Episode Transcript
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0:02
Is the Crossover Sports Illustratings
0:05
NBAB show, bringing down the
0:07
latest news's, rummers and everything.
0:11
Here's your host, Chris.
0:16
This is the Crossover NBA podcast.
0:19
I'm Chris Mannix. He is Rohan,
0:21
not Grene and Rowan. We are coming off a
0:24
historic weekend in the NBA.
0:26
Lebron James already the NBA's
0:29
all time leading scorer, passing
0:32
the forty thousand point
0:34
threshold. That got me thinking about
0:37
the most unbreakable records
0:39
in sports, and
0:41
there are a whole bunch of
0:44
them. You've got Wayne Gretzky's nineteen
0:46
hundred plus career assists, uh
0:49
Cal Ripken junior twenty six
0:51
hundred plus games played, Ricky
0:54
Henderson fourteen hundred plus
0:56
career stolen bases. I personally think
0:58
the most unbreakable record is
1:00
Joe Dematt Joe's fifty six game hitting streak. I
1:02
don't think anyone is ever
1:05
going to touch that. But do you think that we
1:07
could see a player eclipse
1:10
forty thousand points catch Lebron James
1:13
on the all time scoring Listen, I say that with the caveat
1:15
that Lebron's not close to being done. He's probably gonna
1:18
average twenty plus points per game over
1:20
sixty plus games for the next
1:22
two or three years. I mean, this mark is only
1:24
going to get bigger and bigger. But do
1:26
you think even in today's NBA
1:29
that record is going
1:31
to be breakable?
1:34
Man, it's a great question. I echo you on
1:36
DiMaggio's fifty six game
1:38
hitting streak, by the way, I do think that one is
1:40
going to be tough to top, and cal Rick can two
1:43
some really good baseball plays from you, I'm impressed. But
1:46
in terms of Lebron, I'm leaning
1:48
no. I'm leaning it not happening in
1:50
my lifetime, at least even
1:52
with the three point line, even with kind
1:56
of the extended careers we see players have
1:58
now. I mean, you think about
2:00
someone like Luca for example, Luca's what close
2:03
to thirty five points a game this year, He's
2:08
still gonna have to play so much longer
2:10
to catch Lebron, And
2:13
like Lebron from the
2:16
moment he entered the league, was
2:18
playing under this can he be the next Michael Jordan
2:20
conversation that hung over Lebron from day
2:23
one to an extent that it's
2:25
pushed him to extend
2:27
his career in a way that is just wouldn't
2:30
maybe necessarily be quite as worth it, frankly for
2:32
other players. The
2:36
legacy that he's kind of been required to build
2:39
by so many people, he's
2:41
leaned into that he's chased Michael Jordan, and I
2:43
think that's extended his career,
2:45
extended what we've seen kind of his prime in
2:48
a way that it just wouldn't for other guys.
2:51
And the thing is, you can be
2:53
a great scorer like Luca, but what is
2:55
going to happen to Luca and say, like if he's
2:57
thirty eight years old and chasing Lebron's record
3:01
and he's like a shell of what he currently is. Defensively,
3:03
like the fact that Lebron can stay on the floor
3:05
and be effective that he is at his age. I know, it's like kind
3:07
of a meme. People are like, you have to appreciate
3:10
this, but it's
3:12
just beyond remarkable. The
3:14
consistency, the durability that
3:16
I think combining all
3:19
those factors again from the
3:21
motivation, the amount of money he spends
3:23
out his body, the consistency, the ability, et
3:25
cetera, I don't think we're gonna see
3:27
it for a long time.
3:28
If ever, Yeah, look, let's use
3:31
Luca as an example he's got about eleven hundred
3:33
career points. He's played six NBA seasons.
3:35
By those thousands, eleven thousand,
3:37
sorry, eleven thousand career points, Yes, eleven
3:40
hundred would be a small number. By
3:42
those calculations, he
3:44
would have to play roughly
3:46
eighteen more seasons to
3:50
be able to be in the ballpark
3:53
of passing Lebron James. Now Lucas twenty
3:55
five years old, but he have to play into
3:58
his early forties to get within
4:01
shouting distance of Lebron James. I
4:03
think you're gonna have to have someone committ to the league
4:06
just like Lebron did eighteen years old, with
4:08
a three point line, with a more polished three
4:10
point shot averaging. You know,
4:13
I'm looking at Luca's numbers. The number of total
4:15
points Luca had in the season he maxed out last
4:17
season, twenty two or twenty one hundred points.
