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Hi everyone, this is Pivot from New York
1:34
magazine and the Vox Media Podcast Network. I'm
1:36
Cara Swisher. And I'm Scott Galloway. And
1:38
you've been glo- We've been both globetrotting,
1:41
haven't we? We have been, except you keep
1:43
working. You keep working. I know. So
1:45
I was in Argentina with Louis, which I
1:47
did a podcast while you were away with
1:49
Lydia Polgreen and John Favreau and
1:51
Louis. But I'm back in DC.
1:54
I hate culture, but I feel like every once in a
1:56
while I need to do something cultural for the kids. So-
2:00
And for you. Took the boys to Egypt and
2:02
went with a... By the way, if you ever
2:04
get a family you can travel with, where everyone
2:06
gets along, you got to hold on to those
2:09
people. So we went with the Bjornson's who had
2:11
this wonderful, like, lovely family. And
2:13
we did one of the... No, it wasn't the Galloway's, but
2:15
go ahead. No, we're
2:17
the dysfunctional family where when they recede
2:19
to their cabins at night, they thank
2:21
God that they are who they are,
2:23
as opposed to us. We
2:27
did one of these flat river cruises where you
2:29
stop every day with an archeologist who takes on
2:31
a tour of the Sphinx or Crypt or... Oh
2:33
my God. How was it? You
2:35
know, it was... Look, civilization
2:37
and time and a lot
2:40
of the stuff that, quite
2:42
frankly, I think about is really
2:45
brought home when you go through Egypt. And the thing
2:47
I register is that my kids
2:49
didn't enjoy it, but they're
2:52
going to really enjoy it when they're older. They're going to look
2:54
back on it. Oh. There's no
2:56
video games. Well, there's no Twitchy not being on
2:58
their devices. And you could tell they're kind of bored
3:00
like three hours into the tour of the inside of
3:04
a pyramid or whatever. You can just see them getting kind of
3:06
Twitchy. But I just know when they're older, they're going to... Don't
3:10
you think it's some things that you enjoy more after
3:12
they've happened? I had pretty
3:14
good travelers as kids. Louis and Alex really
3:16
went across the world, especially with Megan, who
3:18
we work for Google. So she took them
3:21
everywhere. They met
3:23
the Dalai Lama at one point. Well,
3:26
you know, there's a word for people who get
3:28
audience with the Dalai. Who?
3:30
Rich. It means you're
3:33
rich, Cara. No. She
3:35
was with Google. Okay. Yeah. She
3:38
was with the world state. Yeah. Be
3:40
above rich. No, but it wasn't personal. It was worked
3:42
up. So she... He just admired your
3:44
spiritual aura. He needed to meet with you? No, whatever. I
3:47
don't know why she was with the Dalai Lama. I have no idea. But
3:49
in any case, when she... Uh-huh. She would go to
3:51
a lot of cool places. I'm sure. She went to
3:53
all over Africa with Google because she would run google.org. And that's
3:55
why. So they went all over Africa,
3:57
all over... the
4:00
world and so she'd often take the children which
4:03
we would pull out of school and thought it was
4:05
a good idea. And at one point Alex had been
4:07
to like so many countries, it was crazy, it was
4:09
like an enormous, like more than I'd been. And
4:13
someone was like, he was I don't know, eight
4:16
or nine and she was like, little boy, have
4:18
you ever traveled anywhere interesting? And he was
4:20
like, I've been to 65 countries and I bet
4:22
the Dalai Lama. I've met the
4:24
Dalai Lama. Oh, that's
4:26
so Alex. He liked that stuff. He liked all
4:29
of it and so did Louie. I've
4:31
been fashion hunting with Mandela. How about you, Ben?
4:33
No, no, no, they didn't do that. They
4:36
did not do that. Although one time Megan
4:38
was on a plane, they were going to
4:40
Faz, Google was, this was a Google trip
4:42
and it was with Larry and Sergey and
4:44
a whole gang of them and they were
4:46
going to Faz to see Blano. No,
4:49
my kids did not go on this trip but Megan was going
4:51
on it and they wouldn't let me on
4:53
the Google plane because Larry Page was like, well, you
4:55
can look at it, I wanted to see it and
4:58
they're like, you can look at it but you can't
5:00
say anything and I said, I can't promise that. Literally
5:02
what every woman I've gotten naked says
5:04
to me, you can look but
5:07
you can't touch her coming side. Oh my God, that
5:09
was good. That is impromptu porn humor. Sorry, go ahead.
5:11
So they wouldn't let me get on it. I
5:15
had dropped Megan off, they wouldn't let me see it
5:17
because I would talk all about it of course because
5:19
I wish I could to this day talk about what
5:21
was on the Google plane but I never was allowed
5:23
on it. And then
5:25
they were saying they had bought carbon, this
5:27
is really early carbon credits, they were into
5:29
buying carbon credits and he was explaining it
5:31
to me in detail, Larry Page, about the
5:33
carbon credits and because they
5:36
were going to fly around Kilimanjaro to
5:38
see it from the air, like
5:40
to see the problems of climate
5:42
change by flying around it and I
5:44
literally was like, but we're buying
5:46
carbon credits because to make it better, I was
5:49
like, why don't you just not fly over Kilimanjaro
5:51
to do so but that's what they were
5:53
doing. So where did you go after that?
5:59
I went to Israel. Well, one, I talk
6:01
a lot. One
6:04
of the many things I don't like about myself is I virtue
6:06
signal a lot and I talk about doing shit and I don't
6:08
do it. So on the six-month
6:10
anniversary of the attack, anniversary is the long
6:12
word, six-month marker, I decided to go to
6:14
Israel. Well, I went to the Nova Music
6:18
Festival Memorial, and I'm
6:20
sure that'll become a memorial. It already is. Then
6:23
I went to... Let me start with the
6:25
good stuff. Tel Aviv, as anyone who's been there,
6:27
it's a cross between Miami and Berlin. It's a
6:29
wonderful city. It's distinctive. However
6:31
you feel about the situation, it's a fantastic city. I
6:35
would have dinner and someone overheard that I
6:37
was visiting from America and 11 people got
6:39
up and waited in line just to shake
6:41
my hand and say, thank you for coming.
6:44
They're just so grateful that you're visiting. They're
6:46
having trouble getting people there. I had
6:50
a wonderful... It was very meaningful. I
6:53
went into the Gaza envelope. I took a tour
6:55
of Kibbutz Farazza, which was one of two Kibbutz's
6:57
that was attacked. That was obviously very heavy and
6:59
very upsetting. They have pictures of the
7:01
kids and the people who were murdered. That
7:04
was very heavy and very upsetting. I
7:06
did weird stuff. I
7:08
went to the crossing
7:11
where the convoys of the humanitarian
7:13
aid trucks are crossing. There's a
7:15
narrative that Israel
7:17
is, for
7:20
a lot of reasons, falsely in
7:22
my view, there's an impression that they're not
7:25
providing humanitarian aid. Literally, I had stopped
7:27
and took pictures of this convoy that
7:29
was over a mile long. To be
7:32
fair, the Gulf Nations, Qatar, UAE, and
7:34
the Kingdom are supplying a lot of
7:36
the materials. The amount of food and
7:38
aid that is going into Gaza right
7:40
now, it's just staggering. Not
7:43
enough. Obviously, the whole thing
7:45
is great. Okay, but not enough. The question
7:47
is, where's it going? What happens when it
7:49
gets there? Anyways, that's another talk
7:51
show. I'll
7:53
say this without getting
7:56
too deep into the arguments
7:58
around this. It was just
8:00
very rewarding. rewarding. And
8:02
people know where I stand on the issue,
8:04
but I wanted to do more than just
8:06
talk about it. I wanted to go. So
8:08
yeah, it was very rewarding, but very obviously,
8:10
as you
8:15
can understand, very heavy and upsetting
8:17
at the same time. And also while I was there,
8:20
there's huge protests against Netanyahu.
8:22
I mean huge protests. But
8:27
also I said, I said, I'm going to come back. When should I
8:29
come back? And they said, you should absolutely come back. I feel what
8:31
they call it. But the gay
8:33
pride parade there, they say is the best time
8:35
in Tel Aviv. It's like
8:37
one of the biggest gay pride parades in the world.
8:41
But it's, look, it's a very
8:43
progressive, interesting place right now. Anyway,
8:46
I was happy to go. Well, we'll
8:48
see a progressive. I mean, I think, it's
8:51
a very complex, and obviously Netanyahu is
8:53
unpopular. He'd lose the election today from
8:55
what I was reading over the weekend.
8:58
At the same time, he's not going to call elections.
9:00
And there remains all
9:03
these vexing issues. And this bombing
9:05
of this aid convoy
9:07
from World Central Kitchen certainly has
9:09
caused a lot of rancor in
9:11
this country at least and across
9:13
the world. So
9:16
it continues to be a vexing situation
9:18
politically and obviously
9:20
from the people on the ground there. But
9:23
hopefully it will, even Trump
9:26
has moved away from total support, which is
9:28
interesting. I don't know if you notice, he
9:30
said they have a PR problem, et cetera,
9:32
et cetera. Well, I mean, good or bad,
9:35
democracies wag
9:37
the dog here. The democracy, and that is
9:40
the elections. You know, Biden's
9:42
softening his stance because quite frankly, I think he's
9:44
worried about Michigan. And I think Trump sees an
9:46
opportunity. I think he might just be.
9:49
Trump also, you mean, is also softening
9:51
his stance. Well, Biden's rhetoric has changed
9:53
a little bit. I mean, look. Sure
9:55
has. I'm
9:57
of a view that the best way to end war is to win it.
9:59
I don't... I think they should be calling
10:01
for a ceasefire. I think they should be calling
10:03
for unconditional surrender and release of the hostages. And
10:05
I just have a different view than a lot
10:08
of people, especially young people on this. And
10:10
we can have a civil conversation, as you and I
10:12
do, and discuss
10:15
it. But I don't see how, and
10:17
I'll be honest with you, Kara, I think a lot of it
10:19
is optics. I think the US is who
10:21
has its own history with terrorists and
10:24
even the Gulf nations who
10:26
have been eerily quiet on this. Understand
10:32
Israel's right to exist. And
10:34
when Secretary of Defense Austin is meeting
10:37
with the Israeli Defense Forces about them
10:39
going into Raffa, I
10:41
think that the people, I
10:44
think a lot of this is optics. I
10:46
think the US recognizes that this current situation
10:48
is unsustainable. If Israel
10:50
took over the US, it'd be
10:52
business as usual. If Hamas
10:55
and. Yes, I understand. I get that. I
10:57
get that. I'm just saying things
10:59
are changing in terms of our relationship
11:01
with Israel. You
11:03
and I, for all intents and purses, don't
11:06
matter. It's the next generation which has changed
11:08
rather drastically. And that's just true. It's just
11:10
the way it is. And I don't think they're doing
11:12
themselves any favors by. It's the same thing we didn't
11:14
do ourselves any favors by going into Iraq.
