Episode Transcript
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terms at mintmobile.com To
0:35
former Prime minister's two very
0:37
different proposals for fixing the
0:39
Uk. Welcome
0:44
to Political Fix your essential inside
0:46
A guy to Westminster from the
0:48
Financial Times with me Lucy Fisher.
0:51
Coming up we're going to be talking
0:53
about this week's Ft profiles of to
0:55
form a Uk premiere is Liz Truss
0:57
and Gordon Brown and their diagnoses of
0:59
what's gone wrong in the Uk. But.
1:02
First rushes to Knock has been driving forward
1:04
his own pet policies. He's pushed ahead with
1:07
his flagship plans for a smoke free generation,
1:09
but not without a backlash from his own
1:11
and peace. And. To discuss
1:13
all this, I'm joined in the studio
1:15
by my Ft colleagues Miranda Green hi
1:18
Miranda, Hello Lucy and Steven Bush. How
1:20
Lucy? So.
1:26
Let's. Kick off talking about the
1:28
smoking ban, which has passed it's
1:30
first hurdle in the Commons this
1:32
week, despite opposition from cabinet and
1:34
backbenches, I'm Steven Eve come up
1:36
with some really fascinating statistics on
1:38
just how much the country's change
1:40
when it comes to attitudes towards
1:42
making. Be. Our I'm filled. I'm
1:45
one of those rabbit hole where you're spending
1:47
a lot of time on hands on know,
1:49
why am I doing this So office in
1:51
two thousand and six that was a similarly
1:53
a free vote on banning smoking in public
1:55
and enclosed spaces. Then as now it was
1:57
divisive within the governing party. I'm a conservative.
2:00
party, the two biggest faces of that
2:02
debate in 2006 were Patricia Hewitt, the Health
2:04
Secretary whose baby the policy was, and John
2:06
Reid, her predecessor as Health Secretary and then
2:09
the Home Secretary. And I think
2:11
the striking thing is obviously it
2:13
was a significant rebellion. Well,
2:15
not rebellion, it was a free vote. Slightly weirdly
2:17
in the UK, we include
2:19
public health measures as conscience issues, so seat
2:21
belts, smoking bans, these have all been free
2:23
votes historically. But
2:26
in 2006, 125 conservative
2:29
MPs voted against the ban on smoking
2:31
in enclosed spaces. And at
2:34
that time, that was the vast majority of
2:36
conservative MPs. This time, 57 conservative
2:39
MPs did. And although
2:41
among their number, you have people who
2:44
opposed it last time who are, you
2:46
know, very consistently anti this type of
2:48
measure, people like Adam Afri, Jonathan Jangly,
2:50
ironically, actually, a non conservative MP who's
2:52
voted against it both times is George
2:55
Galloway in his respect guys and his
2:57
workers party GB guys.
2:59
But you also had some conservative MPs
3:01
who, you know, their allies would be
3:03
fairly candid in private about saying it
3:05
was about trying to find a way
3:07
to hurt the Prime Minister. So
3:10
I think really significant things in some ways
3:12
is, you know, the complete
3:14
extinction of the anti ban
3:17
constituency in the Labour Party, and
3:19
its significant reduction in the
3:21
Conservative Party shows just how far the
3:23
political consensus has moved in Westminster. Obviously,
3:26
the British public as a whole loves
3:28
banning things and pretty much always has.
3:31
Miranda, I mean, I was looking at some of the
3:33
statistics, the fact that 64,000 people a year in England
3:38
die from cigarettes still today, even
3:40
though only 12% of
3:42
the population smoke down from Stephen,
3:44
I got this from your inside
3:46
politics newsletter, 82% of men smoking
3:48
at the peak of cigarette mania
3:51
in 1948. So, and my
3:53
dear monsters, I'm not surprised Labour back to it had a lot
3:55
of support across the Commons, including from the
3:58
Conservative benches too. But those are you
4:00
do object to it say it's not
4:02
workable this plan to ban smoking for
4:04
anyone currently age 14 and to raise
4:07
the age limit every year you know you'll have
4:09
the farcical situation in say 20 years time where
4:11
people are saying well hang on are you you
4:13
know 34 or 35 you don't have to show ID
4:15
yes there's something
4:19
in that that's a
4:21
really good question I mean the
4:23
workability of the age sort
4:25
of criteria in practice has got
4:27
to be thought through a bit
4:29
more perhaps and also
4:31
you know there is the kind
4:33
of question of whether you were
4:35
encouraging black market practices around tobacco
4:37
there are logical inconsistencies for some
4:39
as well I mean I saw
4:41
a kind of prominent Lib Dem
4:44
activist saying this is crazy my
4:46
party's now in favor of legalizing
4:48
cannabis and criminalizing tobacco is this
4:50
actually the way the country should go but actually
4:53
I think I probably agree with the
4:55
Prime Minister that this is a kind
4:58
of another major step in the kind
5:00
of historic change from a smoking population
5:02
to a non-smoking population and that when
5:04
we look back on this
5:06
week's sort of start of the legislative
5:09
process it'll be very much like the
5:11
way that Stevens look back on the
5:13
ban on smoking and it is in
5:15
enclosed spaces because as
5:17
your figures sort of showed tobacco
5:20
has a uniquely appalling effect on
5:22
human health so it's not really
5:24
like any other category of ban
5:26
I don't think and when you
5:28
look at the cost to the
5:30
NHS and it's not just
5:33
cancer it's circulatory diseases it's heart
5:35
health you know it's everything right
5:37
across the board there's
5:39
a case that is you know uneconomic
5:42
as well as a health disaster so
5:44
I think it's sort of something on
5:46
which it's not that surprising that the
5:48
Prime Minister had a lot of cross-party
5:50
support and consensus I mean personally I'm
5:52
not sure I agree with Stevens saying
5:54
that it weird that a public health
5:56
measure like this should be a free
5:58
vote I think it's right to have it