4:20
You've got to do that and more every
4:22
single season for twenty plus years to
4:25
put yourself in that conversation. I
4:27
don't see it. You never say
4:29
never, but I think that record is going to be, you
4:32
know, forty four hundred,
4:34
maybe forty five hundred by the time forty
4:36
five thousand got stop saying that forty five thousand
4:39
before it's all
4:41
said and done. So I think that
4:43
record is is going
4:45
to hold the test of time for a
4:48
very long time, that's for sure, all
4:51
right. I want to talk about a couple of teams,
4:54
specific teams on this episode.
4:56
I was in Los Angeles
4:58
last night and I popped into
5:00
the Lakers Thunder game, kind
5:03
of hoping that we get some
5:05
kind of virtuosa performance
5:08
from the Thunder. The Thunder entered that game with
5:10
the best record in the Western Conference,
5:12
a half game up on the Denver Nuggets.
5:14
They're coming off a back to back that a good win over Phoenix
5:17
on Sunday, so
5:20
you know, it's not all that surprise.
5:22
And they didn't play well, and they didn't Their offense
5:24
didn't show up, the defense didn't show up. The Lakers
5:27
kind of tried to give the game away for stretches
5:29
there with the amount of turnovers they committed,
5:31
but the Thunder just couldn't take
5:34
advantage. Still, as we speak,
5:36
the Thunder have the third most wins of
5:39
any team in the NBA, behind Boston
5:41
and behind Minnesota. They
5:45
have a top five offense, they have
5:47
a top five defense, they have a top
5:49
five net rating. They have the number one three
5:52
point shooting offense in the NBA.
5:54
Look, Oklahoma City is one
5:56
of the youngest teams in the NBA,
5:59
say one of because they got older at the trade
6:01
deadline with Gordon Hayward add to
6:03
the mix, Bismack Byambo add to
6:05
the mix. But you
6:08
know, at some point we have to start looking
6:10
at number one or number two seeds as
6:13
a real contender. So I
6:16
guess the question is how seriously should
6:18
we take Oklahoma City going
6:20
into this postseason. Are they right
6:23
for a first round upset or are they
6:25
a team that can get to a conference finals.
6:28
I definitely lean toward the ladder. You mentioned
6:31
basically everything on paper that would indicate
6:33
this is a bona fide, legitimate title
6:36
contender. They've been in the mix for that number one seed
6:38
all year long alongside Minnesota
6:40
and now Denver is kind of making us a push
6:42
as well. They've been incredibly good.
6:45
Shake Gojess. Alexander, who's been in MIAMVP
6:48
rankings every week. I think he's number two right
6:50
now and has a great chance to be number one of the thunder
6:53
I think pull off the one seed. We
6:56
talked about his consistency last week he is
6:58
just remarkable what he does on a nightly
7:00
basis. You
7:02
add that to I think chet Holmgren right
7:04
out of the blocks has been fantastic.
7:07
That the defender everyone thought he could be, thought
7:09
he could be, uh, and then
7:11
beyond that his offensive game, ability to shoot,
7:13
stretching forwar et cetera. Jalen Williams,
7:16
I think they have a ton of depth, I
7:19
should say, I really like the pieces
7:21
around their star players and how they've been
7:23
able to make it work. I'm
7:25
personally though, of the opinion, and this
7:28
is where it becomes nebulous and people say,
7:30
oh, you're just doing a take. Like I agree on paper,
7:32
the Thunder consider contender legitimate.
7:35
I do think most teams kind
7:38
of need that playoff character building
7:40
loss before they can be true contenders. I mean very
7:42
rarely does it happen overnight. Even the Warriors,
7:46
you know, had a couple runs with Clay Dre and
7:48
Steph before they won a title. The
7:50
Nuggets lost in the playoffs for years with
7:53
the O Kitchen Murray. You know, go
7:55
up and down the list of recent champions. Those
7:58
teams have to experience some playoff heart first. The
8:01
Thunder of kind of there's been
8:03
no middle ground. They've kind of shot
8:05
into this number one seed territory
8:07
with with Chech being finally healthy this
8:09
year, you know, no SGA
8:12
extended injury absences. So do
8:14
they have kind of the playoff equity to
8:16
be a champion? Do they know what it's like to be
8:19
down three to two and have to be fighting
8:21
for your life. I think they need those experiences.
8:23
But I'd be shocked
8:25
if the team lost to the first round, and I'd much
8:28
I'd come much closer to believing them making the finals and
8:30
losing in the first round.
8:32
Well, they're gonna play a play in team in the
8:34
first round, most likely either as the number
8:36
one seed or the number two seed. And the play in
8:38
field right now is loaded
8:40
with teams that have a
8:42
lot of playoff experience. The Lakers,
8:46
Golden State, Phoenix. I
8:48
mean, those teams are in the play
8:50
and mix right now, and I think we're
8:52
gonna learn very quickly
8:55
if experience is as valuable
8:58
as it has been in the past.