11:17
It just changes. Because
11:19
there was a disproportionate response. That's the argument,
11:21
right? Yeah, I think so. I think so. Yeah. But well,
11:24
there's a lot to get to today. We
11:26
should have a longer debate about this and bring actual
11:28
experts in. But I definitely
11:30
think just talking to young people,
11:34
I've spent a lot of time with young people, even
11:36
just in Argentina, they have a point of view that
11:38
has changed drastically, I think. Anyway, we've
11:40
got a lot to get to today, including
11:42
what's next for Disney after I'm thinking that
11:45
proxy battle. And Congress unveiling a new legislation
11:47
to protect online privacy, finally. Plus, our friend
11:49
of Tippett is NYU history professor and writer
11:52
Ruth Ben-Giat, who will explain why Trump's dictator
11:54
talk should not be taken lightly. But first,
11:56
at the time of this taping, MediStock is
11:58
up 8% lower. the last five
12:00
days. The jump comes after analysts raise
12:03
targets for the stock saying it has
12:05
competitive advantage to gain in the digital
12:07
ad market as it integrates AI. Also
12:09
in Metta's favor, a motion filed to
12:11
dismiss the FTC's monopoly claims better revealed
12:13
Instagram's ad revenue for 2021, $32 billion, which is
12:15
more than YouTube. Oh my God, that was such a
12:20
great purchase. The pop also caused Mark
12:22
Zuckerberg to pass Elon Musk in wealth taking
12:25
over the top spot as the third richest
12:27
person in the world. Oh, Scott,
12:29
I mean, there's obviously not. He's won the wrestling match, whether
12:31
he likes it or not. I don't really care about Elon
12:33
here, but what a performance.
12:35
This is something again, you had stressed,
12:38
had not bought but had stressed. Yeah,
12:41
each year I make a stock pick. In November of 22, my
12:43
stock pick for 23 was Metta and it's
12:46
up 353% since then. This company, I
12:48
mean, first off, at some point, we're
12:51
going to have to have an actual
12:53
wake and some closure and a funeral
12:55
for this ridiculous consensual hallucination around headsets.
12:58
I mean, granted, they continue to send
13:01
weight loss tips to 5'10", 95 pound,
13:03
17 year old girls. I
13:07
really appreciate a business model where I get to
13:09
vomit up all my inventory of all my experiences
13:11
and pretend that it's poetry. I mean, I don't
13:13
like the company. I don't like the people who
13:15
run it. It's arguably the best run
13:17
business in the world right now. My
13:20
colleague, my former colleague at NYU, a guy
13:23
named Peter Golder, a strategy guy, really brilliant,
13:25
who ended up going to the Tuck School
13:27
at Dartmouth. He had this fascinating insight that
13:30
I wrote about in my first book. Then
13:33
he said, the true innovators are terrible for shareholder
13:35
value because they have to be so far out
13:37
in front that they get mud
13:39
on their face, they're else in the back. It's
13:41
the number two. Apple's the perfect example of the
13:43
second mouse coming in. You
13:45
could argue around the key issue here. Elon Musk is
13:47
the innovator. He came in and he laid off 80%
13:50
of Twitter staff and from a consumer standpoint,
13:55
the fact that he can run this company on
13:57
one fifth the number of people, granted, it's not just the
13:59
number. doing well, but the operations that continue
14:01
to go, he's sort of with the innovator
14:04
there. Now, what Mark Zuckerberg said
14:06
is, I got an idea. Let's
14:08
lay off 20% of our staff and not be assholes, and
14:11
we can hold onto the revenue. And that has
14:13
created what is arguably the biggest business trend of
14:15
the last 18 months. And that is
14:17
these companies thinking, you know what? We can
14:19
have all of the great taste of reduced expenses without
14:22
the calories of reduced revenues. Yeah,
14:25
and they did it right. They did it efficiently. And
14:27
Meta has also leveraged AI to get
14:30
around the kneecapping that failed from Tim
14:32
Cook. Their targeting is more
14:34
efficient now. Instagram, which
14:36
continues probably to be the best acquisition
14:39
in the history of tech, is an
14:41
absolute juggernaut, still growing 20-plus percent a
14:43
year while they cut costs. Yeah. You
14:46
know, let me just note something. Scott, when you recommended, you
14:48
said 2022. I recommend. Meta
14:51
was my stock pick of the year in November
14:53
of 2022. Okay.
14:55
October 28th, 2022 is at its lowest in
14:57
the past five years, $99. It's
15:01
essentially $100. And
15:03
now it's at $527. Amazing.
15:08
If we'd only bought, we'd be on my
15:10
G650 going back to BA. I got it.
15:13
To hang out with Louis. So
15:15
where is it going to go here? When's it going to go from here? This
15:18
is in a stock I would get near right now because it
15:20
feels expensive. But at the
15:22
same time, there's so many green flags here. The
15:29
scrutiny around TikTok is good
15:31
for Meta. The
15:35
growth of Reels, the leveraging of AI. I
15:37
mean, everything... But you still wouldn't buy it
15:40
right now. I do. I
15:42
feel like after a stock... I have trouble buying
15:44
a stock after it's gone up four and a
15:46
half fold in the last 15 months.
15:50
But I wouldn't want to short this thing. And
15:54
he's finally waking up and starting to reduce
15:56
the expense. And he'll start laying out people,
15:58
making excuses around the mixed reality. ayahuasca
16:01
trip that he had or the
16:03
whatever you call it the mena. What do they call these things? The
16:05
oculus. Yeah, they're there. They still
16:07
haven't. It's 34 times its
16:09
P ratio is 34. It's
16:12
still not, I mean that's not ridiculously expensive given
16:14
its growth. There's probably,
16:16
there's probably some still some upside there but
16:18
I don't, I mean the juice has been
16:20
squeezed pretty hard here up four and a
16:23
half fold. The company this big, its stock
16:25
is up four and a half fold in
16:27
the last 15 months. That's
16:30
just, it's doing more revenue. I mean
16:32
Instagram's doing more revenue than YouTube right now. I
16:35
know. So. Isn't that amazing? It's
16:37
also a great business by the way. Yeah.
16:40
Anyways, meta is killing it. It's
16:43
staggering. I hope it gets broken up and
16:46
I think parents continue to pay a huge
16:48
cost for their dominance and their monopoly power
16:50
here. Yeah. I was
16:52
just down just saying but of course people
16:54
took millions out just so you know lots
16:56
of people took millions. So I was just
16:58
pointing out Trump media value
17:02
declines again continues to decline
17:05
through socials shares but
17:07
people are taking money out of
17:09
the company just so you know. Yeah, that's
17:11
insane. That's crazy town. Dang it.
17:15
Oh, speaking of something that I think is a
17:17
little insane actually, a group of California businesses are
17:19
coming after governance Gavin Newsom saying taxes are out
17:21
of control. This is a complaint that lots of
17:23
people had about California. The businesses
17:25
have spent 16 million dollars gathering enough signatures
17:27
to put a measure on the ballot in
17:30
November. The measure would require two-thirds of voters
17:32
to approve local tax increases and roll back
17:34
some recent ones. Real estate businesses are
17:36
some of the biggest funders, personally response to additional
17:38
charge placed on luxury home sales that passed
17:40
in Los Angeles in 2022. Newsom
17:43
and other local officials took out a full page
17:45
ad in LA Times and San Francisco Chronicle calling
17:47
out businesses like Chevron and UPS saying the move
17:49
would kill funding for basic services. You
17:52
know, California doesn't actually have the highest. I
17:54
saw a chart doesn't have the actual highest
17:56
factors and actually there's a big boom in
17:59
San Francisco. in real estate now because of AI
18:01
and a lot of companies coming back and it's on
18:03
an upswing. I don't know what to think of this.
18:06
I think they want to just – it's
18:08
actually not the highest taxes, which is surprising.
18:10
Well, okay. The
18:12
market is really an incredible beast. New
18:16
York, Hawaii and California are three of
18:18
the five highest taxes. Now
18:20
if you had to – if you could just live
18:22
anywhere in the US, where would three – I mean
18:26
the reason why these places have the highest taxes in
18:28
the world is because they can
18:30
and you know why? For the most
18:32
part, for the most part, it's worth
18:34
it. For all the people
18:36
shitposting California who – all
18:38
these wealthy people in VCs, they could live
18:40
anywhere and yet they decide to stay put
18:42
and just continue to bitch about California. The
18:46
thing I don't like – I mean I don't have to remember
18:48
Howard Jarvis in Proposition 13 but he
18:50
basically made it – he made it impossible
18:52
to raise taxes without a two-thirds vote and
18:54
you ended up with really – with incredibly
18:57
budget constrained school systems.
19:00
These things end up being suicide packs that
19:02
constrict local government. What I am a fan
19:04
of is states competing
19:07
and you have seen a lot of people move out of California
19:09
to Texas and at some point, the
19:12
lawmakers have to in an agile
19:14
way face the issues and either
19:16
increase social services or
19:19
decrease taxes. But I've
19:21
been thinking a lot about taxes, Kara. I've
19:23
been thinking a lot about taxes. Well,
19:26
you know Daniel Kahneman, the
19:28
behavioral economist passed away two weeks ago. Yeah,
19:31
two weeks ago, amazing. I'm a big fan of
19:33
his books, Thinking Slow and Fast, kind
19:35
of like – it was one of those books I – I
19:38
don't read a lot but if I like a book, I'll read it
19:40
twice and try and like submit it into my memory
19:42
so I can sound smarter than I am and that was one of
19:45
those books. But he did
19:47
great research looking at the effects on money
19:49
and happiness and the reality
19:51
is money is correlated to happiness. That's the bad
19:53
news. The good news is that it tops out
19:56
and if your objective is to be
19:59
happy, then that's At some certain point, shouldn't
20:02
we go back to the 50s and
20:04
60s where above a certain point of
20:06
extreme wealth, you get taxed at 90%? So
20:10
it's just a real argument for returning to
20:12
a much more progressive tax structure at the
20:14
very high level. And to be fair, I
20:16
think Governor Newsom's taxes of late are
20:19
mostly about what a lot of people
20:21
consider onerous, but taxes on the very,
20:23
very wealthy. And this
20:25
is my view. Okay, so
20:27
say taxes become ridiculously high above a
20:30
crazy amount of money. Here's the thing.
20:33
Getting to hold onto that money, it's not going to make any
20:35
happier. Yeah. Well, here's
20:37
what they... I had a tax burn just for people who know New York, Hawaii,
20:40
Maine, Vermont, Connecticut, New Jersey,
20:42
Maryland, Minnesota, Illinois. It's
20:45
not California necessarily. And
20:48
it has high taxes. The lowest one is Oklahoma,
20:50
7.12%. Well, doesn't that make sense?
20:54
I mean, again, see above. High
20:56
tax. It's like, okay, a Porsche costs
20:59
a lot of money, and guess what? It's worth it.
