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SBF's sentencing, Databricks' GPT rival, and who's investing in the "underdog" founders

SBF's sentencing, Databricks' GPT rival, and who's investing in the "underdog" founders

Released Friday, 29th March 2024
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SBF's sentencing, Databricks' GPT rival, and who's investing in the "underdog" founders

SBF's sentencing, Databricks' GPT rival, and who's investing in the "underdog" founders

SBF's sentencing, Databricks' GPT rival, and who's investing in the "underdog" founders

SBF's sentencing, Databricks' GPT rival, and who's investing in the "underdog" founders

Friday, 29th March 2024
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0:00

This episode is presented by Invest

0:02

Puerto Rico. If you believe your

0:04

business can go anywhere, Puerto Rico

0:06

is the place. Hello

0:19

and welcome back to Equity, a podcast

0:21

about the business of startups, where we

0:24

unpack the numbers and the nuance behind

0:26

the headlines. My name is Alex and

0:28

I'm joined today as I am each

0:30

and every Friday by my dear friend,

0:32

Senior TechCrunch Reporter on all things fintech.

0:34

It's Marianne as a video. Marianne, hi.

0:36

How's life? Life is good. It's a beautiful day

0:38

here in Austin. How are you? Well,

0:40

I got an eye infection. My eye did horrible, terrible

0:42

things. I got to spend a day on the couch

0:44

and now I am back at work and blinking a

0:47

lot. But I can see out of both sides of

0:49

my face, which does allow me to spy in the

0:51

other corner. It's Kirsten Korsak. Hey, Kirsten, how are you?

0:53

Hey, it's been a minute since I've been on. I've

0:56

traveled, I don't know, like seven different

0:58

places since the last time I was

1:00

on the podcast. So it's going to be back.

1:02

So I wasn't going to bring up the fact

1:04

that you were just going on full jet set

1:07

mode there for a bit. But give us your

1:09

chief highlight from the last business trips quickly. And

1:11

what did you learn that was the most interesting?

1:13

So Detroit was really fascinating to see

1:15

actually what's kind of going on downtown

1:17

with this incubator, Michigan Central. That new

1:19

lab is actually involved in and saw

1:21

how it's all laid out. It's very

1:24

neat. And we actually have a feature

1:26

coming up in a couple of weeks

1:28

about one of those startups. South

1:30

by was South by in Austin. Miss Jew,

1:32

Mary Ann, I know you escaped the city

1:34

at that time. And, you know,

1:37

there was still transportation stuff. But wow,

1:39

was there a lot of Gen. A.I.

1:41

stuff going on? Never heard of it. Orange

1:44

County was Rivian. So that was

1:47

a big show. Lots of fans.

1:49

Very interesting to see the R3.

1:51

That was the big surprise. And

1:53

prior to that was L.A. again

1:55

for the Strictly VC event in

1:58

which I interviewed Kedra Malakana. Waymost

2:00

co-CEO on stage and since

2:02

then they basically launched publicly

2:05

in Los Angeles

2:07

driverless so a lot happened Yeah

2:09

Marianne I went from my couch to my

2:11

desk to my couch and back to my

2:13

desk again I think it you had a

2:15

similar schedule. Yes, very very similar. I'm living

2:17

vicariously through Kiersten Yes, and you know who

2:19

else is going to be living vicariously through

2:22

people who have the right to travel Well,

2:24

it's Sam bankman freed because he's about to

2:26

be nailed down both feet inside a prison

2:28

for quite a long time Marianne can you

2:30

run us through just the high level numbers

2:32

here about why fraud is not a good

2:35

business model? Well, Sam bankman free

2:37

was sentenced to 25 years

2:39

in prison today for fraud and money

2:41

laundering at FTX Okay,

2:43

so we've all been wondering we were

2:46

all curious how long he was going

2:48

to get I think his attorneys argued

2:50

for far less Seven

2:52

years seven years right and

2:55

he could have gotten what up to 110 Yeah,

2:58

which that's that's a lot a lot. So

3:00

25 is a number I

3:02

think we should have a rule for every billion dollars

3:04

you squander. It's a hundred years in prison, you

3:07

know I think there should be some really stiff

3:09

penalties for certain behaviors out there. I think it

3:11

would help quite a lot I'm glad

3:13

he didn't get seven years. I think 25 a lot. It's a

3:16

lot I

3:18

don't think he's 25 years to get over being a

3:20

bad kiddo But I do think that it's good to

3:22

have the precedent set that if you do this you

3:24

get yeah I mean he's 32 now So

3:26

he'll be in his 50s when he gets out and

3:29

if he were to serve the full sentence and that's

3:31

that'll be interesting to See that play out not

3:33

sure I'll be paying attention to it 18 years

3:36

from now potentially But I'll recall the name

3:38

when that comes up and be like, ah,

3:40

yes I recall those times and we talked

3:42

about it on the equity podcast. What happened

3:44

to that guy? Well, it turns out not much It

3:47

is substantially less than let's say Bernie Madoff.

