Episode Transcript
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0:00
Dividends are cash payments that
0:02
companies make to shareholders as
0:04
a reward for owning the stock. Dividend
0:08
investing is not necessarily why you're tuning
0:10
in here each week. Getting smarter, happier,
0:12
richer, our goal is for you, sure.
0:15
But, smarter, happier, richer about
0:18
dividend stocks? But then
0:20
again, on the other hand, some great rule-breaker stock
0:22
picks have over the years paid
0:24
dividends. And not only that,
0:27
some are just now starting. Did you
0:29
see this? Facebook, Meta Platforms, and
0:32
Google, Alphabet, have both announced their
0:34
first ever regular dividends in just
0:36
the past couple months. Four
0:39
years ago this very month, as the world was
0:41
shutting down for the pandemic and the stock market
0:43
had shut down to the tune of a 25%
0:47
one-month drop, we
0:50
dedicated that whole week's episode
0:52
to dividend investing. The timing
0:55
was purely coincidental, as
0:57
it is this week. But every few years,
0:59
I think it makes sense to touch base
1:01
here again. And so, it's
1:04
our next episode of Dividend Fools,
1:06
rejoined by the Motley Fool's Buck
1:08
Hartsel, and also this time by
1:10
one of our in-house dividend investing experts.
1:12
I think you know him. I love
1:14
him, Matt Argersinger. You're
1:16
ready to talk about free money that
1:19
comes your way just
1:21
by owning stocks? Dividend Fools
1:24
Volume 2, only on
1:26
this week's Rule Breaker Investing. It's
1:30
the Rule Breaker Investing podcast with
1:32
Motley Fool co-founder David Gardner. And
1:38
welcome back to Rule Breaker Investing.
1:40
Matt Argersinger works on the Dividend
1:42
Investor and Real Estate Winner Services
1:44
here at The Motley Fool, aiming
1:46
to identify and recommend compelling
1:48
income-oriented opportunities for our
1:51
members. You can also catch
1:53
Matt on The Dividend Show on Motley Fool
1:55
Live, and as a regular guest
1:57
on The Motley Fool Money podcast and radio
1:59
show, Matt, welcome back to Rule Breaker Investing.
2:01
Hey, David, it is great to be back. Buck
2:04
Hartzell is an advisor on FinTech
2:06
Fortunes and also works on the
2:08
Fools Canadian Investing Services and can
2:10
be regularly seen or heard on
2:12
the Canadian Power Hour on
2:15
Fool Live. And it should be noted,
2:17
Buck helped me kick off this series,
2:19
as I mentioned earlier, four years
2:21
ago this month. Dividend Fools Buck,
2:23
welcome back. Thank you very much. It's great
2:26
to be back here. And I did review
2:28
that. People can go back and listen to
2:30
the older podcasts, and we recommended
2:32
a few stocks back there. I actually like all
2:34
the ones that I recommended back then, and I
2:36
think they've all done fairly well. Yeah, we'll talk
2:38
about that a little bit later. In fact, we're
2:41
going to make some new fresh picks. I think
2:43
you guys have some dividend stocks and investments in
2:45
mind that we'll do a little bit later this
2:47
week. But thank you. It's great to have Buck
2:50
and Matt here talking about, yeah, companies
2:53
that make cash payments to you
2:55
to own their stock. I think, gentlemen,
2:57
it makes sense to define our terms.
2:59
Not every listener spends
3:02
a lot of time thinking about dividends, and some of
3:04
our listeners are probably completely new to the subject. I'm
3:06
going to turn to you, Matt. Could
3:08
you briefly define dividends?
3:11
Maybe throw in what the yield
3:13
is. I'm asking you to go
3:15
not just high level, but one
3:17
level down. Sure. So a company
3:19
pays cash out
3:22
of its earnings or from its balance sheet directly
3:24
to shareholders. That's called a dividend, and it can
3:26
do that on a regular
3:29
basis, whether it's quarterly, semiannually, sometimes
3:31
even monthly. There are some companies
3:33
out there that pay monthly dividends.
3:36
When you're looking at a stock, you'll see a dividend yield,
3:39
which is simply the annual dividend
3:41
the company is paying out divided by its stock
3:43
price. So that gives you a sense of what
3:45
you can earn if you bought the stock today
3:47
based on its dividend. So, for example, if a
3:50
stock were at $50 a share
3:52
and it paid a $1 annual dividend, and
3:55
let's just call it 25 cents a quarter,
3:57
most of these are quarterly, then that would
4:00
would be a 2% dividend
4:02
yield. Did I get my math right, Matt? I
4:04
think you did. OK, good. So that's a good
4:06
example of dividend yield using round
4:08
numbers, which makes it easy to explain. And so
4:10
in a sense, Buck, that's
4:13
the interest rate in one
4:15
sense that you get paid for
4:17
holding the stock. That assumes the stock doesn't
4:19
move up or down. We generally like them to
4:21
go up a little bit over time, of course.
4:24
But you can kind of compare a dividend yield
4:26
to T-bills or any other interest rate that you
4:28
might be looking to get in
4:31
income investing in the rest of your life. Sure.
4:33
Yeah. And you can compare it to
4:35
bonds. I did a video a long time ago.
4:37
I think it's on the full site
4:39
somewhere. Microsoft, at the time, interest
4:41
rates were dropping. And Microsoft
4:44
did the first bond issuance that was
4:47
below a percent. So
4:49
you could essentially buy a five-year bond
4:51
in Microsoft and earn 0.97%, I think
4:53
it was. And
4:55
the video that I did was, why in the
4:57
world would anyone buy
4:59
this bond? And they're
5:02
basically locking in less than a percent return for
5:04
five years. When they could buy the stock, and
5:06
I think at the time, it yielded almost 2.3%.
5:09
And you also got all the growing earnings,
5:11
which Microsoft had done for a long time.
5:13
So yeah, so that's a good comparison to
5:15
compare the interest rate, not only to what
5:18
you could get from a CD or whatever else, but also
5:20
a bond. It's a good comparison. Matt,
5:23
you mentioned that companies typically pay their dividends out
5:25
of cash flow, if they have it. And
5:28
many do. Usually, the companies that
5:30
are paying dividends can afford to do so. And
5:33
maybe they didn't have a good year for cash
5:35
flow, but they have a balance sheet where that
5:37
company has cash in the bank. In
5:39
some cases, they borrow to pay their dividends.
5:43
Can we define one more term, go a
5:45
little bit deeper, the payout ratio?
5:48
Sure. Would you just let listeners know exactly
5:50
what that is and why that matters? Sure.
5:52
The most traditional way to calculate the payout
5:54
ratio is to take a company's earnings per
5:56
share and divide it by the
5:58
annual dividend per share. That will give
6:01
you the percentage of the earnings that the company is
6:03
paying out as a dividend. Now
6:05
that number can jump around a lot, of course, as
6:07
David alluded to, if the earnings were to fall but
6:09
the dividend isn't cut, then you're going to see that
6:12
payout ratio rise, and you can start to get a
6:14
little worried about if the company can continue
6:16
paying its dividend if the earnings are falling. But
6:19
yes, a company that has a balance sheet and
6:22
maybe a short-term cash flow earnings problem can still pay a
6:24
dividend. Of course, this comes right out of cash on the
6:26
account. Guys,
6:28
we've defined our terms. I'm about
6:30
to play a game of word association with you
6:32
both. I'll let you mentally prepare for that. Before
6:34
I do, I just want to convey ahead of
6:36
time the five chapters that we're going to
6:38
cover in this podcast. So here they are
6:40
for our listeners. This is where we're headed
6:42
in our time this week.
6:45
Chapter one is, I'm going to call it
6:47
the shift in dividend investing
6:49
out of favor for
6:51
decades in some ways. There's been a
6:53
shift. There's been a shift to
6:55
that, why it is, and maybe a
6:57
little bit of why is meta-platforms and
6:59
why are Alphabet all of a sudden paying
7:02
dividends? So that's chapter one. Chapter two,
7:04
the practical value of dividends. Buck, you're
7:06
going to tell a story about your family,
7:08
among other things. The practical – why
7:10
we're doing an episode on dividends, why dividends
7:13
matter, still matter. Chapter three,
7:15
the challenges and misconceptions. A lot of people
7:17
talk about double taxation. Warren Buffett traditionally is
7:19
not said to be a big fan of
7:21
dividends, so we're going to talk about the
7:24
challenges of them and some misconceptions. Chapter four,
7:26
stock buybacks versus
7:29
dividends. Companies have a choice when
7:31
they have cash flow or money in the balance
7:33
sheet rather than pay it out directly to shareholders
7:36
as a reward for holding the stock. They could reinvest
7:38
it in their business. In some cases,
7:40
they could just buy back their own shares
7:42
and make holding an individual share dearer as
7:45
a consequence of that. So we're going to
7:47
talk about stock buybacks versus dividends. Chapter
7:49
five, our closer, a spotlight on some picks
7:52
and some strategies. So those are the five
7:54
chapters of this podcast. Now I did mention
7:56
a game of word association. Matt, I'm going
7:58
to turn to you first. Have
8:01
you played word association games before? I
8:03
think I have, David. With you several times. Yeah. I
8:05
tend to do this. I don't know why. It's not
8:07
even really a game. If it is a game, it
8:09
doesn't really have clear rules and it's kind of lame
8:11
as a game. But let's do it anyway. Matt Argersinger,
8:13
are you ready? I'm going to flash a word out
8:15
and I want you to give me your gut level
8:17
response with a word or a phrase back. Okay. You
8:20
ready? Yes. Dividend.
8:22
Real. Cash. Tangible. I
8:24
like it. Buck, I know you were in
8:26
a soundproof chamber. You did not hear what Matt just said.
8:28
I have no idea what I'm about to ask you. Let
8:30
me ask you. Buck Hartsel, are you ready for word association?
8:32
Yes. Dividend. Eureka.
8:37
It's Eureka to me because if there
8:40
weren't dividends, I probably wouldn't be doing the job
8:42
that I'm doing today, and I
8:45
wouldn't love investing as much as I do. Nice.
8:48
That's what got me originally interested in investing. And that's
8:50
why I'm delighted to have you back for Dividend Fools
8:52
Vol. 2. It makes so much sense. Let
8:55
me complicate the game slightly more. Let's extend the
8:57
game a little bit. Matt and then
8:59
Buck, I'm going to ask you this question looking
9:01
for your answer here, beyond that gut level response.
9:05
What is a word or phrase, Matt Argasinghe,
9:08
that you can titillate our
9:10
listeners with a
9:12
nuanced reaction to when I say
9:15
this word and
9:18
you react slightly more intelligently and reflectively
9:20
and provocatively? Are you ready? I'm
9:22
ready. Here's the word, dividend. A
9:25
high dividend yield does
9:27
not always mean the end of growth. Okay.
