Episode Transcript
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Now here's some combination of Adam, Dave,
1:48
Jamie and Heath. right
2:01
now on fantasy football today now Jamie and
2:03
Heath are here Jamie gave his bus about
2:05
a month and a half ago with Dave
2:07
Heath wasn't on that show so today we're
2:09
gonna focus on Heath's bus and also some
2:11
from the audience like we have a really
2:13
interesting Tyreke Hill take from an audience member
2:15
we have a lot of votes for Drake
2:17
London in my Twitter mentions so we'll get
2:19
back in that was even though we've kind
2:21
of beaten a dead horse on that but
2:23
here's what we're gonna start with guys Heath
2:25
you have two players at the top of
2:28
your bus list Josh Allen and Derek Henry
2:30
I'm trying to figure out who's gonna be drafted
2:32
first I'm looking at some industry drafts I'm looking
2:34
at some ADP let's just say depends
2:37
on your league how early you draft
2:39
quarterbacks maybe they're both gonna be like
2:41
round three picks top 30 picks something
2:43
like that who's a bigger bus if
2:46
they have similar draft costs Derek Henry
2:48
or Josh Allen so I
2:50
think the easy answer to that is in analyst
2:52
drafts and our drafts Derek Henry will be the
2:55
bigger bus because he will be the guy who's
2:57
drafted maybe in round two or early round three
2:59
and Josh Allen will go after him and
3:02
in normal people dress Josh Allen is gonna be
3:04
a first round pick drafted as QB one and
3:06
he's going to be the biggest bust what
3:10
if they go back-to-back 32 and 33 who's a bigger
3:14
bus I would rather have Derek Henry
3:16
than Josh Allen so I
3:18
guess that would make me in a one quarterback league
3:21
so I guess that would be me say
3:23
and I think it's interesting you put them
3:25
together because the case for both of them
3:27
not being a bust is that they just
3:29
run for 15 touchdowns again and it doesn't
3:31
matter okay Jamie who do
3:33
you think they go back-to-back Derek Henry and Josh
3:36
Allen is a bigger bust I
3:38
don't think Josh Allen's getting drafted as QB one so
3:40
I don't think Josh Allen's going in round one I
3:42
think Josh Allen will probably go very close to Derek
3:44
Henry Allen
3:46
will be a bigger bust because I don't
3:48
think he's going to score 15 touchdowns on the
3:51
ground again and I think his passing numbers
3:53
are going to be not
3:55
as prolific as they have been when he's been under
3:57
the best so I agree with the
3:59
call on Josh Allen. Do you agree with
4:01
the call on Derek Henry? No,
4:03
I don't. I think this is a good setup for
4:05
him if he stays healthy. The only thing I think
4:08
that will ruin Derek Henry is if he gets hurt.
4:10
I think from a production and performance standpoint, he will
4:12
be fine. He's –
4:14
we actually kind of did this on Monday's
4:17
show. I made the bus case for Derek Henry, but now
4:19
you get to make it better. Go ahead. I
4:22
don't know if I'll make the better one or not,
4:24
but it definitely starts with the fact that you're talking
4:26
about a 30-year-old running back on a team that's not
4:28
going to throw to their running backs and
4:31
historically has split up the
4:33
running back touches. And
4:35
oh yeah, Lamar Jackson's going to take 30% of
4:38
the team's rush attempts. So I think that
4:40
we will see a lower number of total
4:42
rush attempts for Derek Henry and
4:44
probably a slight decrease like we saw
4:47
for most of his career before the
4:49
last two. And
4:51
I think that's kind of the biggest thing that we've seen in the last
4:53
two years, because we've seen a lot of changes in the teens in terms
4:55
of receptions, 18, 19, 18, 15. The last two years, 28 and 33, I
4:57
think that comes back down. And
5:05
we did see a little bit of a drop off
5:07
in his efficiency as a rusher last year. I'm not sure that's kind
5:09
of down the pack. But
5:13
what about the Lamar Jackson carries, just the running back carries?
5:15
As he's mentioned it, Baltimore has the tendency to do that.
5:18
I would love to see what the work would have
5:21
been for J.K. Dobbins last year if we didn't get
5:23
hurt in week one. But what do you think? Do
5:25
you think there's anyone else that factors
5:27
in in any meaningful way for Baltimore?
5:31
Meaningful way in terms of 10 touches
5:34
per game, 15 touches per game? I
5:37
mean 15 would be, Derek Henry should be like an eighth
5:39
round pick if someone else is getting 15. Well
5:41
I mean touches matter in terms of receptions. He's not going to
5:43
have a lot of catches. Do
5:46
you think anyone gets more than
5:49
eight touches a game? No. You have
5:52
Keaton Mitchell coming back from an ACL tear. I'm sure they're going
5:54
to be careful with him and make sure he's healthy. He may
5:56
be the running back of the future. He's certainly not
5:58
going to be the running back of 2024. Justice
6:01
Hill has kind of proven to be a
6:03
guy that I don't think will warrant very
6:05
many touches. It's easy to split up touches
6:07
when you don't have a player like this. When you have
6:09
Gus Edwards and J.K. Dobbins and, you
6:11
know, an aging Mark Ingram. I mean, it's a
6:13
different story. It's a different conversation. You know, this
6:15
guy is an aging player, but they
6:18
didn't bring him in or sign him to, I think, use him
6:20
in a part-time role. This is still
6:22
a guy that can get the job done. And
6:24
the thing that I look at from what we
6:27
talked about on Monday, and this
6:29
is where I come out with him, and it's really the only
6:31
way that I come out with him on this, is that he's
6:34
stepping into a situation where the guy that
6:36
was playing there before him, who
6:38
is not close to the same caliber player, scored
6:40
13 rushing touchdowns in this offense. And
6:43
that's Gus Edwards. And what did Derek
6:45
Henry do last year when the team was winning
6:47
and successful? He was a very productive running back,
6:49
a very productive fantasy option. This team
6:51
is going to win more games than they lose. And
6:54
so, again, if he stays healthy, he
6:56
should get 15-plus touchdowns. If
6:59
he doesn't stay healthy, then he's a bust, but that's just
7:01
the risk you have to take. And that's where I think
7:03
Keith is 100% accurate. You're taking a chance on a 30-year-old
7:05
running back. And the history suggests that these guys don't
7:07
always stay healthy. So I'm 100% buying to that.
7:10
You know how I feel about older players.
7:13
But he's just proven to be an alien. And so
7:15
that's the thing. It's like every time we ride
7:17
him off, oh, he got the foot injury. He's not going to come back the same.
7:19
He comes back the same, comes back. This is good. Last
7:22
year, yes, there was a down year for him. But
7:24
again, you look at wins or competitive
7:26
games, he was still among the best fantasy
7:28
options. So the recessions don't matter to me.