3:49

I think that's reasonable. Yes. Yeah, there's nuance

3:51

that anyways I'm sorry. I got so caught

3:53

up in the kind of breaking news of

3:56

SBS sentencing that I forgot to do the

3:58

show rundown So if you're curious what's going

4:00

to be on the pod today? Well, we

4:02

are going to talk about three deals of

4:04

the week. The first one all about Robinhood's

4:06

new offering, what's going on with Fisker and

4:09

Databricks just launched what? And then we are

4:11

going to dive into kid focused startups, which

4:13

are growing very, very quickly. And then a

4:15

new fund that does appear to be contratrend

4:18

in one interesting way. But first Marianne Robinhood

4:20

back on the show post IPO, what's going

4:22

on? Yeah, so Robinhood this week

4:24

unveiled a new credit card, which they

4:26

call the Robinhood gold card. This was

4:28

not a shock to those of us

4:30

who've been paying attention to Robinhood's activities

4:32

last summer, it did scoop up a

4:34

startup called X1 for $95 million. I

4:37

had covered that

4:39

company a couple of times. And

4:41

one of the features that that card had

4:43

that is being parlayed into this one or

4:46

has been parlayed into this one is that

4:48

card holders can get cash back, they

4:50

get 3% cash back. And that cash

4:52

back can be rolled into their brokerage

4:55

accounts at Robinhood and they can use

4:57

it to invest. That's just one of

4:59

many features that this card offers.

5:02

What was that company that was doing like that

5:04

it rounds up your purchases and then puts that

5:06

the extra into savings for you was acorns? Oh,

5:09

well, I mean, a legacy company is fidelity. I

5:11

have that retirement savings card. Oh,

5:13

that's cool. Oh, okay. But it doesn't

5:15

go to a brokerage, right? I mean,

5:17

put into a retirement, a dedicated retirement.

