very bad. So
17:55
I tell that story because two
17:57
weeks after that, I was already had a plan 40th. they
18:00
trip to do to golf in this beautiful course
18:02
in Half Moon Bay. So I still went on
18:04
the trip, but I only rode the course because
18:06
I was still dealing with this back problem. And
18:09
someone hit the ball in my toward my
18:11
cart and yelled for and like an idiot, instead
18:13
of ducking and covered, I jumped out of the cart,
18:16
nailed my ribs on the side of his
18:18
cart might have broken it or something. But
18:20
for the past month, I've been immobilized
18:23
with bad injuries, including
18:25
the second one, hurting myself while
18:27
riding along, not golfing, riding along
18:29
because I was injured with a
18:31
bad back. So again, far
18:33
be it for me to criticize
18:35
someone for being injury prone because
18:37
I'm not exactly a durable, durable myself.
18:40
That said, Karen Williams sustained a serious
18:42
high ankle sprain and that NFL debut.
18:44
Do you remember the kickoff return as
18:47
a rookie played through a hip
18:49
contusion last season before then
18:51
finally being placed on the IR mid
18:53
season with an ankle sprain suffered a
18:55
broken hand during their playoff loss that
18:58
would have also sidelined him for weeks.
19:00
You know, he's a fifth
19:02
rounder, not have hugely built. He's bad
19:04
as a receiver last year too, last
19:06
year too, among 46 running backs with
19:09
30 plus targets. He ranked
19:11
42nd in yards per target, last in
19:13
yards per outrun and the last in
19:15
PFS receiving grades among running backs.
19:17
He saw three total targets over his final three
19:19
games. Corum, meanwhile, is not
19:21
an elite athlete. He's really
19:23
bad for tackle numbers after suffering
19:26
this torn meniscus, but 47 touchdowns
19:29
final two years at Michigan. I
19:32
believe like all but one are from inside
19:34
the five. It's wild at minimum.
19:36
He's going to be a goal line option. You
19:38
love the fact he's similar to Kyren. So
19:40
if he's not elite athlete, but he's doing,
19:42
you know, he could be great in this
19:44
Ram system. They averaged the most yards per
19:47
play last season when healthy when all the
19:49
guys were healthy in LA second highest EPA
19:51
per rush. So man, if Kyren
19:53
Williams goes down a risky top 15
19:55
pick in these drafts, Corum just going to
19:57
be one of those fantasy.
20:00
see difference makers in the second half. Okay.
20:03
So, um, I'm generally
20:05
with you, uh, on everything
20:07
you just said about Blake Horm like you
20:10
can, you can bulk it like resource allocation, you
20:12
know, a third round running back when you have
20:14
a guy who played really well for you last
20:16
year. But anybody that played fantasy last year knows
20:18
that. Karen Williams was
20:20
awesome trying to find somebody to
20:22
like the waiver wire speed dial
20:25
replacement for Karen Williams sucked.
20:27
Even the Rams went out and they signed
20:29
like Daryl Henderson as a reunion with him. They
20:31
went out and got Royce Freeman. They were
20:33
not going to give Zach Evans any carries. That's
20:35
for sure. At no point was that happening.
20:38
Um, and like Royce Freeman kind of looked all
20:40
right at times. I think he was, he was
20:42
pretty decent for the Rams, but now
20:45
he's when he's at, he's with Dallas, Daryl Henderson
20:47
thing didn't work out. The other guys like Ronnie
20:49
rivers. I mean, they did not have
20:51
a true, like just understudy to just
20:54
throw, like throw right into Karen Williams
20:56
role. Now they do. And considering how
20:58
much Dalton they wanted, they've clearly told
21:01
us by their off season moves, they
21:03
want to lean into this power run,
21:05
man gap scheme attack at you run
21:08
game, why would you like, you don't want
21:10
to be in that situation again when Karen Williams goes down and
21:12
you're like, shoot, what are we going to do? Like now they
21:14
have a guy, they can just plop
21:16
right in there. I do think, and there's
21:18
also outcomes Dalton where like, yeah,
21:20
what if like Corbin's just better than
21:22
Karen Williams? I think that's at least
21:24
possible. Maybe it's like 15% in
21:27
the range of outcomes, but it is at least in
21:29
the range of outcomes in my opinion. Um,
21:31
but I'm with you with what you said
21:33
there, but let's just actually put pen
21:35
to paper on this when you say make him
21:37
a mid round priority, what area of the draft
21:40
are you thinking when you say that? Yeah,
21:42
great question. I haven't done enough to, uh, to,
21:44
to, to point him out exactly where there, I
21:46
have him as my RB 37 and his ECR
21:48
is 43. But,
21:52
um, we're talking Taijai
21:55
Spears, uh, Zach Moss type. Maybe
21:57
people are going to be in on Zach Moss. I'm
21:59
not, but I'm taking. taking him over at Givanthe Williams.
22:01
You're not? Okay, Chase Brown, right around that area, that
22:03
kind of upside I'd say there. I'd
22:05
take him over like Givanthe Williams. And then conversely,
22:07
I've taken Derek Henry over Kyron Williams eight days
22:10
a week. Okay, that's what I
22:12
want to hammer home here is that I'm worried
22:14
about Kyron Williams early and
22:17
Derek Henry. I know that's so not
22:19
brand of me to draft an older back,
22:21
but man, I just love the setup there
22:24
and he's just, you know, he's the big
22:26
dog. So draft Henry over even in PPR,
22:28
I'm drafting Henry over Kyron Williams
22:30
who's going high. You don't even have to make that
22:32
decision. I mean, Kyron's going around ahead of him. Yeah,
22:35
okay. Great like names that
22:37
throw out there. Speaking on the Kyron Williams one,
22:40
just in terms of early basketball ADP, he,
22:43
this is how the running backs go. Christian
22:45
McCaffrey, Bree Saul, Bijon Robinson, Jameer Gibbs, Saquon
22:47
Barkley, Jonathan Taylor, then Kyron Williams. I think
22:49
I'm with you that I'm
22:52
okay with all those backs going ahead of him.
22:54
I take all those backs ahead of him. The
22:56
backs after him, Devon H. And
22:58
Josh Jacobs, Travis ETN, the aforementioned Derek
23:00
Henry and then Rashad white make up
23:02
the rest of the top 12. I
23:05
think the only one of those names that I said after
23:07
Kyron that I would take ahead of
23:10
Kyron is Derek Henry. The other guys, I
23:12
still think from an upside standpoint, Kyron
23:14
Williams gives you a higher ceiling
23:16
comment. Like I think maybe even a higher
23:18
ceiling floor combination if he stays healthy than
23:20
an H. Ann, a Jacobs or an ETN
23:23
and a white. Am I wrong about that?
23:25
You're not. I still have Williams above them all.
23:28
I've been really leaning toward Pacheco. I've been liking
23:30
more. You know, you look at his receiving numbers
23:32
down the stretch and if they haven't brought back
23:34
McKinnon, I like, I could even be talked into
23:36
mixing just because such that role and he stays
23:39
healthy in Houston. But no, as of
23:41
now, I have Henry and Barkley
23:43
ahead of Williams, but then every single
23:45
person you named, even H. Ann, I
23:47
have below Williams because yeah, Madam, they
23:49
love the lead workhorse and if
23:51
he does stay healthy or even if he does miss
23:53
another month of the year, he's going to be at
23:56
top five volume when he's on there. So, but I
23:58
want to hammer home Derek Henry, man. at
24:00
the shotgun splits, the win-loss
24:02
splits, everything. And like he
24:05
hasn't dropped off as a player much. It's just the
24:07
situation he was in. And he goes from a bottom
24:09
five to a top three. So yeah,
24:11
I mean, I'm just, I mean, Derek Henry could score
24:13
20 touchdowns this season. Yeah, I think
24:15
he's gonna smash. Andy's also
24:17
in on Derek Henry. I think this is gonna
24:19
be a very pro Derek Henry podcast this off
24:21
season. The guys around
24:24
Blake Corum in that same tier,
24:26
Devin Singletary, Chase Brown,
24:29
Gus Edwards, Blake Corum,
24:31
Jerome Ford, Zack Charbonnet,
24:33
Jaylen Wright, running by 42, what?