7:30
Lamar Jackson's rushing doesn't matter to me. It's
7:33
a matter of will he score 15-plus touchdowns if he
7:35
stays healthy? And for me, the answer is yes. So
7:38
I think the competitive game thing
7:40
will still remain true. Another
7:43
habit Baltimore has had is it seems like they win
7:45
three or four games a year and Lamar
7:47
sits halfway through the third quarter. I'd
7:51
take the over on eight touches per game
7:53
if you're talking about Keaton Mitchell plus Justice
7:55
Hill. But because Mitchell's coming
7:58
off the ACL, I'm not sure that Mitchell himself
8:00
will get there, but I wouldn't be surprised if those,
8:02
I would expect those two to combine for somewhere between
8:04
10 and 12 a game. So,
8:07
yeah, so I'm
8:09
looking now, Jamie, that was a really beautifully long
8:11
answer because it gave me all this time to
8:13
look up for the first time to JK Dobbins
8:15
roll. And he got hurt
8:17
about five minutes into the
8:20
third quarter of week one. And
8:22
up to that point, I believe he had
8:24
every carry except for one. Gus
8:27
Edwards did not have a carry and Justice Hill had one carry
8:29
up to that point. I actually think Gus Edwards came in for
8:31
a two-point conversion. But official
8:33
carry, I think Dobbins had all
8:35
of them except for one. So
8:38
take that 2.3 quarters
8:40
of football and do what you
8:42
will with it. You
8:44
know, I was thinking about comparisons to Derek Henry
8:48
and what did I have here? Le'Veon Bell,
8:50
2019, 2020, it was the third-round pick
8:52
in ADP. He
8:57
had an absolutely horrible season. He
8:59
was with the Jets for two games and then the
9:01
Chiefs for seven games, whatever. That was the end of
9:03
Le'Veon Bell. He was coming off kind
9:06
of a bad year and he still was a third-round pick
9:08
as he got like 60 catches the year before, 66. Ezekiel
9:12
Elliott was a third-round pick in
9:14
2022 coming off kind
9:17
of a bad year where he actually finished
9:19
about 18th, 19th per game, which is what
9:21
Derek Henry was last year depending on the
9:23
format. I will say
9:25
Henry was playing a lot better than those guys were, however,
9:28
he's also older than they were. They were like 27, 28 and he's
9:31
30. I
9:33
don't know. Did that – I do
9:35
get – that's what scares me a
9:37
little bit. We weren't out on Le'Veon Bell and
9:39
Ezekiel Elliott because they were legends until they were
9:41
absolutely horrible. Does that matter?
9:43
Did he buy that comparison at all?
9:47
I mean, I think – I don't know
9:49
about the specific players because there were some
9:52
weird things that happened with Le'Veon obviously throughout
9:54
his career. But in terms of the idea
9:56
of we just – we weren't out on
9:58
them because they'd been so good before. until
10:00
they were bad. I think that makes sense.
10:02
The difference is that Henry's another couple of
10:04
years older than those guys were when that
10:06
happened. Yeah. But better. That
10:08
is the other difference. Like the age is
10:10
going against him, but he was performing better.
10:12
Those guys were coming off really concerning seasons.
10:14
Like I can't believe we drafted him in
10:16
the third round. Well you said that, Elliot,
10:18
it was like around RV20 per game like
10:20
Henry was last year, right? Yes,
10:22
he was. But he was showing signs of
10:24
wear and tear and lacking all
10:27
the explosiveness was gone pretty much. Derek
10:29
Henry's had a rush over 55
10:32
yards in like seven straight seasons. It's crazy.
10:35
But he was also splitting with Tony Pollard. I guess we
10:37
didn't know how much the split would be. And
10:39
here's the thing about Zeke. He scored 12
10:41
touchdowns that year and he
10:43
still was a bust. That's like all
10:45
he did. Henry scored 12 touchdowns last
10:47
year and was a bust. No, he scored 12 touchdowns
10:50
the following year, like the year. I know.
10:52
Well, right. But I'm saying you can score
10:54
12 touchdowns and still be a low
10:56
end RB2. I mean, Edwards was that last
10:58
year. I just think that Henry will
11:00
be a better version of Edwards. Yeah. Let
11:02
me make sure I had that number right
11:05
on Zeke. Yeah, he scored 12 touchdowns and
11:07
he was RB22 overall. Okay.
11:09
All right. And then I
11:11
don't know if there's anything else you want to say about Josh Allen. Like, hey,
11:14
let me ask you this about Josh Allen. Because
11:16
I think the big bust case for him is
11:18
that he scored 15 rushing touchdowns last year. That's
11:21
going to come down. But what we never
11:23
really say is that he seemed to gain
11:25
what he gained in rushing touchdowns. He lost
11:28
in passing touchdowns. And could
11:30
you see that balancing out? Because it's almost
11:32
like the same amount of total touchdowns four
11:34
years in a row almost. Yeah,
11:37
I think probably not. We did see
11:40
actually a decline in the total and their number
11:42
of Russia temps last year as well and a
11:44
decline in the rush efficiency. He was back down
11:46
around four and a half yards per carry and
11:48
four and a half carries per game. We
11:51
did see a small decrease
11:53
in the pass touchdowns. Some
11:56
of that has to do with he
11:58
threw fewer passes per game. touchdown rate
12:00
was a little bit down, but it was still 5%,
12:02
which is above average. And
12:06
I have a hard time expecting that his
12:09
touchdown rate is going to rebound up when
12:11
I expect his receiving core to be worse.
12:15
Yeah. I, yeah, okay.
12:18
I just, he ran the ball more near
12:20
the end zone and threw the ball less
12:22
near the end zone, at least like within the
12:25
three yard line, which, but
12:27
you know, you are losing Stephon Diggs, so. It's
12:30
just going to be hard overall. All right,
12:33
check out FFT Dynasty. I
12:35
have got to listen to the age curve episode.
12:38
I'm assuming it was super interesting, Heath. It
12:41
was, it was, we talked about age curve. We
12:43
talked about, it was with Ryan Heath. We talked
12:45
about what is and is not predictive for the
12:47
various positions. I got a lot
12:49
of positive feedback on Twitter from people who said
12:51
that whether they're playing Dynasty or not, the information
12:54
was really helpful. Exactly what I was going to
12:56
say. So you can get it in the FFT
12:58
feed, but that's going to go away
13:00
at some point because we're going to increase
13:02
our episodes in the regular FFT feed. So
13:04
check out the Fantasy Football Today Dynasty podcast
13:06
wherever you listen to podcasts or watch it
13:08
on YouTube at youtube.com/fantasyfootballtoday. We're going to take
13:10
a break. We actually do have a decent
13:12
amount of news and notes today. So we'll
13:14
get to that momentarily. Stick around. We'll be
13:16
right back on Fantasy Football Today. Robert
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We got a couple of potentially elite
14:28
running backs. Jamie, are
14:31
you worried about them? They got little OTA
14:33
injuries. Josh Jacobs hamstring injury. Kyron Williams is
14:35
not going to participate in OTAs with a
14:38
foot issue that Sean McVay said is nothing
14:40
to worry about. What about you, Jamie? Are
14:42
you concerned about Jacob's or Kyron? No.
14:45
No. Not yet. I think
14:48
the Kyron
14:52
one is interesting just because of
14:54
the quorum edition. I guess you make the
14:56
same thing with Jacob's with the Lloyd edition.
14:59
But the fact that it's
15:02
at this point in the season, they're just going to
15:04
be cautious. I mean, I think we're, I
15:06
didn't see exactly what Raheem Moore said about Bijon Robinson,
15:08
but they're being cautious with him in Atlanta too. There's
15:11
no reason to run these guys out there if
15:14
there's something bothering them. If you want to
15:16
make a case for Kyron Williams being concerned
15:18
that he had foot issues in his rookie
15:20
season, then I can understand that but it'll
15:22
probably push the ADP of any drafts that
15:25
are going on in whatever
15:27
form. Best ball, rookie only, you know, for guys
15:29
like Horm and Lloyd, they might bump up a
15:31
couple of spots because, oh, maybe there's the chance
15:33
that they play sooner rather than later. So
15:36
I understand that but as of now, no. Matthew
15:40
Stafford was on the field for OTAs. There's some
15:42
players who are in contract situations that we don't
15:45
know if they're going to participate or not. Matthew
15:47
Stafford was a yes, T Higgins
15:49
is a no, and T Higgins is the
15:51
only franchise player, the only player that got
15:53
the tag that hasn't signed it yet. So
15:55
he actually cannot participate in OTAs. Brandon
15:58
Ayuk sitting out right now, Justin. Jefferson,
16:01
Tristan Wurf, offensive tackle for the
16:03
Buccaneers. These guys are looking
16:06
for new contracts. Daniel Jones. I
16:10
didn't say CD-Lam. No, I think I said that
16:12
one on Monday maybe, but
16:14
I should have said that. CD-Lam as well. Daniel
16:17
Jones recovering from ACL injury. What?
