Episode Transcript
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0:05
Welcome everybody to leading off
0:07
right here on fantasy grows MLB.
0:10
Of course, brought to you by Bet 365, Bet 5 bucks. Get
0:12
150 bonus bets when you do. It's
0:14
me, Joey P. Joe Pizzapia. That of course is the
0:17
Welsh and it's you, the peanuts and the cracker jacks,
0:19
having a good old time before the show even starts.
0:21
They're live in the chat. So if you're just bored
0:23
at work or on your lunch break or wherever you
0:25
are and you want to talk some baseball, this is
0:27
the place to do it because everybody right now is
0:30
in this chat. It's live. It's great. In fact, we're
0:32
going to start things off here. We've got Paul Skeens
0:34
day happening right now. Skeens, Skeens, Skeens. Skeens,
0:36
Skeens, Skeens. And here we go
0:39
because somebody just traded Skeens. Our friend, South
0:41
African G. I traded Skeens
0:43
for Marcus Simeon and Jordan Hicks. So I will
0:45
cheer Skeens now on from afar. What do you
0:47
think of this trade? Getting Marcus Simeon? That's a
0:49
really good piece and a pitcher. Although he has
0:52
an expiration date just like Skeens. Yeah, by the
0:54
way, I'm like literally as we're going here, people
0:56
are looking like, what is Welsh doing? I'm like,
0:58
oh, yeah, this game on a Thursday is starting
1:01
in minutes. Maybe your
1:03
boy Welsh wants to get a little
1:05
bet in here and try to add
1:07
to the funsies on Bet 365 with the
1:09
promo code leading off. Just so you know, log in
1:11
using the betting pros app. That's all the things I
1:13
do. All of these things, my friend. All right. So
1:16
boom, we got the bet in. All right. So what
1:18
was the bet? You know, you can tell us the
1:20
bet. You're going to do it. Not even tell us.
1:22
I'm going to go Nerfie. No run for sending Paul
1:24
Skeens and Mason Black going today. So or actually, it
1:26
might be Eric Miller, but we're going to go with
1:28
no runs scored in the first
1:31
inning on that pirate side. And unfortunately, I
1:33
have some other bets, Luisil
1:35
and the under
1:38
innings pitched for Paul Skeens today.
1:40
But all of that aside, we're talking about
1:42
Paul Skeens trades. Yeah, those are
1:44
the type of trades like I am here
1:47
for those type of trades. That's the stuff
1:49
I talk about. You know, the guy who
1:51
told you, you did your trade post schemes.
1:53
And it's like, yeah, for Marcus Simeon. For
1:56
Carbon Burns, for Matt Olson, those are the
1:58
trades you should do. You should
2:00
absolutely do that. But we're
2:02
always open to the possibility, of course, that Paul
2:04
Skeens is just going to be great all year.
2:06
I'm very, very interested today to see
2:09
what that pitch count is going to end up looking
2:11
like. I bet the under 16
2:13
and 1,5 recorded outs, because that, in
2:15
theory, is him going 5 and 2 thirds of
2:17
an inning. I think they're going to temper him
2:20
back. And I don't want to make too much
2:22
about nothing. But I do think there's
2:24
a possibility that if we see some holdback, this
2:26
is going to be a really good telling thing
2:28
of how this team is going to treat Skeens
2:30
moving forward. If they just let him go another
2:32
100 pitches or whatever, they might just let the
2:34
reins go the rest of the year. But if
2:36
you see like the Jared Jones thing, we're
2:39
only going to let him go 5. We're only going to let him go
2:41
75 pitches. You're going to
2:43
understand the shackles that are kind of holding
2:46
him back a little bit from that
2:48
crazy potential. Because, Joe, we also had
2:50
a discussion between
2:52
the rankers here on Fantasy Prose of
2:54
where Skeens is, and we're all over
2:56
the board, between Kelly, between Mayor, between
2:58
myself. Me and Mayor are like 10
3:01
SP spots off from Skeens right now. And
3:03
I'm the high one. And I'm still saying,
3:05
yes, go get Mark Kissimmee in for Skeens.
3:07
Oh, yeah, 100%. I think
3:09
it's a good trade. And you got a picture on top
3:11
of it. That's great. Let's get
3:13
to the headlines, because Juan Soto had two
3:16
more homers now. I should have picked him yesterday.
3:18
I did not. But I did get a homer.
3:20
Just saying. By the way, I don't think Carlos
3:22
is in the chat. It's two days in a
3:24
row. Carlos, it's just a joke. Just
3:26
because Welsh went full Conor McGregor yesterday. Put that
3:28
art up. Put that art back up, because I'm
3:30
not on the master account again. It is just
3:32
a joke, but just a reminder. But I mean,
3:34
I'm just saying, we still want you back.
3:36
It's here somewhere. Where is it? I'm
3:39
looking for it. I have it here, I think. I don't think
3:41
I got rid of it yet. Would I get rid of it
3:43
that quickly? Did you get rid of it for me? I
3:46
don't know. Did I delete that?
3:48
I'm very disappointed. Is that the very top, remember?
3:50
Is that the very top? I didn't. Oh, look,
3:52
I was using you. I did
3:54
there. There it is. But Carlos, come back.
