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Espstein & White Show 306

Espstein & White Show 306

Released Friday, 10th May 2024
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Espstein & White Show 306

Espstein & White Show 306

Espstein & White Show 306

Espstein & White Show 306

Friday, 10th May 2024
Good episode? Give it some love!
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Episode Transcript

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0:06

This is retire Right with Brad White. As financial advisors in San Diego.

0:12

Brad White and the Mercer Advisors formerly Epstein and White team have developed their business

0:18

by reaching out, nurturing, and maintaining close, trusting relationships with each of

0:24

their clients. Now here's your host, Bruce Steinbrock and Brad White. Thanks

0:32

for joining us for retire Right with Brad White. I'm Bruce Steinbrock joined by

0:36

Brad White with Epstein and White Retirement Income Solutions, a proud part of Mercer

0:41

Advisors right here in San Diego. Well fed chairman Jerome Powell. He said,

0:48

before the start of this year we could see three rate droppings of the

0:55

interest rate. But things haven't worked out quite like they planned and fact there

1:00

maybe having a thing. Do we have to inch this thing back up a

1:03

little bit because inflation is not under control? And Brad, you know,

1:07

the question is did the hikes we did over that you know, period of

1:11

whatever eighteen or twenty months spark the US economic boom that we're having right now?

1:17

You know, there was a lot that was a very intelligent phrasing in

1:21

question, and yet I felt the need to circle back to the order of

1:23

which we use droppings, right. I don't know if you caught that about

1:26

halfway through the sentence there, right, so I just felt indeed, right,

1:30

then maybe we just we have a good little laugh about that. Now

1:33

we realize, right, as part of the English language, you have to use dropping of interest rates, not necessarily more droppings. Yes, very good.

1:38

It's something different here, I picking up what you're laying down. I

1:44

think back to the seriousness of the subject, because it is certainly a serious

1:48

subject. Right, And look, let's kind of go back to some of

1:51

the basics here. Okay, when we have a horrible economic recession, right,

1:55

think two thousand and eight, think pandemic. The first thing, the

1:59

biggest tool in our country's toolbag is lowering interest rates. We lower interest rates,

2:04

and we do that to spur the economy to grow again. It is

2:07

cheaper for people to get cars and car loans, houses, right, and mortgages, which may spur more construction and more development, right and more.

2:15

You know, you name it, right. It is cheaper for businesses right

2:20

to borrow and do various different projects and possibly then have a lot more room

2:23

in the budget to hire more people. Right to do all of that. Okay, it's cheaper for everything. So again, lowering interest rates helps an

2:31

economy. So the opposite is true during times of high inflation. Right,

2:35

when an economy is too hot, we raise interest rates to slow it down.

2:38

Right, we have the same amount of goods, but less demand chasing

2:40

it because everything is more expensive. So we knew we had to raise interest

2:46

rates a lot to combat this crazy inflation that was clear by the end of

2:50

twenty twenty one, beginning of twenty twenty two, you can say post pandemic,

2:53

right, a lot of that kind of created the perfect storm for it.

2:57

So we knew, right, we had to raise interest rates. But

3:00

the fear logically is that, Okay, when you raise interest rates, you

3:04

combat inflation, but it gets you into recession, right, A lot less

3:07

demand, a slower economy, aka a recession. So yeah, part of

3:10

that, if you're wondering, right, it's a little bit of like is

3:13

the medicine worse than the disease? And it's it's it's fair to kind of

3:15

wonder that when you hear the word we're kind of like going into a recession,

3:19

but it really is the answer. You just have to hope it's not

3:22

a bad recession. So we go on this rate height shopping spree, the

3:25

likes we haven't seen in over forty years. Okay, I have the speed

3:29

of which rate heights happen. We haven't done it in over forty years.

3:31

Okay. So therefore, look around right now, and how the heck is

3:37

our economy humming along so great? Which it is right now. There's a

3:42

million numbers I can throw at you, which you know may be boring,

3:45

maybe not, so let's keep it, keep it tight. Here. The final estimate of the fourth quarter GDP revised growth to three point four percent.

3:52

That's great. Personal consumption three point three percent. Consumer spending, particularly on

3:57

services is very very strong right now. So people are out there spending money

4:01

doing lots of things, you know, which is obviously the whole economy.

4:04

Right We are very much, you know, a consumer driven economy. Unemployment

4:09

still very low at three point nine percent. That's incredibly good, right historically

4:13

speaking, it's humming along. Okay. So how do you like what's going

4:16

on with inflation? Right Well, in February, core inflation came in at

4:19

three point eight percent, which is, you know, the lowest level since

4:23

May twenty twenty one. But the headline came in at three point two,

4:26

which was above consensus estimate. Then at March it rose again to three point

4:30

five. So, in other words, like not trending in the right direction, surprising people given what the trend was doing last year. It's like kind

4:35

of a uh oh, Like we're going back in the wrong direction here.

4:39

Why is this happening that spooks the heck out of markets? Okay, So

4:43

what you've noticed right around, you know, March and April, right,

4:46

is markets all of a sudden, especially April at the beginning, giving this back once these numbers came out. One thing that's important to point out when

4:53

we talked about inflation, though, was is homes, right, Shelter and

4:57

energy have been the biggest, biggest components of this, so obvious. We

5:00

know what's going on right now in the Middle East, right, and that's

5:03

not going to help when it comes to oil and energy, and from a

5:06

home standpoint, you know that doesn't necessarily affect everybody the same way. But

5:11

rents himself have skyrocketed. So people who have locked in mortgages, right,

5:15

you're not feeling that part of the inflation, whereas people that are renting almost

5:17

certainly are so here's the question, right, and this all stems from an

5:24

article that's going on around there right now, which is are are these FED

5:27

hikes actually sparking a US economic bone? Like? Is all this good economic

5:31

news happening in spite of rates being higher? Or is it actually somehow because

5:35

of that? Okay, which flies in the face of everything we believe in.