16:20
Tua is with the Dolphins even though he's dealing
16:22
with contract situations. Yes, we have
16:24
a note about his physique coming
16:26
up. Okay, Daniel Jones,
16:28
recovering from the torn ACL. He is participating in
16:30
OTAs, so it looks like a good
16:32
chance he'll be ready for week one. Aaron
16:35
Rodgers has no restrictions in OTAs, but
16:37
Michael Williams coming off the ACL injury,
16:39
he has not been cleared for football
16:41
activities. Tua has lost
16:43
10 to 15 pounds. He's down to about
16:45
220 pounds, whereas Lamar Jackson has lost about
16:47
10 pounds from last year, and he's down
16:50
to 205 pounds. That
16:52
is light for Lamar Jackson. I
16:55
don't know if anybody cares about that stuff. Yeah,
16:59
it's important. Lamar
17:01
knows he doesn't have to do anything near the goal line anymore. That's
17:04
true. Justin Fields, according
17:07
to The Athletic, is competing with Russell
17:09
Wilson for the starting job. Russell
17:12
Wilson is – or Justin Fields is
17:14
a sneaky, super flex pick right now.
17:18
There were two quotes yesterday that I liked. One
17:20
was from Justin Fields. I don't plan on sitting
17:22
the whole year, so keep that in
17:24
mind if you are in the Russell Wilson camp. And
17:28
Aaron Rodgers saying, I can still throw it with the best of them.
17:32
He's such a humble guy though, you know. It was
17:35
unusual to hear him say something like that.
17:38
I think the interesting thing with the Steelers is if you
17:40
don't believe in Justin Fields as a passer, it
17:43
might sway how you feel about George Pickens. If
17:46
you like the chains, if you like people trying
17:49
to walk in a straight line for like
17:51
30 yards and measure something, well, we might
17:53
be done with those. The NFL is going
17:55
to use optical tracking instead of chains
17:58
in the preseason to determine first down. It's
18:00
2024, I think it's about time for that.
18:03
Hopefully they'll keep it going in the regular season. Patriots
18:06
guard Cole Strange could miss
18:08
weeks, maybe a couple months
18:11
in the regular season. He's got a knee injury.
18:13
That's a tough blow for the Patriots. Saints
18:16
head coach Dennis Allen said that cornerback Marshawn Lattimore
18:18
will be on the team in They
18:21
plan to move forward with him. And an interesting quote
18:23
from Dolphin Safety Jevon Holland.
18:25
He said the difference between former
18:27
defensive coordinator Vic Fangio, who is
18:30
now the Eagles defensive coordinator, and
18:33
current defensive coordinator Anthony Weaver. It's
18:35
a complete 180. And the
18:37
fact that Weaver is a good person makes
18:40
a difference. Oh,
18:42
shots fired. All
18:44
right, he's back to your bus. So Josh
18:46
Allen, Derek Henry, this one, I mean, is
18:48
this a typo? This
18:50
is David Montgomery on your bus list? You
18:53
love David Montgomery. Yeah,
18:56
I buy into the fact
18:58
that Jameer Gibbs is going to have a larger role.
19:01
And a lot of Montgomery's production came
19:03
early in the year when Gibbs was
19:05
either being limited by the Lions or
19:08
was actually hurt. Two of his three
19:10
games with over a hundred yards, five
19:13
of his 13 touchdowns came in
19:15
three games early in the year. The
19:18
only game he had all season with more than
19:20
three targets. I don't, I, and
19:22
I don't, listen, I don't know exactly where Montgomery's going
19:24
to end up getting drafted. I don't
19:26
want to draft him as a starter. He's a number three
19:28
running back for me. Me
19:30
oh my, I don't know what it's, it's
19:33
Bizarro Day. I'm looking at the last two
19:35
drafts that we did, half PPR and full
19:37
PPR after the NFL draft. And I drafted
19:39
David Montgomery in both of them in the
19:42
fifth round. Slightly
19:45
earlier, about five picks earlier in the
19:48
half PPR draft, which makes sense.
19:50
But Jamie, what do you
19:52
think? Did I draft Montgomery too early in
19:54
the fifth round? I
19:58
Don't think so. A good spot
20:01
for a know when when and. And
20:03
on and on this I disagree to call him a number
20:05
three running back I think when you start to get busy
20:07
past like. Rb. Sixteen, Rb, seventeen,
20:09
Eighteen Rains. You know they're all kind
20:12
of blend together the next six or
20:14
seven guys, so. I don't
20:16
know he has ahead of him. That's.
20:19
Of of note that. Know.
20:21
I would say Montgomery's better. The thing
20:23
that I I I see Montgomery will
20:26
still do. Is. Score
20:28
touchdowns and so no again. I
20:30
don't think anybody was ever drafting him to
20:32
be a pass catchers bus. Yeah to the
20:34
adage, make it last year. They've now gone
20:37
to years a row with a slower or.
20:39
Less. Explosive option. On
20:42
their own team. As. That goal
20:44
line guy and I don't think that's going to
20:46
change to my. Williams led the Nfl in rushing
20:48
touchdowns two years ago. David Mock Army see or
20:50
thirteen rushing touchdowns last year I think they liked.
20:52
I think the and Campbell likes having that says
20:54
have a presence in so Ah yes gives will
20:56
have a bigger role. Yes gives it the better
20:58
the to that That goes without saying. But.
21:00
I don't think that they have a mug. I'm risk of we were going
21:02
away so. Ah, Either. Said
21:04
it. You know you could still score. Ten.
21:07
Twelve plus touchdowns and not be an elite
21:09
fantasy option. But. Back.
21:11
And rb to Rains that's kind of where they
21:14
mock armies expected to be drafted and I think
21:16
that's kind of x the expectation away. Savage now
21:18
hill he will perform. Yeah.
21:21
I'm in. The rankings are crazy. You're
21:23
right the right now in Ppr David
21:25
Jamie has Montgomery eighties and are be
21:27
eighteen and he has an army thirty
21:29
one. Ah say the seasons.
21:31
We think about this that last nine
21:33
games of the season. That's when
21:36
Montgomery came back from the injury
21:38
Sedgemoor Guns in had established himself
21:40
at that point. I give this
21:43
was our ten per game in
21:45
half and full ppr. Montgomery.
