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12 rookie fantasy ranking hot takes heat checked by Matt Harmon

12 rookie fantasy ranking hot takes heat checked by Matt Harmon

Released Tuesday, 14th May 2024
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12 rookie fantasy ranking hot takes heat checked by Matt Harmon

12 rookie fantasy ranking hot takes heat checked by Matt Harmon

12 rookie fantasy ranking hot takes heat checked by Matt Harmon

12 rookie fantasy ranking hot takes heat checked by Matt Harmon

Tuesday, 14th May 2024
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Episode Transcript

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0:00

absolute banger of an episode coming your way today. Dalton

0:02

Del Don joins the show to deliver 12 spicy

0:05

post draft takes. I'm going to heat

0:07

check Dalton on some of his post

0:10

draft ranking of these rookies and veterans that

0:12

were impacted. James Cook, is he really a

0:15

good pick where he's going in the draft?

0:17

Anthony Richardson, how high is too high? I

0:19

mean, this one is going to melt your

0:21

face off. I don't even want to hide

0:23

it. Uh, that one's going to be crazy.

0:25

And Jonathan Brooks, is he somebody

0:27

to consider over several established veteran running

0:29

backs? All that and more. I

0:31

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acura.com. It's

1:12

Tuesday, May 14th. I'm Matt Harmon. Welcome to

1:14

the Yahoo fantasy football show. It is a

1:17

hell of a day to talk ball and join

1:19

me to do just that. Very excited about it

1:22

is the one and only Dalton

1:24

Del Don Dalton. It's been a minute. What's going on,

1:26

buddy? Not much. Harmon, it's been

1:28

far too long since we talked ball. So I have

1:30

a few takes and I need you to, you know,

1:32

tell me if I need to dial the heat back

1:34

on, on some of these rankings, but yeah, I'm excited

1:36

to talk some rookies and man, it it's been way

1:38

too long since we, we potted. Absolutely.

1:41

Way too long. Uh, as we both

1:43

said, look, here's the premise for this

1:45

show. Let's do a little bit of

1:47

table setting here. For one, if something

1:50

weird happens in the NFL, Dak

1:53

Prescott like got traded or signed a contract and send

1:55

you with the Dallas Cowboys. I'm not sure which would

1:57

be weirder at this point because that saga is so.

2:00

weird or you know, Brandon

2:02

Ayuk is playing for a different team. Brock

2:04

Purdy has decided to retire

2:07

from the NFL and go on a spiritual

2:09

quest across East

2:11

Asia or something. And we don't

2:14

mention it on the pod. There's a good reason

2:16

for that because I am on vacation right

2:18

now. I am not actually working.

2:20

We pre-taped this show a few days ahead.

2:22

So listen, give me a break. I

2:25

need a vacation. I

2:28

need a vacation very, very badly. So that is

2:30

one bit of table setting here. So with that

2:32

in mind, we did want to pre-tape something for

2:34

you guys. So you had a show in the

2:36

podcast feed, you had something on

2:39

YouTube. And honestly, Dalton,

2:41

we came up with the idea for this

2:43

show just within

2:45

like a two second conversation where

2:47

you just say, hey, I've got

2:49

takes, potentially some hot takes about

2:52

the NFL draft. Because I had told our boss,

2:54

our fearless leader, Jason Kobaka that I'm kind of

2:56

drafted out. I'm kind of done talking about the

2:58

draft. I didn't want to do like, sure

3:01

as hell didn't want another, write another draft piece.

3:03

That's for damn sure. And two, I was like,

3:05

another draft pod. I'm not sure. But then Dalton

3:07

says, Oh, no, I've got takes

3:10

on the draft. And it had been way

3:12

too long since we had podcasted. And all

3:14

of a sudden, buddy, because I you know

3:16

that I love when you get going, my

3:18

juices are flowing again. So with that, we've

3:20

got 12 draft hot takes

3:22

from the man, the myth, the legend Dalton del Don.

3:24

And that's what we're gonna do on the show, buddy,

3:26

you're gonna just throw me takes, I have no idea

3:28

what you're gonna say. And this is basically gonna serve

3:31

as a heat check for you. Absolutely.

3:33

First of all, I'm not trying to make these

3:35

takes hot, per se, these are my

3:37

natural rankings. But if you if you think

3:39

they're a little hot, then that's okay, too.

3:42

But I need a heat check on some

3:44

of these. The first I'll start with is

3:46

Jaden Daniels, have him ranked as my QB

3:48

12. Right now

3:50

his ECRs expert consensus rank is the QB

3:53

18. I

3:55

got two sides to this story here. Okay. There

3:58

are similar red flags as Zach Wilson to

4:00

Jaden Daniels. He won't turn, he'll

4:02

turn 24 years old this season.

4:04

Didn't break out until his sixth college year

4:06

when he had two wide receivers who were drafted

4:08

in the top 25 of the draft. Really

4:11

bad pressure at a sack rate. He's

4:13

six foot four, 200 pounds and

4:15

his best comp is Johnny Knoxville.

4:19

Honestly, there's a, there's a really good chance

4:21

that they regret passing on

4:23

Drake May here. However, this is a

4:25

fantasy show. Daniels is the best scrambler

4:27

ever to enter the league. Average more

4:29

than 60 rushing yards, 34 touchdowns in

4:32

college. You look at the NCAA

4:34

leaders by fantasy points per dropback in

4:37

power five schools. Jalen Hertz

4:39

had the best season ever in

4:41

2019. Daniels number two last year.

4:43

Compare Daniels is last year fantasy

4:45

points per dropback with Caleb Williams'

4:47

best year. Williams got 0.8,

4:52

0.81. Daniels 1.20. I mean, it's

4:54

a different class here. The history of nine

4:56

quarterbacks have ran for a hundred yards in

4:58

their first two years in the league. Eight

5:00

of them have averaged more than 18 fantasy

5:02

points per game. I mean, it's just the

5:04

cheat code. I don't know how Cliff Kingsbury

5:06

is going to do his OC. He'll

5:09

have Terry McCloren, the running man.

5:11

It both increases his floor and his ceiling. I

5:13

don't think it's wild to have him as the

5:15

QB 13. I have him over

5:17

Jordan Love. Now maybe that's the hot take, but

5:19

really are we drafting Matthew Stafford

5:21

at his age, Kirk Cousins 36

5:23

years old, come off Achilles new

5:26

team, Tua, Goff, Rogers, Herbert. I

5:28

mean, that's not a hot take. I'm

5:30

sorry. Daniels is the QB 12. Where

5:32

did you say he was in extra consensus ranks?

5:34

18 right now. I mean, that's

5:37

just, that's, that's just, that's, this isn't even, I opened

5:39

up with not even a hot take here, but I

5:41

mean, that's, this is going to move, move there. I

5:43

mean, Jayden Daniels is going to be drafted as a

5:45

top 12 guy. I feel like in August. Well,

5:48

in, in early best ball drafts, ADP

5:50

of QB 18, according to fantasy pros

5:52

consent data, which listen, I,

5:54

and I'm, I'm with you a hundred percent,

5:57

like anybody that knows Dalton is, and I

5:59

kind of. almost like I should I should

6:01

say this for maybe new listeners to the podcast

6:03

like Dalton is not you know damn Stephen

6:06

A. Smith or something like that he's not just

6:08

making hot takes for hot takes he's not skip

6:10

Bayless but he is an aggressive rancor and an

6:12

aggressive drafter as Andy Behrens likes

6:14

to make fun of you for like he did on

6:16

the previous episode but they

6:18

always come with well-reasoned thoughts and like

6:20

should push you to consider your priors

6:22

number one and number two like you

6:24

get good results you you are a

6:26

good rancor objectively on

6:28

a weekly basis on draft ranking basis it's just the

6:30

reality of the situation buddy so like I will pump

6:32

you up and say that that you come here with

6:34

some of these hot takes and they

6:36

actually they sound aggressive and then they end

6:39

up working out and this one with

6:41

Jayden Daniels is gonna work out for you like

6:43

this is this one I'm totally on board with

6:45

you just from the rushing perspective

6:47

and it is kind of funny that you

6:50

know some fantasy analysts are gonna come out here

6:52

over the summer like Jayden Daniels is a QB

6:54

one and like it's not an aggressive take it's

6:56

not a hot take really it's it's honestly kind

6:58

of like it should be obvious at this point

7:00

just because of that rushing boost

7:02

that you mentioned this tweet

7:04

from Ian Harditz that I included in

7:06

my rookie quarterback write-up in terms of

7:08

how they're gonna impact their offenses per

7:11

game fantasy football ranks of quarterbacks with 125 plus

7:14

carries in a season in NFL history minimum

7:16

of eight games one one

7:18

one two two three

7:20

three four four five five

7:22

six seven eight twelve seventeen

7:24

which was 2020 Cam Newton

7:27

you know Patriots COVID Cam Newton so yeah if

7:29

you're gonna run the ball 125 plus

7:32

times you're gonna be a dynamic fantasy quarterback

7:34

Daniels ran the ball 135 times last year

7:36

8.4 yards per clip he's probably not gonna

7:38

do that in the NFL and I do

7:40

wonder about like the injury risk just

7:43

because it is playing style but yeah overall

7:45

I'm with you that Daniels is going

7:47

to be I'm interested

7:49

to see where he ends up being drafted just because

7:51

there are a lot of decent quarterback options this year

7:53

I don't know that he's gonna go full sophomore

7:56

season Lamar Jackson and be drafted

7:59

as a and become one of

8:01

the top scorers of the position. But the

8:03

floor from a rushing perspective is absolutely there.

8:06

Yeah, the key is can he stay healthy at

8:08

his size and the recklessness of the way he

8:10

plays. But also maybe I'm wrong about the passing

8:13

and the late breakout. I mean, he was really

8:15

good this last year and maybe he's even, there's

8:17

upside there too. So I think it's fair that

8:19

he's gonna settle in as at least the top

8:22

15 guy come August. You know, the more aggressive

8:24

drafters will treat him as the top 12. My

8:27

next take is- Well, let me just finish up

8:29

on this one here because my

8:31

question to you is gonna be how

8:33

do you regard that situation in Washington?

8:35

Because I think I can go back

8:37

and forth on it, right? Because again,

8:40

I could go back and forth on

8:42

I could talk myself in multiple different directions

8:44

which I can kind of do with Jayden

8:46

Daniels as a player. But I overall think

8:48

like he's gonna be a good quarterback in

8:50

the NFL. I think it's just the long-term

8:52

ceiling. The second contract question, stuff like that.

