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your podcast. James.
1:32
Of the unlikeliest of heroes:
1:34
Mike Johnson of Louisiana, Speaker
1:36
the House. Defied.
1:39
The right wing. Nut. Bag coworkers,
1:41
And the house overwhelmingly approved aid for
1:44
your could on. Some.
1:47
Other going to try to unseat
1:49
by a judge and. I
1:52
don't you're going to happen and we can
1:54
wait on was or to John Allen about
1:56
what it means for Ukraine. But
1:58
I say why, they're not. Gonna do
2:00
a. For. We my coach Kevin
2:02
Mccarthy on Johnson Eve sixteen. And
2:05
I I A lot of reporting is really
2:07
lousy. They talk about who the key republicans
2:09
are Chip Roy, your Jim Jordan or others.
2:12
None. Of them matter. There is
2:14
one person that matters. That. Will
2:16
assure that Mike Johnson is not
2:18
unseen now and that is a
2:21
game. Jeffries. Game. Jeffries. Ah
2:23
it. It would be a motion of
2:25
a caped chair. Which is when the
2:27
Mccarthy. And all it takes
2:29
is a you know that the person in
2:31
the sheer news and majority be loses For
2:33
five republicans democrats vote against them. it be
2:36
out the won't happen. First of
2:38
all, Jeffries A. I. Think trust
2:40
Johnson even if he just as prose and most
2:42
of his balls. Far. More than he
2:44
ever trusted Kevin Mccarthy. And secondly, you're not
2:47
gonna knock out a speaker, are doing the
2:49
right thing. So. A It's not
2:51
a. And I was not
2:53
a. A. Co leader proposition
2:55
the house. But. It came.
2:57
Jeffries played this shrewdly, He
3:00
is a very proven to be
3:02
a very capable leader is gonna
3:05
be might go Johnson's guarantor that
3:07
the not bags won't get him
3:10
at least for now. Well as
3:12
an American history is replete
3:14
with people have not extraordinary backgrounds
3:16
com and doing a clutch
3:18
him and Grant. Gonna. Comes
3:21
to mind but maybe more anybody
3:23
else could aerodrome and certainly come
3:25
to mind. Peter Indiana A lot
3:27
of the Civil Rights movement, but
3:30
Cindy Lou Hamer com suburbs of
3:32
Washington understood just game ducks. Theory.
3:35
I said either Vanderburgh, Go ahead. I'm sorry.
3:38
I'll get out of that but what up for
3:40
it? New we have people that that of face
3:42
for a moment and somehow not a. Surprisingly,
3:45
me to moments am pretty
3:47
sure it would happen To
3:49
speak a Johnson is unlike
3:51
the rank and file republican.
3:53
It was actually privy to
3:55
the briefings. And I
3:57
think he was. Given. Credit as
3:59
a kid smart enough and i think
4:02
at some level maybe patriotic enough are
4:04
still have about done videos i and
4:06
as other upset about regarded as I
4:08
did wrong but he. He
4:10
did step in and. Sit. A moment
4:13
and. You know that
4:15
got his thing down at the last moment?
4:17
In for that a d should be recognized.
4:19
He should be praise and I think it
4:21
was more. Move by. The
4:23
intel breached is that he got anything
4:25
else with as subsystem I bought. Or
4:28
know I am on a everything I
4:31
read. I think that's right and I
4:33
think he does deserve enormous krosa. Think
4:35
President Biden deserves enormous credit? Or
4:37
he stuck with this. He didn't lash out
4:39
when he might have had cause to. And
4:42
you know James, You. Mention the intelligence briefing
4:44
if I were to pick an Mvp.
4:46
of this administration of be the
4:48
Cia Director Bill Burns. Whether it's
4:51
over ago, she east, or apparently
4:53
enormously impressive briefings, he holds back.
4:55
Here. Are he doesn't see Gov
4:57
much publicity, but he is certainly a
4:59
done a great job and on the
5:01
other side if I wanted to take
5:03
the L.V. The. Least valuable player
5:06
of this whole episode. It. Would
5:08
be March retailer, Grain Murdoch own New
5:10
York Post Quarter and a great cover.
5:12
I never thought I'd say about the
5:15
New York Post Moscow Marjorie. Ah,
5:17
she was hazardous singing defeat she deserves
5:19
in I would just note. That.
5:22
Someone who as you know, I've followed closely
5:24
for the last five years. A waste of
5:26
phonics, Once. Again, never let principal
5:28
get in the way of her ambition. She
5:30
voted against aid to Ukraine, as did the
5:33
majority of house Republic. Pizza
5:45
kitchen green and clean would allow
5:47
me you know it helps go
5:49
our way for small akin to
5:51
a it and compact a lot
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of trash which which are think
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is good in the second thing
5:57
it it helps but curse. You
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know, we'd like a lot of people.
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We ought to much. In
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He also can find the link and are
9:06
shown us. Yes,
9:16
Is retired Marine Four Star General
9:18
John Allen who is held command
9:20
post all over the world. Leon.
9:23
Panetta: one of the true wise men
9:25
and American public life. Goal. General
9:27
and an outstanding leader, a
9:29
brilliant strategist and exemplary Murray
9:31
and Quote: it's good to
9:33
have you back, General. So
9:35
let's start with what Congress
9:37
did. After a disgraceful delay,
9:39
they pass the sixty one
9:41
billion dollar aid package for
9:43
Ukraine thanks to the speaker
9:45
Mike Johnson. What? Was lost
9:47
and that long delay and I assume
9:49
we can get the weapons quickly their
9:51
from supplies in Germany and what difference
9:53
you think is gonna miss the first?
9:56
It is great to be back on
9:58
with you our him to Cj. I
10:01
wish I was with him and Denmark or Paris. worry
10:03
as as moment. Me
10:06
to assess as as several
10:08
things I think the. The.
10:11
Front generally held. It's about a
10:14
thousand kilometers the line of contact
10:16
between the Russians and Ukrainians. And
10:19
while the Russians were pushing pretty hard
10:21
and several spots. It's. Generally
10:24
held. The.
10:27
approval of the sixty one billion dollars didn't
10:29
come a moment too soon. And
10:32
you will see relatively soon. I believe
10:34
the leading. Elements of the
10:36
support the on the ground and in the hands
10:39
of Ukrainians will put it to work pretty quickly.
10:42
And it'll give them the the ability I
10:44
think to stabilize the line the front. And
10:48
to a blood. or maybe even.
10:50
A rollback: Some of the Russian
10:52
penetrations the in the Russians. Potent.
10:57
Has been salivating over this kind of
10:59
a development. Here. The the
11:01
great strategic objective of his in
11:03
order to facilitate is operational level
11:06
and tactical objectives. Has
11:08
been just try to stymie the
11:10
capacity of American leadership of the
11:12
Coalition. Of supporting the Ukrainians.
11:15
Because once that occurs, time is no longer
11:17
on the side of the Ukrainians. Europeans.
11:20
Have been able to come together with enough
11:22
support to. Offset. The absence
11:24
of American support so. With.
11:26
The approval of this package and it's rapid
11:28
movement into the hands of the. It's.
11:32
Restores I think Ukrainian sense
11:35
that. The Russians.
11:38
That maintain the stability of the front.
11:41
Of very. Importantly, it sends a very powerful
11:43
message to boot and. That. He's
11:45
not calling the shots in Washington
11:47
anymore. He i am assured a
11:49
it as you say can stand
11:51
any Russian advances they were playing.
11:53
We read a major summer offensive.
11:56
That. Will be much harder now I can
11:58
the Ukrainians act and they were the offensive
12:00
a year and a half ago. if I
12:02
work as well as they had hoped. But.
12:05
With these. This. New ammunition
12:07
drones, aircraft, Weapons Missiles
12:10
as a plausible Kiev could read game
12:12
the offensive actually and push the Russians
12:14
out of some of that territory. Willing
12:17
think there's always going to be. Limited
12:20
Battles These battles and serve as
12:22
a. Quantitative term
12:24
to indicate small actions to be limited
12:27
battles along the line contact for some
12:29
period of time that you made important
12:31
point l and that is a year
12:33
and a half ago. The
12:36
Ukrainians put in a pretty substantial
12:38
push with the idea of moving
12:41
towards. ultimately you pushing the Russians
12:43
completely off of. The. Twenty percent
12:45
of Ukraine that they hold and movie actually to
12:47
the coast and sea of Azov. Everyone.