24:36
Chuba Hubbard, like what are we doing here? I
24:39
think that Blake Corum stands out there that
24:41
like, there are some guys built in that
24:43
group where Chase Brown maybe projects for more
24:45
usability depending on how you feel about that
24:47
backfield. I'm more pro Zack Moss maybe than
24:49
you are. Devin Singletary like,
24:51
yeah, he's the lead back for the Giants,
24:53
Tajay Spears, I don't know. Jerome
24:55
Ford, is he the lead back for Cleveland?
24:57
Like Blake Corum probably has a lower
24:59
week to week floor than any of those guys, but
25:02
I think he's a great pick in that range
25:04
because if he ends up getting, like I would
25:07
never take Kyron Williams, Blake Corum on the same
25:09
team. Don't do that to yourself because I think
25:11
you're just shredding one of the, like
25:13
you're shredding one pick there, but from an
25:15
overall like season long standpoint, I would take
25:17
Blake Corum there and just like ride out
25:19
that bench spot with him. Yeah,
25:22
maybe it depends on your build. If you need
25:24
safety, Devin Singletary and Gus Edwards, if
25:26
you really need a back there, definitely
25:28
gonna help you out week to week more.
25:30
But Corum the upside and the guy who
25:32
could be suddenly he's ranked as a top
25:34
five fantasy back if he's starting for the
25:36
Rams at any given week in a good
25:38
matchup, I mean, is that kind of upside.
25:40
So that's my thoughts on that one. You
25:42
ready for number four? Yeah, give me number
25:45
four. Okay, don't let Jackson
25:47
Smith and Jigba's rookie season scare
25:49
you off Roma doomsday. It
25:51
really is a similar situation here, man.
25:53
I mean, there's two wide receivers to
25:55
compete with down to the same exact
25:57
OC Shane Waldron, who I, a little.
26:00
concerned about that, but
26:02
totally curious your thoughts, your harm, and
26:04
I know you briefly mentioned JSN, you were
26:06
kind of encouraged by his route running, but
26:09
I just wanna say maybe I was guilty
26:11
of overhyping a not superstar player. You
26:13
look at JSN's rookie year, 95th in ADOT, hit
26:16
a lower EPA per route run and lower
26:18
EPA per target than Quentin Johnston. Maybe
26:21
in the benefit of hindsight, JSN was
26:24
overrated, seeing passes from
26:26
CJ Stroud, that record setting bowl
26:28
game featured no Garrett Wilson, no
26:30
Chris Salave, and they were facing
26:32
running backs, trying to play cornerback
26:34
in the opposition. Meanwhile,
26:37
Zunze is an elite separator,
26:40
best contested catch rate season ever in 2023,
26:42
I believe. Keenan
26:44
Allen, 32 years old, has missed an average of
26:46
five and a half games over the last two
26:49
seasons. Caleb Williams could be a star right away.
26:52
But the Bears admittedly didn't use many
26:54
three wide receiver sets last season, that
26:56
needs to change. So give me a
26:58
heat check here, am I buying the
27:00
young new toy again, the rookie guy,
27:02
the hype, I think this is quietly
27:04
an okay situation, given that Caleb Williams
27:06
could be awesome. And Keenan Allen is
27:08
his age and his injury history here, and
27:10
Adunze might be really, really good. Yeah,
27:13
couple things are different from the Jackson Smith
27:15
and Jigba thing, where even though it's the
27:18
same OC, and yeah, it does look very
27:20
similar. And look,
27:22
from a brass tacks
27:24
standpoint, it's
27:26
the same situation where it's an exciting rookie
27:29
coming in behind two guys who
27:31
are good, who are really, really good, right?
27:33
Like DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. I
27:36
actually think, here's where there's a little
27:38
bit of difference, I actually think those two guys, as
27:42
a unit, are a little bit better than
27:44
Keenan Allen and DJ Moore, so there is
27:46
that part of it, where that's why JSN
27:48
is limited, especially just where Tyler Lockett was
27:50
in his career coming into last year, versus
27:52
where Keenan Allen is coming into his career
27:54
this year. So
27:57
that's part of it, but like
27:59
there, It's just tough to make an impact
28:01
and those two guys are going to be there, right?
28:03
Because you're not going to, Roma
28:05
Dunsey, I don't know. Like he's not
28:07
going to push either one of those guys to
28:09
the curb, right? And, and JSN was never going
28:12
to push either of those two guys to the
28:14
curb in Seattle, but
28:16
there's the key difference here. There's
28:19
two of them. One, Roma
28:22
Dunsey is better than Jackson Smith and Jigba.
28:24
I like Jackson Smith and Jigba as a
28:26
prospect, but he was a tier two receiver
28:28
prospect, whereas Roma Dunsey is a tier one
28:31
receiver prospect, just in terms of overall
28:33
my stack board over the last four
28:35
classes. So JSN was the
28:37
number one receiver in his class. Roma Dunsey to
28:39
me was number two, to more people was number
28:42
three in this class, but that's just because last
28:44
year's class wasn't as good as this year's class.
28:46
That's just the reality of it. Roma Dunsey is
28:49
a better prospect than Jackson Smith and Jigba. And
28:51
like, yeah, JSN's rookie season was fine, but it
28:53
was fine. It wasn't like, yeah, that
28:55
looks special. Like it looked like a solid receiver you
28:57
take in round one. Didn't look like a
29:00
special player. Roma Dunsey, I think, is coming
29:02
to the NFL and look like a special player. And this
29:04
is the second difference, Dalton, and this is critical. Like
29:07
Jackson Smith and Jigba, good prospect, but
29:09
he was a slot prospect. I think
29:11
he can't, like he's not a slot
29:13
only guy. He's not hopeless outside. He
29:15
can beat man coverage, but he's
29:18
still a guy that's going to mostly run his
29:20
routes from the slot, the type of routes he's
29:22
good on you want coming from the interior, whereas
29:25
Roma Dunsey is like a pure prototypical
29:27
ex-receiver. I kind of think their
29:30
best receiver deployment is Roma Dunsey at X.
29:33
DJ more is like a move around sort of
29:35
speed Z receiver who can play inside, who can
29:37
play outside and then Keenan Allen, I think needs
29:39
to play in the slot at this point in
29:41
square. He was like a mostly slot player with
29:44
the charges last year. Career high in terms of
29:46
reception, perception snaps off the line and in the
29:48
slot, that has to be the usage for him
29:50
to be productive going forward. Like if
29:52
somebody's going to leave the field just from it, like
29:54
take the names off the back of the Jersey, the
29:56
guy that's going to leave the field in two receiver
29:58
sets is the third player I just. not
30:00
the first player. Wasn't, didn't
30:03
QML actually surprise you? He ranked first or second
30:05
in ESPN's open score last year? That was
30:07
surprising to me. DJ Morris is the
30:09
ECR wide receiver 15 right now. That
30:12
to me is too high. I loved him. He
30:14
was like a top five guy with fields last
30:16
year when he was healthy together. But doesn't he
30:18
deserve a bigger hit here even if I'm over
30:20
rating? I have a doing day with my wide
30:22
receiver 36. I mean, that's sad.
30:24
My wide receiver three, you know, I'm not too
30:27
crazy, but I think it's gonna be helpful. And
30:29
I think that DJ Moore is not getting enough punishment
30:33
there in the rankings. They're drafting him as a top
30:35
15 guy. And that situation to me is
30:38
you're gonna be disappointed. Yeah, I
30:40
agree with you. That's been my early lean
30:42
that like, cause
30:45
last year all the discussion about the Seahawks guys was, ah,
30:47
Tyler Lockett's got, we got to bring him down the rankings
30:50
because they drafted JSN. I'm like, everybody's gonna get hurt
30:52
if JSN even comes in here and earns like 90
30:54
target. What you did, I think
30:56
he had like 93 targets last year. And I
30:58
think everybody that drafted a Seahawks receiver last year
31:00
came away slightly disappointed. I think there's a good
31:03
chance that anybody who drafts a Bears receiver this
31:05
year comes away slightly disappointed. Yeah, that's fair. That's
31:07
okay. That's fair. Okay, ready for the next one?
