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Diplomacy, Ukraine and the consequences of Putin

Diplomacy, Ukraine and the consequences of Putin

Released Sunday, 4th September 2022
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Diplomacy, Ukraine and the consequences of Putin

Diplomacy, Ukraine and the consequences of Putin

Diplomacy, Ukraine and the consequences of Putin

Diplomacy, Ukraine and the consequences of Putin

Sunday, 4th September 2022
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Episode Transcript

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0:10

Welcome to the spy who

0:10

raised me podcast conversations

0:14

between a daughter and her

0:14

father. Yes, you've guessed it,

0:17

he was a spy. So Dad, we're sitting in

0:25

Aberdeenshire, in my husband

0:30

Mike's Furniture Workshop,

0:30

because it's the only cool

0:32

place. It's slap bang in a

0:32

heatwave, and you're up

0:35

visiting. I don't think the

0:35

temperature that we've reached

0:38

is as high as it is in the south

0:38

of England, which is merciful,

0:41

really, because I think they're

0:41

experiencing 36 to 40 degrees

0:45

Celsius. And we are a cool 28 or

0:45

29. Here, weather that we don't

0:51

normally experience. But still

0:51

field feels hot. It does. So

0:56

we're cool in the workshop. And

0:56

we've just been discussing

1:00

Ukraine and Russia. So we've

1:00

been in this awful situation

1:04

where Putin ordered a an

1:04

invasion of Ukraine. And it's

1:09

really made us think about and

1:09

talk about dad's career in

1:13

intelligence. And one of the

1:13

constants in your career was

1:19

Russia. Why was that? And what

1:19

do you think about what's going

1:23

on in Ukraine? Well, I think there's always

1:25

been an awareness that Russia

1:30

has the potential to be a very

1:30

bad neighbor in Europe, but also

1:35

across across the world. And

1:35

there have been so many

1:39

incidences of aggression, and of

1:39

Russia seeking to bring back

1:46

territory that they felt was

1:46

part of the Soviet Empire before

1:51

1989, before the collapse of

1:51

communism. So it's, it is

1:57

reached a point where all the

1:57

pundits are scratching their

2:03

heads because the invasion of

2:03

Ukraine has had repercussions

2:11

across the world, not just

2:11

between Europe, and Ukraine, and

2:16

Russia. But all the big powers

2:16

are being affected in some way.

2:21

And they're beginning to change

2:21

their, their approach, America

2:25

is probably Case in point,

2:25

certainly in Europe, with the

2:30

complications of Brexit, as far

2:30

as Britain is concerned, but

2:35

also in with the threat to some

2:35

of the the historically neutral

2:41

countries like Norway and

2:41

Sweden, who have always vowed

2:45

not to be part of NATO, and to

2:45

do the thing, which they've done

2:50

exceptionally well during the

2:50

Cold War. And they have kept

2:55

their neutrality, but now with

2:55

the pressure of Ukraine, and

2:59

Putin who seems somewhat

2:59

demented to the rest of the

3:04

world, but he has such a clear

3:04

vision, I think, as he seizes of

3:08

grabbing some of the land that

3:08

yet for was part of the Soviet

3:13

Union. So he, it's his strategy

3:13

is obviously, to try and take

3:21

back some of the areas like

3:21

Crimea, like Georgia, where he

3:26

feels that Russians are in

3:26

control or should be in control.

3:32

This is why and that part of the

3:32

coast of the Black Sea is trying

3:37

to negotiate a means by which he

3:37

can, he can take control of

3:43

larger areas. And this is a

3:43

great fear in Germany and other

3:48

countries in Europe. And of

3:48

course, economically, because it

3:53

was his control over energy

3:53

supplies. He has a very strong

3:58

hand play. And of course, the

3:58

Europeans are now sitting back

4:01

thinking, Oh, my God, why did we

4:01

agree to signing a deal giving

4:05

us her energy almost

4:05

predominantly from Russia. So

4:10

Russia now can control that they

4:10

can turn on the tap, they can

4:13

turn off the tap, but also with

4:13

the with the adage, shock of

4:19

invasion and the Ukraine, and

4:19

with the arsenal of weapons,

4:24

they have no which are not,

4:24

which are not just battlefield

4:28

weapons, but weapons that can

4:28

threaten far as America. They're

4:33

just so they're so well

4:33

organized, that we just have to

4:40

wait and see what the next move

4:40

is from Russia.