21:01
There's also higher sales tax burden, so it
21:04
unduly hits the poor in
21:06
some of these states that have no taxes. Regressive
21:09
taxes. Yeah, sales taxes, things like that. Yeah.
21:13
Anyway, we'll see. We'll see where it goes. I think
21:15
he's going to have a good year in
21:17
California. Lastly, Tesla revealed it's robo-taxing early August.
21:19
Elon Musk announced. I have one word for
21:21
this. I'll see it when I see it.
21:23
Fine. It's not going to be a
21:25
product. It's not hand waving because he's so... There was
21:27
a very long Wall Street Journal article about the
21:30
real problems at Tesla, which we've been talking about
21:32
were coming for a while. product,
21:35
competition, crazy toxic
21:37
owner. Here's where we
21:40
are. Tesla just jumped a little bit when he talked
21:42
about robo-taxing, but this is just... Just
21:45
make good cars, Elon, and focus on them and
21:47
stop virtue signaling all over Twitter. That's
21:49
really pretty much what I would say. I
21:51
don't know. Any thoughts? I
21:53
agree with you. It's a press release. It's
21:55
about autonomous cars. What's
21:58
the innovation here? I don't know. Waymo
22:00
in San Francisco yet. Is he
22:02
claiming it's going to be a better car? Right
22:04
now this is about regulatory approval. I'm not
22:06
getting in a robo taxi for them. I'm already
22:09
nervous enough in one that has much more sensors.
22:11
He needs to create a series of distractions
22:14
because over the last decade, people have noticed
22:17
that the EV umbrella
22:20
creates disproportionate unearned market
22:22
capitalization. And so
22:24
the biggest manufacturers in
22:27
the world, specifically automobile companies, have said, we're
22:29
going to go hard into EVs. And there was a lag. And
22:32
similar to Netflix through the aughts, he had in the
22:35
teens, he had basically open field because to
22:37
his credit, he started early. But
22:39
now you have BYD saying they can come up with a
22:42
decent EV for $10,000. In
22:44
addition, you have seen an
22:47
absolute crash in
22:49
the value, the residual value of used Tesla's. And
22:51
so people are scared to buy a new one.
22:54
They massively missed here. Essentially,
22:57
they reported 387,000 in global deliveries and they estimated 449,000.
23:04
That's a big hit. So this
23:06
company, it's not an AI company. It's not
23:08
an energy. All the jazz hands
23:10
from all the bullshit analysts trying to pump this
23:12
stock up, trying to pretend it's something it's not,
23:14
it's an automobile company. It'll start
23:16
trading like an automobile company, which means its
23:19
shares still have a long way to go down.
23:21
Well, it was a high. It was in November 2021.
23:24
That's his high point before he bought Twitter, I
23:26
guess, a 407. Now it's
23:28
in the hundreds, 164. And
23:32
he keeps doing tiny little jazz hands. It keeps going
23:34
up and down, but it's got, just
23:37
make better products, Elon. That's it. Like really,
23:39
seriously. People have caught up. Just stop. Stop
23:42
with the press releases and make things that
23:44
people want to buy. And by the way,
23:46
your car isn't that interesting anymore, considering how
23:48
many great cars there are that we talked
23:50
about. You don't have to buy a bolt
23:52
like I do, but you certainly
23:54
have choice. You just lost all credibility. I know,
23:57
but still. I
23:59
have a lot of friends who are buying them and they're all like
24:01
I was taking a look at some of the I
24:03
was looking at the Bronco for and I'm looking
24:05
at the Rivian the newer. Don't say a Les Vanjoe.
24:08
Wait am I thinking about a Les? I'm sorry, Bronco. No
24:11
but I was looking at the Rivian the smaller
24:13
one and I have to say there's no way
24:15
I'm gonna buy a Tesla because he's such a
24:17
jerk but they're not mostly because there's more choice.
24:19
Yeah. I have lots of choices. That's the thing.
24:22
Anyway who cares? Wave your hands all you
24:24
want. Just stop. Just build
24:26
better cars. That's what I would say. I would argue I
24:29
actually and I hate to I think Tesla's
24:31
a great car. I just think other I
24:33
just think the gap the marginal difference has
24:35
been closed. People don't like the inside. I don't
24:37
like the I never like it in a Tesla. I got
24:40
in a lot of Tesla's I'll tell you in Buenos
24:42
Aires where I was taking a car. Uber. Uber works
24:44
really well there. A lot of people on your way
24:46
to Tango and beef. Tango and
24:48
beef. Just more beef than Tango. Argentina is literally
24:50
a case study and how bad
24:52
governance can fuck up an incredible nation. We
24:54
had a lot of beef. Anyway it was
24:56
delicious. Let's get to our
24:58
first big story. Disney
25:03
is looking ahead to its future after
25:05
successfully sending off activist investor Nelson Peltz
25:08
an all-around jerk off guy. I know you
25:10
like him but he says he said hold
25:12
on hold on hold on if I ever
25:14
said I like you and Nelson Peltz have
25:16
I ever met him? Yeah kind of. No
25:18
I like governance. Good investment. In any case
25:21
he said a lot of stupid things recently.
25:23
For the second time in two years Disney
25:25
announced last week that shareholders had voted to
25:27
elect its entire slate of board nominees by
25:29
a substantial margin following an expensive proxy battle
25:31
with a waste of money. Peltz's company try
25:33
and partner said it was disappointed with the
25:35
outcome but proud of the impact we had
25:37
in refocusing this company on value creation and
25:39
good governance. Fine. You get that and they
25:41
made some money too. I think a couple
25:44
hundred million dollars. You've been talking about this
25:46
proxy out for months. Does he come back
25:48
for another fight? As I said he made 300 million
25:50
dollars or 40% return so good for him. So he
25:52
wins when he loses. This is a
25:54
win for Bob Iger but I'm not sure he comes
25:57
out on skates and of course
25:59
there's a succession place. He said, is
26:02
the board's number one priority and that's being treated
26:04
with a sense of urgency. They have brought some people
26:06
on the board who are good at that, but
26:08
his contract ends in 2026. So
26:12
what should happen here? It
26:15
should be, what should I prioritize? He could have
26:17
another attack by an activist. At some point, he
26:19
announced an expansion of its Magic Kingdom Park in
26:21
Florida last week, part of a 10-year, $68 billion
26:24
investment in park screws and experience. He settled
26:26
with Ron DeSantis. He
26:29
seems to have cleaned up some of the messes. So
26:31
thoughts? Well, so again, around
26:33
predictions. In November of 23, one of
26:35
my three stock picks was Disney. It's
26:37
just undervalued. And I like
26:39
Bob. He's a good manager on Prof G. On
26:42
the Prof G pod two weeks ago, I predicted that
26:45
Nelson would not get a board seat and it was
26:47
obvious. And the reason why is that
26:49
the CEO and his proxy solicitor have
26:52
more insight into what shareholders are thinking.
26:55
Very rarely does a CEO let
26:58
a shareholder vote go to a vote if they're not going
27:00
to win. So just some personal
27:02
experience here as a chance for me to
27:04
flex and talk about me, which I know
27:06
you're missing. Okay. I can't wait. So
27:09
when I raised $600 million, bought
27:11
17% of the New York Times and
27:14
said we're filing a 13D and we want four
27:16
board seats. Companies under managed
27:18
needs to dovest things, including the 17% of
27:21
the Boston Red Sox, which made no fucking
27:23
sense. So anyways, Janet Robinson, the CEO of
27:25
the time, they
27:27
showed up to negotiate and
27:30
they offered us one board seat.
27:32
And I took my capital partner, we
27:34
kept running back and forth in the meeting. And I said, after
27:37
all four, they're dead. They wouldn't be negotiating unless they
27:39
knew they were fucked because they know their shareholders better
27:41
than we do. And the only
27:43
reason they're here is because they know they're going to lose at
27:45
the annual meeting. And so they
27:48
offered, you'll love this, Garrett. They offered two
27:50
board seats as long as I was not
27:52
one of them. Of course.
27:55
They did not want me on the board. And
27:58
my capital partner said, we'll do two, but... Scott
28:00
has to be one of them. But
28:02
the moment if Bob, it
28:05
doesn't go to the annual meeting unless
28:07
the incumbents know they're going to win.
28:09
That's so interesting. And the moment it
28:11
was clear there wasn't going to be
28:13
a settlement, it was clear
28:16
that he wasn't going to get the seat. And
28:18
it was an overwhelming victory for the incumbents.
28:21
And it's very straightforward what happens here. If
28:24
the stock goes up, he's fine. It's
28:26
gone up. It's going up. It's about 20% or
28:28
30% year to date. So
28:30
far. But it's still – if
28:33
the stock goes down, if the stock
28:35
goes down, Bob is going to announce a succession
28:37
plan sooner rather than later.
28:40
And he's going to go give Nelson if Nelson
28:42
still wants a seat. If the stock goes up,
28:44
Nelson wins. Bob's fine, rides off into the sunset.
28:46
It's all about what the stock does the next
28:48
nine months. Right, nine months. So
28:51
your thoughts, where is it going to go?
28:53
I think Disney is going to be
28:55
one of the consolidate ores as opposed
28:58
to the consolidate ease in the streaming
29:00
market, which sets the multiple. That's the
29:02
growth business, that's the future. In
29:04
addition, they're sitting on top of this amazing business
29:07
that doesn't get the credit it deserves called the
29:09
park. They really are singular.
29:11
True, you have Universal for the teens. You pointed
29:13
that out to me. I like that analogy. And
29:15
here's the thing. Netflix and Google can't
29:17
build these parks, so they're not interested in it. These
29:19
are decades long investments.
29:23
Unbelievable experience. You have to be
29:25
part of the... If you have kids with
29:27
Milana and live
29:29
action Milana, Frozen Four, Five, whatever
29:31
the hell they're making. And
29:33
there's a great flywheel. You can bet there's going to be all sorts of
29:35
Frozen rides, right? So this
29:37
is... The IP here is
29:39
unprecedented. They're going
29:42
to have a nice niche in family around
29:44
streaming. They have the cash cow with
29:46
the parks. And it's trading at a
29:48
10 year low. They've had some misses. I mean Wish
29:50
didn't do very well. A
29:53
couple... You know, they still got the
29:55
Frozen juggernaut. They've got Milana. They've got a lot of
29:57
stuff. But some of the stuff doesn't do well. I
30:00
know they've had a series of movies that haven't done that
30:02
well, but he's got to get back to entertaining. The
30:04
thing that irritated me about Peltz was he didn't like
30:06
Black Panther. He said it was too woke. What an
30:08
amazing movie. It was an enormous hit. What an idiot.
30:11
That's a distraction. That's a frigging idiot. I know, but
30:13
he's an idiot. Just when he comes out of his mouth, I
30:15
want to talk it out. Well, I don't know
30:17
if I told you this, but my prostateitis has
30:19
been flaring up and it's clearly DEI. I
30:22
mean, it's clearly like, it's clearly
30:24
DEI. What did someone blame DEI
30:26
on? It was something funny. Something
30:29
happened in there. Oh, the earthquake in New York. They're like,
30:31
they're looking at DEI. Oh, clearly DEI. No, that was
30:33
clearly DEI. I love that. Anyway,
30:37
but what is his biggest challenge? I'd
30:39
like to know what you think his biggest challenge is.