31:10
Yes. Okay, is ranking Malik neighbors
31:12
as a top 20 fantasy wide out too
31:14
high? Actually happened by wide receivers 16 now,
31:17
but I mean, there's times to
31:20
change. He had a resume,
31:22
his argument to be the top wide receiver
31:24
drafted above Marvin Harrison. I mean, he recorded
31:26
one of the best ever yards per team
31:28
pass attempt marks during an age 20 season.
31:32
Total missed tackles forced in 2023, Malik
31:35
neighbors 30, a dunes a
31:38
15 Harrison five. Neighbors
31:40
is more than twice as many yards
31:42
as Harrison before their 21st birthday, super
31:45
explosive. And now here's where we
31:47
turn to, to Harmon, the
31:50
wide receiver expert. However,
31:52
neighbors saw 60% of his yardage
31:54
last season come from the slot. I
31:57
mean, nine of his 14 touchdowns were
31:59
on slot fades. alone, obviously the
32:01
giants of a shaky quarterback situation
32:03
playing outdoors. But
32:06
I ultimately settle on 150 targets from a beast here. And
32:10
I think there's a big tier after my
32:12
top 15 wide receivers. I know people are
32:14
putting Alave as a top 12 guy and
32:16
maybe with Kubiak involved, they're going to run
32:18
a lot more motion and all that. But
32:20
boy, people are projecting Alave not unlike my,
32:23
I mean, maybe I'm crazy with Drake when
32:25
you look at their stats from the year
32:27
before. But people are definitely
32:29
projecting Alave to continue to make
32:31
a leap there. So
32:34
yeah, thoughts on me drafting neighbors right
32:36
around him and in
32:38
the tier right after the top 15? Yeah,
32:41
this is too much for me. I
32:43
think way too much for me. Man,
32:46
like I'm looking just at your rankings right
32:48
now and like, yeah, I think I'm definitely
32:50
going Chris Alave. I think I'm definitely going
32:52
Mike Evans ahead of Malik neighbors.
32:57
Yeah, Jalen Waddle, I think I'm probably going to go
32:59
ahead of Malik neighbors too. It
33:02
does get dicey once you get to like the
33:04
Texans guys, just because of
33:06
overall target volume. But man, like, would
33:10
I rather take the shot on Stephon Diggs is
33:12
probably the number two pass
33:14
catcher with CJ Stroud or like,
33:17
Malik neighbors as the number one, like I definitely think
33:20
you even number one receiver, I'm not 100% convinced he's
33:22
just going to come in here and see like 150
33:25
type of targets or something like that. That's
33:27
just a lot. And they're, you
33:29
know, there's not another high quality player, but there's
33:31
some decent guys on that roster that are going
33:33
to earn some volume. Michael
33:35
Pittman, I think I'd probably go ahead of
33:38
Malik neighbors to Mari Cooper,
33:40
I'd even think about. So yeah, to me, I'll
33:42
probably end up having a guy. I have Malik
33:44
neighbors pretty low in my early rankings, but who
33:46
cares? I'll probably end up having him somewhere around
33:48
like, you know, maybe, maybe
33:50
mid 20s that receiver. I've
33:54
been throwing this comparison out there. I think I threw
33:56
it out on my, on my other show that
33:58
I think Malik. Reaver's rookie season could
34:01
look a lot like J.L. and Waddle's rookie
34:03
season, where he actually ends up being a
34:05
high reception total, but not a lot of
34:07
big plays, just because they're trying to manufacture
34:10
him so much stuff. Like
34:12
J.L. and Waddle, the thing about him, he comes to
34:14
the NFL and says, speed, speed, speed, big playmaking ability.
34:16
But then he averages like under 10 yards of catch
34:18
as a rookie and we're like, what the hell happened
34:20
here? Like, I thought this guy was supposed to be
34:22
a big play asset. And I think, by the way,
34:24
League Neighbors are a better player than J.L. and Waddle.
34:27
A tier one prospect for me, J.L. and Waddle
34:29
is a tier two prospect for me. So there is
34:31
a difference there from ability standpoint, but I'm just saying
34:33
from a utilization standpoint, I think
34:35
you could end up being fed a lot of like underneath
34:38
touches and not necessarily because they want to get
34:40
him the ball and space to make plays after
34:42
the catch. Which, by the way,
34:44
if he gets J.L. and Waddle's season as a
34:46
rookie, that's fine. It's just not quite to like
34:49
maybe top 15 expectations. I
34:51
moved to Lave ahead of him. That was
34:53
too much. But man, I can just make
34:55
an argument for Neighbors' upside over all these
34:57
other guys who are competing with other alphas.
34:59
Devonta Smith right behind him, Jalen Waddle, Tank
35:01
Dell. Sifant digs at his age with two
35:03
other guys in Houston you're going to take
35:05
over Neighbors. I can't see
35:07
it. Pitman's got some competition too.
35:11
Mike Evans, last year, you know, he was being drafted behind
35:13
Chris Godwin. I think this is the year to go after
35:15
Godwin, who's going to return to playing the slot. And he's
35:17
going to be the value if you want the Bucks receiver.
35:19
Just flip it from last year. I mean, yeah, he's
35:21
30 years old. I think the touchdowns are there. But
35:24
yeah, maybe this is crazy. Neighbors is a rookie
35:26
and getting the ball from Jones. But I think
35:28
we can project as many as 140
35:30
to 150 targets. But
35:33
this is a tough one. I'm not sold on this.
35:35
That's why I wanted to talk to him. Oh, the
35:38
slot. I know there used to be concerns. I
35:40
think it's just you take it case by case basis, right?
35:42
Sometimes you can look back and see, oh, he was overrated
35:45
because of the slot. And other times nowadays, the slot is
35:47
so important that you can tell who cares, right? So maybe
35:49
it's a good thing, right? So you don't really care that
35:51
all that production came out of the slot, I'm guessing. I
35:54
do think some of it is fraudulent production for sure.
35:56
Like, I shouldn't say fraudulent. It just doesn't map to
35:59
me. the league some of that stuff because of the
36:01
hashes and the way that you can throw like out
36:03
routes from the you know condensed
36:05
formations it just it's
36:07
different but I think from a
36:09
talent perspective Malik neighbors has an ability to
36:11
play outside but I don't think you're going
36:13
to use him as a true ex-receiver
36:16
like you would with Marvin Harrison or Roma Dunes day so
36:18
that's sort of where I come down on that one. Okay,
36:20
alright. Alright, we're going to take a quick break when we
36:23
come back we're going to get the rest of Dalton's draft
36:25
takes right after this. Alright
36:34
Dalton, we're at number six on your list.
36:37
What's the take? Hit it.
