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MLB: Leading Off May 23rd, 2024 (EP. 818)

MLB: Leading Off May 23rd, 2024 (EP. 818)

Released Thursday, 23rd May 2024
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MLB: Leading Off May 23rd, 2024 (EP. 818)

MLB: Leading Off May 23rd, 2024 (EP. 818)

MLB: Leading Off May 23rd, 2024 (EP. 818)

MLB: Leading Off May 23rd, 2024 (EP. 818)

Thursday, 23rd May 2024
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Episode Transcript

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0:05

Welcome everybody to leading off

0:07

right here on fantasy grows MLB.

0:10

Of course, brought to you by Bet 365, Bet 5 bucks. Get

0:12

150 bonus bets when you do. It's

0:14

me, Joey P. Joe Pizzapia. That of course is the

0:17

Welsh and it's you, the peanuts and the cracker jacks,

0:19

having a good old time before the show even starts.

0:21

They're live in the chat. So if you're just bored

0:23

at work or on your lunch break or wherever you

0:25

are and you want to talk some baseball, this is

0:27

the place to do it because everybody right now is

0:30

in this chat. It's live. It's great. In fact, we're

0:32

going to start things off here. We've got Paul Skeens

0:34

day happening right now. Skeens, Skeens, Skeens. Skeens,

0:36

Skeens, Skeens. And here we go

0:39

because somebody just traded Skeens. Our friend, South

0:41

African G. I traded Skeens

0:43

for Marcus Simeon and Jordan Hicks. So I will

0:45

cheer Skeens now on from afar. What do you

0:47

think of this trade? Getting Marcus Simeon? That's a

0:49

really good piece and a pitcher. Although he has

0:52

an expiration date just like Skeens. Yeah, by the

0:54

way, I'm like literally as we're going here, people

0:56

are looking like, what is Welsh doing? I'm like,

0:58

oh, yeah, this game on a Thursday is starting

1:01

in minutes. Maybe your

1:03

boy Welsh wants to get a little

1:05

bet in here and try to add

1:07

to the funsies on Bet 365 with the

1:09

promo code leading off. Just so you know, log in

1:11

using the betting pros app. That's all the things I

1:13

do. All of these things, my friend. All right. So

1:16

boom, we got the bet in. All right. So what

1:18

was the bet? You know, you can tell us the

1:20

bet. You're going to do it. Not even tell us.

1:22

I'm going to go Nerfie. No run for sending Paul

1:24

Skeens and Mason Black going today. So or actually, it

1:26

might be Eric Miller, but we're going to go with

1:28

no runs scored in the first

1:31

inning on that pirate side. And unfortunately, I

1:33

have some other bets, Luisil

1:35

and the under

1:38

innings pitched for Paul Skeens today.

1:40

But all of that aside, we're talking about

1:42

Paul Skeens trades. Yeah, those are

1:44

the type of trades like I am here

1:47

for those type of trades. That's the stuff

1:49

I talk about. You know, the guy who

1:51

told you, you did your trade post schemes.

1:53

And it's like, yeah, for Marcus Simeon. For

1:56

Carbon Burns, for Matt Olson, those are the

1:58

trades you should do. You should

2:00

absolutely do that. But we're

2:02

always open to the possibility, of course, that Paul

2:04

Skeens is just going to be great all year.

2:06

I'm very, very interested today to see

2:09

what that pitch count is going to end up looking

2:11

like. I bet the under 16

2:13

and 1,5 recorded outs, because that, in

2:15

theory, is him going 5 and 2 thirds of

2:17

an inning. I think they're going to temper him

2:20

back. And I don't want to make too much

2:22

about nothing. But I do think there's

2:24

a possibility that if we see some holdback, this

2:26

is going to be a really good telling thing

2:28

of how this team is going to treat Skeens

2:30

moving forward. If they just let him go another

2:32

100 pitches or whatever, they might just let the

2:34

reins go the rest of the year. But if

2:36

you see like the Jared Jones thing, we're

2:39

only going to let him go 5. We're only going to let him go

2:41

75 pitches. You're going to

2:43

understand the shackles that are kind of holding

2:46

him back a little bit from that

2:48

crazy potential. Because, Joe, we also had

2:50

a discussion between

2:52

the rankers here on Fantasy Prose of

2:54

where Skeens is, and we're all over

2:56

the board, between Kelly, between Mayor, between

2:58

myself. Me and Mayor are like 10

3:01

SP spots off from Skeens right now. And

3:03

I'm the high one. And I'm still saying,

3:05

yes, go get Mark Kissimmee in for Skeens.

3:07

Oh, yeah, 100%. I think

3:09

it's a good trade. And you got a picture on top

3:11

of it. That's great. Let's get

3:13

to the headlines, because Juan Soto had two

3:16

more homers now. I should have picked him yesterday.

3:18

I did not. But I did get a homer.

3:20

Just saying. By the way, I don't think Carlos

3:22

is in the chat. It's two days in a

3:24

row. Carlos, it's just a joke. Just

3:26

because Welsh went full Conor McGregor yesterday. Put that

3:28

art up. Put that art back up, because I'm

3:30

not on the master account again. It is just

3:32

a joke, but just a reminder. But I mean,

3:34

I'm just saying, we still want you back.

3:36

It's here somewhere. Where is it? I'm

3:39

looking for it. I have it here, I think. I don't think

3:41

I got rid of it yet. Would I get rid of it

3:43

that quickly? Did you get rid of it for me? I

3:46

don't know. Did I delete that?