3:56
Hang out. You're still a peanut in a
3:58
cracker, Jax. There it is. I thought it just
4:01
because Welsh fought it on you doesn't mean that you're not
4:03
allowed here in the chat We love you troll and
4:05
you were completely wrong. You can just come
4:08
back and apologize But that's the problem is
4:10
like if you're not here until next week
4:12
or ever again That's not
4:14
a good look Carlos. You got to show
4:16
up. Yeah, God I was you know what
4:18
I was thinking about too yesterday is people
4:20
would have I could imagine people being like,
4:22
oh, yeah Well, what would you have done
4:24
this type of banter if fought got blow
4:26
up blew up? No, absolutely not Wouldn't have
4:28
you want to know why cuz I didn't
4:30
go no I don't know I
4:32
didn't go to Carlos's work and be like, uh, Ready
4:34
thoughts amazing you should trade for him you come in
4:37
here and you told me for no reason that was
4:39
all we had a lot Of fun. I will tell
4:41
you good time I did watch that video quite
4:43
a few times we put out there and
4:45
of all the stuff. I Don't
4:48
know where it came from my macho
4:50
man voice. It was improved. It was
4:52
amazing. No, it was quite Dan Soder
4:55
level Maybe it's a step below mine,
4:57
but it was definitely improved step Definitely
4:59
in the improvement category max freed also
5:01
is improving toss a complete game two
5:03
runs one earn nine case for him
5:06
Orange Solaire good day for him Giants
5:09
had a big comeback here victory over
5:11
the Pirates yesterday. So Jared Jones unfortunately in the
5:13
wrong side of that He pitched well though three
5:16
runs six hits six innings But again, Brian Reynolds
5:18
had the grand slam It wasn't enough at the
5:20
end of the day the bullpen gave it up
5:22
speaking of bullpen's giving it up That's
5:25
bullpen Rea Garrett
5:28
didn't look too good yesterday. No throw that
5:31
out there Some
5:33
people some I'm not naming the people but
5:36
some people Wanted
5:38
you to maybe do an Edwin
5:41
Diaz Video
5:45
I'm not gonna do it. My job is
5:47
to be right as often as I can
5:49
be that's just my job I'm not quite
5:51
as obnoxious as the Welsh most days most
5:54
days. I'm usually not like no,
5:56
you're not You poke
5:58
the bear then you get to get attacked. That's
6:00
what happens sometimes. You just can't, can't keep
6:02
thinking. Now, wait
6:06
a minute. Fantasy Pros MLB is saying Carlos did
6:08
comment on yesterday's video. I don't know what that
6:11
comment is. So Carlos did watch. So Carlos, we
6:13
need a screenshot. I don't know
6:15
what it is. So I will get
6:17
that Mayo is going to get it to me. So
6:19
hopefully he gets it. Hazel Sizzardo eight strong
6:22
innings. What a pitcher's duel. This was one
6:24
nothing game here. Freddie Peralta was terrific. Seven
6:26
case for him. He gave up one run
6:28
and he lost the game. That sucks. But
6:30
still good star from Peralta against the
6:32
Marlins, but better than Lazardo again, who's up and
6:34
down all over the place. He's a tough one
6:36
to gauge. If I'm the Marlins, I'm calling teams
6:39
right now. Take him right now before the bad
6:41
star comes again. Well, you know what though? Okay.
6:43
To, to that point, maybe I
6:45
actually think this is that type of thing that
6:47
you start thinking about. Okay. If you've got people
6:49
that are, you know, really off the Lazardo train,
6:52
this might be a good time to buy because
6:54
the reason to like it is if he goes
6:57
to a new destination, if he were to, you
6:59
know, whoever Atlanta goes and trades for him, that's
7:01
a positive. These last couple of starts have been
7:03
positive. He has a three and
7:05
a half expected ERA right now. His K's are
7:07
down, but they're up since he's gotten back. His
7:10
walks in line. He's just giving up a little
7:12
too much hard hit stuff, but I think it's
7:14
going to backtrack. So I actually think if you
7:16
can buy them on the cheap, cheap, it's
7:19
not a bad idea. Oh, I got a low low
7:21
on the cheap, cheap on the low lows. Great
7:23
job by Mike. Mayor. It's the only good thing he's going
7:26
to do all year. He got
7:28
me all of the comments from Carlos and
7:30
they're terrific. Carlos obviously was busy yesterday. He
7:32
couldn't make the show live, but he's like,
7:34
it's Welsh with a capital W water performance
7:37
by font and clapping hands emoji. Of course
7:39
I'm happy Gilmore and your chubs. Meanwhile, Joe
7:41
is shooting McGavin. Also
7:43
true. Probably. Oh, that is true. That
7:46
is totally true. You
7:49
know what I eat for breakfast. I'm really
7:51
sorry. I miss this live, but I like how
7:53
the show ended up. I'll be with you all
7:55
tomorrow. So hopefully he's here at some point live,
7:57
but all right. So Carlos, you're all.
8:00
Good, buddy. I know sometimes we actually, you know,
8:02
lives and jobs and stuff going
8:04
on. So good on you, Carlos. You're back in
8:06
the fold again. It's all good. This is what
8:08
you do. You have some fun. We're having fun.
8:10
Fantasy baseball is supposed to be fun. All right.
8:13
Justin Steele was not fun. Maybe five runs, five
8:15
strikeouts. Did you text him yesterday? What the hell
8:17
is going on? Is he already over five and
8:20
a half? Well, I didn't. I mean, I, yeah,
8:22
I, I'd point out this was like, it was
8:24
a little aside ever since he decided to do
8:26
the podcast, not with me, but go do it
8:29
with Marty mush. Results haven't been
8:31
that great. So this is kind of pointing it out
8:33
there, but no, I, I'm not going to text them when
8:35
things are going back. So mayor taking
8:37
it a step further. So this is the only other
8:39
thing he'll do all year. That's going to be useful.