36:40
Alright, when I originally wrote my NFL
36:42
draft notebook I suggested Jonathan Brooks being
36:44
like a top 35 fantasy back and
36:48
after looking at it more I've moved him up to my RB 20 right
36:51
now mainly because there's 19 running backs
36:53
I really think are obvious and then
36:55
the tier afters just wide open. Zamir
36:57
White, Romando Stevenson, James Connor, I mean
37:00
Dondre Swift, Najah Harris, Elliot, I
37:02
mean just wide open here so give me
37:04
the younger guy who compared favorably to Bijon
37:07
Robinson during their final seasons at Texas. Brooks
37:10
would have been drafted higher if not for
37:12
the ACL tear which was clean no meniscus
37:14
he's on track to be cleared by training
37:16
camp so really I think maybe people are
37:18
over rating the injury here he can pass
37:20
protect. I understand Carolina's new
37:23
coaching staff will have reason to be patient
37:25
with him but they're also invested in Brooks
37:27
way more talented than Chuba Hubbard and
37:30
Miles Sanders. Panthers
37:32
do limit his upside but they want
37:34
to run the ball Harmon and Hubbard
37:36
was the number nine fantasy back over
37:38
the final seven weeks last season on
37:40
a Panthers team that finished last in
37:42
yards per play so I mean Brooks
37:44
has got more talent than him you
37:46
figure Bryce Young's gonna be a little
37:48
better at worst. Dave Canales
37:50
in there, Deontay Johnson, Xavier Legette
37:52
or Legette I'm not sure how
37:55
you pronounce that one but again I think it's
37:57
a big tear after the 19 running backs. And
38:00
I'll take Brooks the next one then give me an RB 20
38:02
right now Even if it takes a
38:04
little patience, it may not even take that much patience Give
38:07
me give me Brooks top 20 fantasy back heat
38:09
check Harmon. I think I'm with
38:11
you on this one I actually think that
38:13
from an early best ball ADP perspective the
38:15
last running back I feel very good about
38:17
and even saying this guy and like very
38:19
good makes me a little uncomfortable But Joe
38:22
Mixon at running back 16 is
38:24
kind of the last guy up. All right, cool. I
38:26
see it I start to get a little concerned by
38:28
like Alvin Kamara at 17 Aaron Jones at 18 Remondra
38:30
Stevenson at 19 Dave
38:32
Montgomery at 20. I still think is a screaming
38:34
value But that's
38:36
like another topic But we're sitting
38:39
we're in that tier of guys where Dave Montgomery split in
38:41
the backfield Najee Harris split in the
38:43
backfield James Connor price split in the back
38:45
to with Trey Benson DeAndre Swift
38:47
definitely split in the backfield Tony power split in
38:49
the backfield. So like Why
38:51
would I not just want to go ahead and take? Jonathan
38:54
Brooks there because like when
38:56
he's a hundred percent ready to go which
38:59
Like he might be out there. I think he's gonna be out there week one.
39:01
I think he's gonna be out there in training camp I think you
39:03
might even play a little bit in the preseason, but maybe
39:06
that would be kind of stupid to risk him Overall
39:08
though. I think he said he's gonna be ready by
39:10
training camp July 1st versus his like target date I
39:12
think he's probably gonna hit that target date Once
39:16
he's a hundred percent ready to rock from just
39:18
like a utilization standpoint I think he's
39:20
gonna be they like clear-cut lead back to be
39:22
Hubbard is like just the definition of a replacement
39:24
level player Not needle mover Had
39:28
some nice weeks on a terrible Panthers team that
39:31
Panthers team is gonna be better this year, right? I
39:33
think that I'm not sure what
39:35
the feeling is for them But I think canals
39:37
is gonna make them better and he's gonna make
39:40
Bryce young like a functional NFL quarterback And they
39:42
invested in the offensive line. So I think Johnson
39:45
Brooks We just got a great roadmap with this
39:47
with your guy Breece Hall last year Where
39:49
he you know started off a little shaky
39:52
had some kind of laws but finished the season super
39:54
strong So I'm with you that Johnson Brooks the top
39:56
20 back to me makes a lot of sense. All
39:59
right. I like it Herman Okay, it's not all
40:01
going to be positive. We'll get some negatives here soon,
40:03
but one more here. My next one for you to
40:05
stick in kind of on the Jonathan Brooks theme is
40:07
Trey Benson. He's going to be a fantasy league winner
40:10
during the second half. I know you're
40:12
with me on this one. I have him as my
40:14
RB24, a really hard guy to rank because, you know,
40:16
I mean, he might be worthless the first month. He
40:18
then will become a top five back when Connor's on
40:21
the IR. So it's, if Connor does suffer an injury
40:23
and he's, you know, a serious season ender here, we're
40:25
talking about a possible league winner though. Connor's
40:27
29 years old, coming off the second highest
40:30
workload of his career's average four miss
40:32
games of the last five seasons. Connor
40:34
has never played a full season or eclipse 215 carries
40:37
during any of his seven years in
40:40
the league. Meanwhile, Benson's, he forced
40:42
the most missed tackles per touch in
40:44
2022. It was
40:46
the best season ever since the stat was
40:48
recorded. He joins an Arizona offense. It
40:51
was top 10 unit and all the, you
40:53
know, the nerd stats, EPA per play over the
40:55
second half of last season. Before
40:57
adding Marvin Harrison Jr. Cardinals
40:59
run games, quietly good fourth best EPA per rush
41:02
last season. I mean, this is a good situation
41:04
for a running back. Benson
41:06
has nice power speed, receiving ability.
41:09
Yeah, he'll be, he'll be a top 10 fantasy back any
41:11
week if he's the guy there and Connor is
41:13
out and this is a, you know, an injury
41:16
prone aging back in Connor. So where
41:18
did you settle on, on ranking him since, you
41:20
know, it's tricky when it comes to that. I
41:23
have Benson as my RB24 right now, but I could see,
41:25
you know, wide, wide range of rankings when it comes to
41:27
him. It
41:30
is tricky. He is kind of a difficult
41:32
guy to rank. I'm with you there. I
41:35
think I settled with ranking him pretty aggressively though. I have
41:37
him at running back 20. Love
41:39
it. So even more than me, even
41:41
more than, even more than the take Meister
41:43
himself, Dalton Del Don. No, like,
41:45
and here's the thing with Trey Benson. Yeah, difficult
41:48
guy to rank projections wise. He's not going to
41:50
ever come out to running back 20, but it's
41:52
just such an easy story to tell yourself, which is
41:54
why it's probably not going to happen, but it's such
41:57
an easy story to tell yourself where like,
41:59
I don't think he... even be worthless the first month
42:01
of the season. I love these picks where
42:03
I mean any single week he's
42:05
gonna have like standalone value for you because
42:07
he's gonna play to some degree. I don't
42:10
think he's just gonna be a bench player.
42:12
He might be in the what the heck
42:14
flex territory, but maybe
42:17
not like a clear cut starting running back two or even
42:19
really a running back three, but like a guy that, ah
42:21
shoot, you know, it's week four and two of
42:23
my running backs are already hurt. Like I guess I can start
42:25
Trey Benson and just hope he rips off a couple of big
42:27
plays. I think he's gonna be in that tier. That's
42:29
how he starts the season. I mean, yeah,
42:31
James Connor gets injured or just like more and
42:34
more. Like we get after Trey Benson's bye week
42:36
and he's just ready to sort of take off
42:38
and take the job from James Connor. This is
42:40
an offense that I think is ascending. It's just
42:42
such an easy story to tell yourself. And like
42:46
they're truly league winning potential,
42:48
like you said, or at least like top
42:50
five, top 10 fantasy back in his range
42:52
of outcomes is there. And like the other
42:54
guys that he goes around and drafts, like
42:57
that's just not a bit, I love you
42:59
Austin Eckler, but like that's not available for
43:01
Austin Eckler. Like that's not available for Javante
43:03
Williams. Maybe he's
43:05
a mere white, I don't know, but like DeAndre
43:07
Zwift and Tony Pollard, like no way, that's not
43:09
available for those guys just because of a
43:12
lot of different circumstances. So to me,
43:14
yeah, I think Trey Benson, just the type of profile
43:16
that you wanna be aggressive on. Yeah,
43:19
put differently, Connor is gonna
43:21
be drafted earlier. I have them basically ranked back
43:23
to back. It feels like Connor will help you
43:25
the first half and Benson can help you the
43:27
second half. But yeah, I think the situation there
43:29
is a nice one to land in in Arizona
43:31
behind, an aging running back with
43:34
an injury history. All
43:36
right, Harmon, this one's not
43:38
exactly hot, but Brock Bowers landed in
43:40
the worst situation possible, man. It is
43:42
not great. He's
43:45
likely the best tight end prospect in college
43:47
football history. Dude commanded targets
43:49
and scored 13 touchdowns as an 18
43:51
year old freshman. Sam
43:54
LaPorta averaged 11.7 yards
43:56
per reception in college. Brock
43:59
Bowers averaged. nine yards after
44:01
the catch in his college career.