9:00
To your point, I mean the eighteen
9:02
nineteen Nuggets. I think that was their first
9:04
one of their first playoff runs. They got
9:07
beat in the second round. It took
9:09
the Bucks and Giannis three years
9:11
of first round exits to get to their first conference
9:13
finals. So you know, history does
9:15
suggest that experience
9:18
matters. But for the most part,
9:20
the teams I just mentioned were
9:23
in the middle or the bottom of the
9:25
playoff bracket. Oklabmas City's gonna go into the postseason
9:27
with home court advantage in at least the first
9:30
round and probably the first two rounds.
9:32
Their biggest weakness right now is rebounding,
9:35
and that's a big weakness. I mean, you know,
9:37
Bismack Biambo's not the answer. He's
9:39
not You're not gonna play be able to play Bismack
9:41
Biyombo extended minutes in the
9:43
postseeds, so they're gonna have to address that. But their
9:45
firepower is legit. I
9:47
mean, Jalen Williams, he
9:50
could probably be, I don't
9:52
call it a franchise player, but a certainly
9:54
a cornerstone player on another team. Like he is
9:57
number one on most teams. He's
9:59
a twenty point per game score. It could easily be a
10:01
twenty five point per game score. He's shooting
10:03
forty four percent from three. I mean, he
10:05
is legit. Shae.
10:09
Not many teams you're gonna play in the postseason where Shae
10:11
is not the best player on the floor. And Shae is
10:13
not a young guy, right. He's been around since twenty
10:16
eighteen, like he is. He doesn't have a lot of
10:18
playoff experiences thirteen games, but
10:20
he is not, you know,
10:22
just some wide eye rookie or second year
10:25
player. Definitely got to be concerned about
10:27
Chet and what he's gonna be able to contribute in
10:29
the postseason when the physicality wraps
10:31
up or ratchets up. But lou
10:34
Dort is another guy that has
10:37
been around for a while. It is among the best defensive
10:39
players in the NBA. So to
10:41
me, it would be a I
10:44
don't wanna call it a catastrophe, but it would
10:46
be a huge disappoint if they lost in the first round.
10:49
It would probably even be a little disappointing. I
10:52
don't want to say that because they probably can play Denver in the second round,
10:54
and Denver's gonna clean their clock. I don't think they match up
10:56
well with Denver at all. But I
11:00
at this team, and I was watching them on TV last
11:02
few last week or so, and I watched them
11:04
play live on Monday Night.
11:07
I think they can beat everybody in the West, but Denver.
11:10
I think they've got the personnel for I just think
11:12
Denver is a big problem for them. So I
11:15
think they are a team that
11:17
should win a first round series, and depending
11:20
on the matchup, i'd give
11:22
them a shot to win a second round series two right.
11:25
Yeah, I definitely think they can win in the second round.
11:27
I'd love to see a Thunder Timberwolve series
11:29
which is in play if they finish in the two three
11:32
and Denver finishes one. And I know some people
11:34
are listening to this, like why are they talking about
11:36
the Thunder like this? They've been great all
11:38
season. Of course they'll win in the first round. I mean, that's
11:41
just kind of how crazy the West is. I mean,
11:43
you mentioned some of the teams in the play in mix. There's
11:45
a chance they say Luca in round one, Kevin
11:47
Durant and Devin Booker in round one, like those
11:50
won't be easy matchups. And beyond that, again,
11:52
we just really haven't seen this group.
11:55
It's rare to see an ascension from
11:57
a team this rapidly, with
12:00
with this much kind of just internal growth, which
12:02
makes them such an i think, an outlier from previous
12:05
contenders that we're used to. But I'm
12:07
excited, and yeah, I definitely think.
12:10
I mean, if Denver finishes in
12:12
second or third, that
12:14
they have a fantastic chance to make the conference
12:16
an echo. I think they can beat anyone in
12:18
a series. I do think Denver they already
12:21
have an issue with size. Then you add in you
12:23
know, Jokic, which no one really has an answer
12:25
for to begin with. I think
12:27
that puts them in a bit of a bind.
12:29
Uh.
12:31
You know, I have to check the roster spot availability.
12:33
It is surprising that they seemingly haven't done
12:36
much more to address their
12:39
center rotation. You mentioned Bismic Bamble, who I
12:41
like, but it is not really a long term
12:43
or even short term definitive answer
12:46
there. So that I think is going to be an issue. Well,
12:48
how many rebounds in nurkicchav the other night, Like thirty
12:50
rebounds in that game against.
12:52
His look and
12:54
look, you know, Davis beat him up on the glass
12:56
a little bit in that Laker game.
12:59
I mean, the Lakers have Matt sup well with them, and the Lakers
13:01
have that size and physicality in
13:03
their front court. I think they're up three to one on
13:05
the Thunder in their season series.