4:46

Politically, diplomatically.

4:46

What do you think is going on in

4:52

the intelligence circles, or

4:52

what has been going on since

4:56

Russia invaded? Give us an

4:56

insight into what sort of

5:00

Conversations, what sort of

5:00

international relations, what

5:04

sort of changes to international

5:04

security will have happened as a

5:09

result of this invasion? Well, I think it's changed quite

5:13

markedly since since the 80s.

5:17

Where it was a question of

5:17

having targets that were of

5:22

interest to the security

5:22

services in the UK and America,

5:28

Australia, and New Zealand. And

5:28

that has changed so much in the

5:34

last few years. I mean, the

5:34

types of weapons they're using,

5:39

the types of communication

5:39

they're using, just know very

5:43

difficult with the present,

5:43

communication set up to control

5:50

what's being said. And also the

5:50

Russians in particular,

5:55

probably, to a lesser extent,

5:55

the Chinese have the ability to

6:02

corrupt the communication

6:02

channels between between the

6:06

allies and between European

6:06

countries. So So cybersecurity

6:11

is such an important part of how

6:11

work gets done now. And of

6:17

course, America, I think, has

6:17

been slow to react to that as as

6:23

Europe, and everyone's beginning

6:23

to realize that they have to get

6:28

control of that Chinese Russians

6:28

may be working together, they

6:33

may not be, but it's a huge

6:33

threat when your own

6:38

communications are not secure.

6:38

When systems systems of of

6:46

collecting information is

6:46

corrupted by the Russians and by

6:50

the Chinese and by other

6:50

countries. So it's never quite

6:53

sure whether they can be certain

6:53

of cyber security, which is a

7:01

massive, massive consideration

7:01

if you're if you're looking at a

7:06

potential invasion of the whole

7:06

of Europe. And not America. I

7:13

don't think the Russians would

7:13

contemplate after this. You're

7:16

already in their 60s When when

7:16

they got into Cuba with nuclear

7:24

weapon. So that point about cyber

7:28

security, how does the

7:32

intelligence community so the

7:32

US, Europe and other allies, how

7:38

do they defend themselves from

7:38

that cyber threat? Is it just a

7:42

case of keeping one step ahead

7:42

of the Russians? Or are there

7:45

other techniques that you think

7:45

that they will be using?

7:50

Well, I think I think the

7:50

problem is it's so complicated

7:53

now. Because the Chinese, I

7:53

think, probably and Chinese in

7:58

particular, have been aware of

7:58

the possibilities of corrupting

8:05

collection, intelligence

8:05

collection by other countries.