6:00
as a free vote. And I'm not sure that Labour
6:03
Party unity looks as great as they
6:05
think, maybe on that. I think there
6:07
is an argument for the
6:09
remaining idea that some issues of
6:12
conscience to do with the broader
6:14
question of our culture, the liberal
6:16
versus authoritarian
6:19
slant of Britain, should
6:21
be a conscience matter, actually. I suppose, for
6:24
me, I think the difference is between seatbelts
6:26
and smoking and death penalty
6:29
assisted dying is, as literally as
6:31
I was doing this question about workability, ultimately,
6:35
this ban does have implications
6:37
for what the government spends and does,
6:39
right? That quarter of cigarette sales through
6:41
the illicit market, you know, that's not
6:43
just a fun stat, that is a
6:45
quarter of revenue that goes into the
6:47
underground economy, into criminal activities. And yeah,
6:50
I don't want to sound unduly callous, but I'm
6:52
afraid I should have taken
6:54
the view that I am much less bothered
6:56
by what someone who chooses to smoke does
6:58
to themselves than what that quarter of trade
7:01
does to someone who gets caught in county
7:03
lines or is stabbed by someone because they
7:05
look at the OTA, who makes
7:07
eye contact with the wrong gang member
7:09
on the up, would say, that quarter
7:11
of trade does have a huge number
7:13
of sort of indirect harms. So
7:16
I think because it has public policy implications
7:18
that aren't just about, you know, how we
7:20
live and relate to each other, I think
7:22
it's slightly different from the other
7:24
conscience issues. I think the interesting question
7:26
is, in some ways, the reason why
7:28
this is probably more workable
7:30
than it seems on the face of it
7:33
is those hypothetical 30-somethings will both be vaping
7:35
anyway. And so
7:37
the kind of question
7:39
is, is this actually a useful public policy
7:41
intervention or is it the kind of public
7:43
policy equivalent of shouting after someone, yeah, you
7:46
better run when they've already turned away? I
7:48
mean, you both are taking at face value
7:50
that people are voting on this as a
7:52
matter of conscience. There's
7:54
a lot of political flares going up as well,
7:56
aren't there? And I'm sort of interested in the
7:58
sequencing of Kemi Badenot, coming out first as
8:01
one of the front bench heavyweights to
8:03
say she was going to vote against
8:05
it, followed by Penny Mordent, some right
8:07
wingers I was talking to in the
8:09
pub last night, laughing that Penny Mordent,
8:11
known well as a moderate, has finally
8:13
found her libertarian credentials. What
8:15
was your take on some of the names of
8:18
those opposing the bill Miranda? Well I think our
8:20
cynical attitude is probably the correct one, don't you
8:22
think, on those two names? Because we know that
8:24
those are two people being talked about as potential
8:27
successors to Rishi Sunak, should
8:29
the toys be defeated as we expect at the
8:32
general election, and you know they're going to have
8:34
to face the Conservative membership,
8:37
which is a different audience from MPs
8:39
and a different audience from their constituents.
8:41
We know that the public strongly backs
8:44
this smoking ban, as it actually backs quite
8:46
a lot of inverted commerce nanny states, issues
8:49
including on things like sugar tax, which Boris Johnson
8:52
refers to as, but you
8:54
know the Conservative membership may not share the
8:56
consensus view of the House of Commons on
8:58
this, so yeah I do think that was
9:00
an important signal in terms of their
9:02
future ambitions. Stephen, what
9:04
did you think? Rob Gemrick, Liz Truss? I
9:08
think, so someone like Liz Truss has always
9:10
been opposed to things like sugar taxes, the
9:14
smoking bans, but in times past at
9:16
Conservative conference one of the sort of
9:18
hot tickets for the right of the
9:20
party was the smoking rally,
9:23
as it were, you know where you'd have various pro-smoking
9:26
people wandering around, literally
9:29
people plotting a smoke-filled room. And
9:31
so I think some of these names are
9:33
people who've been in those smoke-filled rooms and do
9:35
genuinely believe that it is an imposition
9:38
on freedoms and
9:40
it is an overweening state act, and some
9:42
of those people are visibly just showing a
9:44
bit of leg to the right of the
9:47
party. I think in terms of the
9:49
overall mood of the parliamentary parties we
9:51
shouldn't forget that some of the Conservative
9:53
MPs who voted for this were also
9:55
being cynical. I spoke to someone who,
9:57
I asked them how they were, and I said, I'm not going to do
9:59
that. were going to vote expecting given other conversations I've had with
10:02
them and they go, of course I'm voting against it, it's
10:04
dreadful, and they say I'm going to vote for. And
10:06
I failed to compose my face and
10:09
they said, well look, it's going to pass anyway. And
10:11
they said, and I know that there are colleagues who agree
10:13
with it who are going to vote against it to cause
10:15
harm to the Prime Minister. I think if
10:17
there's more harm to the Prime Minister then it'll be even
10:19
worse for the party. So I
10:21
think the cynicism kind of cancels itself
10:23
out. You kind of end up with
10:25
a representative sample of the parliamentary party
10:27
even though some of those
10:30
people are very much not voting
10:32
for principal reasons. And I also think it's
10:34
interesting that we've seen people like Rob Halston who's
10:36
well known to enjoy a cigar
10:39
and indeed was seen in a sort
10:41
of smart West End private members club
10:43
later on the night after voting to
10:45
ban smoking for youngsters enjoying one of
10:47
the cigars and people suggesting that was
10:49
somehow hypocritical, which I don't agree with,
10:51
but it just shows it's difficult for
10:53
people to vote and say
10:55
do as we say and not as we do.
