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0:02
This is long Shots. Here's
0:04
Wes Reynolds.
0:08
Welcome in.
0:09
It is long Shots around the World
0:12
edition with the Sudau Open this
0:14
week. Kelly Bidlin here Wes Reynolds
0:16
as always, Wes. How you doing, my friend?
0:19
I'm well, Kelly. How are you good?
0:20
Felleynods just mispronounced your name somehow,
0:22
which is really tough to do with Wes Reynolds.
0:27
All right, buddy, when we've got PGA coming up, I'll
0:29
be out tomorrow morning for everybody. Charles Schwab
0:31
challenge myself, Matt and west All
0:34
on the pod for that one. We're going around the
0:36
world this week. And where
0:38
are we headed, Wes.
0:39
We're actually going to be in Europe for the first
0:42
time.
0:42
This season on the DP World Tour used
0:44
to be known of course as the European Tour, even
0:47
though all the events aren't in Europe.
0:48
But they've been everywhere.
0:49
They've been, you know, to the
0:51
Middle East, they've been to South Africa,
0:54
they've been to Asia, India, China,
0:57
Singapore, what have you. And now we
0:59
actually have a good old fashioned European event
1:01
in Belgium. And for the
1:04
Pseudout Open.
1:05
I like it. I like it. The odds board looks
1:07
like, so Thomas Peters is your favorite.
1:10
Him and Jordan Smith eighteen to one. Adrian
1:13
O. Man, you're gonna have to help me with this last name, Wes andrean
1:15
Otagwi, thank you, eighteen to one
1:17
as well. Over at DraftKings right now, Jan
1:20
Paul twenty two to one, Berne Visberger twenty
1:22
eight to one, Tristan Lawrens
1:24
thirty five to one, everybody else thirty five
1:26
to one or longer.
1:28
So first give us a breakdown of the course
1:30
in tournament. What we're looking at this week?
1:32
Yeah, this this event, it's
1:34
been known as the Belgian Open. They've actually
1:36
been having a Belgian Open since nineteen
1:38
ten. It disappeared from
1:40
the schedule for about seventeen years and then got
1:42
brought back in twenty eight They did that weird
1:45
format, the Belgian Knockout, where they had
1:47
a two day stroke play event to make the cut
1:49
and then they had nine hole matches over six
1:51
rounds at a determined of champion. So that lasted
1:53
for a couple of years. Now it's back to a regular stroke
1:56
play event. The course is
1:58
Rink VN International, located in Antwerp.
2:01
It was also the host for that Belgian knockout
2:03
event, so sixteen.
2:05
That format, yeah it is, they
2:08
already cut you off, but that is an interesting I like that
2:10
format they did.
2:11
They do different formats, yeah, and I
2:13
kind of I kind of liked it too. It's a little hard to handicap,
2:15
but it was unique and different from the
2:18
usual boilerplate stuff that we get. It's
2:20
pretty flat, scorable sixty nine
2:22
forty par seventy one on
2:25
this course front nines, a little bit longer
2:27
than the back nine par four.
2:29
Sixteenth is actually drivable par four so
2:31
get eago opportunities POA base
2:33
whipped over with bent grass, so
2:36
eighty percent bent grass, twenty percent POA.
2:38
At least on the green. So not a
2:41
very long course.
2:41
If you look last year, the winner was
2:44
this from Sweden, Simon Forstrom
2:46
at two hundred and one, shot seventeen under Sam
2:48
Horsefield.
2:49
The year before was twenty two to one. He shot
2:52
thirteen under.
2:53
So not an easy track,
2:55
but not a hard track by any stretch of the imagination.
2:58
But because it's shorter, you may be have
3:00
to be a little bit more strategic. It's not just
3:02
like grip it with driver off the tee.
3:05
Okay, I like it. I like it and what
3:07
did you who'd end up looking at this week?
3:09
Yeah? I did play, and I know it's kind of dipped a little
3:11
bit because it's going to be popular. I played Thomas Peters
3:14
at twenty two to one. He is a Belgian
3:16
returning to his home Open. In years
3:18
past, he'd probably been the favorite in this event, but
3:20
because you know, a little bit out of side, out of
3:22
mind on the live tour, he only had he
3:24
only had one top ten on live last year
3:27
twenty twenty three, but he's got two top
3:29
tens in his last three starts. Was fifth last
3:31
time out in Singapore. I think this
3:33
field has a drop in class,
3:35
you know, just from at least
3:37
the top of the field still usually still pretty
3:40
strong in live, and he's going to have the support
3:42
of the home crowd that overrides anty animosity
3:44
he might get from his you know, former DP
3:46
World Tour mates over there that
3:49
that are that are playing this event. So I
3:51
think maybe this is like a feel good spot for
3:53
him. It's like, hey, I get to go back home. I get
3:55
to play in my home event. So Thomas
3:57
Peters twenty two to one. You'll
4:00
honest, Veerman an American at fifty
4:02
five to one, who is eighth last start out at the
4:04
Volvo Chino Open, was T two
4:06
at the Hero Indian Open five weeks before
4:09
first, and fourteenth in approach over
4:11
those last two starts, seventh and fifth
4:13
for strokes, gaining te degreen over those two starts,
4:15
plus he was third and six for scrambling.