5:20

So that isn't a new concept. What

5:22

I like is that there's no annual

5:24

or foreign transaction fees, which I think

5:26

is going to be compelling for people because

5:28

there's a lot of hidden annual fees in

5:31

some of the more established, let's say financial

5:33

institution backed credit cards. Yeah, absolutely. But Marianne,

5:35

not everyone can get this card. There's actually

5:38

a requirement upfront that does, well, if you're

5:40

saying it's a very good point, put it

5:42

into greater context. Right, right. There

5:44

is no annual fee or foreign transaction fee. However,

5:46

you can only get the card if you're a

5:48

Robin Hood gold member that costs either $5 a

5:50

month or $50 a year, which

5:55

they say, oh, depending on how much

5:57

you spend, you could earn back fairly

5:59

quickly. That's how they're selling it. The

6:01

3% cashback is interesting because it's not on

6:03

just any one or two

6:05

categories like food, travel, or groceries. It's

6:08

on everything. And that,

6:10

as I was writing about this, made

6:13

me think a lot about parallels to

6:15

the Apple card which has a lot

6:17

of interesting features as well. But the

6:19

cashback it offers is 2% on all

6:21

purchases. I think it offers higher percentage

6:23

back on Apple purchases. But

6:25

across all categories, Robinhood's is 3, Apple's

6:27

is 2. I'm

6:31

glad you brought up Apple because I bet

6:33

some people are like, why is the equity

6:35

team discussing a new credit card offering? And

6:37

it's because, frankly, what we are seeing is

6:39

technology and tech adjacent companies like Robinhood get

6:41

more deep into consumer credit and we're seeing

6:43

companies that can essentially become fintech players that

6:45

we didn't expect to become them. I mean,

6:47

if you think about when Apple rolled out

6:49

the iPod and I told you down the

6:51

road, they're going to have high yield savings

6:53

in accounts and a consumer credit card, you

6:55

would have been like, why? Did

6:57

they become Goldman Sachs? But now it's kind of

7:00

normal-ish to do this. So Robinhood to me is

7:02

kind of following in a wave of

7:04

companies that are moving in the same direction

7:07

to become more financially relevant. We're

7:09

also finally starting to see sort

7:11

of the fruition of some of these acquisitions

7:13

that we were talking about, not just Robinhood,

7:15

but a number of other companies. Like, what

7:17

are they going to do with this acquisition? And now

7:20

we're seeing that play out. And so,

7:22

as you mentioned earlier, we could have predicted this, but

7:24

now we see what it looks like. And I think

7:26

that there's a number of other. I've got to go

7:28

back in our archives because there's been a

7:30

number of these types of acquisitions from some

7:32

of these companies that kind of put them

7:35

closer into the fintech world. Yeah, I kind

7:37

of nerd it out a little bit on

7:39

the aspect of it having covered the startup

7:41

from its early days, right? So I

7:43

always find it interesting watching a startup grow

7:45

and then to see one get acquired by

7:47

a larger public company like Robinhood and its

7:50

technology rolled into its offering like that. I

7:52

think it's pretty fascinating. Robinhood opted

7:54

to do this instead of trying to build

7:56

out the technology itself, which we often

7:59

see larger players. to these days.

8:01

Yeah. Also, I just think we're seeing

8:03

essentially every platform become like every other

8:05

platform, period. Like we used to joke

8:07

about this in the world of social media, like something becomes

8:09

big, Facebook clones it, and then, you know,

8:12

that's kind of how things went forever. But

8:14

it now seems to be a little bit broader

8:16

than that. It's like, for

8:18

example, LinkedIn is trying to do games like

8:21

the New York Times and videos up top

8:23

like TikTok. Why? Because they want to grow

8:25

more, apparently. And so I wonder if this kind of

8:27

falls, Mary, and underneath the same ages of once

8:30

you have some users, you eventually just want to juice

8:32

them for everything you can. And so I expect Robinhood

8:34

to launch an ad network in the next six months.

8:37

You never know. When it

8:39

does happen, we can all groan together. Anyways,

8:41

over to the world of automotive and EVs,

8:43

Kirsten, one of my favorite companies, and by

8:46

that, I mean sarcastically, Fisker is having one

8:48

hell of a week. And I want the

8:50

high level breakdown because so much has been

8:52

going on over at the Troubled Company. I

8:55

think Dumpster Fire is a more

8:59

accurate descriptor right now. So there

9:01

have been problems at Fisker for a while now.

9:04

But you know how when a company,

9:06

you just see it all of a

9:08

sudden accelerate from like, oh, that's a

9:10

problem. Hmm, that's a problem. Move federal

9:12

investigation. You know, this

9:15

is what's happened to Fisker. So you might recall

9:17

about four weeks ago or so,

9:19

we did have a investigation on

9:22

how multiple customer complaints

9:24

and federal investigations into the

9:26

fiscal vehicle, the software being

9:28

buggy, the hoods flying off,

9:31

rollaway problems. So that sort of

9:33

was a huge red flag that was

9:35

happening. But behind the scenes, there

9:37

was apparently a lot of internal money problems.

9:40

So the scoop that we had from Sean

9:42

O'Kane was that based on sources that we

9:44

spoke to, Fisker lost track of millions of

9:46

dollars in customer payments for months.

9:49

They did manage to find, locate

9:51

and recapture those dollars back. But

9:54

this is basically failing at a

9:57

fundamental level of what a company needs to do

9:59

to survive. which is first you have to make a

10:01

product and make a product that is of good enough

10:03

quality and then you sell that product and

10:05

then you got to collect that money because

10:07

otherwise you're basically giving away for free. So

10:11

that's what was happening over

10:13

at Fisker and it's unclear to us

10:15

whether they have resolved all these issues

10:17

but it did trigger an internal audit.

10:19

And then the last thing is while

10:21

that was happening, many other things have

10:23

been happening. Fisker basically is running out

10:25

of money. It's deal

10:27

with an automaker unnamed but reportedly

10:29

Nissan fell through and that was

10:31

a closing condition on its $150 million convertible note.

10:35

So now stock dropped 28%,

10:39

trade was halted and the same day

10:41

New York Stock Exchange then suspended them.

10:43

So this all happened in the span

10:45

of two or three days. Suddenly

10:48

and then quickly. On

10:50

the Fisker losing track of payment story that I

10:52

was reading as be prepped for today's show, the

10:54

thing that made me laugh the hardest was the

10:56

fact that they weren't sure who had sent them

10:58

money and I believe they sent cars to people

11:00

who hadn't actually paid for that. Yes, I

11:02

read the same thing. I read that and was

11:05

like, oh my goodness, how on earth

11:08

do you do that? You deliver a

11:10

car to someone who hasn't paid for

11:12

it at all. I mean, what

11:14

a mess. Look, we all clown

11:16

on Williams, the F1 team for using Excel to

11:18

track like 20,000 different parts for their F1 cars.