5:41

I want to go through this for a little bit here, Bruce,

5:43

So why don't I take a quick pause and make sure that you have our

5:45

phone number absolute. We need to know how to get a hold of you, Brad. Yeah. Look, we've been doing this as Epstein and White

5:49

for over a decade and we are now proudly part of Mercer Advisors, right,

5:54

and Mercer for those of you if you don't know it, manage about

5:56

sixty billion dollars nationwide. We've been around since nineteen eighty five. It's very

6:00

much exactly how we believe. We've always believed in things as we've been Epstein

6:03

in a White for over a decade. We are fiduciaries. We are not

6:06

broker dealers. We do not have broker's license. We absolutely do what's legally

6:11

what's in our client's best interest at all times, and again, Mercer's been

6:13

doing that since nineteen eighty five, well before it was even something other firms

6:16

we're thinking about. We are certified financial planners. We are retirement specialists.

6:21

Here. We eat, sleep, live, breathe retirement planning. We've helped

6:25

over fifteen hundred families here in San Diego. Specifically, you know on our

6:29

office and if you've listened to our radio show or you come to one of our events around town, you have the ability to come in for up to

6:33

two times to meet one of our certified financial planners, completely free of charge,

6:38

no cost, no obligation to do anything. It's honestly the thing we're

6:42

most proud about here because we basically let invite any one of you in and

6:46

whether you become clients or not, it's not the idea. It's just simply,

6:48

what are your questions? Do you have a retirement plan? Do you

6:51

have any clarity? Are you worried about anything? What can we solve for

6:55

you? And you meet with us from up to two times, And we're

6:57

proud to say that while not everybody needs, you know, to become ongoing

7:00

long clients, certainly many have. We're proud to say that everybody kind of

7:03

says, hey, it was really worth it to come in here, like you've really showed us x or helped us with why. And again, that's

7:08

probably the thing we're most proud of here. So if you'd like to take

7:11

us up on that, our number is eight five eight five six four eight

7:15

zero three six. Once again, it's eight five eight five six four eight

7:18

zero three six, which you can call or text us at that number,

7:23

or you can always go to our website Epstein and White dot com and you

7:26

can reach out to us that way. That's Epstein and White dot com.

7:29

So again, the question a million dollar question right now, is all of

7:33

this good economic stuff happening in spite of rates being higher or somehow because of

7:39

it. So here's what this article is pointing out. This is a very

7:42

radical idea, right You normally would get laughed at for even saying it,

7:45

so, but there's some now that are saying, like, the evidence is getting harder to ignore. Okay, for the first time in fifteen years,

7:51

people are actually making five percent in their cash or CDs writer or bonds things

7:56

like that. By the way, if you aren't making that in your cash

7:59

again, reach out as a call if you're exploring conservative investments and you're just

8:03

not doing it right. But in other words, for the most part,

8:05

people in businesses, right, companies sitting on large amounts of cash or earning

8:09

a lot more on this cash. So in turn, people and companies are

8:13

now turning around and spending that extra money, which is creating extra demand in

8:18

the economy. So that's a bit of kind of what this radical theory is.

8:20

It's like, hey, interest rates are supposed to slow an economy down

8:24

when you rise the right, that's always what's happened. That's our tool, and that is what always has happened. So why are we facing this good

8:30

economic news? And that's kind of what this theory is is proposing, which

8:33

is, hey, people are actually earning more on all this safe stuff,

8:35

and that is sort of counteracting this and actually creating more demand. Now,

8:39

the thing is, like, here's the question, the people that have this

8:43

extra money, does that pale in comparison to the mass amount of other people

8:46

who don't have money and aren't experiencing any of this benefit and are just out

8:50

there with less money because inflation's higher, right, and interest rates are higher.

8:54

That's kind of the idea, right, is that's why people still think

8:56

it's a radical theory. Is, Yeah, no doubt for any of us,

9:01

for any of you that have money, that cash is earning more.

9:03

That's great. But then I think if you know the profile of ninety five

9:05

percent of Americans, they're not sitting on hundreds of thousands or millions of dollars

9:09

of cash. They're just flat out facing more expensive stuff. So you'd think

9:13

that that would ultimately carry more weight. They quote green Light Capital's David Ihorn,

9:18

who's been a pro proponent, excuse me of this new radical theory.

9:20

So he's noting us households receive income on more than thirteen trillion of short term

9:28

interest rate assets, right, cash CDs almost triple the five trillion in consumer

9:33

debt, which excludes mortgages, right, because mortgages are fixed for the most

9:35

part. So in other words, like he's basically saying thirteen trillion of short

9:39

term interests is in assets and only five trillion in debt. You know,

9:43

at today's rates, that is a net gain of households of about four hundred

9:46

billion a year. So look, I would have thought, right, hey,

9:50

that's not how the numbers would look. Certainly, David Ihorn has done

9:54

some research that I haven't there, and that's with this article in Bloomberg, right, not necessarily a specuative association here, So you know, for the

10:01

moment, unless we see something otherwise, let's just run with these numbers. It's interesting right now. He does state that none of this works of interest

10:07

rates are like eight or nine percent, right, So it's a fickle thing.