8:55

Did Washington make a mistake passing up on Drake May as

8:57

you mentioned, maybe that's what it ends up looking like. But

9:00

just in terms of the situation in Washington to drop a

9:02

rookie quarterback in, how do you kind of regard that? Well,

9:05

for fantasy terms, we love scary Terry.

9:07

He's an alpha, poor guy, just continuously

9:09

gets shaky quarterback play though. But

9:12

outside of that, I think we realized that Datsun, we

9:14

all overrated. I mean, McCaffrey, Sanat, I don't know how

9:16

to pronounce that rookie's tight end name, help me there.

9:19

Outplaying outdoors, Cliff Kingsbury offensive line. I mean,

9:22

it's not the greatest setup there for a

9:24

fantasy term for him to land in, but

9:26

at least Daniels will get a shot. For real life

9:29

football, I think, I don't know. I'm

9:31

not a college ball guy, but man, if I

9:33

just look at the resumes objectively, it seemed

9:35

to me they made a mistake here passing on

9:37

Drake May, but it's, May is gonna have a

9:40

tougher time proving them wrong in the New England

9:42

setup there. But you look at Washington, you look

9:44

at New England, these are how teams that are

9:46

supposed to look like when you get drafted high,

9:48

unlike Caleb Williams, who happened to be the top

9:50

pick and also gets these awesome receivers to throw

9:52

too. That's why I actually do have him ranked

9:54

once, Caleb ranked one spot ahead of Daniels in

9:56

fantasy, despite the rough rushing differences.

9:58

I think, you know. Caleb A, the

10:00

talent and B, just the setup pushes him

10:03

slightly above Daniels for me on my fantasy

10:05

board. I think that makes

10:07

all the sense in the world. With Washington specifically, Cliff

10:10

Kingsbury, I think he designs a good run game.

10:12

I don't love the pass game design. I'm kind

10:14

of mixed on him as an offensive coordinator. The

10:17

offensive line is a huge problem and

10:20

I think that could end up being

10:22

a debilitating thing for this offense. That

10:24

certainly has me concerned. And

10:27

then the skill position talent, yeah, I love Terry McLauren.

10:29

I still have a lot of hope for Jehan Dutton

10:31

being a quality NFL starting receiver. I don't know if

10:33

he's going to be a fantasy superstar, but quality

10:36

NFL starting receiver. But

10:39

that's it though. Then after that, I think it's kind

10:41

of a mixed bag. And then the running back committee

10:43

could be good, but how good are they going to

10:45

be with Jaden Daniels sort of siphoning some work from

10:47

them as well? So I think it's going to be

10:49

a weird offense for fantasy, but I think for Jaden

10:51

Daniels, he's going to be fine. So all right, let's

10:53

get into your second take here. Okay,

10:55

I love the Michael Penix pick. Loved

10:58

it. Man, you loved it. Oh,

11:01

loved it. Yeah, don't get me wrong. I

11:03

was as surprised as you were when it

11:05

happened. But a couple of reasons here. A,

11:07

I like being contrarian and it's everyone's so

11:09

against it. And man, I'm sorry, but worst

11:12

decisions have been made and loading up on

11:14

the most important position in sports by far

11:17

behind, you know, a newcomer and Kirk Cousins who's 36

11:19

and coming off the torn Achilles.

11:21

And you look deeper into that deal. And Gretsch did

11:24

a good job of it. It's essentially 100% a

11:26

two year deal for Cousins. I

11:29

have no opinion about Penix the player.

11:31

You suffered four season ending injuries in

11:33

college four. He's older than Trey

11:35

Lance, but he has a great arm.

11:37

And I just respect getting your guy. He said, I'm

11:39

an aggressive drafter. Go for it, Falcons. I mean, you

11:41

like the quarterback there? Go for it. Yes,

11:44

he'd be 26 when he starts, but quarterback, you can play till 40.

11:47

So I get why the process could

11:49

be questioned and all that. But more

11:51

importantly, as a fantasy guy, Harmon Drake,

11:54

London and Kyle Pitts didn't get any competition

11:56

while the backup quarterback was upgraded. I mean,

11:58

this is awesome. for us.

12:01

I mean London scored six touchdowns

12:03

on 13 expected touchdowns over the

12:05

last two seasons, biggest gap among

12:07

all wide receivers. Cousins had 10

12:09

more catchable passes per game than

12:11

Desmond Ritter last season. Andy Barron's,

12:13

you hate to give the guy

12:16

credit, but he did a good

12:18

comparison last podcast with you with

12:20

the Drake London and Garrett Wilson. Like I know you're

12:22

gonna push back as I have

12:25

London ranked aggressively a little here even though you're

12:27

a London guy, but Wilson

12:29

were projecting drafting in the first round and that's

12:31

what I'm doing projecting drafting London in the second

12:33

round that he's gonna improve, but through two years

12:36

London yards per out run 2.0, Garrett Wilson 1.7,

12:38

targets per out run London

12:42

also higher 24.3 to 23.8. So love the Drake London,

12:44

he's my wide receiver 7,

12:50

but you're gonna give me a heat check on

12:52

that one for sure. I mean it's maybe

12:55

over AJ Brown's insane and that's crazy. You

12:57

have to wait in the first half, the

13:00

second half he really fell off and there's

13:02

more competition for targets and they increased, they

13:04

improved their offensive coordinator situation in Philly, but

13:06

Pukka Nakua, you know he had the same

13:09

target rated. I think him and Cup are

13:11

about even and you know

13:13

we got San Francisco guys, they're battling

13:15

each other. So yeah give me Drake

13:17

London indoors, cousins. Yeah I'm in there.

13:20

I'm not gonna come out and like talk

13:22

down Drake London. I'm just not, I'm not gonna

13:25

put myself in that corner. I'm starting to just

13:27

be like let's just be aware here

13:29

that there we could be drafting into

13:31

the ceiling, which you are definitely grafting

13:33

into the ceiling if you are taking him wide

13:35

receiver 7. Like I already think it's like pretty

13:37

aggressive that he's the 12th wide receiver off

13:40

the board in consensus 8 ADP in

13:42

terms of best ball drafts. Like that

13:44

is aggressive. You're even more aggressive bro,

13:46

but here's the thing that's interesting about

13:48

Drake London and specifically the Michael Penix

13:50

thing, which yeah from a selfish fantasy

13:53

football perspective, like I think

13:55

the offense would have been better if they had taken Roma

13:57

Dunes at 8. That would have been start

13:59

to... to be a real tight

14:03

target tree, a real big squeeze there for

14:05

a guy in Drake London who could, I

14:07

think is good enough to handle a 27% target share on

14:12

a good healthy passing offense, not like

14:14

an Arthur Smith low ball passing offense.

14:17

And the fact that he's now pretty much set

14:19

to do that is incredible. And

14:21

specifically with PENIX, if Kirk Cousins

14:24

suffers a setback, if Kirk Cousins

14:26

just has an injury where

14:28

he's gonna miss two or three games, four

14:31

games, I actually think that

14:33

Michael PENIX, I do question his

14:35

fit in like a, an

14:39

offense like this gonna work over

14:41

the middle of the field that's gonna do a lot of play

14:43

action, that's gonna go under center, cause that's pretty different from what

14:45

he did in college. But specifically you look

14:47

at like the routes that Drake London is very good

14:49

on. I mean, obviously it's some

14:51

of those over the middle routes, but like out routes, 88%

14:53

success rate in reception perception.

14:56

Corner routes, 63.2% success rate in reception perception.

15:00

Like he can win on

15:02

those out breaking vertical routes and Michael

15:04

PENIX is gonna throw those routes. So

15:06

if there is a, the reason you can talk

15:09

yourself into the PENIX pick if you're a Drake

15:11

London bag holder is actually pretty easy cause I

15:13

think stylistically they overlap pretty well. Yeah,

15:16

like to hear that. And man, I

15:18

know that you're being cautious and I

15:20

respect it and it's probably the right

15:22

route here, but you have to

15:25

help me out here and say reception perception

15:27

loves London, right? I mean, he's legit, you

15:29

see those highlights? I mean, he's head

15:31

topping guys last year and I just think he

15:33

can be a star and now

15:35

the actual opportunity will be there. But

15:38

maybe it is definitely projecting. I mean,

15:40

it is saying he's going to see

15:43

a lot more targets than he has, but I

15:45

think he's ready to live up to the hype.

15:48

Yeah, listen, I probably shouldn't even

15:50

be doing this cautious nonsense because

15:52

if he was one of

15:54

the, like I think he is truly

15:56

by the end of the season, I

15:58

think he will be talent wise, considered like a

16:00

top 12 receiver in the league. It's

16:02

just from a production standpoint, like will it get

16:05

there? That's a big ask. But I

16:07

mean, shoot, man, the ability is there. There's

16:09

no question about that. And I think the

16:11

fact that they've insulated the backup quarterback position

16:14

actually, again, it could be good news for

16:16

Drake London because the

16:18

way I think the Pennics pick happened is, I

16:20

think we forget how weird it is

16:23

when you hire a new coaching staff, what

16:26

like the Falcons did, when, I

16:28

think they got into the building and

16:30

you know, cause the GM's there, the owners there

16:33

previously, and they're already like set on we're signing

16:35

Kirk Cousins cause like, we're just not gonna be

16:37

embarrassing a quarterback again. Like that's happening. Coaching staff

16:39

gets on board with it. And

16:42

then this coaching staff starts watching the draft

16:44

prospects and they're like, oh my God, we

16:46

love this Michael Pennics guy. And

16:48

like, that's how the process goes. It's not

16:51

like Raheem Morris, who had a job with

16:53

another NFL team that was in the playoffs

16:55

in January, he's breaking down

16:57

fricking rookies at any

16:59

point until he absolutely has to be. And I

17:01

think at that point, that's when they fell in

17:03

love with Pennics. That's why he becomes an Atlanta

17:05

Falcon quarterback. And yeah, it's a weird pick. But

17:08

man, I mean, look, Pennics is good. It's

17:11

gonna be good for Drake London, which I think is great. So yeah,

17:13

I'm actually, I am gonna be like,

17:15

wow, wide receiver seven, that's so aggressive for Drake London.

17:17

But he is the guy that I want to draft

17:20

this year. I just hope I don't get it priced

17:22

out of doing it. What off season

17:24

and dynasty for him though, adding cousins and

17:26

Pennics and just no competition in the draft.