30:41
Look, Bob's- Succession. Yeah. Okay.
30:45
So a lot of these guys get ... Okay. So
30:49
you don't make ... They call him the leader. And
30:51
here's the thing. He's not
30:53
the leader. You can't
30:56
run a company of this
30:58
size and complexity when one
31:00
person is in charge with leading it. His
31:02
job, his job is to
31:04
create an environment where there's great
31:07
leadership across all the divisions and an
31:09
atmosphere of success and innovation. So
31:12
he's about creating an environment. And it's not easy
31:14
to create an environment when, quite frankly, as nice
31:16
as he is, you're seen as someone who keeps
31:18
executing the people who get near the iron throne.
31:21
Really good CEOs in board meetings.
31:23
I love the succession strategy we do
31:25
once a year with the CEO. And
31:29
you can always tell who's a good CEO,
31:31
or one of the ways is they come
31:34
in and they're really thoughtful about giving the
31:36
bench playtime in the board meeting. And then
31:38
you have other CEOs who want
31:40
to make it clear that there's me and
31:42
everybody else. And without me, this thing doesn't work.
31:45
That's when you know you got to start thinking
31:47
about finding another CEO. And unfortunately,
31:49
some of the most famous CEOs in the
31:51
world, they don't even realize it, have a
31:53
habit of executing anyone who gets near the
31:56
iron throne. He has not done a great
31:58
job instilling confidence in in
32:00
fostering and cultivating leadership.
32:02
So that's on a cultural level, that's number
32:05
one. But most importantly, he's going to make
32:07
the right moves about the parks. They know
32:09
how to run that business in their sleep,
32:11
I think. And the key here will be
32:14
moving the streaming platform, Disney Plus and Hulu
32:16
to profitability while maintaining growth. Which he talks
32:18
about, which he's been talking about rather confidently,
32:20
I've noticed in his utterances.
32:24
He's been talking about making it quite profitable.
32:27
Doing a lot of things they wouldn't have done before.
32:30
The reason why it'll be profitable is that for
32:32
the first time in the history of this company,
32:34
in two years they haven't raised
32:36
their content budget and that is Netflix. While
32:38
they have also raised prices, so Netflix has
32:40
given cloud cover for a rationalization in the
32:42
sector such that Disney Plus and
32:44
HBO can raise their fees without raising their
32:47
content budgets. This whole market is rationalizing, which
32:49
is good for Disney. Although
32:51
they've got to sort of get a little
32:53
bit heftier. They have all the kids stuff,
32:55
but Netflix is just killing it with their
32:58
shows. I have to say all the Netflix
33:00
shows right now. It's brute force. They just
33:02
have so much. Well, they're also kind of good.
33:04
There's a real mix. I'm going to watch this.
33:06
I was noticing what I was watching when
33:09
I downloaded and there's
33:11
another one called Scoop. It's about Prince Andrew.
33:13
It's like it hits the gentleman was kind
33:15
of good. Although I didn't
33:17
keep watching it. Interesting. They have
33:19
one day which is doing great.
33:22
They've got all kinds of things that are doing really
33:24
well. I'm just saying
33:27
I watch all Disney because my kids do, but
33:29
I don't find a lot there that I want
33:31
to watch myself and I would. But
33:34
Netflix really is. They have something for
33:36
me, Kara Swisher, and Netflix
33:38
always does. Alright, Scott,
33:40
let's go on a quick break.
33:42
When we come back, Congress makes
33:44
a big move toward regulating online
33:47
privacy. We'll speak with friend of
33:49
Pivot, Ruth Ben-Giat, about Donald Trump
33:51
and dictators say go together. The
33:58
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atlassian.com. That's a-t-l-a-s-s-i-a-n.com. Atlassian.
35:00
Support for Pivot comes from Business Wars
35:02
from Wondering. With the launch of ChatGPT,
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what the future of AI should be.
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Almost a year after launching ChatGPT, that
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battle erupted when the company fired its
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36:37
we're back. Congress appears to be closer than
36:40
ever to passing national online privacy protections.
36:42
House and Senate subcommittee leaders from both
36:44
sides of the aisle unveiled a proposal
36:46
on Sunday, meaning they're cooperating for legislation
36:48
that gives consumers the rights to control
36:50
how tech companies use their personal data.
36:52
The American Privacy Rights Act would limit
36:54
the types of data companies can gather,
36:56
allowing users to opt out of targeted
36:58
ads and permit people to sue bad
37:00
actors for violating their privacy. This would
37:02
be a big thing. One
37:04
thing the bill doesn't do, prohibit companies from targeting
37:06
minors with ads. I wish that did that. A
37:09
lot of states have their own online privacy
37:11
laws. We'll see what happens to national standards.
37:14
Of course, the tech companies will push back. It's
37:16
unclear whether it's going to get passed because they've got
37:19
a limited amount of time. What do you think? What
37:21
do you think? It's with Maria Cantwell as
37:23
one of the pushers of it on the Senate
37:25
side. I mean, it feels better. I think you
37:27
know more about this, although I want to come
37:29
back. I do have a story about Senator Cantwell.
37:31
Oh, okay. Well, this is ... Look, here's
37:33
the problem with a lot of the stuff they're
37:35
doing is they met ... I've seen
37:37
a lot of criticisms of this. I've seen a
37:40
lot of positives. You can't let the perfect be
37:42
the enemy of the good, right? That we have
37:44
to put a stake in the sand to add
37:46
privacy laws. It does a lot of things. It
37:48
doesn't do. I would definitely add
37:50
prohibiting companies from targeting minors with ads. We
37:52
do it on television in certain ways. They
37:55
can see ads, but remember, they're cartoons with
37:57
cigarette companies. They should be much more ...
37:59
more attuned to what's happening,
38:02
especially because there's such
38:04
a movement going on right now about
38:06
that. So I think it's a good time to do that.
38:10
The companies will scream about innovation
38:12
and hindering them, but
38:14
this is sort of the baseline, it seems to
38:16
me, this privacy bill, it's the baseline of
38:19
anything else. And they should
38:21
pass it as an act of symbolism to
38:24
do so. And I don't think it damages
38:26
anything. Again, that's always
38:28
the complaint of tech companies. I
38:30
don't think tech companies should resist
38:33
this happening, and probably it's
38:35
sprawling. There's a lot through. There's
38:37
a lot here on it. And
38:41
so we'll see what people think and the reaction
38:43
it has. But it's big. It's a
38:46
big bill. But opting out of data
38:48
practices and targeted advertising and also being
38:51
able to sue them seems
38:53
to me table stakes. What do
38:55
you think? More importantly, back to
38:57
me, when I first moved
38:59
to New York, I literally left
39:02
tech, sold my house,
39:04
got divorced, moved to New York without
39:07
a single friend. I even said
39:09
to my ex, who I'm still close with, I said,
39:11
you can have all our friends. I just want to
39:13
change my life. And
39:15
I moved to New York, and I
39:17
fell into this group of really interesting people.
39:20
And one of my friends, a woman named Anne
39:22
Masset, and the other guy, Boy
39:24
Can Curry, all these super smart, interesting people. And
39:30
because I was, I think, 34, 36
39:32
at the time, and single,
39:34
but had been married, which meant I could
39:36
actually commit to something, I was the ultimate
39:38
setup. Everyone was trying to set me up.
39:41
And I had dinner with a woman. I
39:44
had dinner with a woman I think you know or
39:46
knew, Rob Glazer's
39:49
wife, ex-wife, this
39:51
like plucky young, really
39:53
nice attractive like spark plug. And
39:56
she said, I have the perfect woman for you. She's
39:58
smart. looking, da da da.
40:01
And I said, great. And she said, she's
40:03
going to be in town. Are you comfortable
40:05
dating high profile women? I'm like, well, why does that
40:07
mean? She goes, well, her name is, she's
40:10
running for Senate and her name's
40:12
Maria Cantwell. And first
40:15
off, I think it never happened. She was an
40:17
executive in a tech executive. Yeah, his
40:19
company Real Networks. And I asked some questions about
40:21
her and it ends up. And
40:23
I said, and I said, there was one
40:25
feature, of course, me being a thoughtful person, she said,
40:27
I said, I'm not interested. And she said, why not?
40:30
And I said, I didn't get divorced to date women
40:32
who are older than me. Oh,
40:34
no. I want younger. My children are like
40:36
six months. She's like six years older than
40:38
me. But I said, I want to date
40:40
much younger women who have terrible relationships with
40:43
their father. Those are my two criteria. Anyway,
40:45
I could have
40:50
been a senator's husband, but I told her I also couldn't
40:52
date her because I didn't want that
40:54
relationship to come in between my relationship
40:56
with or my relationships with Patty
40:59
Stonecipher and Emily Rata Kowski. I thought they just
41:01
would have been too hurt. It
41:03
just would have put a strain on those budding
41:05
relationships. These fake relationships are
41:07
so creepy, but funny on the end.
41:10
In any case, this would be a- I
41:13
could have been a senator's husband. I could
41:15
have been the biggest problem her staff had to
41:17
deal with. Oh, God, you would have been. Right?
41:20
I would have been like, who is the secretary of Homeland,
41:22
the woman from New Jersey who was a husband with a
41:24
wife. I could have been
41:26
Billy Carter. Or Manutian's wife.
41:29
Remember, she was posing with dollar bills
41:31
and stuff like that. She was crazy. He was
41:33
crazy. That matches. I would have really stood. I
41:35
would have been the
41:38
bad peanut butter to her chocolate. She
41:41
was sane and attractive and nice. The
41:43
staff would have been- Okay,
41:45
we're moving away from your dating life.
41:47
Here's why it's important. It would
41:49
make privacy a consumer right and
41:51
put them in control of their data.
41:54
That is really at the heart of it. We
41:58
have not had a comprehensive national law. on this
42:00
and we have to. It
42:02
is a signal that we care
42:04
about this. It also preserves a lot of the
42:06
stuff that's been happening in states, especially California, which
42:08
has been out front
42:12
of this. There's such a patchwork
42:14
of state laws. That's one of
42:16
the issues. And to
42:18
be able to sue these companies for violations
42:20
is really important. It stays away from the
42:22
free speech part and it
42:24
rains and you can sue them for this. This
42:27
is the kind of stuff I've been talking about.
42:29
Go to their pocketbook. If Facebook is going to
42:31
dominate digital advertising, you should have the same rights
42:33
that you have to sue people. And so that's
42:35
one of the things. And
42:37
this comprehensive privacy bill says
42:40
we care about this issue. Now again, the people
42:43
who don't like it and think it's too thin,
42:45
people who are against it saying, how
42:47
dare you? This is
42:49
a baked industry right now, digital
42:51
advertising. It deserves a
42:53
piece of legislation. We'll see where
42:55
it goes. I don't know. We'll see.