8:08

But of course, they have been

8:08

instrumental in and providing a

8:13

lot of the components that are

8:13

used, and modern communications

8:17

tips and things like that. I

8:17

mean, they control not just the

8:21

manufacturer of those things,

8:21

but also the source of different

8:26

chemicals. They need to provide

8:26

that. So that's why in the last

8:31

decade, probably, the Brits have

8:31

been conscious of this massive

8:37

threat, and have the possibility

8:37

of all our communications being

8:42

subverted or mis directed, in

8:42

the sense that when they send

8:48

information, data information,

8:48

and satellite, if it's a

8:54

components of switch their their

8:54

communications are set up, were

8:59

manufactured in China, it's a

8:59

very difficult thing with the

9:05

software problems to find out

9:05

what what they've done, which is

9:10

why why are we there? You know,

9:10

all that. All that purely was,

9:15

was to do with with that, how

9:15

much do they know how much can

9:19

they control even even systems

9:19

of war, like guided missiles,

9:25

like a protective screens for

9:25

possibility of attack from

9:31

Russia? So I mean, all of that

9:31

is is just huge worry for people

9:39

and rush slow to begin, I think,

9:39

China in particular, over the

9:45

last 20 years, maybe more, have

9:45

been creating an empire which is

9:51

fairly do sir, not aggressive,

9:51

very intrusive at all these

9:55

countries were essential

9:55

chemicals. as necessary, they've

10:01

invested in them, they're now in

10:01

control of huge parts of the

10:06

world where they have unlimited

10:06

access to all those things that

10:11

are required for high tech

10:11

communication system. And, and I

10:16

think the Americans are just

10:16

beginning to realize that, of

10:20

course, they have a lot of

10:20

Chinese people who are learning

10:23

how to put communication systems

10:23

together, and Silicon Valley and

10:28

places like that. And to what

10:28

extent those people who have

10:31

been experimenting and

10:31

supporting investment in America

10:38

and in Europe, to what extent

10:38

some of the systems have been,

10:42

without the host countries

10:42

knowing have been incorporated

10:46

in these know what they are

10:46

supplying for the rest of the

10:50

world. So it's a very, very

10:50

complex situation. And of

10:55

course, you can see that by, by

10:55

the way, the bread and butter

10:59

Americans in whole of Europe,

10:59

have now increased dramatically

11:04

in the amount of people who are

11:04

working on cybersecurity.

11:10

And, of course, GCHQ has

11:10

invested a huge amount into

11:14

cyber, they've got a new

11:14

facility in London, or they've

11:17

ramped up their recruitment, and

11:17

also their outreach into the

11:20

community to try and find good

11:20

people to go and work in in

11:24

GCHQ. Because of this cyber

11:24

threat, how far do you think

11:28

they will have come in those

11:28

years since they've ramped up

11:32

their cyber focus? What I can gather and what I can

11:35

glean from various sources, they

11:41

are way ahead of Europe, the way

11:41

ahead of America sets out in

11:46

America, they have certain areas

11:46

where they have invested a lot

11:51

of money, but it's still the

11:51

case that, you know, as far as

11:56

certainly the armed forces are

11:56

concerned, they are very nervous

12:02

about deploying troops and

12:02

equipment to places like well,

12:10

like the Ukraine, whether and in

12:10

Afghanistan, whether the quality

12:16

of the information they're

12:16

getting, and what on which they

12:19

base their their approach to

12:19

invaded countries like like

12:27

Afghanistan, they're not at all

12:27

sure that that what they have

12:31

is, is bona fide D and can be

12:31

used as the sole source of of

12:37

background intelligence. So what other sources would they

12:39

be using to get

12:43

that information? Well, I'm in

12:43

the US the normal using

12:48

diplomatic sources, but also

12:48

targeting I guess, some of the

12:52

leaders who are who are, like

12:52

Putin, to try and build up a

12:58

picture of what their thought

12:58

processes might may be, because

13:03

it's not just a question now,

13:03

wondering whether countries like

13:07

Russia can be a huge, important

13:07

force and attacking other

13:12

countries. We know they are, we

13:12

know that ahead. Some of them

13:15

and we know that energy and

13:15

supply of gas and oil and dirt

13:21

is such a crucial factor because

13:21

they can't they know that they

13:27

can turn the tap off and and

13:27

cripple European system that

13:32

depends so heavily on energy and

13:32

why, why those countries,

13:37

particularly Germany, were

13:37

foolish enough to sign into

13:42

that. And it just shows you that

13:42

the economics of countries and

13:47

areas has changed so

13:47

dramatically. For sources of

13:52

food, heating, aging, population

13:52

populations, increasing

13:57

populations, all other things

13:57

are factors. And of course, the

14:00

supply of energy is, is a nerve

14:00

nerve center. Because if you

14:06

don't have gas, if you don't

14:06

have various thing, you don't

14:09

have the supplies that should be

14:09

coming in and from other

14:15

countries, countries like Africa

14:15

and DRC, like Kazakhstan. I

14:20

mean, there's so many sources

14:20

now of essential chemicals from

14:27

other countries that we've just

14:27

missed the plot I think in all

14:32

those areas, which Manchuria

14:32

choose another one I can I can

14:39

think of where they've been

14:39

working out where the Chinese in

14:41

particular, looking for sources

14:41

of energy that they can control

14:48

and that is pretty put the whole

14:48

of the Western world and, and

14:54

our predicament that none of

14:54

them's for so at least if they

14:58

did they weren't aware If the

14:58

seriousness of the situation,

15:03

and it takes me on to thinking

15:03

about sanctions, you know,

15:06

they're all well and good,

15:06

putting sanctions on Russia. But

15:11

some countries, some companies

15:11

really struggle to separate

15:16

those ties, because they're so

15:16

dependent on energy from Russia.