44:03
I mean, he's just a beast, but
44:05
the Raiders have one of the league's
44:08
worst quarterback situations, a true alpha wide
44:10
receiver, and just drafted a tight end
44:12
with a top 40 pick last year.
44:14
Only two FBS tight ends have multiple 800
44:17
yard seasons over the last 15 years. They're
44:20
Brock Bowers and Michael Mayer, uh,
44:22
Adam, Devontae Adams finished second in the league
44:25
in targets and target share last year. I
44:27
think the biggest concern with Vegas though, is
44:29
this quarterback. I mean, it gets to play
44:31
indoors, but Gardner Minshew, it's
44:34
questionable if he's even an upgraded all over AOC.
44:37
Uh, Shane Steichen deserves credit for any success
44:39
Minshew had last year. Bowers is a beast.
44:41
I'm still ranking him as the top 12
44:43
fantasy tight end, but man, that's major restraint
44:45
by me given his age and profile. I
44:47
mean, that's tight end is deeper than ever.
44:50
And, uh, I don't think he could, it
44:52
should be treated necessarily as a top 10
44:54
guy, even with his profile and
44:56
his upset upside. Um, given the
44:58
alternative, you probably would have gone like tight end five.
45:01
If he landed anywhere else. Yeah, no, I easily. Yeah.
45:03
I would have been talking about something to it, but
45:05
I don't love it. Uh, but am I wrong? And
45:07
maybe I'll just play mayor more in
45:09
line and let Bowers be a beast in the,
45:11
you know, on the slot, but I just don't
45:14
trust Vegas getting it right. I mean, they just
45:16
look like a combustible situation. And it just seems
45:18
like he doesn't look super pumped when he was
45:20
drafted by them. And there was rumors are it
45:22
was literally down to a coin flip. Um,
45:25
I basically agree with what you just said there.
45:28
Like, I think he'll still be a top 15
45:30
top 12 tight end, uh, in rankings, but he's
45:32
not really a guy I'm excited about anymore. And
45:34
a lot of it comes down to the situation
45:36
and yeah, the, the quarter, the quarterback, the guard,
45:38
I'm into situation of it all the, the, no,
45:40
Connell situation of it all where, um,
45:43
cause I think you, you could look at last year and be
45:45
like, is his, like, you just
45:48
think about the outlook and how he's going to be
45:50
deployed, is it that much different than Dalton Kincaid, who
45:52
was the 11th tight end last year? Um,
45:54
91 targets and a lot of it was slot
45:57
stuff. It actually, and, and, and it.
45:59
wasn't that efficient, right? You
46:02
know, 7.4 yards per target, 9.2
46:05
yards per catch for Dalton Kincaid, because I think they
46:07
tried to, like he should just be a
46:09
tight end, but they tried to do this big slot stuff.
46:11
I think some of that's gonna happen with Brock Bowers, right?
46:14
Like the Bills had an established
46:16
tight end, and Michael Mayer's not even
46:18
established. Like Dawson Knox was a guy
46:20
they paid, right? But still, there's sort
46:22
of some similarities there. Guys
46:25
that, you know, Michael Mayer and Dawson Knox, either
46:27
one of those like true in-line tight ends either.
46:29
So that actually kind of makes it samey. There's
46:31
an alpha receiver, even if Steph Diggs was declining,
46:33
but like still was a guy that was commanding
46:35
a high target share. There
46:37
are some useful players else around the
46:40
roster, but you know, like a
46:42
Gabe Davis or a Khalil Shakir, Jacobi Myers is
46:44
better than both of those guys. You know, that's
46:46
part of this too. The thing is though, so
46:49
you could say that and be like, well, it's not that
46:51
bad, right? Like Brock Bowers could be tight at 11. One
46:53
of those is playing in Josh Allen's offense, the other one's
46:55
playing in Gardner-Minchu's offense. So we're on the same page here
46:57
with your eighth take. So let's move to take number nine.
47:00
Transition perfectly to the Bills, who I
47:02
think James Cook still has a goal
47:04
line problem. We're talking Ray Davis, the
47:06
rookie here, not the
47:08
ideal draft pick. If you're a James Cook
47:11
guy, who's going to the top 15 fantasy
47:13
back. Cook ranked top five in yards per
47:15
touch last season, but his fantasy value was
47:17
limited thanks to just two carries inside the
47:20
five after week four. Cook
47:22
did not rank top 20 in red
47:24
zone touches. Latavius Murray, I think he
47:26
was the oldest back in the league,
47:28
had the 12th most carries inside the
47:30
five last year. And that's with Josh Allen
47:32
taking 14 of them. Ray
47:35
Davis is built for this role. I
47:38
get it though, Cook, I mean, the
47:40
Bills ran the ball a lot more after Joe
47:43
Brady became OC. Steph Diggs is gone now. Davis
47:45
is an unknown fourth round rookie. So
47:48
Cook could feasibly be a fantasy monster if
47:50
he gets this role. But I
47:52
just want to kind of, you know, frame
47:54
it this way. Cook was the RB 11 last year,
47:57
but realized volume really helped with that. He was the
47:59
RB... 19 per game
48:02
when you realize that the lack of touchdowns hurt
48:04
him there So it's a it's a backfield to
48:06
pay attention to here in Buffalo because cook has
48:08
a ton of upside But at the same time
48:10
he's risks of being overdrafted if Davis continues to
48:12
take those short touchdowns No,
48:14
this is a really good call-out I mentioned I took James
48:16
Cook in round three of our staff mock drafts and I
48:19
was like I actually don't know if I love this pick
48:21
that much after I made it and Andy didn't really take
48:23
the bait when I Tried to get him to criticize me,
48:25
but He's too busy
48:27
criticizing you and producer Colin which Fair
48:30
enough, but I'm with you that
48:35
I'm with you man that like I don't
48:38
know if James Cook
48:41
Has that type of ceiling that you want right
48:44
like because of the Josh Allen goal line factor
48:46
And I think we're not talking enough about Ray
48:48
Davis. They basically just were like alright. Yeah, we
48:50
had letate We wanted Damien Harris to play this
48:53
role. He obviously suffered an injury and ended up
48:55
retiring You know we got
48:57
Latavius Murray we signed Leonard for net They're constantly
48:59
Cycling in like a bigger back along James Cook
49:01
and it just seems like a signal that we
49:04
don't want to trust this guy in Goal line
49:06
rolls in a goal line role, which is fine.
49:08
I think that's totally plausible So I definitely think
49:10
that it's when I first clicked James Cook.
49:13
I'm like what am I missing here? You know? Good
49:16
good back had a nice season last year. He plays on
49:18
a good offense The thing the more you
49:20
look at it, especially that Ray Davis pick it does make
49:22
you a little like Hmm, I'm not sure what
49:24
James Cook so we it seems like we're both skeptical on cook Is
49:27
there a right range to draft Ray Davis, or
49:29
do you think that's just like chasing touchdowns every
49:32
week? Yeah, I'm not as excited
49:34
saying per quorum and it's chasing touchdowns and even
49:36
Allen's there too So no he's not
49:38
a guy. I'm like super excited to draft as far
49:40
as a overall upside
49:43
But at the same time James Cook could stay
49:45
healthy and Davis could score double-digit touchdowns as a
49:47
rookie So I'm fine. I'm fine with drafting him
49:49
as well But um, he doesn't quite has me
49:51
as excited some other some other rookie backs even
49:54
um, you know, even a Kamani
49:57
in LA and maybe
49:59
even bucky Irving Tampa Bay guys are a little bit
50:01
more excited about You
50:03
know, Audrey guesstimate in Denver. I'm not excited
50:05
about Denver, but that's gonna be a messy
50:07
committee But could he not bump some a
50:09
JP ran off the roster? Possible.