42:58
I don't know. They're really busy with other
43:00
important issues. I'm going to get a call from Maria
43:02
Cantwell now and say, I'm going to have a
43:05
restraining order. Do you think she's
43:07
still thinking about me? No, I'm going to see her do it.
43:09
What could have happened? What could have
43:11
happened? I used to talk to her all the time
43:13
when she was real. It was interesting. I
43:15
love her. I think she's so good on
43:17
the issues. She tried to insert $15 minimum
43:19
wage into the Recovery Act. And of course,
43:21
we can give seniors a $90 billion increase
43:23
in social security. She probably doesn't get her
43:26
due of the amount of stuff she does.
43:28
She's very serious. She's one of our few
43:30
elected representatives who just shows up and does
43:32
the fucking work. Whereas we have guys- Yeah,
43:34
she's a business person too. My
43:36
favorite reason, posing for the TikTok
43:38
cameras and trying to ... And
43:40
the mad dash for an appointment
43:42
to the Trump cabinet that will
43:44
never happen is Representative Jim Jordan
43:46
has sent letters to all the
43:49
biggest advertisers demanding that they answer why
43:51
they aren't advertising on true social. Yeah.
43:53
I mean, that's what our representatives are
43:56
doing. Why are you advertising on platforms
43:58
where there's no people? It's
44:00
at my political values Anyways,
44:02
a shout out to Senator Cantwell. I think
44:05
she served the country really well. She is
44:07
she is she's a serious-minded senator And
44:09
she said she was a really lovely person to
44:11
talk to back in the day in the early internet days
44:13
I really enjoyed her. Anyway, we
44:15
got to get to our friend of pivot
44:23
Ruth Ben Giet is a professor of
44:25
history at NYU and author of strong
44:27
men Mussolini to the present She also
44:29
writes the sub stack lucid which focuses
44:32
on abuses of power and threats democracy
44:34
Ruth. Welcome. Thank you I'm
44:36
so glad to be here. So we want to
44:38
talk dictators I want to start with
44:40
something you posted on X last week after Donald
44:43
Trump shared violent imagery of Joe Biden on true
44:45
social You wrote wake up people. This is an
44:47
emergency a lot of people have concerns about that
44:49
imagery But what was it specifically that made you
44:51
sound the alarm here? You've been doing it for
44:53
a while So I'm not so sure that's the
44:56
newest thing in the world for you But but
44:58
talk about why why that bothered you in particular
45:00
of the many things that could bother you. I'm at
45:02
Donald Trump Yeah, so
45:05
it's about you know, because because I
45:07
feel like Donald Trump has
45:10
been Waging and
45:12
his GOP enablers have
45:14
been waging a whole campaign
45:16
to Delegitimize all of
45:19
our democratic institutions and
45:21
in particular You know
45:23
attacking Joe Biden. This was an image
45:25
which showed Joe Biden it was
45:28
a you know a sticker on the back of a
45:30
pickup As though he
45:32
were a hostage Kidnapped
45:34
and if you study coups a
45:36
third of my book strongman is
45:38
about coups and authoritarian takeovers What
45:41
is this showing? It's showing an outcome of
45:43
a political situation where? Biden
45:45
is has met a bad end where
45:48
he's somehow been overthrown and ended up
45:50
tied up and This
45:52
is being you know,
45:54
this is being depicted as something positive
45:57
and so it's continuing the crew and
45:59
it's just It's extremely
46:01
dangerous for obvious
46:03
reasons and I feel
46:05
like this is normalizing this,
46:08
is allowing people. Which is the point, right?
46:11
I mean, you called it, you said Trump's
46:13
repeated elevation of dictators as
46:15
models of leadership should be understood as part of
46:17
a reeducation strategy. Now, one thing he does is
46:19
this is not new. He did that with CNN,
46:22
if you remember him punching CNN. This was years
46:24
ago. He did
46:26
one that I wrote a column about when
46:28
he was, not just stand
46:30
by and stand whatever the heck he
46:32
said. He says it a lot. It's
46:35
not a new fresh thing, but you're
46:37
calling it a reeducation strategy that's been
46:39
ongoing, right? That it hasn't stopped
46:41
the coup and he continues to do that. Explain
46:43
why, because he says he's joking.
46:45
He says he's kidding. This
46:48
is just him. This is his brand of
46:50
humor such that it's not funny,
46:52
but still. Talk about the
46:54
reeducation part of it. Yeah,
46:57
it's interesting. What he's been doing, and
47:00
this is since the fascists, Mussolini
47:02
and Hitler, you've got to reeducate people
47:04
to see violence in a
47:06
positive way and even make it into
47:09
something patriotic and
47:12
even morally righteous. Trump
47:14
has been using his rallies since
47:16
2015 and this was part
47:18
of my report from the January 6th committee.
47:21
He's been just over and over saying like,
47:23
oh, in the good old days, we used
47:25
to be able to punch protesters. So there's
47:28
that vector. And then
47:30
he's been also elevating dictators.
47:33
It doesn't matter, North
47:35
Korea, China, whatever they
47:37
are, communist, fascist as
47:39
positive models of leadership.
47:42
Orban, he recently met with
47:44
Victor Orban from Hungary. Go
47:46
ahead. Yeah. And so
47:49
Orban, what does he say? I take seriously what
47:51
he says. And he says that, you know, Orban's
47:53
so great, he's so strong because he says this
47:55
is how it's going to be and
47:57
everybody just accepts it. telling
48:00
us what he's telling Americans,
48:02
his followers, that this is a positive
48:04
model. So if you take the violence
48:07
as a way of
48:09
moving history forward, which was
48:12
January 6th, and you take
48:14
the positive praise for these
48:16
murderous dictators, you get a
48:19
reeducation strategy because he saturated
48:21
the media environment
48:23
for now many years over and over and over
48:26
again. It's nice to meet you, Professor.
48:28
I don't think we've met before. So
48:32
we spent a lot of time talking about what a
48:34
danger Trump is and how wrong
48:36
and really anti-American
48:38
a lot of his activities, much less his
48:41
rhetoric are. But
48:43
he was elected by the
48:46
US, and he continues to pull really
48:48
well despite all of these things that
48:50
are horrific to everyone on this podcast.
48:55
What is it about the atmospherics in the US
48:58
that has led the populace to support
49:01
this individual who we all agree
49:04
does not acquit himself as we would want
49:06
someone who wants to be the president? What's
49:08
happened in America? What's changed here? That's
49:10
a great question. And there
49:13
are patterns to these things. And
49:15
the research from my book, when
49:18
there's been a perception that there's
49:20
been too much social progress and
49:24
certain people are losing out. It
49:26
could be conservative elites who
49:28
are worried about losing their privileges. It
49:31
could be people thinking there's too much
49:33
gender emancipation, too much racial
49:36
emancipation. You get a kind
49:38
of counter-revolution. That's a big
49:41
word. Or you get a backlash. And
49:44
that's when somebody like Donald Trump is
49:47
appealing. But
49:49
Donald Trump also models himself for
49:52
that environment. And the thing about
49:54
these strongmen is that they're
49:56
highly sensitive. They read the marketplace.
50:00
They understand what is wanted
50:03
and they model themselves. It will be
50:05
whatever they need to be to get
50:07
to power because they have no morals.
50:10
They're just about getting control. So
50:14
Donald Trump comes up and he
50:16
was the perfect person as the
50:19
anti-Obama and he was the male
50:22
brute so he addressed the
50:24
people who felt that women had
50:27
too much power, same-sex marriages were
50:29
taking over, all of the racial stuff
50:31
and so that's what he did and he
50:34
also told these people that he loved them
50:36
that they would have forgotten and so there's
50:38
a sense that he's not just going to
50:41
represent them, he's going to protect them and
50:43
take care of them. He's
50:46
daddy. He's big daddy and he's remained big
50:48
daddy and once they bond to him and
50:50
they feel protected but they're
50:52
also protective of him because he's also the
50:55
victim and Lissolini was the victim,
50:57
Erdogan's the victim, they all do this
51:00
and it's highly effective, this manipulation of
51:02
emotions. Scott, you write about masculinity
51:04
and emotions and Trump is
51:06
the latest example of somebody
51:09
who is extremely skilled at
51:11
using this. First off, Professor,
51:13
I think that's such
51:16
an important point because
51:18
I've been thinking a lot about Roe recently
51:20
and I don't think people zero in on some
51:22
of the things you're talking about to really understand
51:24
and I would just want to double click
51:26
on it. My sense is you talk about them wanting to return
51:28
to an era where
51:31
they were more comfortable and I think it's more specific
51:33
than that. Just as young
51:35
men have fallen further faster than any group
51:37
in America, the ascent globally
51:39
of women over the last 30
51:41
years is unprecedented. They've doubled their
51:43
elected positions in parliaments, there
51:46
are now more women globally enrolled in
51:48
tertiary education than men and
51:50
I think the extreme of any religion is
51:52
really uncomfortable and wants these up-to-do women to
51:54
sit down. I think that's what Roe is.
51:58
I don't think it's about birth. It's about Taking
52:00
power back isn't a specifically.
52:03
About telling. Very
52:05
conservative sexual of of of religious extremists
52:07
who have disproportionate power and unfortunately young
52:10
men who still shunned by women and
52:12
I'm gonna take power backs on women.
52:15
Are totally and who better than a
52:17
repeated email abuser. Ah, somebody who boasts
52:19
about you know as putting women in
52:22
a place. And and this was tired
52:24
of this marketing strategy from the very
52:26
beginning. And that's why when they're on
52:28
holiday the Access Hollywood stuff came out.
52:31
I knew that it will actually help
52:33
him because he had this suit. These
52:35
the people I steady it's finity was
52:37
horrible to write the book had be
52:40
in their heads you know, misleadingly the
52:42
serial rapists and many others cut off
52:44
the as. Well. So this
52:46
is part of their their glamour.
52:49
And until we ah yes we
52:51
know ourselves from this kind of
52:53
toxic brew he no idea that
52:55
this and brute force this this
52:58
this ideal of masculinity as glamorous
53:00
and desirable were going to be
53:02
susceptible to these Donald Tramp. So
53:05
can you have the similarities to pick
53:07
up on that? Between Trump and some
53:10
these classic dictators, I did not know
53:12
that about Muslims leaning forward your books
53:14
and also how they how they seats
53:16
themselves because I just interviewed him a
53:18
ride back about his book take over
53:20
which is a six month. You
53:22
know that was touch and go for Hitler
53:24
their whether who's gonna make it and he
53:27
said he adapted and se he moved he
53:29
removed himself from crazy for enough time to
53:31
to condense them all the different. Constituencies
53:34
that he needed to convince on
53:36
the left and the rights to
53:38
finally appoint him chancellor which given
53:40
the opportunity to become. More.