15:21

So we can sanction and stop

15:21

imports and stop money

15:24

movements. But as long as that

15:24

energy supply is still there, as

15:28

the world prices have gone up to

15:28

the to the level that they are,

15:32

then there's still a steady

15:32

supply of income for Russia to

15:36

be able to fund what it needs to

15:36

do in Ukraine.

15:40

Absolutely. And of course,

15:40

energy means food, because you

15:45

need energy to, to manufacture

15:45

fertilizer, you need money to be

15:52

able to store huge amounts of

15:52

food, as is the case in the

15:56

Ukraine, where they have huge

15:56

storage areas for for different

16:03

types of grain. I mean, they

16:03

have produced what 10% of the

16:07

food and in the civilized world,

16:07

so So here we are with a

16:10

situation where an ADESA and

16:10

other points across the Black

16:16

Sea, that are huge amounts of

16:16

grain from from last year, and

16:23

can't move up. And no, no, it

16:23

sounds like whether it's true,

16:28

whether it's not the Russians

16:28

are beginning to move some of

16:33

that, especially in the Donbass

16:33

that that area, which makes you

16:39

think, Well, what should they be

16:39

doing in the Black Sea, because

16:42

the Black Sea is as they have

16:42

access to it. So has the

16:47

Ukraine, there has darky. So I

16:47

have a few other countries. And

16:51

you would think that if there

16:51

was a pinch point, now in that

16:56

area to make sure that at least

16:56

parts of the rest of the world

17:01

could benefit from, from those

17:01

huge storage of food. That, as

17:08

with them, as of the ship, the

17:08

battleship was sunk and the

17:13

Black Sea a few months ago, I

17:13

mean, that that sort of thing

17:17

will harass the Russians, and

17:17

perhaps make them reach a point

17:22

where they're thinking, well,

17:22

this isn't working. But once

17:26

you've got files, they've got

17:26

that and as you're saying, Jane,

17:29

the fact that they have control

17:29

of the energy, they're so

17:34

strong, I mean, they're really

17:34

so strong, and it's going to be

17:38

so difficult to send the

17:38

Ukraine, we're lucky that the

17:42

Ukrainians are so well

17:42

organized. And and, you know,

17:47

politically but also with armed

17:47

forces. They I don't think

17:53

anybody realized they were so

17:53

dedicated to gang. And I mean,

17:58

they managed to, they managed to

17:58

subvert their Russian invasion

18:03

in various spaces. But when you

18:03

see that the absolute, certainly

18:08

unbelievable amount of weapons

18:08

that Russia has stored over the

18:11

past two decades or so. I mean,

18:11

they've just, it's incredible.

18:18

And so but the Ukrainians, given

18:18

the circumstances going some,

18:23

given some support by other

18:23

countries, given some systems

18:27

that can nullify the Russians

18:27

with their superior weapons.

18:34

They've done a fantastic job,

18:34

right.

18:37

Yeah, I agree, dad. And it's

18:37

it's interesting, heartening,

18:44

just sobering to see how Ukraine

18:44

has responded. I mean, there's

18:49

such patriotism, such love of

18:49

their land. Those poor people

18:54

have been through so much

18:54

destroyed everything that they

18:57

have. And under great

18:57

leadership, I mean, Zelensky has

19:04

been tremendous, hasn't the

19:04

rallying his opponents in the

19:10

political sphere to support him,

19:10

his decision making the country

19:16

the nation has been behind him,

19:16

despite some horrible decisions

19:21

for families where the men of

19:21

the family have been left in

19:24

Ukraine to fight and meanwhile,

19:24

families parents have moved away

19:30

from Ukraine to safety, which is

19:30

absolutely right. But that

19:33

dedication to the leader and to

19:33

the cause for the country is

19:37

just you don't expect it in this

19:37

era. Do you

19:41

know you're doing I think, you

19:41

know, the situation where I

19:46

live, some of the refugees

19:46

Ukrainian refugees are now

19:50

settled in villages around

19:50

Oxfordshire, which is an amazing

19:56

thing, but it's so it's quite

19:56

humbling to see because of it

20:00

Elijah I live in, there are now

20:00

an excess of 50 Ukrainian

20:05

refugees who have moved in and

20:05

it's only a village with 300

20:08

homes, I think so it's so it's

20:08

incredible. But you can see

20:13

firsthand the difficulties that

20:13

some of these families have.

