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hit the turn signal if you know

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about this juicy gem of

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a detour. There

1:00

are three players in

1:02

this NBA draft, in the

1:05

top 10, whose shooting numbers

1:07

are so bad, my numbers

1:09

say you can't draft them.

1:12

Next on Locked On

1:15

Jazz. Ba-dum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-bum-pow!

1:24

You are Locked On Jazz, your daily

1:26

podcast on the Utah Jazz. Part

1:29

of the Locked On Podcast Network, your

1:31

team every day.

1:34

How are you? I'm David Locke,

1:36

radio voice for the Utah Jazz, Jazz MBA

1:38

insider, and this is Locked On Jazz.

1:41

On today's edition of Locked On Jazz,

1:43

we debut the 2024 NBA draft by

1:45

the numbers first look, a

1:47

system that's now six years old

1:49

and rather successful. Three

1:52

players in the top 10 of this

1:54

draft, shooting numbers, are as worse than

1:56

any players I have ever

1:58

seen in six years. years and five

2:00

years of doing this and they're in the

2:02

top ten and I don't think you can

2:04

draft them. We'll give you those

2:06

guys coming up on the draft plus look

2:08

at the rest of the top ten or

2:11

eleven players in the drafts plus some NBA

2:13

notes today as we start off our draft

2:15

by the numbers for 2024. I'm David Locke

2:18

Radio Voice the Utah Jazz, Jazz

2:20

MBA insider and this is Locked

2:22

on Jazz. It's your daily podcast

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much appreciated. Thank you very much. And to the everydayers,

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particularly this time of year, great. Our

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3:24

Okay. Here's the system.

3:27

Let's see if I can make sense of this for you. We've

3:31

done it in 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023,

3:34

and now 2024. So we're five years in.

3:38

I've got all the angels picks for his history. Here's

3:41

how it works. At

3:44

this moment I will mispronounce. I have

3:46

never seen. I don't know anything about these

3:48

guys. I literally have never watched them. Make

3:50

sure you understand that as you hear this

3:53

show, I have never ever watched

3:55

these plays. I watched a half of Yukon,

3:57

Iowa. Probably is all I've watched. Now

4:00

we use numbers to look at athleticism

4:04

We look at three different numbers We

4:06

look at their transition percentage

4:11

We look at their transition attempts we

4:14

look at their isolation percentage percentile

4:16

really where they rank and

4:19

we look at their rim percentage So

4:23

last year some of the

4:25

best athletes in the draft we

4:27

had good athletes last year were

4:29

Brandon Miller and I'm on Thompson

4:31

and Asura Thompson and Jareese Walker

4:33

and Taylor Hendrix

4:35

and Leonard Miller all Derek

4:39

Lively all peeked out Cam

4:42

Whitmore come on Thompson again

4:44

peeked out on athleticism I'm

4:48

on Thompson probably was the best 94%

4:50

transition percentile 70% isolation 92% at the rim against lesser talent

4:56

but still It was probably the best

4:58

in 2022 Give

5:02

an idea of this our best

5:04

athletes were Chet Holmgren 93% transition percentile

5:09

96% isolation Keegan Murray 97% in transition

5:11

80% isolation Mark

5:14

Williams Center at Charlotte

5:19

Terry Eason Jalen Durn Okay,

5:22

this actually lines up right like Just

5:25

quickly to give you the idea in 2021 The

5:30

best transition the best trend there

5:32

actually wasn't Corey Kispert actually surprisingly

5:34

was good It's actually turned out to

5:36

be a really good pro This

5:39

was a weird draft Kate Thompson cage

5:41

Trey Murphy the third Krista

5:43

Ronta it was actually a Numbers

5:46

with who's also 25 Evan

5:48

Mobley Peeked

5:51

out isolation numbers the best work. Cade

5:53

Cunningham Jade Jaden saw Jalen Sog's and

5:55

Trey Murphy Trey Murphy was really really

5:57

good. Of

6:00

the top members you we got a bunch athletes. Out

6:04

Sars. And The Ninety First

6:06

present our finishing arm and limited attempts but

6:08

still. The. Cari.

6:11

For. Sheer I don't I literally have no idea.