9:31
I hear you, and we'll get there. Thank you. Bob
9:35
Cartzel, I know you didn't hear Matt's response. We're
9:37
going to bring you back from outside the studio,
9:39
and I'm going to just try a word out
9:41
on you with a nuanced answer. Are you ready?
9:43
Dividend. Discipline. I
9:46
think when a company pays a
9:49
dividend, it introduces a
9:51
different level of consistent discipline
9:53
in that company because it's an obligation,
9:57
and I think you operate a little differently when you pay
9:59
a dividend. All right, well, I think we're
10:01
going to return to some of the things you just
10:03
said over the course of our five chapters here. So
10:05
feel free to go back there. But, guys, thanks. Thanks
10:07
for playing the game. Let's go from a silly
10:10
game to a slightly more serious
10:12
topic, Chapter 1, the
10:14
shift in dividend investing.
10:17
Matt Argersinger, what has been the shift?
10:21
Well, if you look at the dividend yield of
10:23
the S&P 500 today, it's right
10:25
around 1.4%. That
10:27
is the lowest yield on record outside
10:30
of early 2000, which we all know is
10:32
the kind of the height of the dot-com boom. So
10:34
the dividend yield in the S&P 500 really has
10:36
never been lower. And if you
10:38
look at a kind of a long-term chart of
10:40
the S&P 500 yield, it's gone nowhere
10:43
but down for about 40 years. And
10:46
it's been remarkable. And the shift is
10:48
if you go back before that, if you start in
10:50
the 1970s and go back even not just 100 years, but
10:53
go back 500 years to when
10:56
we were investing in the Dutch East Indies
10:58
Company on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange,
11:01
investors invested to get a dividend. That
11:03
was the whole point. It was a
11:05
cash relationship with your investments. And that
11:07
went for centuries. I mean, if you
11:09
think about the railroad investments, the industrial
11:11
investments, the postwar investments, it was all
11:13
about investing to get a dividend. You
11:16
know, Robert Brokamp joined us for Episode 1 of
11:18
this series, and he pointed out that – Robert
11:21
really said – I remember this. He
11:23
said if you go back as far as
11:25
the 1870s anyway, maybe not the Dutch East
11:27
Indies Company. Was it still in business? Up
11:29
through the 1950s, I remember him saying stocks
11:31
always yielded more than bonds. And
11:35
people felt like you needed to get that
11:37
higher dividend yield to make stocks worthwhile because
11:39
they were riskier. That's right. So
11:43
roughly 150 years, even including this
11:45
last decade, the average dividend
11:47
yield of the market was north of 4.5%. So
11:51
it was significant. It was about triple where it is today.
11:54
And there's a
11:56
new book out by Daniel Parris. It's called The Ownership
11:58
Dividend. And he
12:01
talks about three main reasons why there's been kind
12:03
of this shift away from dividends over the last,
12:05
say, 30 to 40 years. The
12:08
first reason is probably obvious. I mean, we've had almost
12:10
40-year decline in interest rates. If you look from the
12:12
early 80s to roughly 2021, 22, interest rates really went
12:14
nor-go-down. In
12:19
fact, in the last 15 years or so,
12:21
they were close to zero since the global
12:23
financial crisis. Amazing.
12:25
When the cost of capital in the market
12:27
goes down, when interest rates are super
12:29
low, you can – management teams can do a lot
12:31
of things and look smart even when they're making bad
12:33
decisions. You can always roll over debt, refinance debt at
12:36
lower rates. You can invest in most projects because the
12:38
discount rate is so low, it looks like it's going
12:40
to win. The value of assets and
12:42
real estate are high, so you always have more access to
12:44
capital. So there was just a lot of momentum behind the
12:46
idea of, well, I'm going to
12:48
retain this capital, invest in these longer-term,
12:50
longer-duration ideas and projects because the rate,
12:53
the capital cost was so
12:55
low over that time. So that's the big
12:57
first reason that Paris goes
12:59
into. The second reason, and I
13:01
think this is more interesting, and much less heralded reason, a
13:04
little-known SEC rule in 1982, rule 10B-18
13:06
– you can probably get what I'm
13:09
getting at – in
13:11
1982, it allowed more liberal share of buybacks.
13:14
So before 1982, it was actually difficult for companies
13:16
to do buybacks. A lot
13:18
of regulators thought it was akin to
13:20
market manipulation. If companies were buying back their own stock,
13:22
they often had to register and do shelf buys. They
13:24
had to do tender offers. It was a lot more
13:26
cumbersome to buy back stock. After
13:29
1982, a board can simply decide and
13:31
authorize a share of buyback. A company
13:33
like an investor can buy stocks in the
13:35
open market any time they want outside of a
13:37
few blackout periods around earnings or special events. So
13:40
that was a big shift in
13:42
the way managers started to allocate capital.
13:44
More towards buybacks, less towards dividends beginning
13:46
in 1982. The third reason
13:48
Paris gives, and I think it's a great one, is, look,
13:51
there was an undeniable rise in
13:53
the success and the value of Silicon Valley companies
13:56
and the idea of the high-tech companies where there
13:58
was a different culture about how to reward
14:00
and retain employees, more towards stock-based
14:02
compensation, more towards ownership in these
14:05
businesses, in these venture-type style businesses,
14:07
away from short-term dividends. And
14:10
I think that became, those companies, as they took off,
14:12
became sort of the fulcrum of the stock market boom
14:14
that we had in the 80s, 90s, and beyond. That
14:17
also took away a lot of the shine on dividends.
14:19
And I know you have a fourth reason you're going
14:21
to provide in a sec. I don't know what it
14:23
is, but I wanted to react and see what Buck
14:25
thinks about this. I just wanted to react to that
14:27
third point, Matt, because part of what
14:29
I think happened that Paris may be speaking to
14:31
is that an amazing
14:33
new technology was developed
14:35
and deployed, and it was the Internet. And
14:38
when you think about the growth rates associated with
14:40
that, the opportunity all of a sudden to
14:42
speak the entire world, which
14:45
most companies didn't have anything like
14:47
that platform or opportunity, free
14:49
information, social media, et cetera, e-commerce, it
14:51
was such a powerful development for our
14:53
society that in a lot of ways
14:56
I don't think it made sense if
14:58
you were driving it,
15:00
if you were AOL to start
15:02
with, or more recently amazon.com, it
15:05
didn't make sense necessarily to pay
15:07
your dear cash flow that
15:09
you're looking to reinvest in your business
15:11
at historically amazing rates. I
15:13
don't think it made sense for those companies
15:15
to pay out dividends. Do you agree? I
15:18
agree. I think that's a great point.
15:20
I generally agree with that point, but I would say
15:22
this. There's a lot of
15:24
misconceptions about dividends, and I think one of those
15:26
is that once you start
15:29
paying a dividend, you're no longer a
15:31
grower. And we've
15:33
known, I know we all know,
15:35
a lot of really innovative, high-growth
15:38
companies that in their early,
15:40
sometimes early on in their lifestyles, and I think
15:42
that's actually their lifespan, they start paying a dividend.
15:44
And that means a couple of things. They're profitable,
15:46
and even though they can reinvest, they can also
15:48
afford to pay some of it back. MercadoLibre is
15:50
one of those companies that did it, and obviously
15:53
has been a high-growth company for a very long
15:55
time. There are others, but I think
15:57
you're generally right, but there are some exceptions.
16:00
obviously all the time. So
16:02
Daniel Parris's book, the ownership
16:04
dividend, and he covered his
16:07
three main reasons. You've summarized him very aptly,
16:09
Matt. Is there a fourth? So this is
16:11
fourth reason. This is me,
16:13
and I don't have the
16:15
academic rigor study behind this that Parris applied to. We
16:17
don't need that on this show. We love you for
16:19
who you are. What do you got for us? So
16:22
we're gonna discuss him later in the
16:24
show, I know this, but I think Warren Buffett has
16:26
a little bit of influence on this. And now
16:28
Buffett didn't become, I think, a household name until
16:31
the mid late 90s. But I think
16:33
the fact that Buffett has never paid a dividend out
16:36
of Berkshire Hathaway, and has had
16:38
such extraordinary success, widely considered
16:40
the greatest investor of all time. I think
16:42
a lot of CEOs and investment managers look to Buffett and
16:44
say, well, he doesn't pay a dividend. And
16:46
he's done incredibly well. He's reinvested capital at high
16:48
rates and returns forever. Why should we pay
16:51
a dividend? So I think there's a little
16:53
bit of a cult of Buffett that
16:55
has some influence on this as well. And
16:58
I will also say, you know, one
17:00
of the misconceptions about Buffett will also get into this, I think,
17:02
is he actually is a bit of
17:04
a dividend investor himself. I mean, he if
17:07
you look at the investments he makes, he
17:09
absolutely loves getting dividends. He loves companies that
17:11
grow dividends over time, Coca-Cola, American Express, even
17:13
Apple. But of course,
17:15
he doesn't pay a dividend himself. And so
17:17
I think that has had some influence on
17:20
investor psychology. Thank you for that, Matt. And
17:22
as we start to close chapter one, the
17:24
shift in dividend investing, Buck, offline, you were
17:26
sharing just a little bit of how dividends
17:29
jump started your investment journey,
17:31
your initial fascination with them.
17:33
Can you speak to that? Yeah, so I
17:35
was five and I had my first job. I
17:37
grew up in a family business, which was a
17:39
restaurant. It was a large restaurant
17:41
in Pennsylvania, Dutch country. And I earned a
17:44
paycheck. I was the pot dryer. You were
17:46
five? I was five years old. And I
17:48
don't know that you have a 401k. I
17:50
did not have a 401k. But it was,
17:52
you know, it's funny, ran into some folks
17:54
that I haven't seen for decades. And I
17:56
went to school with them when I was
17:58
younger. And they said, I just remember
18:00
you were the hardest working people. They were feeling
18:02
sorry for me, and I didn't
18:04
realize that, and I was friends with those folks, but the
18:07
reality was it wasn't work for us, it was
18:09
what we did, and we were together as a
18:11
family. But anyhow, I earned a paycheck, and at
18:13
the end of every week, I would get a
18:15
check, and Mrs. Bricker, who was a lifelong Eagles
18:18
fan, would come over and she'd do our book
18:20
or she'd do all the payroll for everyone, and
18:22
I would get the first check. It was usually $2.38 or $5.28, and
18:27
I'd run to my dad, who always had money in his pocket, and
18:29
I'd say, cash this, I'd sign it, and I put
18:31
all my money in my sock drawer. So that
18:33
was the safest spot that I knew, because it
18:35
didn't just open like a regular drawer. You had
18:38
to go up underneath and open it, right? You
18:40
had a couple brothers, right? You had to protect
18:43
that money. Right, you had to keep it safe,
18:45
yes. And so that's what I had. So after
18:47
about two or three years, one
18:50
day my mother came to me and she said, "'Buck, come on,
18:52
we're going to the bank.'" And that was fun for me. Back
18:55
in those days, you got a lollipop every time
18:57
you went to the bank, and besides, there was
18:59
this mystery machine that you put stuff in it,
19:01
like zoom things out of space, and this little
19:03
tube came back to you. Kids don't
19:05
know about that today, but- I remember one that had
19:07
little NFL helmets that
19:10
was at the safe way. You'd put your
19:12
25 cents in, you'd like, will I get the New
19:14
Orleans safe? I hope not. Oh, nice, yes, yep, yep.
