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Nicolas Sarkozy's 'Certain Idea of France' | Secrets of Statecraft | Andrew Roberts | Hoover Institution

Nicolas Sarkozy's 'Certain Idea of France' | Secrets of Statecraft | Andrew Roberts | Hoover Institution

Released Monday, 17th June 2024
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Nicolas Sarkozy's 'Certain Idea of France' | Secrets of Statecraft | Andrew Roberts | Hoover Institution

Nicolas Sarkozy's 'Certain Idea of France' | Secrets of Statecraft | Andrew Roberts | Hoover Institution

Nicolas Sarkozy's 'Certain Idea of France' | Secrets of Statecraft | Andrew Roberts | Hoover Institution

Nicolas Sarkozy's 'Certain Idea of France' | Secrets of Statecraft | Andrew Roberts | Hoover Institution

Monday, 17th June 2024
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0:05

Nicolas Sarkozy was President of France between 2007 and 2012.

0:13

Who taught you history?

0:16

And a sense of the past, has it played an important part in your life and career?

0:25

Would like to say that I've had a magnificent history teacher.

0:32

Unfortunately, very often at school I felt bored.

0:41

And I had to educate myself by myself,

0:48

and I started to be a real student after the baccalaureate.

0:55

I think that you can say that I have started slowly in life, but

1:01

I was not, placing any limits.

1:07

And I understood very soon

1:10

when I started in politics when I was 18,

1:20

that everything always started in the same way.

1:25

Peoples don't change.

1:30

The mode of people doesn't change.

1:36

And I understood that in order to be modern, you have to understand the past.

1:43

Fascinating. and I think you're so right about, about human nature.

1:51

At what moments of your presidency did you most feel the weight

1:54

of history on your shoulders?

1:59

Every second, every minute, every day

2:06

When you are president,

2:10

there are no small or big decisions.

2:15

There are no small or big days.

2:22

The worst

2:24

travels can come from the smallest decisions.

2:28

the sense of history, the weight of history,

2:36

I felt it as soon as I went down down the Champs Élysées on the very first day.

2:42

And I felt it when I left the Élysée Palace on the last day.

2:47

At the time of the bicentenary of the Battle of Austerlitz, the French

2:53

left criticized Napoleon for the sexism of the perceived sexism,

2:58

sexism of the Code Napoleon and for crushing the Haitian slave revolt.

3:05

Is his memory a right versus left issue in France today?

3:11

The left always criticizes everybody who has succeeded.

3:18

Hahaha

3:22

And the left has not a very good taste in terms of lessons from history.

3:32

What are worth criticisms against Napoleon?

3:36

Coming from people who admire Robespierre,

3:43

Danton, and Marat.

3:46

What criticism is worth against Napoleon?

3:51

Coming from people sanctify the Commune of Paris,

3:58

which was a real disgrace who forget that the French Revolution of which they're so proud,

4:10

finished with the terror of which we would be so ashamed,

4:17

And it was Napoleon who. took the mob out of French politics and took the guillotine, essentially

4:25

that ended the reign of terror.

4:28

so do, should, do ordinary Frenchmen, admire him and revere him?

4:36

Napoleon.

4:40

Is the product of disorder coming from the revolution and the terror.

4:46

French people,

4:49

like all peoples around the world need authority.

4:55

Order. Leadership.

5:00

And ambition.

5:02

So if you ask French people,

5:07

Napoleon is very much in their pantheon.

5:13

Unfortunately, it didn't finish well.

5:21

your grandfather was a staunch Gauliste, to, to move from one

5:27

great Frenchman to another.

5:31

what is the legacy of Charles de Gaule the founder of the

5:35

Fifth Republic in France today?.

5:40

France is a country.

5:45

Which is capable of the worst as well as the best.

5:49

The best.

5:53

When France is led by, big leaders.

5:58

Louis XIV, François I, Saint Louis, Charles de Gaulle,

6:06

Napoleon. The worst, when France is not guided.

