Episode Transcript
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0:02
Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street
0:04
Lunch, our afternoon update on today's
0:06
market action, news and analysis. Good
0:11
afternoon. Today is Thursday, May 2nd, and
0:13
I'm your host, Kim Khan. Our top
0:15
story so far. Peloton Interactive
0:17
announced that Barry McCarthy is stepping
0:19
down from his role as CEO,
0:21
President and Board Director. McCarthy
0:24
will become a strategic advisor to the company through the
0:26
end of this year. The
0:28
Peloton board has initiated a search to
0:31
un-inify Peloton's next CEO. Meanwhile,
0:33
Karen Boone, current Peloton Chairwoman,
0:35
and Chris Brutso, a Peloton
0:37
Director, will serve as interim
0:40
co-CEOs. The company also announced
0:42
that it will lay off 15% of
0:44
its global workforce. The stock
0:46
initially popped on the announcement of leadership
0:48
change, but is now tumbling after it
0:51
missed quarterly consensus estimates on the top
0:53
and bottom lines. In
0:55
today's training, stocks are higher,
0:57
but the major averages are seeing resistance right
0:59
around the peak of where they were Wednesday
1:01
when Fed Chief Jay Powell was speaking. Rates
1:04
are mixed, coming off the lows after
1:06
another batch of Q1 data that lean
1:09
to the stagflationary side. Q1
1:11
non-farm productivity crept up 0.3% quarter on quarter, less
1:13
than the 0.9% expected, and slowing
1:18
markedly from the 3.5% pace in the previous quarter.
1:22
Current labor costs climbed 4.7% quarter
1:25
on quarter, much stronger than the 3.3%
1:27
expected, and accelerating from
1:29
0.4% in Q4 2023. The
1:33
measure reflects a 5% increase in
1:35
hourly compensation, along with the productivity
1:38
gain. But Wells Fargo
1:40
economists noted that when measured over the past
1:42
year, non-farm productivity growth is up 2.9%, the
1:44
strongest gain in three years. The
1:49
downward trend in ULCs points to inflationary pressure from the
1:51
jobs market
2:00
continuing to subside and is supportive of
2:02
inflation resuming its downward trend later this
2:04
year," they added. Initial
2:07
jobless claims stayed steady at $208,000 for
2:09
the week, a touch lower than expected. Continuing
2:12
claims fell to $1.774 million versus the
2:14
$1.8 million consensus. Among
2:18
active stocks, Novo Nordisk boosted its
2:21
full-year outlook on the back of
2:23
strong Q1 results, driven by increased
2:25
demand for its GLP1-based diabetes and
2:27
weight loss drugs of Zempic and
2:29
Wigovi. Wigovi sales were
2:32
the doubles and Ozempic sales grew
2:34
43 percent in constant currency. But
2:36
the stock edged down, as the company said,
2:38
and is facing pricing pressure from competitors. Fastly
2:42
plunged as Bank of America downgraded the
2:44
content delivery network company to underperform from
2:46
buy with a price target of $8.
2:51
Analyst Madeline Brooks says decelerating
2:53
growth in Fastly's largest customers,
2:55
share loss and delivery at limited visibility in
2:57
the second half, caused us to question a
3:00
rebound in 2024. While
3:02
we continue to like Fastly's positioning in
3:05
the edge compute market, we see it
3:07
as a 2025 opportunity instead
3:09
of a near-term growth driver. And
3:12
JP Morgan upgraded Carvana to overweight from
3:14
neutral. Analyst Raja
3:17
Gupta said Carvana's Q1 results showed
3:19
continued rapid progress on all fronts.
3:22
His view is that there is still ample room for
3:24
the company to accelerate growth. In
3:26
other needs of note, a former quality
3:29
auditor of Spirit Era Systems, who
3:31
alleged that the company leadership ignored
3:33
defects on Boeing's 737 MAX,
3:36
died Tuesday morning after struggling with
3:38
an infection. A
3:40
Seattle Times says Josh Dean lived
3:42
in Wichita, Kansas, where Spirit is
3:44
headquartered. He was 45 years old
3:46
and had been in good health. A
3:48
family member said Dean had died after two weeks
3:51
in critical condition. He had
3:53
provided testimony in a shareholder lawsuit against
3:55
Spirit and also filed a complaint with
3:57
the FAA that claimed serious and gross...
4:00
misconduct by senior quality management of
4:02
the 737 production line at the
4:04
company. Spirit is a supplier
4:06
of airplane parts to Boeing and Airbus. Dean
4:09
was a client of a South Carolina
4:11
law firm that also represented Boeing whistleblower
4:14
John Mitch Barnett. In March,
4:16
Barnett was found dead in an apparent suicide.
4:19
And in the Wall Street Research Corner, Ned
4:22
Davis Research's crowd sentiment poll ended
4:24
its third longest streak of optimism
4:26
since 1995. For
4:28
the first time in 20 weeks, the poll ended its
4:31
optimism zoom. NDR says the
4:33
S&P 500 returns have been slightly weaker
4:35
than average for the next three months
4:37
following periods of optimism ending. In
4:40
addition, analysts say that both optimism and
4:42
pessimism streaks have become more common, with
4:45
the six longer surrends of excessive optimism
4:47
coming after 2016. Analyst
4:50
Ed Klisold says, when it comes
4:52
to pessimism streaks, the 200-day streak
4:55
that ended in January of last
4:57
year reflected pervasive recession fears. That
4:59
was the second-longest rung after the 2008-2009 financial crisis. That's
5:04
all for today's Wall Street Lunch. Look for links
5:06
for stories in the show notes section. Don't
5:09
forget, these episodes will be up. Transcriptions.
5:11
speakingalpha.com. Google's website, www.gm.com.
5:15
And for a welcome coverage on
5:17
stocks and ETFs, go to speakingalpha.com/subscriptions.
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