10:58
Well I suppose so, but there's the argument of
11:00
don't become a sad addict like I am. But
11:03
I think this point about the
11:05
anti-nanny statism of the Tory grassroots is
11:07
important to make though because I've been
11:09
really amazed at the number of Tories
11:12
who are keen to latch onto a
11:14
proposal from the Labour Party about trying
11:16
to tackle children's dental health in
11:18
school by getting them to be
11:21
taught to clean their teeth properly in school. And
11:24
they're obsessed with this. They blog about it,
11:26
they talk about it, the Daily Telegraph writes about it the
11:29
whole time. You know this
11:31
whole idea of an overweening state interfering
11:34
in families' responsibilities for its own
11:36
health really, really is a
11:38
kind of hot button for the grassroots.
11:40
Well they'll have more to get, it's
11:42
set about under a stommer government if Labour
11:45
wins the election because I think we're going
11:47
to see more nanny statism not least as
11:50
a repository of measures
11:52
that he can look to introduce
11:54
that don't cost money in public
11:56
finances. Can we just turn
11:58
quickly to the Rwanda bill? Another
12:00
legacy issue for soon. I mean Miranda
12:02
that's faced yet more setbacks this week Yeah
12:05
It's been a classic ping-pong between the House
12:07
of Commons and the House of Lords and
12:09
in fact Although the government was hoping to
12:11
actually get it finished this week. It's not
12:14
being pushed into next week The
12:16
two key problems seem to be the House
12:18
of Lords wanting to insist on Monitoring
12:21
of whether Rwanda truly is
12:23
a safe destination to outsource
12:25
our asylum seekers which
12:27
the government is resisting and also this idea
12:29
of exemptions for Afghans
12:32
who served alongside did jobs
12:34
for the British services During
12:37
the invasion and then occupation
12:39
and then rehabilitation of Afghanistan
12:41
They seem to have decided that they cannot give
12:43
ground on any of this. I'm not
12:46
quite sure where they go with this actually Lucy I don't
12:48
know if you've got any more insights in it because those
12:50
don't seem to me like wrecking
12:52
amendments They seem like a
12:54
constructive way forward, which they're going
12:56
to have to find in some form What
12:59
do you think Steven yet another round
13:01
of ping-pong are the Lord's? Overreaching
13:04
on this the Commons has you know
13:06
approved this bill several times now and
13:08
the Lord's Increasingly look like
13:10
they're blocking it. Well in terms
13:12
of the yeah enumerated powers of the Lord
13:14
It's not in the man if we're not in the manifesto
13:17
The public doesn't think the scheme works. So
13:19
it's from a kind of Operation
13:22
of the British Constitution perspective. It's kind
13:24
of fine. It's not in the manifesto
13:26
and it's not about supply Money,
13:28
then the Lord's can veto it
13:31
You know unless the Parliament Act comes into play
13:34
which allows the yeah allows the
13:36
Commons to eventually override the unelected house Although
13:38
obviously there isn't enough time left in this
13:40
parliament for that to come into play to
13:42
remind listeners peers like to appeal to
13:44
the Salisbury Convention the Unwritten rules
13:46
by which if something hasn't appeared in the
13:49
manifesto and it's not a money issue They
13:51
don't have to vote through the government's
13:53
program. The interesting underlying political
13:55
gamble here is that If
13:58
The labor leadership was. Scared about
14:00
an election in which recent actions
14:03
campaign was the main parties blocking
14:05
the Rwanda scheme. Than.
14:07
The House of Lords would have rolled over
14:10
already in x. a hundred labor pays would
14:12
have just all inexplicably have no wait a
14:14
or whatever. Now they might be right, they
14:16
might be wrong. Yeah, it's only pushes up
14:18
against the limits of what feels to me.
14:21
Appropriate for with ultimately be appointed house
14:23
spot. I think we really comes down
14:25
to his than because the Conservative party
14:28
are no longer trusted on immigration. I'm
14:30
the Labour party which in times past
14:32
would have been very fearful about having
14:35
is kind of fights now. Quite relishes
14:37
at that might turn out to be
14:39
huge miscalculations assist or one the policy
14:42
seems to have done that was Catholic
14:44
to party but that is why they
14:46
feel empowered to have these delays. And
14:49
Miranda I mean number Ten on Thursday
14:51
refusing to recommit to that deadline of
14:53
getting flights of the ground by this
14:55
spring? Don't feel like the timetable is
14:57
sitting with each week goes by says
14:59
that was when the selling of some
15:01
of the housing to be no accommodate
15:04
his asylum seekers this week. It's this
15:06
suggestion that they can't find an airliner
15:08
to take these asylum seekers. It might
15:10
have to be the already asked to
15:12
read purpose of Voyager to do it.
15:14
Yet kind of a mess is that they'd
15:16
be know that in newspapers have that kind
15:18
of understanding of what a deadline really mean.
15:21
The see though as that politically it is
15:23
extremely important that they get these slights off
15:25
the ground, even though in a sense it's
15:27
kind of nonsensical. a fly off the ground
15:29
is not. Stopping. The boats. in
15:32
any sense but this argument that it's
15:34
it's it's herons can only be proven
15:36
to be true this is the flights
15:38
as he leaves right so far as
15:40
the and points out as nice as
15:42
the only home office minister has been
15:44
the only brits to actually end up
15:47
in rwanda say false on sort pills
15:49
it's to in a politically is a
15:51
it's only have a nice as cool
15:53
as they can make it happen to
15:55
so far it is just a catalogue
15:57
goals disaster and delay and parliamentary but
16:00
What's interesting in terms of both these
16:02
topics, we're talking about the future of the Conservative
16:04
Party, is Robert Genrich has done such a bad
16:06
job of managing his public reputation that we think
16:09
everything he says is cynical. But actually
16:11
his policy objection to this
16:13
when he resigned is not
16:15
necessarily wrong. The
16:18
scheme might not work even if it passes.