19:16
So we had that vacuum tube or whatever. And a
19:18
lollipop came back at the end, and that was always
19:20
great. But this time we had to go into the
19:22
bank and we set up a checking account. I said,
19:24
why are we doing this? She's like, I don't have
19:26
any room to put socks in your drawer anymore. It's filled
19:28
with money and that's not safe if the house burns down
19:30
or whatever else. So anyhow, long
19:32
story short, is I got a checking account,
19:35
and in a couple months, she started giving me
19:37
checks. $2,
19:40
$5, $7, and after about the fourth or fifth check,
19:42
I'm like, what is this? And she's like, well, those
19:44
are stocks your father and I bought for you when
19:46
you were born. And this one's
19:49
from Hershey Chocolate. That was one of them, and
19:51
I liked Hershey Chocolate. And they also pay out
19:53
a portion of their dividends. And now, as somebody
19:55
who started working at five, when I
19:57
got a free check for $2.38, sense
20:00
that I did not have to work for,
20:02
that was eureka to me because I'm like,
20:05
oh my gosh, I don't have to work at
20:07
all for this. I'm gonna
20:09
get more of that and so that was I
20:11
was probably seven or eight at that time and
20:13
that's what really for me kindled
20:16
my lifelong kind
20:18
of interest in investing. Love
20:20
that story. Thank you, Buck. You're reminding me
20:22
of one of our former employees who told a
20:25
great story when I first met him at his
20:27
kind of initial coffee, joining the
20:29
Fool, wonderful guy for several years
20:31
here. Mark Reagan said, yeah, my
20:33
mom said this to me growing up when I
20:35
was at an impressionable age, son, there are three
20:37
ways to make money in this world. First
20:41
is with your strength, second is
20:43
with your mind, the third
20:45
is with your money. And
20:48
Mark said, could you tell me more
20:50
about that third one? And you just shared
20:52
a story very similarly. Our money makes
20:55
more money and especially when you're a
20:57
kid, mind.blown.
21:02
Let's move on to chapter two, the
21:04
practical value of dividends. Buck, maybe some
21:06
more storytelling. You brought some stories for
21:08
this hour. I did, I brought some
21:10
stories. So I think in some senses
21:12
you just spoke to the practical value
21:14
of dividends, maybe more the excitement that they
21:17
would even exist. Speak now, did you bring
21:19
a story about the practical value of
21:22
dividends? Yeah, so I'll give one. Your
21:25
parents? Yeah, my parents. My father,
21:27
as he got older, I helped
21:29
manage his portfolio and we had
21:32
a couple guidelines and one of those, and
21:34
I think this is something that's attainable if
21:36
people work for it, one is to have
21:38
three years living expenses in cash, right?
21:40
Because if you get beyond retirement and all that stuff,
21:43
and one of the great things about that is you
21:45
don't have to sell anything when the market goes down.
21:48
And for somebody who was in his 80s
21:50
and he wasn't in great health and things,
21:52
he had zero percent of his portfolio
21:54
in bonds, which most
21:56
people would find crazy, but he did have a
21:59
decent amount of cash. When
22:01
2008 and 2009 came out, the stock
22:03
market went down about 30 percent, and
22:05
our stocks went down like everyone else's. Mine
22:08
went down more. What
22:10
you saw then, though, in the portfolio was one,
22:12
didn't need to sell anything. Secondly,
22:15
dividend stocks hold up better
22:17
than regular stocks because companies
22:19
don't like cutting the dividend because their investors
22:21
don't like it when they cut them. The
22:24
dividends hold up better than the stock
22:26
prices, and that kept the constant flow
22:28
of income coming in throughout his portfolio so
22:31
that not only did we not have to
22:33
sell stocks when they were down, we had
22:35
the dividend income to live off, he did,
22:37
and he could also reinvest some and buy
22:39
some more stocks when they were very cheap.
22:41
That regular ongoing income that comes in, and
22:43
I think at that point in time, and
22:45
it was a decision I made, was I'd
22:47
rather own dividend stocks than I would
22:49
have 30 or 40 percent
22:51
of his portfolio in bonds. I think that worked
22:53
out very well for him over the long term.
22:55
Wonderful story, and I love that he did it
22:57
with stocks. Now if Robert Brokamp were here with
22:59
us, and he always is here, he's
23:01
on our shoulder. There's the
23:04
angel on one side of your shoulder, and then
23:06
on the other side is Robert Brokamp. He
23:10
might talk about laddering T-bills at this point
23:12
or other strategies you can use without using
23:15
stocks in order to get that guaranteed, regular,
23:17
recurring income. We love Bro,
23:19
and I like that about him. A lot of
23:21
people use strategies like that, and they're brilliant. You
23:25
can do with stocks. You can
23:27
do with stocks, and the reason I paraphrase that
23:29
and said three years living expenses
23:31
in cash means you
23:34
have the flexibility that if you
23:36
don't want to do that, you don't have to, but it
23:38
all comes down to your tolerance. My
23:41
mother was more of the investor in our house, and
23:43
that's who I talk stocks with my entire life. He
23:47
had seen that, and she managed our money that
23:49
way, and so he had a tolerance
23:51
that he didn't care about the up and down.
23:53
It was long-term money that was going to stay
23:55
invested. I actually needed it for something. Buck
24:00
said earlier about the fact that when the market
24:02
declines, dividends come down
24:04
to cut. If you look at even the
24:06
Great Depression, the worst period from the
24:08
market, 1930-1932, where
24:12
the market declined 83%, the dividends
24:14
in the market only declined 32%. In the great financial
24:18
crisis, October 2007, March
24:20
2009, stock market down 57%, the amount of dividends, 0%
24:26
declined. Incredible. Before
24:28
we move on, Buck, where was that
24:30
family restaurant? Lancaster, Pennsylvania. That is amazing.
24:33
Last week, Robert Scuia wrote into
24:35
the mailbag from? Lancaster,
24:38
Pennsylvania. And indeed, with me at
24:40
the microphone, the Motley Fool's Chief
24:43
Investment Officer. We know him, we love him. Andy
24:45
Cross. And Andy Cross is from? Lancaster,
24:47
Pennsylvania. And he's really from Lancaster.
24:50
When I say Lancaster, I'm like actually in a town
24:53
called Lidditz. It's seven miles north of Lancaster. Sure,
24:55
that counts. And he's legitimately from Lancaster. That would
24:57
be like the city. We would say he's a
24:59
city boy, right? Big town. And
25:02
my father and his brother, his
25:04
brother went on to start Gardener Investments and
25:07
they grew up in? Lancaster, Pennsylvania. I mean,
25:09
what is going on with this? Okay, enough with
25:11
the Lancaster, Pennsylvania Chamber of Commerce announcement in the
25:13
middle of our dividend fooled conversation.
25:15
But thank you. Yeah, Lancaster. So
25:18
these are, Matt, these
25:21
are some of the most resilient companies
25:23
in the world today that are paying
25:27
substantial dividends, especially ones that have done so
25:29
over a long period of time. We haven't
25:31
used this phrase yet, but is there a
25:33
phrase that's used to label the
25:35
companies that dependably pay
25:37
rising dividends over long periods
25:39
of time? That's
25:41
right. The dividend aristocrats, which is a S&P
25:44
500 global property. So give them
25:47
the trademark there. Okay. These
25:49
companies have not only paid a dividend for
25:51
25 consecutive years, they've grown their dividend every
25:53
year for at least 25 consecutive years. It's
25:55
a remarkable set of companies. If you think
25:57
about what it takes to do that, the
25:59
type type of business that you
26:02
have to have to sustainably
26:04
grow earnings and exist for
26:07
that period of time and beyond is extraordinary. So
26:09
it is an absolutely extraordinary set of companies. And
26:11
Matt, you're working on the Dividend Investor, one of
26:13
the Motley Fool's services. Please give
26:15
a really brief plug for Dividend Investor.
26:17
Sure. So Dividend Investor, it's actually about
26:20
a year old as of this month. We
26:22
launched it, yeah, early 2023. And
26:25
with a focus on dividend growth, because
26:27
if you look at companies that are, and we just talked about
26:29
the dividend aristocrats, but if you look at companies that can grow
26:31
their dividend over time, those tend
26:33
to be over the very long term the best
26:36
performing part of the market. So
26:38
companies that initiate and grow dividends compared to
26:40
really any other sector of companies, non-payers,
26:43
worst of all, companies that cut their dividend,
26:45
those are the companies that do well. So
26:47
we wanted to really isolate that part of the market, focusing
26:50
on high quality companies within that space. And
26:52
before we move to Chapter 3, we're closing
26:54
in on Chapter 2 here, the practical value.
26:57
Could you speak to the benefits
26:59
of reinvesting through, let's say, a
27:01
drip plan, dividend reinvestments that investors
27:03
can make over the course of
27:06
time, benefits thereof? That's right. So
27:09
one of the things that Buck said was talking
27:11
about owning dividend stocks and downturns, which
27:13
I loved, and dividend stocks tend to hold up better.
27:15
But what they also do for you, if you're reinvesting
27:17
those dividends, and you have a couple
27:19
options to do that, you can get the cash and
27:22
simply choose what to invest in, choose what
27:24
to buy more of, or you can do
27:26
what you said these drip plans, dividend reinvestment
27:28
plans, where most brokerages will allow you, they
27:30
get the dividend and it's cost
27:32
free, tax free, they will just reinvest
27:34
that dividend into that same stock. So
27:37
you can buy fractions of the stock over time and kind
27:39
of build your position naturally. I love
27:41
doing that, especially during downturns, because if you think about
27:43
if stock is down 30%, but the
27:45
dividends aren't, your dividends are getting reinvested
27:47
at better prices. And so you're building these
27:49
positions over time in these
27:52
companies, these high quality companies, oftentimes at
27:54
low valuations, and you're kind of really
27:56
compounding your wealth as years go by.
27:58
Yeah. And interestingly, I'll just add. that
28:00
when you calculate the actual returns on a
28:02
stock that pays a dividend, you have to
28:04
make some assumptions about what
28:07
people do with those dividends. And usually
28:09
the convention is that you assume that
28:11
they were reinvested at the time, but
28:13
ironically almost no one does it. So
28:15
the returns that you see for most of those
28:17
stocks that they've paid a long-term dividend is assuming
28:19
that they reinvested and bought more of that stock
28:21
when they got the dividend and most people do
28:23
not do that. Now I know some of our
28:25
listeners do. I bet we over... And through The
28:27
Motley Fool, I bet we over-indexed toward people who
28:29
do that. And yet, and yet a
28:32
lot of people listening right now are
28:34
probably going, wait, check that. Wait, what did Matt say
28:36
again? How do I
28:38
sign up for a dividend? How do I get
28:40
that automatically reinvested? And is this something guys that
28:42
I would typically do, let's say I have an
28:44
account at Schwab. Do I just let Schwab know
28:47
or do I go to the company? Are there
28:49
benefits? Let me know. I'll speak to Schwab just
28:51
because I have an account there. If you go
28:53
to, you can simply go to your portfolio page
28:55
and there's literally a checkbox next to every position
28:57
and you can say reinvest dividends, check that box,
28:59
yes. And then going forward, every dividend that receives
29:02
for that stock will be reinvested in that stock.