4:17
So Vererman I think could go well
4:19
here at fifty five to one, and then another
4:21
Belgian sixty to one. He's actually been
4:24
playing exclusively on the PGA Tour
4:26
this year with not a ton of success,
4:28
even though he's made four cuts in his last five events.
4:31
Adrian Dumont de Cha start another
4:33
Belgian here at sixty to one. The
4:36
field, look, the field is a massive downgrade
4:39
from the ones he's really been competing
4:41
against state side, because this is not a guy
4:43
that's necessarily exactly killed it on the PGA
4:46
Tour.
4:46
But the PGA Tour is hard to win for
4:49
a.
4:49
Very young player who's pretty new in
4:51
his professional career. But if
4:53
you look, you know T forty at
4:55
Myrtle Beach, T thirty at the Byron Nelson, T twenty
4:58
three at the Punta Cana, missed cut at the barely
5:01
did make the cut at Houston, missed the cut
5:03
at the Valas Bar, was T six in Puerto Rico.
5:06
So you know, he's way down
5:08
there on the stats on the PGA Tour
5:10
if you look at all of them. But this is kind of a gut
5:12
thing. He's going back home, you
5:14
know, dropping field class. But that's
5:17
something they always using horse racing, right, you know,
5:19
dropping class field, and
5:21
that's what this is. This feels like a guy,
5:24
you know, in a stakes race going into an allowance
5:26
race. And so I went with him at
5:29
sixty to one Adrian Dumont ditcha
5:31
sart. I'm trying to get that pronunciation right.
5:33
And then one great way, Yeah,
5:36
we made it work. And then and then
5:38
one guy that's actually been tipped. I'm not getting
5:40
the best price on him, but I can't ignore the form.
5:42
Joel Gerbach at sixty to one, five
5:45
straight cuts on the DP World Tour hes made
5:47
was T three at the Volvo chrying to open three weeks
5:49
ago. Was actually in the mix in Japan
5:51
going to the Sunday and then kind of fell back a little
5:54
bit. Third for accuracy, eleventh
5:56
on approach for the DP World Tour this
5:58
season, and then two more here Matteo
6:01
monta Soro from Italy sixty six to
6:03
one, who won twice on the Challenge
6:05
Tour. Last year he had lost his full
6:08
time DP World Tour card, and then
6:10
this past March he got his first DP World title
6:12
in over ten years when he won the Johnson
6:14
Work We're Open in South Africa. Also,
6:17
he comes in with a lot of feel good too, because
6:20
US Open qualifying did start this
6:22
week now. In essence, I think it's going to be in two
6:24
weeks. The day after the Memorial is when most.
6:26
Of them happened.
6:27
But there were a couple sites that happened yesterday,
6:29
one state side, one was in Dallas and
6:32
then one was over at Walton Heath over
6:34
in England. We get I think it was the top
6:36
nine spots and Mateo Montaso got one
6:38
of those spots to qualify for the US Open.
6:40
So you know that.
6:42
Maybe takes a little bit a little
6:44
bit of stress off of you. I think, you
6:46
know, when you qualify for that major, you don't have to
6:48
worry about it. You don't have to get over the disappointment
6:50
if you didn't make it, So he can
6:52
focus on winning here and then Mattia
6:55
Schwab eighty to one. Another guy that played a lot
6:57
on the PGA tour over the last couple of years, with
6:59
not.
6:59
A ton of success at a couple of decent
7:01
starts.
7:02
But back on the DP eighth
7:04
at the China opened three weeks ago, his third
7:06
and accuracy third and greens regulation first
7:08
and scrambling fifth on approach tenth
7:10
on te to green.
7:12
It's difficult.
7:13
As I mentioned, we talked about that Belgian knockout
7:15
format, so it's tough to put much weight
7:17
into like course form. But he did make
7:19
the weekend both times, so you know at
7:22
least he was able to do that. So Mattia
7:24
Schwab eighty to one, all.