20:17

Because the scenario if a male

20:17

is over eating, they can't leave

20:24

the Ukraine, they have to fight

20:24

in whatever part of the armed

20:30

forces. So there's this very

20:30

difficult situation where, where

20:38

people come, come to this

20:38

country settle. And they're just

20:46

remarkably well, they're just

20:46

fantastic people. But you'll

20:50

hear some someone talking to

20:50

their husband who's in the front

20:54

line. And you can hear the sound

20:54

of shelling as

20:59

it has spoken to some of the

20:59

people living in your village in

21:03

North Morton, it's been just

21:03

wonderful to see how the

21:06

community has embraced people

21:06

from Ukraine, mothers, children,

21:13

God's sons, nephews, just that

21:13

not only have you seen families

21:19

within the UK taking people in,

21:19

but you've also seen families

21:23

from Ukraine, helping one

21:23

another out to bring pets and

21:27

children over. But it's just

21:27

been so lovely to see how the

21:31

community has rallied in in your

21:31

village and really embrace them

21:37

help them because they've come

21:37

here with absolutely nothing

21:40

other than their passports. And

21:40

they have to set up their lives

21:44

from scratch, they've got no

21:44

money, they've got no

21:47

citizenship, nowhere to go to

21:47

school. So they come needing all

21:52

of that setups, the families

21:52

have not only welcomed them in,

21:54

but they've also sorted out

21:54

everything that they need in

21:57

their lives, dentists, doctors,

21:57

social security, support,

22:01

hospital appointments, doctor's

22:01

appointments, Getting Started at

22:04

a new school, you know, just it's never ending. And it's,

22:07

it's happened so quickly. I

22:12

mean, from the first indication

22:12

that, you know, we in the

22:16

village could could accept

22:16

refugee, it's, it's just

22:21

phenomenal how quickly it's been

22:21

set up, our lines of

22:24

communication have been set up,

22:24

how the schools have been, you

22:29

know, consulted. And I mean,

22:29

they have they have been most

22:34

incredible, it's quite an

22:34

interesting aside that some of

22:37

the private schools, and there

22:37

are a lot of people, children

22:42

from that area, from the village

22:42

I live in, but also in that in

22:46

that area who go to private

22:46

school, lots of different

22:49

private schools that are quite

22:49

prestigious. And it was quite an

22:54

interesting thing to observe how

22:54

quickly local primary schools

23:00

and secondary schools reaching

23:00

out to the refugee children,

23:05

within weeks of them arriving we

23:05

were single, well, we could

23:09

maybe do this, I don't think we

23:09

private schools were quite so

23:12

forthcoming. But there's, there's there has

23:12

been some lovely stories of 100%

23:17

support for, you know, bright

23:17

children to go into, you know,

23:24

other forms of education,

23:24

private grammar, because they

23:28

were on a really good trajectory

23:28

back in Ukraine. And it's been

23:32

great to see those examples, as

23:32

well as the, you know, the state

23:35

schools welcoming them in and

23:35

gearing them themselves up to

23:40

have language skills to be able

23:40

to support these children. As

23:44

they come into school. Some of

23:44

them don't speak English.

23:47

And they don't speak English,

23:47

but they have they have an

23:50

aptitude for language. And it's

23:50

amazing how quickly I mean, a

23:55

lot of the villagers have got

23:55

together so they have a class of

24:00

I think it's four villagers,

24:00

people who volunteer to go and

24:05

set up language training thing

24:05

in the village hall, which is

24:10

which is great. But and it's

24:10

interesting to see to the

24:14

disparity and, and education

24:14

facilities throughout the United

24:20

Kingdom. One one very bright

24:20

young Ukrainian who, who moved

24:27

into the village a few months

24:27

ago, he he was saying his

24:32

contacting a couple of

24:32

universities. And he he said,

24:37

and I think Glasgow University

24:37

might be might replace and I

24:42

said why Glasgow University

24:42

said, Well, it's got a good

24:45

reputation which also you don't

24:45

have to pay.