10:11

Right. Once interest rates are too much, then the whole everything crashes, and that's where you get recessions. And to be clear, the vast

10:16

bulk of economists and investors do believe in the old principle that higher rates choke

10:22

off growth, right, so this is still a bit of a radical theory.

10:24

They are pointing out things like rising delinquencies and credit cards right now,

10:28

and auto loans, and the fact that job growth, which is robust,

10:31

has at least slowed down. So it is an interesting concept. And again,

10:35

one thing to point out here is that a huge amount of Americans have

10:37

locked in low rate thirty or mortgages over the last decade and they're holding them

10:41

tight. So it does mean higher rates aren't affecting again that portion of the

10:45

housing debt, which is a big portion of household debt across our country.

10:48

So you know it's interesting, Bruce, right, You know it's logic when

10:52

you hear it, but it's just it's it's almost like, is this just

10:56

a new world? Right? Some of these tools that we used in the

11:00

twentieth century not as applicable for X, y and Z reasons in the you

11:03

know, twenty first century, especially kind of post pandemic, and you know,

11:07

jobs being created through AI right as much as other things. It just

11:11

kind of makes you wonder, well it be. You know what it tells us, Brad, is how we've been conditioned. So again, like Pavlov's

11:18

dogs, I mean, we hear a bell ring, we salivate, right,

11:20

So in the conditioning theory of how we've been raised around our economy,

11:26

it's not supposed to react like this, so we're uncomfortable with it now.

11:31

First of all, great point. That probably is the point, right,

11:33

It's one Glad I asked to you, and I think if there's any lesson

11:37

to be taken right for you listening on this, it's you've got to understand

11:43

how you position your assets, and you've got to understand how you position your

11:46

budget, and you've got to understand kind of the nuances and some of the

11:50

flows of all these things throughout your retirement, so that no one environment can

11:56

take you out. Right, If you have all your investments position in a

12:00

certain way and then whoops, like wow, inflation's worse than we thought of

12:03

your retirement and these type of investments do poorly with it, that can catch

12:07

you by surprise. And if you're not diversified or you don't have the right

12:09

assets in place, that could really hurt your retirement plan. If you've got

12:13

all your income and budgets like air tight and you can only afford this and

12:18

then all of a sudden taxes go up on your iras or other things happen

12:22

in your budget, Where does that leave you? And does that cause you

12:26

to run out of money sometime in your retirement? So, without even getting

12:28

terribly specific here, this is just it's kind of one of those humbling things

12:33

that says, the best and brightest people in the world and the tools that have worked, you know, for a century, are all of a sudden

12:39

not working at least in the short term right the way that we think we are. And if that can happen at that level, right then you know

12:45

who are we as individual people to not have something like a retirement plan and

12:48

not have something, you know, like diversified things in place so that we

12:50

know, you know, our own household budget, our own household assets can

12:54

handle a surprise or two right, and everything is still going to be okay

12:58

within our family. So again, that's why we offer you this. We've

13:01

been doing this for over a decade. There is no cost, no obligation.

13:03

You will come see one of our certified financial planners who are fiduciaries and

13:07

who eat, sleep, live, breathe retirement planning. Two meetings with us,

13:11

no cost, no obligation, And here's our number eight five eight five

13:16

six four eight zero three six. That's eight five eight five six four eight

13:20

zero three six. Again, you can call or text us at that number,

13:24

or you can always just go to our website at Epstein and White dot com. That's Epstein and White dot com and you can reach out to us

13:30

that way. Well, we are in an election year, Brad, and

13:33

it does make people wonder, Okay, if X is elected or if Y

13:39

is elected re elected in one of the cases obviously, but you know Congress

13:43

is going to change in some way, shape or form as well, so

13:46

if government's philosophy switches, should we also pivot? And I think people do

13:54

get caught up in some of the rhetoric that is out there. I mean,

13:58

good grief, this election will be crazier than the last one. I

14:01

have a feeling, and so I mostly all have that feeling. I think

14:05

so too, you know. So I think people get caught up in some

14:07

of that, and then they're thinking, oh my gosh, I need to

14:11

switch what I'm doing or how I'm thinking. And so what's your theory or

14:15

thought on all of this? Well, it's almost sort of the opposite on

14:20

this subject that I'm talking about now. You're one thousand percent, right,

14:22

which is like the visceral nature of every headline and every article and every you

14:26

know, scroll down your Facebook for three seconds, right or whatever of like

14:31

ping ponging this new issue. Right. I'm referring to you kind of from

14:35

a tax standpoint and from like a retirement account standpoint. That's something where the

14:41

current philosophy, right, So, and I'm gonna speak to my clients,

14:43

right, I'm a retirement specialist, So my clients are in somewhere between their

14:46

fifties and seventies, almost predominantly right. Right, So if you look at

14:50

our clients like that means you were kind of raising your working career through the

14:52

Reagan era through the introduction of four to one k's and iras, through this

14:56

introduct right, the doctrination right of lowering taxes and then again you know,

15:01

defer your taxes while you're working, pull them out later in retirement while they're

15:05

lower. So that's that philosophy has has been again I mean, completely wrapped

15:11

into my client's minds for forty five plus years. But my point is it

15:16

seems like the government's philosophy is finally starting to switch now, and this is

15:20

one where people are not this early changing their minds, and I think they should. Okay, So again, if the government's goin a philosophy is going

15:26

to switch, like, shouldn't you pivot too, Which, again to your point, I'm actually glad you started out our conversation like that, right,