7:26
Right, I like it? All right, Well, that will do it
7:28
over there the I want
7:30
to get your thoughts real quick. I don't know if you dug into this at
7:32
all. I probably should have given you heads up, but we do have
7:34
the Senior PGA
7:37
Championship this weekend as well. I
7:39
know you don't dabble too often with
7:41
the old dudes, but any any thoughts on that one?
7:43
Was? Yeah, look, look looking
7:46
at that, Stricker is obviously going to be the
7:48
favorite as he as he
7:50
usually is. FO. Yeah, that's
7:52
what I'm seeing, but we see a new face who
7:54
is playing on LIB.
7:56
I'll be curious how you play.
7:57
I believe this is his debut on
7:59
on the Champions in the Champions event,
8:02
and that's Richard Blant, who is the
8:04
second price at seven to one. Stuart
8:06
Sink just recently turned fifty, He's
8:08
seven to one. Patty Harrington eleven
8:10
to one. Patty's still playing pretty solid golf. Then
8:12
you go down the board a little bit. kJ Choy and Erniel
8:14
is about sixteen to one.
8:16
Jerry Kelly twenty Bernard Longer coming back
8:18
off that injury.
8:19
I was just gonna say his achilles
8:21
or something.
8:22
Yeah, yeah, So I wonder he's as high
8:24
as I believe twenty five to one at
8:26
Caesars. So you know, Bernard
8:29
Longer, look, I know he's always tempting to bet
8:32
on because his all time winner basically
8:34
on that tour. So you
8:36
know, looking at this, it is
8:38
the it is the Senior PGA. I believe they're
8:41
playing that. I think they're playing that in Benton Harbor
8:43
again this year. Yeah, Benton Harbor, Michigan
8:45
Golf Club at Harbor Shore. So if
8:48
you look at if you look at recent years, Steve
8:50
Stricker did win the playoff, not on this
8:52
course though, but did win the playoff
8:54
over over Patty Harrington last
8:57
year. Steven Alker won this two
8:59
years years ago at Harbor Shores. Paul
9:02
Broadhurst is one here at Harbor Shores
9:04
before, so yeah, I didn't go
9:06
too deep down the board. It is very hard
9:08
obviously to get past Steve Stricker in
9:11
this. But you know one thing I will
9:13
say for like Richard Bland, is
9:15
he at least has been playing. Remember,
9:17
this is a guy that went like twenty years before he finally
9:19
won on the DP World Tour. This is a guy that
9:21
is playing against better competition, at
9:24
least on live. So that's why you're seeing
9:26
him already discounted. I would have liked to seen maybe
9:29
a price in double digits and now I would have been all
9:31
in on him, But nothing.
9:33
That I've done yet. Maybe I have one or two for interest
9:35
coming this weekend.
9:36
Man Burrow longer back after tearing
9:38
his achilles in February.
9:41
February, yeah, because he missed them.
9:42
He missed the Masters for
9:45
the first time in many years. So you
9:47
know, back here on the Senior
9:49
Tour. Miguel Alan hell Jimenez also
9:52
around twenty five to one. I mentioned Ames, and
9:54
Al I mentioned Alcar rather but Ames,
9:56
Stephen Ames twenty five to one, Paul Broadhurst, who's
9:59
one here at already three to one.
10:01
So you know a lot of
10:03
different guys. And when you notice these
10:05
guys, it's like, wow, they turned fifty here. So
10:09
haven't done a ton necessarily
10:12
with PGA Tour champions It's just time.
10:14
Yeah, and you know, I would like to do more,
10:17
especially with like the major championships.
10:20
But if you look some of the guys
10:22
that have won this year, Stephen Ames, by the way, he has won twice
10:24
on the Champions Tour this year. Stephen Alkers
10:26
won, Broadhurst, Harrington
10:28
won at Newport Beach Retief Goosen
10:31
In California, Doug Barron actually won
10:33
the region's tradition, which is the first
10:36
of five major championships on the
10:38
PGA Tour champions two weeks ago.
10:40
So stricer the rightful
10:42
favorite as he usually is.
10:44
Yeah, yeah, yeah, absolutely, Well, I
10:46
don't know if I'd be running to bed against him on
10:49
the Champions Tour high anytime soon. All
10:52
right, great, well that's gonna do it for around the world. Tomorrow
10:55
morning we will have our Charles Schwab Challenge
10:57
preview Uphead back to the podcast
10:59
feed to check that out. For Wes,
11:01
I'm Kelly, talk to you guys too,
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