3:48

I'm very disappointed. Is that the very top, remember?

3:50

Is that the very top? I didn't. Oh, look,

3:52

I was using you. I did

3:54

there. There it is. But Carlos, come back.

3:56

Hang out. You're still a peanut in a

3:58

cracker, Jax. There it is. I thought it just

4:01

because Welsh fought it on you doesn't mean that you're not

4:03

allowed here in the chat We love you troll and

4:05

you were completely wrong. You can just come

4:08

back and apologize But that's the problem is

4:10

like if you're not here until next week

4:12

or ever again That's not

4:14

a good look Carlos. You got to show

4:16

up. Yeah, God I was you know what

4:18

I was thinking about too yesterday is people

4:20

would have I could imagine people being like,

4:22

oh, yeah Well, what would you have done

4:24

this type of banter if fought got blow

4:26

up blew up? No, absolutely not Wouldn't have

4:28

you want to know why cuz I didn't

4:30

go no I don't know I

4:32

didn't go to Carlos's work and be like, uh, Ready

4:34

thoughts amazing you should trade for him you come in

4:37

here and you told me for no reason that was

4:39

all we had a lot Of fun. I will tell

4:41

you good time I did watch that video quite

4:43

a few times we put out there and

4:45

of all the stuff. I Don't

4:48

know where it came from my macho

4:50

man voice. It was improved. It was

4:52

amazing. No, it was quite Dan Soder

4:55

level Maybe it's a step below mine,

4:57

but it was definitely improved step Definitely

4:59

in the improvement category max freed also

5:01

is improving toss a complete game two

5:03

runs one earn nine case for him

5:06

Orange Solaire good day for him Giants

5:09

had a big comeback here victory over

5:11

the Pirates yesterday. So Jared Jones unfortunately in the

5:13

wrong side of that He pitched well though three

5:16

runs six hits six innings But again, Brian Reynolds

5:18

had the grand slam It wasn't enough at the

5:20

end of the day the bullpen gave it up

5:22

speaking of bullpen's giving it up That's

5:25

bullpen Rea Garrett

5:28

didn't look too good yesterday. No throw that

5:31

out there Some

5:33

people some I'm not naming the people but

5:36

some people Wanted

5:38

you to maybe do an Edwin

5:41

Diaz Video

5:45

I'm not gonna do it. My job is

5:47

to be right as often as I can

5:49

be that's just my job I'm not quite

5:51

as obnoxious as the Welsh most days most

5:54

days. I'm usually not like no,

5:56

you're not You poke

5:58

the bear then you get to get attacked. That's

6:00

what happens sometimes. You just can't, can't keep

6:02

thinking. Now, wait

6:06

a minute. Fantasy Pros MLB is saying Carlos did

6:08

comment on yesterday's video. I don't know what that

6:11

comment is. So Carlos did watch. So Carlos, we

6:13

need a screenshot. I don't know

6:15

what it is. So I will get

6:17

that Mayo is going to get it to me. So

6:19

hopefully he gets it. Hazel Sizzardo eight strong

6:22

innings. What a pitcher's duel. This was one

6:24

nothing game here. Freddie Peralta was terrific. Seven

6:26

case for him. He gave up one run

6:28

and he lost the game. That sucks. But

6:30

still good star from Peralta against the

6:32

Marlins, but better than Lazardo again, who's up and

6:34

down all over the place. He's a tough one

6:36

to gauge. If I'm the Marlins, I'm calling teams

6:39

right now. Take him right now before the bad

6:41

star comes again. Well, you know what though? Okay.

6:43

To, to that point, maybe I

6:45

actually think this is that type of thing that

6:47

you start thinking about. Okay. If you've got people

6:49

that are, you know, really off the Lazardo train,

6:52

this might be a good time to buy because

6:54

the reason to like it is if he goes

6:57

to a new destination, if he were to, you

6:59

know, whoever Atlanta goes and trades for him, that's

7:01

a positive. These last couple of starts have been

7:03

positive. He has a three and

7:05

a half expected ERA right now. His K's are

7:07

down, but they're up since he's gotten back. His

7:10

walks in line. He's just giving up a little

7:12

too much hard hit stuff, but I think it's

7:14

going to backtrack. So I actually think if you

7:16

can buy them on the cheap, cheap, it's

7:19

not a bad idea. Oh, I got a low low

7:21

on the cheap, cheap on the low lows. Great

7:23

job by Mike. Mayor. It's the only good thing he's going

7:26

to do all year. He got

7:28

me all of the comments from Carlos and

7:30

they're terrific. Carlos obviously was busy yesterday. He

7:32

couldn't make the show live, but he's like,

7:34

it's Welsh with a capital W water performance

7:37

by font and clapping hands emoji. Of course

7:39

I'm happy Gilmore and your chubs. Meanwhile, Joe

7:41

is shooting McGavin. Also

7:43

true. Probably. Oh, that is true. That

7:46

is totally true. You

7:49

know what I eat for breakfast. I'm really

7:51

sorry. I miss this live, but I like how

7:53

the show ended up. I'll be with you all

7:55

tomorrow. So hopefully he's here at some point live,

7:57

but all right. So Carlos, you're all.

8:00

Good, buddy. I know sometimes we actually, you know,

8:02

lives and jobs and stuff going

8:04

on. So good on you, Carlos. You're back in

8:06

the fold again. It's all good. This is what

8:08

you do. You have some fun. We're having fun.

8:10

Fantasy baseball is supposed to be fun. All right.