6:14

Have never of these of at the know jack

6:16

prefer ninety two percent off down the clean and

6:18

ninety two percent up Stephen Castle in the area.

6:20

so that's okay. Cody Williams Colorado

6:22

eighty four for said the. Isolation.

6:27

Cody. Williams on fifteen attempts is the best

6:29

of the top ten but not very impressive.

6:31

and the bet Cody Williams Colorado is the

6:33

best rim. Percentile finisher. Starving

6:35

thing is obviously very very good as

6:38

well. Get so of the top I've

6:40

only done. Alex are like

6:42

here. For. Sorry. The.

6:44

Call the topics doesn't lenient?

6:46

Read: Shepherd Seven Castle. Matisse.

6:50

Zulu S. Rod Dillingham, Cody Williams,

6:52

Ron Holland.and can act and just

6:54

coby What Walker and Isaiah call

6:56

your blood on the Top Thirteen

6:58

Blaze, Of the top will

7:00

do the rest of tonight and then we'll do

7:02

a ton of the top thirteen players those and

7:05

isolate up those the some good athletes. They're the

7:07

best athletes. Look. To be Cody

7:09

Williams peaks out as the best athlete.

7:12

Of the group and. Net.

7:15

Net. Net with.

7:17

Get it? For

7:19

a lot. but Donna clean look fine. He's

7:21

also seven, three or whatever years. So seven

7:23

to. Then

7:26

we look at whether someone can

7:28

create. Playmaking. So

7:30

we look at pick and roll ball handling

7:32

and their how they do on that and

7:34

what the present dollars and that's our playmaking

7:37

stats. So last year case and was very

7:39

good. Greedy Dick in limited temps was good

7:41

kid trails and who didn't play much last

7:43

year was the Julian. Strother was good. And

7:46

the think Marcus Sasser was great and

7:48

Mark assessor turned to be a good

7:50

from the year prior. In Twenty Twenty

7:52

Two jaded Id was good, Aj Griffin

7:54

was good, Malik Guy Branum was good,

7:57

Terry Easing was good, and Zealand Williams

7:59

of Seltzer Sinclair. It was great. Seems

8:04

to like work 2021. If you want it,

8:06

Cade Cunningham, Jalen Suggs. Um,

8:10

so Jalen Suggs actually, I take it back. You

8:12

only run 17 attempts. This was a weird draft.

8:14

There was hardly, this was because of COVID. There

8:16

just weren't that many games played.

8:19

And so there weren't a lot of

8:21

data, but Cade Cunningham was

8:23

there. Uh, Trey Murphy, the third, but again,

8:25

not very many pick and rolls in that group. Cameron Thomas,

8:27

who has turned out to be a pretty good score, it

8:29

was all right. Oh, wait, that was athleticism.

8:31

Pigeon Roll, still not a lot run. Um,

8:35

the best one in

8:37

that, uh, in this draft of

8:39

pick and roll was a kid by the

8:41

name of Jaden Springer. There really just was

8:43

very limited, um, good numbers on pick and

8:45

roll on anyone who actually ran much of

8:48

any of it. Um, Chris

8:50

Durante was terrific. Kessler Edwards was, but he only

8:52

ran 19 of them. I mean, it was just

8:54

so limited in the amount of times. So if

8:56

we go to 2020 for good pick and roll

8:59

guys who actually had enough attempts that you actually would look at it

9:01

and say, Oh, that's really good. Um, you

9:04

had Tyrese Maxi was

9:08

really, was the best in that whole draft. Um,

9:10

Malachi Flynn was great. Turned out to not be

9:12

a very good NBA player. Desmond Bain was terrific.

9:15

Isaiah Joe was good in limited time, but still

9:17

was really, really good. Okay. Um,

9:20

yeah, the numbers have not sucked so

9:22

far. So to this

9:25

year, to the pick and roll ball handlers

9:28

in the top 13, I'm

9:31

giving you just this quick rundown and then we will get to

9:34

the three players who shooting numbers are so bad, but I'm giving

9:36

you kind of the system because we'll get to shooting here in

9:38

a second. Um, Nicole

9:40

Atopic who has kind of projected out of the,

9:42

he's the six foot seven lead guard, 203 pounds,

9:44

um, play the red army. He's

9:48

a very good pick and roll player. In fact,

9:50

he's probably played limited points, but he's picking roll

9:52

numbers are really good. 89th percentile, 119 pick roll

9:54

attempts. We have not had a lot

9:56

of 89th percentile guys over a hundred. Now that's

9:59

because of his league. Shepard. Eighty

10:01

pigeonholes, Ninety three percent that we've not had a lot

10:03

of that. Rod Dillingham

10:05

Hundred and Twenty six year old? Eighty

10:07

nine percentile. Pretty. Darn impressive.