8:42
Post to the comments in the discord
8:44
for everyone to see from Carlos. So
8:46
good job, mayor. Good job, Carlos. Good
8:48
job, Ethan, Tyler, everybody put that little
8:50
thing together yesterday on social media too.
8:52
We're having a good time. We are
8:54
having a good time. And you know, and the funnest part about
8:56
it, but it's not a word is, by
8:59
the way, people don't know if you've looked on
9:01
the social media, the petty stuff, that was my
9:03
idea because like I can, I'm totally petty with
9:05
it, but that we had a team
9:09
willing to rally around my pettiness.
9:12
It's incredible. And I got people make an
9:14
art for me. I got people cutting up
9:16
videos for social for me all just to
9:18
be petty. It's a
9:21
lot. It's beautiful. Now, speaking of a
9:23
lot, some fun things. So Welsh also
9:25
was out on the streets yesterday of
9:27
Arizona, watching some complex league baseball, seeing
9:29
Louise Robert, you know, was excited about
9:31
this, this guy, Oh boy,
9:33
I want to see all the clips from Louise
9:35
Robert hitting the home runs. That sure would be
9:37
great. That'd be fantastic. Let's see this. So
9:40
let's, let's get a look at
9:42
it here. So here's a from Welsh's IG
9:45
account from his ex account. You can follow him
9:47
at, is it the Welsh? No, yeah. From my
9:49
Twitter at, is it the Welsh? Yep.
9:51
We can hear the
9:54
bat too, which is nice. So let's go. Yeah,
9:57
you will. So, all right. Can you hear me? Can you hear
9:59
me? near you, but there's no video
10:01
playing. So play the video. Well, I'm going to play
10:04
it here in just a second. I'm
10:06
just setting this thing up. So Luis
10:08
Robert first game back from the injury.
10:10
He's getting set to go. He's in
10:12
complex ball. This is the second pitch
10:14
that he's seen. This poor kid throws
10:16
one high fastball up, doesn't swing.
10:18
This is the second pitch
10:20
and goodbye. Sounds
10:25
good. Looks healthy, looks
10:27
strong. And
10:29
listen to the kids. They
10:34
are so excited, these kids
10:36
that he just hit a homer. And
10:38
they all rally around him at the
10:40
end when he comes back up. And
10:42
it doesn't quite live up
10:44
when you hear the sound, like on the video.
10:46
But the entire team is right
10:48
here. If you're watching on the video side,
10:51
the entire team is up. You're ready to
10:53
give high fives. It's boom, boom, boom. They
10:55
just got to Luis Robert. And guess what?
10:58
Luis Robert, he's back. He
11:00
is back. Unfortunately, though, look where this
11:02
ball landed. Oh, jeez. Oh,
11:04
no. That's not what you want to have
11:07
happen. Poor girl. She's got the worst luck.
11:10
Liz McGuire is having the worst luck. Let's
11:13
move on to more fun things. Corey
11:16
Seager, that was fun. Two for three with a homer.
11:18
So I'm still on the board there. Luis Arise, first
11:20
homer of 2024. Look at you. Look
11:23
at what you did, Luis. So proud of
11:25
you. Alex Bregman, 0 for 4, as the
11:27
cleanup hitter. So he is now hitless
11:29
in the series against the Angels. Just wanted to
11:32
throw that out there, because that's fun. That hurts
11:34
me. Alex Bregman
11:36
is my kryptonite this
11:38
year. He's really putting
11:40
a squeeze on me, I got to say. George
11:42
Springer, also putting the squeeze on everybody who rosters
11:44
him. He was out of the lineup yesterday after
11:46
going hitless in the last two games. He's down
11:48
to 194, 276, 285. What
11:53
has happened to George Springer? You
11:56
could have been out on George Springer, but this is
11:58
kind of absurd at this point, almost two months. into
12:00
the season. So I actually was, I just did
12:02
a show the other day, we were talking about
12:04
this. I'm not like completely out. And that was
12:07
the discussion is like, when do you cut bait
12:09
on a guy like George Springer? And that's actually
12:11
what sparked some of our conversation yesterday on getting
12:13
rid of potentially Evan Carter. I'd get rid of
12:15
Carter before I got rid of Springer because there
12:18
are still some of those underlying things. Last year,
12:20
you also saw the struggles from
12:22
Springer in April, and then he picked it up
12:24
in May. This is extending a little bit more.
12:26
So I guess the question could end up being
12:28
like, all right, is this age?
12:31
Is this finally falling back? Or is
12:33
this part of this entire team context
12:36
of struggles? I think plenty of the
12:38
underlying things are still there. He's still
12:40
stealing bases at a pretty hard clip.
12:43
So here's my thesis to it. I'm
12:45
gonna hold, I'm gonna hold for a couple more weeks,
12:48
preferably get him on the bench if he is
12:50
really killing you. But I don't want to get
12:52
rid of him yet, because those stolen base numbers
12:54
look great. And I think some of the underlying
12:56
stuff is still supporting him. If that
12:59
turnaround ends up happening. By
13:01
the way, Mayor trolling you in the chat
13:03
here, shake my head, Welsh making us listen
13:05
to children laughing. More than one
13:07
kid I can't imagine, like, if kids
13:10
are like, Look at me, dad, I'm
13:12
walking me like, whatever. The
13:14
sound of the sound of children
13:16
laughing is like nails on a
13:18
chalkboard to mayor. Imagine must
13:20
be tough to be Mike mayor happiness. Yeah,
13:24
look at me, I can spell car.