11:20

But at least Williams rolls up with a car.

11:24

I feel like here they must have had like different

11:26

systems that weren't talking to each other. But I'll just

11:29

say this, I didn't get a free Fisker Ocean and

11:31

that's a bummer. I could have used one. I

11:34

don't think you want a free Fisker Ocean. Clearly,

11:36

they're running out of money. But I

11:38

don't think figuring out how to collect money is

11:41

going to solve their problems. They're sitting on about

11:43

just under 5,000 vehicles in

11:45

their inventory and they just

11:47

slashed the price of their vehicle by

11:50

about up to 39% in the last

11:52

couple of days. So

11:55

imagine the desperation.

11:57

I don't actually understand.

12:00

why that's even happening, quite honestly,

12:02

because it immediately crushes

12:04

any existing ocean owner. The

12:07

resale value just now is

12:09

plummeted. I don't think that

12:11

even if they sold every single one of these, that

12:14

they would even be in a better financial

12:16

position because they certainly must be

12:18

losing money on those cars by selling them so cheaply.

12:20

At the end of the day, I think they

12:22

just want to get rid of the inventory and maybe

12:24

it makes it cleaner for them to enter into

12:27

bankruptcy. Oh man, you said the B

12:29

word. Now if it happens, we're gonna get blamed.

12:32

You've jinxed it. I think the only people

12:34

who could be blamed are the folks

12:36

maybe running Fisker, but I would be

12:38

shocked if Fisker doesn't

12:41

file for bankruptcy protection within this

12:43

court. Well, the quarter's about to

12:45

end, but within the next quarter.

12:48

That is my big prediction of 2024. How

12:50

about that? Well, I think you're dead on.

12:52

And I'll just say that I've always thought

12:54

the Fisker Alaska, which is their, I think,

12:56

yet to be released easy truck, was super

12:58

hot. Here's my little chef's kiss. I

13:00

mean, here's the thing. Henrik Fisker

13:03

is the CEO of the company

13:05

and is a well-known famed designer.

13:08

And his wife is actually a CFO. You

13:10

liking the Alaska pickup, or people actually

13:13

liking the design of the Fisker Ocean

13:16

is the problem here, which is having

13:18

a well-designed vehicle does not in any

13:20

way mean that you will

13:23

have a successful company. In fact, because

13:25

you have to execute on things like

13:27

that it works mechanically, the software works,

13:29

the service works. And that's

13:31

the big question. The software and

13:34

service for the existing owners

13:36

of Fisker, if Fisker dies,

13:38

who maintains that? It can't

13:41

just be pretty. Right. We

13:43

live in an era right now where we are

13:45

starting to get more and more modern vehicles from

13:48

newer companies. And if those

13:50

companies go out of business, because they are

13:52

so software-centric, it isn't clear

13:55

that you could even hold on to these vehicles

13:57

for the length of time that the average American

13:59

holds on to vehicles. today, which is about 11

14:01

years or longer. What

14:03

will this car look like in 15, 20 years? It's

14:06

gonna look like an Android smartphone still running like Android

14:08

4. By the way, the problems

14:10

that Kirsten's outlining here involving price cuts, impacts

14:12

on resale values, young companies that may die,

14:14

and software updates is also impacting a lot

14:17

of EV makers over in China. So while

14:19

this is a Fisker story, it's also a

14:21

global story. And I could go on

14:23

and on and on, for example, like the fact that Fisker

14:25

was gross margin negative back in Q3, but we have to

14:27

move on. We do. How

14:29

about Databricks? Yet again, but this time, not

14:31

because Databricks has dropped off an entire sheath

14:34

of new numbers showing off how fast they're

14:36

growing while still not going public, but instead

14:38

they have spent $10 million, give or take,

14:40

on a new generative AI model called DBRX.

14:44

Now, putting these models to the test is

14:46

a little tricky. It's hard to say which

14:49

one's precisely better for different tasks, but it

14:51

seems to be roughly on par with

14:53

some leading models and slightly not quite as

14:55

good as GPT-4, but Mary-Ann, to build something

14:57

almost as good as what OpenAI has in

14:59

the market today for 10 milli, seems

15:02

to be a pretty good deal. Yeah, I mean, honestly,

15:05

I have to give Kyle props, obviously,

15:07

he's the author on this and he

15:09

knows this space very well. So I

15:11

was trying to understand the nuance here.