15:31

because people seem to have no problem doing that on like certain you know,

15:35

current issues here or there, But this kind of long standing one, it's almost like it's flowing, it's flying under the radar that the philosophy itself seems

15:41

to be changing through it from a country, right from a congress and legislative

15:46

level. Again, forty six years since Congress packed the Revenue Act passed the

15:50

Revenue Act of nineteen seventy eight, which is what created Section four one K

15:54

of the tax code. Right. For the first few years it was a

15:56

little known. Again, Reagan administration changed the legal interpretation of this and allow

16:00

it for it to be more widely adopted. It was supposed to simply be

16:03

a supplement to social security and pension plans. It is obviously then dominated now

16:10

it is the predominant tool, right that we have in our country. So

16:14

because industry decided, hey, hey, I can get out of this pension

16:17

thing and just make a contribution and wash my hands. Well, this is

16:21

the first part right of the mindset slowly shifting right to replace defined benefit plans

16:25

and leaving the average American like woefully underprepared for retirement. Those who do have

16:30

money, they don't really understand how to translate this into reliable income. Right,

16:33

that doesn't make them have a panic attack every time the markets go down

16:37

or a pandemic happens, right, or et cetera, et cetera. Again in nineteen eighty three, which is According to Protect Pensions dot Org, sixty

16:42

two percent of workers had a pension and only twelve percent had a defined contribution

16:47

plan like a four to one K. And then by twenty sixteen, seventeen

16:49

percent had pensions and seventy three percent had the four and K And that's obviously

16:53

even more dramatic than twenty twenty four. So that kind of is one example,

16:57

right of like the philosophy changing and you've got to change by that,

17:00

I wouldn't have a job as a retirement planner, right if that philosophy never

17:03

changed, Right, you'd all have pensions. That's what you would do in

17:07

retirement. Maybe you'd come see me here or there for something. But like,

17:10

the predominant thing that we do as an office is basically for the ninety

17:14

percent of you that don't live off of pensions. How the heck you're going

17:17

to translate all that money you saved your whole life into living off of it through volatile markets and inflation and everything else. That's why we exist, because

17:23

we have to write because that philosophy changed, well, and because tax code

17:26

continually changes as well. And guess what, you haven't paid taxes on the

17:30

majority of that money. You've been saving in those vehicles that were again put

17:37

in place of pensions. Yeah, and that speaks to this next philosophy change,

17:40

which is predominantly what I'm talking about right now, which is the prospects

17:42

of what tax rates will do in your future. Right again, the entire

17:47

ideology was for you to put money in these tax deductible I raise in four

17:51

to one k's in your working years, because the thought was your tax rates

17:53

were higher, then you would pull it out in retirement pay taxes when your

17:57

tax rates are lower. Us. What I think people keep forgetting that worked

18:03

taxes are now at all time low rates, and if you were tired,

18:07

your rates should be lower than probably if you were making any sort of decent

18:10

money in your working career. So theoretically like that worked like a dream for

18:14

you or now okay, because the problem is we have thirty three trillion in

18:18

rapidly growing debt, and the deficit itself, not just the debt this coin

18:22

even the deficit grows each year, and on top of that, interest rates

18:26

are higher servicing the higher debt is happening each year. There is not a

18:32

mathematical answer that anybody in the world can look at that says, like,

18:36

how are we that can explain any of this without raising taxes in the future.

18:41

Well, yeah, well sure we can. There's either debt goes to

18:44

infinity, or we completely stop spending money in certain areas that nobody is voluntary

18:49

to stop spending money on it, or at least any Again, Republicans would

18:52

certainly say we're voting on certain things. They're right, but like not in

18:56

something that will balance the entire budget, and certainly not something that's going to get passed. Well, and let's tyson, you have to fund social Security,

19:00

you have to fund defense, you have I mean, there are obligations

19:03

that we as a country have said we have to fund. Do you know

19:07

if you look at the Social Security, the Medicare, and the interest on

19:11

our debt alone, that's like our entire budget right now. That's before we

19:15

touch anything like infrastructure, defense spending nine dollars that's hard to fathom. It's

19:21

it. That's it, Solid Security, Medicare, and the interest on our debt alone is basically the entire the revenue that we have. So that's my

19:26

point. My point is, it's not like it's on the margins anymore.

19:30

It's not like it it's a tough call. If we have to trim ten

19:33

percent of infrastructure or ten percent of defense, right, Like, that's not

19:36

where we're That sounds like a bummer in one direction or the other. But

19:40

a realistic scenario, right, there's nothing realistic about where we're at at all.

19:44

And we have tax rates which are, however you want to view this,

19:48

are around one hundred year lows. I just can't see a world where

19:52

they don't go up. They're already supposed to starting in twenty twenty six,

19:55

right, so we're a year and a half away from boom that happening anyway, and they revert back to at least at least twenty seventeen. Yeah,

20:02

so I kind of like. But but the other part of this, too is just the shifting attitude that we kind of have from our government. It

20:07

used to be please save as much as humanly possible in these tax deferred plans,

20:11

like promoting them right right now, it's very much since the Secure Act

20:15

and everything else going on, it's like, hey, if you have too

20:18

much like your r and ds, Like there's proposals right now. It's like,

20:22

hey, if you have ten million or more in iras, we're going to make you take fifty percent on every year. You know, now,

20:26

if your kids in here at iras, like within ten years, they've got

20:29

to deplete it all. And so it kind of feels like it's happening so

20:32

slowly that no one's really paying attention to just the mindset shifting of this,

20:37

right. No, nobody's sitting around right now being like, perfect, I won, I won, like the whole ring everything that happened in the eighties,

20:42

every like that happened. I saved my money. Now tax rates are

20:45

low, I'm retired like I won, And in order to win, you'd

20:49

have to do things like roth conversions, right, you would essentially be saying,

20:52

cool, I'm gonna pay, I'm gonna rip off the band, and I'm gonna pay today's tax rates. That way, whatever happens in the country

20:56

in the future does not impact me whatsoever. Nobody really is thinking like that.