24:51

And it was interesting, we, I

24:51

know, there was a family in your

24:55

village where there was a

24:55

possibility of a one of the

24:58

children going to a private A

24:58

school. And the mother made the

25:02

decision absolutely correctly

25:02

for her circumstance that the

25:07

schools a long way away, she

25:07

didn't know how long that school

25:10

would support her child. And

25:10

also, it was likely that she was

25:15

as her mother, she was likely to

25:15

be working in the town where the

25:18

local comprehensive was. And so

25:18

for her, the practical and the

25:21

right decision was for the child

25:21

to go to the local

25:24

comprehensive, where they could

25:24

travel in in the morning

25:27

together, it would save them

25:27

cost a free bus that would take

25:32

them in so the practicalities of

25:32

living have dictated a lot of

25:37

the decisions that the families have made. Yeah, that's true. I mean, all

25:39

of them seem very sensible. And,

25:44

and the interesting thing, too,

25:44

is how, how quickly, they have

25:51

become a group. Not one, it's

25:51

that a divorce from the

25:56

activities of the village, but

25:56

one that's seeking to join some

26:05

of the committees to be a part of that community.

26:08

And one really good example that

26:11

was the project you started

26:11

during lockdown, which was

26:14

putting up polytunnels on

26:14

community owned land, and you

26:19

gained funding from the local

26:19

community council to put up

26:22

those polytunnels? Well, number

26:22

two is going up now. And you've

26:27

said that that's been a real

26:27

draw for the Ukrainian people in

26:32

your community. They've come

26:32

they want to grow things.

26:35

Yeah. They love doing that. So

26:35

now we've got I mean, we've

26:39

encouraged in the very

26:39

beginning, and some of them have

26:43

quite close to the, to the

26:43

project, and they come now so

26:48

they'll come and say, Oh, we we

26:48

got some cabbages and we got

26:54

this guy, but they don't stop

26:54

there. Then what happens a

26:58

couple of days later, they'll

26:58

come and say, Oh, we've made

27:02

this you know, like salads or

27:02

there's one dish where he's

27:08

chopped up various things like

27:08

beet juice and other vegetables.

27:12

Because borscht the so that

27:12

they've planted loads or

27:17

beetroot and radish and

27:17

pumpkins. And there's a chatting

27:22

all the time saying, Hey, we

27:22

could do this, do that. And you

27:27

heard about the the event. They

27:27

organized themselves, no help

27:32

from the village, and recreation

27:32

grand and they set up Sonic a

27:38

couple of weeks ago, very

27:38

secretive it was and they

27:42

weren't telling us what they

27:42

were tending to do. But when it

27:47

happened on the night, I think

27:47

it must have been about 100. And

27:51

I know 120 People, okay, and

27:51

they had made all the food, her

27:56

dress up and national dress

27:56

done. The Ukrainian well

28:01

welcoming dance are the holes in

28:01

all 50 or however many that were

28:07

stood up. One little girl did a

28:07

wee bit of DOCTYPE dancing. And

28:16

one was an opera singer. So all

28:16

this was going on. It was

28:21

bizarre because they were they

28:21

would come come as people came

28:26

and recreation. They were coming

28:26

up and welcoming those who spoke

28:31

English or saying Welcome, come

28:31

and have a drink. And that was

28:36

a lovely thing. It's just it

28:36

shows how grateful they are and

28:42

how much they want to share

28:42

their culture comes back to that

28:47

point about how you know how

28:47

that sense of pride national

28:53

pride is just so strong in

28:53

Ukraine. And we've seen that

28:59

every turn in this conflict,

28:59

haven't we

29:02

so adept, one of the you know,

29:02

listening to some of my I can I

29:08

got involved in, in dropping

29:08

some of the closer one engineer

29:13

who didn't the village wants to

29:13

go shopping. I would say well

29:17

just just text me. I can take

29:17

you out and you see. So that was

29:21

fine. But they were saying as as

29:21

they have settled, they've also

29:28

began to be more open about

29:28

what's happening in the Ukraine.