29:04
And so a lot of brokerages do that
29:06
now. So it's as easy as Matt said.
29:08
There used to be a company when nobody,
29:11
a lot didn't offer it. It was called
29:13
Share Builder, which I originally had for my
29:15
kids and they got bought out by somebody,
29:17
I think E-Trade bought out Share Builder, but
29:20
they were kind of the unique one in
29:22
this year. They did it really well. That
29:24
was their like big focus. Around the challenges
29:26
and misconceptions. Buck, let
29:28
me turn to you. This
29:32
is an important topic because there
29:34
are some challenges to being
29:36
a dividend focused investor. Double
29:38
taxation might be something you'd like to speak
29:40
to, but in addition we're
29:42
also going to address some misconceptions. Let me
29:45
take it Hartzell's way. Yeah, so I'll
29:47
say that the double taxation is real, so
29:49
the company pays taxes on the profits they
29:52
earn. That's what companies do. If they have
29:54
profits in the United States of America, most
29:57
of them I think. Right. If they haven't offshorted
29:59
or figured out some. some way around the
30:01
tax man, they're paying taxes on their profits.
30:03
Yes. And then when you
30:05
get a dividend from them, you also have to
30:07
pay taxes on your taxes. Their profits have already
30:09
been reduced and they're paying you some of what's
30:11
left over to you, the
30:14
poor shareholder, but you poor shareholder,
30:17
poor only in relative terms, you
30:20
unfortunate shareholder now also have to pay
30:23
tax on the dividend that you receive, the
30:25
dividend's in income that you're receiving. Yes, that's
30:27
right. And hence the double taxation. Yes. And
30:30
I think Matt mentioned earlier about Warren Buffett
30:32
and one of the reasons he's gone publicly
30:34
and said, you know, several
30:36
times that Berkshire Hathaway will
30:38
never pay a dividend as long as he's
30:40
CEO. And that's been true
30:42
to date. And by the way, I'm going up
30:44
to the Berkshire meeting here in a day or
30:47
so. So I'll be there. I
30:49
think we've talked about meta and we've talked
30:51
about alphabet introducing
30:54
dividends. I'll
30:56
predict the future and say that Berkshire will
30:59
actually pay a dividend. I
31:01
don't think it'll come on Warren Buffett's
31:03
watch, but I think whoever's predecessor, which
31:06
is going to be Greg Abel, it's
31:09
going to relieve some pressure from him
31:11
and the people that invest Berkshire Hathaway's
31:13
money. And Warren Buffett has also said
31:15
it's hard to hold $150 billion in cash on the balance sheet
31:19
and do that. So I think they will
31:21
pay a dividend sometime in the not too
31:23
distant future. Over his dead body?
31:25
I'm not meaning to be morbid. No, I
31:28
don't know. I think that's what you're getting at, Buck. I'm
31:30
saying it's at the point. Perhaps
31:33
they'll make a giant acquisition of a $100 billion company, which
31:35
I know he'd love to do, but I
31:37
think a dividend is coming to Berkshire Hathaway. Thank
31:39
you. You heard it here first or maybe not
31:41
because... Well, you heard it here. Is that completely original to
31:43
you, Buck? Are you the first person to take a risk
31:45
and say that? No, I don't think so. Well, you might
31:47
be. But I don't know. We don't know. We
31:50
can't know. I don't know. That was brave.
31:53
So, yeah. The other one I'd say is there's
31:57
a lot of great businesses and even the...
32:00
businesses, you probably don't want
32:02
to pay a dividend. And what I mean by that
32:04
is if management has
32:06
demonstrated an ability to take their
32:08
profits and reinvest them at a high
32:10
rate of return and earn 20% or 25% or 30%, you want
32:12
that management team
32:16
to keep all that money as
32:19
long as they can and keep earning
32:21
more money on it, right? So not
32:24
many companies can do that, but if you are one of those companies in
32:26
your growth business and you reinvest at a high
32:28
rate of return, you probably
32:31
don't want to dividend from it. Matt Argersinger,
32:33
agree, disagree, neutral. I will
32:35
disagree mostly in the sense that when
32:38
you say not many companies, I would say very,
32:40
very few companies can invest at a high rate of
32:43
return for very long periods of time. And what
32:45
do you mean when you say long periods of time
32:47
because that seems like an important point? I would say
32:49
I'd say 10 plus years feels like a long
32:51
time. I don't think many companies can even invest at
32:53
high rates over a decade. I'll
32:56
give you an example. I mean, we talked about
32:58
Alphabet earlier. Alphabet is –
33:00
Google is an extraordinary business. I think we'd
33:02
all agree. And since its IPO, it's trounced
33:04
for the stock market. It has. And
33:07
I think rightfully so. They should not have paid a dividend. But
33:09
I would argue that if Alphabet
33:11
had started paying a dividend, say 10 years
33:13
ago instead of just recently, I
33:16
think their returns to shareholders would have been better. I
33:18
say that because they've made a
33:21
lot of allocations, capital allocations in the last 10
33:23
years. I think that's a huge issue. Probably wasn't
33:25
in the best interest of shareholders. And had some
33:27
of that gone to dividends and not to a
33:29
lot of their other bets or other parts of the business,
33:33
I don't think paying, say, a 3% dividend yield over
33:35
the last 10 years would have absolutely restricted them at
33:37
all from allocating capital effectively. Yet
33:39
I think shareholders would have been better off. So
33:41
it's not always about, well, a company just invested
33:43
at high rates of return. Let them keep all
33:45
the capital. I think that can go hand in hand with paying a
33:47
dividend as well. And I think, to you
33:50
guys, one of the things I've said about dividends over
33:52
the years is that they provide a
33:55
cushion for a company's
33:57
stock price drops. Because
34:00
if the company can keep paying out, let's go
34:02
back to our example we used to kick off
34:04
the podcast. It's stocks at $50 a share, companies
34:07
paying a dollar a share
34:09
in dividends, a 2%
34:11
dividend yield. Let's just
34:13
pretend the whole market drops 25%
34:16
like it did in a single month when we last
34:18
did this episode four years ago. All of a sudden
34:20
that $50 stock is now down to $37.50 or something
34:22
like that. And
34:25
now the dividend yield, $1 around $37.50,
34:27
is starting to get closer to 3% to 4%. And
34:33
it's almost like if they can keep paying out, the
34:35
stock can't drop much below 20%. Because
34:38
at that point it's a 5% dividend yield. You
34:41
pointed out, Matt, we're at historically low dividend yield for the
34:43
S&P 500 of 1.4%. 5%
34:46
is a phenomenal return. Again,
34:48
assuming this is a rock-solid enterprise, they can
34:50
keep paying that dividend. So there's that cushion,
34:53
there's that unsinkable Molly Brown factor for the
34:55
companies that can keep paying these dividends. That's
34:57
right. There's an absolute balance that comes with
34:59
a company that pays a dividend. And I
35:01
would also argue that you wouldn't
35:04
just argue. You are arguing. I am arguing.
35:06
Don't use the conditional form of the verb.
35:08
You are arguing. I am arguing that. What
35:11
Buck said about agency risk
35:13
or the discipline that the dividend
35:15
exerts on a company is I
35:17
think it's really an understated point.
35:20
If a company knows it has to pay a dividend, and we
35:22
talk about companies that are paying it, I have to pay this
35:24
dividend. I have to pay 30% of my earnings out or whatever
35:26
the payout ratio. Because that's what I promised, and companies hate to
35:28
cut their dividend, and they want to maintain that.
35:31
I think it exerts a certain amount of pressure on
35:33
management to say, well, we can't do this other project
35:35
or this other thing. Because you know what? 30% of
35:37
our earnings are going to dividend. 30% are
35:40
going to pay back debt. And so that leaves us 40% to
35:43
allocate to the business, reinvest, whatever have
35:45
you. I think that is an
35:47
underrated strength of a lot of companies that have
35:49
paid dividends over time. And I
35:51
like one thing that Matt said, and a
35:54
few companies do this, where they say, we're going
35:56
to pay out a certain percentage of our earnings,
35:58
or above a certain level. level of earnings,
36:00
we're going to pay out this much in
36:02
dividends. And it varies year from year. We
36:05
also haven't talked much about special dividends at
36:07
all here at all. I
36:09
love companies that pay one-time special
36:11
dividends, and some do it very
36:14
regularly, where they're saying, hey, if we have
36:16
the optionality to invest in this growth, or we're going to
36:18
make a big acquisition, or we're going to do whatever else,
36:21
we're not going to pay a special dividend this year.
36:23
But if we find ourselves, or we can't find good
36:25
ways to invest, we're going to pay you out a
36:27
special dividend and return that capital
36:29
to you, because that is disciplined in another way
36:31
that's saying, hey, nothing's meeting our hurdle rate, so
36:33
we're giving it back to our share. I
36:36
don't know if it's ... I don't think irony is the
36:38
right word, but it's interesting if you look at a lot
36:40
of international companies, especially European companies. They do exactly that model.
36:42
Which is, we're going to make a certain amount of earnings,
36:44
or we think we are, and if we make it, we're
36:46
going to pay a certain percentage of that out to investors,
36:49
and it varies year to year based on the earnings.
36:51
I kind of wish a lot of companies would do that more in the
36:53
States. We tend to, for some reason in the United States, we have adopted
36:56
the whole, we declare this quarterly
36:58
dividend, and that's what we're going to pay
37:00
until we raise it, and it's going to stay that way. Whereas
37:02
a lot of international companies, a lot of commodity
37:04
based companies, Rio Tinto comes to mind, where it
37:06
pays big special dividends based on how their earnings
37:09
do. That's a cyclical business, so it makes sense,
37:11
but that to me always seems like a smarter
37:13
model. I don't know why more companies don't raise
37:15
it. It's a much better model. It's funny, because I'm torn on that,
37:17
guys. I will mention, looking back over the
37:19
stocks that I picked for the Motley Fool over 28 years, one
37:22
of them was a great dividend payer,
37:24
and has been a fantastic investment. It's
37:26
TDG, TransDime,
37:28
ticker symbol TDG TransDime
37:31
Group. This company is
37:33
famous for special dividends. We're
37:36
here in Chapter 3, Challenges and Misconceptions. I
37:38
find it challenging to remember what my actual
37:41
rate of return is, because when I look
37:43
at a stock graph and I look at
37:45
TDG, it's amazing looking. It's up 900%,
37:47
if you go back July 20, 2012, and I picked it for Stock Advisor.