10:11

Dot. And connects hundred and nine pick

10:13

and roll temps sixty seventh percentile is

10:15

not bad. Stephen

10:18

Castle at seventy to pick and roll.

10:21

Sense. Seventy four percent are not bad.

10:24

And I say I call your hundred and seventy

10:26

pickerel times which is a lot sixty two percent

10:28

of on a disappointing So good. So then we

10:30

get a shooting. And

10:33

we look at the shooting and we've looked at

10:35

really. I got a bunch of numbers but we

10:37

really looked. At three primary

10:40

numbers intuit. Spot.

10:42

At presents our. Overall

10:45

captain suit. We.

10:47

Also have unguarded catch and shoot which I

10:49

was that was musing it's not as and

10:51

sings as up and then we'd have creation

10:53

which is dribble off dribble. Off

10:55

the dribble presents. Usually.

10:58

I don't combined all three of these because I think they

11:00

say different things. The shooting is just spot up and captains

11:02

who tells you can what you need. And

11:05

then the creating is whether someone can create the

11:07

gym or shop for themselves. And

11:11

if we go back to. Go. Back

11:13

to twenty nine teams. We have to

11:15

have the data. So fun that we

11:18

have this like. the best. Shooters were:

11:20

Toby White Brandon Clark Pj Washington Cameron

11:22

Johnson Rule Oxymora Calvin Johnson. Were

11:26

all great shooters. The great creators in

11:28

that draft were Dareus Garlands. Kevin.

11:31

Porter Jr. Care. Grant.

11:35

Williams unlimited attempts. No.

11:37

Actually, not deliberate limited, but yeah.

11:39

really awesome aura and Tyler hero.

11:42

Get. Those all panned out. So

11:44

those numbers actually tell you something like consider

11:46

that we've been talking all week long after

11:48

drafted like half and half and like these

11:50

guys are all hitting it tells his of

11:52

the shooting in. Twenty. Twenty tie

11:55

resell Burton. Gavin. The cell.

11:57

Actually, if sinclair lewis was good shooter but

11:59

didn't peek out on catch and shoot so he didn't

12:01

get both. Sadiq Bay got both. Aaron Neesmith

12:04

is the best shooter we've ever seen this draft until

12:06

this year. Tyler

12:08

Terry was really good. Tyrell Terry, he left

12:11

because of emotional, I think mental health

12:13

issues. Josh Green was

12:15

pretty good. Malachi

12:17

Flynn was good again. And Jaden

12:19

McDaniels was good. Off

12:22

the bounce that year, the

12:25

best was Malachi Flynn again. He was also, by the

12:27

way, worth noting it was like 23. Older

12:30

players can peek these numbers and then that's the one thing. Another

12:34

off the bounce guy that was really good was Kyra Lewis. Generally

12:37

there was nobody off the bounce over 80, very

12:39

rarely is there someone over 80%. Aaron Neesmith

12:41

was at 77 percentile in

12:44

that was not a great off the bouncer. Okay,

12:46

that's the system. And

12:48

that's a good example where it's been crazily

12:50

successful for something that's so stupid when I've

12:53

never watched a game. Athleticism, playmaking,

12:56

shooting and creating. That's

12:58

the system. There are three players

13:01

in this draft, in the top 10

13:03

who shooting so bad, I

13:05

don't think you can draft it. Today's

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on Mother's Day The

16:00

three players whose

16:02

shooting numbers are so

16:04

bad that I

16:06

wouldn't draft them. Have you

16:08

made the switch yet, by the way, to locked on

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locked on NFL draft still recapping

17:01

the excitement and craziness of last weekend.