15:13

What's the difference between Databricks' new model

15:16

compared to OpenAI's? I don't know, Alex,

15:18

did you get it? More or

15:20

less. So the way to think

15:22

about this is Databricks wants you to bring your

15:24

data over to Databricks and then

15:26

use their services for all of your data

15:29

and processing, data intelligence, AI needs and so forth. And

15:31

so what they want to do is make sure that

15:33

there's lots of cool models you can use for your

15:35

data over on Databricks. So it makes sense that they

15:38

have their own model and you can use it. It's

15:40

quasi open source in the same way that a lot

15:42

of other things like I think of LAMA2 is the

15:44

thing that really stood out to me that Mary-Ann is

15:46

the hardware costs are quite high. I

15:49

have downloaded LLM software

15:51

and tried to run models on my own

15:53

local environment. I failed, but I could download

15:55

them and run them in theory. This

15:57

requires, I think a CPU or GPU.

16:00

cluster of at least four H100s,

16:02

which are very expensive, hard to get your

16:04

hands on and not exactly a prosumer item.

16:07

So this is aimed at the enterprise. And

16:09

so it's, you know, not really for us,

16:11

but who does Databricks sell to? Well, it's

16:13

not us. So I guess that kind of sits well with

16:15

me. Yeah. I mean, that's, I

16:17

guess my question. So at least for

16:19

Nvidia H100 GPUs, a

16:21

single one of those costs thousands of

16:24

dollars. So who is the customer of

16:26

Databricks is my question. If it's not

16:28

us, who is it? Well,

16:30

if you want to use their recently

16:32

purchased company, Mosaic ML, it might help

16:34

with just that, bringing back your points

16:36

about acquisitions that are being announced earlier

16:38

and we're seeing kind of later tucked

16:40

into these mega corpse. I think what

16:42

matters here more than anything is the

16:44

competition for foundation models is not going

16:46

to be restricted to just open AI

16:48

versus anthropic versus alphabet. There are

16:51

other players that have the sufficient capital

16:53

resources and customer base to make this

16:55

a viable economic option. Now, I

16:57

think the thing that we'll want to know in

16:59

six months is, is anyone using DBRX or was

17:01

this essentially them building something that was then ignored

17:04

by the market? But I do think it's an

17:06

important moment for the trajectory of these technologies. And

17:08

that's kind of what I, what

17:10

I took away and wanted to bring up because

17:12

eventually at some point before we die, maybe, maybe,

17:15

maybe before SBS gets out of prison, they

17:17

will go public and then we'll get to learn

17:19

more. But this will be a point in that

17:21

eventual S1 filing, I think, right? Yeah.

17:24

I mean, I do think it's positive

17:26

that there are more companies

17:28

entering into this market that it's

17:31

not just dominated by open AI,

17:33

even though they are dominating a

17:35

lot, including headlines. So there's another

17:37

company that's doing something somewhat similar,

17:39

although there are some slight differences

17:41

here and competition is always good,

17:43

specifically around, I think, generative AI,

17:45

because it can be used in

17:47

so many dangerous ways that I think

17:49

when there's multiple companies working on it,

17:51

that is a positive. Yeah. But I'm

17:53

still waiting to understand who

17:56

Databricks customer will end up

17:58

being for this very. specific

18:00

product. The way that I think about it is,

18:02

I mean, I wouldn't be shocked if Yahoo was

18:04

a Databricks customer, but I think TechCrunch is probably

18:06

too small. And so I presume

18:08

this model is tuned for very specifically the enterprise

18:10

use case, you know, bring your own data, retrain

18:12

it with your own stuff, and then you have

18:15

your own in-house model. But we got to move

18:17

on. And that means we have to take a

18:19

very short break. But when we are back, kid-focused

18:21

startups, two of them, in fact, and how building

18:23

for TOTS can be quite the way to make

18:25

a buck. What's

18:31

next in tech? That's not the

18:33

right question. It's where. Puerto Rico.

18:36

More than just a tropical paradise,

18:38

it's an innovations paradise, where startups

18:40

and global players coexist in a

18:42

vast and vibrant ecosystem, where talent

18:45

runs deep, highly skilled and bilingual.

18:47

Plus, the island offers the most

18:49

competitive tax incentives in the US.

18:51

If you believe your business can

18:54

go anywhere, Puerto Rico is the

18:56

place. Find out

18:58

more at investpr.org/TechCrunch.