37:53
900% on a stock graph today, S&P 500, 300% over that same 12-year period. So
37:58
tripling the market, awesome stock. Well,
38:01
it wasn't its return. The actual
38:03
return of TDG – and we have this on
38:05
our Stock Advisor site because we properly fully account
38:07
for things – the actual return
38:09
is 1,900%. It's a 20-bagger. The more the
38:11
dividends factor into a stock's return, the harder
38:13
it is, the more opaque it is, not
38:15
just to me, the shareholder, but to the
38:17
world at large, to us on a podcast
38:20
trying to talk about what your actual returns
38:22
are. So I find that a challenge, and
38:24
– I'm about to pass the ball to
38:26
Matt here – but, and at
38:28
least if you do it regularly, quarterly, I kind of can keep
38:30
up with that and get that. If
38:32
you start going, yeah, $3.79 dividend
38:35
this, I don't know, January, it
38:37
becomes very hard to understand what our return was.
38:39
So I find that a challenge. So I know
38:42
you guys are championing the European model, and I
38:44
love me, my TDG. Shout-out
38:47
to Stock Advisor members who might still be
38:49
holding that for 12 years ago because it's
38:51
been phenomenal. Amazing. But it's very hard to
38:53
really know what's going on. No,
38:55
I agree. I agree with you, and I – and right,
38:57
I'm kind of hurting my original point about the
39:00
regular dividend is more disciplinary on management in
39:02
a way. So I kind of – I
39:04
like that aspect of it. But
39:06
your example of Transom brings me to the example
39:08
of Costco, which is kind of a hybrid model,
39:10
pays a regular dividend and the occasional special dividend.
39:14
But we do a big disservice with most stock
39:16
charts when we just show price, or even because
39:18
companies that do pay special dividend, or even companies
39:20
that just pay a high regular dividend, there's a
39:23
company called EPR Properties. It's
39:25
a real estate investment trust. No one's ever heard of
39:27
it. If you look at the return since its IPO,
39:29
it's been phenomenal. It's like 1,800%. If
39:32
you look at just the price return, it's up like 50%. That's
39:35
what I'm talking about. It pays such a huge
39:37
percentage of its earnings out of dividends, being a
39:40
REIT. It has to, that it really
39:42
undercounts the actual total return that shareholders get. Do
39:44
you know what EPR stands for, by the way?
39:48
Experiment? No, I don't. Experiential
39:50
properties? It is entertainment
39:52
properties, and the R for
39:55
EPR may be just from
39:57
properties. Maybe. It's kind of a –
39:59
it's a – I
40:01
wish they'd rebrand themselves. They have an opportunity to
40:04
create more love and consumer awareness by
40:06
not claims of EPR properties. I agree.
40:08
Even, Matt, you're lionizing this coming. You
40:10
don't even know what it stands for.
40:12
That's terrible. What am I doing here?
40:16
All right. Well, thus concludes chapter 3, the
40:18
challenges and misconceptions. Sure, there are
40:20
probably more misconceptions out there and more challenges,
40:22
but we're not trying to cover everything
40:25
this episode. We're just trying to
40:27
cover the things we think are important.
40:29
Chapter 4, stock
40:31
buybacks versus dividends. Now,
40:34
I have made some hay over the years
40:37
on Rule Breaker Investing by occasionally dedicating an
40:39
entire week's podcast to my pet peeves. And
40:42
it's almost embarrassing. I think I'm on volume 8
40:44
or 9, and I'm doing like 8, 8-an-episode. Like
40:47
I have put out there into the public 60 to
40:51
70 things that irk me over the
40:53
course of time. A lot of them are pedantic
40:55
language. It's like – it's almost
40:57
sad and self-indulgent that I've
40:59
done as much as I have with pet peeves
41:01
because I'm a happy person. I don't think I
41:03
walk around judging the world in
41:05
the way you'd think for my pet peeves and
41:08
Buck Hartzell. I'm not the only one with pet
41:10
peeves. I have many pet peeves,
41:12
but I haven't done any episodes, so I've probably got
41:14
a long list of ones that we need to leave.
41:16
Well, you're on this episode, and you've got a pet
41:18
peeve in this area. I've got a lot of different
41:21
dividends, and I've got bone to pick with a lot
41:23
of executives. Pick it.
41:25
The big one that I have is when
41:27
companies at the end
41:29
of the year ago, we bought back $100 million
41:32
in stock and paid $30 million in
41:34
dividends, and we returned $130 million to shareholders.
41:36
You did not return $130 million. When
41:43
you buy back stock, that is
41:45
not a return of capital to
41:47
shareholders. Dividends actually are. So
41:50
stop telling us that you return
41:52
capital to us, because oftentimes, stock
41:54
buybacks don't even benefit the shareholders
41:57
at all. So you
41:59
don't see it. Technically, if we're not getting
42:01
down to technicalities here, but you take money, right?
42:04
And you when you take money
42:06
and you buy back stock and that money was on
42:08
your balance sheet if it was a hundred million dollars
42:10
It's now gone. Yeah, you didn't give it to me
42:12
And if the stock didn't go up by the total
42:15
stock by a value of a hundred million dollars There's
42:17
nothing that comes back and typically it's just not a
42:19
return of capital shareholders So don't tell us that one
42:21
of them is and that's dividends. That's a return of
42:24
capital shareholders Matt
42:26
are buybacks effective are dividends
42:29
effective Do you want to
42:31
is there a debate to be had here
42:33
about what we as shareholders should be cheering
42:35
on? I think as shareholders we
42:37
should be cheering on dividends much more than buybacks.
42:39
So I'm with buck I would
42:42
say there you know, and this is an obvious point
42:44
I think we all know this that there are companies
42:46
that do buybacks more effectively and I think buybacks have
42:48
a role to play I wish there wasn't I wish
42:50
you know, it wasn't dividends really small
42:52
here and these buybacks here I mean if you
42:54
look at even alphabets announcement, you know They announced
42:56
this point five percent dividend yield stock got a
42:58
nice day that day Although there was also a
43:00
buyback and a dividend and some earnings so I
43:03
couldn't really tell why I stopped But they announced
43:05
a dividend in conjunction to this massive. I want
43:07
to say 70 billion dollar buyback I think that's
43:09
what it was a new buyback. Anyway, I
43:11
think the dividend will cost them 10 billion dollars
43:14
Well, I think I read that the the
43:16
interest they're getting on the cash on the balance
43:18
She's gonna almost cover the dividend if you look
43:20
at it, but they got a lot of cash
43:22
But regardless, no, I think dividends should should be
43:24
more in favor. I think more companies which should
43:26
do that I think invest in shareholders be better
43:28
off, but there are certainly good examples of companies.
43:30
They're doing it, right? I think eBay is an
43:33
interesting example of a company that although it has not
43:35
been a you know A market beater
43:37
by any stretch if you look at and
43:39
I know bucks a little bit fan of eBay They
43:41
initiated dividend for the first time five years ago. They've
43:44
doubled that dividend over that five
43:47
year period But what's interesting is the cash they're
43:49
paying out to cover the dividend today It's
43:51
only ten percent higher than the cash they're paying
43:53
out five years ago when they first initiated the
43:56
dividend and that's because they bought Back so much
43:58
stock that the the obligation the cash obligation
44:00
to pay out the dividend is if
44:06
you can find a company that's growing its earnings a high
44:08
quality business paying a growing dividend but that's
44:10
also doing effective buybacks and we have there's a bunch
44:12
of companies that do wow you can really
44:14
compound your wealth in a business like that and you don't have to
44:17
get a ton of growth in revenue or
44:19
earnings to really do that yeah
44:21
and unfortunately I agree with Matt
44:25
the statistics tell us that most companies are
44:27
not good at buybacks terrible I always hear
44:29
that right and and and they don't create
44:32
a lot of value for folks but here's
44:34
here's why I believe CFOs and CEOs like
44:36
buybacks because they're not locked into
44:38
them when they it's that discipline
44:41
they declare a dividend something happens they've allocated
44:43
X dollars toward buyback yeah and so if
44:45
you see what happens and I did I
44:47
did that's absolutely right I did research many
44:49
years ago where you looked at S&P 500
44:52
buybacks and when do you think they peak
44:55
if you look at the performance of the stocks and
44:57
the price is gonna be a cynical point isn't it?
45:00
It says the market peaks. Yeah when the market
45:02
peaks that's exactly when
45:04
when buybacks peak and then
45:06
what happens when stocks drop in 2008 30%
45:08
ain't nobody buying back nobody buying back right
45:10
for like 10 years I think 2007 was
45:13
like their record year it
45:15
always hits the record right before
45:17
so their timing is impeccably
45:20
terrible but if you think of
45:22
it from the mind of
45:24
the CFO the first thing that they're going
45:26
through is okay we got to pay our payroll
45:28
we got to invest in our growth and we
45:30
got to do all these things and then at
45:32
the end of time they go okay what do
45:34
we have leftover and on their
45:36
best years when they're earning the biggest profits and
45:39
they're really good they're like we have a lot
45:41
left over what do we do we're gonna we're
45:43
gonna we're gonna buy back stock even though we're
45:45
paying a very high price for it and then
45:48
we'll tell shareholders that it's a return of capital
45:50
and they'll all be happy. I don't really follow
45:52
buybacks per se it's not something I target hope
45:54
for in the stocks that I would buy or
45:57
recommend or follow in the
45:59
companies that are doing it. So
46:01
you guys probably follow this more than I do, and I'm
46:03
not even saying you follow it. But are
46:05
there companies that routinely,
46:08
regularly buy back through
46:10
all market conditions in the same way
46:13
that there are dividend aristocrats that regularly
46:15
pay dividends quarter after quarter
46:17
through all market conditions?
46:19
Because if there are, and I
46:22
suspect there are, at least sometimes I'll look over
46:25
five years of financial results in an annual report,
46:27
which used to be paper that we used to
46:29
call the investor relations department for and have nailed
46:31
to us, and these days it's all online. But
46:33
when I look over the companies that,
46:36
you know, there are definitely ones that persistently
46:38
reduce their share count. And
46:40
those are often good performers. But it would seem to
46:42
me, guys, that if
46:45
you as a CFO, Chief Financial
46:47
Officer, simply routinely bought back stock,
46:50
you would not be one of those companies that always
46:52
makes the bad calls. The stock market tends to rise
46:54
over time. If you want to be a hero
46:57
CFO, just systematically,
46:59
quarterly allocate something to
47:01
buy back stock if you want to allocate your capital
47:03
that way. Don't time anything.