17:28

I mean, just perfect. Darnell, Mooney, Rondell, more

17:30

like these guys are not high quality target

17:32

earners. So all right, let's move on to

17:34

your third take here. All right,

17:36

wasn't sure how to couch this one,

17:38

but make Blake Corum a priority mid

17:40

round fantasy pick. I

17:43

have to preface something here. Far be it

17:45

from me to talk about a guy being

17:47

injury prone. Okay, Harmon, a month ago, I

17:50

threw my back out at a golf tournament on

17:52

the second swing of the day, very bad. So

17:55

I tell that story because two

17:57

weeks after that, I was already had a plan 40th. they

18:00

trip to do to golf in this beautiful course

18:02

in Half Moon Bay. So I still went on

18:04

the trip, but I only rode the course because

18:06

I was still dealing with this back problem. And

18:09

someone hit the ball in my toward my

18:11

cart and yelled for and like an idiot, instead

18:13

of ducking and covered, I jumped out of the cart,

18:16

nailed my ribs on the side of his

18:18

cart might have broken it or something. But

18:20

for the past month, I've been immobilized

18:23

with bad injuries, including

18:25

the second one, hurting myself while

18:27

riding along, not golfing, riding along

18:29

because I was injured with a

18:31

bad back. So again, far

18:33

be it for me to criticize

18:35

someone for being injury prone because

18:37

I'm not exactly a durable, durable myself.

18:40

That said, Karen Williams sustained a serious

18:42

high ankle sprain and that NFL debut.

18:44

Do you remember the kickoff return as

18:47

a rookie played through a hip

18:49

contusion last season before then

18:51

finally being placed on the IR mid

18:53

season with an ankle sprain suffered a

18:55

broken hand during their playoff loss that

18:58

would have also sidelined him for weeks.

19:00

You know, he's a fifth

19:02

rounder, not have hugely built. He's bad

19:04

as a receiver last year too, last

19:06

year too, among 46 running backs with

19:09

30 plus targets. He ranked

19:11

42nd in yards per target, last in

19:13

yards per outrun and the last in

19:15

PFS receiving grades among running backs.

19:17

He saw three total targets over his final three

19:19

games. Corum, meanwhile, is not

19:21

an elite athlete. He's really

19:23

bad for tackle numbers after suffering

19:26

this torn meniscus, but 47 touchdowns

19:29

final two years at Michigan. I

19:32

believe like all but one are from inside

19:34

the five. It's wild at minimum.

19:36

He's going to be a goal line option. You

19:38

love the fact he's similar to Kyren. So

19:40

if he's not elite athlete, but he's doing,

19:42

you know, he could be great in this

19:44

Ram system. They averaged the most yards per

19:47

play last season when healthy when all the

19:49

guys were healthy in LA second highest EPA

19:51

per rush. So man, if Kyren

19:53

Williams goes down a risky top 15

19:55

pick in these drafts, Corum just going to

19:57

be one of those fantasy.

20:00

see difference makers in the second half. Okay.

20:03

So, um, I'm generally

20:05

with you, uh, on everything

20:07

you just said about Blake Horm like you

20:10

can, you can bulk it like resource allocation, you

20:12

know, a third round running back when you have

20:14

a guy who played really well for you last

20:16

year. But anybody that played fantasy last year knows

20:18

that. Karen Williams was

20:20

awesome trying to find somebody to

20:22

like the waiver wire speed dial

20:25

replacement for Karen Williams sucked.

20:27

Even the Rams went out and they signed

20:29

like Daryl Henderson as a reunion with him. They

20:31

went out and got Royce Freeman. They were

20:33

not going to give Zach Evans any carries. That's

20:35

for sure. At no point was that happening.

20:38

Um, and like Royce Freeman kind of looked all

20:40

right at times. I think he was, he was

20:42

pretty decent for the Rams, but now

20:45

he's when he's at, he's with Dallas, Daryl Henderson

20:47

thing didn't work out. The other guys like Ronnie

20:49

rivers. I mean, they did not have

20:51

a true, like just understudy to just

20:54

throw, like throw right into Karen Williams

20:56

role. Now they do. And considering how

20:58

much Dalton they wanted, they've clearly told

21:01

us by their off season moves, they

21:03

want to lean into this power run,

21:05

man gap scheme attack at you run

21:08

game, why would you like, you don't want

21:10

to be in that situation again when Karen Williams goes down and

21:12

you're like, shoot, what are we going to do? Like now they

21:14

have a guy, they can just plop

21:16

right in there. I do think, and there's

21:18

also outcomes Dalton where like, yeah,

21:20

what if like Corbin's just better than

21:22

Karen Williams? I think that's at least

21:24

possible. Maybe it's like 15% in

21:27

the range of outcomes, but it is at least in

21:29

the range of outcomes in my opinion. Um,

21:31

but I'm with you with what you said

21:33

there, but let's just actually put pen

21:35

to paper on this when you say make him

21:37

a mid round priority, what area of the draft

21:40

are you thinking when you say that? Yeah,

21:42

great question. I haven't done enough to, uh, to,

21:44

to, to point him out exactly where there, I

21:46

have him as my RB 37 and his ECR

21:48

is 43. But,

21:52

um, we're talking Taijai

21:55

Spears, uh, Zach Moss type. Maybe

21:57

people are going to be in on Zach Moss. I'm

21:59

not, but I'm taking. taking him over at Givanthe Williams.

22:01

You're not? Okay, Chase Brown, right around that area, that

22:03

kind of upside I'd say there. I'd

22:05

take him over like Givanthe Williams. And then conversely,

22:07

I've taken Derek Henry over Kyron Williams eight days

22:10

a week. Okay, that's what I

22:12

want to hammer home here is that I'm worried

22:14

about Kyron Williams early and

22:17

Derek Henry. I know that's so not

22:19

brand of me to draft an older back,

22:21

but man, I just love the setup there

22:24

and he's just, you know, he's the big

22:26

dog. So draft Henry over even in PPR,

22:28

I'm drafting Henry over Kyron Williams

22:30

who's going high. You don't even have to make that

22:32

decision. I mean, Kyron's going around ahead of him. Yeah,

22:35

okay. Great like names that

22:37

throw out there. Speaking on the Kyron Williams one,

22:40

just in terms of early basketball ADP, he,

22:43

this is how the running backs go. Christian

22:45

McCaffrey, Bree Saul, Bijon Robinson, Jameer Gibbs, Saquon

22:47

Barkley, Jonathan Taylor, then Kyron Williams. I think

22:49

I'm with you that I'm

22:52

okay with all those backs going ahead of him.

22:54

I take all those backs ahead of him. The

22:56

backs after him, Devon H. And

22:58

Josh Jacobs, Travis ETN, the aforementioned Derek

23:00

Henry and then Rashad white make up

23:02

the rest of the top 12. I

23:05

think the only one of those names that I said after

23:07

Kyron that I would take ahead of

23:10

Kyron is Derek Henry. The other guys, I

23:12

still think from an upside standpoint, Kyron

23:14

Williams gives you a higher ceiling

23:16

comment. Like I think maybe even a higher

23:18

ceiling floor combination if he stays healthy than

23:20

an H. Ann, a Jacobs or an ETN

23:23

and a white. Am I wrong about that?

23:25

You're not. I still have Williams above them all.

23:28

I've been really leaning toward Pacheco. I've been liking

23:30

more. You know, you look at his receiving numbers

23:32

down the stretch and if they haven't brought back

23:34

McKinnon, I like, I could even be talked into

23:36

mixing just because such that role and he stays

23:39

healthy in Houston. But no, as of

23:41

now, I have Henry and Barkley

23:43

ahead of Williams, but then every single

23:45

person you named, even H. Ann, I

23:47

have below Williams because yeah, Madam, they

23:49

love the lead workhorse and if

23:51

he does stay healthy or even if he does miss

23:53

another month of the year, he's going to be at

23:56

top five volume when he's on there. So, but I

23:58

want to hammer home Derek Henry, man. at

24:00

the shotgun splits, the win-loss

24:02

splits, everything. And like he

24:05

hasn't dropped off as a player much. It's just the

24:07

situation he was in. And he goes from a bottom

24:09

five to a top three. So yeah,

24:11

I mean, I'm just, I mean, Derek Henry could score

24:13

20 touchdowns this season. Yeah, I think

24:15

he's gonna smash. Andy's also

24:17

in on Derek Henry. I think this is gonna

24:19

be a very pro Derek Henry podcast this off

24:21

season. The guys around

24:24

Blake Corum in that same tier,

24:26

Devin Singletary, Chase Brown,

24:29

Gus Edwards, Blake Corum,

24:31

Jerome Ford, Zack Charbonnet,

24:33

Jaylen Wright, running by 42, what?

24:36

Chuba Hubbard, like what are we doing here? I

24:39

think that Blake Corum stands out there that

24:41

like, there are some guys built in that

24:43

group where Chase Brown maybe projects for more

24:45

usability depending on how you feel about that

24:47

backfield. I'm more pro Zack Moss maybe than

24:49

you are. Devin Singletary like,

24:51

yeah, he's the lead back for the Giants,

24:53

Tajay Spears, I don't know. Jerome

24:55

Ford, is he the lead back for Cleveland?

24:57

Like Blake Corum probably has a lower

24:59

week to week floor than any of those guys, but

25:02

I think he's a great pick in that range

25:04

because if he ends up getting, like I would

25:07

never take Kyron Williams, Blake Corum on the same

25:09

team. Don't do that to yourself because I think

25:11

you're just shredding one of the, like

25:13

you're shredding one pick there, but from an

25:15

overall like season long standpoint, I would take

25:17

Blake Corum there and just like ride out

25:19

that bench spot with him. Yeah,

25:22

maybe it depends on your build. If you need

25:24

safety, Devin Singletary and Gus Edwards, if

25:26

you really need a back there, definitely

25:28

gonna help you out week to week more.

25:30

But Corum the upside and the guy who

25:32

could be suddenly he's ranked as a top

25:34

five fantasy back if he's starting for the

25:36

Rams at any given week in a good

25:38

matchup, I mean, is that kind of upside.

25:40

So that's my thoughts on that one. You

25:42

ready for number four? Yeah, give me number

25:45

four. Okay, don't let Jackson

25:47

Smith and Jigba's rookie season scare

25:49

you off Roma doomsday. It

25:51

really is a similar situation here, man.

25:53

I mean, there's two wide receivers to

25:55

compete with down to the same exact

25:57

OC Shane Waldron, who I, a little.