8:13

Justin Steele was not fun. Maybe five runs, five

8:15

strikeouts. Did you text him yesterday? What the hell

8:17

is going on? Is he already over five and

8:20

a half? Well, I didn't. I mean, I, yeah,

8:22

I, I'd point out this was like, it was

8:24

a little aside ever since he decided to do

8:26

the podcast, not with me, but go do it

8:29

with Marty mush. Results haven't been

8:31

that great. So this is kind of pointing it out

8:33

there, but no, I, I'm not going to text them when

8:35

things are going back. So mayor taking

8:37

it a step further. So this is the only other

8:39

thing he'll do all year. That's going to be useful.

8:42

Post to the comments in the discord

8:44

for everyone to see from Carlos. So

8:46

good job, mayor. Good job, Carlos. Good

8:48

job, Ethan, Tyler, everybody put that little

8:50

thing together yesterday on social media too.

8:52

We're having a good time. We are

8:54

having a good time. And you know, and the funnest part about

8:56

it, but it's not a word is, by

8:59

the way, people don't know if you've looked on

9:01

the social media, the petty stuff, that was my

9:03

idea because like I can, I'm totally petty with

9:05

it, but that we had a team

9:09

willing to rally around my pettiness.

9:12

It's incredible. And I got people make an

9:14

art for me. I got people cutting up

9:16

videos for social for me all just to

9:18

be petty. It's a

9:21

lot. It's beautiful. Now, speaking of a

9:23

lot, some fun things. So Welsh also

9:25

was out on the streets yesterday of

9:27

Arizona, watching some complex league baseball, seeing

9:29

Louise Robert, you know, was excited about

9:31

this, this guy, Oh boy,

9:33

I want to see all the clips from Louise

9:35

Robert hitting the home runs. That sure would be

9:37

great. That'd be fantastic. Let's see this. So

9:40

let's, let's get a look at

9:42

it here. So here's a from Welsh's IG

9:45

account from his ex account. You can follow him

9:47

at, is it the Welsh? No, yeah. From my

9:49

Twitter at, is it the Welsh? Yep.

9:51

We can hear the

9:54

bat too, which is nice. So let's go. Yeah,

9:57

you will. So, all right. Can you hear me? Can you hear

9:59

me? near you, but there's no video

10:01

playing. So play the video. Well, I'm going to play

10:04

it here in just a second. I'm

10:06

just setting this thing up. So Luis

10:08

Robert first game back from the injury.

10:10

He's getting set to go. He's in

10:12

complex ball. This is the second pitch

10:14

that he's seen. This poor kid throws

10:16

one high fastball up, doesn't swing.

10:18

This is the second pitch

10:20

and goodbye. Sounds

10:25

good. Looks healthy, looks

10:27

strong. And

10:29

listen to the kids. They

10:34

are so excited, these kids

10:36

that he just hit a homer. And

10:38

they all rally around him at the

10:40

end when he comes back up. And

10:42

it doesn't quite live up

10:44

when you hear the sound, like on the video.

10:46

But the entire team is right

10:48

here. If you're watching on the video side,

10:51

the entire team is up. You're ready to

10:53

give high fives. It's boom, boom, boom. They

10:55

just got to Luis Robert. And guess what?

10:58

Luis Robert, he's back. He

11:00

is back. Unfortunately, though, look where this

11:02

ball landed. Oh, jeez. Oh,

11:04

no. That's not what you want to have

11:07

happen. Poor girl. She's got the worst luck.

11:10

Liz McGuire is having the worst luck. Let's

11:13

move on to more fun things. Corey

11:16

Seager, that was fun. Two for three with a homer.

11:18

So I'm still on the board there. Luis Arise, first

11:20

homer of 2024. Look at you. Look

11:23

at what you did, Luis. So proud of

11:25

you. Alex Bregman, 0 for 4, as the

11:27

cleanup hitter. So he is now hitless

11:29

in the series against the Angels. Just wanted to

11:32

throw that out there, because that's fun. That hurts

11:34

me. Alex Bregman

11:36

is my kryptonite this

11:38

year. He's really putting

11:40

a squeeze on me, I got to say. George

11:42

Springer, also putting the squeeze on everybody who rosters

11:44

him. He was out of the lineup yesterday after

11:46

going hitless in the last two games. He's down

11:48

to 194, 276, 285. What

11:53

has happened to George Springer? You

11:56

could have been out on George Springer, but this is

11:58

kind of absurd at this point, almost two months. into

12:00

the season. So I actually was, I just did

12:02

a show the other day, we were talking about

12:04

this. I'm not like completely out. And that was

12:07

the discussion is like, when do you cut bait

12:09

on a guy like George Springer? And that's actually

12:11

what sparked some of our conversation yesterday on getting

12:13

rid of potentially Evan Carter. I'd get rid of

12:15

Carter before I got rid of Springer because there

12:18

are still some of those underlying things. Last year,

12:20

you also saw the struggles from

12:22

Springer in April, and then he picked it up

12:24

in May. This is extending a little bit more.

12:26

So I guess the question could end up being

12:28

like, all right, is this age?

12:31

Is this finally falling back? Or is

12:33

this part of this entire team context

12:36

of struggles? I think plenty of the

12:38

underlying things are still there. He's still

12:40

stealing bases at a pretty hard clip.