12:52
Massively. Over inflated their
12:54
expectations for this this offensive.
12:57
This is they didn't have the combat power
12:59
them to push as far as. Everyone
13:02
had hoped or and had been encouraged
13:04
to expect. Only don't have a
13:06
combat our today. This. Is gonna be
13:08
a long struggle. Can be a long fight. And
13:11
the capacity for the Ukrainians to make.
13:14
Limited. Gains over a
13:16
period of multiple offenses.
13:18
Is. Going to be how they'll do this or isn't going
13:21
to be one great push. That
13:23
collapses the front and we have
13:25
this Russian. Collapse along
13:27
the entire from. This Is Not Going To happen. They.
13:30
Don't have the combat power. We've. Not given
13:32
them to support that they need to do that. They
13:35
really needed assault breaching capabilities to
13:37
penetrate the very extensive, in quite
13:40
a in depth Russian complex obstacles.
13:42
We didn't give them that kind
13:44
of. Reaching. Capabilities And so
13:46
they were going up against those obstacles with.
13:49
Some. Optimized forces and he paid a price
13:51
for it. frankly. So. We didn't
13:54
get the expected outcome, but I
13:56
think our expectations were way over
13:58
inflated. So. Al. The Think in
14:00
the future. These. Kinds of
14:02
the limited offenses are going to have
14:04
to be the way the Ukrainians do this
14:06
hold in areas they can. And.
14:09
Achieve of their limited objectives.
14:11
Accumulatively over time,
14:14
To. Have the kinds of effects of they want to
14:16
which is to put themselves in a position where the
14:18
Russians will have a very serious conversation with a about
14:20
what piece my lovely. While. I'm I'm
14:23
I want to pick up of I'm an
14:25
avid reader and Lana and love Anne Applebaum.
14:27
She's been great on this but l A
14:29
column rotten and fifty least a couple weeks
14:31
ago and and which he noting this was
14:34
almost like a World War One grind of
14:36
as Killing Fields. And and and
14:38
wonder to what is Ukraine's real theory?
14:41
A victory. The rest I mean
14:43
the Russians have and been terrible
14:45
system that terrible dictator. They're going
14:47
to throw people in the those
14:49
killing fields. Ah, they don't seem
14:51
to get as much backlash issued. how for
14:53
it always will know about it. So what's
14:55
the theory of of of what mighty called
14:57
Victory for you frame down the road General.
15:01
Well there is a stated theory and
15:03
and are there is potentially but will
15:05
become the reality. As
15:07
time goes on to. Recover
15:09
own the last territory. Of.
15:13
Ukraine. As we have known it, plus crimea.
15:18
And that's just not realistic. Frankly,
15:20
and I love Ukrainians. I I
15:22
support in every possible way. They're
15:25
being able to stabilize the line and
15:27
eventually directing the Russians, but last week
15:30
we just have to be realistic. That
15:33
to they don't have the combat power. Now to
15:35
do that. And. So destabilize
15:37
the line. Achieve what they
15:39
possibly can given the resources that they
15:42
have not give up any substantial territorial
15:44
gains of the Russians over a period
15:46
of time. And I think that's
15:48
that's going to. Give us the
15:51
capacity with his new. Multibillion
15:53
Dollars. As I said, Sixty One
15:55
Billion Dollar. The infusion of
15:58
equipment, the capabilities, To. Bring. Get
16:00
us in a position and in Twenty twenty four
16:02
were. Conversations. Camping and
16:04
to occur on some form of they.
16:07
Have. A cease an armistice, Have some kind
16:09
or another. The. I once ukrainian to be
16:11
successful. I one of the get the crime to crimea
16:14
back. But. We have to be realistic
16:16
about what they can accomplish and I think
16:18
very importantly. The. West has to
16:20
as to be very realistic itself
16:22
and not push the Ukrainians. Into
16:24
military actions were they are just not
16:26
going to be successful. This
16:28
is also as as you know so
16:30
well as as well as know. As.
16:33
Well as a military issue is such
16:35
a as a political issue and I'm
16:37
just talking about the politics are you?
16:39
You always enjoyed a grill I parson
16:41
support on Capitol Hill. That
16:44
was is different Republican party. The. Majority
16:46
of house Republicans: Aid.
16:49
To Ukraine, the majority. Of
16:51
the Republican, Sen. J. Diverse of
16:53
Ohio is a waste of time
16:56
we can't manufacture. Enough. Weapons
16:58
to Ukraine needs elsewhere but leading
17:00
a house republican shares my turner
17:02
and like Mccall allergens and Foreign
17:05
Affairs say some of their colleagues
17:07
you're buying into Russian. Propaganda.
17:09
What are the implications? If there's a sigh
17:11
probe, put an element and one of our
17:13
major parties. Well.
17:17
I think the answer to that is we have
17:19
to deal with the reality is that we face
17:21
and many of them are not dealing with reality
17:23
that we face. Your The
17:26
larger issue of course is that. If.
17:28
You go back and you track. What?
17:31
Food and has done. In
17:33
a period of time immediately following the fall of
17:35
the Berlin Wall and the the end of the
17:38
so called Cold War, He
17:40
has either. By.
17:42
Force of Arms changed the borders
17:44
of multiple countries. In
17:46
the region or interfere directly militarily.
17:50
In the infernal affairs of. Countries
17:52
in that region. So.
17:55
The idea that. In
17:57
some form or another, the Ukrainian. Conflict.
18:01
Is of no value to us. That.
18:03
The Ukrainian conflict is irrelevant
18:06
to American. national interest is
18:08
just wrong. In these
18:11
are be reconsidered and every possible way. And.
18:13
It's it's very clear. That.
18:16
Of there's an important and.
18:19
Persistent. And pervasive push
18:21
by the Russians. To
18:23
so the information sphere. With.
18:26
Doubt about whether the Ukrainians
18:28
can, in fact, ever. when.
18:31
About doubt as to whether
18:33
this this conflict. Is.
18:35
In the interests of the United States or
18:37
more. Us
18:40
Leadership over Europe and the Edu
18:42
and Nato. And.
18:44
Doubt about the weather. Ukraine
18:47
has a legitimate political entity and
18:49
deserves it's independence from. The
18:52
historic Imperial Russia. And all
18:54
of that is coming at us in the
18:57
information space. And. Some people who are.
19:00
Very. Poorly informed on international affairs
19:02
and international relations are buying into
19:04
it. They're. Buying into this.
19:07
Is inherent. Perspective.
19:09
By Vladimir Putin. That. The
19:11
Ukraine doesn't have a legitimate reason
19:13
to exist outside of the Russian
19:15
sphere of. Of Control and Russian
19:18
sphere of influence And that's just not true.
19:20
And. Why would we believe that after so
19:23
many borders have been changed by force
19:25
of Russian armed. With. The depredations
19:27
at it and inevitably accompanied.
19:30
The. Application of Russian force the
19:32
of the things that have been
19:34
done to Ukrainian population, the slaughter
19:36
and the systematic rape. Of
19:39
the Ukrainian popular, why would we believe that that
19:41
would end. Up with the
19:43
earth that to the feet of
19:45
Ukraine Moldova. His next. Georgia
19:48
is next. And. At
19:50
some point in the future should he
19:52
believe he has sufficient support by the
19:54
Chinese. We. Could see him
19:57
becoming. In.
19:59
A Quite. On the issue of the eastern
20:01
flank of Nato. So.
20:03
His track record is very clear. Allen
20:06
James His track record is very clear.
20:09
It's. His intent to control all of the
20:11
near abroad around Russia. Ukraine
20:13
is in his sights right now. Moldova, his
20:15
next Georgia is next. We should expect that
20:17
this will not be the at. And
20:20
for America to believe that this conflict.
20:23
Is irrelevant and somehow.
20:25
Exists. In isolation for how the
20:27
Chinese potentially view. Taiwan.
20:29
In the future. Is. Simply wrong headed.