19:02

This week, we had a couple

19:04

of stories on kid-focused startups raising

19:06

capital, which I, as a parent,

19:08

of course, thoroughly enjoyed because I

19:10

feel like people don't realize if

19:12

you don't have kids just how

19:14

much money is spent on children.

19:16

So anytime we have startups that

19:18

have new products or new software

19:20

or new whatever that helps make

19:22

our lives easier or help us

19:24

save money, our ears perk up.

19:26

One such startup is called Playtime

19:28

Engineering and they have come up

19:30

with something that, if you're musically

19:32

inclined, seems very, very cool.

19:35

It's a keyboard synthesizer

19:38

or a kid-friendly synthesizer.

19:40

Designed for kids ages three and up. How cool is that?

19:43

Yeah, this is really cool. So this

19:45

is actually started as a Kickstarter

19:47

campaign, which is kind of fun

19:50

and interesting. But when I walk through

19:52

a toy store or whatever, there's there is a lot of

19:54

like kid keyboards and how is

19:57

this different? Well, this

19:59

is pretty. This is pretty sophisticated for a child's

20:01

toy. I think they're looking to sell it for

20:03

about $350, which

20:06

is a lot and the company

20:08

acknowledges that. But apparently, it's really

20:10

more like the company describes

20:12

it as essentially a grid box

20:14

or electronic music production device fully

20:17

decked out with a drum machine

20:19

synthesizer built-in microphone for audio sampling

20:21

and sequencer all in one device.

20:23

This rips. So making

20:26

music. Yes. You can actually put

20:28

together tracks and things like that. It sounds

20:30

like. Yeah. Okay. And it has these really

20:32

chunky buttons and knobs because one thing that

20:34

I've learned by hanging around with children is

20:36

that their hand dexterity is garbage. They really

20:38

can't like have a baby try to pick

20:40

up one Cheerio. It's hilarious. They're like, they

20:42

can't do it. So you need to

20:45

have really big knobs that don't come off

20:47

and maybe just rip them off. And there's

20:49

a lot of things that go into children's

20:51

toy design. But looking at this thing and

20:53

being somebody who owns a consumer grade synthesizer

20:55

device that I bounced off of because I

20:57

was too dumb to figure out how to

20:59

make it talk to my software. I love

21:02

this idea. Let the kids have something cool.

21:04

Help them be creative. Get them into the

21:06

idea that art isn't something you just consume,

21:08

but can also participate in and create. Hell

21:10

yeah. Where was this when I was a kid? We had

21:13

to have like, paper decks. Like this

21:15

is wildly awesome. Yeah.

21:18

I mean, I'm sadly not very musically

21:20

inclined, but I do think if you

21:22

have children who want to explore making

21:24

music and you could afford it, that

21:26

this is pretty darn cool. It's

21:28

called MyTrex. And as soon as

21:30

my first daughter can use

21:33

it, I'm buying her one because I want to see what she comes up

21:35

with. So does that mean

21:37

she's going to come up with like the equity

21:39

podcast, like soundtrack potentially? I don't

21:41

think the production team here would

21:44

allow me to bring that into

21:46

the show. So

21:48

here's a little known fact, actually, we were,

21:51

I was kind of teasing you about having your

21:53

daughter do the synthesizer, but actually, the

21:55

technology that we use, the

21:58

synthesizer we use for equity

22:00

is the same as this. It

22:02

just doesn't have the big buttons.

22:05

Our podcast producer master doesn't

22:07

need the big buttons, but it's the

22:09

same exact technology. Exactly. So essentially what we're saying

22:11

is, as soon as my daughter is a couple of

22:14

years older, Teresa is out and Ada is in and

22:16

that's how we're going to run the show from there

22:18

on out. We joke. I just

22:20

think it's really cool to see more technology put

22:22

to use in this manner, except brings delight to

22:24

kids and also gets them off of TikTok on

22:26

their parents' phone. Marietta, there's another story and this

22:29

one is incredibly cool. I think this is fantastic.

22:31

And this is right up my alley. Tell us

22:33

all about Kidsie. Yeah, I thought so

22:36

too. I thought it was really

22:38

interesting. Kidsie's a new Chicago-based e-commerce

22:40

startup. And what they do is

22:42

sell kids' clothing, toys, and gear

22:44

at discounted rates. And

22:46

they do it in an interesting

22:48

and kind of different way. They

22:50

partner with retailers like Macy's, Target,

22:53

Kohl's, Walmart, you name it. And

22:55

we know that these retailers have

22:57

a ton of returns and open

23:00

box items that they don't resell.