12:43

So here's my thesis to it. I'm

12:45

gonna hold, I'm gonna hold for a couple more weeks,

12:48

preferably get him on the bench if he is

12:50

really killing you. But I don't want to get

12:52

rid of him yet, because those stolen base numbers

12:54

look great. And I think some of the underlying

12:56

stuff is still supporting him. If that

12:59

turnaround ends up happening. By

13:01

the way, Mayor trolling you in the chat

13:03

here, shake my head, Welsh making us listen

13:05

to children laughing. More than one

13:07

kid I can't imagine, like, if kids

13:10

are like, Look at me, dad, I'm

13:12

walking me like, whatever. The

13:14

sound of the sound of children

13:16

laughing is like nails on a

13:18

chalkboard to mayor. Imagine must

13:20

be tough to be Mike mayor happiness. Yeah,

13:24

look at me, I can spell car.

13:26

Yeah, we can you pay for one.

13:28

You know how people like it? And I

13:31

face kid at night will listen to like,

13:33

you know, the sounds of the ocean and

13:35

stuff like that. Like mayor is definitely the

13:37

type of guy that's listening to like trash

13:39

compactors just destroying cars and stuff like that,

13:42

and explosions and putting on Oppenheimer in the

13:44

background. That's the type of

13:46

mayor movie. I just want to say, all

13:48

right, let's get to some rookie business here.

13:50

The Diamondbacks option slay Chaconi to AAA Reno

13:53

all but luckily we have some other guys

13:55

to talk about because it's time for

13:57

everybody's favorite segment. It's time for a

13:59

prospect. with the Welsh that's right Chris

14:01

Welsh is gonna look down on the farm

14:03

to see what prospects we need to update

14:05

on last week obviously we had

14:08

some deep dive there's some double-a guys come

14:10

up the triple-a some old names

14:12

some new names some old friends some

14:14

new friends so Welsh let's start prospecting

14:17

let's start prospecting so today's

14:19

prospecting is not so

14:22

stache ish as much as it is

14:24

a report bringing back to you

14:26

the big names because we completely moved away

14:28

from it last week and we didn't talk

14:30

about any of those guys so this is

14:32

going to bring back the forefront of some

14:34

of the things that you need to know

14:36

on the biggest prospects that about been on

14:39

people's minds so number one I tried to

14:41

get art made today we couldn't get it done free

14:43

James Wood I don't play this

14:46

free this guy game a whole

14:48

bunch but I am playing

14:50

it with James Wood ladies and gentlemen James Wood

14:52

is batting 385 in triple-a 385 with nine homers

14:55

and ten

14:59

stolen bases he has a 34

15:01

to 37 walk

15:03

to strikeout ratio he

15:05

has homered in back-to-back games in

15:07

triple-a and has seven homers in

15:09

the month of May but

15:12

Welsh maybe he has some

15:14

bad splits well the lefty

15:16

hits 370 against righties and 316

15:20

against lefties Joe I've got a game for you

15:22

are you ready I am ready I like games

15:25

point zero eight seven point

15:27

one eight zero point one eight

15:29

four point two two six and point two

15:31

seven five do you know what those numbers

15:33

are I don't know but you just

15:35

sunk my battleship that

15:38

was really good those are the batting

15:40

averages of the outfielders in Washington remind

15:42

you four of those

15:44

five numbers were under 227

15:47

those are the batting averages

15:50

of the outfielders in Washington

15:52

how about one more for

15:54

you 14 that's the

15:56

combined number of homers from

15:59

all of those outfielders and James Wood

16:01

has nine in there. Big,

16:04

huge, hard hit numbers. Great ratios

16:06

as far as splits go. Great

16:08

batting average, not striking out, doing

16:11

it all. He's stealing bases and

16:14

he almost has as many homers

16:16

as the entire major league nationals

16:18

outfield combined. Free

16:21

James Wood now. That's

16:24

people in the chat asking, what do we think

16:26

about James Wood? He has got to be number

16:28

one and it has to be soon. Very

16:30

still available in like 40 plus

16:33

percent of leagues, which is stunning

16:35

to me still. Free James Wood. All

16:37

right. Yeah. Here are two more

16:39

updates on the other two big names that

16:42

people are talking about. Junior Camonaro. What's been

16:44

up with Junior Camonaro? He's played

16:46

three games at second base. Correlation

16:48

is not causation necessarily in this

16:50

case, but over his last three

16:52

games, Hitless 0 for

16:54

12, his batting average has now dropped down to

16:56

270. But

16:58

they're still good counting stats. Brandon

17:01

Lau was activated, but since he was activated, 0,

17:03

0 is the number of hits

17:05

that he has. So

17:08

I could play that game again, but there has been

17:10

some struggle in there. Is it with a

17:12

causation correlation? I don't know. I wrote it down because

17:14

it was brilliant. It's a Welshism. Give it again. It's

17:17

a, well, it's going in the book. It's going in

17:19

the big book of Welshisms. That's what this is. I

17:21

think it's a real one. We just published this on

17:23

Amazon at some point. Very good.

17:25

The correlation of him hitting second base

17:27

isn't necessarily the struggle, but learning new,

17:30

a new position defensively might have his mind

17:32

somewhere else because he's been struggling offensively. So

17:34

with Lau back and some of the struggles

17:36

over the last couple of games, I don't

17:38

know if it's imminent. My guess was made

17:40

24th. That ain't happening. But

17:43

Camonaro is holding tight. Number

17:45

three on this list. Orovis

17:47

Martinez. Oh, everybody loved

17:49

Orovis Martinez. It was a love fest. Well,

17:52

over the last four, this was a great

17:54

stat that I had for you. Four

17:57

games in April. He did not have

17:59

a hit. You remember that Joe when we talked about that?