13:07
So yeah, yeah, that's
13:09
a that's a tough matchup. I just think in the playoffs
13:13
and look last night, the Lakers
13:15
arrested, the Thunder were not that
13:17
has to be taken and Lakers were at home. Thunder gonna have home
13:19
court in a series like that. I
13:22
just think it would be disappointed if they lost a first
13:24
rout series. Got the hard cell too from
13:27
Thunder officials Monday night for Shay
13:29
from MVP. You know, my take on Shay's MVP
13:32
is if Oklahoma City
13:35
finishes with the top seed in the Western
13:37
Conference. I don't know how
13:39
you don't vote for him, because,
13:43
yeah, he's he's got talent around
13:45
him, but it's really young
13:47
talent. He is the unquestioned star of
13:50
that team who has pushed
13:53
them, not single handedly, but he has
13:55
pushed them from a play
13:57
in team last year to potential
14:00
with the number one seed in the Western Conference. A
14:02
long way to go with this this MVP stuff, but
14:04
I can wrap my head around the idea
14:07
that if Shae, if
14:09
the Thunder finished first in the West, pretty
14:12
good chance Shay gets my vote. Pretty
14:14
good Yes, I have.
14:15
A hard time disagreeing with you about Shae winning
14:17
MVP if they finished number one. And I say that to someone,
14:19
I think Jokic is the best player
14:21
in the league. He's the kind of person
14:24
that you could kind of give the award to over and over
14:26
again. But to your point, it's like
14:28
Jokic also plays for a fantastic team. I
14:30
mean, Denver built the perfect starting
14:32
five around him, and I don't think,
14:35
you know, as great as chet and Jalen Williams
14:38
have been. I don't think people
14:40
expected everything that they're doing right
14:42
away. And it starts with Shae, it starts with his consistency,
14:45
it starts with how difficult he is to defend. So
14:48
I think he's also going to have a fantastic case.
14:50
And I'm with you, And if they finish one and there's even
14:53
a little bit of separation there, like he's
14:56
going to have an incredible and incredible case for the award.
14:58
Look, and you could probably make the same argument for
15:01
Jokics. I mean, Denver right now is the exact same
15:03
record as Oklahoma City. So
15:06
if if the Nuggets, who have been hot lately,
15:08
who decided, you know, second half's here time
15:10
to play. Yeah, yeah, If if
15:13
they turn it on and finish with number one
15:15
in the West and they're only a half game back of Minnesota,
15:18
for that top spot. You know, it's probably Jokich's
15:21
MVP Award to ultimately lose. So it's
15:23
gonna be it's gonna come down to the last game
15:25
of the regular season. Perhaps as we wrap
15:28
up the the MVP race,
15:30
let's talk about Milwaukee again for a
15:32
minute. Bucks beat the Clippers on
15:35
Monday night. No Giannis in that game,
15:37
No Chris Middleton in that game,
15:39
and Damian Lillan goes for forty one, Bobby
15:42
Portis goes for twenty eight. This Bucks
15:44
team has now won what six straight
15:46
games, and over the last six
15:49
games, they have the number
15:51
one defense in the NBA.
15:55
I don't know if that's
15:58
sustainable, if they can maintain
16:00
a number one defense, But they
16:03
don't have to be the number one defensive
16:06
team in the NBA. All they have
16:08
to be is like a top
16:10
ten, top twelve defensive
16:12
team in the NBA. And they are going to
16:14
be tough to beat because you watch
16:16
Lillard just hey, look, g honest
16:18
is up you take over? Did it against
16:21
a good Clippers team.
16:23
Middleton hasn't played in weeks, not since Dock
16:25
Rivers really took over. He's
16:28
gonna add something that mix offensively.
16:31
They you know, there
16:33
is life in Milwaukee, Like you
16:35
know what, a team that was once on life
16:37
support is now showing signs
16:40
that they can get back to being
16:42
the team that we thought they were going to
16:44
be in the preseason. So when you
16:46
look at the Bucks the way they played under Doc
16:48
Rivers, do you see this as
16:51
sustainable?
16:53
It's great you should ask that Chriscs. I actually wrote about
16:55
the Bucks today and look,
16:58
I don't think number one defense is sustainable that Charlotte
17:00
twice they played Chicago during
17:02
kind of the six game win streak. At the same time they have wins
17:05
against the Wolves. This Clippers win
17:07
was impressive, especially impressive. I think
17:09
the Clippers had won nine straight against Dames
17:11
specifically, so really big game
17:14
for him. Here's the thing they, like
17:16
you mentioned, they don't need to be the number one defense. I looked
17:18
this up. Since twenty ten, only two
17:20
teams with a defensive rating outside the top ten
17:24
have won a championship. One was the Warriors,
17:26
who you know, they had Steffed. The other was the Nuggets
17:28
last year they had Jokich. The Nuggets
17:31
had the lowest defensive efficiency of any title
17:33
winner since twenty ten, and that was fifteenth.