53:43
Sir. Tuck little bit the similarities
53:45
when you're talking about these various
53:47
dictators and and the differences are
53:49
their differences Also yeah the outcomes
53:51
are different so ill when I
53:54
get whatever happens is not gonna
53:56
be a hit. Larry in one
53:58
party state to her. or
54:00
a North Korean one-party state. But
54:03
the similarities are that they, these
54:06
people are highly sophisticated at
54:08
communication. And whatever the era
54:10
they're in, they use the
54:12
latest tools of communication to
54:15
forge a direct and unmediated
54:17
bond with their followers. So
54:19
Mussolini, you know, he's just articulating
54:21
and he started in the age of
54:23
silent cinema, used newsreels. Now Hitler,
54:26
of course, he had the radio
54:29
and he ranted. And the Nazis invested
54:31
in like state of the art audio
54:34
technology so that when
54:36
he had rallies, his voice would reverberate
54:38
in ways that made him feel, seem
54:41
more godly because that's part of the
54:43
personality cult. So they all do personality
54:45
cults, which it's so interesting.
54:48
The rules have not changed for a hundred
54:50
years. You have to be a man of
54:52
the people. So you're relatable and certainly Trump
54:54
is. But you have to be the man
54:56
above all other men, the man who gets
54:58
away with it. And
55:01
that's the rogue glamour. So
55:03
they all use this. And
55:05
so Modi used holograms when
55:08
he ran initially for office. So he could
55:10
be everywhere and nowhere like a god. Berlusconi,
55:13
who owned TV networks, used satellite
55:16
TV to be everywhere. And
55:18
Trump used Twitter. So that's
55:20
one thing they do. They have these
55:23
bonds with that people feel they're speaking
55:25
directly and only to them, which is
55:27
which hasn't changed for 100 years. You're
55:30
advising the White House. How would you
55:32
match this? Because Biden is certainly not
55:35
that. Yeah, I think in general, we
55:39
can learn from
55:42
autocrats to make more
55:44
use of emotion in politics. There's one
55:46
of the things that autocrats do really well
55:49
is create these tribes and these communities and
55:52
they make people feel cared for. Now, it's
55:54
bogus. Of course, they're just really trying to
55:56
manipulate them. Trump doesn't care. You
55:58
know, at the beginning of the pandemic. I didn't interview
56:01
it and I told, I said that Trump doesn't
56:03
care if you live or die and people got
56:05
upset, but that's just how it is. But
56:07
they seem to care about people. So
56:11
Democrats in general around the world
56:13
can make more use of emotion,
56:15
of joy, of hope,
56:18
of love. And Biden
56:20
does this in his own way, but it'd
56:24
be ideal if it's somebody who is
56:26
a more charismatic, energetic
56:29
vehicle for that kind of emotion.
56:31
Is there someone like that? Is
56:33
there someone like that? I'm
56:37
not sure. I mean, I'm a
56:39
big fan of Pete Buttigieg as
56:41
a communicator and he's got a
56:44
restrained personality, but he's able to
56:46
talk. He goes on Fox and
56:48
he's liked on Fox. He's a
56:51
very, very, he's a great asset
56:53
as a communicator. And
56:56
he has everything, I think, as a
56:58
communicator and he could develop in this
57:01
direction if given
57:03
the space. So talk, what worries
57:05
you the most about a Trump second
57:07
term? I, what
57:10
worries me the most about Trump second term is
57:12
that he has been very
57:14
clear about his intent
57:16
to have an American version
57:19
of fascism. Now
57:21
that's, again, it's not going to be a
57:23
one part state, but he wants to turn
57:25
the US, you know, arm the
57:27
military if he could, but certainly
57:30
law enforcement
57:32
to repress large numbers of
57:34
Americans to deport, you know,
57:37
millions. And
57:39
he would stop at nothing to
57:41
try and gain total control of
57:44
the United States. And that's what authoritarianism
57:46
is. And it's very essence,
57:48
it's the, it's the executive
57:50
trying to, you know,
57:53
overwhelm and the other branches of
57:55
government so that they can be
57:57
safe and be never
57:59
pressed. executed again. Q. Can
58:02
he actually do it? We're such a
58:04
big and diverse country with so many,
58:06
like you can't imagine California going along,
58:08
there's elements in every state like this,
58:10
but how do you manage
58:12
to do that? I mean, Germany was
58:14
a very particular smaller country, so was
58:17
Italy, so was Turkey in a way,
58:19
you know, although it's much more diverse, Turkey's
58:21
more diverse, with Erdogan.
58:24
How do you, and certainly Modi has
58:27
done that, but has limits, has had limits in
58:29
terms of what he can do. So how do
58:31
you look at that? Is
58:33
that a possibility? I mean, we've all seen
58:36
the science fiction about it, we've all seen
58:38
those apocalyptic movies where that happens. A.
58:40
Yeah. I mean, Hitler, you know,
58:43
Mussolini is actually a better example,
58:46
or somebody like an Orban, because,
58:49
versus Hitler, because today things often
58:51
happen gradually. But Trump
58:56
ends Project 2025, it's about having
58:58
an accelerated transformation of government,
59:01
using executive orders, perhaps the
59:03
Insurrection Act. And we
59:06
know there are many things that he can do.
59:08
The main thing that definitely would happen, because it
59:10
happened during the first Trump administration is that
59:14
Trump is not interested in governance, he's
59:16
interested in using public office
59:18
for private benefit. And in his
59:21
first administration, he spent one out
59:24
of every three days, not
59:26
governing at the White House, but visiting Trump
59:28
branded properties. And
59:30
so this kind of enrichment for
59:34
you and your family in cronies,
59:36
that definitely would go on. He's
59:38
already said, you know, he's boasting
59:40
that he accepted money
59:42
during his first presidency from the Chinese
59:44
for quote, services. And I'm still trying
59:46
to get somebody to ask him what
59:49
those services were. So the
59:51
White House would be for sale, our
59:53
intelligence would be for sale, perhaps it
59:55
already has been, you know, keeping documents
59:57
in his bathroom, all of this.
1:00:00
Lack of accountability and erasure
1:00:03
of public versus private, that's
1:00:05
the strongman thing. They
1:00:07
don't accept any erasure and any divide
1:00:09
between public and private. It's all theirs,
1:00:12
and it's all theirs to sell and
1:00:14
profit from. Professor,
1:00:16
my sense is the media has
1:00:19
a difficult time trying to figure out
1:00:21
the approach to covering Trump. Do
1:00:25
you have any thoughts around where the media has
1:00:29
succeeded or not succeeded, and the
1:00:32
role the media plays in trying
1:00:35
to figure out how to cover this guy? It's
1:00:38
a little like Frederick Burchall in The
1:00:40
New York Times reporter who sort of
1:00:42
normalized Hitler for a long time. Oh
1:00:45
yeah, and Mussolini actually had
1:00:47
a column, a syndicated
1:00:50
column because the anti-communist
1:00:53
Baron Hurst was his
1:00:55
backer that reached 1,000
1:00:57
newspapers for eight years in
1:00:59
the United States. So talk
1:01:01
about normalizing. I think we know
1:01:04
that the press has been, it was
1:01:07
working with an outdated playbook, a
1:01:10
playbook that worked in
1:01:12
terms of two, if you had
1:01:15
two candidates and two parties that
1:01:17
still bought into democracy.
1:01:19
The problem is they've been
1:01:21
slow to understand how to
1:01:23
cover our situation where we're
1:01:26
a bipartisan republic, but one of our
1:01:28
parties no longer is in democracy.
1:01:30
I see the GOP as an autocratic
1:01:32
party, and if it were a sovereign
1:01:35
entity, its foreign policy
1:01:38
would be pro-autocratic, pro-Putin, pro-Orban.
1:01:41
That's a reality, and they've struggled, so
1:01:44
that's where they still do the
1:01:46
both sidesism. But
1:01:48
it's a little more subtle because, for example,
1:01:50
Meet the Press, which
1:01:52
has a bipartisan viewership,
1:01:58
Kristen Welker has done very well. well
1:02:00
actually bringing Republican guests on
1:02:02
and probing them. And
1:02:05
the audience there are Republicans who
1:02:07
don't want to see perhaps a
1:02:09
Republican aggressively bashed,
1:02:12
but will listen to a
1:02:14
careful probing of their hypocrisies,
1:02:16
of their inconsistencies. So
1:02:22
you can think that this
1:02:25
more gentle approach is perhaps
1:02:27
not appropriate for our emergency,
1:02:30
but it depends what your aim is. So
1:02:32
what should they be doing? I
1:02:34
think that the headline writers are
1:02:36
there. There's a lot
1:02:39
of headlines that are unhelpful, for example, even
1:02:41
in the Washington Post and certainly in the New York Times.
1:02:44
Also the placement of important stories
1:02:46
about Trump's corruption. Often
1:02:48
the New York Times will put it on page A13. I
1:02:52
think that if we want to prioritize saving
1:02:55
our democracy, we have to have a different
1:02:57
kind of placement of these
1:03:00
big stories. Also
1:03:02
to show the American public that people
1:03:04
are being held accountable when
1:03:07
January 6th insurgents are sentenced,
1:03:12
when the DOJ is doing things
1:03:14
to restore faith in institutions. Because
1:03:16
bashing the press is a popular
1:03:19
habit, but it's a symptom also
1:03:22
of this success of
1:03:24
the right of making
1:03:27
people lose faith in all institutions. Right,
1:03:29
absolutely. I
1:03:32
think one of the issues is Trump and
1:03:34
his opponents, especially C. Bannon, flood the zone
1:03:36
with crazy all the time. And so you
1:03:38
get exhausted, including January 6th. And so you're
1:03:40
like, oh, I'm tired of listening to it.
1:03:43
Anyway, it's a really important book.
1:03:46
There's a lot of really important
1:03:48
books out these days in this
1:03:50
area. Ruth Ben-Giat, her sub-stack is
1:03:52
called Lucid, and her book is
1:03:54
Strongmen, Mussolini to the Present. Little
1:03:57
light reading for you, Ruth. Thank you so
1:03:59
much. Thank you, I enjoyed the
1:04:01
conversation. Thank you, Professor. All
1:04:03
right, Scott, one more quick break. That was
1:04:06
a happy topic, and we'll be back
1:04:08
for wins and fails. Hey,
1:04:15
everyone, this is Jesse David Fox, host of
1:04:17
Good One, a podcast about jokes. I
1:04:19
am proud to announce that I have personally
1:04:21
won the streaming wars, and there's
1:04:23
a new docu-special on Peacock based on
1:04:26
our own Vulture podcast, Good
1:04:28
One, a show about jokes, but
1:04:30
it's called Mike Birbiglia, as he
1:04:32
develops new material, taking audiences through
1:04:34
the process of transforming personal stories
1:04:36
into stand-up. Featuring interviews with Mike's
1:04:38
family and comedy colleagues like Seth
1:04:40
Meyers, Hasan Minhaj, and Oscar Wakatska,
1:04:42
Good One, a show about jokes,
1:04:44
is streaming now, only on
1:04:47
Peacock. Hi,
1:04:51
everyone, I'm Brené Brown, and this is Unlocking
1:04:53
Us. In this podcast,
1:04:55
we'll explore ideas, stories, experiences,
1:04:58
research, books, films, music,
1:05:01
anything that reflects the universal experiences
1:05:03
of being human, from the bravest
1:05:05
moments to our most broken-hearted moments.