20:32
It is simply uninformed and are
20:34
misinformed view but it is the
20:36
constant drumbeat of Russian disinformation that
20:39
this the this campaign and this
20:41
this war. Has
20:43
no relevance to American leadership and ultimately
20:45
to Europe. Or some
20:47
Zola and move up front of someone grips
20:49
of course. And let us talk about movies,
20:51
the South China Sea and a solid United
20:53
States Marine Corps. The.
20:56
Media Pass com and on
20:58
his understand and made some.
21:01
Pretty. Significant.
21:04
Changes To the stated mission of the
21:06
Marine Corps. And if
21:08
you could walk so i when you would. First.
21:11
Commission a Marine Corps at that
21:13
new saw in Sao than loved and
21:15
served highs in different fog of
21:17
of a young guy grabbed right now
21:19
under certain decks one plane was at
21:22
Quantico and Lcs. What? What's different
21:24
Marine Corps you face what was indifferent
21:26
or in court as young person
21:28
yes. Well, it's a
21:30
really important question. and for those of us
21:32
who grew up. In one
21:34
environment, we now see a very different environment for
21:37
the core. For
21:39
me for virtually all of my career. On
21:42
active duty, the Marine Corps. Was.
21:44
The Nations Combined Arms Force and
21:46
Reading. We were
21:48
a force. Of combined
21:51
arms to include really substantial
21:53
ground forces. Complemented by
21:55
very capable. Aviation
21:58
Components. Support. The
22:00
with it and extremely capable
22:02
logistics expeditionary. We.
22:05
Were both tied to the Navy. For. Our
22:07
strategic mobile, the insides of the Air Force
22:09
for rapid. Strategic Air Lift to
22:11
get to a spot where we need to be very
22:14
quickly. Some. And
22:16
that capacity wasn't intended. James for
22:18
us to take on the Soviets
22:20
had on. The. In the
22:23
European Theater just wasn't. In was
22:25
a young author. I did multiple tours. With.
22:27
The Sixth Fleet in the Mediterranean. Because.
22:29
We needed to have We have the
22:31
capacity to dominate. The
22:33
southern portion of the European. Front.
22:37
Of, but I also did a tour in Norway. Her.
22:40
Which was the northern flank of
22:42
the of the Nato front where
22:44
where again maritime forces of which
22:46
the marine corps part played an
22:48
important role. So. We had
22:50
a flank mission during the height
22:52
of the Cold War, but but
22:54
very importantly for all the other
22:56
combatant commanders around the world. In.
22:58
The event of an emergency in Africa.
23:01
Or. In South America Or in Central
23:03
America or in Southeast Asia in the
23:05
event of an emergency. The
23:08
marine for their and we were there pretty quickly. That.
23:10
We got there pretty quickly because we could
23:12
move by, see. O the
23:14
shipping was they are the amphibious shipping was there
23:16
for us to move quickly. Or
23:19
we could move by air. And. So
23:21
they combatant commanders that ultimately held
23:23
responsibility for operations, plans, and contingency
23:25
response around the world knew that
23:28
the the very first organization that
23:30
can call on with met with
23:32
that would come with substantial fighting
23:35
power combat hours. United States Marine
23:37
Corps. So.
23:39
Today. The. Marine Corps has
23:41
been remission. To operate
23:44
in the island chains. Of
23:46
the Western Pacific against The Chinese.
23:48
Know. During the. Height. Of
23:50
the Cold War, we were never mission. We.
23:53
Were never configured to fight the Soviets had,
23:55
or we just work. Because.
23:57
We had to be light. We had the movie had.
24:00
The a combined arms team to deliver
24:02
a lot of firepower very early in
24:04
a contingency. Today. That's different,
24:06
and we've had a number of contingencies
24:08
that have emerged. That. Around the
24:10
world world Record couldn't show up. didn't get
24:12
their. The. So now what's happening
24:14
is so. We're
24:16
We're relying on our special operators. To
24:19
accomplish some of these missions et have
24:22
been traditionally the mission of Marine Corps,
24:24
so I worry. I'm
24:26
not going to criticize the previous comment
24:28
on but I worry that the nature
24:30
of our core which was an expeditionary
24:32
combined arms force in readiness. Also
24:35
known as the Nation's Nine One One Force.
24:37
Has been reconfigured. ultimately. With.
24:40
A very specific mission in the Western
24:42
Pacific to pose a potential for Chinese
24:44
and Russian. And. Is
24:47
it? Just inherently limits the value of
24:49
the Marine Corps to an actual command
24:51
authority into our combatant commanders around the
24:53
world. Well
24:56
I'll add and again up lab or
24:58
panel pretty good. understand I understand what
25:00
the son of a read a lot
25:02
of artists but and and this assistance
25:05
capo an amateur. Whatever. but
25:07
it looks like the South China sea
25:09
as a place and that I'm be
25:12
didn't the a quip from bad things
25:14
to happen and that's downright strikes me
25:16
as maybe not a bad subject direction
25:19
cause battle know when. Very
25:21
good and Afghanistan or of Vietnam. Of
25:23
all of the other places them gotten
25:25
bogged down and are as I don't
25:27
know. Maybe it's just me but at
25:30
the as a form that ice you
25:32
know moving fastened in Brighton things is
25:34
essential. Fatty, It's it's it's it's well.
25:36
you know you call yourself a corporal.
25:38
Minute ago you were personally involved in
25:41
breaking things probably as with the request
25:43
very well. And we
25:45
can break things. But now. We're. Not to
25:47
build a break Things everywhere around the world. Which.
25:49
Was really important to this country, right? and
25:52
we could still have broken things in the
25:54
South China Sea. Me: There's
25:56
a there's an entire lift component.
25:58
Of. Amphibious ship. That are going to need to be.
26:01
Produced. In order to move this
26:03
new force. And. Those ships or anyone
26:05
on the drawing board. So.
26:08
That you know my my concern is that. And.
26:11
This was the an explicit. Investment
26:14
strategy that we would die best.
26:17
To. Invest. So. We
26:19
got rid of a lot of Marine Corps capability that
26:21
you and I grew up with. That.
26:23
Doesn't exist in the Marine Corps anymore. We have no tax.
26:26
In. The Marine Corps anymore. And. We have
26:28
fewer. Your Amtrak's
26:30
the the armored, lightly
26:32
armored amphibious personnel carrier.
26:35
We. Have fewer individual to
26:38
artillery pieces, And. We've
26:40
reduced or aviation. Be Not.
26:42
Because we just did it. Arbitrarily.
26:46
But. Because the commonest plan was to
26:48
divest these capabilities early to be able
26:50
to invest in future capabilities. And.
26:52
One of the most important to the future capabilities
26:55
is the lift necessary to get us into the
26:57
fight. And. That capability is still
26:59
some time off and are so I know.
27:01
I worry about this capability gap that we
27:03
have right now in terms of the nation's
27:06
capacity for contingency response. Well
27:09
at you know at some point or
27:11
the album going com people no matter
27:13
what your words l our was different
27:15
than it was bad. I'm back then
27:17
and right before the pandemic. And
27:20
some for him. My wife and I were
27:22
near Paris island and we went on up.
27:24
To. Twenty jobs are touting
27:26
it and regimental commander gave us
27:29
a tour and I've gotta tell
27:31
ya, these Marines today. On
27:33
Frank three times better than we were
27:35
when I looked at what they were
27:37
throw and what I train. Regime is
27:39
a map, months the i'm just spend
27:41
and four hours and Parris Island in
27:43
his book, a book like an option
27:45
for sense and forty well trained The
27:47
boys is that your observations. And
27:50
I want to be very clear about what I
27:52
have been saying your last few minutes. I have
27:55
not in any way. Insinuated that
27:57
the marine that you were and I am
27:59
and they. There. Is. Any less
28:01
a marine that we put on crisis in in
28:03
he will dream. You. Guys are
28:05
these kids are hard as nails and
28:08
frankly to me there the next greatest
28:10
generation. And. They're going to do. They're going to
28:12
try to accomplish whatever mission we get them. Because. They're
28:14
as good as a ever been in. They're probably gonna
28:16
be even better in the future. So. We.
28:18
Don't have a deficit. Of.