17:03

All right, here are the

17:05

three players whose shooting numbers

17:07

are so bad as

17:10

I just spilled coffee all over my mouth, so it could

17:12

make this a very interesting effort

17:14

to try to get you your information. Is the mouse

17:16

still working? Oh, this is

17:18

gonna be really hard to do. Okay,

17:21

that's not great. Here are the three players. Whose

17:25

shooting numbers are so bad. Stephen

17:30

Castle, who if you go to the

17:32

ringer right now in their mock

17:34

draft, they have us taking him as the

17:36

second pick of the NBA draft,

17:38

obviously trading up or winning the lottery, one or

17:40

the other, not entirely sure. Castle

17:43

shoots 28% on spotups. I'll

17:48

give you their numbers and then I'm gonna

17:50

compare their numbers to

17:53

that of other players. Castle

17:55

shoots in the 20th percentile

17:59

on catch and shoot. He was 15 of

18:01

58 for effective field goal percentage of

18:03

39% on catch and shoot. And

18:07

on creation, he's in

18:09

the 26 percentile. He's

18:12

a sub 30 in

18:14

every percentile.

18:19

I only have found four

18:24

players in our five years who are sub

18:26

30 in all three categories. Okay.

18:31

Two of them are bigs. Castle

18:35

is a six foot six combo guard. The

18:39

second player who's

18:41

shooting is so bad that I'm

18:43

not sure you can draft him is

18:46

Matisse Bezoulis out

18:48

of G League Ignite a wing 6'10",

18:50

208 pounds. He

18:55

was in the 29th percentile in

18:57

spot up, 24th percentile in catch and

19:00

shoot, 36 of 117. On

19:04

unguarded catch and shoots, he was 10 of 44. And

19:09

his dribble off about as dribble jumper

19:13

off the dribble percentage is in the 30th percentile 19 of 53. So,

19:16

so far, Stefan Castle and Matisse

19:19

Bezoulis. And

19:21

the third is Ron Holland of G League

19:23

Ignite. Now, G League Ignite gets

19:25

interesting here because the fact that Ben Anderson talked

19:27

about these guys seem to take three years to

19:31

get better. And

19:33

this year's G League Ignite team was so

19:36

bad and in such a bad circumstance that

19:38

maybe we have to reevaluate some of these

19:40

numbers. He's in

19:42

the 30th percentile in spot up. He's

19:44

in the 14th percentile in catch

19:47

and shoot, 21 of 79. His

19:52

open catch and shoot, he was 14 of 49 and off the bounce,

19:54

he was 17th percentile, 22. Okay

20:03

by the way, Nicole a topic who

20:05

is 19 years old not yet

20:07

18.9 and 6

20:10

7 203 lead guard out

20:13

of Europe It was very very good

20:15

in pick and roll one of the best pick and roll numbers We've seen was

20:18

a little disconcerting on his catch-and-shoot percentile.

20:20

It was 30 percent 30th percentile His

20:24

unguarded was really bad But his off-the-bound dribble

20:26

was fought was really really good and

20:28

his spot-up was fine Leaving me to not

20:30

put him in this category not worried about

20:32

him, but step in castle 28% in spot-up

20:39

20% in catch-and-shoot and 26 percentile

20:41

not shooting but percentile of players

20:43

in off-the-bound

20:46

shooting Matisse

20:49

bazoulas 29th percentile spot-up

20:52

24th percentile catch-and-shoot 30th

20:55

percentile off the bounce These

20:58

guys are all 30 percent are blower in all

21:00

three categories Here

21:03

are the and then Ron Holland 30 and spot-up 14% in

21:05

catch-and-shoot 17% off the drill Here

21:09

are the players that in the five years we've

21:11

done this that you would recognize the name There's

21:13

players in second round, but these are top ten

21:15

players. So top first round graphics Precious

21:18

a chua case a big He

21:21

can't shoot 23rd percentile Spot-up

21:25

29th percentile catch-and-shoot 24

21:27

percent off the bounce Nas

21:33

or little okay pretty

21:35

interesting six foot four Wing

21:40

first round draft pick Portland Trailblazers is now bounced

21:42

around a Lot

21:45

of hope I liked him a lot when

21:48

I watch him play I get excited about him however

21:53

Can't shoot. What has he done in the league? Let's

21:55

look He has shot

21:58

30% from three in

22:00

his career from three, 33%. This

22:02

last year in Phoenix with all the space in the world, 30%. He

22:06

plays about 16 minutes. He started 36

22:08

games his career. He's probably working his way out

22:10

of the league. He's

22:13

one of those guys that just disappears career,

22:15

33% three point shooter. Largely

22:18

cause he had one decent

22:20

year in Portland. Okay. Ryan

22:26

Rupark, who was

22:28

a rookie last year, I believe, Ryan.