1:05:08
Some episodes will be conversations with the people who
1:05:10
are teaching me, challenging me,
1:05:12
confusing me, maybe ticking me
1:05:14
off a little bit. And some days, I'll
1:05:16
just talk directly to you about what I'm learning and how
1:05:18
it's changing the way I think and feel. The
1:05:21
first episodes are out now. We're going
1:05:23
to do three or four-part series every quarter, so about
1:05:25
12 to 15 episodes a year. Unlocking
1:05:28
Us will always drop on Wednesdays. And
1:05:31
now, you can find me wherever you normally
1:05:33
listen to your podcasts. You can get
1:05:36
new episodes as soon as they are published by following
1:05:38
Unlocking Us on your favorite podcast app.
1:05:41
And as always, stay awkward, brave,
1:05:43
and kind. Okay,
1:05:54
Scott, let's hear some wins and fails. Why don't
1:05:56
you go first? Mine are long, and you
1:05:58
cut me off. So do you want to go first? cut
1:06:00
you off. How do I cut you? You do. You're conflict in the
1:06:02
off. You're on a best-miss relationship. Oh my God.
1:06:04
Literally, no. Nobody thinks that. Do you want to
1:06:06
do a word count again? Just because you go
1:06:08
to Argentina. Yeah. We can do a word count
1:06:11
so I can prove to you again. A little
1:06:13
a-thah-to. A little a-thah-to. Audience, just so you know,
1:06:15
we do a secret word count and Scott always comes
1:06:17
out on top, just so you know. Just so you
1:06:19
know. Daddy's on top. He likes to be
1:06:21
in charge. Yeah, I'm daddy. Nidal and Alda
1:06:24
publicly is a caveman in the set. Hello,
1:06:26
baby. Oh my God. Hello. And
1:06:28
as you see, I totally outspeed him. I could
1:06:31
have been Mr. Senator Cantwell. All
1:06:34
right. My
1:06:36
win is the three-body problem. It's on Netflix.
1:06:39
We were just talking about Netflix. Whoa. It
1:06:41
is so cool. It's based on a,
1:06:43
I think it's a Chinese sci-fi thing.
1:06:45
And there's a really weird backstory. It's
1:06:47
the guys who did Game of Thrones, so they know how
1:06:49
to make a show. And they're
1:06:52
really talented. And I've
1:06:56
interviewed them before when they did Game of
1:06:58
Thrones. And this show is really compelling. It's
1:07:01
also weird. And the guy who
1:07:03
funded it was a Chinese billionaire who got murdered
1:07:05
by one of his employees. This is separately by
1:07:07
being poisoned. It's like this whole story is really,
1:07:09
but the story itself
1:07:12
is amazing. And it's hard. It's not
1:07:14
easy. You really have to pay attention.
1:07:16
And I'm compelled to
1:07:18
watch it. And a lot of these shows, I have to say, like I
1:07:20
did watch The Gentleman, that I'm not compelled
1:07:23
to watch the next one. This one, I
1:07:25
can't like, same thing with Shogun. What I think
1:07:27
about with streaming is do I want to keep
1:07:29
going? And there's a lot of stuff I leave
1:07:31
off. And I see my history of these things.
1:07:34
And Shogun
1:07:36
and this are the kind of things that
1:07:38
move me forward. They're beautifully made, really interesting.
1:07:40
The cast, I've never seen most of the
1:07:42
cast. There are some Jonathan Price's in it,
1:07:45
who's always fantastic. But this is a cast
1:07:47
I don't know. And I love that. That's
1:07:50
one of the things that's super compelling to
1:07:53
me. My fail is this
1:07:58
continued... situation
1:08:00
around abortion and Trump is trying to
1:08:02
thread the needle saying right now he's
1:08:05
saying abortion should be left to the states declines
1:08:07
to endorse the national limit. He was
1:08:09
he was pretending. But I
1:08:11
do think we have
1:08:13
to this is one of the more compelling reasons that I've
1:08:16
been talking to a lot of women particularly.
1:08:18
There are there are bands on
1:08:20
state bands on all or almost
1:08:22
most abortions in so many states,
1:08:24
the almost the entire south. And
1:08:26
then there's bands after 12 to
1:08:28
15 weeks and then banned blocked
1:08:30
by the court. There's several. But
1:08:33
much of this the south will be will
1:08:36
be without abortion rights.
1:08:38
So the entire south really, unless say Florida
1:08:41
wins in this election, where they put it into
1:08:43
the Constitution. But this is not happening. This is
1:08:45
no way to run a country on a big
1:08:47
issue. We have to come to
1:08:49
some sort of agreement. And then that I
1:08:52
think the best chance of that is Joe
1:08:54
Biden, obviously not Donald Trump. He's
1:08:56
made a mess of it. As we are
1:08:58
so that to me continues to be a vexing
1:09:01
issue, bodily autonomy. So I will
1:09:03
see if it should be a
1:09:06
much bigger issue. I understand why
1:09:08
immigration is I understand my crime is
1:09:10
but to me abortion, I think
1:09:12
will be the biggest issue, one of the bigger issues
1:09:14
in the election and should be. Go
1:09:16
ahead, Scott. So my
1:09:19
win a huge win for women's
1:09:22
sports viewership estimates
1:09:24
for the NC2A women's tournament
1:09:26
final between Caitlin Clark's Iowa
1:09:28
team and unbeaten South Carolina
1:09:30
are between 18 and
1:09:32
24 million to put that in
1:09:34
context. The upper figure would
1:09:37
be five times what the women's final drew
1:09:39
just two years ago. It would
1:09:41
also be get this care at every game
1:09:43
from last year's World Series, all
1:09:46
five games of the NBA finals,
1:09:48
all but two college football games and even
1:09:50
out to one of the NFL's postseason matchups.
1:09:53
This is I mean, the reality is
1:09:55
there's been a lot of complaints about equal pay
1:09:58
and I quite frankly said, well, it's As soon
1:10:00
as they start making as much money as men's
1:10:02
sports, they will get as much money. And now
1:10:04
it's happening. And
1:10:06
this is a seminal
1:10:09
moment for women's sports. You
1:10:11
know, basketball? Pulling
1:10:14
more than... She's a star. She's
1:10:16
a... Wow. Unbelievable. So
1:10:19
this is a really nice
1:10:21
moment for women's sports. And I
1:10:24
think it's always a big win.
1:10:26
Caitlin Clark and the South
1:10:28
Carolina team and just women's
1:10:31
sports in general. My fail... I
1:10:33
had a different fail, but what you
1:10:35
just said and what Professor Guillotte said
1:10:37
inspired me. In Florida,
1:10:40
the Supreme Court has said, actually, no, right
1:10:43
to abortion is not codified. The
1:10:46
governor can do this and limit it at six
1:10:49
weeks. Just someone who's put on the ballot a
1:10:52
resolution that would, in fact, give
1:10:54
everyone in Florida the constitutional right to have an abortion
1:10:56
and they need 60%. It's polling
1:10:58
pretty closely. So my
1:11:00
newsletter, No Marist in Your Mouth, I decided to do
1:11:03
a big deep dive into Roe. Bodily Autonomy has played
1:11:05
a big role in my life. And
1:11:08
so what I came to
1:11:10
sort of, I think, understand is that I was trying
1:11:12
to figure out what's going on
1:11:14
here. What are the drivers when you have
1:11:16
the majority of even Republicans, much less the
1:11:18
nation, are for some level of bodily autonomy,
1:11:21
what's going on? And
1:11:23
it's like, okay, it's about life. It's
1:11:25
not. The people who are
1:11:27
most vehemently ineffective around the pro-life
1:11:29
movement are the first to
1:11:32
want to advocate for capital punishment or force
1:11:34
a woman to carry essentially what becomes a
1:11:36
cancerous tumor around or put a
1:11:38
woman's health in jeopardy. It's not about life. And they think,
1:11:40
well, then Democrats go, they're not obsessed
1:11:42
with life, they're obsessed with birth. This
1:11:45
is the mark too, because again, it's the same
1:11:47
group who wants to cut funding
1:11:49
for the child tax credit. They don't want to
1:11:51
make it easier for young people to have children.
1:11:54
As a matter of fact, able-bodied people, young people between
1:11:56
the ages of 30 and 34 1990,
1:12:01
60% of them had at least one child and it's
1:12:03
dropped to 27%. So if we wanted more kids,
1:12:07
we could absolutely do it. We've just
1:12:09
decided we're not obsessed with birth. What
1:12:12
I determined or what all the data
1:12:14
shows is the following, and
1:12:16
this is both Professor Guillotte and Fareed
1:12:18
Zakaria's new book, The Age of
1:12:20
Revolutions, I think it's called Reflect, and that is
1:12:24
there are certain conservative wings of almost
1:12:26
every religion that are really uncomfortable with
1:12:28
the assent of women. And
1:12:30
the fastest way to quote unquote put them back
1:12:32
in their place is to do what we do
1:12:34
to the IRS or the antitrust
1:12:36
committee and that is to defund them. And
1:12:39
when you force a woman to carry a baby
1:12:41
to term against her will, you're
1:12:44
basically impoverishing her and diminishing
1:12:46
her power. And the
1:12:48
fact that more and more women are less
1:12:50
reliant on the government or on men is
1:12:53
really upsetting to some of these groups and they
1:12:55
want to go back. Now that's not the most
1:12:57
disturbing feature and this is my fail. There's
1:13:00
two stats. The
1:13:02
first is that the
1:13:05
greatest source of mortality by a factor
1:13:07
of two for women who
1:13:09
were either pregnant or recently given birth is
1:13:12
homicide. And abortion
1:13:14
gives women the opportunity to break
1:13:16
ties with a violent partner. But
1:13:19
the really, really disturbing factor is
1:13:21
the following. The
1:13:24
segment of America that
1:13:26
provides the least support around
1:13:28
bodily autonomy, it's
1:13:30
not old white people, it's Gen
1:13:32
Z men. Men 27 and younger
1:13:37
are the least supportive of
1:13:40
a woman's right to
1:13:42
terminate a pregnancy. And I believe
1:13:44
it's because young men feel shunned by women and
1:13:47
want to believe that if they take women back to the 50s and
1:13:49
60s, they're going to need them more. I don't know what it
1:13:51
is. I don't know if it's anger. I don't
1:13:54
know if it's conspiracy theory. I don't know if it's
1:13:56
just naked misogyny. But I
1:13:58
was absolutely shocked. and
1:14:00
rattled by the fact that young men are
1:14:03
the least supportive of a
1:14:05
woman's rights to terminate a pregnancy. And
1:14:07
it's also the definition of stupid because it not
1:14:10
only hurts society, hurts the
1:14:12
economy, it hurts them because to be
1:14:14
quite crass and blunt, when
1:14:17
you deny a woman a woman's ability
1:14:19
to plan out pregnancies and have kids
1:14:21
when she wants to, fellas,
1:14:24
let me tell you, this isn't
1:14:27
going to increase but decrease the likelihood
1:14:29
you ever get laid. What
1:14:31
do you think is going to happen to sex when
1:14:35
women may be forced
1:14:37
to carry a baby
1:14:39
to turn against her will? So
1:14:41
this is literally the definition of stupid. Young
1:14:43
men feel shunned by women. Young men want
1:14:45
more sex. It's not that they're more religious.