26:00

concerned about that, but

26:02

totally curious your thoughts, your harm, and

26:04

I know you briefly mentioned JSN, you were

26:06

kind of encouraged by his route running, but

26:09

I just wanna say maybe I was guilty

26:11

of overhyping a not superstar player. You

26:13

look at JSN's rookie year, 95th in ADOT, hit

26:16

a lower EPA per route run and lower

26:18

EPA per target than Quentin Johnston. Maybe

26:21

in the benefit of hindsight, JSN was

26:24

overrated, seeing passes from

26:26

CJ Stroud, that record setting bowl

26:28

game featured no Garrett Wilson, no

26:30

Chris Salave, and they were facing

26:32

running backs, trying to play cornerback

26:34

in the opposition. Meanwhile,

26:37

Zunze is an elite separator,

26:40

best contested catch rate season ever in 2023,

26:42

I believe. Keenan

26:44

Allen, 32 years old, has missed an average of

26:46

five and a half games over the last two

26:49

seasons. Caleb Williams could be a star right away.

26:52

But the Bears admittedly didn't use many

26:54

three wide receiver sets last season, that

26:56

needs to change. So give me a

26:58

heat check here, am I buying the

27:00

young new toy again, the rookie guy,

27:02

the hype, I think this is quietly

27:04

an okay situation, given that Caleb Williams

27:06

could be awesome. And Keenan Allen is

27:08

his age and his injury history here, and

27:10

Adunze might be really, really good. Yeah,

27:13

couple things are different from the Jackson Smith

27:15

and Jigba thing, where even though it's the

27:18

same OC, and yeah, it does look very

27:20

similar. And look,

27:22

from a brass tacks

27:24

standpoint, it's

27:26

the same situation where it's an exciting rookie

27:29

coming in behind two guys who

27:31

are good, who are really, really good, right?

27:33

Like DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. I

27:36

actually think, here's where there's a little

27:38

bit of difference, I actually think those two guys, as

27:42

a unit, are a little bit better than

27:44

Keenan Allen and DJ Moore, so there is

27:46

that part of it, where that's why JSN

27:48

is limited, especially just where Tyler Lockett was

27:50

in his career coming into last year, versus

27:52

where Keenan Allen is coming into his career

27:54

this year. So

27:57

that's part of it, but like

27:59

there, It's just tough to make an impact

28:01

and those two guys are going to be there, right?

28:03

Because you're not going to, Roma

28:05

Dunsey, I don't know. Like he's not

28:07

going to push either one of those guys to

28:09

the curb, right? And, and JSN was never going

28:12

to push either of those two guys to the

28:14

curb in Seattle, but

28:16

there's the key difference here. There's

28:19

two of them. One, Roma

28:22

Dunsey is better than Jackson Smith and Jigba.

28:24

I like Jackson Smith and Jigba as a

28:26

prospect, but he was a tier two receiver

28:28

prospect, whereas Roma Dunsey is a tier one

28:31

receiver prospect, just in terms of overall

28:33

my stack board over the last four

28:35

classes. So JSN was the

28:37

number one receiver in his class. Roma Dunsey to

28:39

me was number two, to more people was number

28:42

three in this class, but that's just because last

28:44

year's class wasn't as good as this year's class.

28:46

That's just the reality of it. Roma Dunsey is

28:49

a better prospect than Jackson Smith and Jigba. And

28:51

like, yeah, JSN's rookie season was fine, but it

28:53

was fine. It wasn't like, yeah, that

28:55

looks special. Like it looked like a solid receiver you

28:57

take in round one. Didn't look like a

29:00

special player. Roma Dunsey, I think, is coming

29:02

to the NFL and look like a special player. And this

29:04

is the second difference, Dalton, and this is critical. Like

29:07

Jackson Smith and Jigba, good prospect, but

29:09

he was a slot prospect. I think

29:11

he can't, like he's not a slot

29:13

only guy. He's not hopeless outside. He

29:15

can beat man coverage, but he's

29:18

still a guy that's going to mostly run his

29:20

routes from the slot, the type of routes he's

29:22

good on you want coming from the interior, whereas

29:25

Roma Dunsey is like a pure prototypical

29:27

ex-receiver. I kind of think their

29:30

best receiver deployment is Roma Dunsey at X.

29:33

DJ more is like a move around sort of

29:35

speed Z receiver who can play inside, who can

29:37

play outside and then Keenan Allen, I think needs

29:39

to play in the slot at this point in

29:41

square. He was like a mostly slot player with

29:44

the charges last year. Career high in terms of

29:46

reception, perception snaps off the line and in the

29:48

slot, that has to be the usage for him

29:50

to be productive going forward. Like if

29:52

somebody's going to leave the field just from it, like

29:54

take the names off the back of the Jersey, the

29:56

guy that's going to leave the field in two receiver

29:58

sets is the third player I just. not

30:00

the first player. Wasn't, didn't

30:03

QML actually surprise you? He ranked first or second

30:05

in ESPN's open score last year? That was

30:07

surprising to me. DJ Morris is the

30:09

ECR wide receiver 15 right now. That

30:12

to me is too high. I loved him. He

30:14

was like a top five guy with fields last

30:16

year when he was healthy together. But doesn't he

30:18

deserve a bigger hit here even if I'm over

30:20

rating? I have a doing day with my wide

30:22

receiver 36. I mean, that's sad.

30:24

My wide receiver three, you know, I'm not too

30:27

crazy, but I think it's gonna be helpful. And

30:29

I think that DJ Moore is not getting enough punishment

30:33

there in the rankings. They're drafting him as a top

30:35

15 guy. And that situation to me is

30:38

you're gonna be disappointed. Yeah, I

30:40

agree with you. That's been my early lean

30:42

that like, cause

30:45

last year all the discussion about the Seahawks guys was, ah,

30:47

Tyler Lockett's got, we got to bring him down the rankings

30:50

because they drafted JSN. I'm like, everybody's gonna get hurt

30:52

if JSN even comes in here and earns like 90

30:54

target. What you did, I think

30:56

he had like 93 targets last year. And I

30:58

think everybody that drafted a Seahawks receiver last year

31:00

came away slightly disappointed. I think there's a good

31:03

chance that anybody who drafts a Bears receiver this

31:05

year comes away slightly disappointed. Yeah, that's fair. That's

31:07

okay. That's fair. Okay, ready for the next one?

31:10

Yes. Okay, is ranking Malik neighbors

31:12

as a top 20 fantasy wide out too

31:14

high? Actually happened by wide receivers 16 now,

31:17

but I mean, there's times to

31:20

change. He had a resume,

31:22

his argument to be the top wide receiver

31:24

drafted above Marvin Harrison. I mean, he recorded

31:26

one of the best ever yards per team

31:28

pass attempt marks during an age 20 season.

31:32

Total missed tackles forced in 2023, Malik

31:35

neighbors 30, a dunes a

31:38

15 Harrison five. Neighbors

31:40

is more than twice as many yards

31:42

as Harrison before their 21st birthday, super

31:45

explosive. And now here's where we

31:47

turn to, to Harmon, the

31:50

wide receiver expert. However,

31:52

neighbors saw 60% of his yardage

31:54

last season come from the slot. I

31:57

mean, nine of his 14 touchdowns were

31:59

on slot fades. alone, obviously the

32:01

giants of a shaky quarterback situation

32:03

playing outdoors. But

32:06

I ultimately settle on 150 targets from a beast here. And

32:10

I think there's a big tier after my

32:12

top 15 wide receivers. I know people are

32:14

putting Alave as a top 12 guy and

32:16

maybe with Kubiak involved, they're going to run

32:18

a lot more motion and all that. But

32:20

boy, people are projecting Alave not unlike my,

32:23

I mean, maybe I'm crazy with Drake when

32:25

you look at their stats from the year

32:27

before. But people are definitely

32:29

projecting Alave to continue to make

32:31

a leap there. So

32:34

yeah, thoughts on me drafting neighbors right

32:36

around him and in

32:38

the tier right after the top 15? Yeah,

32:41

this is too much for me. I

32:43

think way too much for me. Man,

32:46

like I'm looking just at your rankings right

32:48

now and like, yeah, I think I'm definitely

32:50

going Chris Alave. I think I'm definitely going

32:52

Mike Evans ahead of Malik neighbors.

32:57

Yeah, Jalen Waddle, I think I'm probably going to go

32:59

ahead of Malik neighbors too. It

33:02

does get dicey once you get to like the

33:04

Texans guys, just because of

33:06

overall target volume. But man, like, would

33:10

I rather take the shot on Stephon Diggs is

33:12

probably the number two pass

33:14

catcher with CJ Stroud or like,

33:17

Malik neighbors as the number one, like I definitely think

33:20

you even number one receiver, I'm not 100% convinced he's

33:22

just going to come in here and see like 150

33:25

type of targets or something like that. That's

33:27

just a lot. And they're, you

33:29

know, there's not another high quality player, but there's

33:31

some decent guys on that roster that are going

33:33

to earn some volume. Michael

33:35

Pittman, I think I'd probably go ahead of

33:38

Malik neighbors to Mari Cooper,

33:40

I'd even think about. So yeah, to me, I'll

33:42

probably end up having a guy. I have Malik

33:44

neighbors pretty low in my early rankings, but who

33:46

cares? I'll probably end up having him somewhere around

33:48

like, you know, maybe, maybe

33:50

mid 20s that receiver. I've

33:54

been throwing this comparison out there. I think I threw

33:56

it out on my, on my other show that

33:58

I think Malik. Reaver's rookie season could

34:01

look a lot like J.L. and Waddle's rookie

34:03

season, where he actually ends up being a

34:05

high reception total, but not a lot of

34:07

big plays, just because they're trying to manufacture

34:10

him so much stuff. Like

34:12

J.L. and Waddle, the thing about him, he comes to

34:14

the NFL and says, speed, speed, speed, big playmaking ability.

34:16

But then he averages like under 10 yards of catch

34:18

as a rookie and we're like, what the hell happened

34:20

here? Like, I thought this guy was supposed to be

34:22

a big play asset. And I think, by the way,

34:24

League Neighbors are a better player than J.L. and Waddle.

34:27

A tier one prospect for me, J.L. and Waddle

34:29

is a tier two prospect for me. So there is

34:31

a difference there from ability standpoint, but I'm just saying

34:33

from a utilization standpoint, I think

34:35

you could end up being fed a lot of like underneath

34:38

touches and not necessarily because they want to get

34:40

him the ball and space to make plays after

34:42

the catch. Which, by the way,

34:44

if he gets J.L. and Waddle's season as a

34:46

rookie, that's fine. It's just not quite to like

34:49

maybe top 15 expectations. I

34:51

moved to Lave ahead of him. That was

34:53

too much. But man, I can just make

34:55

an argument for Neighbors' upside over all these

34:57

other guys who are competing with other alphas.

34:59

Devonta Smith right behind him, Jalen Waddle, Tank

35:01

Dell. Sifant digs at his age with two

35:03

other guys in Houston you're going to take

35:05

over Neighbors. I can't see

35:07

it. Pitman's got some competition too.