18:02

Sort of yeah, who's amazing everyone all the people

18:04

that don't pay attention to prospects. Oh my god

18:06

We need a real this Martinez. He had four

18:09

games where he didn't have a hit in April.

18:11

That's amazing. Well in May Six

18:14

games he has a hit

18:16

and only six games on May

18:18

1st. The role of this was hitting 310 He

18:21

is now hitting 243

18:24

after hitting 154 in May overall So

18:27

the positive news is he's got four homers and

18:29

we've not seen a dramatic Spike

18:31

in his K percentage But again

18:33

those people that really never have watched where

18:35

all this before and we're only looking at

18:38

stats and stuff like that It's a rude

18:40

awakening because it ain't working

18:42

as mentioned earlier in the year. He

18:44

had never hit 275

18:47

over 275 this is something I had said in the

18:49

last two years. He'd hit under 244

18:52

or worse so his current average

18:54

by the way is 243. He's

18:56

got 11 homers zero stolen bases

18:59

the Aurovus Martinez Excitement

19:02

and joy was a little premature and he

19:04

might not be coming anytime soon I've got

19:06

one more and then a couple quick little

19:08

fun notes. This is one that you actually

19:10

can stash Potentially and I would

19:13

K to po vich John means

19:16

elbow is not good the Orioles

19:18

They're waiting on the results and if it's

19:20

bad po vich You

19:23

are the starter. That's right over nine. Oh,

19:25

that was worth the wait. That was worth

19:27

the build. Thank you over nine starts in

19:29

Triple-a he's got a 2.08 ERA 65

19:33

strikeouts over 47 innings pitch. He does not

19:35

have an overpowering fastball He touched like 93

19:38

in his last start fits around 91 and

19:40

a half But the deception led that fastball

19:42

to have a 45 percent

19:44

whiff rate in his last start

19:46

Fastball change-up cutter curveball guy and

19:49

he's held batters to under a 200 batting

19:51

average Here's another fun fact on

19:53

him or a fun fact He's

19:56

third in baseball and strikeouts behind

19:58

his teammates chance McCormick and

20:00

he has the lowest ERA among starters

20:02

in AAA. If

20:05

Means is out, they may be going to

20:07

Kate Povich. So that would be a guy

20:09

I would stash. Joey, the last

20:11

two things, I've got two prospect fun facts for you

20:13

going on in the minors right now. Are you ready?

20:16

I'm ready, let's do it. Your minor league

20:18

home run leader, Davison

20:21

De Los Santos, who's 21 years

20:23

old with 14 homers. By

20:26

the way, that's as many homers as the entire

20:28

Nationals outfield. 14 homers, he's 21 years old. He

20:31

has 37 RBI in 38 games. He's

20:34

hitting .372 with a 22% K percentage. He's

20:38

played two games at AAA since being moved

20:40

up. He already has a couple more hits.

20:43

The fun part about it all, this is

20:45

the guy that was rule five from the

20:48

Diamondbacks to the Guardians. Then

20:50

the Guardians let him go and returned him to

20:52

the Diamondbacks. He is the minor league leader in

20:54

homers. And then the second, maybe

20:56

pay attention to this guy, twins Zebby Matthews,

20:58

who's a starting pitcher. He's a 24 year

21:00

old pitcher who started at high A. He's

21:02

now in AA. He's got a 1.34

21:05

ERA with a .6 whip across 40 innings. Here's

21:09

the fun. He has 51 strikeouts

21:11

of this year to one walk.

21:14

He struck out 49 batters

21:17

before he issued his first walk.

21:20

Maybe we see some Zebby at

21:23

some point in this year. That is my prospect

21:25

report stash, whatever you want to call it for

21:27

this week. All right, Welsh, you're gonna have to

21:29

close up shop. Cause once again, we are

21:32

in the danger zone. We're in

21:34

the no fly zone again, where my stream yard

21:36

is frozen. Oh no, I'm not

21:38

on the main account. I

21:40

don't know what to tell you folks. Let's

21:42

just keep going. We're just gonna keep going.

21:44

That's been prospecting with the Welsh. Make sure

21:47

you follow Welsh on the X at Is

21:49

It The Welsh? And of course, check out

21:51

all his amazing work at fancybros.com. Let's

21:53

get to some more news and notes here. I'm gonna have

21:55

to work it off my phone here cause I'm a true

21:57

professional. People are saying in the chat, I saw you before.

22:00

What do we have to do to get Joe to

22:02

be here in September? Well, you have to talk to

22:04

my psychiatrist because I can't possibly continue to do all

22:06

those things at the same time. Oh, it's not now.

22:08

Sign up for a lot of premium accounts on baseball.

22:10

Sign up for a lot of premium accounts on baseball.

22:12

Hey, look, we had a million views so far this

22:14

year. That's pretty astounding. And it's only May. It's

22:17

back. We're rocking, rolling. Let's go. All right. Now, I

22:20

don't know how long it's going to last, but again,

22:22

this is... It's in and

22:24

out, folks, just like my sanity.

22:26

That's kind of where we are. I don't know why. Between

22:30

the Discord thing yesterday, Welsh... It's

22:32

Carlos. It's maybe. But

22:34

between Discord yesterday on cleaning up and

22:38

between all the stuff right now that we're trying

22:40

to get done, and this should be easy stuff,

22:43

it's very frustrating. I don't know why my technology

22:45

is all of a sudden out of nowhere just

22:47

deciding to quit on me. All right. Let's get

22:49

to things that we're not going to quit on.