6:16

The worst can come about

6:19

at that point.

6:23

France likes great ambitions and great leaders.

6:28

Doesn't like small ambitions and small leaders

6:35

France is royalist because it has killed its own king.

6:45

France likes, great kings and great leaders ' cause it

6:50

is more rewarding to kill.

6:56

In a theoretical sense, a great leader or a great king than a very small one.

7:02

Is that why French presidents always, by the cartoonists get

7:07

dressed up in Louis the 14th?

7:11

the grand robes of Louis the 14th, is it an attempt to bring down ordinary leaders?

7:20

Undoubtedly, the president of the Republic is the heir of a very royal tradition

7:31

where the king had all powers.

7:35

The president doesn't hold all the powers.

7:38

Let us say that.

7:43

Royalty led to a leadership,

7:47

which is not

7:51

a parliamentary system that our British friends know with a king.

7:57

Yes, we see that in America, don't we, because the French pre the American President,

8:01

has more power than even King George III, who they revolted against.

8:10

Even, I always thought that the United States, who have never had a king,

8:17

have given themselves royal families.

8:23

Kennedy. It's a family

8:26

Bush.

8:30

It is true that Trump has not got much royal, characteristics.

8:38

The Clintons came close, but didn't quite make it.

8:42

Clinton, Bill, Hillary, and their daughter even.

8:48

Absolutely.

9:00

And she, if she were the Democratic nominee, could have beaten,

9:06

president Trump in this election.

9:15

But I know Michelle Obama well.

9:19

And it is certain that she has great leadership,

9:25

just like Hillary Clinton also had great leadership.

9:28

You won the 2007 election against Ségolène Royale of the Socialist Party.

9:37

which has now virtually disappeared in French politics.

9:42

How will historians of the future explain this phenomenon?

9:47

Because the left wasn't able to renew its speech, its discourse.

9:56

France is the country in Europe where taxes are highest.

10:06

Where the distribution of riches is the highest

10:14

and where the feeling of injustice is also highest.

10:20

So what is left for the left to say?

10:24

Raise taxes.

10:28

It's impossible at the level they are at.

10:34

And this reminds me a little bit of the period before Margaret Thatcher in the UK.

10:43

The marginal charge of, taxes was 98% at that point in the UK.

10:51

And we had, you had to wait until Tony Blair

10:56

in order to renew completely the thought process, on the left.

11:03

The French left doesn't have such a leader

11:07

Turning from the left to the hard right. There are hard right governments in Italy and Hungary, and they are

11:15

strong in Holland, and they are junior members of coalitions, in

11:24

several ruling coalitions in Europe.

11:30

the hard right is projected to win more seats than the European People's

11:34

Party in the coming elections.

11:38

What can be done about this rise of the hard right, especially amongst the young?

11:48

It was a great mistake to imagine that Brexit was an English problem

11:53

that was a European problem.

12:00

European leaders should have paid more attention to the discontent

12:07

expressed by British people.

12:11

Because the European model was out of breath.

12:15

Now, as far as the hard right is concerned,

12:20

the journalists still call them.

12:23

Extreme right far right, but they're no longer far right

12:28

Saying that there's too much immigration is not really, the purview of, the

12:40

far right It is just common sense.

12:44

Sayin that you want to defend the identity of your country

12:49

is not a notion that belongs only to the far right.

12:53

It's a question of common sense.

12:56

So the discontent from people on immigration

13:03

was, negated by the elite.

13:08

It was silenced.

13:11

And now, the people of Europe want to be heard. The peoples of Europe want to make their voice heard.

13:20

So we're living on a Europe that has worked quite well over the last 70 years.

13:28

But it is time to invent the new Europe for the next 70 years.

13:36

At that point, we'll be able to, offer the British a possibility to come back in.

13:45

And at that point, we will, be able to do both integration and enlargement.