21:48
Was. Top. Thirteen overall,
21:50
but per game or be eighteen
21:53
and half ppr rb twenty in
21:55
full ppr. So. that's exactly
21:57
where jamie has basically and they've had him
21:59
ring That's exactly where I drafted him pretty
22:01
much. I drafted his RB 18 in the half
22:03
PPR league You have him
22:05
31st. So he did that with a 17
22:09
game pace of only 236 carries and 19 catches but 13
22:11
touchdowns Right
22:16
I If I remember correctly
22:18
Gibbs was actually getting a little bit more work
22:20
in the red zone and inside the 10 in
22:23
the second half Of the year you had one
22:25
more rushing touchdown than Montgomery had in those final
22:27
nine games I don't have
22:29
like a big gap between RB20
22:33
and RB 30 and So
22:35
that it took just a little bit of
22:37
a change to his usage to drop him down
22:39
in those in those
22:41
projections But I do
22:43
think That I expect
22:45
for Gibbs to have a larger share of the
22:47
role than he had in those final nine games
22:50
last year Yeah, I mean
22:52
in those but in those last nine
22:54
games Montgomery scored seven touchdowns and Gibbs
22:56
scored eight and They had
22:58
basically the same amount of carries inside
23:00
the five-yard line 11 from Montgomery 10
23:02
for Gibbs But then the postseason came
23:05
and Montgomery had eight carries inside the
23:07
five-yard line and Gibbs had zero So
23:10
I Dan Campbell loves Dave Montgomery. What
23:12
is the difference between Montgomery and Rahim
23:14
Mostert? H
23:20
Better offensive line Yeah
23:27
I'm more concerned about the health of
23:29
a Chan than I am Gibbs I
23:31
think Gibbs will have a bigger role
23:33
than a channel Who
23:36
has more injury upside if
23:38
Gibbs and a Chan both got hurt? There's
23:43
a third guy there in Miami now, so it's kind of an unknown But
23:46
I would say most most are probably has more upside of a
23:48
chain gets hurt because at least you know what? You
23:51
know, I take that back. No Montgomery has much I'd
23:54
say slightly most are but I don't have a strong
23:57
feeling about it. No, I
23:59
think I need to make that sound By little bit longer hit.
24:01
Six. You brief gate at a lot
24:03
for as long as I move it
24:06
on. Oh I guess we do a
24:08
little bit of the of Montgomery or
24:10
still, Montgomery or Devin Singletary. Mchenry.
24:15
I'm. Just get big. I'm getting a very
24:17
just barely right now as we have
24:19
a he's a big that I know
24:21
people get that I was ah I'll
24:23
usually your favorite things that I've already.
24:25
Zach Moss. The. Iowa
24:27
I think both of them in every draft though.
24:30
his draft. Montana. And
24:33
I do have most are a couple spots ahead. I'm a gummer.
24:37
Yeah look, I Love! I love Heath's
24:39
rankings because they they are bold a
24:41
different. You know that you'll get. Montgomery.
24:44
In our Be Thirty One, although in fantasy prose.
24:48
Ah he is going pretty lazy aren't
24:50
well as rb nineteen but seventy fifth
24:52
overall. Though. I guess Whatever. Atp:
24:54
I would guess that most of the
24:56
fantasy prose a D P his best
24:58
ball Atp. If I'm just
25:00
guessing the I mean like Brian Thomas is
25:02
going ahead of Aaron Jones or A.for their
25:05
regular drastic. right? Maybe I
25:07
just that's why I don't. I
25:09
don't think there's any good he atp at. now. there isn't.
25:12
Okay I next on the bus
25:14
list is Stefan Digs. He.
25:16
Will turn thirty one on November
25:18
twenty ninth. And.
25:21
Really horrible in the last eight games of the
25:23
season where he was. Not
25:25
even a top forty receiver on
25:27
either A pro gamer overall basis
25:29
of a Stefan Digs: what round
25:31
would he have to go into
25:33
be a busted like whoa, that's
25:35
too early for Stefan Decks. Oh
25:39
man you have ruined. When I was going
25:41
to say I was going to have to
25:43
bring up something I learned this morning the
25:45
Allen Robinson's on the Giants and I think
25:47
it was Allen Robinson who is the first
25:50
wide receiver that I said when a guy
25:52
gets lateness twenties, early thirties and shows you
25:54
that he's lost a step believe I'm ah
25:56
I'm I don't want to draft define digs.
26:00
In the first five
26:02
rounds. Four.
26:05
Rounds okay around five. Be okay with it
26:07
in a twelve the league. Is.
26:09
It okay and around five. I do have
26:12
him third amongst the Texans wide receivers. He
26:14
did have his lowest yards per catch last
26:16
year since he was in Minnesota his lowest
26:18
yards per target the since he was in
26:21
Minnesota, his lowest yards per game since he
26:23
was in Minnesota. You now has more competition
26:25
for targets than he had and Buffalo, so
26:28
I don't think you can just call him
26:30
seeing ten target a game like he has
26:32
for most of the past four seasons. Okay,
26:36
Jamie, I'm seeing Stefan digs thirty
26:38
six overall in our Ppr draft.
26:41
About. Forty second overall
26:43
and are half ppr draft.
26:45
In. The E S P N Draft he went
26:48
thirty nine silver all. So. Yell.
26:51
Later the yeah two, three, four turn
26:53
or maybe a little bit and around
26:55
for. That's. Too early for he's have of
26:57
Ryo. In a
26:59
to receive really gets too early in the three
27:01
years. He really that's about the spotless expectantly go
27:03
because how receivers get pushed up and I think
27:05
how most people should be drafting the position which
27:07
is he in of the top. Twenty
27:10
five to thirty receivers said be
27:12
going in the first forty. Some
27:14
odd tax on. Your. Based on
27:16
how the the position positions shake out
27:18
so I don't mind him in that
27:21
range. but. I do think
27:23
that it's very fascinating. Discussion.
27:25
And were inhabit a lot of Collins vs.
27:28
Digs vs Down and which is the best
27:30
of the trio and who's the worst and
27:32
the worst might be really bad. Now.
27:34
You know, just based on how history tells
27:37
us that at it's difficult for three receivers
27:39
to finish and top twenty four and so
27:41
how far off while the third one. Be.
27:43
If all three do not get
27:45
there and so you know the
27:47
i think that saxons. Set.
27:49
Up the findings to have a big season training
27:51
for him and giving him the opportunity to prove
27:53
that he still has an opportunity to play a
27:55
high level. Changing. His contract
27:58
and allow him to go out and earn
28:00
another hey if in fact, he's going to
28:02
get one. And so they. Dangled. A
28:04
care in front of him and they said. Go.
28:06
Go get your bag if you if you think you
28:08
still cable doing it and. That. Sort
28:11
of give me a little bit of hope that he's
28:13
not going to. You. Know not
28:15
that he took place, offer or or whatever but that
28:17
there was story's going into last year. At this point
28:19
about he was disgruntled in Buffalo and you may have
28:21
played itself out over the course the season. So he's
28:23
where the quarterback on the rise is where the guy
28:25
think that will value him. He's with the team. I
28:28
think that's going to give an opportunity to succeed. And
28:30
so how much does that push back and push down
28:32
the value of the other two guys? So I'm finding
28:34
it's hands on him and as as a lower number
28:36
two receiver I don't wanna reach for him. I certainly
28:38
don't think he's at the same caliber player that used
28:40
to be. And how much of last year was the
28:42
change and off and how much was it he just.
28:44
Wanted out how much of it was as
28:47
he said which is probably know that the
28:49
most easy thing to identify is that. At
28:51
his age that he was a step. And we're going
28:53
to out. so. Don't reach for
28:56
him. Don't overvalue him. The.
28:58
Three Four turn I think is a good spot in a
29:00
through see really. The. There was
29:02
a players are got the Jamie Rockets
29:04
and Mogi yesterday or the day before
29:06
on Twitter that I saw and Die
29:09
is now one spot behind Digs in
29:11
my wide receiver rankings. I think it's
29:13
a really interesting comparison Group Godwin. One.