47:06
Be rigorous. I'm just curious, is that something
47:08
that you observe? That's an amazing point. I
47:11
haven't seen work on that, and I have
47:13
not observed that necessarily. I will say that
47:15
a company like Chevron, which maybe has
47:18
never come up on the RBA podcast, I don't
47:20
know. You know what? I will search. I have
47:22
a database of our podcast. Oh, that's awesome. The
47:25
number of times Chevron may have been uttered in nine
47:27
years of this podcast. Keep going. Okay, but Chevron is
47:29
an example, at least one that comes to mind
47:32
of a company that eight or
47:34
nine years ago had a new CEO came in,
47:36
kind of did a big capital allocation shift. And
47:38
they have dedicated, every year, they have
47:41
said, we're going to buy back $4 billion or $5 billion worth
47:43
of stock. And they actually have done it. Now,
47:45
it's not all, it's not in equal amounts.
47:47
But they've really lived up to what they've said they're going to
47:49
buy back. And so one company I can think of right now,
47:51
but I'd love to do that study, David. Walmart
47:54
is another company that years ago decided they
47:56
were going to take about a third of
47:59
their earnings and buy back stock and they're going
48:01
to take another third of their earnings and pay out
48:03
a dividend. So they kind of balance it. And
48:06
I think those are better than the ones that
48:09
guess and just do it when they have extra
48:11
left over for sure. The ones that I do
48:13
spend a lot of time on and
48:15
think a lot about are the ones that are
48:17
very strategic about it. And they're saying basically there's
48:19
two rules. We have to have extra capital and
48:21
it has to be below intrinsic value. And those
48:24
are companies that when it does go on sale,
48:27
they buy a lot of it back. So
48:29
those are the ones that are very strategic,
48:31
not just the regular. So for 30 years,
48:34
we at The Fool have said to anybody
48:36
who would listen on our website, our podcast,
48:38
et cetera, dollar cost averaging is a great
48:40
way to approach investing. Save a
48:42
portion of your salary check every two weeks.
48:45
Market's high, market's low, doesn't matter. Put it into
48:47
a company or a fund that you love and
48:50
respect and think it'll be around 10 plus years.
48:52
Take timing out of it. It's time in the market,
48:55
not timing the market. Dollar cost
48:57
average. It's got its own acronym, DCA. I
48:59
think a lot of people hearing us right
49:01
now are already doing this. Why
49:03
wouldn't you do this with your capital allocation if
49:05
you're going to buy back? DCA, baby. Sounds
49:08
like a CFO, what they should be doing. I
49:10
appreciate that, Matt. And yes, you are the first
49:12
person to ever bring the
49:15
word Chevron. It's the word Chevron. The
49:18
podcast launched in July of 2015. We've
49:21
had a new fresh episode every single week
49:23
since. No one until right now,
49:25
Matt, had ever said it's happened. Chevron. All
49:27
right. Take your CVX, by the way. All
49:30
right. I love it. All
49:32
right. Chapter five, maybe the spotlight chapter
49:34
of this entire podcast. We'll see based
49:37
on the clicks and the data that
49:39
I never actually look at. I hope people are still listening.
49:42
It's spotlight on dividend
49:44
stocks and strategies. It's
49:46
PICS time. Buck, by the
49:49
way, thank you for your PICS four years
49:51
ago. It's been fun to watch them. You
49:53
mentioned CNA Financial at the time, an insurance
49:55
company. It was paying out special dividends, something
49:57
that I now know that you really like.
50:00
It had like a 10% yield back then. Yeah,
50:03
and it still does. It still has a high yield. The
50:06
stock's gone up, but they still pay a
50:08
special dividend, which they did again this year,
50:10
and they've raised their regularly quarterly dividend. So
50:13
people that did buy then are probably getting over a
50:15
10% yield. Pretty happy. Do
50:17
you know, who's the CEO today? Is
50:20
it still the same gentleman? Yes, it's a
50:22
person, Dino Robusto, who came over. An amazing
50:24
name. Yes, which is an awesome name. Could
50:26
you say that name again? Dino Robusto, and
50:29
he came over from Chubb, which is a
50:31
great insurer, and he's done a remarkable job.
50:33
Possibly the best CEO name of our time.
50:35
Yes, with a great name. Dino Robusto. A
50:38
whole of family. Robusto, baby. All
50:40
right, good. Well, let's get into
50:42
the picks here, guys. Let me go to Matt first.
50:44
I think you've each brought three, and
50:47
so we're going to bounce it back and forth. Ping Pong,
50:49
a minute or so each. Give us
50:51
a pitch. Matt Argersinger, pick number one. Let's go. RPM
50:54
International. It's like our RPM. This
50:56
is a great family-run business, founded
50:58
by the current CEO's grandfather. In
51:00
1947, RPM stands for
51:02
Republic Powdered Metals. If that gives you an
51:05
indication how exciting this company is, then, well,
51:07
there you go. But this is
51:09
a company that just has a
51:11
ton of products in sort of
51:14
the repair, maintenance, DIY home renovation
51:16
markets. Think Rust-Oleum, Quicksield, Dynaflex. If
51:19
you've done any home renovations, and I've done
51:21
way too many, you've definitely used RPM's brands,
51:23
I promise. In
51:25
1947, when the company was founded, they had
51:27
this one product, and it sold
51:29
only in the United States, and their sales reached 90,000. In
51:32
the most recent fiscal year, they have a portfolio
51:35
of dozens of products, a market
51:37
that encompasses 164 countries and
51:39
territories, and their sales hit 7.3 billion. It's
51:42
really impressive. What I love
51:44
about this business, we recently recommended
51:46
it for our Dividend Investor Service, is
51:49
they have paid, now paid a dividend
51:51
that's grown for 50 consecutive years. And
51:53
there are very few companies that
51:55
have done that, and the business and CEO, who's
51:58
also the grandson of the founder, loves to call this out. But
52:00
if you invested in the business after
52:02
it went public in 1973 and held for all those 50
52:06
years, your $1,000 has turned into $1.1 million. So
52:12
extraordinary business and a company that has really dedicated
52:14
to growing the dividend and continue to grow within
52:17
its markets. And I love all these picks.
52:19
They're all our children. I do
52:21
know something more about this particular one, Matt, because
52:23
I did pick it for Motley Fool Stock Advisor.
52:25
That's right. I was checking it. It was January
52:27
16, 2015. So
52:30
we're coming up now on nine years. And
52:32
I was just checking the stock over
52:34
that period of time. It's been roughly
52:36
a market tracker. It's right around 150%
52:38
or so over the last nine years. But
52:42
I'm pretty sure that doesn't include dividends.
52:44
It's not showing up on the stock
52:46
chart, a point we made earlier. I
52:48
think it's been a very good performer. And Frank
52:51
Sullivan is actually somebody that I know through
52:53
the University of North Carolina connections that I have.
52:55
So I didn't know you were bringing that. If
52:58
there needs to be a disclaimer for me, there you go. Home
53:00
team pick. Great company. Fuck.
53:03
I will break the home team pick. And I have
53:06
contrarian streak in
53:08
my picks, but also some important
53:11
points. Love it. We're going
53:13
to dispel some myths. So my pick is
53:15
EngHouse Systems. That's
53:17
eghs.f. It trades over the counter.
53:19
I'll make one quick point about
53:21
that. For those United States investors,
53:25
when you get a dividend from a foreign company,
53:27
in this case Canada, usually there will be a
53:29
15% withholding tax. So
53:32
we talked about you have to pay tax on dividends. Triple
53:34
tax? This is above that. It's
53:36
15%. This
53:38
better be good, Bob. It's just a
53:41
warning for you. But here's why
53:43
EngHouse Systems is important. It's
53:45
a small cap company, which typically I
53:47
think people associate dividends with larger companies.
53:50
True. It's
53:52
Canadian, as we mentioned. It's also
53:54
a technology company. It's a founder-led
53:57
business that is a serial acquirer
53:59
of smaller... technology companies. And
54:01
so it's very profitable. And one of the
54:03
things that they've done recently
54:06
is when interest rates
54:08
went to zero and the prices
54:10
for the companies they acquire were very high.
54:13
They said, we're not gonna buy anything. We can't find anything.
54:15
And they built up a war chest of $250 million in
54:17
cash, no debt.
54:19
And now those prices are starting to turn over
54:22
because they often buy companies that aren't particularly well
54:24
run and then they run them better. So we're
54:26
starting to see a big pickup now in their
54:28
acquisition activity. And it trades for 20 times earnings
54:31
for a wonderful business. If you look over the
54:33
last 10 years, the average is about 34 times
54:35
earnings. We mentioned they have zero debt,
54:38
$250 million in cash on their balance sheet. They
54:41
recently raised their quarterly dividend by
54:44
nearly 19%. That's
54:46
22 cents a share, that's Canadian.
54:49
It's the 15th consecutive year that
54:51
they've hiked their dividend by over 10%. So
54:55
15 years in a row, not just raising it by
54:57
over 10%. That beats inflation,
54:59
fellas, by a long shot. And
55:02
triple taxation. And triple taxation, right? So you
55:04
do have some taxes. And current yields
55:06
about 3.5%, which
55:08
Matt mentioned the S&P
55:10
500. If you're buying the index fund, you're getting about
55:12
1.4%. So you can
55:15
afford to pay that little extra 15% tax
55:18
and you're still gonna be getting a much higher yield than
55:20
you will be from the S&P 500. And
55:22
I think you're getting a better quality company as well. Is
55:24
this company liquid enough? If
55:27
all of our listeners try to buy this
55:29
stock on next week. I have checked that.
55:31
I sure hope so. We've wrecked that in
55:33
many services, including in the US, and
55:35
it trades on the OTC, and the trading volume is
55:37
pretty good. If
55:40
all of our millions of listeners go in and
55:42
buy at the same time, I would say, what
55:44
I generally recommend for all smaller companies is use
55:46
a limit order and be patient.
55:48
If everybody's buying today on the first day
55:50
of the podcast, then wait till tomorrow or
55:53
Monday and put in a limit order. That's
55:56
always been good advice for all of our Motley
55:58
Fool services, especially our biggest ones. stocks will
56:00
pop when we say we're buying this one.
56:02
We've always designed it so that you don't
56:04
have to get it that minute or that
56:06
day. Just do it two
56:08
days later, especially if the prices pop just
56:11
because of demand. That will
56:13
subside and you'll find yourself with the
56:15
stock two days later less stressed. Matt
56:17
Argersinger, stock number two. I promise this
56:19
is a complete coincidence. But
56:21
the company, my number two company. Is Enghouse.
56:25
That would be a real coincidence. You're
56:27
not working out the Canadian. No, no,
56:29
it's not Enghouse, but it is a
56:31
company we talked about earlier. Founded
56:34
in 1894 by a gentleman
56:36
named Milton Hershey in. Oh,
56:38
Hershey, Pennsylvania. Not Lancaster, but. No, actually,
56:40
no, no, no. Sweetest place on earth. It
56:42
was founded in Langstra, Pennsylvania. That's right,
56:44
because it was Carmel's original. Yeah, it
56:46
was Carmel. I didn't know that. So
56:48
Langstra's come up, it's like the fifth
56:50
time it's come up. That and Chevron.