28:20
Quality. For. A deficit
28:22
and capability of the United States
28:25
Marine Today. The. Question becomes how
28:27
we made all the right strategic
28:29
decisions. On the right, right. Nature
28:31
of the Corso at best fulfills
28:33
are inherent responsibility. To. Be the
28:35
nation's expeditionary force and readiness. He had
28:38
only just with trying paper new listeners
28:40
and it on my permission but I
28:42
i I just want to make popcorn
28:44
Tara have you made an important moments
28:46
and find him to death? These these
28:49
youngsters are getting our or is to
28:51
moon. Compared. To the train
28:53
on that.is is is pretty damn good
28:55
and very good about it. I hit
28:57
it. it is as we say in
28:59
the core as you would remember. These.
29:01
Young greens are as hard as woodpecker. lips. A
29:04
single ethnic Ls by want a woman
29:07
a lot trained the adults I'm trying
29:09
to a lesson and it London mayor
29:11
was always actively trying. Party aren't another
29:13
least on recently ours would Akron Zips.
29:16
Acid? Yeah. This
29:18
is an awful difficult transition from a
29:20
general that I was. Point. Out
29:22
that among we are many many
29:24
achievements. was it about a decade
29:26
ago you drafted for President Obama.
29:29
The. Architecture for and he
29:31
possible Israeli building in.
29:34
A. Court. And. I'll
29:36
as we get further from that do
29:38
we get further from their possibilities of
29:40
even more remote. With. The
29:42
October Seven Hamas terrorism attack
29:45
and massive. Israeli response. or
29:47
as some smart years or observers like the
29:49
New York to suggest, maybe this could provide
29:52
an opening. Well
29:54
we have an opening I think you the. Know.
29:56
That the question is does this
29:58
moment. Created an opening
30:01
in the context of the larger
30:03
commitment to a two state outcome.
30:06
Vs to your question whether of
30:08
the reality. Of achieving that
30:11
moment, it is possible and I
30:13
think those are. Two.
30:15
Different things. This
30:17
administration as did the Obama
30:19
administration. And. I was really honoured.
30:22
Frankly, in this Is Nadia advertisement I
30:24
was really honored to have the opportunity
30:26
twice. once as a serving officer, the
30:28
free star deputy it's and com and
30:30
and later working directly for John Kerry
30:33
twice to spend months and months in
30:35
the in the Middle East and in
30:37
the West Bank. Working to
30:39
engineer that this to state outcome. But.
30:43
The reality is several full. Turns.
30:48
Out the baby was never. Committed. To
30:51
supporting the U S objective of a
30:53
two state after. And
30:56
that the problem with that the was that
30:58
while we had. In. Some
31:00
respects a verbal.
31:03
Commitment. To support a
31:05
America's effort. To. Work with
31:07
the Israelis and Palestinians who create this
31:09
to state outcome. Of the reality
31:12
was that that they were never committed to. And
31:15
one of the most difficult aspects of this
31:17
l While we all want it, At
31:19
while we all I think intellectually
31:22
understand the necessity for it and
31:24
make a point here the necessity
31:26
of a to stay outcome I
31:28
think goes. Directly
31:30
to the long term strategic
31:32
viability of the Jewish democracy.
31:35
The. Long term viability of Israel.
31:38
Is tied in my mind irrevocably.
31:41
To. Elevate the A. Legitimate
31:44
to stay doctor. And
31:46
I lied. I will never fall away from that. Because.
31:50
The Jewish Democracy Israel.
31:53
Living. Next to a sovereign. Independent.
31:57
Non hostile Palestinians.
32:00
The. Is. The only way both of
32:02
those people can go forward together. Now.
32:04
The reality, of course, is that. On
32:07
the west bank. The. Illegal
32:09
Jewish settler communities. That
32:12
have put roots down all over the West bank.
32:15
And when you consider the presence of
32:18
the. And. The increased construction
32:20
of the separation walls. It
32:23
makes it very difficult to
32:25
envisage. A contiguous Palestinian
32:27
state on the West Bank. And
32:31
and even during the height of our work,
32:33
you know you talked about the architecture that
32:35
we bill. even during the height of that
32:37
work. We.
32:40
Did. Not consider. The
32:43
Gaza Strip at that particular moment Because
32:45
of from tend to purposes, it was
32:48
a Hamas dominated black box we couldn't
32:50
see into. That. It
32:52
was impervious. To our efforts
32:54
to work with the Palestinians And the Israelis for
32:56
some kind of an outcome. So it was really
32:58
off the table. But
33:00
on the West Bank. We
33:03
went. Of. Very far. Distance
33:06
down the road towards having a
33:08
viable security plan that could then
33:10
support. The. Political and Diplomatic
33:13
Resolution or what are known as
33:15
the Final Status Issues. That.
33:17
Would give the Israelis and Palestinians
33:19
with American support and international. Support.
33:22
And to a lesser extent. Give. Us
33:24
all the confidence that this was
33:26
a possibility. I. Think it's
33:28
a it's going to be a very distant
33:30
possibility going forward. The
33:33
Palestinian Authority has been stopped on
33:35
very hard. Since the
33:37
some of October on the West Bank and
33:40
when people talk about. What?
33:42
Lily Post Conflict Security.
33:45
Environment looked like in Gaza.
33:49
There are folks who very quickly point
33:51
to. The likelihood that
33:53
that the Palestinian Authority will pick that up.
33:55
Well. And they never wanted to pick it
33:58
up to begin with and remember from us. Is.
34:00
A very different outfit than the than the
34:02
pillow was on the West Bank. You'll recall
34:05
when Com Os was was elected democratically to
34:07
to leave the West Bank, they took the
34:09
Philo leadership to the top of the highest
34:11
building on Gaza and threw them off. So.
34:15
There was no love lost between the
34:17
two and the idea that the Palestinian
34:20
Authority elements. On
34:22
the West Bank could somehow now
34:24
reinvigorate a Palestinian. Security
34:27
entity. For
34:29
the control of the West Bank
34:31
or on of Gaza Strip, on
34:33
top of which them would become
34:35
some form of a post conflict
34:37
Palestinian political outcome. Is very
34:39
hard for me to see. The L
34:41
a piece of this is that. That
34:43
some us is exists within
34:46
a resistance narrative. Hamas
34:48
and Hezbollah. Or. Resistance
34:50
entities. To. The existence of
34:52
Israel. And if
34:55
we think that somehow. As
34:57
a result of this campaign and Gaza
34:59
that resistance narrative has been diminished, one
35:01
with. We. Need to reconsider that
35:03
consideration. Because. I think them. Now
35:05
with that the casualties and the destruction.
35:08
Of the the sense that the
35:11
of a. Of
35:13
anti semitism that has tragically exploded around
35:15
the world, were suffering through it, right
35:17
down. United States. Another wave of it,
35:19
and we think that that resistance narrative
35:21
has been reduced one bit. As
35:23
a result of this campaign and whether this
35:25
campaign will eliminate com os. And. The
35:28
I'll Qassam Brigades. As a. Physical.
35:31
Threat to Israel. Where.
35:33
We just need to reconsider those those assumptions.
35:36
Sorry. go on some. Of. Us As
35:39
a sense of now it's as a pressing
35:41
the very realistic both I'm it is for
35:43
your expertise himself and so pervasive. Let me
35:45
try one more chance and traffic to you
35:47
our luck with the crisis in Ukraine and
35:50
guys and biggest most powerful. Country. In
35:52
a world we have a national election. Or
35:54
they'll be a lotta rhetoric on China. What
35:56
would you hope? We. Would be addressing
35:58
what are you fear? We. Could be
36:01
addressing the my cause more problems. Will
36:04
China is really fundamentally different and so
36:06
many ways. and just the last few
36:08
years because of now. Cheating.
36:10
Paying and a third. Third,
36:13
Term. You
36:16
know one who's intel was the president premiere before
36:18
him as young as a man and others. You
36:21
know, they would serve maybe two
36:23
terms, the sense of collective Chinese
36:26
leadership. Was. Was
36:28
largely understandable. It was deliberate.
36:31
it was. Something
36:34
with which the United States could find.
36:37
The capacity to have an eye on. We've.
36:40
Now seen, the shooting thing has
36:43
accumulated more power unto himself than
36:45
any other Chinese leader except mouser.
36:47
don't. And. Perhaps even more because
36:50
mounted on never as a nuclear arsenal,
36:52
which by the way, they're expanding dramatically.