22:52

The up and the down, the three up, Elias

22:54

Diaz, three for five with a two-run homer, Beau

22:57

Bachete two for four with a homer, and Cole

22:59

Reagans, 12 strikeouts for him. Welsh, what did you

23:01

make of that performance by Cole Reagans yesterday against

23:03

the Tigers? Cole Reagans was on a thing. I

23:05

think he had like four innings, no

23:08

hit, and then

23:10

he ended up big, big strikeout numbers, hat

23:12

tip, and shout out to my boy Dennis

23:15

Siddler, who had a signing with Cole Reagans.

23:17

I had this awesome Cole Reagans thing. I'm

23:19

excited to show everybody. But yeah, it was

23:21

good because that was a very Tariq Skooble

23:23

game. Like everybody was very, very hyper focused

23:25

on Tariq Skooble and how he had been.

23:27

Reagans had been a little shaky here and

23:29

there, huge, huge performance, great buying opportunities over

23:31

the last couple of weeks with some of

23:33

those struggles. Also,

23:35

the three down, Tariq Skooble,

23:37

not the best start for him. I mean,

23:39

it's not really a down, but, you

23:42

know, five innings, four runs, that's not what you're

23:44

looking for for Skooble. Nick Nastrini,

23:47

nine runs and three and a third. So thanks

23:49

for coming here, Nick. Bryce Miller,

23:51

five earned and five hits, three homers. Bryce

23:53

Miller gave up against the Yankees. So it

23:55

was not a good day. Two of those,

23:57

two, one, Soto. Bad news on the injury

23:59

front. As always, Xander Bogart is

24:01

going to miss significant time here. If you put

24:03

him on the I.O. with a fractured shoulder, he

24:06

could miss up to two months. What was your

24:08

thoughts? Absolutely

24:10

brutal. What's even crazier about the

24:12

whole thing is like that's one

24:14

of those things where you could, I don't know if

24:17

they want to kill it or mess with it. But

24:19

if Jackson Merrill is of the

24:21

future to play in the infield, this would

24:23

be an opportunity for them to bring

24:26

Jackson Merrill back in, play some second

24:28

base, but then you would need some

24:30

more outfield help. And this team just

24:32

traded away Jacob Marcy. He's

24:36

out. There's they didn't decide to

24:38

sign Tommy fam. So I'm not

24:40

really sure what the in game

24:42

is going to be. I mean, you do have

24:44

I mean, here's the fix. Luis Arrais, I guess,

24:46

fixes that, of course, because he can play second

24:48

base. Keep Cronin worth at first. That's probably what

24:50

they end up doing. But you're going to see

24:52

more arise in the in the infield.

24:54

Brutal, brutal blow for Xander Bogart. He

24:56

was also clearly one of those dudes like

24:59

I was trying to buy early in the

25:01

season. It's wrong. You can cut because it's

25:03

also been a slow year. So you can

25:05

move off. All right. Merrill

25:07

Kelly scheduled to undergo a follow-up MRI

25:09

exam on his shoulder. We

25:11

have Kevin Cash telling us that Josh Lowe

25:13

is going to go an MRI. He has

25:15

an injured side. So that means oblique, which

25:17

means see you in a month. Maybe Aloya

25:19

Menes on the aisle again this time with

25:21

other ham. Is

25:25

that show? Oh, no. Oh,

25:29

no. I'm

25:32

back. Puppet

25:36

Joe is back. I

25:40

knew it was going to go eventually. I

25:42

knew I knew it. No, you don't get puppet Joe Ted.

25:44

One more puppet. Yeah, I thought it was me. I

25:47

but it was you the whole time. I was waiting.

25:50

I was waiting for it to completely crap out. I

25:52

couldn't believe that you could even hear me the

25:55

way it was. Well, you had frozen and I could hear

25:57

you talking great. And I'm like, oh crap. I think it's

25:59

me and then. When it went away, I said,

26:01

oh no, I think and then when your

26:03

video went out done

26:06

done done How

26:09

so I don't know that's going on I don't there's like

26:11

stuff in the area whatever it is It's

26:13

annoying and it only happens at this time of day

26:15

everything I do all the other shows all the other

26:17

videos This is the only time of day where it

26:19

happens. Of course. It's only time over life. Ah Do

26:22

we talk about Aloya Menes? Did you hear me talk about him? Oh,

26:25

I don't know. I was Men

26:27

on the IL in case you didn't know that with

26:29

a hamstring issue your thoughts on Aloya Menes Is this

26:31

just done are we just completely done with him for

26:34

ever now? Like I was giving him a benefit of

26:36

the doubt this year because going into the season we

26:38

said lucky so cheap Why

26:40

not take a flyer? I mean so and I

26:42

supported it But now

26:45

I'm just I think it's just forever done.

26:47

Yeah, I don't know he's in Luxon territory

26:49

That's where he is. No, dude. No, no,

26:51

no, no Eloy is his own beast the

26:53

guys like what 26 and

26:55

he has I don't know 45

26:59

different IL stints or pulled from games I

27:01

mean the complex, you know rehabbing white Sox

27:03

is gonna be the greatest team you've ever

27:05

seen. It's gonna be monk Annually,

27:08

it's gonna be Moncotta and Eloy and Robert.