56:52
And we're done. We're done here. We're
56:54
done. So we all know Hershey. Hershey's Reese's
56:57
Kisses, Jolly Ranchers, Icebreakers. I love Hershey.
56:59
But these days, Pirates Booty, Skinny Pop
57:01
Popcorn, Dots Homestyle Pretzels as well. They
57:03
got into the salty snack business. Wonderful
57:06
business. If you just bought Hershey and nothing else
57:08
for the last 30 years, you've more than doubled
57:10
the stock market. It pays, of course,
57:12
it's paid a dividend. It's raised its dividend for
57:14
14 consecutive years. Stock
57:16
has been hit lately, though,
57:18
because cocoa prices, guys. I
57:20
don't know if you follow the news, but cocoa prices have
57:23
just been, unbelievable.
57:25
They've tripled in the last five months.
57:28
They recently traded over $10,000 a ton, more than
57:30
the price of copper. That's what's happened
57:32
to cocoa prices. So that is put
57:34
a little bit of a cloud on Hershey's stock. It
57:37
hurts their margins. I
57:39
promise you, cocoa prices are going to come down.
57:41
Hershey's margin is going to soar within the next year.
57:43
And you get the stock today at a very
57:45
nice valuation, almost 3% dividend yield. Great
57:48
opportunity to buy a great long-term business.
57:50
And I believe the most unique ownership
57:52
structure, probably of just
57:55
about any public, probably traded company. Yes, there
57:57
is. It is controlled by a family trust
57:59
that... Doesn't own majority
58:01
of the shares but controls the voting power
58:03
so and that and that's controlled by the
58:05
hurt Milton Hershey school That's
58:08
right orphans orphans. Yeah, that's right phenomenal
58:10
story Milton and his wife did not
58:12
have kids I don't think it's so
58:14
yeah, and I did not know
58:16
the Lancaster Caramel Company you say caramel because you're
58:18
from you're actually from Lancaster I'm not but I
58:20
love that and I didn't know that that that's
58:23
how her she started. Yeah, right Yeah, that was
58:25
his first success and by the way Milton Hershey
58:27
I think when he went bankrupt several that was
58:29
his first success Yeah, it was the predecessor company
58:32
to Hershey's company got it. Yeah, and just
58:34
so many things I mean what a wonderful
58:36
person first of all But a
58:38
great story and a success
58:41
story of capitalism doing well and not
58:43
only for doing good Yeah, he built
58:45
he built Hershey Park, which a
58:47
lot of people know is an amusement thing Entertainment
58:50
for the people that worked in his factories
58:52
right to give that in and if you
58:54
go to Hershey It's a beautiful quaint town
58:57
with wonderful long streets with just a beautiful
58:59
place And he's an example of not
59:01
only now that school and by the way a couple
59:03
years ago I think
59:05
that the school tried to sell the stock
59:07
so they wanted to spin it off and
59:09
Diversify and the governor put an injunction. It
59:11
was a whole battle over that and by
59:13
the way you think about this and this
59:16
happens a lot We're very wealthy people give
59:18
their stock to certain causes and then the
59:20
first thing you do is sell it off
59:22
and diversify it You're typically much better off
59:24
keeping the stock that was given to you From
59:27
the place that was originally yeah, and that's
59:29
served that that little high school can
59:31
do very well with the amount of money They
59:33
they have it alone right and so there was
59:35
no reason to diversify, but I think there were
59:39
Other things going on Hershey family
59:41
Pennsylvania Mennonites and Milton
59:43
grew up speaking, Pennsylvania Dutch That was
59:45
like what he was rocking right? Yeah
59:48
Six All right, let's let's
59:50
pull ourselves back to pick number four.
59:53
Buck your pick number two. Yep, Okay,
59:55
I'm going to Canada again. This is
59:57
Brookfield infrastructure. Okay, and there's two tickers.
1:00:00
And I want to make something clear
1:00:02
about this. Be Ip is one any
1:00:04
other was be I P C. Important
1:00:06
thing for us investors if you want
1:00:08
to avoid that foreign tax withholding and
1:00:11
filing a K one you by be
1:00:13
I P C that is a corporation.
1:00:15
Okay and it's not a limited partnership.
1:00:17
so. The So What
1:00:19
You're sharing with us right now. Could.
1:00:22
Take one of two flavors. If people.
1:00:24
Are buying. Definitely. By be
1:00:26
I pc we're not going to Florida with don't to
1:00:28
buy if you're in the U S. We're just gonna
1:00:30
say the ticker that you want to remember. That.
1:00:32
Be I pc that's correct, and so
1:00:34
what do you get? This is a
1:00:36
couple. It's much larger than the last
1:00:38
one we mentioned, about twelve billion dollars
1:00:40
and. What they'd
1:00:42
what they do is they own. A
1:00:45
remarkable stable of infrastructure assets
1:00:47
were talking about Ports were
1:00:49
talking about railroads in Australia
1:00:51
we're talking about data centers.
1:00:53
Were talking about cell phone
1:00:55
towers in India. This is
1:00:58
worldwide and one of the
1:01:00
things that makes Brookfield so
1:01:02
unique is that their parent
1:01:04
company Brookfield Corporations invest money
1:01:06
alongside their investors and every
1:01:08
project they do and and
1:01:10
it's resulted in wonderful performance.
1:01:12
And if you buy appropriate.
1:01:14
right? Now you're getting about a five
1:01:17
point, one eight percent dividend. They recently
1:01:19
raised that distribution which they have a
1:01:21
long history of doing another six percent
1:01:23
and in the reason the stock is
1:01:25
downloaded, it's just because interest rates went
1:01:28
up right? So interest rates went up
1:01:30
and so high devon in pairs when
1:01:32
little bit out of favor. But this
1:01:34
is a wonderful company and most of
1:01:37
their revenues that they earn or inflation
1:01:39
protected are contracted. See, don't have to
1:01:41
worry about this company an inflationary time
1:01:43
for frame doing better. Are cutting
1:01:45
the dividend. So wonderful company over
1:01:47
five percent your be I Pc
1:01:50
Brookfield infrastructure. Gotta keep moving back.
1:01:52
but earlier you did when I
1:01:54
asked you. Playing. Word association
1:01:56
for that more nuanced non got level
1:01:58
term you spoke to. High
1:02:00
dividend yields and. Maybe. Alluding
1:02:02
a little bit to dividend traps. Are
1:02:04
you just shared with us a five
1:02:06
percent yield? Or that's definitely a high
1:02:09
yield in today's market without spending too
1:02:11
much time because we're running out of
1:02:13
time. Can you briefly speak to high
1:02:15
dividend yields and traps? Yes. So the
1:02:17
big trap for me is when you
1:02:19
have a business. That's. Not performing
1:02:21
very well. And. You can
1:02:23
see that either revenues or and
1:02:25
or profits are declining dropping your
1:02:28
every year and the stock price
1:02:30
has declined significantly. Such.
1:02:32
That there's a very high divinity. Or maybe it's
1:02:34
ten percent in today's world, or nine percent or
1:02:37
whatever else it as. And you say? Well, that's.
1:02:39
That's. A high yield, but there's a
1:02:41
good chance that that demeaning could be
1:02:43
cut fifty percent or sixty percent or
1:02:46
go away altogether. So I'm very careful
1:02:48
of of looking at the company and
1:02:50
how they're doing, not just picking a
1:02:52
stock based on whether it has a
1:02:54
higher motive in a new correct. So
1:02:56
we're looking at the whole start here.
1:02:58
We're not just Iraq aiming are browsers
1:03:00
at a certain level of dividend yield
1:03:02
saying those the ones for me? Correct.
1:03:04
Absolutely correct. And on an anode you
1:03:06
know we talk about Matt and they
1:03:08
focus on dividend growers. Those are ones that
1:03:10
are growing over time and all the want I'm
1:03:12
recommending have as well. These are companies that are
1:03:15
growing in strength and paying more and they might
1:03:17
not have a real high dividend yield to start
1:03:19
with, but if you get in now they keep
1:03:21
drama or ten years from now, you're at a
1:03:23
stock that has that high yield based on the
1:03:26
original cost basis. or it. Chapter. Five
1:03:28
near it's and one more pick from each
1:03:30
of my guests Matt Argosy, Or right Starbucks
1:03:32
or two of us here during at the
1:03:34
table or tricking Starbucks Coffee good on yet
1:03:36
another coffee and forces market. Just don't like
1:03:39
Starbucks.right now to training and or a five
1:03:41
year low. Lot. Of reasons we won't
1:03:43
get into but I would you say Starbucks would
1:03:45
really compelling states price. I think the still tons
1:03:47
and tons of international growth ahead for this business.
1:03:49
The news, the relatively new Ceo things to consider
1:03:52
oh store count by ten percent a year for
1:03:54
the foreseeable future. The groin in the of lesson
1:03:56
for hundred stores in India, they think any could
1:03:58
be as big as China for. them in
1:04:00
the future. But the dividend, they
1:04:02
initiated dividend, I believe in 2010, they've grown
1:04:05
that dividend at almost 20% annual rate. Wow. Back
1:04:07
since then, they've also been buying back a ton
1:04:09
of stock lately. They bought back more stock in
1:04:11
the last quarter than they did in the
1:04:13
previous fiscal year. And I think that's mentioned being really
1:04:16
smart with the stock where it is today. So I
1:04:18
think Starbucks looks really good right now. And
1:04:20
Buck Hartsel, number three. Yeah, I'm
1:04:22
gonna go with MTY Food Group.
1:04:25
And that's when most of you are probably
1:04:27
going, what is MTY Food Group? No, I'm about
1:04:29
to ask you what MTY stands for. Are you
1:04:32
prepared to answer that? No. Oh boy.
1:04:34
Nor would I be, but I have the internet at
1:04:36
my figures. Yeah, right. So we're gonna
1:04:38
know shortly. Go ahead, Buck. Okay. But I
1:04:40
would say we're heading into May
1:04:43
here. It's going on summertime. This
1:04:45
is an operator of multiple franchise units.
1:04:47
A lot of them you'd think were
1:04:49
in the malls in the 1980s
1:04:51
or 90s and kind of been brands that you've
1:04:54
kind of lost track of. Is this Orson Julius?
1:04:56
Yeah, right. That's exactly what I'm gonna say. Is
1:04:58
it really? No. Oh, I'm gonna. But TCBY, frozen
1:05:00
yogurt. Oh, that was one of my first grade
1:05:03
stock picks. Cinnabonnies. Yeah, there you go. We have,
1:05:06
no, we have Famous Dave's Barbecue, which
1:05:08
is a recent acquisition. Wetzel's
1:05:10
Pretzels. And as we mentioned
1:05:12
going into summertime, Cold Stone Creamery. Oh
1:05:14
yeah. You like mix-ins with your
1:05:17
ice cream. Pinkberry Froyo if you
1:05:19
like that. Or Planet Smoothie or
1:05:21
Sweet Frog Frozen Yogurt. Tasty Delight.