36:55
And we've also seen a shrinkage and
36:57
the system of government at the Chinese.
37:00
Have for have traditionally.
37:02
Have. Benefited from instead of having a
37:05
collective leadership. Which. Is what
37:07
the Soviet system was as well. Replaced
37:09
now by Vladimir Putin and the Chinese
37:11
system of leadership which was a collective
37:13
leadership. We now have solitary
37:16
leadership in both of those countries, with
37:18
she clearly dominating. The.
37:20
Decision making. Up, But he's
37:22
also got a lot of problems in China that
37:24
are. Really significant
37:26
for him to have to deal with
37:29
our some very significant demographic problems. As
37:31
on economic issues he has to face. The.
37:36
His his capacity to expand
37:38
Chinese influence. Of
37:41
as men are certainly less than
37:43
he had anticipated. Them.
37:46
And the United States both of and
37:48
the Trump Administration before that but the
37:50
Trump administration particular in the by demonstration
37:52
of held a Chinese to account on
37:54
a train issues. So. I
37:56
I think that the. Look.
37:58
My personal view. Is. That. We.
38:01
Must find a way in the Twenty first century.
38:04
For the United States and China to be fellow
38:06
travellers and the Central. But. We
38:08
have to be realistic about where our values
38:10
are, where the Chinese values are, and how
38:12
we can. Find. A way
38:15
to. Coordinate.
38:17
Perhaps. Cooperate with the Chinese,
38:19
but hold them accountable for
38:22
those dimensions of trade imbalance.
38:24
For. Their violation of human rights, The.
38:27
The teams that we have seen and democracy
38:29
of Hong Kong the potential threat to Taiwan
38:31
or them accountable for that. And. Not
38:33
stray from our values going forward. And.
38:35
Yes, there will be a lot of
38:37
rhetoric there always is. and these these
38:39
campaigns that will attempt to vilify the
38:41
Chinese. And. The one thing that. That
38:44
that. I think I know a little
38:46
bit about. Is. That when.
38:49
Relations. Between States are
38:51
founded and largely defined by
38:53
confrontation. The.
38:55
Distant from confrontation, the conflict is
38:57
a very short. Very. Slippery
39:00
Slope. And. And
39:02
I do know personally. That. When you
39:04
draw first blood. Walking. Back
39:06
from that moment. For. To great
39:08
states when when blood has been drawn and
39:11
James talked about the South China Sea that
39:13
perhaps as one of the most unstable. Situations.
39:16
Where are too great countries?
39:19
Could. See first blood be drawn. Stepping.
39:21
Back from that moment will be
39:24
very difficult. So. We've got
39:26
to manage the rhetoric. And
39:28
while we should hold the key Chinese
39:30
accountable for trade imbalances and Ip theft,
39:34
And how they may ultimately use a
39:36
i know for good but the on
39:38
to are different. We
39:40
also have to recognize are not going anywhere. And
39:43
we're going up to find a way as we did with
39:46
the soviets during the worst part of the cold war where
39:48
we couldn't talk with him and have of the they have.
39:51
A means of a of coexistence. I think
39:54
we need to have the the willingness to
39:56
talk to the Chinese going for all accountable.
39:58
But. Be able to talk with them going forward, not
40:00
let live. The really
40:02
vitriolic conversation about the
40:04
Chinese. A blood out. The Potential
40:07
for us to still have a conversation with. Some
40:13
general. A are highly
40:15
educated sign thoughtful general officer
40:17
at bag of them are
40:19
Korean. War. We thought we did
40:21
something Israel in the late nineties with
40:23
a hood Brock and you know in
40:26
the implant man in the new came
40:28
in at Friday bit are roughly it's
40:30
all going end up is it ever
40:32
stops in the same place others in
40:34
Colombia. We'd won a Nobel prize in
40:36
out of the. Resolve the
40:38
conflict with a fork. Of course we
40:40
did no such thing. It's still raging
40:42
down their job, worked in Afghanistan and
40:45
d d you know, It in.
40:48
Your we after friend referred said it
40:50
is good that war is so terrible
40:52
over grow to love it so much
40:55
try to put in the content of
40:57
the human attraction for was. What?
41:00
Keeps dragging us when we seek
41:02
to escape. We get dragged back
41:04
in. cities shift and it's everywhere
41:07
in a while now. And what
41:09
is that? What? What is it
41:11
and draws human beings Says god
41:14
awful thing. Will
41:16
let me be the question of the century. To
41:21
as he says right on Youtube General in The Hinterlands
41:23
and As As An. Entire
41:25
show that stamps and yeah, Madam
41:28
Diplomacy is hard. Diplomacy.
41:30
Is always hard because for
41:32
diplomacy to be successful. One.
41:36
Or both sides needs to be
41:38
willing to accept risk. And.
41:40
Be willing to accept it to him to
41:42
be vulnerable in the face of a potential
41:45
opponent or maybe even an enemy. And.
41:47
So for many. Countries
41:49
in the world or for many of
41:52
the antagonists the proposed to the. Leaders.
41:54
Of countries. Rather, Than be
41:56
willing. To. Assume
41:59
some level. Grass weather than to be
42:01
willing to. Politically paint
42:03
themselves by trusting an opponent or
42:05
an enemy. They. Go to
42:08
the first next easiest solution.
42:10
In so many of these cases which is
42:12
the employment of security forces. To
42:14
oppress the population. And.
42:16
The employment of military forces to
42:19
secure their borders or to conduct
42:21
aggressive war. So in
42:23
many respects. It's. Often easier
42:25
to employ security or military forces
42:27
than it is to engage in
42:29
the much harder. A
42:32
process of constructive diplomacy.
42:34
Were that. Hours Multiple states
42:37
or bilateral engagements can find a
42:39
way to move forward developing trust
42:41
except that there will be a
42:43
vulnerability in the process of this
42:45
trust and not have. The.
42:48
Military solution being the first button
42:50
pushed. In. The Relations between
42:52
states and I think this. That's.
42:55
One of the problems you know the i stayed sad at
42:57
the top. Of a global
42:59
system. Which for
43:01
many, many years emphasized
43:03
diplomacy. But as
43:06
we have begun to withdraw
43:08
in our presence. Around
43:10
the world as our own diplomacy
43:12
has suffered, we seen the rise
43:14
of strongman. They're always
43:17
strongman. We always we seen the rise a
43:19
strong man. We have seen artery interstates gather
43:21
more. Our. And. When they do
43:23
and they are unconstrained and not held to
43:25
account. What
43:27
they'll do frequently as to avoid that
43:30
force which is. Best
43:32
suited to accomplishing their objectives, which
43:34
is security forces and military forces.
43:36
And I think James, That's exactly
43:38
the reason that we're seeing this
43:40
now, the World Order which ultimately.
43:44
Issued the idea of the use
43:46
of military forces the first. Option.
43:49
In the Intercourse of states in
43:51
the world. That. So that
43:53
system has begun to break down. And
43:55
it makes it much easier now for states
43:57
to use military force on each other. The
44:00
on their people and not be held
44:02
to account fourth or that that I'm
44:04
very satisfactory answer for my answers about
44:06
that he would be intimate with me
44:08
Juri as a sort of and em
44:10
comin' be openness and reading about war
44:12
one and redone pulled. It
44:15
out the sleepwalking into it in
44:17
you know most of history had
44:19
really big and bad evil people
44:21
it Stalin and weird Hitler we
44:23
had tojo and was struck me
44:25
as i started thinking about is
44:27
none of these people were particularly
44:29
bad. People in a bow had
44:31
to combat acquainted and monarchs and
44:33
but for yourselves of wasn't you
44:35
know and and realm of sad
44:37
that people was all was not
44:39
horrible. The kaiser was worse than
44:41
most but about the you'd be
44:43
on antibodies top ten. Lists the
44:45
British Wilson was it's In which
44:48
has lapsed into this.damn thing. I
44:51
mean, I understand how we got him to World War
44:53
Two. But. A
44:55
Just what scares me
44:57
is unpalatable. people wouldn't
44:59
western Stella talent. Have
45:02
a different position of block which
45:04
as a buttresses exactly Would you
45:06
said it's too easy. Solutions List:
45:09
Just go in Hamburg dumb and
45:11
kill a million fucking people. That
45:13
the great idea. Well.