50:12
All right. What was that number nine? Let's move to number ten And
50:15
we haven't gotten into Isaac Grian do or
50:17
Cody Schrader in the Bay But we'll probably
50:19
run out of time to get there now
50:21
It's similar similar to your buff, you know,
50:23
you kind of regretting your James Cook pick
50:25
and the aforementioned Mock
50:27
I regretting Josh Jacobs there. I took
50:29
him there I said, I think Green
50:31
Bay is an important backfield question to
50:33
answer here in the you know It
50:36
fantasy drafts this year because on one
50:38
hand Josh Jacobs was Ezekiel Elliott last
50:40
year, you know He's almost lasting yards
50:42
to carry missed tackles yards after contact
50:45
the comparisons right there But
50:47
but then on the other hand, you know,
50:49
he what he was holding out there So like
50:52
you got to give him some some some
50:54
slack for that He is dealing with a
50:56
quad injury. He led the NFL with average number
50:58
of defenders in the box against seven point
51:00
two And now he's
51:02
joining this amazing system in Green Bay
51:04
presumably signed to be a workhorse And
51:08
then Marshawn Lloyd is drafted and you look at
51:10
the last four years in Green Bay to snap
51:12
share in backfields like 50 5050
51:18
5849 5843 AJ Dylan is still seeing snap shares
51:20
and he's not any good. So And
51:22
then and then on the other flip side Marshawn
51:24
Lloyd has committed 11 fumbles over 291
51:27
career touches in college questions and
51:30
pass protection flawed prospect But
51:32
he also has intriguing potential with this tackle
51:34
breaking ability So I don't know what are
51:36
we doing here with Josh Jacobs? Cuz if
51:38
he's the feature back in Green Bay with
51:40
that youngest offense in football would love you
51:42
know He has top five upside But I'm
51:44
looking at these these backfield splits
51:46
in Green Bay with the drafting of
51:48
Lloyd and I moved Jacobs behind Pacheco Behind
51:51
Joe mixin that that's kind of where
51:53
I'm at Yeah, I'm
51:55
with you that I thought I was gonna have conviction
51:58
on Josh Jacobs as a guy I
52:00
wanted to target just based on
52:02
what you said. Potential feature back
52:04
in Green Bay, an offense that I think is
52:07
ascending. I love Matt Flores, the
52:09
coordinator, or play caller, he's the head coach.
52:12
I love just the way this offense sets up
52:14
with Jordan Love. Like I said, on the rocket
52:16
ship, man, I think that they signed Josh Jacobs
52:18
because they want to be, he
52:20
was gonna give them more ability to
52:22
run multiple run schemes, a lot more gap
52:25
stuff, which is what this tree
52:27
of coaches are kind of moving towards now.
52:29
We've seen the 49ers move that way. The
52:31
Rams obviously pivoted hard in that direction. I
52:34
think the Packers want to have a tougher, more physical
52:36
run game than necessarily, I mean, Aaron Jones, great player,
52:38
but maybe that was kind of the logic of
52:41
choosing Josh Jacobs over Aaron Jones. And then they
52:43
draft Marshawn Lloyd, and now I have like the
52:45
devil on my other shoulder scene, like Green
52:48
Bay always splits the backfield, Matt LeFoure always wants
52:50
two guys, that whole thing. So now I'm totally out
52:52
of whack here with Josh Jacobs, where, and
52:54
also, you know, what your first point there is
52:57
important to bring up. Josh Jacobs was not good
52:59
last year. And like he's not
53:01
been an efficient back for most of
53:03
his season, or most of his season. I know Andy always
53:05
was quick to kind of write that off and be like,
53:08
you look at tackle breaking metrics, Josh Jacobs is a
53:10
good player, but just from an overall
53:12
efficiency standpoint, that's concerning. But
53:15
at the same time, it's the Raiders. And again,
53:17
you can see, I'm talking to myself in multiple
53:19
different directions here. Exactly, yeah.
53:21
I could see by week five, anybody
53:24
that hardcore fades Josh Jacobs just looks
53:26
like an idiot. But I could
53:28
see by week 17, we look back at
53:30
this back then, like, yeah, it's kind of split. And like, I
53:33
guess they're gonna move on from Josh Jacobs. But I will
53:35
say last kind of just point on this. And I know
53:37
I just talked in a thousand different directions and probably offered
53:39
nothing to the podcast, which is great since I host the
53:41
show. Marshawn Lloyd is a
53:43
little bit of like a mercurial player, where I
53:45
like Marshawn Lloyd's rushing style, but he's
53:48
a little bit wild. He fumbles a lot. Like
53:50
he could end up just not earning a role
53:52
on this team. So maybe Dalton, where I'm saying
53:54
I don't have clarity now, maybe
53:56
by like reading reports in the summer of
53:58
like Marshawn Lloyd's progress. We're able to sort
54:01
of kind of pinpoint how we're supposed to feel about Josh Jacobs
54:03
Yeah It's just a situation in Green Bay to really
54:06
pay attention to because on one hand a ton of
54:08
upside for for Jacobs I mean Lloyd again 11 fumbles
54:10
in 291 career Touches
54:13
and this offense could be top five in football
54:15
on the other. It's just basically a one-year deal
54:17
and Jacobs is like
54:19
feel like it is weighted opportunities versus
54:21
expected expected fantasy points like he historically
54:23
Underperformed it last year and people don't
54:25
typically bounce back from that So I
54:28
there's there's totally I could see you
54:30
could see two sides here. So pay attention to Green
54:32
Bay's backfield All right Harmon.
54:34
I'm using JJ McCarthy as an excuse to
54:36
talk about Justin Jefferson Not only is he
54:38
back in the wide receiver one conversation? I'm
54:40
probably gonna rank Tyree Killin and CD lamb
54:42
over him But what I can't get behind
54:44
is even though it's literally the opposite what
54:46
I was saying last year is I'm
54:49
taking Jefferson over chase this
54:51
year and it looks like ECR chases
54:53
three Jefferson's for Vikings
54:56
play indoors Kevin O'Connell this offense
54:58
had Nick Mullins getting nine point
55:00
eight YPA last year Sam Darnold
55:02
has problems if it's Darnold starting but those
55:05
are like turnovers not an arm strength or
55:07
the ability to get you know a targeted
55:09
guys So I think McCarthy is good enough
55:11
and then playing indoors on a team of
55:13
that really high pass rate assuming they Maintains,
55:15
maybe it will be lesser than with cousins.