13:26
Yeah, we can you pay for one.
13:28
You know how people like it? And I
13:31
face kid at night will listen to like,
13:33
you know, the sounds of the ocean and
13:35
stuff like that. Like mayor is definitely the
13:37
type of guy that's listening to like trash
13:39
compactors just destroying cars and stuff like that,
13:42
and explosions and putting on Oppenheimer in the
13:44
background. That's the type of
13:46
mayor movie. I just want to say, all
13:48
right, let's get to some rookie business here.
13:50
The Diamondbacks option slay Chaconi to AAA Reno
13:53
all but luckily we have some other guys
13:55
to talk about because it's time for
13:57
everybody's favorite segment. It's time for a
13:59
prospect. with the Welsh that's right Chris
14:01
Welsh is gonna look down on the farm
14:03
to see what prospects we need to update
14:05
on last week obviously we had
14:08
some deep dive there's some double-a guys come
14:10
up the triple-a some old names
14:12
some new names some old friends some
14:14
new friends so Welsh let's start prospecting
14:17
let's start prospecting so today's
14:19
prospecting is not so
14:22
stache ish as much as it is
14:24
a report bringing back to you
14:26
the big names because we completely moved away
14:28
from it last week and we didn't talk
14:30
about any of those guys so this is
14:32
going to bring back the forefront of some
14:34
of the things that you need to know
14:36
on the biggest prospects that about been on
14:39
people's minds so number one I tried to
14:41
get art made today we couldn't get it done free
14:43
James Wood I don't play this
14:46
free this guy game a whole
14:48
bunch but I am playing
14:50
it with James Wood ladies and gentlemen James Wood
14:52
is batting 385 in triple-a 385 with nine homers
14:55
and ten
14:59
stolen bases he has a 34
15:01
to 37 walk
15:03
to strikeout ratio he
15:05
has homered in back-to-back games in
15:07
triple-a and has seven homers in
15:09
the month of May but
15:12
Welsh maybe he has some
15:14
bad splits well the lefty
15:16
hits 370 against righties and 316
15:20
against lefties Joe I've got a game for you
15:22
are you ready I am ready I like games
15:25
point zero eight seven point
15:27
one eight zero point one eight
15:29
four point two two six and point two
15:31
seven five do you know what those numbers
15:33
are I don't know but you just
15:35
sunk my battleship that
15:38
was really good those are the batting
15:40
averages of the outfielders in Washington remind
15:42
you four of those
15:44
five numbers were under 227
15:47
those are the batting averages
15:50
of the outfielders in Washington
15:52
how about one more for
15:54
you 14 that's the
15:56
combined number of homers from
15:59
all of those outfielders and James Wood
16:01
has nine in there. Big,
16:04
huge, hard hit numbers. Great ratios
16:06
as far as splits go. Great
16:08
batting average, not striking out, doing
16:11
it all. He's stealing bases and
16:14
he almost has as many homers
16:16
as the entire major league nationals
16:18
outfield combined. Free
16:21
James Wood now. That's
16:24
people in the chat asking, what do we think
16:26
about James Wood? He has got to be number
16:28
one and it has to be soon. Very
16:30
still available in like 40 plus
16:33
percent of leagues, which is stunning
16:35
to me still. Free James Wood. All
16:37
right. Yeah. Here are two more
16:39
updates on the other two big names that
16:42
people are talking about. Junior Camonaro. What's been
16:44
up with Junior Camonaro? He's played
16:46
three games at second base. Correlation
16:48
is not causation necessarily in this
16:50
case, but over his last three
16:52
games, Hitless 0 for
16:54
12, his batting average has now dropped down to
16:56
270. But
16:58
they're still good counting stats. Brandon
17:01
Lau was activated, but since he was activated, 0,
17:03
0 is the number of hits
17:05
that he has. So
17:08
I could play that game again, but there has been
17:10
some struggle in there. Is it with a
17:12
causation correlation? I don't know. I wrote it down because
17:14
it was brilliant. It's a Welshism. Give it again. It's
17:17
a, well, it's going in the book. It's going in
17:19
the big book of Welshisms. That's what this is. I
17:21
think it's a real one. We just published this on
17:23
Amazon at some point. Very good.
17:25
The correlation of him hitting second base
17:27
isn't necessarily the struggle, but learning new,
17:30
a new position defensively might have his mind
17:32
somewhere else because he's been struggling offensively. So
17:34
with Lau back and some of the struggles
17:36
over the last couple of games, I don't
17:38
know if it's imminent. My guess was made
17:40
24th. That ain't happening. But
17:43
Camonaro is holding tight. Number
17:45
three on this list. Orovis
17:47
Martinez. Oh, everybody loved
17:49
Orovis Martinez. It was a love fest. Well,
17:52
over the last four, this was a great
17:54
stat that I had for you. Four
17:57
games in April. He did not have
17:59
a hit. You remember that Joe when we talked about that?
18:02
Sort of yeah, who's amazing everyone all the people
18:04
that don't pay attention to prospects. Oh my god
18:06
We need a real this Martinez. He had four
18:09
games where he didn't have a hit in April.