17:35
But we saw what they were able to do in the playoffs,
17:37
they went up to another level and they kind of slow played
17:40
the end of last regular season. Milwaukee
17:42
as it stands today, after their sixth straight win,
17:44
fifteenth in defensive rating, they kind
17:46
of met that threshold of the lowest
17:49
possible I'd say defensive
17:51
rating we could accept out of a champion
17:54
the number one over the last six games, top
17:56
ten now since Doc took over in
18:00
January, and they've been really good.
18:02
And I think that we touched on this a little bit
18:04
last week, but I think Adrian Griffin expected the team
18:06
to defend a certain way with certain personnel. The
18:08
Lily trade happens, things change, But I
18:11
think Doc has him playing more to their identity.
18:13
I think has shrunk the floor a little bit instead
18:16
of having players cover more ground, and I think Griffin
18:19
wanted to do players playing
18:21
a little bit closer to the rim. They've also just
18:23
kind of, I think, really changed their approach to transition
18:25
defense less crashing the offensive
18:27
glass, which has made a huge difference. I mean, all
18:30
year long, they've been in the bottom of transition
18:32
defense standings. I think that started to look a
18:34
little bit better. You know, I
18:36
don't think this current top number one
18:38
defense is sustainable. You know, it's
18:42
like weird because they win this game without Giannis and it's
18:44
very impressive, and I don't want
18:46
to take anything away from it. At the same time, you're like, how much can
18:49
I take away from this game that they win without Giannison
18:51
Middleton? But overall, they're absolutely
18:53
headed in the right direction, and I think now
18:56
is like the first time all season that I felt
18:58
comfortable saying that they can win
19:00
a title with their defense.
19:02
Yeah, I'm with you that it's not
19:04
going to be the number one defense
19:07
or number two defense, or maybe not even top
19:09
five defense by the time the season's over.
19:11
But you know, this is why
19:13
they went out and got Damian Lillard because
19:16
they were missing a dynamic
19:18
number two option opposite
19:21
of Giannis, and you'll get Lillard's numbers
19:23
of late. They're starting to pick up a little bit.
19:25
The shooting percentages in some games
19:28
are getting a little bit better. The
19:30
pick and roll game with Yannis is getting more
19:32
consistent. Like Doc, Look, Doc took
19:34
a pretty good beating early on, and a
19:37
lot of it was some
19:39
of the stuff he said, like he put he put
19:41
it on himself by you know, saying
19:43
things like it's you know, I would wish
19:45
this job on anybody when he's collecting like
19:47
forty billion dollars and he's taking over a great team
19:51
and just some of the overall criticisms
19:53
that he had for for that group,
19:56
but he's been the right fit for them.
19:58
He's simplified things on the ends
20:00
of the floor. I think he's brought
20:02
a level of gravitas to that locker room they
20:04
didn't have before. He has been
20:07
a good fit with that Milwaukee
20:09
team. Look, they've got a game against Boston coming up,
20:11
I think on the twentieth that to me is
20:14
that's a playoff game, Like that's Perrometer
20:16
right there. I mean, because by then they
20:19
probably should have Chris Middleton back. The
20:21
Celtics right now operating at close
20:23
to full strength. That's a game
20:26
that I think we'll learn a lot more about Milwaukee.
20:28
But right now they're the only
20:30
team I think is a real threat to Boston in the Eastern
20:32
Conference. Like I look around,
20:35
like, you know, even without the injuries, the
20:37
Knicks to me, are still a player away from
20:40
being able to compete against the Celtics.
20:42
The Cavaliers are what they are. I still can't trust them when
20:44
they get to the playoffs. Philadelphia.
20:47
Look, they're good, but
20:49
you know, tell me Joel Andbi is gonna be healthy?
20:51
And I don't know the answer to that just yet. Besides, even when
20:54
he is healthy, Celtics owned the seventy six ers.
20:56
Just it's a fact like they've they're beating them
20:58
up pretty good last four or five
21:00
years. So I think Milwaukee's the only
21:02
team that can threaten Boston.
21:05
And we'll see, we'll see if they have it in if
21:07
they've come as far
21:09
as they look like they've come in this game
21:11
coming up in just a couple of weeks against
21:14
the Celtics. One other thing I wanted to touch on hold
21:16
I mentioned.
21:17
Real quick, real quick, you're you're just ready
21:19
to incur the wrath of heat
21:21
Twitter not even an obligatory
21:24
mention.
21:24
Yes, my thought. Do
21:27
you want to know you're right? I do
21:29
want to make the case for the Miami Heat to be
21:32
a threat to win the Eastern Conference this year.
21:35
I do not, in fact do not, And
21:37
I will just say.