22:30

Rupark was

22:32

14 percentile, 20 percentile and 10 percentile.

22:37

He played 39 games this year for Portland.

22:39

He shot 33% from the field. He

22:41

did hit 36% of his threes. His effective

22:43

field goal percentage was 42%. He's

22:46

a youngster. He's 19 years old out of France. He

22:48

was a second round draft pick though. And

22:54

Zaire Tillman, who

22:57

is now in Boston and

22:59

is kind of this hybrid big.

23:02

Do they, you want to believe he

23:04

can shoot a little bit. He shot 26%

23:06

in his career as a three point shooter.

23:13

Those are the only four players been sub 30, 30, 30. There's

23:20

one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine,

23:22

10, 11, 12, 13, 14 players. Who

23:27

have some similar characteristics of

23:31

those 14 players. I

23:35

might go zero as

23:38

those that are having successful or

23:40

on the verge of having a successful NBA career we

23:43

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so much for making locked on jazz your

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and available on all podcasting apps Thank

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you so much. All right Here

26:01

are the players in

26:04

my five-year database. Never watch these guys

26:06

play a second. Don't know anything compared

26:10

to Stephen Castle, Matisse Bezoulas

26:13

and Ron Holland in their shooting. From

26:16

last year's draft, Julian

26:18

Phillips was in the 20th

26:20

percentile and spot up 12th in catch and shoot

26:22

and 34. Top

26:24

10 pick by the Charlotte Hornets

26:27

James Booknight hasn't panned out a

26:30

leg. Booknight hasn't

26:35

panned out. He was at Project UConn. He

26:37

shot 36% his career, 33% from three.

26:42

Josh Primo was 15 percentile spot

26:44

up, 16 percentile catch and shoot,

26:46

53rd percentile off the bounce.

26:49

Booknight was 59% all off the bounce. He thought

26:51

maybe that would mean that's why he got

26:53

drafted in the top 10 by Charlotte. He was the ninth

26:55

pick or 11th pick so he wasn't touching. Patrick

26:58

Williams, the fifth fourth pick of the draft

27:00

by the Chicago Bulls who has

27:02

been okay. He has the best career of anyone

27:04

here maybe because he was a fourth pick and they

27:06

won't give up on him and he has

27:08

actually turned out to be able to shoot. So this

27:11

is the outlier in this. Patrick Williams but he was

27:13

not terrible frankly. He was 32%, 54 and 70 percentile.