55:18
But Jefferson's the best
55:20
receiver in the league. I believe you
55:22
would argue Hawkinson returning from ACL surgery
55:24
and meanwhile love Jamar chase and he
55:26
obviously has the upside to finishes the
55:28
wide receiver one But dude your
55:30
Joe burrow talking about there are still good
55:32
days and bad with this wrist injury Which
55:35
apparently has he's the first quarterback to
55:37
ever suffer this injury What
55:40
if T Higgins stays healthy all night? He's
55:42
back and what if he's like he's the
55:44
competition for targets They've drafted a third round
55:46
wide receiver there. So outdoors with Burroughs injury
55:48
history I don't see why he's why chase
55:50
is getting drafted over Jefferson that may not seem like
55:52
a minor take but that's you know, a huge decision
55:54
you're making in the first round Yeah,
55:56
you're pushing me on this because coming out of
55:58
the draft. I just had with Jamar Chase locked
56:00
in ahead of
56:03
Justin Jefferson. And I think I'm actually kind of
56:05
coming more towards your side here where like
56:08
there is a season and
56:10
it could be this season. It could be any season
56:12
of Jamar Chase's career where he's gonna have that like
56:14
true face melter of a season where he could be
56:17
the wide receiver one overall. I think that is, I
56:19
think this could be that season. But
56:21
it's also probably more likely that it's the first season without
56:23
T Higgins, which I think is gonna be 2025. I
56:27
will say that the thing that's really
56:29
got me stuck on Jamar Chase is the, and
56:32
actually now that I'm starting to make
56:34
these points again, maybe I'm still gonna
56:37
rank Chase over Justin Jefferson, where like
56:39
I think he's gonna play so much from the
56:41
slot, Jamar Chase this year. And he's gonna get
56:43
all those like easy match ups that CD Lamb
56:45
gets playing inside. And like Justin Jefferson,
56:50
it's so funny to think about the discourse a couple of years
56:52
ago when Kevin O'Connell got hired, we're like, he's gonna play the
56:54
Cooper Cupp role. He's not playing the Cooper
56:56
Cupp role because he's an ex-receiver. And like they don't
56:58
have another ex-receiver on that team. So you know who
57:00
plays that role? Frickin' Justin Jefferson because he's the only
57:03
one who can do it. And that's still the case
57:05
even with Jordan Addison on the team. Jordan
57:07
Addison, you can't play in that role because
57:09
he can't deal with press coverage in that
57:11
way. So they've never been able to give
57:13
him those like slot layup type targets. Maybe
57:15
they will just to simplify things for JJ
57:17
McCarthy this year. But like I think Chase's
57:20
work in terms of those layup routes is gonna
57:22
spike up. So overall I'm
57:24
with you. I still
57:26
have from an overall rankings perspective,
57:29
you have it, McCaffrey, Breece Hall, love you
57:31
for that. C.D. Lamb, Tyree
57:34
Kill, Justin Jefferson, Jamar Chase. I
57:37
have it, McCaffrey, Lamb,
57:39
Chase, Hill, Jefferson. So
57:43
we're both wide receivers. He's both fifth
57:45
overall player off our board. So we're really not
57:47
too dissimilar here. And I'm with you on a
57:49
lot of what you said about Justin Jefferson. I
57:51
think, again, simplify the picture for JJ McCarthy. He's
57:54
gonna throw the ball to Justin Jefferson 30% of
57:56
the time this year. And I think it's a
57:58
problem for Addison. I think it's
58:00
a problem for Hockison when he comes back that
58:02
they have a rookie quarterback sort of limiting the
58:04
ceiling of the offense. But for Jefferson specifically, I
58:07
actually don't think it's that big of a deal,
58:09
but I am very sold that Jamar Chase kind
58:11
of could have that special season this year or
58:13
at any time the borough thing, you're right that
58:15
does give me a little concern. I
58:18
hope it's nothing in borough states healthy and Chase gets fed
58:20
in the slot, that'd be sick. Yeah, he could just put
58:22
up monster numbers. And I picked the Bengals when they have
58:24
C last year. I hope they do stay healthy and they
58:26
are bringing them all back for one more, except for Mixon.
58:30
Breece Hall, I'm tempted to move to my
58:32
number one. I might by the end of
58:34
August. And here's my other hot take to
58:36
end it on here, Harmon. I
58:38
decided to pass and I took Lamar Jackson
58:40
in our mock draft and I did
58:42
another one for, or maybe that was helping
58:45
out P&L in the magazine league.
58:47
But either way, when it comes to
58:50
it, honestly, Harmon, I'm gonna use
58:52
A.D. Mitchell as an excuse to talk about Anthony
58:54
Richardson. I mean, why? I
58:56
just, I'm gonna have, I'm gonna have Eric Richardson as
58:59
my number one fantasy quarterback. I know I am
59:01
from August. I'm just gonna have him ranked that
59:03
because, dude, listen, the
59:05
situation he's in with Steichen,
59:07
they have the Downs, Pittman,
59:09
now Mitchell, indoors. Richardson's
59:12
fantasy points per dropback was the best
59:14
by any quarterback over the past three
59:16
seasons as a rookie last year. Better
59:18
than the career years of
59:21
Hertz and Allen, who by the way,
59:23
have major questions. We're excited to draft
59:25
Allen three rounds
59:27
before Richardson and without digs.
59:29
Hertz was the QB 16 without
59:31
the Tush push and there's no Jason
59:33
Kelsey now. I mean, there's only fear
59:36
Harmon is stopping us from drafting
59:38
or ranking Richardson as the top fantasy quarterback.
59:40
Yes, the guy might've suffered an injury every
59:42
time he stepped on the field last year,
59:44
but they were fluky, dude's built like a
59:46
tank. He's a beast, gonna score so many
59:48
touchdowns, so many fantasy points for your fantasy
59:50
team, you're gonna be tired of it. So
59:52
yeah, I think I honestly am going to,
59:56
I just won't be able to sleep at night if
59:58
I don't rank Anthony Richardson as my, QB1
1:00:00
which I'm I'm I'm wanting to heat
1:00:02
check Harmon how crazy is it yeah
1:00:04
and QB1 is so
1:00:06
crazy like this is I'm
1:00:09
not staying healthy he stays on he's a
1:00:12
favorite to be the QB1 it's not that
1:00:14
crazy you're just I'm
1:00:16
scared yes you said fear is the
1:00:18
only thing that's stopping you and yes
1:00:20
I am I am afraid I am
1:00:23
afraid to do it fair
1:00:27
enough you can say that about the
1:00:29
garden you go ahead and say go ahead and say
1:00:31
go ahead and look me through the look through the
1:00:33
camera and call me a coward that's fine because
1:00:36
the crazy thing about this Dalton is
1:00:39
that like I you're
1:00:41
you are the third person who's come
1:00:43
on the podcast Scott Andy and then you
1:00:45
and we're somehow talking about Anthony Richardson hype
1:00:47
and in classic Dalton fashion he's like oh
1:00:50
yeah you guys you have him at
1:00:52
QB6 great QB1
1:00:56
by the end of draft season you're already hired just in
1:00:59
terms of rankings right now you got him at four
1:01:01
so yeah you're not gonna be able to freakin
1:01:03
sleep at night until you get him to one
1:01:05
you're you're a lunatic I love you for being
1:01:07
a lunatic but you are a lunatic about this
1:01:09
one in particular but
1:01:11
it is this is the thing that kills
1:01:13
me Dalton about about having to push back
1:01:15
on you about this because I recognize that
1:01:17
it is possible I recognize that that is
1:01:20
within the range of outcomes for Anthony Richardson
1:01:22
I get it guy I
1:01:24
think he could play I think he showed super
1:01:27
promising signs like F
1:01:29
fantasy football for a second okay
1:01:31
like he just showed promising signs
1:01:33
as an NFL quarterback as an
1:01:36
NFL processor and like trigger
1:01:38
guy behind center okay like field general whatever
1:01:40
you want to say like processing plays getting
1:01:42
the ball out accurately way more
1:01:44
than people thought like people thought he was gonna be
1:01:46
a project coming in the NFL guy started day one
1:01:48
and like again very
1:01:50
brief glimpses I get it but
1:01:53
looked like he wasn't thinking out there he was swimming
1:01:55
he was doing more than treading water out
1:01:57
there the supporting cast is awesome
1:02:00
the line outkicked expectations last year. Michael Pittman's a
1:02:02
dude. Josh Downs is a dude. A.D. Mitchell, I
1:02:04
think is going to be a dude. The tight
1:02:06
end room is pretty solid and Jonathan Taylor can
1:02:08
run the ball. Like it's a
1:02:10
great situation. I understand all
1:02:12
that, but I am just, yeah,
1:02:15
I'm terrified. Dalton, I said on the last
1:02:17
show that Anthony Richardson is either going to
1:02:19
be like the story of fantasy football in
1:02:21
2024 because he's going to be the QB
1:02:23
one that just like you took a QB
1:02:25
six in sharp drafts and in like
1:02:27
your home league drafts. You're going to take him
1:02:30
in the 12th round of P.R. Anthony Richardson and
1:02:32
he's going to, he's going to be the QB
1:02:34
one, the highest one playing in the damn sport.
1:02:36
I get it, but I'm afraid of the other
1:02:38
end of the range of outcomes here where he is
1:02:41
like the guy that trolls on
1:02:43
the internet and I get it, like screw the
1:02:45
trolls, whatever, but like trolls on the internet. Like,
1:02:48
yeah, remember Anthony Richardson, LOL. Can't, he can't even
1:02:50
pass. He should be a running back. How about
1:02:52
he moves the tight end? Like that type of
1:02:54
bullsh**t, all that is within the range of outcomes.