18:11
That's amazing. Well in May Six
18:14
games he has a hit
18:16
and only six games on May
18:18
1st. The role of this was hitting 310 He
18:21
is now hitting 243
18:24
after hitting 154 in May overall So
18:27
the positive news is he's got four homers and
18:29
we've not seen a dramatic Spike
18:31
in his K percentage But again
18:33
those people that really never have watched where
18:35
all this before and we're only looking at
18:38
stats and stuff like that It's a rude
18:40
awakening because it ain't working
18:42
as mentioned earlier in the year. He
18:44
had never hit 275
18:47
over 275 this is something I had said in the
18:49
last two years. He'd hit under 244
18:52
or worse so his current average
18:54
by the way is 243. He's
18:56
got 11 homers zero stolen bases
18:59
the Aurovus Martinez Excitement
19:02
and joy was a little premature and he
19:04
might not be coming anytime soon I've got
19:06
one more and then a couple quick little
19:08
fun notes. This is one that you actually
19:10
can stash Potentially and I would
19:13
K to po vich John means
19:16
elbow is not good the Orioles
19:18
They're waiting on the results and if it's
19:20
bad po vich You
19:23
are the starter. That's right over nine. Oh,
19:25
that was worth the wait. That was worth
19:27
the build. Thank you over nine starts in
19:29
Triple-a he's got a 2.08 ERA 65
19:33
strikeouts over 47 innings pitch. He does not
19:35
have an overpowering fastball He touched like 93
19:38
in his last start fits around 91 and
19:40
a half But the deception led that fastball
19:42
to have a 45 percent
19:44
whiff rate in his last start
19:46
Fastball change-up cutter curveball guy and
19:49
he's held batters to under a 200 batting
19:51
average Here's another fun fact on
19:53
him or a fun fact He's
19:56
third in baseball and strikeouts behind
19:58
his teammates chance McCormick and
20:00
he has the lowest ERA among starters
20:02
in AAA. If
20:05
Means is out, they may be going to
20:07
Kate Povich. So that would be a guy
20:09
I would stash. Joey, the last
20:11
two things, I've got two prospect fun facts for you
20:13
going on in the minors right now. Are you ready?
20:16
I'm ready, let's do it. Your minor league
20:18
home run leader, Davison
20:21
De Los Santos, who's 21 years
20:23
old with 14 homers. By
20:26
the way, that's as many homers as the entire
20:28
Nationals outfield. 14 homers, he's 21 years old. He
20:31
has 37 RBI in 38 games. He's
20:34
hitting .372 with a 22% K percentage. He's
20:38
played two games at AAA since being moved
20:40
up. He already has a couple more hits.
20:43
The fun part about it all, this is
20:45
the guy that was rule five from the
20:48
Diamondbacks to the Guardians. Then
20:50
the Guardians let him go and returned him to
20:52
the Diamondbacks. He is the minor league leader in
20:54
homers. And then the second, maybe
20:56
pay attention to this guy, twins Zebby Matthews,
20:58
who's a starting pitcher. He's a 24 year
21:00
old pitcher who started at high A. He's
21:02
now in AA. He's got a 1.34
21:05
ERA with a .6 whip across 40 innings. Here's
21:09
the fun. He has 51 strikeouts
21:11
of this year to one walk.
21:14
He struck out 49 batters
21:17
before he issued his first walk.
21:20
Maybe we see some Zebby at
21:23
some point in this year. That is my prospect
21:25
report stash, whatever you want to call it for
21:27
this week. All right, Welsh, you're gonna have to
21:29
close up shop. Cause once again, we are
21:32
in the danger zone. We're in
21:34
the no fly zone again, where my stream yard
21:36
is frozen. Oh no, I'm not
21:38
on the main account. I
21:40
don't know what to tell you folks. Let's
21:42
just keep going. We're just gonna keep going.
21:44
That's been prospecting with the Welsh. Make sure
21:47
you follow Welsh on the X at Is
21:49
It The Welsh? And of course, check out
21:51
all his amazing work at fancybros.com. Let's
21:53
get to some more news and notes here. I'm gonna have
21:55
to work it off my phone here cause I'm a true
21:57
professional. People are saying in the chat, I saw you before.
22:00
What do we have to do to get Joe to
22:02
be here in September? Well, you have to talk to
22:04
my psychiatrist because I can't possibly continue to do all
22:06
those things at the same time. Oh, it's not now.
22:08
Sign up for a lot of premium accounts on baseball.
22:10
Sign up for a lot of premium accounts on baseball.
22:12
Hey, look, we had a million views so far this
22:14
year. That's pretty astounding. And it's only May. It's
22:17
back. We're rocking, rolling. Let's go. All right. Now, I
22:20
don't know how long it's going to last, but again,
22:22
this is... It's in and
22:24
out, folks, just like my sanity.
22:26
That's kind of where we are. I don't know why. Between
22:30
the Discord thing yesterday, Welsh... It's
22:32
Carlos. It's maybe. But
22:34
between Discord yesterday on cleaning up and
22:38
between all the stuff right now that we're trying
22:40
to get done, and this should be easy stuff,
22:43
it's very frustrating. I don't know why my technology
22:45
is all of a sudden out of nowhere just
22:47
deciding to quit on me. All right. Let's get
22:49
to things that we're not going to quit on.