27:18

Not sub 30 in all three. Precious

27:20

Ochoa we mentioned. Nico Mannion was 29%

27:22

in spot up, 28% in catch and

27:25

shoot, 54% all off the bounce. Still didn't

27:28

make it. Cam Reddish. Cam

27:31

Reddish who everybody's wanted to do so well all

27:33

these years and he's getting bounced around and tenth

27:37

pick of the draft by the Atlanta Hawks. It's a career

27:39

39% shooter and 32% from three. He was a 33% dial

27:44

spot up, 27% catch and shoot, 71% off the bounce. Nod's

27:49

are little we just talked about. Last

27:52

year Anthony Black not as bad, 34%

27:55

spot up, 41% catch and shoot, 54% off the bounce. That's not sub. 30

28:01

these are just some of the worst shooters we've ever had in

28:03

our numbers and You're

28:05

wondering what happens to the worst

28:07

shooters Anthony black in his first year played 69

28:09

games He shot surprisingly well 47

28:12

percent from the field and 39 percent from three

28:14

on two attempts a game or in one three attempt

28:16

a game So let's see if that develops Jalen

28:19

hood chafino from last year was a

28:21

22 percentile spot up

28:24

32 percentile catch and shoot and

28:27

was a percentile

28:29

on off the bounce pretty close he shot

28:32

in 21 games he shot 22 percent

28:34

from the field and 13%

28:37

from three interesting Jalen

28:40

Williams of the

28:43

Thunder the big man Was

28:46

a 31 percent spot up and 23 percent catch

28:48

and shoot. He's turned out to be a good

28:50

shooter. It's down to 13 minutes again Zaire

28:54

Williams Early

28:56

I believe top 10 pick by the By

29:01

the Memphis

29:05

Grizzlies not coming up on my charts right now

29:09

Is I or Williams 15 percent out from the

29:11

field or spot up 16 percent out on catch

29:14

and shoot and Is

29:20

50 was 53 percent out so again

29:23

not terrible on off the bounce not-sub-30

29:26

but Zaire Williams

29:29

who at times has shown flashes has generally had

29:31

a hard time making enough shots and

29:33

pulling it up for the data He's got better

29:36

In his second his second and third years in the league,

29:38

so let's just make sure we have it exactly right But

29:43

of course it doesn't want to pull up Here

29:46

we go his career is a 43 percent

29:48

shooter from the field and 30 percent from three

29:50

and Xavier Tillman who

29:53

I mentioned so there you go Those

29:55

are the players those are the work shooters. We've

29:57

seen in five years Julie

30:00

William, Dean Phillips, James Booknight,

30:03

Josh Primo, Patrick Williams, Decent,

30:06

Precious Achewah, Nico Manion, Cam Reddish,

30:09

Nazar Little, Anthony Black, Jalen

30:11

Huchafino, Ryan Rupart, Jalen Williams

30:13

of Arkansas, Zaire Williams and Zaire Timmons. And

30:17

this year's draft, Castle,

30:20

out of Yukon, Matisse

30:23

Pizoulis, and Ron Holland are

30:26

all in that group. And

30:29

quite honestly, with numbers no one else has ever

30:31

had in six years of our data collection as

30:33

bad shooters, that bad a shooter. Haven't

30:37

watched them. You can

30:39

develop a shot in theory. You

30:41

decide. But my data says

30:43

you can't draft that. You

30:45

can decide. Tomorrow, we'll look

30:48

at the rest of that top ten class because there's

30:50

actually three shooters that are guaranteed to be

30:52

five. Interesting

30:55

note on the Dallas Clipper series for tonight. Luca

30:58

Doncic is shooting 39 percent, 27 percent from three.

31:04

He is only four to

31:06

15 when Hardin's defending him and he's

31:08

really struggling when Terrence Man's defending him. Terrence Man's

31:10

had five fouls called on him in four games.

31:15

Five fouls in four games. You

31:20

have to wonder if the new way they're calling

31:22

the game, the one player who I thought would

31:24

be completely unimpacted by it was Luca Doncic. Because

31:28

he's so strong and so powerful. Maybe

31:33

not. Rudy Gobert was plus 24 for

31:35

100 possessions against the Phoenix Suns. Whoo!

31:40

Important trend in the NBA. The

31:42

Miami Heat zone being torched by the Boston Celtics

31:44

right now. Heat played the most zone of any

31:47

team in the league at 13 percent. They've

31:49

only played zone for 8 percent. They're

31:51

allowing 1.52 points per possession in the zone.

31:54

Does this mean that the zone goes by

31:56

the wayside? You would

31:58

have thought the zone would have gotten more important. in the playoffs,

32:00

it's done the opposite. And

32:02

out of New Orleans, David Griffin said, in

32:05

the past we've aired on the side of

32:07

continuity. We needed to see this group together

32:09

healthy. I think we've seen enough.

32:15

Interesting. Who

32:18

on New Orleans intrigues you as a Jazz

32:20

fan? That is locked on Jazz today. I'll

32:22

be back with you tomorrow. We'll look at some of the

32:24

rest of the numbers in the draft. We'll look at the

32:26

three players who are such good

32:29

shooters, two of them particularly. One of them is

32:31

the best shooter we've ever seen. In

32:34

the draft, tomorrow on the show, one

32:37

of them is guaranteed, one of them should be the number one pick of the

32:39

draft. Next, tomorrow

32:42

on Lockdown Jazz. Right now, we send you

32:44

over to the first ever 24-7 national streaming channel.

32:46

If you're on YouTube, Lockdown Sports today. And

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32:52

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