16:20
And then of course it's yet another way
16:22
that the word Rwanda and the word failure
16:24
and the word Conservative appears in headlines. Well,
16:27
we'll have to come back as these
16:29
troubles roll on. The
16:35
smoking ban and the Rwanda immigration
16:37
policy are both seen as legacy
16:40
issues for SUNAC, something prime ministers
16:42
always have a BDI on. And
16:44
this week my FT colleagues have been looking
16:46
at the prescription of two former inhabitants of
16:48
number 10 for fixing the UK's ills. For
16:51
more on that, joining Miranda, Stephen and
16:53
me, we have the FT's political editor George
16:56
Parker, who is speaking to us
16:58
from the pub in Bridgeport. Aren't you George? I
17:00
am. We've just been doing a bit
17:02
of local government election reporting down in Dorcy's and all
17:04
the way back to London we've stopped off a very
17:07
nice pub, give it a plug, the Lord Nelson pub
17:09
in Bridgeport. And actually the landlord
17:11
has been very accommodating because it turns out he
17:14
is a big fan of the FT
17:16
and of the Political Fix podcast. Fantastic.
17:18
Well, George, you've interviewed Liz Truss this
17:21
week. Meanwhile, the FT's chief features writer
17:23
Henry Mantz is here with us in the
17:25
studio. Hi, Henry. Hey, great to be
17:27
here. And you've been speaking to Gordon Brown. I
17:29
have. I thought with all these slightly
17:31
venal politicians around, it might be nice to
17:33
think of someone who has a slightly different
17:35
take on life. Well,
17:38
let's start by talking about Brown.
17:40
I mean, the two prime ministers,
17:42
ex-prime ministers, couldn't be more different
17:44
in some ways. In
17:46
another sense, the key affliction that they
17:49
face is the same, that sort of
17:51
crying out for relevance after number 10.
17:54
And Gordon Brown's been telling you what he's been up to
17:57
recently, trying to find a role for himself. Yes.
18:00
Gordon Brown is now very much space back
18:02
in his former constituency, and I really got
18:04
a sense I spent most of a day
18:06
with him to suit them. Adam breaths. I've
18:08
really got a sense of how locally grounded
18:10
he is, right Say he is, That. Near.
18:13
The town where his father used to
18:15
preach. When we drove over in his
18:17
his Range Rover at the land that
18:19
his grandfather used to farm, he went
18:21
to university that a brand is helping
18:23
our a local. Charity
18:25
and he's come up with in a
18:27
way in which they can effectively become
18:30
a food bank. the lots of types
18:32
of products right? So at the big
18:34
Amazon Warehouse for all the returns in
18:36
the Uk very near where Brown lives
18:38
in Fife and his idea is to
18:41
get those returns and was. A lot
18:43
of fair access stock and to reap
18:45
have the same make sort of go
18:47
to waste and his impact family taken
18:49
up by needy families I think is
18:52
a enough for me it's a sort
18:54
of a demonstration of his he a
18:56
commitment to public service in a his
18:58
morality was overbearing and difficult am he
19:00
is not a my without complications of
19:03
i discovered but he'd he'd send really
19:05
wants to try and help Austin's money
19:07
comes from it's all there's a problem
19:09
minister in Scotland and in he he
19:11
talks about. Meeting front victims when he
19:14
was a kid and in a very
19:16
poor kids from traveling so coming to
19:18
school and him saying that and poverty
19:20
and then think that's why I want
19:22
to go into politics and say that
19:24
on miss him comes right through him
19:26
and I really think it listening quite
19:28
impressive about someone who remains grounded in
19:30
a community and and with that mission
19:32
will com cases with and comfy. Yeah
19:35
I loved and this process for meal or
19:37
into. The Henry What you said browns.
19:39
And Home exceeds fidelity. A dozen copies
19:41
of his autobiographies. appalled. In the hole
19:43
in his study, the Tv is blocked
19:45
by another pile of that's bad as
19:47
soon private healthcare and declined to sit
19:49
for an official parliament he portrayed he
19:51
doesn't want a nice it. it's not
19:53
funny so he must have some luxuries
19:55
you asked? It's not really where I.
19:57
that's a by the way he said them
19:59
he said that he reads the FT that
20:01
he's not a premium subscriber. He can't afford
20:03
the premium subscription. And I think in his
20:05
resignation speech, actually, he talked about how he
20:07
didn't enjoy the trappings and the luxuries and
20:09
the show of office. He sort
20:11
of, and he found that very awkward. And even
20:13
getting him to pose for a photo was
20:17
quite tricky. I mean, it was clear he was
20:19
gonna have to do it because the slot as
20:21
it appears in the newspaper requires a photo, but
20:23
it was also clear that he found it all
20:25
a bit embarrassing. And could it not be about
20:27
him? Compare that, of course, with Liz Truss, who
20:29
would love, I'm sure, for any kind of photo.
20:31
Could it be retweeted and reposted on Instagram as
20:33
much as possible? So yes, unusual, I think. He's
20:36
given a lot of thought to the ways in which he
20:39
thinks the country's gone backwards since
20:41
the new Labour years. I wonder if we
20:43
could just hear a clip of you asking
20:45
him about the Conservative-led administration that took over
20:47
from him. If the
20:49
Conservatives run an election campaign, and
20:52
I don't really wanna be party political, but if they
20:54
want to run a campaign, they've taken
20:56
people out of poverty, it is not the real
20:58
life. It's not where people are.