29:17
Of the Rocket Ship a movie Jamie. Ah,
29:19
he spoke about the new offensive being back in
29:21
slot was that allows him to play at I
29:24
think a more comfortable level for him. Oh yeah
29:26
I love it! I. Do I
29:28
Will Let me let me through this scenario. You
29:30
can. What? Is digs in,
29:32
loses that what is? He just was
29:34
not a fit for Joe Brady's all
29:36
sense the as if he was so
29:39
good at the start of the season.
29:41
And there is an article that I'm
29:43
reading now. I read a few my
29:45
whenever came out last month or something
29:47
that's as from Cbs sports.com April ninth
29:49
by Douglas Clawson and it's why Stefan
29:52
Daves returned superstar form with the Texans
29:54
after discouraging final stretch with the Bills.
29:56
Know. I for one, I don't see
29:58
him returning to Super. There are formed
30:00
is because of the targets but there
30:03
are some compelling case is in this
30:05
story about why. He was
30:07
not doing well, specifically under Joe Brady.
30:09
He had twenty three receiving yards on
30:11
play action in nine games with Brady
30:14
compared to three hundred and forty six
30:16
before I did worse when he was
30:18
in motion, half of Digs targets with
30:21
Joe Brady were either screens or quick
30:23
hitches compared to forty two percent prior
30:25
that the little bit more. But mostly
30:28
it was that he wasn't getting anything
30:30
done in the vertical passing game and
30:32
he was before the job. Brady higher.
30:35
And this article. Theorizes.
30:37
That job ready to didn't do a good
30:39
job of scheming. Stefan digs open basically and
30:41
that body slow with will so you know
30:43
whether you want to listen to this article
30:45
or not. you just look at the sec.
30:47
Seem so much better before the office of
30:49
ordinator change our when Josh Allen's passing numbers
30:51
were better to. by the way, can you
30:53
buy that that he didn't actually show us
30:55
that he was losing the separatists? It didn't
30:57
happen to start a season, happen mid season
30:59
and it to happen under jailbreak. I.
31:03
Think it's possible that's true, that it makes
31:05
me feel a little better about my Josh
31:07
Allen busskohl I give just tipped over Haiti's
31:09
the problem, But. I
31:12
just and I think it really just comes down also to
31:14
how you feel about Tank Dell and they go Cohen's. Because.
31:18
I. I. Think they're both kind of
31:20
ascending stars. And
31:23
I don't think that they, especially with the
31:25
way the Stroud seems to feel about Dell.
31:27
I don't think they'd bring in digs and
31:29
just sideline one of those two guys. Which.
31:32
Is as rather have Stefan Digs
31:34
or T Higgins. Higgins
31:38
as of now, but obviously his
31:40
status will determine. I'm
31:42
a little lower on Higgins I think than the crowd,
31:44
so I do have digs just out of I'm Digs
31:46
or Cup. Cup.
31:50
Ah wow, they're very close for me. I'll
31:52
lean digs right now or take up. Digs:
31:55
Or a commercial break. Course.
31:59
Know. I will be
32:01
right back with Talk about Keenan
32:03
Allen and he's worse. Busskohl and
32:06
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33:11
Okay, Jamie, I don't think you're going to argue
33:14
too much with the Keenan Allen busskohl, right? Us?
33:16
What he says Keenan Allen did. He ended up
33:18
in round seven in our most recent draft. And
33:21
yes, the V Six seven turn
33:23
solicitors round seven in our to
33:25
dress. Or. That see the Is T and
33:27
draft. I think I did. actually he was sixty eighth
33:30
winter over this on Monday. Little bit we were talking
33:32
about. oh do they see eye to eye expected? Who's
33:34
gonna have an Atp higher than wrong Seven and four
33:36
pp or with that could be wrong and I don't
33:39
have him and around seven I've got him and rounded.
33:42
And. No agreement. Know disappeared from Jamie I assume.
33:45
You know where mean as we talked about in
33:47
a with the up. The. So on
33:49
Monday that. When. Be surprising if if Romo
33:52
Dunes is better than him in our cities, a more
33:54
is better than him in I. I've I've said this
33:56
quite a bit. He was on my my Bacillus earlier
33:58
as well. That. You know
34:00
the the change of environment scares me. You know,
34:02
going to scavo, going to play. You.
34:05
Know it in. In this
34:07
weather could be a problem you know as the season
34:09
gets colder you know is he's and goes on as
34:11
as a as whether guess holders are. You're
34:14
not going to be. You. Know seeing the
34:16
same level of zoc said he said which has been
34:18
a huge part of his success you know and though
34:21
he was awesome last year as as he entered his
34:23
early thirties so in oil on the you was the
34:25
sewing eight thing. You. Have to wonder
34:27
you know how much of the injury was there
34:29
at of it in Harbors? Not back. Why? So I
34:31
come back to play for this and even the
34:33
T maybe said you know don't we don't want
34:35
to get your further injured or he actually was hurt
34:38
a new. have to worry about that at some point
34:40
being being an issue. So. Yeah,
34:42
I'm It's all agree with In and I do
34:44
think that this is one of those situations where.
34:47
The. Name was the case and wait. And
34:49
you may get disappointed with the production. It's
34:52
it's. almost like every thing that concerns me
34:54
about Digs is slightly more concerning Brown One,
34:56
except for this bag that Allen didn't have
34:58
the fall off last year, but he's older,
35:00
he's go. I don't think the Bears pass
35:02
all fence is going to be as effective
35:05
or efficient as the Texans pass. All since
35:07
this year Jimmy mentioned that the weather as
35:09
these digs gets to play in a dome
35:11
in the South. Balance
35:13
gonna play some terrible weather games and I
35:15
think the Dj more and room or do
35:17
they are probably better than Nico Cohen's and
35:20
take Dell as a duo so he eyes.
35:22
Some it's a it's a bad situation I think
35:24
and I and I and I would expect that
35:26
there are fewer residence. For. The rookie
35:28
Williams than there is for a second year
35:30
drought. Would. You doesn't
35:32
have Keenan, Allen, or Jordan Addison. Special.
35:38
Hopkinson Her. Right
35:42
now, I've got Allen just ahead of them. Have.
35:45
Our guy that he took just before.
35:47
Keenan. Allen one of our dress Cortland sudden. I
35:52
got our son. Ah,
35:54
as. For.
35:56
Now son. As
35:58
we get the Heath's were school. Ah,
36:02
but I do. This is Go and
36:04
Millie neighbors what's eyes. I have no
36:06
idea what his Atp is gonna be.
36:08
Let's see where he's been going when.
36:10
Round five in one draft of ours
36:13
went in round six in one draft
36:15
of our to me. And
36:17
in the E S P N draft he
36:19
went in. he went forty ninth overall that
36:21
in a desert they do ten teams they
36:23
are. He started to agree to the of.
36:27
Ah, I'm well. it's really okay as
36:29
wide receiver. Twenty four? Yes, too early.
36:31
He went ahead of. The.
36:33
Flowers: Chris God When Tank
36:35
Dell. Yeah.
36:38
I these more like wide receiver. thirty? Where do you have
36:40
him? Call
36:42
Wide Receiver or Forty Three Foods
36:44
A Be an advocate for rookie
36:47
wide receivers. If they come in
36:49
and get twenty five percent of
36:51
the teams receiving production, they are
36:53
awesome! Next. Really, really
36:56
awesome. And you look at the New
36:58
York Giants over the last four years.