35:11

Mike Evans, last year, you know, he was being drafted behind

35:13

Chris Godwin. I think this is the year to go after

35:15

Godwin, who's going to return to playing the slot. And he's

35:17

going to be the value if you want the Bucks receiver.

35:19

Just flip it from last year. I mean, yeah, he's

35:21

30 years old. I think the touchdowns are there. But

35:24

yeah, maybe this is crazy. Neighbors is a rookie

35:26

and getting the ball from Jones. But I think

35:28

we can project as many as 140

35:30

to 150 targets. But

35:33

this is a tough one. I'm not sold on this.

35:35

That's why I wanted to talk to him. Oh, the

35:38

slot. I know there used to be concerns. I

35:40

think it's just you take it case by case basis, right?

35:42

Sometimes you can look back and see, oh, he was overrated

35:45

because of the slot. And other times nowadays, the slot is

35:47

so important that you can tell who cares, right? So maybe

35:49

it's a good thing, right? So you don't really care that

35:51

all that production came out of the slot, I'm guessing. I

35:54

do think some of it is fraudulent production for sure.

35:56

Like, I shouldn't say fraudulent. It just doesn't map to

35:59

me. the league some of that stuff because of the

36:01

hashes and the way that you can throw like out

36:03

routes from the you know condensed

36:05

formations it just it's

36:07

different but I think from a

36:09

talent perspective Malik neighbors has an ability to

36:11

play outside but I don't think you're going

36:13

to use him as a true ex-receiver

36:16

like you would with Marvin Harrison or Roma Dunes day so

36:18

that's sort of where I come down on that one. Okay,

36:20

alright. Alright, we're going to take a quick break when we

36:23

come back we're going to get the rest of Dalton's draft

36:25

takes right after this. Alright

36:34

Dalton, we're at number six on your list.

36:37

What's the take? Hit it.

36:40

Alright, when I originally wrote my NFL

36:42

draft notebook I suggested Jonathan Brooks being

36:44

like a top 35 fantasy back and

36:48

after looking at it more I've moved him up to my RB 20 right

36:51

now mainly because there's 19 running backs

36:53

I really think are obvious and then

36:55

the tier afters just wide open. Zamir

36:57

White, Romando Stevenson, James Connor, I mean

37:00

Dondre Swift, Najah Harris, Elliot, I

37:02

mean just wide open here so give me

37:04

the younger guy who compared favorably to Bijon

37:07

Robinson during their final seasons at Texas. Brooks

37:10

would have been drafted higher if not for

37:12

the ACL tear which was clean no meniscus

37:14

he's on track to be cleared by training

37:16

camp so really I think maybe people are

37:18

over rating the injury here he can pass

37:20

protect. I understand Carolina's new

37:23

coaching staff will have reason to be patient

37:25

with him but they're also invested in Brooks

37:27

way more talented than Chuba Hubbard and

37:30

Miles Sanders. Panthers

37:32

do limit his upside but they want

37:34

to run the ball Harmon and Hubbard

37:36

was the number nine fantasy back over

37:38

the final seven weeks last season on

37:40

a Panthers team that finished last in

37:42

yards per play so I mean Brooks

37:44

has got more talent than him you

37:46

figure Bryce Young's gonna be a little

37:48

better at worst. Dave Canales

37:50

in there, Deontay Johnson, Xavier Legette

37:52

or Legette I'm not sure how

37:55

you pronounce that one but again I think it's

37:57

a big tear after the 19 running backs. And

38:00

I'll take Brooks the next one then give me an RB 20

38:02

right now Even if it takes a

38:04

little patience, it may not even take that much patience Give

38:07

me give me Brooks top 20 fantasy back heat

38:09

check Harmon. I think I'm with

38:11

you on this one I actually think that

38:13

from an early best ball ADP perspective the

38:15

last running back I feel very good about

38:17

and even saying this guy and like very

38:19

good makes me a little uncomfortable But Joe

38:22

Mixon at running back 16 is

38:24

kind of the last guy up. All right, cool. I

38:26

see it I start to get a little concerned by

38:28

like Alvin Kamara at 17 Aaron Jones at 18 Remondra

38:30

Stevenson at 19 Dave

38:32

Montgomery at 20. I still think is a screaming

38:34

value But that's

38:36

like another topic But we're sitting

38:39

we're in that tier of guys where Dave Montgomery split in

38:41

the backfield Najee Harris split in the

38:43

backfield James Connor price split in the back

38:45

to with Trey Benson DeAndre Swift

38:47

definitely split in the backfield Tony power split in

38:49

the backfield. So like Why

38:51

would I not just want to go ahead and take? Jonathan

38:54

Brooks there because like when

38:56

he's a hundred percent ready to go which

38:59

Like he might be out there. I think he's gonna be out there week one.

39:01

I think he's gonna be out there in training camp I think you

39:03

might even play a little bit in the preseason, but maybe

39:06

that would be kind of stupid to risk him Overall

39:08

though. I think he said he's gonna be ready by

39:10

training camp July 1st versus his like target date I

39:12

think he's probably gonna hit that target date Once

39:16

he's a hundred percent ready to rock from just

39:18

like a utilization standpoint I think he's

39:20

gonna be they like clear-cut lead back to be

39:22

Hubbard is like just the definition of a replacement

39:24

level player Not needle mover Had

39:28

some nice weeks on a terrible Panthers team that

39:31

Panthers team is gonna be better this year, right? I

39:33

think that I'm not sure what

39:35

the feeling is for them But I think canals

39:37

is gonna make them better and he's gonna make

39:40

Bryce young like a functional NFL quarterback And they

39:42

invested in the offensive line. So I think Johnson

39:45

Brooks We just got a great roadmap with this

39:47

with your guy Breece Hall last year Where

39:49

he you know started off a little shaky

39:52

had some kind of laws but finished the season super

39:54

strong So I'm with you that Johnson Brooks the top

39:56

20 back to me makes a lot of sense. All

39:59

right. I like it Herman Okay, it's not all

40:01

going to be positive. We'll get some negatives here soon,

40:03

but one more here. My next one for you to

40:05

stick in kind of on the Jonathan Brooks theme is

40:07

Trey Benson. He's going to be a fantasy league winner

40:10

during the second half. I know you're

40:12

with me on this one. I have him as my

40:14

RB24, a really hard guy to rank because, you know,

40:16

I mean, he might be worthless the first month. He

40:18

then will become a top five back when Connor's on

40:21

the IR. So it's, if Connor does suffer an injury

40:23

and he's, you know, a serious season ender here, we're

40:25

talking about a possible league winner though. Connor's

40:27

29 years old, coming off the second highest

40:30

workload of his career's average four miss

40:32

games of the last five seasons. Connor

40:34

has never played a full season or eclipse 215 carries

40:37

during any of his seven years in

40:40

the league. Meanwhile, Benson's, he forced

40:42

the most missed tackles per touch in

40:44

2022. It was

40:46

the best season ever since the stat was

40:48

recorded. He joins an Arizona offense. It

40:51

was top 10 unit and all the, you

40:53

know, the nerd stats, EPA per play over the

40:55

second half of last season. Before

40:57

adding Marvin Harrison Jr. Cardinals

40:59

run games, quietly good fourth best EPA per rush

41:02

last season. I mean, this is a good situation

41:04

for a running back. Benson

41:06

has nice power speed, receiving ability.

41:09

Yeah, he'll be, he'll be a top 10 fantasy back any

41:11

week if he's the guy there and Connor is

41:13

out and this is a, you know, an injury

41:16

prone aging back in Connor. So where

41:18

did you settle on, on ranking him since, you

41:20

know, it's tricky when it comes to that. I

41:23

have Benson as my RB24 right now, but I could see,

41:25

you know, wide, wide range of rankings when it comes to

41:27

him. It

41:30

is tricky. He is kind of a difficult

41:32

guy to rank. I'm with you there. I

41:35

think I settled with ranking him pretty aggressively though. I have

41:37

him at running back 20. Love

41:39

it. So even more than me, even

41:41

more than, even more than the take Meister

41:43

himself, Dalton Del Don. No, like,

41:45

and here's the thing with Trey Benson. Yeah, difficult

41:48

guy to rank projections wise. He's not going to

41:50

ever come out to running back 20, but it's

41:52

just such an easy story to tell yourself, which is

41:54

why it's probably not going to happen, but it's such

41:57

an easy story to tell yourself where like,

41:59

I don't think he... even be worthless the first month

42:01

of the season. I love these picks where

42:03

I mean any single week he's

42:05

gonna have like standalone value for you because

42:07

he's gonna play to some degree. I don't

42:10

think he's just gonna be a bench player.

42:12

He might be in the what the heck

42:14

flex territory, but maybe

42:17

not like a clear cut starting running back two or even

42:19

really a running back three, but like a guy that, ah

42:21

shoot, you know, it's week four and two of

42:23

my running backs are already hurt. Like I guess I can start

42:25

Trey Benson and just hope he rips off a couple of big

42:27

plays. I think he's gonna be in that tier. That's

42:29

how he starts the season. I mean, yeah,

42:31

James Connor gets injured or just like more and

42:34

more. Like we get after Trey Benson's bye week

42:36

and he's just ready to sort of take off

42:38

and take the job from James Connor. This is

42:40

an offense that I think is ascending. It's just

42:42

such an easy story to tell yourself. And like

42:46

they're truly league winning potential,

42:48

like you said, or at least like top

42:50

five, top 10 fantasy back in his range

42:52

of outcomes is there. And like the other

42:54

guys that he goes around and drafts, like

42:57

that's just not a bit, I love you

42:59

Austin Eckler, but like that's not available for

43:01

Austin Eckler. Like that's not available for Javante

43:03

Williams. Maybe he's

43:05

a mere white, I don't know, but like DeAndre

43:07

Zwift and Tony Pollard, like no way, that's not

43:09

available for those guys just because of a

43:12

lot of different circumstances. So to me,

43:14

yeah, I think Trey Benson, just the type of profile

43:16

that you wanna be aggressive on. Yeah,

43:19

put differently, Connor is gonna

43:21

be drafted earlier. I have them basically ranked back

43:23

to back. It feels like Connor will help you

43:25

the first half and Benson can help you the

43:27

second half. But yeah, I think the situation there

43:29

is a nice one to land in in Arizona

43:31

behind, an aging running back with

43:34

an injury history. All

43:36

right, Harmon, this one's not

43:38

exactly hot, but Brock Bowers landed in

43:40

the worst situation possible, man. It is

43:42

not great. He's

43:45

likely the best tight end prospect in college

43:47

football history. Dude commanded targets

43:49

and scored 13 touchdowns as an 18

43:51

year old freshman. Sam

43:54

LaPorta averaged 11.7 yards

43:56

per reception in college. Brock

43:59

Bowers averaged. nine yards after

44:01

the catch in his college career.