21:01
This is austerity's children that we're
21:03
talking about. These are people who
21:05
are the victims of not taking
21:08
care to provide rising child benefit.
21:11
So he spoke to a lot about the damage
21:13
he thought austerity had done, but
21:15
you were a little bit skeptical in your interview of
21:17
what he might have had to do regarding swinging cuts
21:19
if he'd won the 2010 election. Yeah,
21:21
I suppose I went back into the history to
21:23
2010, and
21:25
obviously there were these days after the election
21:28
where it was possible, at least
21:30
on paper, that there could have been a
21:32
coalition of Labour and the Liberal Democrats, rather
21:35
than the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats.
21:38
And Brown himself was one obstacle to that deal,
21:40
and I think he agreed that he might have
21:42
to go as Prime Minister. The
21:45
way the political mood and the political debate
21:47
had developed in the months before the election,
21:49
I think was such that any incoming government
21:51
was gonna make cuts, and we didn't foresee,
21:54
I think, the opportunity
21:57
in those years to use low interest rates to
21:59
really invest. And we didn't also
22:01
foresee that austerity would go on in such
22:03
a way that it would leave, you know,
22:05
parts of the public services and you can
22:07
look at prisons, look at local government in
22:10
a complete state. I wasn't
22:12
entirely satisfied that he realized the sort
22:14
of missed opportunity. The debate wasn't had,
22:16
and perhaps he wasn't the person with
22:18
credibility to have it in 2010. No
22:21
one made a really great case for
22:23
let's do a Keynesian investment program. Let's
22:25
build some of the stuff. And,
22:28
you know, we are where we are with much higher interest
22:30
rates, much more difficult to invest now, and we haven't built
22:32
anything. And just
22:34
to ask you about the work he's been
22:36
doing for Labour in the past couple of
22:39
years, he conducted this major review into devolution.
22:41
It recommended abolishing the House of Lords, replacing
22:43
it with an elected chamber. Not
22:46
clear Labour's going to take him up on much of
22:48
what he's offered there. But he also told you he
22:50
speaks quite regularly to Rachel Reeves. How plugged
22:52
in is he? How much advice are they seeking
22:55
from him? One
22:57
of the reasons I was interested in interviewing him
22:59
was that if you look at what Labour's doing
23:01
now with being super cautious on fiscal policy, it's
23:03
exactly what Brown and Blair did before the 1997
23:06
election. Right. And so it's
23:08
frustrating because it's so cautious. And
23:10
also on the one hand, Gordon Brown is there
23:12
saying, you know, this poverty that he's seeing up
23:14
in fight is reminiscent of the Victorian era. On
23:16
the other hand, he's backing the super cautious strategy
23:18
that Labour has because he wants to be a
23:20
loyal soldier and he doesn't want to be a
23:22
backseat driver. And I do think there's a clash
23:24
there. I think he has a much more radical
23:26
vision of constitutional reform than they do.
23:28
And I think he's also much more concerned
23:30
about Scottish independence than they are. And he
23:33
really sees nationalism as this thing, which isn't
23:35
going to be beaten in the next election,
23:37
but is something that continues to be a
23:39
threat. And he says the SNP
23:41
with all its troubles is down in the mid 30s
23:43
in the polls. But independence
23:45
is still up there very near 50 percent. So
23:47
people are saying the SNP may not be the answer, but
23:49
I still think that Scotland should be independent. So I think
23:51
you're going to see him talk a lot more about that.
23:54
I think he would be a voice
23:56
for a more radical action
23:59
on poverty. I think
24:01
he wants to fall into line. Great,
24:03
that's a perfect moment, George, to turn to
24:06
you and your fantastic lunch with the
24:08
FT, or lunch with a deep state,
24:10
as Liz Trost called it, when you met her in the
24:12
Norfolk pub in recent days. She
24:15
seems to show no such sensitivity about
24:17
wading into the current debate about what
24:20
she thinks Rishi Sunak, her successor, should
24:22
be doing. Not at all. I
24:24
mean, there are prime ministers who leave
24:27
office with dignity and honor
24:29
the office. And
24:31
there are those who frankly don't handle it quite
24:33
so well. I think a lot of people would say that Liz
24:35
Trost falls into the second
24:37
category. She's been everywhere
24:40
this week basically telling Rishi Sunak what to
24:42
do, how he needs to crack down on
24:45
immigration, we should be leaving the
24:47
ECHR, how the UN should be
24:49
wound up. I mean, just an
24:52
extraordinary tirade
24:54
really of ideas, none of which I
24:56
suspect would be entirely popular if ever
24:58
tested with the electorate. But
25:00
the thing that really came across in the lunch I had
25:02
with Liz Trost in this pub in Norfolk was just the
25:05
total lack of contrition, the
25:08
total certainty that everyone
25:10
else to blame. I mean, the closer she
25:12
came to acknowledging any kind of blame was
25:15
saying they haven't communicated the mini budget particularly
25:17
well. And she said elsewhere that
25:19
she's not perfect. And that's about as close
25:21
as it gets, I'm afraid, to any kind
25:24
of contrition. Yeah, I
25:26
was very struck in your lunch that you
25:28
reported she was laughing a lot, didn't seem
25:30
to have engaged in much
25:32
introspection about what went wrong in her
25:35
short 49 days in office. She's obviously
25:38
blamed what she calls the three headed
25:40
Hydra of the Treasury Bank of England
25:42
and Office for Budget Responsibility. I
25:45
mean, was there any way in which you
25:47
were left feeling sorry for her and what
25:49
happened to her and that sort
25:51
of ouster from Downing
25:53
Street after reading her book? I
25:55
Mean, I'll just point to one thing where I thought
25:57
I Was surprised when she said she'd had. Nope.