37:00
Twenty eight hundred and eighty six yards
37:02
and fifteen touchdowns. Thirty one, fifty seven,
37:04
and seventeen. Thirty One Ninety
37:06
Six. And Fifteen. Thirty. Twenty
37:08
Six And Twelve. Twenty. Five
37:11
percent of that if he's just every bit
37:13
as awesome as we think he is, is
37:15
somewhere between seven and eight hundred yards receiving
37:17
and about for were touched us. So.
37:20
What it is, Okay, what it does.
37:22
Just for comparison sakes, I'm just gonna
37:24
look as I'm A.you know, stop your
37:26
head. Just Jefferson's rookie season was twenty
37:28
Twenty. Ah,
37:30
he had fourteen hundred
37:32
yards. At. Of for twos
37:34
fourteen hundred of I have four to
37:37
six five he had thirty three, thirty
37:39
two point eight percent. Of
37:41
their production. So. Again,
37:44
The. Neighbors. Can do better
37:46
than. Twenty. Five Just observers, this is
37:48
a defensive Twenty can do better than seventy five
37:50
percent. But. Here's the thing. I
37:52
don't think I don't think we should sit here and say
37:54
he can't do better. Than Just and Jeffers. I
37:57
think there's a pass a now he can
37:59
hit zero cents. Do that. But.
38:02
I think he could get like a level
38:04
twelve hundred yards. Man,
38:12
either see the super any might be
38:15
a user super duper store if you
38:17
come in as a rookie in this
38:19
all sense with this quarterback and produce
38:21
eleven hundred yards that is that. The
38:24
tip top outlier ceiling case, and I
38:26
think even a nutcase. It's probably a
38:28
low touchdown total and he's around our
38:31
be wide receiver twenty five or something.
38:33
I am hopeful for neighbors
38:36
to be like nine fifty,
38:38
two thousand yards know and
38:40
six of stuff. That
38:43
I want More than that. obvious you want
38:45
more than that? Yeah, I think that there's
38:47
there's There's two sides. This is obvious. Decide
38:49
that he's is coming out on which history
38:51
tells us that. It's difficult for Daniel don't
38:53
to support this type of receiver at a
38:55
level that I think people want. Dahl.
38:58
So the other side of it, as you've never had our
39:00
of, there's only three of him with a receiver like this.
39:03
That. Some say that, but it is never
39:05
support a receiver. He's had this type
39:07
of receiver and ninety be fully retired.
39:09
Can he go at a common office
39:11
or novelist and footage? It's completely ended
39:13
his career that what happened with neighbors.
39:16
In. A lot if he's every bit as good as
39:19
he can be. He's. Going to Elevate
39:21
Dangled Zones or Trulock In or as an eerie
39:23
that bring that up as if if Jones is
39:25
not ready to go. Week one and Law comes
39:27
on plays well. Maybe. He gets the
39:29
job for you. I thought of another bargain for Superfly
39:31
sleeves. you know, Drew lox be on your last pic.
39:34
Also, And
39:36
so there there's. In.
39:38
O'brien tables coming from a situation where it
39:40
that's what changed. His quarterback was Josh Allen
39:42
was good on the cusp of becoming greats
39:44
and got the findings daniels or this terrible
39:47
to make him good you have only neighbors
39:49
come in. Hopefully that's what happens and changes
39:51
the tenor of his career and and maybe
39:53
what the Giants are looking at. There's.
39:55
Also the potential of he's just good. And
39:58
Jones still sucks. Oh
40:00
you after. You. Know. A
40:03
I think if you're it, you said it best on
40:05
honor on a show A couple weeks go out of
40:07
about when to drastically neighbors when you feel like adaptively
40:09
neighbors it when we get some point in the receiver
40:11
rankings where it just feels like there's a drop off.
40:14
And. He's a little bit before
40:16
that few i think you know and so that that that
40:18
feels like as that part. To take a chance on a
40:21
player like this, he should be considered a number three receiver
40:23
taking him and. What? He said
40:25
he has can just forty ninth overall. Yeah on
40:27
and as sensing the great so. Way.
40:30
Too soon. You know
40:32
if you're talking about and around five
40:34
Round six a around five take was
40:36
Jacob gives of not mistaken he sends
40:38
a gravitate towards your the younger rookies
40:40
are the minorities. Round.
40:42
Six I know was you know and that's I think
40:44
and okay spot for him in our i would prefer
40:47
I'm around seven around six I think is okay depending
40:49
on how many receivers.the board that. And
40:51
Eli Manning had a sixty nine point
40:54
four passer rating in two thousand and
40:56
thirteen. And. Then Odell Beckham
40:58
came in. He. Missed the
41:00
first four games of the year and
41:02
he has thirteen hundred yards and twelve
41:04
touchdowns and twelve games. And Eli Manning
41:06
when from a guy who are like
41:08
book dawn setting and ninety two point
41:11
one passer rating two thousand and fourteen.
41:13
Mike Evans was the number thirteen receiver
41:15
as a rookie in fifteen games is
41:17
quarterbacks are Mike Glennon and Josh Mccown.
41:19
They. Threw for three thousand six hundred and twenty three
41:21
yards and twenty one touchdowns with in sixteen games and
41:24
sixteen games a twenty five hundred more yards more than
41:26
the in your Joan. What do you think Where the
41:28
Giants have thrown for the last force? What do you
41:30
think they would have thrown forbidden that Mike Evans that
41:32
That's my hope I win years like can dick Indiana
41:35
Jones gets a thirty five hundred yards as early as
41:37
crazy that seem I think you get up at at
41:39
the to find the team. Can I get that I
41:41
would feel better but neighbors of the like current Eli
41:43
Manning was the quarterbacks is that would you feel better
41:46
about of zoo offer the quarterback. Maybe.
41:49
I would and prop probably would me. I'm
41:51
not significantly the with because it's not just
41:54
the joneses terrible, the passer, it's that dress
41:56
he's gonna take off and run a bunch
41:58
to of and that it's. Like the
42:00
table is decided it in your john displaying the best
42:02
way to have a chance to win as to throw
42:04
as little as possible. Yeah. Nothing's
42:07
the rice by. I was just like
42:09
to see if Elsa Barkley that see
42:11
them to when they were say that
42:13
it was neighbors becomes the focal point
42:15
of the office just like There and
42:17
War last year. that was awesome. Okay
42:19
let's go to a one racing against
42:21
our privacy I was at that game
42:23
they would suit or terrific abroad. Bowers
42:25
is your last bus tear this history
42:27
a say about while or other way
42:30
that. Names. Like. Made.
42:32
This is our cutting you. Oh really, how was
42:34
that? Was an hour that wasn't from anybody? thinks
42:36
he knows. report. Will
42:38
not. That. It is is believed
42:41
neighbors happy to be on the Giants. Not.
42:44
Really not know. His.
42:47
Supporters talking bad about the jerseys
42:49
yesterday. I look.
42:52
Every with something bad about the jerseys assign
42:54
a to sign a lakes you know be
42:56
one of the to be one of the
42:58
to be one of the fans basically. Thankfully
43:01
we know that Ryan tables really patients with
43:03
first round rookie wide receivers that aren't necessarily
43:05
happy. I also a Broad Powers
43:07
Christmas. Ah
43:10
of twenty, right? Which.
43:12
That now he did not. Ah, night. No
43:15
No. He was a year after
43:17
year after the second your to i'm. This
43:21
is not an anti brought Bauer stake.
43:23
It's in the entire situation. Take I,
43:25
I think a. We. Seem to
43:27
seasons don't do the atoms in Las Vegas
43:29
and he has three hundred and fifty five
43:31
targets in those two seasons Down the stretch
43:34
they went run heavy and why he adams
43:36
is still averaging like twelve targets for game.