13:52

Speaking of integration, you had a strong relationship with, Angela Merkel.

13:59

Today, the Franco German entente seems under various strains.

14:05

How important is it for Europe to have a powerful French

14:12

German entente at its core? It's absolutely vital.

14:17

France and Germany went to war every 30 years

14:23

between Louis XIV and 1945.

14:30

We have witnessed three world wars, not two, three,

14:37

because the war in 1871 was also a World War.

14:43

Peoples don't change.

14:50

And it is thanks to Europe that we have piece between France and Germany

14:55

we have no choice either we are friends or we are enemies.

15:03

Countries do not move to a different address.

15:07

And when France and Germany is at war, it's the whole

15:13

of Europe that is destroyed. That is a vital subject.

15:18

I've often had disagreements with Mrs Merkel.

15:24

We are very different. But I have never said a word against her publicly.

15:32

Because the consequences of such public opposition are too serious.

15:38

We French people, we can, fight with the Italians.

15:45

That doesn't matter at all, because we love each other.

15:48

With the Germans. It's not possible but the British, it is more complicated.

15:55

I always wanted for Britain to stay in Europe.

16:00

I've also, I even wanted the first president of Europe

16:04

to be Tony Blair, British.

16:09

I admire Britain

16:12

and I thought that the entente cordiale

16:18

was very little. I wanted to push it to the friendly entente .

16:24

I've had a very good working relationship with Tony Blair . With Gordon Brown also, and even with David Cameron.

16:32

For me, Brexit is a useless divorce.

16:40

Many statements today are thinking deeply about how to compete with

16:43

China, but also to, contain China.

16:49

Where do you think we're heading?

16:52

. I'm not as pessimistic as that.

16:57

I think it's rather good news that China wants to play a world role.

17:05

Because we need china in order to fight against climate change.

17:15

To bring peace.

17:17

If we were, Chinese, we would do exactly what they're doing.

17:27

I add to that, that it is not the Chinese who want to have the first position.

17:35

It's the Americans since Obama,

17:39

who have decided not to hold the first position.

17:45

And nature doesn't like void.

17:49

Furthermore, for me, the great power of tomorrow.

17:57

It's going to be India.

18:02

That's certainly true of demographics.

18:06

At the moment, and also of course having a democracy helps.

18:11

Am I allowed to tell the historian in front of me whom I admire and respect?

18:19

I admire and respect.

18:22

It's demography that makes history.

18:28

It's not history that makes demography.

18:32

That would be a good exam question for a university.

18:36

For me there is no doubt whatsoever.

18:45

When you have one and a half billion inhabitants,

18:50

you are top of the class.

18:55

The axis of the world has shifted.

18:58

It has traveled from the west to the east.

19:02

And why is that? For one reason

19:08

on 8 billion inhabitants.

19:11

The East represents 4 billion.

19:15

The West less than 800 million.

19:19

It's done. You believe it's all over.

19:23

It's all over by the shouting, as we say, and,

19:28

I'm sure. Maybe tomorrow, it will be Africa,

19:36

who has one billion, two hundred and fifty million,

19:42

and in thirty years may have two billion, but this won't be the West.

19:47

If you realize that In 30 years time,

19:52

Nigeria, alone

19:55

is going to be more populated than the United States of America,

20:00

if you think that the most populated cities in the world.

20:06

Beijing, Mexico City, have 28 million inhabitants.

20:13

In 30 years time, Lagos, which is not the capital city of Nigeria,

20:21

will have 40 million inhabitants.

20:24

Once again, it's done.

20:26

Yes, the, the average age in Africa is 19,

20:30

whereas in Italy it is 41,

20:33

and in Japan, it's 47. In China, the average age is going up.

20:43

That's a Chinese proverb that says,

20:47

when the wise man shows the moon,

20:51

the stupid man looks at the finger.

20:56

We are looking at China,

21:00

but there are other places to look.