21:38
Just to your point, a huge
21:40
difference maker now, right, he
21:44
will hit.
21:45
Like six threes in a game against some poor
21:47
team that's just gonna be furious.
21:50
Hey about it all right now, eight and two in their last
21:52
ten games, So Miami's playing playing well,
21:54
and as we saw last year, it really doesn't matter what
21:56
seed they get. That's look. Look, if the playoffs
21:58
starts today and I know they've got to go through
22:01
the play in in the East, but Miami
22:03
right now sitting at seventh, Milwaukee at two, running
22:05
it back from last year, that's
22:07
probably not the matchup Milwaukee wants
22:10
in that first I think they probably prefer like Indiana,
22:14
Chicago, Atlanta, maybe even Orlando
22:16
in the first round because Orlando can't score. Yeah,
22:19
that's I can see some teams not
22:21
wanting any interest in playing Miami in the first round.
22:24
I will just say to your point about the Bucks and
22:27
about as it relates to the rest of Eastern Conference,
22:29
they are the only team with the star
22:31
level talent that can compete
22:33
with the star level talent. Yes, the Celtics
22:35
has that can they can confidently say we
22:37
have the best two guys on the floor, even
22:40
and that goes a long way in a playoff series.
22:42
I agree. I agree. Last thing, I want to look
22:44
at the bottom half of the playoff
22:46
bracket in the Western Conference. Like I said, you've
22:48
got four teams there that
22:51
have either been championship teams
22:53
in recent years or high
22:55
level playoff contender. Sacramento, which was
22:57
the three seed in the Western Conference
23:00
last year. They're sitting there at number seven, Dallas,
23:03
which has some serious star power and it's backhourd
23:05
made some good trades before the deadline.
23:07
There are at eight, the Lakers at
23:09
nine in Golden State, who was tattooed
23:12
by fifty plus against Boston.
23:14
But there's still the Warriors. They've still got some
23:16
star power. Of those
23:18
four teams, if you had to pick
23:21
one to make a deep
23:23
playoff run, which you know, I guess
23:25
in the context of this is win a first
23:27
round series, because that first round series is
23:30
going to be a matchup against Minnesota,
23:33
Oklahoma City, Denver, maybe
23:35
the Clippers. Which of those teams
23:38
do you have the most faith in to
23:41
flip a switch and become a
23:45
second round playoff.
23:46
Team,
23:49
understanding that there are really no good bets
23:51
here. If I had to go, you
23:53
know, twenty twenty two Mannix mode and just kind
23:56
of really hitch my wagon to one of
23:58
these teams, I think I'm to
24:00
pick the Warriors. You know, you mentioned the Celtics
24:02
blowout. They're missing pods,
24:05
they're missing Wiggans right now, who's dealing with a
24:08
personal matter once again? Uh
24:10
significant, can't you.
24:11
Say one thing about that Celtic game, Like there's
24:14
an incredible amount of brain power
24:16
on that Golden State bench Steve
24:19
Kerr, Kenny Atkinson, among
24:21
others. Their
24:23
strategy against the Celtics with all that brain
24:25
power was to leave an all
24:28
NBA guard who's shooting
24:30
thirty six and a half percent from three for his career
24:32
wide open, like that was the strategy
24:34
to beat the Boston Celtics, Like, if you needed
24:37
to, if you needed more evidence
24:39
to believe in Boston, the
24:42
Golden State Warriors decided the
24:44
best game plan was to leave Jalen Brown open,
24:46
Like that's
24:48
all you got. You're not gonna have much success.
24:51
To your point, I think a lot of people are like laughing,
24:53
this is a terrible strategy. What are they thinking, you
24:55
know, Jalen Brown tweeting about it after the game. To
24:57
your point, those are the kinds of problems
24:59
with Celtics present to people.
25:01
And they didn't even have Porzingis in that
25:03
game. They will playing without a twenty
25:05
point per game scoring three point threat.
25:07
Right who happens to be seven feet
25:10
tall, so you can't even switch your clothes out on them.
25:12
But to your point, I kind of like respect the
25:14
Warriors from being like, f it, we got
25:16
to try something. We know how how many threes these teams
25:18
are gonna shoot. Maybe it ended up being not the best
25:20
strategy, but those are the problems.
25:22
Maybe hitting the iceberg wasn't grateful the Titanic,
25:25
Like.
25:28
I just respect that they were
25:30
willing to, you know, give it a shot, knowing that
25:32
they were a little bit undermanned, and how the difficult
25:35
the Celtics are to slow down In the first way,
25:37
he said a lot about how difficult Boston is for
25:39
these teams to prepare for. But I
25:42
just like the way the Worries of look since Draymond came
25:44
back and was starting its center full
25:46
time. I think the fact that they've shown a willingness
25:48
now to move Klay Thompson to
25:51
the bench. He's had some nice performances
25:54
since being in that role. They've
25:57
been willing to experiment, They've been willing to kind of
25:59
push their chips in to the table a little
26:01
bit. Listen, it's gonna depend on is
26:04
this is this is Wigan's gonna miss twenty games.