44:03

I mean, he's just a beast, but

44:05

the Raiders have one of the league's

44:08

worst quarterback situations, a true alpha wide

44:10

receiver, and just drafted a tight end

44:12

with a top 40 pick last year.

44:14

Only two FBS tight ends have multiple 800

44:17

yard seasons over the last 15 years. They're

44:20

Brock Bowers and Michael Mayer, uh,

44:22

Adam, Devontae Adams finished second in the league

44:25

in targets and target share last year. I

44:27

think the biggest concern with Vegas though, is

44:29

this quarterback. I mean, it gets to play

44:31

indoors, but Gardner Minshew, it's

44:34

questionable if he's even an upgraded all over AOC.

44:37

Uh, Shane Steichen deserves credit for any success

44:39

Minshew had last year. Bowers is a beast.

44:41

I'm still ranking him as the top 12

44:43

fantasy tight end, but man, that's major restraint

44:45

by me given his age and profile. I

44:47

mean, that's tight end is deeper than ever.

44:50

And, uh, I don't think he could, it

44:52

should be treated necessarily as a top 10

44:54

guy, even with his profile and

44:56

his upset upside. Um, given the

44:58

alternative, you probably would have gone like tight end five.

45:01

If he landed anywhere else. Yeah, no, I easily. Yeah.

45:03

I would have been talking about something to it, but

45:05

I don't love it. Uh, but am I wrong? And

45:07

maybe I'll just play mayor more in

45:09

line and let Bowers be a beast in the,

45:11

you know, on the slot, but I just don't

45:14

trust Vegas getting it right. I mean, they just

45:16

look like a combustible situation. And it just seems

45:18

like he doesn't look super pumped when he was

45:20

drafted by them. And there was rumors are it

45:22

was literally down to a coin flip. Um,

45:25

I basically agree with what you just said there.

45:28

Like, I think he'll still be a top 15

45:30

top 12 tight end, uh, in rankings, but he's

45:32

not really a guy I'm excited about anymore. And

45:34

a lot of it comes down to the situation

45:36

and yeah, the, the quarter, the quarterback, the guard,

45:38

I'm into situation of it all the, the, no,

45:40

Connell situation of it all where, um,

45:43

cause I think you, you could look at last year and be

45:45

like, is his, like, you just

45:48

think about the outlook and how he's going to be

45:50

deployed, is it that much different than Dalton Kincaid, who

45:52

was the 11th tight end last year? Um,

45:54

91 targets and a lot of it was slot

45:57

stuff. It actually, and, and, and it.

45:59

wasn't that efficient, right? You

46:02

know, 7.4 yards per target, 9.2

46:05

yards per catch for Dalton Kincaid, because I think they

46:07

tried to, like he should just be a

46:09

tight end, but they tried to do this big slot stuff.

46:11

I think some of that's gonna happen with Brock Bowers, right?

46:14

Like the Bills had an established

46:16

tight end, and Michael Mayer's not even

46:18

established. Like Dawson Knox was a guy

46:20

they paid, right? But still, there's sort

46:22

of some similarities there. Guys

46:25

that, you know, Michael Mayer and Dawson Knox, either

46:27

one of those like true in-line tight ends either.

46:29

So that actually kind of makes it samey. There's

46:31

an alpha receiver, even if Steph Diggs was declining,

46:33

but like still was a guy that was commanding

46:35

a high target share. There

46:37

are some useful players else around the

46:40

roster, but you know, like a

46:42

Gabe Davis or a Khalil Shakir, Jacobi Myers is

46:44

better than both of those guys. You know, that's

46:46

part of this too. The thing is though, so

46:49

you could say that and be like, well, it's not that

46:51

bad, right? Like Brock Bowers could be tight at 11. One

46:53

of those is playing in Josh Allen's offense, the other one's

46:55

playing in Gardner-Minchu's offense. So we're on the same page here

46:57

with your eighth take. So let's move to take number nine.

47:00

Transition perfectly to the Bills, who I

47:02

think James Cook still has a goal

47:04

line problem. We're talking Ray Davis, the

47:06

rookie here, not the

47:08

ideal draft pick. If you're a James Cook

47:11

guy, who's going to the top 15 fantasy

47:13

back. Cook ranked top five in yards per

47:15

touch last season, but his fantasy value was

47:17

limited thanks to just two carries inside the

47:20

five after week four. Cook

47:22

did not rank top 20 in red

47:24

zone touches. Latavius Murray, I think he

47:26

was the oldest back in the league,

47:28

had the 12th most carries inside the

47:30

five last year. And that's with Josh Allen

47:32

taking 14 of them. Ray

47:35

Davis is built for this role. I

47:38

get it though, Cook, I mean, the

47:40

Bills ran the ball a lot more after Joe

47:43

Brady became OC. Steph Diggs is gone now. Davis

47:45

is an unknown fourth round rookie. So

47:48

Cook could feasibly be a fantasy monster if

47:50

he gets this role. But I

47:52

just want to kind of, you know, frame

47:54

it this way. Cook was the RB 11 last year,

47:57

but realized volume really helped with that. He was the

47:59

RB... 19 per game

48:02

when you realize that the lack of touchdowns hurt

48:04

him there So it's a it's a backfield to

48:06

pay attention to here in Buffalo because cook has

48:08

a ton of upside But at the same time

48:10

he's risks of being overdrafted if Davis continues to

48:12

take those short touchdowns No,

48:14

this is a really good call-out I mentioned I took James

48:16

Cook in round three of our staff mock drafts and I

48:19

was like I actually don't know if I love this pick

48:21

that much after I made it and Andy didn't really take

48:23

the bait when I Tried to get him to criticize me,

48:25

but He's too busy

48:27

criticizing you and producer Colin which Fair

48:30

enough, but I'm with you that

48:35

I'm with you man that like I don't

48:38

know if James Cook

48:41

Has that type of ceiling that you want right

48:44

like because of the Josh Allen goal line factor

48:46

And I think we're not talking enough about Ray

48:48

Davis. They basically just were like alright. Yeah, we

48:50

had letate We wanted Damien Harris to play this

48:53

role. He obviously suffered an injury and ended up

48:55

retiring You know we got

48:57

Latavius Murray we signed Leonard for net They're constantly

48:59

Cycling in like a bigger back along James Cook

49:01

and it just seems like a signal that we

49:04

don't want to trust this guy in Goal line

49:06

rolls in a goal line role, which is fine.

49:08

I think that's totally plausible So I definitely think

49:10

that it's when I first clicked James Cook.

49:13

I'm like what am I missing here? You know? Good

49:16

good back had a nice season last year. He plays on

49:18

a good offense The thing the more you

49:20

look at it, especially that Ray Davis pick it does make

49:22

you a little like Hmm, I'm not sure what

49:24

James Cook so we it seems like we're both skeptical on cook Is

49:27

there a right range to draft Ray Davis, or

49:29

do you think that's just like chasing touchdowns every

49:32

week? Yeah, I'm not as excited

49:34

saying per quorum and it's chasing touchdowns and even

49:36

Allen's there too So no he's not

49:38

a guy. I'm like super excited to draft as far

49:40

as a overall upside

49:43

But at the same time James Cook could stay

49:45

healthy and Davis could score double-digit touchdowns as a

49:47

rookie So I'm fine. I'm fine with drafting him

49:49

as well But um, he doesn't quite has me

49:51

as excited some other some other rookie backs even

49:54

um, you know, even a Kamani

49:57

in LA and maybe

49:59

even bucky Irving Tampa Bay guys are a little bit

50:01

more excited about You

50:03

know, Audrey guesstimate in Denver. I'm not excited

50:05

about Denver, but that's gonna be a messy

50:07

committee But could he not bump some a

50:09

JP ran off the roster? Possible.

50:12

All right. What was that number nine? Let's move to number ten And

50:15

we haven't gotten into Isaac Grian do or

50:17

Cody Schrader in the Bay But we'll probably

50:19

run out of time to get there now

50:21

It's similar similar to your buff, you know,

50:23

you kind of regretting your James Cook pick

50:25

and the aforementioned Mock

50:27

I regretting Josh Jacobs there. I took

50:29

him there I said, I think Green

50:31

Bay is an important backfield question to

50:33

answer here in the you know It

50:36

fantasy drafts this year because on one

50:38

hand Josh Jacobs was Ezekiel Elliott last

50:40

year, you know He's almost lasting yards

50:42

to carry missed tackles yards after contact

50:45

the comparisons right there But

50:47

but then on the other hand, you know,

50:49

he what he was holding out there So like

50:52

you got to give him some some some

50:54

slack for that He is dealing with a

50:56

quad injury. He led the NFL with average number

50:58

of defenders in the box against seven point

51:00

two And now he's

51:02

joining this amazing system in Green Bay

51:04

presumably signed to be a workhorse And

51:08

then Marshawn Lloyd is drafted and you look at

51:10

the last four years in Green Bay to snap

51:12

share in backfields like 50 5050

51:18

5849 5843 AJ Dylan is still seeing snap shares

51:20

and he's not any good. So And

51:22

then and then on the other flip side Marshawn

51:24

Lloyd has committed 11 fumbles over 291

51:27

career touches in college questions and

51:30

pass protection flawed prospect But

51:32

he also has intriguing potential with this tackle

51:34

breaking ability So I don't know what are

51:36

we doing here with Josh Jacobs? Cuz if

51:38

he's the feature back in Green Bay with

51:40

that youngest offense in football would love you

51:42

know He has top five upside But I'm

51:44

looking at these these backfield splits

51:46

in Green Bay with the drafting of

51:48

Lloyd and I moved Jacobs behind Pacheco Behind

51:51

Joe mixin that that's kind of where

51:53

I'm at Yeah, I'm

51:55

with you that I thought I was gonna have conviction

51:58

on Josh Jacobs as a guy I

52:00

wanted to target just based on

52:02

what you said. Potential feature back

52:04

in Green Bay, an offense that I think is

52:07

ascending. I love Matt Flores, the

52:09

coordinator, or play caller, he's the head coach.

52:12

I love just the way this offense sets up

52:14

with Jordan Love. Like I said, on the rocket

52:16

ship, man, I think that they signed Josh Jacobs

52:18

because they want to be, he

52:20

was gonna give them more ability to

52:22

run multiple run schemes, a lot more gap

52:25

stuff, which is what this tree

52:27

of coaches are kind of moving towards now.