21:04

You have said that you think that the Russo Ukrainian war,

21:09

should end with a ceasefire and negotiation.

21:12

You yourself negotiated a ceasefire in the Russo Georgian war.

21:18

What's it like negotiating with Vladimir Putin?

21:23

I do not understand why we're telling the Israelis to stop the war.

21:30

You must stop war immediately because war, has, civilian victims

21:39

and we tell the Ukrainians,

21:43

you must carry on and increase war.

21:49

I've had dozens of conversations with Vladimir Putin,

21:56

some of them very harsh.

21:59

In one month we managed to sort out the Georgian crisis.

22:06

The Russian tanks had entered into Georgia.

22:11

There were 25 kilometers away from Tbilisi, the capital city.

22:19

After our negotiations, they went away.

22:24

I believe in diplomacy.

22:27

I believe in dialogue.

22:31

But I think that we must reinvent completely

22:35

the structures of multilateral dialogue.

22:39

Things cannot go on like this.

22:44

The permanent members of the Security Council,

22:49

have been appointed at a certain time when the world population was two and a half billion inhabitants.

22:59

It has increased threefold since then.

23:03

We must change the composition.

23:06

The security council members for the permanent members.

23:11

There isn't a single African country who is a permanent member.

23:18

India is not a permanent member.

23:21

Japan is not a permanent member.

23:23

There isn't a single Arab or Muslim country

23:32

a single Latin American country who is a permanent member.

23:35

And I think it's dangerous. Well, it's a hangover from the Second World War, of course.

23:43

Not really.

23:45

It's a legacy of the 20th century.

23:50

For 24 years, we've had already been in the 21st century,

23:56

and it is high time. we give to the 21st century the multilateral structures it needs.

24:02

But if you added those extra five countries to the security council,

24:07

would they also have the veto?

24:10

Each of them? Absolutely.

24:13

The Soviet Union had a veto.

24:20

And it worked.

24:22

You mentioned Gaza.

24:25

In January 2009, you called for a ceasefire in Gaza.

24:31

But after the 7th of October of last year,

24:36

can there be any meaningful long term ceasefire In Gaza, while Hamas still exists as

24:43

a functioning military force there?

24:49

I think there is no other solution than the two state solution.

24:56

For the Palestinians and also for the security of Israel,

25:07

but. acknowledging, Palestinian state.

25:12

must be preceded by a, acknowledgement of the right of Israel

25:25

to exist, and this has to come from all the tendencies of Palestinian people.

25:34

Can you see Hamas agreeing to that? It

25:37

doesn't matter. The Europeans have a special responsibility.

25:48

Towards the survival of Israel.

25:53

Why is that?

25:56

Because the Shoah was perpetrated by the first civilization in Europe, the Germans.

26:06

It is not the Arabs that, did the Shoah.

26:11

It was the Germans.

26:13

The europeans in Europe,

26:15

existence of Israel is the result of the Shoah,

26:21

the Europeans cannot accept.

26:28

As a putting in danger of the very existence of Israel because

26:34

the Shoah happened in Europe.

26:37

But so can you see a European military force, defending Israel if it was

26:46

one of two states in Palestine.

26:50

It's a possibility.

26:54

It can be a kind of a force that, gets in the middle with some Arab

27:01

countries like the Emiratis, for example, that, get in between.

27:07

Thank you. Now what history book or biography, are you reading at the moment?

27:12

And you are allowed to mention that brilliant book that your son has written.

27:18

I'm very proud of my son.

27:21

And I think that at his age, I wouldn't have been able to write a book like the

27:30

one he wrote on the readings of Napoleon.

27:36

So if you're asking me what historical book am I reading,

27:45

I'm reading a book on the dark years of the occupation in France,

27:52

and on the complexity of the resistance movements

28:00

among themselves,

28:03

between them and the English, British,

28:08

and it's a fascinating,

28:12

piece of history and a very complicated story,

28:17

and I have a feeling that, the whole truth is not yet known on this episode.