21:02

I'll give you kind of a quick pause on this and give you our number, because look, you, I think you, as a consumer have

21:07

to decide are you actually working with a financial advisor or an investment specific advisor.

21:14

Investment advisors will call themselves financial advisors. That's just a general term for

21:18

our industry. But so many people that we see where it's like, what's

21:22

your current retirement plan? Look like? It's like, I don't know. What's your current tax plan? Look like, I don't know, I don't

21:26

have one. What's your current person saying about when it takes sole security?

21:30

They say they don't know, they don't do that area. What's your current

21:32

person saying about your taxes? I don't know, they don't do that. They told me to ask my CPA. What's your current person saying about how

21:37

to choose medicare? What's your current person saying about your estate plan and what

21:40

your family's going to pay if the estate tax assntion goes down and your assets

21:45

keep growing, rightly, So we see that all the time. It's your

21:48

choice, right Like your person might be great at investments. That may be

21:51

all you care about it. And if that's all you care about, that's that's great. But if you're sitting there saying, I don't want to get

21:56

shocked by rising taxes in the future on my I raise my four and case,

22:00

I want to have a plan for it. I don't want to get surprised if inflation happens someday and I look up and I think, well,

22:04

how am I going broke? In my eighties? I thought I had enough

22:07

money? What do I do now? If you don't want to sit there

22:10

and fumble through Medicare decisions and social security decisions or estate planning decisions. If

22:15

those things bother you, then either you have to be working with someone you

22:17

already trust, or we will certainly offer you through our radio show, up

22:21

to two meetings with us. We'll assess the entire situation. We'll take a

22:23

look at everything we have, and we'll give you a good, bad,

22:26

or ugly or anywhere between. We'll answer any questions you have, and we'll

22:30

go from there. Our number is eight five eight five six four eight zero

22:33

three six. You can call or text us at that number eight five eight

22:37

five six four eight zero three six, or you can always go to our

22:41

website Epstein and White dot com and you can reach out to us that way.

22:45

That's Epstein and White dot com. Obviously a great topic there, and

22:49

I hope people got some, you know, valuable information out of that,

22:52

because I think, again, we're all the one thing you don't want to

22:57

do is panic. Ever, so let's switch to short term capital gains.

23:03

Now, we all hope to have some of those at some point in time

23:07

in our life. But should when I have those opportunities, should I sell

23:12

or do I risk waiting? How do you help people? Because there does

23:17

have to be some money growing within our retirement income portfolio. Yeah, so

23:22

really this concept is, you know, short term capital gains rate versus long

23:26

term capital gains. Right, So, if you buy something and it makes

23:29

a lot of money, and you sell it before a year, you pay

23:32

short term capital gain rates. What are short term capital gain rates? They

23:34

are whatever your normal tax bracket rates are. So it's like you get no

23:38

special break. It's just like you get tax on your income from work.

23:41

If you wait at least a year, it becomes long term capital gains and

23:45

you get special rates which are lower. However, you don't get in California.

23:48

By the way, California long term capital gain rates are the same as

23:51

your income. So congratulations. It's just unbelievable in the state, it just

23:55

really is. They just are never happy taxing you the most possible in every

24:00

possible way. So for us in California, it's just on the federal side

24:03

that we look at this for right, So I'll give you kind of an

24:06

example. Somebody buys a stock for fifty grand. Six months later it's worth

24:10

one hundred grand. So we see this sometimes where it's like, hey, maybe this was kind of a specuative trade. This wasn't like hey, I'm

24:14

going to buy Amazon or Apple and hold it forever. This was like,

24:17

hey, I bought like this thing, and like now that it made some money, like I kind of want to just cash my chips and leave the

24:22

table right before the casino takes it back. If you were to sell it

24:26

right now, let's say you're in a twenty four percent bracket. That's what

24:30

you'd pay on that fifty thousand game, But if you waited six more months

24:33

to sell it, you'd only pay fifteen percent. Right. Well, let's

24:37

a lot of times that This is where you know you let the tax tail

24:40

wag the dog way too much, right because in the context, you have

24:44

one hundred thousand dollars investment here, and you'd have the difference in nine percent

24:48

in taxes on the fifty thousand gains. So it's forty five hundred dollars in

24:52

extra tax. Divide it into one hundred thousand dollars value. That's a four

24:56

and a half percent, So you have to think of it like, hey, if I wait six months and this goes down four or five percent,

25:00

that I'm worse off than having just sold it and paid the taxes at the

25:03

short term rate right now, right, Yeah, Obviously, if you're eleven

25:07

and a half months in on something like you probably shouldn't sell it, and

25:10

you should wait that extra couple of weeks, right like to get a better tax rate. So this is, you know, not a huge subject that

25:15

happens all the tiny people, but this is kind of one drop in the

25:18

bucket of a larger example, which is when we make money, we're expecting

25:22

to make money over our lives. We're gonna pay taxes when we make some

25:25

money over our lives. And it's just sometimes making sure you don't get so

25:27

lost in the forest, right You can't lost in the forest, you can't

25:30

see through the trees. Ye, what it is right now, I'll pick

25:33

an analogy that I memorize a little bit better next time. But the point

25:36

being right is again just not getting so blinded by like small tax savings in

25:41

relation to something bigger, because again, nobody wants to teach you how to

25:44

save taxes more than me. Nobody does promise you, so make sure that's

25:48

clear before people yell at me. It's just this was kind of one example.