1:05:23
So they have a bunch of
1:05:25
different brands spread across Canada and
1:05:27
the United States. And as you
1:05:29
know, franchise operations, they use other
1:05:31
people's capital to grow and they
1:05:33
take a percentage of revenues and
1:05:35
they generate a lot of cash.
1:05:37
Well, the two recent acquisitions that
1:05:39
were rather large were
1:05:41
Wetzel's Pretzels and Famous Dave's
1:05:43
Barbecue left them with about $700 million
1:05:45
in debt. And what they're doing is they're
1:05:48
paying that down very quickly and they have
1:05:50
a history. They're a serial acquirer and they
1:05:52
pay down their debt. So what
1:05:54
I'm thinking is going to happen and what is
1:05:56
trading at a very low multiple relative to what
1:05:58
it typically does. And we're seeing
1:06:01
them. The leverage now and what that's going
1:06:03
to mean in the future is certainly more
1:06:05
acquisitions but also it's going to mean higher
1:06:07
dividends and they've also or one that will
1:06:09
pay special live in every now and that's
1:06:11
so Mtb. Why? Food group and and when
1:06:13
you got the Swede Frogger your Pinkberry Regatta
1:06:15
tc be. Why are you go to plan
1:06:17
a smoothie? I'll think of you know that
1:06:19
I'm a little bit of what you spend
1:06:21
their is coming back to you in the
1:06:23
form of a dividend. And.
1:06:25
At them See why? figure? Well that's a
1:06:28
company that I've I've not heard of before,
1:06:30
but M T Y Food Group makes me
1:06:32
wonder, what is the N? T Y? damn
1:06:34
for We talked about acronyms here and T
1:06:37
Y Food Group I once met same as
1:06:39
days. I. Was in this is
1:06:41
not been waiting for the it seat. He sold
1:06:43
it before they bought. I understand. If.
1:06:45
He's ended up not be now famous am I. But
1:06:48
I will note you brought three canadian of s
1:06:50
is because that's where you're specializing with that aren't
1:06:52
does sometimes I just did it for like we.
1:06:55
It's a big world out there and I think.
1:06:57
We. Have some friends to the north of Us. About
1:07:00
one tenth the size of our
1:07:02
country They are friends to I
1:07:04
love Canada. They are friendly, everybody's
1:07:06
friendly in Canada and and there's
1:07:08
some wonderful businesses of their. That.
1:07:11
People. Generally here in the United States, don't
1:07:13
tenant look abroad. What we do look at
1:07:15
shopify and we appreciate that. A lot of
1:07:17
money for members everyday. even though it's been
1:07:19
a Valls died last year's that are the
1:07:21
Canadian and a Dynamo Constellation software's of raw
1:07:24
bubbly. The the best business that know I
1:07:26
can see no one's really aware of ever.
1:07:28
Imo. Yes, Know that Yes On by the
1:07:30
M T Y Food Group. It is unclear
1:07:32
what M T Y stance for they. They
1:07:34
haven't really put an official explanation out. They
1:07:36
changed their name a few times. It does
1:07:38
remind me of what am I earliest worst
1:07:40
stock picks. One of my earliest. best was
1:07:42
t c b y that's why i
1:07:44
have one of as a feeling as
1:07:46
he talks about he's a good lawyer
1:07:48
and favors dave i have a different
1:07:50
feeling about him but ah specifically n
1:07:52
b i which was an early stage
1:07:54
back in the day microcomputers were a
1:07:56
thing with the eighties and they were
1:07:59
making the maybe the chips and I think
1:08:01
it was the computers. I remember that they were
1:08:03
based in Colorado. I think the CEO's name was
1:08:05
TS Cavanaugh. This is back when you would just
1:08:07
read that on the annual report. There was no
1:08:09
YouTube where you could watch the CEO talk. It's
1:08:11
just a name on paper to me. I may
1:08:13
have it wrong, but one thing I have right,
1:08:16
NBI stood for nothing
1:08:19
but initials. For
1:08:21
real. And I loved it. That's
1:08:24
why I bought the stock. It ended up being a
1:08:26
not great investment, but any company that had that kind
1:08:28
of sense of humor, very very
1:08:30
foolish. And by the way, foolishness doesn't
1:08:32
always win. Sometimes we lose. Well
1:08:35
I want to thank Matt Argasinghe and Buck
1:08:38
Hartzell for their expertise and their time shared
1:08:40
with us this week on Rule Breaker Investing.
1:08:42
We don't talk about dividends as a thing
1:08:44
very often on this podcast, but
1:08:47
I'm glad we do sometimes. And I think
1:08:49
everybody should be aware of it. So I
1:08:51
think we laid some track and some scaffolding,
1:08:53
especially for newer investors this week, that might
1:08:55
not think too much. I certainly don't think
1:08:57
too much about dividends, but
1:08:59
you guys brought a lot of terms,
1:09:01
nuances, and additional thoughts. In the end,
1:09:04
dividend is one aspect of what a
1:09:06
CFO can allocate. In the end,
1:09:08
dividend is one aspect of what an investor
1:09:10
might target in his or her investments. And
1:09:12
I think we really fleshed that one out
1:09:14
this week. In fact, I'm going to ask
1:09:16
you guys to provide some quick summary points
1:09:19
to close the podcast. Before I do that,
1:09:21
one quick plug for the next two podcasts
1:09:23
here on Rule Breaker Investing. Next week, it's
1:09:25
going to be Blast From the Past, Volume
1:09:28
9. That's right, I will be
1:09:30
bringing back five points that
1:09:32
are favorites that I just don't want people
1:09:34
to forget because this podcast has been around
1:09:36
nine years. So I'll say something in 2016
1:09:39
that I thought was really good, but no
1:09:41
one remembers it in 2024. So we
1:09:43
bring it back, Blast From the Past next week, and
1:09:46
then my annual birthday gift to
1:09:48
me, you as our listeners, rbi
1:09:50
at fool.com is the email address. It's what
1:09:52
have you learned from me? What
1:09:54
have you learned from David Gardner, which we do
1:09:56
somewhere around May 16th every year. We're going
1:09:58
to do it again this year. So we'd love emails,
1:10:01
rbiatfool.com. You can tweet us
1:10:03
out, at rbipodcast. What
1:10:06
have you learned from me? Either over the course
1:10:08
of time or in the last year. It's always
1:10:10
a fun way to share back a summary of
1:10:12
a lot of rule break rethinking that we put
1:10:14
out here from one week to the next. So
1:10:17
rbiatfool.com for what have you learned from David
1:10:19
Gardner two weeks from today. Okay guys, let's
1:10:21
summarize. I'm gonna ask you each to bring
1:10:23
three summary points and we're gonna bounce it
1:10:26
back in reverse order this time. Buck, are
1:10:28
you ready? Point number one. Summary point number
1:10:30
one, we'll keep these quick. Point number one, dividend
1:10:33
companies don't have to be stodgy
1:10:35
and they don't have to be big. Often
1:10:38
the best companies early on in their life
1:10:40
stage are very profitable and so they
1:10:42
can pay an early dividend and I think we have some small
1:10:45
companies that are on there that are growth
1:10:47
companies and also pay a dividend. Summary
1:10:50
point number two. Well, I
1:10:52
gave some reasons why dividends have kind of become out of favor the
1:10:54
last 30 to 40 years. A
1:10:56
shift may be coming. I think dividends could be in
1:10:59
favor. So the next
1:11:01
several decades or so. Meta platforms, alphabets, some people
1:11:03
are saying, hey, Amazon's next. The trend is the
1:11:05
dividend trend. Netflix maybe, that would make me happy.
1:11:07
All right, summary point number three, Buck Hartzell. Technology
1:11:10
companies generally don't pay dividends. We've already
1:11:12
talked about the large ones that are
1:11:14
meta in Google. I put Hangout Systems
1:11:16
on our list. That's a small technology
1:11:18
company that pays a dividend. It's
1:11:21
a very good business. So your point with this
1:11:23
one is that's a misconception. It's a misconception and
1:11:25
I think even, I'll mention a company that was
1:11:27
recommended in FinTech. Nuve
1:11:30
is a company that recently got taken private.
1:11:33
They announced in the previous call
1:11:35
that they were initiating a dividend. They're a
1:11:37
very profitable company. The stock went down because
1:11:39
they said, oh, you're not a growth company
1:11:41
anymore. And people didn't want to own it
1:11:43
because you can't be a growth company and
1:11:45
pay a dividend. That made the yield a
1:11:47
little bit sweeter. Yeah, it was ridiculous. And
1:11:49
then now they're going private. All right, Matt
1:11:51
Argusinger, summary point number four. I would say,
1:11:53
favor companies that emphasize dividends over buybacks. Buybacks
1:11:56
are great. I would just say if a
1:11:58
company is putting dividends on equal. footing or
1:12:00
even greater footing, that's when you want
1:12:02
to pay attention to. Buck number five.
1:12:05
My last point I would say is
1:12:07
pay attention to capital allocation. Not
1:12:09
only what people are doing that are managing
1:12:12
the company, where they're allocating the capital, but
1:12:14
also, this is a little tip, what they're
1:12:16
doing with their own money. So I'll say
1:12:18
if you have a company that has a
1:12:20
good history of not only paying dividends but
1:12:22
making good capital allocation decisions and
1:12:24
insiders are buying the stock, that's
1:12:27
probably a good place to look. Close
1:12:30
this out, Matt. Summary point number
1:12:32
six. I think above all for me, focus on
1:12:34
dividend growth. I think dividend growth will show you,
1:12:37
will be a good clue as to earnings growth because they
1:12:39
go hand in hand. So if you find a company that's
1:12:41
growing its dividend, it's probably growing its earnings, it's probably a
1:12:43
great business and it's probably going to be an outperforming stock.
1:12:46
And it was a delight to be with both of you
1:12:48
gentlemen. You know, part of the pleasure of hosting this podcast
1:12:50
from one week to the next is I get to share
1:12:52
my friends. And look at these amazing friends
1:12:54
that I have and have made over the years. And they're
1:12:57
a lot more than just these, but Buck Hartsel
1:12:59
and Matt Argusinger, you guys did a
1:13:01
great job. Thank you again. Buck, four years again
1:13:04
from now or so. So let's do it again.
1:13:06
I mean, I hope we're both still at the
1:13:08
Motley Fool, but, you know, or maybe more than
1:13:11
once every four years. We'll see how people like
1:13:13
this episode. Volume two of
1:13:15
Dividend Fool's Buck. Thank you. Thank
1:13:18
you for having me. Matt, thank you. Thank you,
1:13:20
David. It was a pleasure. As
1:13:23
always, people on this program may have interest
1:13:26
in the stocks they talk about. And the
1:13:28
Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or
1:13:30
against. So don't buy or sell stocks based
1:13:32
solely on what you hear. Learn
1:13:34
more about Rule Breaker Investing at RBI.Fool.com.
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