26:06
Is he gonna come back in two We don't know, and that's
26:08
that's looming all over this But
26:11
if they're healthy, I mean, we
26:13
saw it last year with that with that King series.
26:15
You know, the Warriors had a terrible season, and
26:19
we saw it with the Kings last year. They were
26:21
kind of the darling of the NBA. The Warriors had a season
26:23
from hell that started with the Jordan Poole incident,
26:25
more like the Draymond Green incident, and uh,
26:28
they pushed him to seven games and the game
26:30
seven, Steph Curry puts on a legendary performance
26:32
and the Warriors win. So I
26:35
just think Steph is still at that level, still
26:37
that guy. I like the way they've looked with Draymond at
26:39
center. If I had to pick, like,
26:42
you know, which team kind of has that mistique that can
26:44
get into someone's heads in the first round, I think it's still
26:46
Golden State.
26:47
Look, we have to acknowledge that
26:49
the teams that any
26:52
of those bottom four teams are likely
26:55
to play in the first round
26:57
are not traditional dominant
27:00
won two teams. I mean, Minnesota right now
27:03
has the best record in the West, But
27:05
if you ask around the league
27:07
about the vulnerabilities
27:10
of Minnesota. You can have a fifteen minute conversation
27:12
about that, about whether or not in
27:15
a postseason series you can
27:17
play Rudy Gobert and Karl Anthony Towns
27:19
together, whether or not Anthony Edwards
27:21
can be a closer in
27:24
a playoff situation.
27:26
Fourth quarter offensive issues, yes.
27:28
They have, I know. I was reading John Krasinski
27:30
wrote about that over at the Athletic recently, just
27:33
kind of the way that malfunction as of late in
27:35
the fourth quarter. We talked about
27:37
Oklahoma City really talented, not a
27:39
high level of experience.
27:42
The team that I think has the best
27:45
chance of making a run, it's the team I leaned
27:47
into last year. That's the Lakers. I'm
27:49
not gonna sit here and predict a Lakers
27:52
Conference Finals or a Lakers Finals appearing this
27:54
year. I'm not as confident in this
27:56
group. You know, they
28:00
they've stagnated in certain ways.
28:04
The injuries have obviously been a problem. But
28:07
in a postseason series, if you've
28:09
got a defense that in the past
28:12
has been good enough to keep games
28:14
close, and if you can keep these games within like
28:16
three possessions in the final five minutes, you've
28:18
got the two best players on the floor in those situations
28:21
in Lebron and Anthony Davis, like, you're
28:23
still gonna have one of the great closers
28:25
in NBA history in Lebron. You've got
28:27
one of the great defensive players right now in Anthony
28:30
Davis, and a guy that can dominate in
28:32
the paints. And look, the Lakers have had
28:34
some stumbles as of late. They lost
28:37
coming out of the All Star Break against the Warriors,
28:39
they lost to the Clippers, they lost
28:41
the Nuggets. But in between then, they've
28:44
got some wins there. You know, you've got
28:46
to win over the Clippers. Sorry, they lost the Suns.
28:48
They gotta win over the Clippers. Beat Washington,
28:51
beat Oklahoma City last night. So
28:54
they're also starting to get healthy
28:56
with some of these guys coming back. Cam Reddish came
28:59
back recently. You know, we saw
29:01
reports on Tuesday that Gabe Vincent
29:03
could be back at some point mid March, another rotation
29:06
player they can add to the mix. I just
29:08
think they're they're the kind of team that
29:10
can be good enough defensively to keep
29:13
games close and the playoffs
29:16
against inexperienced teams. If
29:18
you've got Lebron and a d you're
29:20
gonna give yourself a better than Puncher's chance to win. So
29:22
I'm gonna lean into the Lakers as being
29:25
the most likely of those four teams
29:28
at the bottom right now to win a postseason
29:30
series.
29:32
You know, it's hard to argue with that logic. It's kind
29:34
of unscary as they've been for large
29:36
stretches this season, as average as they've felt.
29:40
I'm with you, Like six minutes to go in a playoff game,
29:42
you have Lebron and a d you
29:44
know, even as like brash as the Timberwolves
29:46
have been in some of these matchups,
29:49
as confident, and I think Shane the thunder are,
29:54
It's just gonna be interesting to watch and maybe we'll,
29:56
you know, be stetactically wrong and
29:58
this is a true changing of the guard, and
30:01
these teams don't matter at all anymore. But I'm
30:04
excited to see it. I'm excited to see it because
30:06
I do think that they that's kind of like the mental
30:09
challenge of the playoffs that these young teams are gonna
30:11
have to overcome is staring into
30:14
a guy like Lebron or Steph,
30:16
knowing the experience that they've had the amount of times they
30:19
come through on a big stage. Can you
30:21
fight through whatever level of
30:23
intimidation comes with that, and
30:25
win is going to be really interesting. When
30:27
will it be time, by the way, to unveil
30:30
the official man Ex prediction
30:32
of twenty twenty four.