29:32

You see, I was chatting to one

29:32

who speaks good English. And I

29:35

said what's it like in those

29:35

areas where, you know, there are

29:40

some Russian speaking and she

29:40

said it's really difficult. She

29:43

said, we know this family viewed

29:43

themselves as Ukrainian. But we

29:49

have other bits of the family

29:49

who are further east in the

29:52

Donbass and some in Russia, and

29:52

she said it's just impossible.

29:57

There is so much bad

29:57

information. Sure. And of

30:00

course, the Russian media is

30:00

controlled, every bit of it is

30:05

controlled. So the stuff that

30:05

they're spouting is Russia is so

30:10

so closed. No, no. What all the

30:10

news. So then to say to Russian

30:18

people in the Ukraine, terror

30:18

and Ukrainians, were doing this,

30:23

it's not a war, really, we're

30:23

doing so it's a military

30:27

exercise, which is absolute

30:27

nonsense. So that all that it's

30:33

created a lot of divisions in

30:33

between the Ukrainians and the

30:38

Russians in that meta familial level. That's

30:41

that's, you don't think about

30:44

that? Do you? And Dad, how do

30:44

you think this will play out?

30:49

You know, the conflicts been

30:49

going on for well over six

30:53

months now? It doesn't look like

30:53

it's going to abate. What are

30:58

your views? How do you think

30:58

this will play out? How do you

31:01

think it will end? Well, I think it's so difficult

31:03

because I mean, you know, got

31:07

America has taken quite a strong

31:07

hand in is having, I think, lost

31:16

their ascendancy and oil

31:16

politics because of Afghan

31:21

Afghanistan, basically. And, of

31:21

course, with Brexit and all the

31:27

shenanigans that the Europeans

31:27

and Turkey was a big was a big

31:34

part of is a big part of what's

31:34

happening because they sound as

31:38

if, although douarnenez is one

31:38

of Putin's friends, he does

31:46

sound as if he's backed off a

31:46

bit from that and is beginning

31:49

to look at other countries, and

31:49

also the food supplies from from

31:55

and that's going to be a huge

31:55

issue because because it affects

32:00

you know, all the countries and

32:00

especially in Africa who are

32:03

suffering like Somalia and

32:03

Eritrea. And while throughout

32:08

throughout Africa, we just will

32:08

not have enough food so so we're

32:12

gonna try and release I think I

32:12

think the Ukrainians probably

32:15

have managed to split it summer,

32:15

some of those stored corn and

32:20

samplers, it's a bit dimeric.

32:20

The Russians have they think

32:25

managed to stop that in certain

32:25

areas, and they have taken some

32:30

of the food because they'll be

32:30

shorter food to feeding an army

32:33

that that, you know, go away

32:33

from multiple.

32:37

Just just hearing you say that,

32:37

you know, there's no, I don't

32:41

sense from you that you see this

32:41

ending anytime soon. I feel the

32:45

same. Just feel there is

32:45

escalation, if anything, because

32:51

the Ukrainians are getting more

32:51

armaments, more defense support.