27:10

Yeah, I don't From

27:12

a dynasty perspective Eloy is an absolute disaster

27:14

because you also see the great play that

27:16

happens from him But yeah, this is a

27:18

this is this is a reconformation

27:21

of that guy needs to be

27:24

rebuilt we need Antimanium

27:26

put into his body or something because this

27:28

ain't working Austin Riley is

27:30

also not working but he hit off a tee

27:32

yesterday. So there you go So in addition to

27:34

many kindergartners also Austin Riley hit off a tee

27:37

yesterday Ryan Pepe Oh allows

27:39

three runs over his four innings in return

27:41

to the raised rotation John means as you

27:43

mentioned earlier No bueno the

27:45

starting against the Cardinals after three innings

27:47

due to elbow discomfort Garrett Whitlock Will

27:50

meet with also the doctor

27:53

to get a second opinion on his

27:55

stuff So there you have the doctor

27:57

to get his second opinion because now

27:59

the guys are doing the work in the house

28:01

are locked out. I told them I'm not available till after

28:03

one o'clock and it's that's why they're cutting your internet.

28:06

Maybe, maybe they're cutting it off there. But

28:08

Welsh, let's get through this

28:10

show. We can do it. I believe in us. It's

28:13

time for the best bets of

28:15

the day with Joey P and the Welsh

28:17

make sure you go ahead and make your

28:20

bets over on bet 365. That five bets

28:22

that have been by that

28:24

five bucks get 150 and bonus

28:26

bets. I am coming apart of

28:28

the seams Welsh use that promo

28:30

code leading off when you make

28:32

your wagers at bet 365. Again,

28:34

that's bet 365 promo code leading

28:36

off Welsh. Let's get

28:38

after it. Let's do this here. I'm going to

28:40

start here again. It's the light's latest Thursday, but

28:43

we had a couple of things we're honing in

28:45

on the first for me Toronto on the money

28:47

line against Detroit minus one 10 Baltimore minus two

28:49

and a half right now on the run line

28:51

plus one to wait Grayson Rodriguez on the mound

28:53

against the lowly white Sox. I like this one

28:55

a lot. This might be my favorite bet of

28:57

the day and you're getting plus money I

29:00

had to move up to the alternate line to in

29:02

some places to get that Gunner Henderson total base is

29:04

over one and a half minus 125 again. I think

29:07

that's a great opportunity here. Clevenger on the mound

29:09

for the white Sox. White Sox are not

29:11

good Orioles are give me Grayson to kind

29:13

of beat up on the white Sox today

29:15

and same game parlay Orioles minus

29:17

two and a half on the alternate run

29:19

line. Grayson Rodriguez over six and a half

29:22

strikeouts. You put those two things together in

29:24

the SGP and you get plus two six

29:26

seven Welsh. What do you have for the

29:28

people? Well, I'm

29:30

a big stupid idiot and I was the first

29:32

thing I said at the top of the show.

29:34

I'm like, Oh, nerfy for the Pirates. Boom. That's

29:36

gone. So that's how we start today, but it

29:38

did have two other bets that don't count for

29:40

this. I went the schemes, the under

29:43

recorded outs and Louise Gail who by

29:45

the way, three strikeouts, no hits of

29:47

the first two innings. Boy, has that

29:49

been my so all of that to

29:51

be said, I'm giving you

29:53

one bet on this show today. And

29:55

I was a little inspired by a conversation

29:57

we had earlier this week. Because.

30:00

Luckily this is going to be

30:02

three baths because we are climbing

30:04

the ladder. I am latter betting

30:07

today. Joey. I'm

30:09

taken some risky risks here I

30:12

am ladder betting. Shock.

30:14

Celerity. On his strikeout.

30:16

I have been an anti Flaherty guy,

30:18

but it is hard to deny how

30:21

good he has been the season. Also,

30:23

the matchup? This guy tough. So here

30:25

is the play for me. I'm

30:28

going six seven and eight

30:30

strikeouts. Six. That's. The

30:33

money play. Well, the anti money play because there's

30:35

a bunch of juice. Minus one forty five. But.

30:38

I am assuming that's a lot and then

30:40

going to seven strikeouts a plus one forty

30:42

five and I'm taking it to eight strikeouts

30:44

which is plus to eighty. Blue Jays are

30:47

lower strike out team but they are worse

30:49

against righties. I went look this up six

30:51

times this year of the Blue Jays about

30:53

a starter. Strikeout. Eight or

30:55

more against them. Five. Of those

30:58

six right handed pitcher is the one

31:00

was Oregon's. Ten. Times this

31:02

year a starter his had six or more

31:04

strikeouts against them. Nine Of Those

31:06

Ten. Righties. Or.

31:09

Of the last nine starts this year, for

31:11

of his nine starts, Flaherty has struck out

31:13

eight or more. Alas, Start at

31:15

nine strikeouts which was against the Diamond

31:18

Backs were kind of a similar strike

31:20

out his team. So if Flaherty is

31:22

for real, The. Strikeouts should be obtainable

31:24

for the day. I'm ladder betting

31:26

it how I ladder bet. I

31:28

do my for unit play on the minus money

31:31

and then I just the better way to do

31:33

it is lower your unit rates as you go

31:35

up. I kind of didn't. Gotta. Make

31:37

up also for that Murphy. So I'm ladder

31:39

betting. Jack Flaherty. Gotta. Help me

31:41

and god help us all about I

31:43

got same something I did not see

31:46

coming today and re asked about you

31:48

are update or poster betting answer yes

31:50

you could fall wells and myself for

31:52

better or worse over on betting prose.com/joe/well

31:54

she's all of their the good, the

31:56

bad the ugly. It's been a lot

31:58

of ugly lately. Imo be betting has

32:01

been a rough so far my future's best. still

32:03

very much alive in a lot of places which

32:05

is good. Us and my Nfl betting right now

32:07

on their our last couple years. it is the

32:09

up and down to be all is really felt

32:12

like I went three you know yesterday and it

32:14

was reduces hey man no excuses you were good

32:16

yeah three hours bad yes Run our ally in

32:18

the league is downright now. So yeah that's exactly

32:20

right it it's a rough it's rough patch into

32:23

that like may he is area of baseball night.