25:52

We've seen this a couple times over the last year or so, where it's like, hey, like let's think this through right, so to speak.

25:56

There are infinite decisions like that happen every month, every year, and

26:02

certainly over the course of your retirement. So we can't stress enough making sure

26:04

you have a retirement plan, you have clarity, you have answers on all

26:07

these things. We can give you that no cost, no obligation. You'll

26:11

have up to two meetings with US certified financial planners, fiduciaries and people who

26:15

eat, sleep, live, breathe retirement planning. We've helped thousands of San

26:18

Diegans. We will happily help you next. Our number is eight five eight

26:22

five six four eight zero three six. You can call or text us at

26:26

that number that's eight five eight five six four eight zero three six, or

26:30

you can always go to our website Epstein and White dot com and reach out

26:33

to us that way, that's Epstein and White dot com. We get great

26:40

client questions, we get great listener questions, and right now on the program,

26:44

we want to dive into the mail bag and bring up one of the

26:47

popular questions that's been coming up, and one was posed by a listener just

26:52

a few days ago, So we want to bring that up on the program

26:56

and dive into the Epstein and White Mercer Advisors mail bag. Yep. So

27:02

this question comes and the question is from a gentleman named Craig, and he

27:06

says, what is the connection between an IUL policy which is index Universal Life

27:11

right, so a life insurance policy that also grows cash value, so it

27:14

can kind of be an investment as well as life insurance. So he says,

27:17

what's the connection between an iu A policy and a living trust? Should

27:19

the trust own the policy or be named as the beneficiary? I really really

27:25

like this question, by the way. Yeah, it's a great question. And he says, and further, can the policy be owned in a roth

27:29

account, et cetera. There's lots of layers to this onion, and it's

27:32

a great question. So one thing here, let's kind of talk about what

27:36

a living trust is. So normally there's lots of types of trust, the

27:41

normal you know, quote unquote normal trust that you're thinking of and I'm sure

27:44

Craig's thinking of as something that typically you can own as an individual, or

27:48

if you're a husband and wife as an example, Right, you guys would own it. It's really like you guys owning something. The trust is its

27:53

own entity, but you guys are the grantors that you create the trust.

27:59

You're the trustees, which means you make decisions on what happens in the trust,

28:02

and you're the life beneficiaries of the assets in the trust. The main

28:06

reason people have a trust is when you own non retirement accounts and non life

28:10

insurance assets, so things like your properties, any homes, any properties you

28:14

have, or just non retirement you know, stock accounts and bank accounts.

28:17

And the reason why is because when you own things in a trust, it completely avoids probate for your family when you die. Right, So if you

28:22

want like your kids to be beneficiaries of your stuff and you don't have a

28:26

trust, if you only have a will, it's a nightmare for your kids

28:30

and your family to go through court and go through probate, and it adds

28:32

expenses. So we highly recommend living trust for most anybody with assets. Okay,

28:37

if you don't really have any assets, in your life. Then maybe

28:40

we don't. But for most anybody with assets, we highly recommend a trust

28:42

again to own non retirement accounts. Now, your trust has its own beneficiaries

28:49

in it. So when your trust owns your home, you might have put

28:52

in your trust. Hey, my son and my daughter are fifty to fifty

28:56

beneficiaries. So when we die, they split fifty percent of the house or

29:00

splend of the other accounts. Right, So you list all your life,

29:03

all your net worth. You list these things in your trust, and then

29:06

you say who gets what when you guys die. You don't need a trust

29:11

necessarily for an index universal life policy. So if you have a life insurance

29:15

policy, one is you might be using it for cash value over the course

29:18

of your life. But it also has a death benefit. So again if

29:21

you own it, I'll just say me as husband own it. As an

29:23

example, if my wife dies, if she's not the beneficiary of the policy,

29:27

that doesn't pay a death benefit. Yet, like I'm the owner,

29:30

or if I'm the beneficiary of the life in church policy, it doesn't pay

29:33

till I die, that can go straight to the kids. I can name

29:37

my trust as the beneficiary. And so this is how I actually do it

29:40

in my life Craig, my life insurance policy. While I own it and

29:44

I'm the person who's life it's on, my trust is the beneficiary because that

29:49

way, the proceeds go to my trust, and my trust says exactly who

29:52

gets what, how my kids get in and all that stuff. So that's

29:56

important now for higher net worth people for a state planning reasons right is,

30:00

if our estates are above a certain amount, then the government will take forty

30:04

percent of our states before our kids get it. This is where we get

30:07

complicated and we do what's called irrevocable life insurance trust. It's called an islet,

30:12

and you actually do want that type of revolcable trust to be the owner

30:15

of a policy. I don't want to complicate what we're talking about on today's

30:18

show. That's a particular niche area. And for those of you that are

30:22

worried about a state taxes, you should certainly reach out to us as a

30:25

firm. We spend a lot of time in this and we think the tax laws are going to change in twenty twenty six and a lot more of you

30:30

are going to potentially have a state problems in your retirement. So it's really