32:58

NATO is still doing its job of

32:58

being, you know, it's slightly

33:06

impartial self or a slightly

33:06

impartial force. But it is also

33:13

gaining in strength. So Norway

33:13

and Sweden, you know, that's a

33:17

big move. Turkey backing down on

33:17

not allowing them to join is a

33:22

big move. So there are some

33:22

some, you know, big things

33:26

happening within the defense

33:26

world. But I don't like you, I

33:29

don't see an end to this anytime

33:29

soon, which is gravely worrying

33:34

from a practical point of view,

33:34

energy, food, inflation, but

33:40

also, from a world security

33:40

perspective. If anything, one

33:46

positive thing that will come

33:46

out of this is the international

33:49

relationships post COVID, where

33:49

most countries become very

33:53

became very nationalistic,

33:53

focused on survival of their

33:57

nation, getting people

33:57

vaccinated. If anything, it has

34:01

opened up the world to unite

34:01

some parts of the world to unite

34:05

over this over this issue. I think that's I think that's

34:07

true. And I think that's a good

34:11

thing. That sort of sort of

34:11

happened, but we're still you

34:16

know, I mean, some of the

34:16

Western nations, Europe and

34:20

America, certainly they're, you

34:20

know, they have ambivalent views

34:25

on refugees, for example. I

34:25

mean, it's got this huge climate

34:29

change. With that lack of food

34:29

with with the increase in

34:34

population, the numbers are

34:34

appearing. It's going to be a

34:39

bigger and bigger problem. And

34:39

people maybe predominantly from

34:44

Africa, but also other poor

34:44

nations, that they're going to

34:48

they're going to start up the

34:48

tempo and they'll be looking for

34:53

for settling another country and

34:53

our attitude and I think

34:57

probably Americans attitude,

34:57

it's It's such a controversial

35:02

thing. And I mean, I, I can, you

35:02

know, when you look back at

35:06

angler Merkel and her famous

35:06

began when she when she let her

35:11

and I don't know how many there

35:11

is a million or something or

35:14

half a million refugees. She's

35:14

East German, so that would

35:18

probably have affected her. But

35:18

I mean, we're gonna have to

35:21

relax and the number of people

35:21

we're allowed to come in and

35:24

sending them off to Rwanda, for

35:24

example, it's just wow.

35:29

Yeah. Let's not get on to Boris

35:29

Johnson and his politics, we'll

35:34

be here for another three hours.

35:34

just laughable,

35:39

who says she's. So yeah, so

35:39

that's all interesting journey.

35:44

And I think, you know, future

35:44

podcasts we now have, I mean, we

35:49

haven't made podcasts for for

35:49

quite some time, for simple

35:52

reason that, that so much is

35:52

happening, you feel know that so

35:57

much happening, that it's not up

35:57

to date, podcast on what is

36:03

happening, maybe with, with a

36:03

different view, and just some, I

36:07

mean, some of that some of the

36:07

reporting, that we're hearing

36:11

now is just fantastic. You know,

36:11

like John Simpson, and others

36:16

who are really digging in and

36:16

getting some some valuable

36:20

stuff, you know, from UK and

36:20

within Ukraine, but also also in

36:25

the Russian area. Yeah. ever grateful to our

36:26

media. And we're, we're so lucky

36:31

to have media that's free. And

36:31

like that, and how that are

36:35

funded to be able to go out and

36:35

tell these stories, and long may

36:39

that continue, and dangerous have been seven

36:41

days assignment. Oh,

36:45

yeah, they take on, it's such a

36:45

huge personal responsibility, I

36:48

don't know. But anyway, Dad,

36:48

that's 40 minutes. And it is,

36:53

and it's been absolutely lovely

36:53

talking to you in person. And we

36:57

don't see enough of each other.

36:57

And I do love listening to you,

37:00

we've learned so much about your

37:00

views and your past and your

37:04

thoughts. And you think deeply

37:04

about things you listen to so

37:08

much. And you've had you've had

37:08

LBC up to your ear for the last

37:12

24 hours listening to what's

37:12

going on in the world. And you

37:16

know that that's such a healthy

37:16

way to live your life about, you

37:20

know, what's going on the world

37:20

keeping up to date and having

37:23

debates like this. So thank you.

37:25

I think it is wonderful. You

37:25

think it'll make a difference in

37:28

the long run all this, you know,

37:28

navel gazing, and they can see

37:34

whether our system political and

37:34

economic 10 koolart will look

37:39

back and five years time and

37:39

say, Well,

37:42

I hope so. I think conversation

37:42

is the starting point for

37:47

resolution. And I think if more

37:47

people talk about their

37:51

differences, as well as where

37:51

they agree, then you know, and I

37:57

wish Solinsky and Putin could do

37:57

that. But it's it's not going to

38:01

happen anytime too soon. So in

38:01

the meantime, we'll watch on and

38:06

see what Britain's going to do. You

38:06

know that you know, the dog

38:09

litter burden in the village or

38:09

suddenly has breached or if a

38:15

dog ran ran the back of the

38:15

benefit Putin.

38:23

Well, on that note, let's go and

38:23

get a glass of homemade

38:27

elderflower cordial which is

38:27

fermenting so we might be a bit

38:30

sozzled after we've, we've drunk it. That's great. And I think the

38:32

sun has is behind clouds now.

38:38

I think it might be a might be a

38:38

little bit cooler out there.

38:40

Thank you

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