32:25

he got a keypad and you gotta find a

32:27

different angles and ago you the betting prose apps

32:29

are getting. Smarter, not harder. That's what you

32:31

want to do. So if you're doing all

32:33

those things, likely make sure you again placing

32:36

your wagers over a pet three, six, five,

32:38

right? Now with the promo code A

32:40

leading off again: Seventeen or over in

32:42

Kentucky Gambling Problem: Last eighteen or over?

32:45

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32:47

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32:49

Got one hundred gambler or one hundred

32:51

beds off and I were terms and

32:53

conditions apply that. Will. Do it

32:55

for Thursday's bats Bats of the Day

32:57

with Joey Be and the Welsh. I.

33:00

Gotta say, I'm struggle boss right now. was

33:02

I about how many balls in the air.

33:04

The. Technical Things: I think I've finally

33:07

ends. On. Finally broken up as

33:09

he gets and we waited this long we

33:11

find the got it Might Mayor has his. His.

33:13

His his join us as we want. Let's get that

33:15

makes. You. Don't get me back on

33:17

track. the home run board oh my god is

33:20

great involved time for you. it's ridiculous. Haven't seen

33:22

right up there paths he saw to have my

33:24

bets have been crap but that's right or wrong

33:26

cause of bizarre you did I not you know

33:28

what I will you're doing well I was I

33:30

was never die with that's their job I know

33:33

what I'm doing it I was we good have

33:35

seen the A now it's tough because has or

33:37

how many games we had this year and you

33:39

only have seventeen homers but you know you know

33:41

what? the our ally the purses the plus money

33:43

is on it's had you bet every single home

33:45

run call this year. i bet you would

33:47

have some pretty crazy returns as well as the map

33:50

you that down and you know what that does dumb

33:52

on my part i should be logging those as well

33:54

now have bet them privately a few times but i

33:56

tend not to put those on there because they are

33:58

such dark threat harm runs are tough let's be honest

34:01

but I play I play a little not I've got 17 so what

34:04

there's been how many games in baseball we get to

34:07

we at 50 mark right now right where

34:09

are we 60s make

34:11

up a number I'll say yes yeah no how many

34:13

games in the major league season have we have I

34:15

have no idea let's call it like 40 something no

34:18

it's more than that it's more than that

34:20

I'm scared to do anything on my MLB

34:22

standings I know I'm scared to hold my

34:24

hand it'll be here 50 50

34:28

by Cleveland if so just about so so I've called a

34:31

home run at least I've gotten home runs 17 times

34:33

that's a pretty good only problem is

34:35

you had a couple that were dual

34:37

I did Harper Alvarez and Soto I

34:39

got some multiple but if you figure

34:41

you're getting at least three to

34:43

one on your money on homework what you usually

34:45

do yeah no I'm saying the average is like

34:48

the low is three and you're getting four

34:50

to five I would bet you it's somewhere

34:52

between a five and ten unit like

34:56

a positive net positive for you if you

34:58

had bet every single Homer I don't do

35:00

that I tend to play I know you

35:02

actually never bet homers I'll bet total bases

35:04

over on my home run guys but you

35:06

get less juice and stuff like you've been

35:08

amazing I'm a big old stinky people want

35:10

puppet Joe shirts this is getting out of

35:12

control but I we told you if we

35:14

get the 25,000 subscribers we will

35:16

just replace us with puppets we're

35:19

gonna buy the puppets we're gonna make puppet versions

35:21

of ourselves into the whole show that way I

35:23

am thinking about Jim Henson style I might make

35:25

a sock puppet Joe version of it but maybe

35:27

I feel like I need to be arson crashed

35:29

for the weekend that's good that's fun all right

35:31

I'm picking Gunnar Henderson for my home run call

35:33

tonight I saw somebody else in the chat was

35:35

doing that as well so yes we're rolling together

35:37

Welsh where are you going for your home

35:39

run call tonight I know we all but again work

35:42

got in the way for Welsh again but what

35:44

do you got for the people yeah sorry prospect

35:47

day tomorrow I will if we do

35:49

not get the home run today 100% fun Friday

35:52

we are wheeling it on Friday and if

35:54

Carlos shows up I'll let him pick it

35:56

maybe I'll let him do a little cheese bow pick

35:58

Fred Dinger says Papa Joe was added to the

36:01

home run call sheet. So there you go. Oh

36:03

yeah, we should do that. I'm going to go

36:05

with Bellinger. So I'm going to go with belly

36:07

today. There's a good home run per nine matchup

36:09

that he's got. So give me Cody Bellinger on

36:11

the home run call. Get me

36:14

on the damn board, please. There you go. On

36:16

the damn board. All right. That'll do it for

36:18

us. But the story of the game goes on

36:20

for the Welsh. I'm Joey P. We'll see you

36:22

next time, kids. Enjoy your day baseball. Bye, everybody.

36:31

Bye.

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