30:34
I don't really have I don't really have a fire one
30:36
yet. Like last year, right around this time, I
30:38
was, you know, ready to do the flames.
30:40
Yeah, with the Lakers. I don't really have one yet,
30:43
got it. I'd like to You
30:45
know, look, I love what I'm seeing from Milwaukee, but
30:47
I can't pick the Buckskins the Celtics, not now. You
30:49
know, the Celtics are as well oiled
30:51
the machine as they come. So look, we
30:54
talk We've talked about parody in the NBA, and
30:56
there is parody. But right now, the Celtics
30:59
are prohibitive favors to the East. I would make
31:01
Denver a prohibitive favor right now to win the
31:03
West. So even though
31:05
you've got a lot of teams with
31:08
close to identical records who
31:10
should make for some fun first and second round
31:12
series, right now, smart money's on Boston
31:14
and Denver. And that's not exactly
31:16
parody, Like that's the two teams that I'm playing
31:19
dominant basketball, at least in case the Boston all
31:21
season and Denver in the last few
31:23
weeks. Not
31:26
the parody I think people have been boasting
31:28
about as of late.
31:29
Can I get a quick temperature check on
31:32
Boston, like is there's just supreme confidence
31:34
that there's no roadblocks here
31:36
because I think there's like I don't
31:38
know how you argue any other team to win the East right
31:40
now, like coherently. That's not just pure
31:43
takery. But I'm curious if that's the way
31:45
people are feeling around Boston, Like is there's
31:48
a.
31:49
Good vibe, there's a good vibe.
31:51
I mean, there's perpetual concern
31:53
about Porzingis's ability to stay healthy
31:56
in the playoffs. That's
31:58
always going to be a concerned but I think the Celtics
32:01
done a nice job shutting
32:03
him down at the first sign
32:06
of potential trouble. So when
32:08
you get to the playoffs and you're playing at
32:10
best every other day, oftentimes with
32:12
two days in between, that
32:15
bodes well for his ability to play
32:17
in the postseason. And look, I've
32:19
said this recently, but like everybody
32:22
on that Celtics roster is
32:24
a little bit better, right, Like Jason Tatum,
32:26
even though he's not scoring at the level he
32:28
was last year is a little bit better
32:31
than what he was last year, more complete player than
32:33
what he was last year. Jalen Brown
32:36
can make the same argument. Numbers aren't exactly
32:38
the same as what they were in last
32:40
year, a year's past, but a more complete
32:43
player. I think this year Drew
32:45
Holliday, he's a
32:47
better player for
32:49
this team than Marcus Smart was.
32:52
Like he fits better with this group.
32:54
So at that position, they're a little bit
32:56
better. And Chris and Porseningis is
32:58
new to the mix. But Joe Miszoola, we
33:01
don't hear a lot about the Joe Mizula
33:03
gaffs anymore. We don't hear a lot about
33:05
you know, why isn't he calling this time
33:07
out? You know? Why is he doing
33:10
this with his rotation? Yeah, every six weeks
33:13
or so, the team goes like ten to fifty
33:15
from three point range, and people are like, why are you shooting so many
33:17
threes? But they shoot so many
33:19
threes because they're a top five efficiency team
33:21
and they're able to do to
33:24
go the state after just three drill
33:27
them. Like their margin of victory
33:29
over the last five games is like
33:32
thirty five points. It's
33:34
wild how they're not just beating teams,
33:36
they're bludgeting them right now. Their overall
33:39
margin of victory is like an NBA best like plus
33:41
eleven plus twelve, and that's
33:43
like three or four points ahead of anybody else
33:46
in the NBA. So I just
33:48
I don't think there's any cause for concern
33:51
right now. In Boston, they're just cruising along. And yeah,
33:54
if Milwaukee can show that they can beat them, more
33:56
power to them. But I think we're a long
33:58
way from, uh, ultimately believing that.
34:00
So I agree, and I just hope if they
34:02
do lose. You're in the press
34:05
conference asking Jason Tatum if the season
34:07
was a failure or not.
34:09
Yes, I tried to ask those black and white
34:11
questions. Was it
34:13
a failure? If do you deserve
34:16
MVP? Now that's my
34:19
line of question. All right, go ahead, We will be back
34:21
here next week. Until then, enjoy
34:23
the games,
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