28:21

What's the author and the title?

28:24

Can you remember?

28:27

American or English author.

28:31

He's worked a lot on the arrest of Jean Moulin.

28:38

Yes, yes, absolutely. I've seen the reviews, they're very good reviews.

28:44

It's absolutely fascinating book.

28:47

Yeah, about who, who betrayed Jean Moulin and it's still a great debate.

28:54

And it's like a thriller.

28:57

And it's very important for me because I have to remove my mind,

29:02

about this period of the story of my country.

29:07

And the book we mentioned earlier about your son, Louis Sarkozy, which is called

29:15

Napoleon's Library, the emperor, his books and their influence on the Napoleonic era.

29:24

It's an extraordinary, work of history written before, this

29:29

young man got into his thirties.

29:33

and I'm talking about Louis, not Napoleon.

29:36

It is very strange, and I admire my son, no, not because he's my son,

29:42

I love because he's my son, I love him, but I admire him because he's

29:46

young and fascinated by Napoleon.

29:50

Because he live in Washington.

29:53

And he's fascinating from Napoleon, because he speaks fluently American,

30:01

he lives in America, but he did not forget any truth in France.

30:10

And I'm very proud and very happy with that.

30:13

The, collective noun for historians is a malice.

30:24

My last, question, Mr. President

30:28

A, what is your favourite what if, your counterfactual history,

30:31

where history could have gone a different way?

30:35

In which period? Any period you like in history where, the, it went one way and

30:42

it could have gone the other. A battle that was lost that could have been won.

30:47

The most important thing in life, not in history,

30:49

is detail.

30:52

And I like detail.

30:55

And when I was president, I understood that.

31:00

Detail is the most important thing.

31:03

Look at Napoleon.

31:06

He loved his wife.

31:09

He was strong in his leadership.

31:13

He was weak with his wife.

31:16

Detail. Look at General de Gaulle.

31:22

If Paul Reynaud and Mandel went to England before,

31:29

You would not know the goal.

31:34

No, or if they went to Algeria, which of course they should have done.

31:38

Yeah, absolutely. And I like detail.

31:42

And we like to meet the great ordinator of this detail.

31:48

And for me, I knew that.

31:52

I call Sarkozy, I live in a building with my mother.

31:58

Nobody, absolutely nobody knows our family.

32:02

And I succeed

32:05

to become President.

32:08

Why me? You know success is also unfair than failure.

32:16

And it, and to be a master of detail helps more than charisma, more than oratory.

32:23

What is charisma?

32:26

Where did it come?

32:29

How definite charisma?

32:32

I don't know. It's an artificial construct.

32:35

And I am not able to explain why I did politics,

32:38

the only thing important, I did.

32:43

It's even when you explain that you love your wife or woman.

32:49

Why do you love this woman?

32:52

No matter. You love.

32:56

The only thing important in life, it's not what you think,

33:00

it's what you do.

33:05

Both of your wives are extremely beautiful and accomplished women, so

33:09

one can understand why you would fall in love with either of them, frankly.

33:13

Thank you for emphasizing that.

33:18

My eyes are very large. President Sarkozy, thank you very much indeed for appearing

33:23

on Secrets of Statecraft.

33:25

Thank you so much for inviting me.

33:28

Thank you so much for all your kindness.

33:30

And I apologize for answering to you in English at the end of the interview,

33:36

but I think for your auditors, it is a proof of my while to congratulate them

33:48

and to tell them I like English people.

33:53

Merci beaucoup. Ha!

33:56

No, no, no, I'm not going... We're not going to go down that route, I assure you.

34:01

I think you've got the extent of my French there.

34:07

Thank you, Mr. President. On the next Secrets of Statecraft, my guest will be Con Coughlin, the veteran

34:14

defence and foreign affairs editor of the Daily Telegraph, since 2006.

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