43:39
I. Think they might throw it twenty eight. To.
43:41
Thirty times a game. And
43:43
thirty five percent of those are going to go to
43:45
want a items. That makes it
43:47
really difficult for Bowers to be a
43:49
starting fantasy. Tight end. The. Setting
43:52
is probably not going to have a lot of passing touchdowns.
43:55
I'm guessing you would not have taken him ahead of the
43:57
evan Engram as he went in one of the or recent rise
43:59
certain. They would not take him head of any group. Or.
44:04
Even a joke of. I.
44:06
Would rather have no joke. Tic.
44:09
Ferguson. I do their first.
44:12
Darin, Waller. Middle
44:15
of The except for artists. David.
44:19
You ever get excited? addressed Rock Bowers. Know
44:22
guess ah this I guess
44:25
And gay. Or
44:27
one other thing that I'm I'm series by on
44:29
disagree with what he said about the past volume.
44:33
I said. The. The divide
44:35
and numbers alone and flight at twenty
44:37
one target game in that for game
44:39
stretch so I don't know that's going
44:42
to be the norm it over that
44:44
time. but can he leapfrog Jacoby Myers
44:46
to be the second target getter? In
44:49
this office. And I would
44:51
not surprise me. Marriage: Gabi Myers was
44:53
brought to this team with Josh Mcdaniels.
44:56
And. While he did play well as your even
44:58
after the chains, This. Is now
45:00
the first draft pick in the first round
45:02
of this new regime, And so how much
45:04
will they feature? Bowers. Maybe.
45:06
Even to the extent of hurting Devout
45:08
as was, I think we'll have to
45:10
be the case if Bowers is good.
45:13
And so I think if you're drafting
45:15
Bowers and and the three tight ends
45:17
you mentioned mold mold, this cat will
45:19
discuss bar.their moments but Ferguson and a
45:21
joke of. Ferguson if
45:23
you buy into his. Upsides:
45:26
aging or his ceiling changing than I think. It's easy
45:28
to go Ferguson. If you're buying into what the joker
45:30
did last year over the course, the season and helping
45:32
us a be the norm with this on Watson then
45:34
that's fine by into but those are the that the
45:36
too tight ends I think where he comes into play
45:39
you know he's in be data of anger mission project
45:41
at It Kills and be a job that had pets
45:43
on. This was not the most ideal any spot for
45:45
him. But. It's. It's
45:47
not a bad idea if you are drafting Bowers to
45:50
take him with a Ferguson to take him with a
45:52
joke with the Para maybe with stockings and just to
45:54
see if you know the beginning part of the season.
45:56
Vargas up to get started. Hackathons back. Know that that
45:58
not my ideal situation too. Head out
46:00
to tie it together to the could be awful for
46:02
both them, but you get a point. You know you're
46:04
You're taking a chance on. You. Know hopefully
46:06
somebody that can help you have powers the struggled.
46:09
So I also think that people to not look
46:11
at what happened last year and say he's an
46:13
exam Laporta rookie tight ends don't usually do that.
46:16
And so. You. Know if you
46:18
are looking for a rookie tide and com. Look.
46:21
At what Duncan K. did. Look.
46:23
At what? maybe the combination of Musgrave and
46:25
Tyler crafted? You know that's kind of what
46:27
Rookie Tide and send to give you in
46:29
a Laporta was it? Know? A
46:32
of Lucas in nature in over
46:34
how he performance. Ah, I'm. So.
46:37
To draft him as an honor ones I could be a huge
46:39
mistake. This crossword. Hey. Speaking
46:41
of same report on. Let's. Go
46:43
to our audience bus! And.
46:46
Member Man versus let's give us one
46:48
last week tweet or whenever we read
46:50
tweets as I said Monday sorry he
46:52
said us and the board and he
46:54
doesn't touch down the porno won't be
46:56
a bus prefers a D P, he
46:58
will be more Gibbs, more Jamiel more
47:00
demands. I think the could have just
47:02
by but their full names. can you
47:04
really get all those touchdowns in the
47:06
green zone? So Sam a Porta a
47:08
bus candidate. Vs
47:12
think I mean they're they're the potential for
47:14
him to be a bust in Other Also
47:16
is Everly with sixty seven targets that are
47:18
vacated from Josh Reynolds and so where do
47:20
those go to those go to day Mr.
47:22
Williams was be the hope in the partners
47:25
targets here said same does. Don't.
47:27
Do those get? sort of? You know, trickle
47:29
down to everybody. And it's it's. more from
47:31
a porta. You
47:34
know he is easy easily. the second guy in
47:36
this off and throat asked them point behind my
47:38
almost amon ra same from and this often stayed
47:40
the same. You know the fact that they are
47:42
able to in a keep. Coordinator. Keep
47:45
quarterback and. You're. Awfully don't know what
47:47
we saw last year. I mean look, I
47:49
don't think reporters. A bust. i
47:51
think it's going to be frustrating for
47:54
someone who takes the and then watches
47:56
potential jobs kelsey trade me bride or
47:58
mark andrews outscore him and if by
48:00
a lot, then you're going to be frustrated. And
48:02
that's the – I like La Porta
48:04
in round three. And I think
48:06
in full PPR, like even – maybe
48:09
even slightly early round three, but I
48:11
don't really think there should be hardly
48:13
any separation at all between La Porta,
48:15
McBride, Andrews, and Kelsey. And
48:17
so I think we're going to see at least one of
48:19
those guys go around later than him, and I'm going to
48:21
rather take those guys in round four than him in round
48:23
three. I got some votes for
48:25
Drake London as a bust. And
48:28
I mean we've spoken about this so much. I
48:30
feel like I'm coming off a little bit too negative on Drake London.
48:33
I actually don't really think he's going
48:35
to be a bust. I think I'm questioning his upside a little
48:37
bit. It's weird because Drake
48:39
London could – I think going to
48:42
get pushed up so much by a draft position. He
48:44
could almost be a breakout and a bust in the
48:46
same season. Like he's going to be
48:48
drafted much, much higher than anything he's ever done. And I think
48:50
he's going to be better than he's ever been, but I don't
48:52
think I'm going to be able to draft any of them. Well,
48:56
when would you draft Drake London? Round
48:58
four. Oh, no, you're not going to be able to. Sorry.
49:01
I know. Jamie,
49:04
are you round two on London? Yeah,
49:06
and Heath is right. He could have an
49:08
amazing season, but be outperformed by a couple
49:11
of guys that may go behind him. Jaylen
49:13
Waddle can easily bounce back and perform better
49:15
than him, DeMonte Smith, two guys
49:17
that have done it, T. Higgins, guys that
49:19
are in fairly good
49:21
situations as well, if not great situations. That's
49:25
the risk you run when you're taking a player
49:27
like this. But the hope is
49:29
that his pedigree, his now
49:31
quarterback upgrade system upgrade, all those
49:34
things, lend itself to him
49:36
producing at the
49:39
opportunity that's available to him, which could
49:41
be top ten fantasy option. I
49:43
think he kind of reminds me of Michael Pittman. I still
49:47
don't know how high the ceiling is for either
49:50
of those players, London and Pittman. I'm
49:53
not sure we've really seen what they're capable of. I
49:55
think we'll see that this year from London. We'll
49:58
find out. But
50:00
I just think there's good. He's so clearly the
50:02
number one guy. I can't see pits out targeting
50:04
him. And they just don't have
50:06
that much target competition. I feel like there's a pretty high
50:08
floor for those guys. I
50:11
feel like there's a high floor for – there
50:13
was a high floor for Pitman last year because of
50:15
Minshu. I don't know about that this year. In fact,
50:17
I would nominate him as a bust. Yeah,
50:20
I was just thinking the same thing. He has that potential. He's
50:22
going to be dropped in the same range. And the Brown 2
50:25
is most likely where Pitman's ADP will
50:27
settle in PPR. But
50:29
as we saw last year, Touchdown still escaped
50:32
him in his offense. And now
50:34
they added another receiver. Josh Downs should continue
50:36
to improve. And you're getting a
50:38
full season of Jonathan Taylor. So full season of
50:40
Richardson, full season of Taylor. How much running will
50:42
that offense have to take away from Pitman? So
50:44
yeah, it's not a bad call. Okay.