45:20
There. Were. Trying to remember
45:22
the name of the battle. Now I'm
45:24
having an outside moment here, but the
45:26
summit row. Trying to think of myself
45:28
over a million of course killed at
45:30
least twenty million. Secret your own everyone.
45:33
When everyone says down. To.
45:35
Celebrate Christmas in December of twenty
45:37
of nineteen thirteen when I sat
45:39
down to celebrate Christmas. December.
45:41
Nineteen Thirty. They would not have imagined that. For.
45:44
Years later, less than four years later,
45:47
Europe would be in shambles and twenty
45:49
million people would be done. To
45:52
your voice. And I think
45:54
that as because more in that
45:56
period of time was an alternative
45:58
to the poem. The. And.
46:01
Because national honor had to
46:03
be. Fulfilled and
46:05
ultimately be secured by this the
46:08
strength of arms rather than the
46:10
softness of diplomacy that was the
46:12
first resort of that sequence of
46:15
events of that the the guns
46:17
of August so well for trade
46:19
and we've gotta be very careful
46:21
about the sleepwalking into another crisis
46:24
like this with the consequences of
46:26
course are much higher with nuclear
46:28
arsenals and playing for thank you
46:31
so much Allied at a discount
46:33
Diablo noting does this. Conversation was
46:35
I know hours plus as well and
46:37
I always love talking to you. Have
46:39
the great marine grayling Earth I honor
46:42
they say thank you very much. Make.
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47:01
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Now for the outrage. Said Republicans
49:37
plan to win back the majority by
49:39
picky rich guys who could spend a
49:41
lot of money were no experience or
49:43
or baggage. And was Carson.
49:46
It's a wealthy baggy, a
49:48
secularist, Eric of the. Business
49:51
and rhetorical records. Including
49:53
his assertion when his bank
49:55
owned a senior assisted living
49:57
facility. That quote. Almost.
50:00
Nobody in a nursing home is a
50:02
points to both. And quote after
50:05
all he noted they only have five to
50:07
six months to live with. Bags is a
50:09
code of Benson and Elder Abuse wrongful Death
50:11
case. You. Know James, you and I could have
50:13
a field day with his but I have someone better. To.
50:16
Criticize that assertion as deeply offensive
50:18
and for and and wrong. If.
50:22
Is hop about. List would be
50:24
Kareem Abdul Jabbar, the great basketball
50:26
player who started his pro career
50:28
and Milwaukee, Wisconsin. And. Is one
50:30
of America's more thoughtful citizens. Talking.
50:33
About Mister Hope these com and he
50:35
says quote was troubling. Here is his
50:37
desire. To take away the
50:40
rights of people who spend a
50:42
lifetime contributing to this country. Based.
50:44
On a physical Attributes. A.
50:48
Hoover. Hubert Humphrey said one of the
50:50
moral test. Of our society is how
50:52
we treat people in the twilight. Of.
50:54
Their lives. Candidate. Have
50:56
the has blond bed test. lot
50:58
of good pointed at some point
51:00
and you know they they got
51:02
this guy day or and I
51:04
got to guide the Pennsylvania Mccormick
51:06
of course it turned out his
51:08
knees and like waves. try and
51:10
tell everybody was the same thing
51:12
which is gotta gotta see in
51:14
in Montana. And look for
51:16
water at a price of crude. Said Turned
51:18
out to not be able to get a
51:21
curveball say lease but. She's
51:23
she's story shower or what are you shot
51:25
himself for? Somebody shot him again look like
51:27
have you got shot you will remember who
51:30
shot. And
51:32
where it happened because it's the best
51:34
kind of I'm why faltering he meant
51:36
to to get shot but. Of
51:39
our our willingness to see him dig
51:42
himself, borrowed and home, I am. I'm
51:44
I'm I'm in Paris and I get
51:46
to be our times of international editions.
51:48
And is this some people realize is
51:50
that you know that they're good good
51:53
people. And you
51:55
get the Norm and Rita I'm an even better
51:57
than you thought Mary Sue in. I would put
51:59
our mutual. Long yard and now. It.
52:02
In a guy want to really pay tribute
52:04
to his Nicholas Christakis. In the
52:06
debates and an international edition I'm know
52:09
how many words as was. I and
52:11
I don't have the actual times hard
52:13
copy when I came bleed that would
52:15
give anybody that much space but aim
52:17
he made some a T Tr agree
52:19
with all of it. But
52:22
he made some really really
52:25
a thought. Person. Observations
52:27
about the Us and President Biden
52:29
and what's going on and Gaza
52:31
is is it it it it's
52:33
done this stuff of the look
52:36
it was happening on his campuses
52:38
down as think this is gone
52:40
away at a disease and really.
52:42
Different called intractable problem.
52:47
That sprinkling on Nov well White
52:49
House but our I would recommend
52:51
that anybody read next piece because
52:53
as bad as I think it
52:56
was written Talentless. A talented writer
52:58
and I think he had some.
53:00
Some. Critical things to say. It will need to
53:02
conserve. I agree.
53:04
I think they ran almost well. They
53:07
ran huge block and the in the
53:09
paper built with. Boy must
53:11
be was frickin are you know
53:13
I as more of a long
53:15
this ceases obscene and it's like
53:17
I'm It's like two pages and
53:19
you noted nin if they did
53:21
must my bag give the times
53:24
did people will have a lot
53:26
of credit because I made nick
53:28
said some things. That.
53:31
People need to hear, need to consider is
53:33
as we go forward and. Did
53:46
you write with three days? But. We
53:49
know southern Alps he bambee or and
53:51
in Paris be don't lose at a
53:53
museum d r say you don't have
53:55
the bus. It's all about blight. Okay,
53:58
everything and. Photography and
54:01
wife is about white my life
54:03
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54:05
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54:10
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54:12
the technology and the debris. A
54:15
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54:21
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54:23
Whatever it is you're in control
54:25
of one or the great things
54:27
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and are show Notes:
57:18
I now James for our listener
57:20
questions. And. Are we really do
57:22
have a thing for our listeners. They are
57:24
so good they are so smart there so
57:26
challenging gym and started New Jersey was asked
57:29
you out had a. Political. Strategists
57:31
concerns look at the margin of error
57:33
and a bowl. Of hundred
57:35
three percent margin of error can make
57:37
a world of difference and how you
57:40
interpret the results well. Problem in get
57:42
a little or came here because a
57:44
question lot people have some when you
57:46
say to them the era. Back
57:49
to the margin of error is plus
57:51
or minus three. Understand that the cop
57:53
says six. But
57:55
one. That that cannot.
57:59
Stand. Going. The be to hearts
58:01
on Bob Seger are any any of
58:03
these guys would tell you? it's the
58:05
problem builds a job Bows Plus or
58:08
minus one. Is actually
58:10
substantially better than it. Balls plus
58:12
a man story. Is.
58:14
So let me in. Different polls
58:16
have different methodology, some about are
58:18
some of that taken, some tend
58:20
to be midday and what our
58:23
finances as you aggregate it in
58:25
a word and gotta things as
58:27
happen. To. Me in
58:29
modern campaign coverage is.
58:32
How aggregation we used to do and Ninety
58:34
Two, but we did it on our own.
58:36
But I think these are more that the
58:38
trend lines over a period of time. Where.
58:41
You back gate a bunch of polls in
58:43
Vr could tell you didn't go to need
58:45
Selwyn which ones have been most accurate but
58:48
sometime this he has always not as accurate
58:50
as Splashes Bows added actors next year spoke.
58:53
About kids are you? But but. I
58:56
have found one of the
58:58
more. I'll say annoying.
59:00
One of the great misconceptions. his tone is
59:02
for com not very good I don't have
59:04
the power is any darrow worst and eight
59:06
it was it and turn into century be
59:08
honest with ya thing is. I
59:11
think I'm more or less been pretty
59:13
instructed. It can get it down to.