52:29

We've seen the 49ers move that way. The

52:31

Rams obviously pivoted hard in that direction. I

52:34

think the Packers want to have a tougher, more physical

52:36

run game than necessarily, I mean, Aaron Jones, great player,

52:38

but maybe that was kind of the logic of

52:41

choosing Josh Jacobs over Aaron Jones. And then they

52:43

draft Marshawn Lloyd, and now I have like the

52:45

devil on my other shoulder scene, like Green

52:48

Bay always splits the backfield, Matt LeFoure always wants

52:50

two guys, that whole thing. So now I'm totally out

52:52

of whack here with Josh Jacobs, where, and

52:54

also, you know, what your first point there is

52:57

important to bring up. Josh Jacobs was not good

52:59

last year. And like he's not

53:01

been an efficient back for most of

53:03

his season, or most of his season. I know Andy always

53:05

was quick to kind of write that off and be like,

53:08

you look at tackle breaking metrics, Josh Jacobs is a

53:10

good player, but just from an overall

53:12

efficiency standpoint, that's concerning. But

53:15

at the same time, it's the Raiders. And again,

53:17

you can see, I'm talking to myself in multiple

53:19

different directions here. Exactly, yeah.

53:21

I could see by week five, anybody

53:24

that hardcore fades Josh Jacobs just looks

53:26

like an idiot. But I could

53:28

see by week 17, we look back at

53:30

this back then, like, yeah, it's kind of split. And like, I

53:33

guess they're gonna move on from Josh Jacobs. But I will

53:35

say last kind of just point on this. And I know

53:37

I just talked in a thousand different directions and probably offered

53:39

nothing to the podcast, which is great since I host the

53:41

show. Marshawn Lloyd is a

53:43

little bit of like a mercurial player, where I

53:45

like Marshawn Lloyd's rushing style, but he's

53:48

a little bit wild. He fumbles a lot. Like

53:50

he could end up just not earning a role

53:52

on this team. So maybe Dalton, where I'm saying

53:54

I don't have clarity now, maybe

53:56

by like reading reports in the summer of

53:58

like Marshawn Lloyd's progress. We're able to sort

54:01

of kind of pinpoint how we're supposed to feel about Josh Jacobs

54:03

Yeah It's just a situation in Green Bay to really

54:06

pay attention to because on one hand a ton of

54:08

upside for for Jacobs I mean Lloyd again 11 fumbles

54:10

in 291 career Touches

54:13

and this offense could be top five in football

54:15

on the other. It's just basically a one-year deal

54:17

and Jacobs is like

54:19

feel like it is weighted opportunities versus

54:21

expected expected fantasy points like he historically

54:23

Underperformed it last year and people don't

54:25

typically bounce back from that So I

54:28

there's there's totally I could see you

54:30

could see two sides here. So pay attention to Green

54:32

Bay's backfield All right Harmon.

54:34

I'm using JJ McCarthy as an excuse to

54:36

talk about Justin Jefferson Not only is he

54:38

back in the wide receiver one conversation? I'm

54:40

probably gonna rank Tyree Killin and CD lamb

54:42

over him But what I can't get behind

54:44

is even though it's literally the opposite what

54:46

I was saying last year is I'm

54:49

taking Jefferson over chase this

54:51

year and it looks like ECR chases

54:53

three Jefferson's for Vikings

54:56

play indoors Kevin O'Connell this offense

54:58

had Nick Mullins getting nine point

55:00

eight YPA last year Sam Darnold

55:02

has problems if it's Darnold starting but those

55:05

are like turnovers not an arm strength or

55:07

the ability to get you know a targeted

55:09

guys So I think McCarthy is good enough

55:11

and then playing indoors on a team of

55:13

that really high pass rate assuming they Maintains,

55:15

maybe it will be lesser than with cousins.

55:18

But Jefferson's the best

55:20

receiver in the league. I believe you

55:22

would argue Hawkinson returning from ACL surgery

55:24

and meanwhile love Jamar chase and he

55:26

obviously has the upside to finishes the

55:28

wide receiver one But dude your

55:30

Joe burrow talking about there are still good

55:32

days and bad with this wrist injury Which

55:35

apparently has he's the first quarterback to

55:37

ever suffer this injury What

55:40

if T Higgins stays healthy all night? He's

55:42

back and what if he's like he's the

55:44

competition for targets They've drafted a third round

55:46

wide receiver there. So outdoors with Burroughs injury

55:48

history I don't see why he's why chase

55:50

is getting drafted over Jefferson that may not seem like

55:52

a minor take but that's you know, a huge decision

55:54

you're making in the first round Yeah,

55:56

you're pushing me on this because coming out of

55:58

the draft. I just had with Jamar Chase locked

56:00

in ahead of

56:03

Justin Jefferson. And I think I'm actually kind of

56:05

coming more towards your side here where like

56:08

there is a season and

56:10

it could be this season. It could be any season

56:12

of Jamar Chase's career where he's gonna have that like

56:14

true face melter of a season where he could be

56:17

the wide receiver one overall. I think that is, I

56:19

think this could be that season. But

56:21

it's also probably more likely that it's the first season without

56:23

T Higgins, which I think is gonna be 2025. I

56:27

will say that the thing that's really

56:29

got me stuck on Jamar Chase is the, and

56:32

actually now that I'm starting to make

56:34

these points again, maybe I'm still gonna

56:37

rank Chase over Justin Jefferson, where like

56:39

I think he's gonna play so much from the

56:41

slot, Jamar Chase this year. And he's gonna get

56:43

all those like easy match ups that CD Lamb

56:45

gets playing inside. And like Justin Jefferson,

56:50

it's so funny to think about the discourse a couple of years

56:52

ago when Kevin O'Connell got hired, we're like, he's gonna play the

56:54

Cooper Cupp role. He's not playing the Cooper

56:56

Cupp role because he's an ex-receiver. And like they don't

56:58

have another ex-receiver on that team. So you know who

57:00

plays that role? Frickin' Justin Jefferson because he's the only

57:03

one who can do it. And that's still the case

57:05

even with Jordan Addison on the team. Jordan

57:07

Addison, you can't play in that role because

57:09

he can't deal with press coverage in that

57:11

way. So they've never been able to give

57:13

him those like slot layup type targets. Maybe

57:15

they will just to simplify things for JJ

57:17

McCarthy this year. But like I think Chase's

57:20

work in terms of those layup routes is gonna

57:22

spike up. So overall I'm

57:24

with you. I still

57:26

have from an overall rankings perspective,

57:29

you have it, McCaffrey, Breece Hall, love you

57:31

for that. C.D. Lamb, Tyree

57:34

Kill, Justin Jefferson, Jamar Chase. I

57:37

have it, McCaffrey, Lamb,

57:39

Chase, Hill, Jefferson. So

57:43

we're both wide receivers. He's both fifth

57:45

overall player off our board. So we're really not

57:47

too dissimilar here. And I'm with you on a

57:49

lot of what you said about Justin Jefferson. I

57:51

think, again, simplify the picture for JJ McCarthy. He's

57:54

gonna throw the ball to Justin Jefferson 30% of

57:56

the time this year. And I think it's a

57:58

problem for Addison. I think it's

58:00

a problem for Hockison when he comes back that

58:02

they have a rookie quarterback sort of limiting the

58:04

ceiling of the offense. But for Jefferson specifically, I

58:07

actually don't think it's that big of a deal,

58:09

but I am very sold that Jamar Chase kind

58:11

of could have that special season this year or

58:13

at any time the borough thing, you're right that

58:15

does give me a little concern. I

58:18

hope it's nothing in borough states healthy and Chase gets fed

58:20

in the slot, that'd be sick. Yeah, he could just put

58:22

up monster numbers. And I picked the Bengals when they have

58:24

C last year. I hope they do stay healthy and they

58:26

are bringing them all back for one more, except for Mixon.

58:30

Breece Hall, I'm tempted to move to my

58:32

number one. I might by the end of

58:34

August. And here's my other hot take to

58:36

end it on here, Harmon. I

58:38

decided to pass and I took Lamar Jackson

58:40

in our mock draft and I did

58:42

another one for, or maybe that was helping

58:45

out P&L in the magazine league.

58:47

But either way, when it comes to

58:50

it, honestly, Harmon, I'm gonna use

58:52

A.D. Mitchell as an excuse to talk about Anthony

58:54

Richardson. I mean, why? I

58:56

just, I'm gonna have, I'm gonna have Eric Richardson as

58:59

my number one fantasy quarterback. I know I am

59:01

from August. I'm just gonna have him ranked that

59:03

because, dude, listen, the

59:05

situation he's in with Steichen,

59:07

they have the Downs, Pittman,

59:09

now Mitchell, indoors. Richardson's

59:12

fantasy points per dropback was the best

59:14

by any quarterback over the past three

59:16

seasons as a rookie last year. Better

59:18

than the career years of

59:21

Hertz and Allen, who by the way,

59:23

have major questions. We're excited to draft

59:25

Allen three rounds

59:27

before Richardson and without digs.

59:29

Hertz was the QB 16 without

59:31

the Tush push and there's no Jason

59:33

Kelsey now. I mean, there's only fear

59:36

Harmon is stopping us from drafting

59:38

or ranking Richardson as the top fantasy quarterback.