23:02

And I never really thought about what happens

23:05

to them, but apparently they either get sold

23:07

for really cheap overseas or

23:09

end up in a landfill, which

23:11

is just such a disgusting waste.

23:13

So Kidsie buys these items from

23:15

them directly and then resells them

23:17

on its website. And it's recently

23:19

raised a million dollars in pre-seed

23:21

funding. And in just a

23:24

matter of months that emerged from beta

23:26

in September, they said that by January,

23:28

they had hit $1 million in annualized

23:30

revenue. So they

23:32

sold three dresses and a bib. So

23:36

this kind of, I mean, it sounds like

23:38

kind of like an overstock model. Yeah.

23:41

Is that fair? I would say

23:43

so. Okay. Which is a pretty big

23:45

company. So what I'm curious, of course,

23:47

and I'm guessing that they didn't provide

23:50

this information, but they hit a

23:52

really nice revenue number. What

23:54

is their costs and overhead? I mean,

23:57

are they already on the road to

23:59

profit? Well, she told me they

24:01

expect to be profitable in about two

24:03

years. It's early yet, so obviously we

24:05

don't know, but they get a take

24:08

rate on every item they sell and

24:10

the percentage varies across brands and categories.

24:12

On average, it's about 35%. Which

24:15

is a lot. That's a lot. Yeah.

24:18

And it also makes a lot of sense because if you're

24:20

a company that was going to sell it off for 10

24:22

cents on a dollar or throw it away, getting 65% of

24:24

a reduced amount is probably much better. And

24:27

it means that KidZ gets a big fat cut of this

24:29

stuff. I think this is just

24:31

great, Mary-Ann. There is so much waste

24:33

in little kiddos because they grow

24:35

fast and they are disgusting, foul little creatures.

24:37

And so everything's always torn, ripped, and covered

24:40

in snot. So it's just great to have

24:42

this system. And one thing that

24:44

I have been really lucky about is we have a

24:46

couple of friends here where I live and

24:48

they have kids that are about two years older than

24:51

our first. And so people just

24:53

gave us stuff. Yeah, that's ideal. We have so

24:56

many children's toys and books that people outgrew and

24:58

they're not having kids that just gave to us.

25:00

But not everyone has that community and paying full

25:02

ticket for these items is often prohibitive.

25:05

So having a way to get them

25:07

more treatment in people's hands and reduce

25:09

waste and support kids, what a... I

25:11

mean, it's cool to see a business where everyone wins. I

25:13

love it. Yeah, I think it's a

25:15

very cool model. I mean, the majority of

25:17

the products they sell are brand new and

25:19

unused. About 10% only are gently used. So

25:21

coming to website, there's a lot of popular

25:24

brands on there. I do think there's a

25:26

lot of potential, if this is done right,

25:28

to be a pretty successful company. And

25:30

interestingly, the co-founder shared her backstory.

25:33

She's a former journalist, Bloomberg TV

25:35

and ABC News journalist that went

25:37

on to direct a documentary. And

25:40

that documentary was on child labor and

25:42

global supply chains. And that's when

25:44

she learned about this inventory glut that

25:46

exists in the US and all the

25:48

supply chain issues faced by retailers. And

25:51

that kind of led her down this path. I

25:53

think it's absolutely fantastic. And if

25:55

you want to hear more about how entrepreneurs are

25:57

tackling the question of kids, well, we had to

25:59

interview with the CEOs of Wonder School an early

26:02

day on the podcast earlier this week. So go

26:04

back one episode and you'll see that in your

26:06

feed. It's a good time. There's an acquisition there

26:08

and who doesn't love seeing some venture back startup

26:11

combinations. Now moving on, we're going to talk about

26:13

sustainability and diversity for a second because there's quite

26:15

a lot going on here. Now, Mary

26:17

Ann, I want to start with this new summit

26:20

fund. It's about climate, so I

26:22

know Kirsten will have a lot to say, but

26:24

can you give us the TLDR on new summits,

26:26

new capital vehicle? Yeah, so new summit

26:28

investments is apparently raising a new

26:30

hundred million dollar impact fund and

26:33

it's mainly focused on investing in

26:35

managers, backing startups and other companies

26:37

focused on environmental and social problems.

26:39

So of course, all of us

26:41

welcome more money flowing into that

26:44

because who doesn't want these problems

26:46

solved? Yeah, to me, what's

26:48

really interesting here is the

26:50

sizable jump from its previous

26:52

fund. So this is its fifth fund and

26:55

the last one was I think around 40 million.

