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Today with Claire Byrne on RTE
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Radio 1, sponsored by Cash &
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Carrie Kitchens, at the heart of
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Irish homes for over 40 years.
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CashandCaricitchens.ie Now the Russian
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President Vladimir Putin received a red carpet
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welcome in the North Korean capital Pyongyang.
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It's Mr Putin's first visit to the
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country since the year 2000, although in
0:19
a sign of deepening
0:21
ties with North Korea's Kim
0:23
Yong-on, the two men also met
0:26
in Vladivostok last year. The
0:28
US and South Korea both claim
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that North Korean weapons have been
0:33
used on the front line in
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Ukraine. Well, for his analysis, I'm
0:37
joined by former British Ambassador to
0:40
both North Korea and Belarus, John
0:42
Everard. Good morning, John. Good morning,
0:44
Claire. We have this statement from
0:46
both leaders in the last little
0:48
while, the North Korean leader, saying
0:50
that relations between North Korea and
0:52
Russia had risen to a new
0:54
high level of alliance and
0:57
then Vladimir Putin saying that this
0:59
new strategic partnership packed signed by
1:01
the two men marked a significant
1:03
and historic moment in the country's
1:05
relations. So what is the message
1:07
that they are sending to us
1:10
today? Firstly, notice
1:12
that the Russians didn't use the word
1:14
alliance. They didn't endorse what the North
1:16
Koreans are trying to claim. The North
1:18
Koreans are desperate for formal allies, people
1:20
who will commit to intervening if they
1:22
get into trouble. The Russians are standing
1:24
back from that. But while we're talking
1:26
messages, Claire, I think the big message
1:28
is the one that came out yesterday
1:31
published jointly in the Russian and the
1:33
North Korean media, where there is a
1:35
joint statement by the two leaders rejecting
1:38
the rules-based international order, saying
1:40
this is just a bid for
1:42
US supremacy and it's based
1:44
on hypocrisy anyway. Now, this is
1:46
strong stuff. This is Russia
1:49
saying not just we don't like the way
1:51
things are, but that we believe the whole
1:53
system is rotten. The United Nations, the World
1:55
Bank, the International Court of Justice, all the
1:57
things we built since the Cold War, all
1:59
rubbish. We rip them up. We
2:01
start again. We're going back to the 18th
2:03
century, effectively, this naked power politics. This
2:06
is pretty bad. But
2:08
also, guys, the point here, there's
2:11
no notice. If you're going to
2:13
make a statement like that, just
2:15
putting out a very strong anti-Western,
2:18
anti-rules-based system position, then
2:20
you get around you, all the people
2:22
you can. Okay, so Putin has got
2:24
the North Koreans on board, but notice
2:26
the silence from both Beijing and Tehran.
2:30
Just deter them alone. The Chinese and the Iranians
2:32
have stood back. They don't like this at all.
2:35
Why? Because
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Tehran really doesn't want to stir things.
2:40
It's got quite enough on its plate
2:42
right now without its major friends going
2:44
around saying they want to rip up
2:46
the rules-based order. Beijing has
2:48
been very clear. It doesn't mind a rules-based order
2:50
at all. In fact, it rather likes it. It
2:52
just thinks the rules should be changed. And I
2:55
suspect that Xi Jinping is a gust to what
2:57
Putin is doing. And just
2:59
looking at where this leaves South
3:01
Korea now, this pact that the
3:04
two men have signed, these visits
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now coming a year apart,
3:09
that will serve to further
3:11
deter South Korea from any
3:13
attempt to help Ukraine from
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a weapons perspective. It
3:18
works both ways. I mean, yes, you're right.
3:21
South Korea is treading very carefully. On
3:24
the other hand, Putin knows that
3:26
if South Korea decides is going
3:28
to arm Ukraine, that's a game
3:30
changer. South Korea has one of
3:32
the biggest and most modern arms
3:35
industries anywhere in the world. So
3:37
far, the South Koreans have held
3:39
back probably because the Russians have
3:41
said that if they do arm
3:43
Ukraine, then Russia will help North
3:45
Korea more. But if as
3:48
a result of this visit, Russia
3:50
crosses any South Korean red lines and
3:52
South Korea starts to send high tech
3:54
weaponry to Ukraine, I suspect that Vladimir
3:56
Putin is going to rather regret his
3:58
bromance with Kim. wrong one. I
4:01
mean it is interesting, I mean
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it does show us how desperate
4:06
Vladimir Putin is for international alliances
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in that he is bodying up to
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North Korea seen as something of a
4:13
pariah state in international circles. Is that
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something that he will will be front
4:17
of mind with him at all? Yes,
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frankly if the first
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place you visit after your electoral
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victory quote-unquote is North Korea, you
4:28
have a problem. North Korea and
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to make the point that this is still
4:34
Vladimir Putin's show, notice he turned
4:36
up very late, made Kim Jong-un
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get out of bed and come and greet
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him at the airport at three o'clock in
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the morning. That was calculated rudeness and that
4:44
was Putin saying I call the shots here,
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if I say jump you say how high.
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It probably hasn't gone down very well in Pyongyang. And
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he does that regularly doesn't he? Depending on his
4:54
level of respect for the person that he's meeting
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he's either a little early or
4:58
a little late or very late. Yes,
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that's right. Putin nauseates these things
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very carefully to send messages. While
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we're talking about South Korea Claire,
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notice that the Chinese have got
5:10
a very senior delegation in Seoul
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in South Korea right now talking
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to the South Koreans about improving
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relations between South Korea and China.
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Beijing is signaling very clearly to North Korea,
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you go messing around with the Russians, fine,
5:24
you're entitled to do so but we have
5:26
other options and don't you forget it. And
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Putin, I just see here on
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the wires, is saying that he's
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not ruling out military technical cooperation
5:35
with North Korea. Again, that is
5:37
sending out signals isn't it and
5:39
threatening something in order to get
5:41
the attention of the West. Yes,
5:44
the attention of the West and probably attention
5:47
of South Korea too. Putin has a long
5:49
track record of rather vague promises on which
5:51
he never follows up. He just likes to
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creep people's flesh. Whether there's
5:55
anything behind this latest statement, well we hope not,
5:57
we'll just have to wait and see. No. I
6:00
see the North Koreans are saying that
6:02
relations have been raised to the level
6:04
of alliance, but you made the very
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important point that Russia is not saying
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that. No, that's
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right. Formally, there was a
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point when Russia and North Korea were
6:15
formal allies, so with the commitment to
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go to each other's aid if one
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or the other were attacked. That
6:22
was abrogated in, I think it was
6:24
1992, and it's never been reapplied. I'm
6:26
sure that Kim Jong-un would very much
6:28
like that alliance to be rekindled, but
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it doesn't sound like Vladimir Putin is
6:33
playing ball. And just explain to us
6:35
what the resistance is there from the
6:37
Russian side. Well,
6:40
would you want to be allied with North Korea?
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The place is unstable. And if North Korea finds
6:45
itself in a fight of any kind with South
6:47
Korea, then you find yourself obliged to attack South
6:49
Korea. Do you really want to do that, especially
6:51
to a fighting war in Ukraine at the same
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time? South Korea is a
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very, very heavily armed country, very high-tech,
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and be a formidable foe. Russia doesn't
7:00
up for that. Okay,
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John, we'll leave it there for now, but thank
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you very much for joining us. John Everard there,
7:07
former British ambassador to Belarus and
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North Korea. Coming up next, should
7:12
XL Bully Dogs be banned?
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