1:14:47
It's not all of a sudden they have
1:14:50
a new undying love for the unborn. It's
1:14:52
that they're angry at women. Let
1:14:54
me tell you, that is not a good rap.
1:14:57
That is not a good rap. Anyways, my
1:15:00
fail here is young men
1:15:02
who just do not understand
1:15:05
that bodily autonomy is key to
1:15:07
their ability to someday have kids.
1:15:09
They're key to someday find
1:15:11
a woman who wants to have a relationship and wants
1:15:13
to have sex with them that might result in a
1:15:15
partnership. And the fact
1:15:18
that we are mistaking this pro-life
1:15:20
movement for anything but the following
1:15:22
and that is trying to put this group
1:15:24
of people who have ascended faster globally
1:15:26
than any other group and
1:15:29
that is women. And we never win
1:15:31
taking groups back. So anyways, my fail
1:15:33
is Gen Z men. What the fuck
1:15:35
are you thinking? What the fuck are
1:15:37
you thinking? Doesn't that shock
1:15:39
you? No. It does not.
1:15:41
No, it shocked the shit out of me. No. I
1:15:44
think what Drew's was talking about, sort of
1:15:46
Uber Daddy, the manly man. It's
1:15:49
such a toxic. It's literally. I have spent my
1:15:51
whole life trying to raise sons who are not
1:15:54
the opposite of that but not that, right?
1:15:56
Because I want them to feel good about
1:15:58
being men. strong. I want
1:16:01
them to feel, you know, their gender. I do. I
1:16:04
do. You know, it sounds crazy, but I do.
1:16:06
But I also, you
1:16:10
know, one time years ago, I remember people were
1:16:12
surprised by this. Louis really wanted to learn how
1:16:14
to shoot a gun, and he did.
1:16:17
And I wasn't going to deny my, I
1:16:19
put him with someone who knew how to shoot guns.
1:16:21
He wanted to go hunting. He did. And I, you
1:16:24
know, I was like, I, he was, do you want to go with me? And
1:16:27
like, I don't have any interest. I think it's grotesque
1:16:29
in many ways. But you
1:16:31
should do what you want. And he got his gun, he got
1:16:33
his gun license in California, he took all the tests. He
1:16:36
went with a friend of mine, who was
1:16:38
also a great fisherman and hunter who also
1:16:40
took him fishing and, and up
1:16:42
in California, on those boats for you. And
1:16:45
I just feel like I was
1:16:48
people like, how can you do that? I was like,
1:16:50
he wants to try it. He doesn't like it now.
1:16:52
But he did it. And so I wanted them to
1:16:54
feel their, whatever they want to
1:16:56
feel. But definitely, I spent a lot
1:16:58
of time thinking about how they treat
1:17:01
women and how they think about women.
1:17:03
And I have to say both of them
1:17:05
are very good boyfriends. They're very good. You
1:17:08
know what I mean? Like they care about
1:17:10
their partner's health and their well being,
1:17:12
I think. From
1:17:14
what I can see, I think there's Alex
1:17:17
has a new girlfriend who's wonderful, who knows
1:17:19
her own stuff, she's a strong woman. And
1:17:21
he's attracted to that in a good way.
1:17:23
And so I agree with you. I don't
1:17:26
know what's in their fucking hands, these men.
1:17:28
I honestly don't. I think a
1:17:30
lot of it is, I mean, one third,
1:17:33
two thirds of women under the age of 30
1:17:35
have a boyfriend, only one third of men. Women
1:17:37
are dating older because they want someone more economically
1:17:39
and emotionally viable. I also do think, I don't
1:17:42
want to be too Alan Alda here, I do
1:17:44
think that media has taught women to
1:17:47
exit a relationship that you don't need this,
1:17:49
you deserve better, and the Carly Simon song
1:17:51
in the background. I don't think enough women, if
1:17:54
you go to these sites, women all want the
1:17:56
same guy who's over 60, Tyler makes over a
1:17:58
hundred thousand dollars. with online
1:18:01
dating, speedballs, this unreasonable filter.
1:18:03
They lose that advantage pretty
1:18:05
soon, right? They lose... And
1:18:07
they all end up alone. Yeah, they lose that advantage. And they
1:18:09
all end up alone. Yeah. But
1:18:12
young men... But here's the thing. Young
1:18:14
women who are more attracted because men
1:18:16
will always be more attracted to younger
1:18:18
women, not always, but
1:18:20
most, and then what you have
1:18:22
is a group of 20-somethings, especially
1:18:25
men, who resent women because they feel like they've been
1:18:27
shunned by them on dating apps, and I think they
1:18:29
become very resentful. And
1:18:33
I don't... I can't... It's very... It's
1:18:35
a real shame. And then unfortunately, men
1:18:37
without the prospect of a romantic relationship go
1:18:40
down to a much darker place than a
1:18:42
woman without a prospect for a romantic relationship.
1:18:44
And that is women have much stronger social
1:18:46
networks than the consequent guardrails
1:18:49
and consequent care and love, whereas guys
1:18:52
without the prospect of a romantic relationship
1:18:54
get angry and they like, you
1:18:56
know, stop looking for a job. Stop showering.
1:18:58
That can happen. That can... And
1:19:01
that's one thing we should be pressing for men is
1:19:03
friendships. One thing I'm really happy
1:19:05
about the boys is they all have really good
1:19:07
male friendships and female friendships. And
1:19:09
I think that's something we don't push enough with men.
1:19:11
I spend a lot of time... I'm
1:19:13
thrilled Alice is in a frat. I couldn't
1:19:15
be more thrilled. Well, I was just in
1:19:17
Israel and they have mandatory national service. And
1:19:19
I was at this memorial at
1:19:22
the Nova Music Festival and I met all of these...
1:19:25
I call them kids. I mean, they literally look like
1:19:27
they're in high school carer and it's
1:19:29
women compulsory for two years, men for three years.
1:19:32
And all of these young
1:19:34
men and women in uniform who carry
1:19:36
an automatic rifle, so they have to
1:19:39
learn about moral ambiguity, technology,
1:19:42
making snap decisions. They
1:19:44
serve in the agency of something bigger
1:19:47
than themselves and they're all together and
1:19:49
they're all outside and they're all working
1:19:51
their asses off. They meet business partners,
1:19:53
friends, they meet boyfriends, girlfriends, mates. To
1:19:57
your point, we need a big investment
1:19:59
in... trying to get a cure
1:20:02
and decrease loneliness among young people, because they
1:20:04
just don't know how to handle it.
1:20:08
It's terrible for them. Yep, but
1:20:10
when it becomes, last point I'll make, I'm
1:20:12
judging the Livingston Awards, and there's all these
1:20:14
amazing stories, but one of them was
1:20:17
about Afghan women, their suicide
1:20:19
rate is going up since the
1:20:21
Taliban took over, because they live in
1:20:23
these domestic violent relationships, and they don't
1:20:26
get choices anymore. So it was a
1:20:29
fascinating story, but
1:20:31
those kind of things degrade so quickly. So
1:20:33
if you combine what Ruth was talking
1:20:35
about with this trend, it's really, it creates
1:20:37
a bad society for everybody. Anyway, very good
1:20:40
topic, Scott. It's a really interesting point you're
1:20:42
making. I really appreciate all your words on
1:20:44
that. All your many words. My
1:20:47
many, my two to one never ending word.
1:20:50
Never ending, it's not two to one, but
1:20:52
it's not not two to one. Anyway, we
1:20:54
wanna hear from you. Send us your questions
1:20:57
about business, tech, or whatever's on your mind.
1:20:59
Go to nymag.com/pivot to submit a question for
1:21:01
the show or call 855-51-PIVOT. Okay,
1:21:04
Scott, that is the show. Are you traveling anywhere?
1:21:06
Are you sit and stay and put? I'm
1:21:09
here for a couple weeks, and I go, I'm speaking at
1:21:11
TED in late April, and
1:21:14
then I'm going down to LA
1:21:16
for Mar, and then I'm going
1:21:18
to Miami, then I'm going to New York. I'm doing
1:21:20
my, but I'm here for the. You know, I'll
1:21:22
be in London in mid May. I don't think
1:21:24
you're gonna be there. Maybe
1:21:27
we'll go out for dinner. Anyway, I'm
1:21:29
also going to Austin this week to
1:21:31
do at the LBJ library. Yeah, I'm
1:21:34
doing a little thing with Larry Wilmer
1:21:36
there at the thing. Larry Wilmer? Yes, yeah.
1:21:38
I love that guy. I know, I do
1:21:40
too. I love Larry Wilmer. He's funny and
1:21:42
he's smart. Yeah, he asked me to come do
1:21:44
this thing, or they asked me to come do it with him. We
1:21:47
have a nice rapport. We hit was on a
1:21:49
show once, and then I'm not even
1:21:51
gonna say, I'm gonna tell you Thursday what I'm
1:21:53
doing Friday. You're gonna die so good. Is
1:21:56
it involved Senator Cantwell, Patty Stump,
1:21:58
Cyber Emily, Orkoski? No, no,
1:22:00
I'm going to LA to do some stuff,
1:22:02
but I'll tell you that later. I'll tell
1:22:04
you that later. Yeah. Anyway. Is
1:22:07
it someone I like, or you're gonna start making it? Are you gonna steal another
1:22:09
one of my male friends? No, these are
1:22:11
female friends that you probably wanna have
1:22:13
friendships with. Anyway, we'll be back on
1:22:15
Friday with more, and I'll tell you
1:22:17
about that right before that happens. Scott,
1:22:20
read us out. Today's show was produced by
1:22:22
Lara Naman, Zoe Marcus, and Taylor Griffin. Ernie
1:22:24
and her Todd engineered this episode. Thanks also
1:22:26
to Drew Burrows and Neil Saverio. Nishat
1:22:28
Koroa is Vox Media's executive producer of audio.
1:22:30
Make sure you subscribe to the show wherever
1:22:33
you listen to podcasts. Thanks for listening to
1:22:35
Pivot from New York Magazine and Vox
1:22:37
Media. You can subscribe to the magazine
1:22:39
at nymag.com/pod. We'll be back later this
1:22:41
week for another breakdown of
1:22:43
all things tech and business. The great people
1:22:46
of Washington state, meet the
1:22:48
first dude, the dog.
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