50:47
It's a half-hearted call anyway. But Andy
50:49
says, I'm worried about a Tyreek Hill
50:51
drop-off in the fantasy playoffs. I
50:54
think kind of overall, he said
50:56
more targets for Waddle, Malik Washington,
50:58
OBJ. But then the fantasy playoffs
51:00
are at Houston, home against
51:02
San Francisco, and at Cleveland, which
51:05
is cold weather game and not necessarily
51:07
good. But that's kind of
51:09
an interesting call. And we were worried about
51:11
that last year with Tyreek Hill because his
51:13
fantasy playoffs were the Jets, Cowboys, and Ravens.
51:16
He missed the Jets game. He scored
51:18
19 points against the Cowboys, which
51:20
was good, but not amazing, below his season
51:22
average. He scored 13.6 at
51:25
Baltimore, six catches for 76 yards.
51:28
So, Heath, what do you think? A
51:30
playoff bust, Tyreek Hill? I'm
51:32
not as worried about it this year as
51:34
I was last year. That's only one bad
51:37
weather game versus, I think, two. And
51:40
I would expect the game – like,
51:42
at home against San Francisco could very
51:44
easily be a shootout. At Houston could
51:46
very easily be a shootout. So,
51:49
not as worried. There's actually only one bad weather
51:51
game last year, too, but you had that Jets
51:53
matchup at home, which was super
51:55
tough. But
51:57
they only had – they had to add Baltimore last year, and we got to –
52:00
If he gets you there doing what he's capable of doing,
52:02
you're not going to be upset about him. Yeah.
52:05
Mike says, Marvin Harrison's ADP doesn't leave
52:07
much room for profit. Huge talent will
52:10
eventually be great if there's a learning
52:12
curve he won't pay off. Yeah, it's
52:15
the same thing like Drake London. I mean, you're asking
52:17
a player to do something he's never done before. Step
52:19
into the NFL and be a superstar. And yes, there's
52:21
– everything is right there for it.
52:24
Number one guy in an offense expected
52:27
to be the number one guy in the offense. Not
52:29
a lot of competition for targets. We can sit
52:31
here and say McBride, yes, that's an obvious one.
52:33
But Michael Wilson and Zay Jones, are they going
52:35
to hurt Marvin Harrison's
52:38
upside? They might, but those
52:40
aren't exactly scary options right now. So
52:43
is drafting him early around too
52:45
high? Probably so. But if you
52:47
want him, that's where you have to get him at
52:49
this point. It don't say probably so. You
52:52
don't believe that, do you? That
52:54
is too soon? Yeah. No,
52:57
I'm drafting him there. But I mean
52:59
again, history tells us – you went
53:02
through and looked at a bunch of rookie wide receivers.
53:04
I know you're looking at ones with bad quarterbacks, but
53:06
there's not a lot of guys that do what we're
53:08
asking him to do. We've had three in the past
53:10
four years, Jefferson, Chase, and
53:13
Puca. I think we're
53:15
seeing it's pretty possible. That's
53:17
my – but you're right. I mean we don't
53:19
get a lot of rookie wide receivers that do that. But
53:22
you don't feel like that's too early. And I
53:24
also don't think you believe that his
53:26
ADP doesn't leave much room for profit because he's going
53:28
– let's say he goes 15th overall. I
53:32
think you both probably feel like Harrison could perform
53:34
like a top five slower. Yes,
53:37
I don't think he's going to go 15th overall. I think
53:39
we're going to see him closer to 20 just because
53:42
when the quarterbacks start to get in
53:44
there from what ADP will tell us, our
53:46
Japs, he's going to go in the top
53:49
15. I will say
53:51
he's going to have probably a wide range.
53:53
I think probably CBS ADPs late round two. I
53:55
know the very first glimpse that I saw
53:57
of NFC high stakes ADP, he was 12th. I
54:01
think you'll have a first round ADP in
54:03
high stakes leagues and probably late second round
54:06
in leagues where quarterbacks gets drafted earlier Andre
54:09
says the Dante Adams will be a bus. He's
54:11
an aging wide receiver with poor quarterback play. I
54:15
Agree if he has around to ADP. He
54:17
was also an aging wide receiver with poor
54:19
quarterback play last year What
54:21
do you think he was a bus last year? I? Don't
54:25
think was he where did he finish? He
54:28
finished 11th or 12th, but per game. I think
54:30
he was more like 18 or 16. Let me
54:32
I'll tell you in a moment Okay, the Vontae
54:34
Adams was
54:38
Yes, he was 14th and non
54:40
PPR 10th and PPR and per game. He was
54:43
19th and non PPR 17th and PPR. I Don't
54:47
it's probably a slight bust. Yeah All
54:50
right. Last but he's not gonna be drafted as high as he was last year
54:52
probably Gutcheck says Tony Pollard.
54:54
It will be a bust. I feel like there's
54:56
a good chance. He'll be the 1b instead of
54:58
the 1a. I Guess
55:02
just depends on when you're drafting him We
55:04
haven't seen him get drafted and arranged right
55:06
now that I think is bust worthy last
55:08
year certainly was Yes,
55:14
it's kind of weird It's is there a scenario
55:16
where they both end up being Solid draft picks
55:18
and I look at the last draft we did
55:20
and Pollard went in round seven and Spears went
55:23
in round eight I'm like, yeah, I guess
55:25
that could work. Oh Yeah,
55:27
they could be not even Warren. I was gonna say what was
55:29
the finish for the Steelers guys? Okay,
55:33
if you need a second you want full PPR
55:35
half PPR, okay
55:38
per game Per
55:41
game actually Warren was better than Najee Warren was RB
55:43
29 per game. Najee was RB 31 per game Not
55:49
as good as I remember Yeah,
55:51
not great They had
55:53
13 rushing and two
55:56
receiving touchdowns combined. So 15 total
55:59
touchdowns them. It's
56:01
not great. That's probably like, but they're right
56:03
around RB30. I'm guessing that's where they
56:06
were drafted in Pollard and
56:08
Spears in
56:11
this draft. Anyway, if you
56:13
guys want to talk for five seconds, I can figure
56:15
that. I think, I expect there to be a bigger
56:18
gap between Pollard and Spears. I
56:20
think I may have downgraded Spears more with
56:22
the Pollard signing than other people did, but
56:24
I expect Pollard to be, to have
56:28
at least like a 60-40 split edge as opposed
56:30
to what we saw for Najee and Warren Lester.
56:34
Pollard was RB25 and Spears was RB33 in
56:36
this draft. All
56:40
right, thank you guys. We'll talk to you
56:42
with another episode tomorrow. We'll talk to you
56:44
then for Heath and Jamie and Thomas. I'm
56:47
Adam. See you tomorrow. You
56:56
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