26:00
And medical care. She'd had to send a had
26:02
diary secretary at midnight to get her cough medicine.
26:04
and while it might sound a little bit trivial
26:06
that you know she's how to. Organize
26:08
her own hair and makeup. He knows the Prime
26:11
Minister. she's obviously going to be photograph films every
26:13
single. Day she needs to have these things and and say.
26:15
Frankie would have put a male pm. It's sort of.
26:17
Ridiculous. She and her husband were trying
26:19
to organize these things. The accommodate shop.
26:22
Surely there should have been more supports.
26:24
The has institutionally in Downing Street. The
26:27
only that was a surprise move. Was. Surprised many
26:29
people who who. Who. Read the book
26:31
and a cigarette the web. You'll that many
26:33
repeat. Read the books in it's entirety. but
26:35
minute does. Strike. At the anyone
26:38
reading that in American politics for example,
26:40
would find the extraordinary, the let lack
26:42
of support and. Space. On
26:44
one level you you can feel sympathy.
26:46
Fool is trespass Think most people just
26:48
think. It. Has to the lack of
26:51
self awareness as extremely for someone who. Got
26:53
to the top of British politics of it.
26:55
You want standouts. Lines in her book was
26:58
two days into a premiership when the
27:00
Queen dies. And peppers thought
27:02
seem to be. Why? Me:
27:04
Why Now you know that maybe some the you
27:06
would think if you were prime minister the time
27:08
but the lack of self awareness or to write
27:11
that down and have it printed in a book
27:13
I find extraordinary one of the same time in
27:15
our seats she says that she was let down
27:17
by. The. Treasury and leads Bank of England
27:19
and the regulators who fails spot the fact
27:21
that the tensions in Stream Uk was like
27:24
a tinderbox ready to go up or the
27:26
same time. In the interview with me she
27:28
said she didn't believe in God rails and
27:30
Sites season for the one hand so saying
27:32
she fancies can see what he wants and
27:34
then and that the Treasury it's the big
27:36
thing where load of incompetence and then blaming
27:38
them for not stop her from doing what
27:40
she wants to do So it's. A
27:42
big sympathy for this trust will be in
27:45
recently short supply Frankly to those reading the
27:47
book or indeed extracts of. The Book. Doesn't.
27:49
Let you also got a chance to ask
27:51
this trusts about her claim that the financial.
27:53
Times is part of the deep
27:56
state secrets. Slightly resign from that position
27:58
in your and he didn't see I
28:00
think she said we want pure capital
28:02
establishment more of what you called a
28:04
flying buttress a coup It that was
28:06
a claims she made during. An interview
28:09
with Steve Bannon, the former White House
28:11
Chief strategist under Donald Trump. or quite
28:13
a controversial character. That whole interview really
28:15
raised a lot of only Brussels and
28:17
since then the truth is really good
28:20
city on her endorsement for Trump has
28:22
achieved. This is what she had to
28:24
say to you about it. In
28:26
a look at what happened in the Middle East. They
28:29
would pay to have invaded Ukraine. Look
28:31
at the belligerence with thing from China.
28:33
look. At the cow time was saying
28:36
since to China from. The
28:38
Us Administration. Say I
28:40
would absolutely to trump overbite and. Full
28:44
that about. Well. If you speak to some
28:46
of her. Former. Allies: They are dismayed
28:48
at the way sees embraced sponsor the
28:50
Republican right in the United States. That
28:52
that the she said. This
28:54
platform with Steve Bannon that the Six
28:57
Pack conference earlier this year. Some of
28:59
the stuff he says, I mean I
29:01
put his. Title of Ten Years
29:03
To Save the West. And
29:06
at the same time she's endorsing
29:08
a presumptive Republican nominee for the
29:10
presidency. Who. Has suggested
29:12
that he might turn is back
29:15
on Nato. has said publicly was
29:17
encouraged publicly. President person to
29:19
Nato member states was don't make
29:21
the the nursery contributions to the
29:23
Nato budget and you wonder how
29:25
that ties with the idea of.
29:28
Saving. The west that the the has
29:30
had some his former supporters thinks he's selling
29:32
perilously close to the wind is have been
29:34
dosing this. Republican from
29:37
Pin. I did.
29:39
I sort of. It's a kind of politics, which. She.
29:42
admits herself, I'm. Won't
29:44
necessarily resonate with the British public at the moment,
29:46
but she thinks the British public. Need
29:49
a bit of education's clutch officer? I said it's
29:51
all these things you're saying they might have caught
29:53
you. Elected to the premise of in This Country
29:55
because it to the selectors was. Below.
29:58
A group of conservative members who. are
30:00
typically older and more right
30:02
wing than the British public more
30:04
generally. What do you think the British public at
30:06
large would have made if you'd ever had the chance
30:08
to present them with this prospectus at an
30:11
election? And she sort of admitted that we
30:13
weren't quite there yet. But you
30:15
can see that she hopes that the
30:17
Conservative party will be exploring
30:19
this electoral terrain if the
30:21
party loses, as many people think
30:24
it will do in the general election, and the
30:26
leadership campaign follows. And she's been at pains during
30:28
a series of interviews this week,
30:30
not to exclude the possibilities, but at some point, she
30:33
can make some sort of a comeback. Miranda.