30:33

something you should think about. Not to confuse that though, Craig just kind

30:36

of a normal life insurance policy that you know, kind of any of us

30:40

might own for kind of what I would call normal reasons. You can have

30:42

your trust own it, or you can own it yourself. It's really not

30:45

a big difference. You can have your beneficiaries be directly you know, your

30:49

spouse or kids, or you can have your trust be the beneficiary. None

30:52

of that really matters too much. But on things like your properties and your

30:57

stock accounts, you absolutely want the trust be the owners of those. And

31:00

again I typically like the beneficiary being the trust on the life insurance policies a

31:04

little bit more. Your last part of this question is can the policy be

31:07

owned in a wrath. The answer is no. And the reason why life

31:11

insurance is not allowed inside retirement accounts. And the reason why is because,

31:15

well, I'll just give you the easy reason why anything in the world you

31:18

put in a wrath that's normally taxable, stocks, bonds, you know,

31:22

real estate, whatever. Normally you'd have to pay taxes on all those things.

31:26

But if you have those things in a wroth, everything is tax free.

31:30

The reason people buy IUL policies is because those that type of policy,

31:33

when you take it out right, is tax free anyways. So you would

31:37

never take something that is already privileged with tax free like the municipal bond interest

31:41

right, or life insurance in this case, and stick that inside a retirement

31:45

account like a wroth. You just you don't need to do that. So

31:48

to answer your question, no, it would not be owned by a wrath. Though, fantastic question on multiple layers. It allowed me to kind of

31:53

explain multiple things. I don't think we maybe talk quite enough about estate planning

31:57

and what it means for you all to have trust, That's what it means

32:00

to have wills, how you should title things, which accounts should have what so. So thank you Craig for not just kind of the life insurance I

32:06

you will side of that equation, but kind of a good reason for me to go into something maybe we don't touch on enough on this show. I

32:12

think Craig represents one of what's probably a million questions out there right that comes

32:15

up just for any one of you or your spouse's or your family situation.

32:21

There's so much that goes into retirement planning and kind of what I like to say a lot and maybe I don't say it enough, is there's a lot

32:27

of you that probably would be fine. Right if you don't see somebody like

32:30

us, you know, and you don't do some deep planning, you'll probably be fine. And for some of you, if that doesn't bother you that

32:35

you may be missing out on better, then that's great. It's your money,

32:38

it's your life. You know, you're adults. You make these decisions.

32:40

I would say for those of you that really don't like the idea of

32:44

wasting money, whether it's on taxes, or whether it's on Social Security,

32:47

or whether it's on investments, because you're not doing things, you know in

32:51

a great way, you're not actually having somebody to take a look at this and really look at it. If that stuff bothers you to think that you're

32:55

missing out, it certainly would be. That's why we exist, right,

33:00

no cost and no obligation. We'll look at everything you have, and we'll

33:02

talk to you about everything you're looking to do, and then actually build you

33:05

a custom retirement plan that looks at all of it. And by the way we do it in a way, we built a proprietary way that we show

33:10

you this so it's actually easy for you to understand as we walk you through

33:14

it, because I think that's equally as important, right is not only getting

33:16

all the answers to what your life and retirement plan and investments look like,

33:21

but actually being able to understand right what we're saying and what we're showing you

33:23

on that. We want you to have what's called our exhale moment where you

33:25

go, oh, okay, this is how we're going to do this and

33:29

retirement. Here's all the answers, no cost, no obligation. You can

33:31

meet with us for up to two visits. Our certified financial planners, fiduciaries

33:36

and retirement specialists we are waiting for you. Our number is eight five eight five six four eight zero three six. You can call or text us on

33:43

that that's eight five eight five six four eight zero three six, or you

33:46

can always go to our website Epstein and White dot com and you can reach

33:50

out to us that way. That's Epstein and White dot com. Well, Brad, as we were doing research for the show, we came across the

33:55

article Fox News put out and it was talking about buying a home using retirement

34:04

funds. Is this a good idea because some people maybe want a second home

34:08

in retirement or they're downsizing and they want to, you know, maybe look

34:13

at different ways they can finance at home. What's your thought. Yeah.

34:15

Brec Dumas for Fox wrote this article stating that one out of every ten American

34:21

homeowners said that they pulled money from retirement savings to cover down payment and closing

34:25

costs with buying their home, and Bankred did a study and said they found

34:29

nine percent, which again so basically the same conclusion unretable you know studies here,

34:32

and they said the numbers get higher as you go into younger generations,

34:36

which also makes a ton of sense considering that we know what home prices are

34:39

like today, and regardless of how much I will certainly make fun of some

34:43

of the younger generations for work ethic and all sorts of other things, it

34:45

is pretty fair looking at how much harder it is for them to buy at

34:49

homes, especially in places like San Diego. So here's what's always been my

34:52

stance on things, that the harm is mostly the psychological impact of doing this,

34:57

even more than the financial impact of the actual move. What do you

35:00

mean by that? Is this like buying a home. Locking in your housing

35:04

and the amount of equity that people have, you know, thirty years down

35:07

the road, is a huge benefit. I love to see people find a

35:09

way to buy a home. It is forced savings, right, because not

35:14

everybody remembers to save money for their future into a separate account every month or

35:17

like ever. Frankly, but when people have a home, like they make

35:20

their mortgage payments every month. And I know a lot of people that I've

35:22

met over you know, my time doing this, right, I've talked to

35:25

thousands of you doing what I do for a living, and it's like the

35:28

equity you have in your home now might be more than all of your retirement accounts combined, or certainly it helps, right, So I know that the

35:35

only way some people can do this that an opportune time is to have to

35:38

tap into some retirement funds. I get that. And theoretically, if they

35:42

did this this one time for a home purchase and never tapped into their retirement

35:45

accounts again, I would say I love it, go for it. But every study in the world shows that people who tap into their fore own care

35:52

retirement accounts end up doing it not just once, but a lot. It's

35:55

almost like this extra piggybank. Now, like, once you do it right,

35:58

you've opened up Pindor's box, and then in the future there's just more

36:00

and more excuses to tap into it, whereas people that never tap into it

36:04

once it just becomes the sanc to sainct thing over there that I can't touch.