22:52
The up and the down, the three up, Elias
22:54
Diaz, three for five with a two-run homer, Beau
22:57
Bachete two for four with a homer, and Cole
22:59
Reagans, 12 strikeouts for him. Welsh, what did you
23:01
make of that performance by Cole Reagans yesterday against
23:03
the Tigers? Cole Reagans was on a thing. I
23:05
think he had like four innings, no
23:08
hit, and then
23:10
he ended up big, big strikeout numbers, hat
23:12
tip, and shout out to my boy Dennis
23:15
Siddler, who had a signing with Cole Reagans.
23:17
I had this awesome Cole Reagans thing. I'm
23:19
excited to show everybody. But yeah, it was
23:21
good because that was a very Tariq Skooble
23:23
game. Like everybody was very, very hyper focused
23:25
on Tariq Skooble and how he had been.
23:27
Reagans had been a little shaky here and
23:29
there, huge, huge performance, great buying opportunities over
23:31
the last couple of weeks with some of
23:33
those struggles. Also,
23:35
the three down, Tariq Skooble,
23:37
not the best start for him. I mean,
23:39
it's not really a down, but, you
23:42
know, five innings, four runs, that's not what you're
23:44
looking for for Skooble. Nick Nastrini,
23:47
nine runs and three and a third. So thanks
23:49
for coming here, Nick. Bryce Miller,
23:51
five earned and five hits, three homers. Bryce
23:53
Miller gave up against the Yankees. So it
23:55
was not a good day. Two of those,
23:57
two, one, Soto. Bad news on the injury
23:59
front. As always, Xander Bogart is
24:01
going to miss significant time here. If you put
24:03
him on the I.O. with a fractured shoulder, he
24:06
could miss up to two months. What was your
24:08
thoughts? Absolutely
24:10
brutal. What's even crazier about the
24:12
whole thing is like that's one
24:14
of those things where you could, I don't know if
24:17
they want to kill it or mess with it. But
24:19
if Jackson Merrill is of the
24:21
future to play in the infield, this would
24:23
be an opportunity for them to bring
24:26
Jackson Merrill back in, play some second
24:28
base, but then you would need some
24:30
more outfield help. And this team just
24:32
traded away Jacob Marcy. He's
24:36
out. There's they didn't decide to
24:38
sign Tommy fam. So I'm not
24:40
really sure what the in game
24:42
is going to be. I mean, you do have
24:44
I mean, here's the fix. Luis Arrais, I guess,
24:46
fixes that, of course, because he can play second
24:48
base. Keep Cronin worth at first. That's probably what
24:50
they end up doing. But you're going to see
24:52
more arise in the in the infield.
24:54
Brutal, brutal blow for Xander Bogart. He
24:56
was also clearly one of those dudes like
24:59
I was trying to buy early in the
25:01
season. It's wrong. You can cut because it's
25:03
also been a slow year. So you can
25:05
move off. All right. Merrill
25:07
Kelly scheduled to undergo a follow-up MRI
25:09
exam on his shoulder. We
25:11
have Kevin Cash telling us that Josh Lowe
25:13
is going to go an MRI. He has
25:15
an injured side. So that means oblique, which
25:17
means see you in a month. Maybe Aloya
25:19
Menes on the aisle again this time with
25:21
other ham. Is
25:25
that show? Oh, no. Oh,
25:29
no. I'm
25:32
back. Puppet
25:36
Joe is back. I
25:40
knew it was going to go eventually. I
25:42
knew I knew it. No, you don't get puppet Joe Ted.
25:44
One more puppet. Yeah, I thought it was me. I
25:47
but it was you the whole time. I was waiting.
25:50
I was waiting for it to completely crap out. I
25:52
couldn't believe that you could even hear me the
25:55
way it was. Well, you had frozen and I could hear
25:57
you talking great. And I'm like, oh crap. I think it's
25:59
me and then. When it went away, I said,
26:01
oh no, I think and then when your
26:03
video went out done
26:06
done done How
26:09
so I don't know that's going on I don't there's like
26:11
stuff in the area whatever it is It's
26:13
annoying and it only happens at this time of day
26:15
everything I do all the other shows all the other
26:17
videos This is the only time of day where it
26:19
happens. Of course. It's only time over life. Ah Do
26:22
we talk about Aloya Menes? Did you hear me talk about him? Oh,
26:25
I don't know. I was Men
26:27
on the IL in case you didn't know that with
26:29
a hamstring issue your thoughts on Aloya Menes Is this
26:31
just done are we just completely done with him for
26:34
ever now? Like I was giving him a benefit of
26:36
the doubt this year because going into the season we
26:38
said lucky so cheap Why
26:40
not take a flyer? I mean so and I
26:42
supported it But now
26:45
I'm just I think it's just forever done.
26:47
Yeah, I don't know he's in Luxon territory
26:49
That's where he is. No, dude. No, no,
26:51
no, no Eloy is his own beast the
26:53
guys like what 26 and
26:55
he has I don't know 45
26:59
different IL stints or pulled from games I
27:01
mean the complex, you know rehabbing white Sox
27:03
is gonna be the greatest team you've ever
27:05
seen. It's gonna be monk Annually,
27:08
it's gonna be Moncotta and Eloy and Robert.