30:36
Well, what an amazing contrast those
30:38
two interviews are. I was
30:40
struck by Liz Truss's definition of
30:42
patriotism, George, being to finally
30:44
abandon her crazy ideas when the
30:47
country was threatened with a
30:49
guilt crisis, versus
30:51
Gordon Brown's patriotism, going back
30:53
to his former constituency and trying
30:55
to help people on
30:57
the ground. But I think the problem with
31:00
the whole Truss episode, because we can't really
31:02
call it an era, I guess, is
31:06
that she's an incredibly bad example
31:08
of challenging some things that probably
31:10
do need to be challenged, not
31:12
in the way that she did.
31:15
Henry talking about the Gordon Brown
31:18
definition of austerity, your challenge to him on
31:20
what he would have done had he survived
31:22
the 2010 election. The incoming potential Labour
31:26
government now is going to have to think
31:28
about this idea of the Treasury brain, and
31:31
the fact that actually the way we're
31:33
governed and the bias towards
31:35
the status quo in working out
31:38
things to do with the economy and public spending,
31:40
there is a bias there. And Chris Giles,
31:44
our economics editor, actually wrote a brilliant
31:46
column saying the real problem with the
31:49
Truss episode is the way that it's
31:51
completely discredited all sorts of challenges to
31:53
the established way of doing
31:55
things. And I think that's something that
31:57
is worth pondering as well. also
32:00
think, you know, in Georgia's interview with Liz
32:02
Truss, it is extraordinary her, particularly having argued
32:04
for Remain at the time in the 2016
32:07
referendum to now say that the thing that's
32:09
gone wrong since the Brexit referendum is that
32:11
we haven't turned into Singapore on steroids, as
32:13
she puts it in her in her interview
32:16
with you. Stephen. Yeah,
32:18
although I mean, the interesting thing is that one
32:20
of the reasons why Liz Truss
32:22
was reluctant to campaign for leave is she thought
32:24
it would prove a huge distraction
32:27
from reforming in her mind, moving
32:29
the country to the right. And actually, if you look
32:31
at the way that the size of the British state
32:33
has increased and the drift of
32:35
British politics since then, that is
32:37
one where she was right. I think the really interesting
32:39
thing about these two terrific interviews isn't broadly
32:42
speaking, if you're a former Prime Minister, you're a
32:44
former Prime Minister for something's gone wrong. And what
32:46
you do to rehabilitate yourself is
32:48
you focus on the things you did
32:50
well. So if you're Gordon Brown, that
32:52
gives you helping navigate through the global
32:54
financial crisis and reducing poverty while as
32:56
Chancellor and actually, because of the way
32:59
the automatic stabilizers of tax credits work, job
33:01
obviously has continued for even during the
33:04
crisis from late 10. And
33:06
you know, just so in
33:09
some ways Theresa May talking about ending modern
33:11
slavery, you know, telling you they're talking about
33:13
public service reform, the difficulty of your Liz
33:15
Truss is that your central
33:18
success as Prime Ministers making the
33:20
Conservative Party's life much worse. And
33:22
in many ways, she's returning to
33:25
that theme in her interventions
33:27
this week. George
33:29
struck me as a really interesting moment of
33:31
Prime Minister's questions this week, where Rishi
33:34
Sunak really went out of his way to
33:36
disown trust and put some distance between
33:38
them. And he made the
33:40
point that, you know, at the time when he
33:42
was running against her for the leadership in the
33:44
summer of 2022, he'd as he put
33:46
it had the stomach to say her policies
33:49
were wrong. And he contrasted that with Starmer,
33:51
who he sort of said was shifty in
33:53
a try to put, you know, Corbyn in
33:55
number 10, even though, you know, his
33:57
ambivalence towards NATO and Trident. and
34:00
all the problems in labour with anti-Semitism
34:02
during Corbyn's reign had prevailed.
34:04
Is that something that you think will
34:07
get some sort of play during the election that
34:09
people, the voters, will think, well, actually, yeah, Rishi
34:11
Sunak did stand up for what he believed in
34:13
and said she was wrong, whereas Stalmer didn't take
34:15
on Jeremy Corbyn when he was leader. Well, I
34:18
thought it was a nice try. And I thought
34:20
Rishi Sunak did as well as he possibly could
34:22
have done in that round of Prime Minister's Question
34:24
Time, given the amount of this trust ammunition at
34:26
Kia Stalmer's disposal. I don't know.
34:28
I don't think, I mean, for a long time,
34:31
Rishi Sunak's been trying to pin Kia Stalmer as
34:33
someone who was an apologist for Jeremy Corbyn and
34:35
a facilitator of Jeremy Corbyn. I'm not sure it's
34:37
really cut through, whereas the
34:39
polls do suggest very strongly indeed
34:42
that the moment the public finally lost trust
34:44
and faith in the Conservative Party was during
34:46
those two months in the autumn of 2022
34:48
when this trust was Prime Minister. You can
34:50
see it in all of
34:52
the tracker polls. The party's never
34:54
recovered. So I think this
34:57
trust will always be more of an older trust
34:59
around the neck of Rishi Sunak than Jeremy Corbyn
35:01
will be around the neck of Kia Stalmer. Well,
35:04
George and Henry, thank you so much for
35:06
joining. I'll put both the interviews in the
35:09
show notes. And I think they really are
35:11
examples of the best of FT writing, as
35:13
well as being very insightful about these two
35:16
characters. Finally,
35:22
let's talk about political fix, stock fix
35:24
this week. Henry, who are you buying
35:26
or selling? I can't
35:28
buy any Conservative MPs because I think they
35:31
would fail my fund's ESG criteria,
35:33
given some of the stories I've read. But
35:35
I think I would buy climate action. I
35:37
mean, it looks really miserable out there. Scotland
35:39
abandoned its climate targets. I think if you
35:41
believe in green action, you think,
35:43
my goodness, everyone just giving up. But I think
35:45
there will come a time when these
35:48
policies are seen as almost
35:50
inevitable that we have to do much more. It
35:52
could be a very hot summer. People have already
35:54
had a very wet winter. And I think just
35:56
the reality of the climate change is going to
35:58
keep these issues on the agenda. George,
36:00
I'm going to sell
36:03
Robert Genrich, the former cabinet
36:05
minister, former immigration minister, on
36:07
someone who this week has been desperately trying
36:10
to appeal to the right wing
36:12
of the Conservative Party, coming out
36:14
in support of Donald Trump,
36:17
the President of the United States, saying
36:19
he used to completely change his mind on Brexit and
36:21
what a great idea it was having supported remain. To
36:24
be honest, it all seems to me a little
36:26
bit desperate, and I don't think it's convincing the
36:28
people on the right who regard him as a
36:30
bit of a Johnny-come-lately to the party. So
36:33
I think it's a bit shallow and a bit desperate, and
36:35
I don't think it's going to work. Stephen,
36:37
who are you buying or selling? I really wanted to
36:39
be the one who wowed the crap with the Genrich thing.