59:17
A half a percentage point but safety protocols
59:19
and they were not bad way it will
59:21
not wrong and twenty twenty two people just
59:23
and read I'm. I think the problem
59:25
is not dead people. Read to Poland and only
59:27
read enough. Oh so by enough attention. Don't. Have
59:30
said. That the contrary. And do
59:32
they under no you're right. They
59:34
underestimated fines vote margin by a
59:36
little bit and twenty twenty but
59:39
got a basement be right. Actually
59:41
right. I mean Hillary did. when
59:43
the L they have any in
59:45
a van I agree L and
59:48
Atlanta by a carrier. Expectations can
59:50
be precision. you just gotta be
59:52
make you know around a thing.
59:55
And I'm a distinct the pollen
59:57
industry. Is overly
59:59
try but no one I'm like getting
1:00:01
good bad descending the institution. Appalling A
1:00:03
did it for supposed to take offense
1:00:05
at it out. I'm a to live
1:00:07
as out of and are unable. I
1:00:11
moved around. Show courage or show
1:00:13
courage and go there Al and
1:00:16
Atlanta Georgia. I'm gonna answer our
1:00:18
questions. Why? Don't the
1:00:20
Democrats betray Leonard Leo was spinning.
1:00:22
Your. Sorrows out to be or solar you
1:00:25
little bit defensive? Your shows you may not
1:00:27
like some of the people he contributes to.
1:00:30
Be. Sent off lot of good amit and off lot of good
1:00:32
and trying to. You. Know further, democracy and
1:00:34
these you're you're a bigot attack for that. That's
1:00:36
the reason. That. Awful
1:00:38
Dictator Viktor Orban hates him. He
1:00:40
seemed so much. So. I'll
1:00:42
let I think is or. He's.
1:00:46
A day he advocates mean
1:00:48
policies. And. He finds them any
1:00:51
funds. I'm tremendously and I think. Democrats
1:00:53
probably could do a better job.
1:00:55
Of talking about the role that leonard we have
1:00:58
a if if Trump's. Is. Like
1:01:00
a letter, Leo has the total.
1:01:02
Charge. To pick all the judges.
1:01:05
Basically any judge he was. That's
1:01:07
pretty big deal. like Democrat? Bravo to talk about
1:01:09
a more. Want. A
1:01:12
different thing to said. he also has one
1:01:14
point six million dollars. He also controls the
1:01:16
supreme Court made with the modular. let's look
1:01:18
it what it you know got. My favorite
1:01:20
is Justice Alito. Went on a fishing trip
1:01:22
an Alaskan it's well it was just as
1:01:24
extra seat on the G five with they
1:01:27
are you want Me to Do It I
1:01:29
was a shocker there. was elected to see.
1:01:32
Gambler. What? What about bridges and Dulles
1:01:34
airport? I was hanging out and in
1:01:36
somebody says hey man we got ecstasy
1:01:39
here on is in jeopardy The also
1:01:41
fucking corrupt. And of
1:01:43
course he said day
1:01:45
head of the entire
1:01:47
corruption of the entire
1:01:49
deal. And.
1:01:52
I don't know what when people
1:01:54
are going to be able to
1:01:56
wake up. To the
1:01:58
massive corruption that exists. Not
1:02:01
not as I think most
1:02:03
day in day out federalism
1:02:05
judges a passing by and
1:02:07
large they're different parties. him.
1:02:09
From. From ninety percent, I'm
1:02:12
hardworking people from below West
1:02:14
Georgia power cord level. It's
1:02:16
totally true. At the
1:02:18
supreme court level. And
1:02:21
at this guy has this inordinate
1:02:23
power. In.
1:02:25
What's gonna happen? In. We want
1:02:27
to get. Cast: And Stewart only
1:02:29
show because it's Trump wins
1:02:32
which is a distinct possibility.
1:02:34
Or eight he will turn
1:02:36
over the Justice Department in
1:02:38
a Federal judiciary. To. Win!
1:02:40
Ugly up. In. That will
1:02:42
mean but one thing to
1:02:44
disown Christian Nation is crazy
1:02:47
s right wing. Blue
1:02:52
Sea. Not grounded
1:02:54
in theology. Not a view.
1:02:57
Move Move will take over and
1:03:00
I says governments and we are
1:03:02
closer to be on a theocracy
1:03:04
did anybody can imagine. And
1:03:06
you cannot warn people and
1:03:08
I are you know go
1:03:10
read church Miller named. Tanya.
1:03:14
I. Get the yeah Tonya and Carlsbad
1:03:16
Calif says regarding the com Sec act
1:03:18
we love the Cubs Deck act a
1:03:21
week. If it can be used to
1:03:23
hot the sale of as a first
1:03:25
down by mail also be used to
1:03:27
stop the sales of erectile dysfunction products
1:03:30
wouldn't that be be end of it.
1:03:32
Saves. Pretty good question for girls.
1:03:35
Bad: Smell football cause.
1:03:38
Is where at the north
1:03:40
gate to tamp down to
1:03:42
the Us Soccer Carlsbad well
1:03:44
as in Knots. A is
1:03:46
it not ethics? In northern Northern, most are both
1:03:49
of San Diego County. but dad a good question
1:03:51
in your gumbo. Good part of the world. You.
1:03:54
Have an answer I'll say to gonna
1:03:56
go Adelson Gonna go after I found
1:03:58
Assumptions. Okay, I don't know. The wording on
1:04:00
a client Leo would do that. I wouldn't put it past
1:04:02
him. But a. Mouse.
1:04:07
Or and I don't think that that
1:04:09
the a lot of these sexy own
1:04:11
judges are very big to get rid
1:04:13
of. I agree. I'm just I'm gonna
1:04:16
lemole nets I guess. A good point.
1:04:18
The next question is from Bill and
1:04:20
Houston Texas Am going to Houston Texas
1:04:22
is weak see of my dear friend.
1:04:25
Bill. Campbell who I have been friends with
1:04:27
for seventy years. So this is not the
1:04:29
same bill, but he asked. James.
1:04:32
Suppose the race. As or
1:04:34
says to me I guess is close
1:04:36
in September and Trump insisted Rfk Junior
1:04:38
be included a the debates I should
1:04:41
biden response. Ah, First
1:04:43
of all, I don't. I think is unlikely was
1:04:45
going to be a debate. But. In
1:04:47
any event in a we we go back and
1:04:49
forth and Rfk James I think more like be
1:04:51
it may be hurt and trump more than that.
1:04:54
Biden. There's some evidence of that. I'm still
1:04:56
more of the he hurts biden more. What
1:04:59
we need to find out is what happens
1:05:01
to ten percent now. Ill
1:05:04
will he be at five percent in
1:05:06
October. And where will that five percent
1:05:08
come from? But. I you know your
1:05:10
bill. I don't think there's gonna be a debate on
1:05:12
they are of case. Well
1:05:15
as I eat out of nowhere may not
1:05:17
him to say. That. He
1:05:19
may hurt trump morning by and but
1:05:22
I don't have any a marked man
1:05:24
my reasoning is us and our think
1:05:26
the weird because he's very weird got
1:05:28
in the way to the democrats in
1:05:31
is just makes him into crazy and
1:05:33
weird. Because. Or
1:05:36
this is our give me Margaret. There's
1:05:38
a pool voters and I cannot tell
1:05:40
you would percent the on knows more
1:05:42
than two percent, probably less than twenty,
1:05:44
but there's some. There's a lot arranged
1:05:46
data just of the fuck the whole
1:05:48
thing mentality. God damn it. I hate
1:05:50
everything. In. Bugs Not going to get
1:05:53
any of advice. Right
1:05:55
if you just hate the world.
1:05:57
If you're and in south if
1:05:59
you pay. Taylor Swift and
1:06:01
you Hate. The
1:06:04
entire world. He
1:06:07
are things that are as
1:06:09
case luminous. Is
1:06:11
actually attractive to you in some
1:06:13
way but I may have a
1:06:15
is Elena I think that we
1:06:17
think is we where the old.
1:06:20
That the Kennedy name whole some
1:06:22
magical sway. A main.
1:06:25
Sub. Two thirds of democrats or know
1:06:27
when Kennedy was. It was
1:06:29
hard for us. To.
1:06:31
Com for him That but there I
1:06:34
get Roman. Him. Would
1:06:36
good into Kennedy name do Joe Kennedy
1:06:38
of Massachusetts in a don't Hide primary.
1:06:41
So. I bought by a Cut Dogs.