1:02:56
So yes, I am a coward for,
1:02:58
for, for the other range about like
1:03:00
being afraid of that second one, but
1:03:02
you, I mean, Dalton, Dalton, QB one,
1:03:04
Anthony Richardson, unbelievable stuff. I
1:03:06
mean, you really like these guys, Pittman and Downs
1:03:09
here. Richardson, avoid
1:03:11
sacks. It can't be underrated. How
1:03:13
good Steichen is for these QBs. The last
1:03:15
two games AR 8.0 YPA, 8.2 YPA. Again,
1:03:19
dating back to college of, you know, avoid sacks
1:03:21
for pressure rate. He, I don't know. We'll see
1:03:23
the upside through the roof. In the first round
1:03:26
of a super flex league, I'll be drafting them
1:03:28
if we're in leagues together in the first round.
1:03:30
And man, if you're in your, your standard leagues
1:03:32
fifth, sixth round, this is your cheat code for
1:03:34
the year if he's fallen there, man, you
1:03:36
can, if Alan and Hertz are going round two
1:03:39
and three and you're getting a, you know,
1:03:41
a superior version two or three rounds later, let's
1:03:43
go. Yeah. I mean, the fantasy
1:03:45
points per dropback is like an inarguable thing.
1:03:47
That was there. Yeah. It's the best predictor
1:03:49
by the way, a future success too. So
1:03:51
it's, it's yeah, I mean, we'll, we'll, we'll
1:03:54
see. Stay healthy. Probably dude's going to get hurt
1:03:56
before the, before we, we, you know, this podcast
1:03:58
is released, but now He's
1:04:01
strong, he's built, those were some fluky injuries.
1:04:03
He's not gonna stop running. He's looking all
1:04:05
encouraging with his recovery now. So yeah, maybe
1:04:07
it's a little bit risky given the health,
1:04:10
but I'm here to take it, man. I think
1:04:12
they will be smarter, and he will be smarter
1:04:15
about how he runs in the future than what
1:04:17
we saw last year. So just so he doesn't
1:04:19
end up taking some of those hits. And
1:04:22
yeah, again, to full
1:04:24
circle, close the loop here, back to
1:04:26
the Jayden Daniels point at number one,
1:04:28
it is not revelatory for fantasy analysts
1:04:30
to say anymore, like Russian quarterback is
1:04:32
the cheat code. Okay, like that
1:04:35
is just obvious. That is obvious
1:04:37
with Jayden Daniels. It was obvious with Anthony
1:04:39
Richardson last year, and we saw it on
1:04:41
the field. The difference is for
1:04:43
all those questions of the circumstances that
1:04:46
I talked about with Washington, I don't
1:04:48
have those questions with
1:04:50
the Colts. I love the
1:04:52
play caller. I love the supporting cast. Like,
1:04:55
yeah, dude, Michael Pittman is awesome. Michael
1:04:57
Pittman is just a rock
1:04:59
solid starting receiver. Josh Downs
1:05:02
was always open last year. He's gonna just
1:05:04
crush people in the slot. And the fact
1:05:06
that they're gonna take Aidy Mitchell, who I
1:05:08
saw today as we're recording
1:05:10
this, his jersey number is
1:05:12
10 for the 10 receivers that
1:05:14
were drafted ahead of him. So he's fully leaning
1:05:17
into that whole thing. It just
1:05:19
reminds me so much of DK Metcalf in 2019.
1:05:22
I will never forget talking to DK Metcalf
1:05:24
for the 2019 draft, sitting
1:05:26
down with him in Nashville and having a great
1:05:28
conversation. And just then thinking a couple
1:05:30
days later where he fell to the end of the
1:05:33
second round, Aidy didn't quite fall that far, but that
1:05:35
was not a guy in DK Metcalf that thought he
1:05:38
was falling to the second round. And I think he
1:05:40
fell to the second round for some stupid reasons. And
1:05:42
I think Aidy Mitchell probably fell in
1:05:44
the second round for probably some stupid reasons,
1:05:47
because the film is really good. The
1:05:49
film is awesome. And the fact that he's just gonna
1:05:51
get dropped into that vertical X receiver role, whatever
1:05:55
any sort of caution I wanted to have
1:05:57
with Anthony Richardson in this Colts offense. I'm
1:06:00
completely like it's I'm grasping at straws now
1:06:02
for that confidence because we're taking out Alec
1:06:04
Pearson putting in ad Mitchell. It's such a
1:06:06
big upgrade. So yes Dalton. I am all
1:06:08
the way in on Anthony Richardson. You are
1:06:11
just like you
1:06:13
have gone beyond even all in at this point if you're
1:06:15
going to end up having a QB one. I'm
1:06:17
Jonathan Taylor that offensive line this offense
1:06:19
is going to be sick. Final thought
1:06:22
on Richardson he totaled 20 carries and
1:06:24
13 designed carries in his two
1:06:26
full games last year. I mean that's a pace for 170
1:06:28
carries 111 designed carries which would have tied
1:06:32
Jalen Hurts for the most of
1:06:35
the position. Yeah give me AR
1:06:38
all day. It's the
1:06:40
summer of Anthony Richardson. If this the
1:06:42
last three pods here leading into my vacation
1:06:44
have been any indication the fact that he
1:06:46
has come up on three straight shows and
1:06:49
it's only gotten the
1:06:52
excitement has only gotten ticked up. It's going to
1:06:54
be the summer of Anthony Richardson and like I
1:06:57
said there's just no way that could possibly end
1:06:59
poorly for us. But Dalton this was
1:07:01
awful. At least I waited till the end to
1:07:03
go to go about him and we made it
1:07:05
through the pod without Xavier Worthy was interesting but
1:07:07
Ricky Pearsall Slick Rick how did I I
1:07:10
failed him how we didn't get to talk about him
1:07:12
but love the fact that you love that his route
1:07:14
running and ability to beat man coverage as a Niner
1:07:17
fan we're all in on Slick Rick but that's more
1:07:19
dynasty and we got to wait for 2025 once
1:07:21
D-Bose probably moved. I have
1:07:24
a feeling that at some point
1:07:26
down the line whether it's this year or next year
1:07:28
Dalton and I are going to be doing like a
1:07:30
30 minute Ricky Pearsall segment. So yeah
1:07:32
we will be on that. Yeah
1:07:34
you have been warned with
1:07:36
that. That is going to
1:07:38
do it Dalton this episode I was excited
1:07:40
for it. You delivered especially
1:07:43
there at the end man. I mean I
1:07:46
am now so gassed up about the
1:07:48
Anthony Richardson thing. This has made my day so I
1:07:50
appreciate you for doing it. Appreciate you
1:07:52
Harmon as always man. Good talking ball with you. All
1:07:55
right everybody like I said that's going to
1:07:57
do it for this show. No promises but I think
1:07:59
one of some combination of the
1:08:01
other knuckleheads here at Yahoo Fantasy is gonna
1:08:03
do a little guest hosting episode later in
1:08:06
the week while I'm on vacation. A little
1:08:08
schedule release breakdown potentially. So be nice. Have
1:08:10
fun in your honeymoon. Have fun in your
1:08:12
honeymoon. Sorry. Yeah man, have a great time.
1:08:16
I'm looking forward to it. I am looking forward to
1:08:18
like literally how can I turn off all the notifications
1:08:21
on this phone here and spending
1:08:23
some some good quality time with my wife away
1:08:25
from the NFL. That's for
1:08:27
sure. So again, in my absence, listen
1:08:30
to the next show. Be nice.
1:08:32
I'll catch you all
1:08:35
when I'm back. Until then, we're out.
1:08:49
One, two, three, four.
1:08:52
Those are numbers. But you already
1:08:54
knew that. If you want to know
1:08:56
what number you're gonna pay each month for
1:08:58
your car, use Kelley Blue Book My Wallet
1:09:00
on AutoTrader. They're really good at numbers. AutoTrader.
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