36:07

And those people end up with a lot more money in retirement some days,

36:10

right than people who don't. So I think for me, Bruce,

36:14

that's always my biggest fear when I see something like this is not so much

36:17

is it a terrible idea from like a finan you know, look, it's

36:21

usually not a great idea, you know from a Hey, you might pay a lot of extra taxes, you know, because you're pulling a lot of

36:25

money out in one year. So to be clear, financially, you know,

36:29

pulling a lot of money out of like an IRA and a given year is not a financially great decision from a tax standpoint. If it was your

36:35

only way to buy a home for an opportune time and then you are financially

36:37

disciplined for the rest of your life, I would be fine with that,

36:40

even if it's not the greatest tax move in the moment, right, But

36:44

you know it is you know, like, as an example, let's say you at one hundred fifty thousand saved up, you're thirty five years old,

36:50

and you think you're going to retire at sixty five someday. So with some assumptions on rate of return and stuff, I said, okay, you'd end

36:55

up with two million, almost two million, three hundred thousand at age sixty

36:59

five. But it's like, well, hey, what if you tapped into one hundred grand of that to buy a home, So now you only have

37:04

fifty thousand left, and then I ran everything else the same, You'd have

37:06

about one and a half million at sixty five, right, So you have like almost eight hundred thousand less in retirement savings now, obviously, though you

37:13

have home equity and maybe a paid off mortgage. So I think when you look at the calculation that way, again, it's not a giant difference like

37:20

one versus the other. You both end up in a pretty solid spot.

37:22

But again, it's more of the if you do this, or if you're

37:24

listening, maybe it's if your kids are thinking about doing this, be very

37:28

very careful of that kind of lifetime piggy bank concept. So again, we've

37:31

been doing this for over a decade here at Epstein and White and now part

37:34

of Mercer. We eat, sleep, Live, breathe retirement planning. We

37:37

are certified financial planners fiduciers. There's not a question or scenario you have that

37:42

we haven't come up with in help. I will pretty much state that I'd

37:44

be pretty shocked if there was at this point. So we love seeing you come in, we love being able to help you, and you can do

37:49

it for up to two meetings. Again, no cost or obligation at all.

37:52

Our number is eight five eight five six four eight zero three six.

37:55

You can call or text us at that number it's eight five eight eight zero

38:00

three six, or you can always go to our website Epstein and White dot

38:02

com and reach out to us that way. That's Epstein and White dot com.

38:07

Epstein and White is a trade name. All services provided by Epstein and

38:10

White Investment professionals are provided in their individual capacities as investment advisor representatives of Mercer

38:16

Global Advisors, Incorporated and SEC registered Investment Advisor, principally located in Denver,

38:22

Colorado, with various branch offices throughout the United States, doing business under different

38:27

trade names, including Epstein and White. All expressions of opinions reflect the judgment

38:30

of the speakers as of the date of recording and are subject to change.

38:34

Some of the research and ratings and articles discussed come from third parties that are

38:37

not affiliated with Mercer Advisors or Epstein and White. The information discussed is believed

38:43

to be accurate, but is not guaranteed or warranted by Mercer Advisors. The

38:46

information provided in this show does not purport to be a complete description of the

38:50

securities, markets, or developments discussed. Forecast projections and other forward looking statements

38:54

are not a reliable indicator of future performance. Actual events, results, or

39:00

performance may differ materially from those reflected or contemplated. This show is being provided

39:05

for educational purposes only and is not intended as a recommendation or solicitation to buy,

39:09

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39:14

investment strategy. No portion of this discussion should be construed as tax or legal

39:17

advice. All investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principle. Past

39:22

performance is not a guarantee of future results. An annuities guarantee is subject to

39:27

the claims paying ability of the issuing insurance company. This radio show is a paid placement

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From The Podcast

Retire Right With Brad White

Retire Right with Brad White is a San Diego area top radio talk show solely devoted to helping pre-retirees and retirees retire right by sharing their expertise and insights. Join Brad White, host of the radio show “Retire Right with Brad White” every Saturday at 10am on KOGO 600 AM Radio. Tune in as Brad discusses the latest financial tools to help carry you to and through a secure and enjoyable life in retirement.Brad White is the Senior Wealth Advisor and Director of Mercer Advisors, Formerly Epstein & White, a Series 66 Certified Financial Planner, and the host of Retire Right with Brad White Radio Show.Opinions expressed are as of the date of recording and are subject to change. Information contained herein is for informational and illustrative purposes only and general in nature. It should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any type of securities or insurance products and no investment decision should be made based solely on any information provided herein. All investments carry a risk of loss, including loss of principal amount invested. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk. It should not be assumed that diversification or asset allocation protects a portfolio from loss or that such will produce profitable results. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.Client experiences vary, successful outcomes not guaranteed. Hypothetical examples are for illustrative purposes only. Actual investor results will vary.

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