27:10
Yeah, I don't From
27:12
a dynasty perspective Eloy is an absolute disaster
27:14
because you also see the great play that
27:16
happens from him But yeah, this is a
27:18
this is this is a reconformation
27:21
of that guy needs to be
27:24
rebuilt we need Antimanium
27:26
put into his body or something because this
27:28
ain't working Austin Riley is
27:30
also not working but he hit off a tee
27:32
yesterday. So there you go So in addition to
27:34
many kindergartners also Austin Riley hit off a tee
27:37
yesterday Ryan Pepe Oh allows
27:39
three runs over his four innings in return
27:41
to the raised rotation John means as you
27:43
mentioned earlier No bueno the
27:45
starting against the Cardinals after three innings
27:47
due to elbow discomfort Garrett Whitlock Will
27:50
meet with also the doctor
27:53
to get a second opinion on his
27:55
stuff So there you have the doctor
27:57
to get his second opinion because now
27:59
the guys are doing the work in the house
28:01
are locked out. I told them I'm not available till after
28:03
one o'clock and it's that's why they're cutting your internet.
28:06
Maybe, maybe they're cutting it off there. But
28:08
Welsh, let's get through this
28:10
show. We can do it. I believe in us. It's
28:13
time for the best bets of
28:15
the day with Joey P and the Welsh
28:17
make sure you go ahead and make your
28:20
bets over on bet 365. That five bets
28:22
that have been by that
28:24
five bucks get 150 and bonus
28:26
bets. I am coming apart of
28:28
the seams Welsh use that promo
28:30
code leading off when you make
28:32
your wagers at bet 365. Again,
28:34
that's bet 365 promo code leading
28:36
off Welsh. Let's get
28:38
after it. Let's do this here. I'm going to
28:40
start here again. It's the light's latest Thursday, but
28:43
we had a couple of things we're honing in
28:45
on the first for me Toronto on the money
28:47
line against Detroit minus one 10 Baltimore minus two
28:49
and a half right now on the run line
28:51
plus one to wait Grayson Rodriguez on the mound
28:53
against the lowly white Sox. I like this one
28:55
a lot. This might be my favorite bet of
28:57
the day and you're getting plus money I
29:00
had to move up to the alternate line to in
29:02
some places to get that Gunner Henderson total base is
29:04
over one and a half minus 125 again. I think
29:07
that's a great opportunity here. Clevenger on the mound
29:09
for the white Sox. White Sox are not
29:11
good Orioles are give me Grayson to kind
29:13
of beat up on the white Sox today
29:15
and same game parlay Orioles minus
29:17
two and a half on the alternate run
29:19
line. Grayson Rodriguez over six and a half
29:22
strikeouts. You put those two things together in
29:24
the SGP and you get plus two six
29:26
seven Welsh. What do you have for the
29:28
people? Well, I'm
29:30
a big stupid idiot and I was the first
29:32
thing I said at the top of the show.
29:34
I'm like, Oh, nerfy for the Pirates. Boom. That's
29:36
gone. So that's how we start today, but it
29:38
did have two other bets that don't count for
29:40
this. I went the schemes, the under
29:43
recorded outs and Louise Gail who by
29:45
the way, three strikeouts, no hits of
29:47
the first two innings. Boy, has that
29:49
been my so all of that to
29:51
be said, I'm giving you
29:53
one bet on this show today. And
29:55
I was a little inspired by a conversation
29:57
we had earlier this week. Because.
30:00
Luckily this is going to be
30:02
three baths because we are climbing
30:04
the ladder. I am latter betting
30:07
today. Joey. I'm
30:09
taken some risky risks here I
30:12
am ladder betting. Shock.
30:14
Celerity. On his strikeout.
30:16
I have been an anti Flaherty guy,
30:18
but it is hard to deny how
30:21
good he has been the season. Also,
30:23
the matchup? This guy tough. So here
30:25
is the play for me. I'm
30:28
going six seven and eight
30:30
strikeouts. Six. That's. The
30:33
money play. Well, the anti money play because there's
30:35
a bunch of juice. Minus one forty five. But.
30:38
I am assuming that's a lot and then
30:40
going to seven strikeouts a plus one forty
30:42
five and I'm taking it to eight strikeouts
30:44
which is plus to eighty. Blue Jays are
30:47
lower strike out team but they are worse
30:49
against righties. I went look this up six
30:51
times this year of the Blue Jays about
30:53
a starter. Strikeout. Eight or
30:55
more against them. Five. Of those
30:58
six right handed pitcher is the one
31:00
was Oregon's. Ten. Times this
31:02
year a starter his had six or more
31:04
strikeouts against them. Nine Of Those
31:06
Ten. Righties. Or.
31:09
Of the last nine starts this year, for
31:11
of his nine starts, Flaherty has struck out
31:13
eight or more. Alas, Start at
31:15
nine strikeouts which was against the Diamond
31:18
Backs were kind of a similar strike
31:20
out his team. So if Flaherty is
31:22
for real, The. Strikeouts should be obtainable
31:24
for the day. I'm ladder betting
31:26
it how I ladder bet. I
31:28
do my for unit play on the minus money
31:31
and then I just the better way to do
31:33
it is lower your unit rates as you go
31:35
up. I kind of didn't. Gotta. Make
31:37
up also for that Murphy. So I'm ladder
31:39
betting. Jack Flaherty. Gotta. Help me
31:41
and god help us all about I
31:43
got same something I did not see
31:46
coming today and re asked about you
31:48
are update or poster betting answer yes
31:50
you could fall wells and myself for
31:52
better or worse over on betting prose.com/joe/well
31:54
she's all of their the good, the
31:56
bad the ugly. It's been a lot
31:58
of ugly lately. Imo be betting has
32:01
been a rough so far my future's best. still
32:03
very much alive in a lot of places which
32:05
is good. Us and my Nfl betting right now
32:07
on their our last couple years. it is the
32:09
up and down to be all is really felt
32:12
like I went three you know yesterday and it
32:14
was reduces hey man no excuses you were good
32:16
yeah three hours bad yes Run our ally in
32:18
the league is downright now. So yeah that's exactly
32:20
right it it's a rough it's rough patch into
32:23
that like may he is area of baseball night.