1:06:43
I'm do I say I notice a
1:06:45
bird com phenomenon not. But
1:06:48
as a decrease in this is a
1:06:50
more attractive thing to hims yeah I
1:06:52
said I He kissed the a few
1:06:54
most. You know he
1:06:56
abusive in there and there and and aca.
1:06:59
Right and are probably the issue of their
1:07:01
some ways of. James.
1:07:04
John in Chicago, Illinois. Said.
1:07:06
You projected to President Biden them. Issue
1:07:09
you said is not get support from
1:07:11
black voters that he needs. Do
1:07:14
you think I guess you can dress epic
1:07:16
inversely or trump lose some of the single
1:07:18
issue voters that he needs to win back.
1:07:20
The. Presence. John. I'm quite sure
1:07:22
which single issue voters you're talking about. But.
1:07:25
I think he's more likely to lose a. Small.
1:07:27
Band of Haley voters. But James you take
1:07:30
that? Does
1:07:33
it is a question that are
1:07:35
race? Who's were someone Raspyni put
1:07:37
it in Bergen? Biden is not
1:07:39
going to replicate his Twenty Twenty
1:07:41
coalition. Which. Was seventeen
1:07:43
percent. Share. Of under
1:07:46
thirty, any got sixty two percent of
1:07:48
Under Thirty Rock. The bike share was
1:07:50
twelve. Any got
1:07:52
ninety? Percent maybe
1:07:55
ninety percent in change of the
1:07:57
backbone he's not going to replicate.
1:08:00
I don't think our a these two are much worse
1:08:02
than that now. A
1:08:04
suspect. It's a reasonable bleed to
1:08:06
believe that some of that will
1:08:09
come back, But the what's really
1:08:11
Happening years? he's over performing in
1:08:13
over sixty five. And
1:08:15
he's probably got our own perform with
1:08:17
white voters. So.
1:08:20
The. Coalition's.
1:08:23
That they change over a period of time.
1:08:26
And. Similar coalitions that we saw
1:08:28
in two thousand made going forward turned
1:08:30
out to be not exactly. First.
1:08:34
Year. And. Are
1:08:36
at nothing to question is right on the
1:08:38
money. And I'm skeptical that
1:08:40
the president can replicate his twenty
1:08:42
twenty coalition and numbers would under
1:08:45
thirty and black board and do
1:08:47
see he gonna do it seems
1:08:49
to be on track to do
1:08:51
that. I'm went over sixty five
1:08:53
in seem to be on track
1:08:55
to do better. would would ride
1:08:57
voters but I would caution everybody
1:08:59
we have a big the pawnee
1:09:02
does it in half think it's
1:09:04
trump is have this vulnerability that.
1:09:06
The question is if a go
1:09:08
ask you something who you would
1:09:10
you go after Trump? the Republican
1:09:12
Party. It. As
1:09:15
a good said, easy a choice. I think
1:09:17
there's something to be said for far. Too,
1:09:20
the Republican brand doesn't really stand
1:09:22
for anything anymore. And
1:09:25
I think we have a golden opportunity
1:09:27
here to to really do significant damage
1:09:29
or above the branch. but I have
1:09:31
to tell you and read or out
1:09:33
oppose a long period of time. In
1:09:36
one of the thanks is hapless disturbing. Is.
1:09:39
Democrats would have a five
1:09:41
point advantage on party Id
1:09:43
self the spot close to
1:09:46
been impressive voters. And
1:09:48
Orthodox is bonkers. Yes, that is
1:09:50
dissipate. It's now fifty fifty.
1:09:53
Air and I think the democrats have day
1:09:55
not just or after Trump but have to
1:09:57
go after the whole republican. Brian. Wally.
1:10:01
And Calistoga, California says Truman turn
1:10:03
his campaign from. I'm just mild
1:10:05
about Harry. One I actually was.
1:10:07
I'm just wild about Harry. To
1:10:09
give em hell, harrys it. The
1:10:11
rails. Building Voter enthusiasm. Jack Do
1:10:13
nothing, Congress. Go on the back
1:10:15
in the session and May June
1:10:17
Thirty a stops Oui, mais forty
1:10:20
hours by the vivid degenerate that
1:10:22
kind of enthusiasm. Or civil
1:10:24
or wally I gotta say a
1:10:26
as your by example make two
1:10:28
hundred thirty eight stops he just
1:10:30
and not innings. And the way
1:10:32
he is going to generate enthusiasm is one
1:10:34
way. Go. Annulled Trump and return to
1:10:36
the chaos B or C. E
1:10:41
S. Is eager. make
1:10:43
twenty three point a stops and me
1:10:45
go back to conversation. We've had a
1:10:47
new show on very in in good.
1:10:49
There's a clutch. The
1:10:51
in the as an asset when
1:10:53
he can do it in. These
1:10:56
always been. Car let
1:10:58
you know is unlimited In
1:11:00
terms of this humanity is
1:11:02
empathy. I think his resume
1:11:04
his experience the what he
1:11:06
is not. Is a
1:11:08
great candidate. A never has met
1:11:10
is not good on the attack. You.
1:11:13
Know he just isn't. So.
1:11:16
They just have to work around it but
1:11:18
knit that they're not going to mail a
1:11:20
new to whistle stop trying to avoid an
1:11:23
animal untarnished around. You know they can do.
1:11:26
Some. Things better. Than
1:11:28
good in there's a limit as to what take
1:11:31
an accomplice but way trump is not as great
1:11:33
as at either. So as. You
1:11:36
know that let's understand what we say, what we
1:11:38
face. Where do you want to continue? which at
1:11:40
the diary want go back to a job for
1:11:42
years ago is pretty clear. that
1:11:44
we want to continue have today, but this
1:11:47
is not going to be an inspirational campaign
1:11:49
at all. John
1:11:51
in Sonoma, California. Last question
1:11:53
says his Trump. As
1:11:56
the same for white evangelical christians,
1:11:58
obviously he's guilty, but of. And
1:12:00
be willing to the end. Well.
1:12:05
As hour ago I guess it.
1:12:07
I've seen a lot of pushback
1:12:09
on what exactly is a white
1:12:11
evangelical christian. And. It
1:12:13
seems to me it to predict
1:12:15
what was happening is the self
1:12:18
described. Would. Allow
1:12:20
they didn't practice christianity I'd have
1:12:22
been been said that that some
1:12:24
a person's own I did trump
1:12:26
let me to post on christian
1:12:28
person on that one piece clearly
1:12:30
of him for good Catholic education
1:12:32
Peers to most. On Catholic
1:12:34
human being that you could imagine.
1:12:37
And. In everything is in
1:12:39
the magisterium to church but.
1:12:42
As a day in and we talked about doing
1:12:44
isn't that outweigh able to do it. With
1:12:47
with. The
1:12:49
The. Institutional. Church church
1:12:51
attendance everything is is going
1:12:54
down around the country and
1:12:56
was less is. It.
1:12:58
Is completely I think anti christian
1:13:00
but that's just where we are
1:13:02
and other scientists have a real
1:13:05
crisis and in all across Christianity
1:13:07
today and you know like everything
1:13:09
else trump expose a lot of
1:13:11
the lot a rotten American? Yeah
1:13:13
and if you want to really
1:13:15
find out about what motivates as
1:13:17
evangelical christians reached him out, burn
1:13:19
his book. I was a guest
1:13:21
in this program. he grew up
1:13:23
an evangelical. Families reminisce are really
1:13:25
really believe that book. Keep. Those
1:13:27
keep those questions, Cullen, We didn't get
1:13:29
years this week. will try to get
1:13:31
to it next week. We really appreciate.
1:13:37
A. Tax, Felicien Politics warmer, James Carville
1:13:39
and our mail has Don't forget
1:13:41
to send your question for us
1:13:43
by email to politics were well
1:13:45
much you mail.com or tweet them
1:13:47
for next week's show. Athletic type
1:13:49
of all in this episode with
1:13:51
appreciate if you check out the
1:13:53
like stores boss, loamy, miracle made
1:13:55
and three day blinds and are
1:13:57
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rough it is with your regular. Season.
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It's that easy to rethink recent
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news release particular valued recently day
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that you to be seen in
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for the little as soon as
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