59:40

Yes, the guy might've suffered an injury every

59:42

time he stepped on the field last year,

59:44

but they were fluky, dude's built like a

59:46

tank. He's a beast, gonna score so many

59:48

touchdowns, so many fantasy points for your fantasy

59:50

team, you're gonna be tired of it. So

59:52

yeah, I think I honestly am going to,

59:56

I just won't be able to sleep at night if

59:58

I don't rank Anthony Richardson as my, QB1

1:00:00

which I'm I'm I'm wanting to heat

1:00:02

check Harmon how crazy is it yeah

1:00:04

and QB1 is so

1:00:06

crazy like this is I'm

1:00:09

not staying healthy he stays on he's a

1:00:12

favorite to be the QB1 it's not that

1:00:14

crazy you're just I'm

1:00:16

scared yes you said fear is the

1:00:18

only thing that's stopping you and yes

1:00:20

I am I am afraid I am

1:00:23

afraid to do it fair

1:00:27

enough you can say that about the

1:00:29

garden you go ahead and say go ahead and say

1:00:31

go ahead and look me through the look through the

1:00:33

camera and call me a coward that's fine because

1:00:36

the crazy thing about this Dalton is

1:00:39

that like I you're

1:00:41

you are the third person who's come

1:00:43

on the podcast Scott Andy and then you

1:00:45

and we're somehow talking about Anthony Richardson hype

1:00:47

and in classic Dalton fashion he's like oh

1:00:50

yeah you guys you have him at

1:00:52

QB6 great QB1

1:00:56

by the end of draft season you're already hired just in

1:00:59

terms of rankings right now you got him at four

1:01:01

so yeah you're not gonna be able to freakin

1:01:03

sleep at night until you get him to one

1:01:05

you're you're a lunatic I love you for being

1:01:07

a lunatic but you are a lunatic about this

1:01:09

one in particular but

1:01:11

it is this is the thing that kills

1:01:13

me Dalton about about having to push back

1:01:15

on you about this because I recognize that

1:01:17

it is possible I recognize that that is

1:01:20

within the range of outcomes for Anthony Richardson

1:01:22

I get it guy I

1:01:24

think he could play I think he showed super

1:01:27

promising signs like F

1:01:29

fantasy football for a second okay

1:01:31

like he just showed promising signs

1:01:33

as an NFL quarterback as an

1:01:36

NFL processor and like trigger

1:01:38

guy behind center okay like field general whatever

1:01:40

you want to say like processing plays getting

1:01:42

the ball out accurately way more

1:01:44

than people thought like people thought he was gonna be

1:01:46

a project coming in the NFL guy started day one

1:01:48

and like again very

1:01:50

brief glimpses I get it but

1:01:53

looked like he wasn't thinking out there he was swimming

1:01:55

he was doing more than treading water out

1:01:57

there the supporting cast is awesome

1:02:00

the line outkicked expectations last year. Michael Pittman's a

1:02:02

dude. Josh Downs is a dude. A.D. Mitchell, I

1:02:04

think is going to be a dude. The tight

1:02:06

end room is pretty solid and Jonathan Taylor can

1:02:08

run the ball. Like it's a

1:02:10

great situation. I understand all

1:02:12

that, but I am just, yeah,

1:02:15

I'm terrified. Dalton, I said on the last

1:02:17

show that Anthony Richardson is either going to

1:02:19

be like the story of fantasy football in

1:02:21

2024 because he's going to be the QB

1:02:23

one that just like you took a QB

1:02:25

six in sharp drafts and in like

1:02:27

your home league drafts. You're going to take him

1:02:30

in the 12th round of P.R. Anthony Richardson and

1:02:32

he's going to, he's going to be the QB

1:02:34

one, the highest one playing in the damn sport.

1:02:36

I get it, but I'm afraid of the other

1:02:38

end of the range of outcomes here where he is

1:02:41

like the guy that trolls on

1:02:43

the internet and I get it, like screw the

1:02:45

trolls, whatever, but like trolls on the internet. Like,

1:02:48

yeah, remember Anthony Richardson, LOL. Can't, he can't even

1:02:50

pass. He should be a running back. How about

1:02:52

he moves the tight end? Like that type of

1:02:54

bullsh**t, all that is within the range of outcomes.

1:02:56

So yes, I am a coward for,

1:02:58

for, for the other range about like

1:03:00

being afraid of that second one, but

1:03:02

you, I mean, Dalton, Dalton, QB one,

1:03:04

Anthony Richardson, unbelievable stuff. I

1:03:06

mean, you really like these guys, Pittman and Downs

1:03:09

here. Richardson, avoid

1:03:11

sacks. It can't be underrated. How

1:03:13

good Steichen is for these QBs. The last

1:03:15

two games AR 8.0 YPA, 8.2 YPA. Again,

1:03:19

dating back to college of, you know, avoid sacks

1:03:21

for pressure rate. He, I don't know. We'll see

1:03:23

the upside through the roof. In the first round

1:03:26

of a super flex league, I'll be drafting them

1:03:28

if we're in leagues together in the first round.

1:03:30

And man, if you're in your, your standard leagues

1:03:32

fifth, sixth round, this is your cheat code for

1:03:34

the year if he's fallen there, man, you

1:03:36

can, if Alan and Hertz are going round two

1:03:39

and three and you're getting a, you know,

1:03:41

a superior version two or three rounds later, let's

1:03:43

go. Yeah. I mean, the fantasy

1:03:45

points per dropback is like an inarguable thing.

1:03:47

That was there. Yeah. It's the best predictor

1:03:49

by the way, a future success too. So

1:03:51

it's, it's yeah, I mean, we'll, we'll, we'll

1:03:54

see. Stay healthy. Probably dude's going to get hurt

1:03:56

before the, before we, we, you know, this podcast

1:03:58

is released, but now He's

1:04:01

strong, he's built, those were some fluky injuries.

1:04:03

He's not gonna stop running. He's looking all

1:04:05

encouraging with his recovery now. So yeah, maybe

1:04:07

it's a little bit risky given the health,

1:04:10

but I'm here to take it, man. I think

1:04:12

they will be smarter, and he will be smarter

1:04:15

about how he runs in the future than what

1:04:17

we saw last year. So just so he doesn't

1:04:19

end up taking some of those hits. And

1:04:22

yeah, again, to full

1:04:24

circle, close the loop here, back to

1:04:26

the Jayden Daniels point at number one,

1:04:28

it is not revelatory for fantasy analysts

1:04:30

to say anymore, like Russian quarterback is

1:04:32

the cheat code. Okay, like that

1:04:35

is just obvious. That is obvious

1:04:37

with Jayden Daniels. It was obvious with Anthony

1:04:39

Richardson last year, and we saw it on

1:04:41

the field. The difference is for

1:04:43

all those questions of the circumstances that

1:04:46

I talked about with Washington, I don't

1:04:48

have those questions with

1:04:50

the Colts. I love the

1:04:52

play caller. I love the supporting cast. Like,

1:04:55

yeah, dude, Michael Pittman is awesome. Michael

1:04:57

Pittman is just a rock

1:04:59

solid starting receiver. Josh Downs

1:05:02

was always open last year. He's gonna just

1:05:04

crush people in the slot. And the fact

1:05:06

that they're gonna take Aidy Mitchell, who I

1:05:08

saw today as we're recording

1:05:10

this, his jersey number is

1:05:12

10 for the 10 receivers that

1:05:14

were drafted ahead of him. So he's fully leaning

1:05:17

into that whole thing. It just

1:05:19

reminds me so much of DK Metcalf in 2019.

1:05:22

I will never forget talking to DK Metcalf

1:05:24

for the 2019 draft, sitting

1:05:26

down with him in Nashville and having a great

1:05:28

conversation. And just then thinking a couple

1:05:30

days later where he fell to the end of the

1:05:33

second round, Aidy didn't quite fall that far, but that

1:05:35

was not a guy in DK Metcalf that thought he

1:05:38

was falling to the second round. And I think he

1:05:40

fell to the second round for some stupid reasons. And

1:05:42

I think Aidy Mitchell probably fell in

1:05:44

the second round for probably some stupid reasons,

1:05:47

because the film is really good. The

1:05:49

film is awesome. And the fact that he's just gonna

1:05:51

get dropped into that vertical X receiver role, whatever

1:05:55

any sort of caution I wanted to have

1:05:57

with Anthony Richardson in this Colts offense. I'm

1:06:00

completely like it's I'm grasping at straws now

1:06:02

for that confidence because we're taking out Alec

1:06:04

Pearson putting in ad Mitchell. It's such a

1:06:06

big upgrade. So yes Dalton. I am all

1:06:08

the way in on Anthony Richardson. You are

1:06:11

just like you

1:06:13

have gone beyond even all in at this point if you're

1:06:15

going to end up having a QB one. I'm

1:06:17

Jonathan Taylor that offensive line this offense

1:06:19

is going to be sick. Final thought

1:06:22

on Richardson he totaled 20 carries and

1:06:24

13 designed carries in his two

1:06:26

full games last year. I mean that's a pace for 170

1:06:28

carries 111 designed carries which would have tied

1:06:32

Jalen Hurts for the most of

1:06:35

the position. Yeah give me AR

1:06:38

all day. It's the

1:06:40

summer of Anthony Richardson. If this the

1:06:42

last three pods here leading into my vacation

1:06:44

have been any indication the fact that he

1:06:46

has come up on three straight shows and

1:06:49

it's only gotten the

1:06:52

excitement has only gotten ticked up. It's going to

1:06:54

be the summer of Anthony Richardson and like I

1:06:57

said there's just no way that could possibly end

1:06:59

poorly for us. But Dalton this was

1:07:01

awful. At least I waited till the end to

1:07:03

go to go about him and we made it

1:07:05

through the pod without Xavier Worthy was interesting but

1:07:07

Ricky Pearsall Slick Rick how did I I

1:07:10

failed him how we didn't get to talk about him

1:07:12

but love the fact that you love that his route

1:07:14

running and ability to beat man coverage as a Niner

1:07:17

fan we're all in on Slick Rick but that's more

1:07:19

dynasty and we got to wait for 2025 once

1:07:21

D-Bose probably moved. I have

1:07:24

a feeling that at some point

1:07:26

down the line whether it's this year or next year

1:07:28

Dalton and I are going to be doing like a

1:07:30

30 minute Ricky Pearsall segment. So yeah

1:07:32

we will be on that. Yeah

1:07:34

you have been warned with

1:07:36

that. That is going to

1:07:38

do it Dalton this episode I was excited

1:07:40

for it. You delivered especially

1:07:43

there at the end man. I mean I

1:07:46

am now so gassed up about the

1:07:48

Anthony Richardson thing. This has made my day so I

1:07:50

appreciate you for doing it. Appreciate you

1:07:52

Harmon as always man. Good talking ball with you. All

1:07:55

right everybody like I said that's going to

1:07:57

do it for this show. No promises but I think

1:07:59

one of some combination of the

1:08:01

other knuckleheads here at Yahoo Fantasy is gonna

1:08:03

do a little guest hosting episode later in

1:08:06

the week while I'm on vacation. A little

1:08:08

schedule release breakdown potentially. So be nice. Have

1:08:10

fun in your honeymoon. Have fun in your

1:08:12

honeymoon. Sorry. Yeah man, have a great time.

1:08:16

I'm looking forward to it. I am looking forward to

1:08:18

like literally how can I turn off all the notifications

1:08:21

on this phone here and spending

1:08:23

some some good quality time with my wife away

1:08:25

from the NFL. That's for

1:08:27

sure. So again, in my absence, listen

1:08:30

to the next show. Be nice.

1:08:32

I'll catch you all

1:08:35

when I'm back. Until then, we're out.

1:08:49

One, two, three, four.

1:08:52

Those are numbers. But you already

1:08:54

knew that. If you want to know

1:08:56

what number you're gonna pay each month for

1:08:58

your car, use Kelley Blue Book My Wallet

1:09:00

on AutoTrader. They're really good at numbers. AutoTrader.

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