32:25
he got a keypad and you gotta find a
32:27
different angles and ago you the betting prose apps
32:29
are getting. Smarter, not harder. That's what you
32:31
want to do. So if you're doing all
32:33
those things, likely make sure you again placing
32:36
your wagers over a pet three, six, five,
32:38
right? Now with the promo code A
32:40
leading off again: Seventeen or over in
32:42
Kentucky Gambling Problem: Last eighteen or over?
32:45
seventeen? Do you still in high school?
32:47
Eighteen or over In Kentucky Gambling Problem:
32:49
Got one hundred gambler or one hundred
32:51
beds off and I were terms and
32:53
conditions apply that. Will. Do it
32:55
for Thursday's bats Bats of the Day
32:57
with Joey Be and the Welsh. I.
33:00
Gotta say, I'm struggle boss right now. was
33:02
I about how many balls in the air.
33:04
The. Technical Things: I think I've finally
33:07
ends. On. Finally broken up as
33:09
he gets and we waited this long we
33:11
find the got it Might Mayor has his. His.
33:13
His his join us as we want. Let's get that
33:15
makes. You. Don't get me back on
33:17
track. the home run board oh my god is
33:20
great involved time for you. it's ridiculous. Haven't seen
33:22
right up there paths he saw to have my
33:24
bets have been crap but that's right or wrong
33:26
cause of bizarre you did I not you know
33:28
what I will you're doing well I was I
33:30
was never die with that's their job I know
33:33
what I'm doing it I was we good have
33:35
seen the A now it's tough because has or
33:37
how many games we had this year and you
33:39
only have seventeen homers but you know you know
33:41
what? the our ally the purses the plus money
33:43
is on it's had you bet every single home
33:45
run call this year. i bet you would
33:47
have some pretty crazy returns as well as the map
33:50
you that down and you know what that does dumb
33:52
on my part i should be logging those as well
33:54
now have bet them privately a few times but i
33:56
tend not to put those on there because they are
33:58
such dark threat harm runs are tough let's be honest
34:01
but I play I play a little not I've got 17 so what
34:04
there's been how many games in baseball we get to
34:07
we at 50 mark right now right where
34:09
are we 60s make
34:11
up a number I'll say yes yeah no how many
34:13
games in the major league season have we have I
34:15
have no idea let's call it like 40 something no
34:18
it's more than that it's more than that
34:20
I'm scared to do anything on my MLB
34:22
standings I know I'm scared to hold my
34:24
hand it'll be here 50 50
34:28
by Cleveland if so just about so so I've called a
34:31
home run at least I've gotten home runs 17 times
34:33
that's a pretty good only problem is
34:35
you had a couple that were dual
34:37
I did Harper Alvarez and Soto I
34:39
got some multiple but if you figure
34:41
you're getting at least three to
34:43
one on your money on homework what you usually
34:45
do yeah no I'm saying the average is like
34:48
the low is three and you're getting four
34:50
to five I would bet you it's somewhere
34:52
between a five and ten unit like
34:56
a positive net positive for you if you
34:58
had bet every single Homer I don't do
35:00
that I tend to play I know you
35:02
actually never bet homers I'll bet total bases
35:04
over on my home run guys but you
35:06
get less juice and stuff like you've been
35:08
amazing I'm a big old stinky people want
35:10
puppet Joe shirts this is getting out of
35:12
control but I we told you if we
35:14
get the 25,000 subscribers we will
35:16
just replace us with puppets we're
35:19
gonna buy the puppets we're gonna make puppet versions
35:21
of ourselves into the whole show that way I
35:23
am thinking about Jim Henson style I might make
35:25
a sock puppet Joe version of it but maybe
35:27
I feel like I need to be arson crashed
35:29
for the weekend that's good that's fun all right
35:31
I'm picking Gunnar Henderson for my home run call
35:33
tonight I saw somebody else in the chat was
35:35
doing that as well so yes we're rolling together
35:37
Welsh where are you going for your home
35:39
run call tonight I know we all but again work
35:42
got in the way for Welsh again but what
35:44
do you got for the people yeah sorry prospect
35:47
day tomorrow I will if we do
35:49
not get the home run today 100% fun Friday
35:52
we are wheeling it on Friday and if
35:54
Carlos shows up I'll let him pick it
35:56
maybe I'll let him do a little cheese bow pick
35:58
Fred Dinger says Papa Joe was added to the
36:01
home run call sheet. So there you go. Oh
36:03
yeah, we should do that. I'm going to go
36:05
with Bellinger. So I'm going to go with belly
36:07
today. There's a good home run per nine matchup
36:09
that he's got. So give me Cody Bellinger on
36:11
the home run call. Get me
36:14
on the damn board, please. There you go. On
36:16
the damn board. All right. That'll do it for
36:18
us. But the story of the game goes on
36:20
for the Welsh. I'm Joey P. We'll see you
36:22
next time, kids. Enjoy your day baseball. Bye, everybody.
36:31
Bye.
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