36:43
I'm also going to sell Robert Genrich. I was
36:45
really struck. I had just
36:47
come from a lunch with a contact in
36:51
the Lords, and as I was walking
36:53
back, I bumped into three separate Conservative
36:55
MPs who all made essentially the
36:57
same joke at Robert Genrich's approach. And it clearly wasn't
36:59
that this was a joke and had been going round.
37:02
It was precisely as George
37:04
says, right? He's just regarded
37:06
as a kind of Johnny-come-lately,
37:10
someone who's kind of got a big list of what
37:12
are the things I say to make the right of
37:14
the party like me.
37:17
This was a pretty good cross-section of the
37:19
whole of the parliamentary party. Maybe Robert Genrich's
37:21
transformation is sincere. I am
37:24
dubious, but more importantly, so as far
37:26
as I can tell, as every other
37:28
member of a Conservative parliamentary party not
37:30
called Robert Genrich, I think he's really
37:32
done himself quite a lot of damage
37:35
this week. That's Genrich well
37:37
and truly trashed. Miranda? Well,
37:40
I'm also selling this week, but I'm
37:42
selling with some regret, Andy Street, the
37:45
Conservative mayor of the West Midlands region,
37:48
because on May 2nd, as well
37:50
as the local elections, there are
37:52
these huge mayoralties up for election.
37:55
And Andy Street is in
37:57
considerable amount of trouble trying to
37:59
hold on. there. And
38:01
I say with regret because we
38:04
are always bemoaning as a nation
38:06
the dearth of people going into
38:08
politics with serious experience
38:11
of business and the
38:13
outside world. Having run John Lewis,
38:15
his enormous successful high
38:17
street retailer, a mutual kind of
38:19
a symbol of the things that
38:21
are good about Britain, British business
38:23
in a way. He's in serious trouble
38:26
there. He had a huge falling out
38:28
with Rishi Sunak when Sunak cancelled the
38:30
northern leg of HS2 at the Toypari
38:33
conference. May well have seriously considered actually
38:35
resigning from the party. He could have
38:37
then stood, of course, as an independent
38:39
candidate for the mail. But there he
38:42
is with the Tory brand stuck
38:44
on him on May the 2nd and could come
38:46
a cropper. So it's a sell with regret. And
38:49
what about you, Lucy? I'm
38:51
going to sell the junk stock
38:53
of Mark Menzies. I feel the
38:56
podcast can't conclude without me mentioning
38:58
this absolutely outlandish story in The
39:00
Times suggesting that
39:02
he called a long standing
39:04
constituency aide, a 78 year
39:06
old lady at 3.15am in
39:09
the morning saying that he
39:11
was beggars belief being
39:13
held captive by bad people and that
39:15
it was a matter of life or
39:17
death that she hand over £5,000 from
39:20
his campaign funds, money
39:22
given by local supporters for,
39:24
you know, legitimate Tory campaigning
39:26
activity. It gets stranger
39:28
still in the morning. Another constituency manager agreed
39:30
to cash in her ISA to give him
39:33
the money which the demand had by that
39:35
stage risen to £6,500 and luckily this one
39:37
was later reimbursed
39:41
but again from campaign funds. Mark Menzies disputes
39:43
his allegations. I'm sure he has a perfectly
39:45
good explanation. I mean, it sounds to me
39:48
a normal day at the office. The
39:51
Conservative Party has stripped him of the whip while
39:54
it's investigating. He's also been suspended
39:56
as a government trade envoy to sweetest
40:00
South American nations but it is just
40:02
the most eye-popping story. It's got that
40:04
wonderful kind of fall of the Aussies
40:06
on Regime air about it, this story
40:08
that hasn't let me just keep coming.
40:11
This certainly do. That's
40:15
it for this episode of the FT's Political
40:17
Fix. I've put links to subjects
40:19
discussed in the episode in the show notes. Do
40:22
check them out. There are two calls we've made
40:24
free for Political Fix listeners. There's
40:26
also a link there to Stephen Bush's
40:28
award-winning Inside Politics newsletter. You'll get 30
40:31
days free. And don't forget
40:33
to subscribe to the show. Plus, do leave
40:35
a review or a star rating if you
40:37
have time. It really helps us spread
40:39
the word. Political Fix
40:41
was presented by me, Lucy Fisher, and
40:43
produced by Audrey Tinlin with help from
40:45
Leah Quinn. Manuela Seragosa
40:47
is the executive producer, original
40:50
music and sound engineering by Breen
40:52
Turner. Cheryl Brumley is the
40:54
FT's global head of audio. We'll
40:57
meet again here next week.
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