26:58

So that's quite a leap.

27:01

And what I'm curious to see what

27:03

happens here, they're calling it like an

27:05

impact fund, social and environmental problems

27:07

that is huge, hugely

27:10

broad. So is this going to be when

27:13

we think about environmental like climate tech,

27:15

so hard tech or is it more

27:17

on the social consumer end of things?

27:19

And so I'll be curious to see

27:22

where these funds end

27:24

up. Absolutely. You know, it's interesting.

27:26

There has been a, and I'm

27:28

going to try to be delicate here, call it

27:30

under the DEI backlash umbrella of views about investing

27:33

and how some norms have changed in the last

27:35

couple of years. So to me, this fund raise

27:37

does seem to be slightly counter narrative, which makes

27:39

it all the more exciting. And

27:41

I will say, it's not the only time we've seen

27:44

an impact or climate E or socially fund out there.

27:46

There's been a number that I've covered for TechCrunch AM

27:48

lately, folks who are trying to have an impact on

27:50

certain social and climate issues are still raising capital and

27:52

still going out there and doing it. Yeah,

27:55

I believe that there's been some recent

27:57

data coming out, right? That has talked

27:59

about. that there is still

28:01

interest in investing in these underdog

28:03

founders and also in diversity and

28:06

a number of female founders also

28:08

rising. We had a story recently

28:10

by Mike Butcher actually, and

28:12

it's a new study that zeroes in on the founders of

28:15

so-called unicorns. So these are companies worth over

28:17

a billion dollars. And they found that

28:19

most have, quote unquote, underdog founders

28:21

who are often drawn from the

28:23

top 10 universities. And there's also

28:25

a rising female founder makeup as

28:27

well. So while that

28:29

sort of seems to support just

28:31

your anecdotal recall just now about how you

28:33

are seeing quite a bit around the AI

28:36

and investments. Yeah, you know, one thing that

28:38

hit me from that study that Mike covered

28:40

was that 70% of unicorns,

28:42

and this is mostly focused on the US and

28:44

the UK, so not not the full global picture,

28:46

but those are two critical markets for billion

28:49

dollar tech startups, 70% of unicorns were

28:51

founded at least in part by an underdog founder, which they

28:53

thought of as an immigrant, a woman or a person of

28:55

color. And that was just more

28:58

than I expected, frankly, the challenge is kind of

29:00

my my perceptions of who's building all these companies

29:02

and is a bit more diverse than I thought.

29:04

So not to say congrats, VC, you've done it.

29:06

But I thought that was relatively encouraging data point.

29:09

It was it was definitely encouraging. I

29:11

was very pleasantly surprised to see that

29:14

I'm always kind of supporting underdogs, whether

29:16

it be like watching basketball or startups

29:19

grow. So this this actually made me very happy.

29:21

I do think also is interesting.

29:23

Mike had a bunch of great data points in

29:25

here, that when they looked at

29:28

like larger funds, actually

29:30

the top fund that invested

29:32

in unicorns with Sequoia, and

29:34

they backed only 2.8% of unicorns, which

29:38

basically what they're trying to say is

29:40

a lot of these big funds are

29:43

not necessarily the ones that are spotting

29:45

these companies that go on to

29:47

become unicorns one day. And I thought

29:49

that was really interesting. It's typically other

29:51

types of firms or funds that are

29:54

really getting in at the very early

29:56

stages of these unicorns. It's fascinating. I

29:59

have my skeptical face. I read that slightly

30:01

differently. The data point, if you include accelerators,

30:03

is a little bit different because YCA and SV

30:05

Angel invest in so many companies, they get

30:07

a higher percentage of them. But

30:09

to me, 2.8% of the

30:12

84 trillion unicorns out there is quite

30:14

a lot. I guess the question

30:16

that I would have is what percentage of

30:18

Sequoia's portfolio becomes unicorns versus what fraction of

30:20

the total unicorn pool they have? Because

30:22

I don't... I mean, Marianne, I totally see your point.

30:24

2.8% does not sound like a lot, but given that

30:27

every firm only backs a small fraction

30:29

of the backed companies, could that not

30:31

actually be a more impressive number than it

30:33

looks like on the price side? Well, it could

30:36

be. I'm not so much concerned with Sequoia,

30:38

but I'm just thinking in general, the fact

30:40

that that was the top, that means that

30:42

a lot of these so-called top tier venture

30:44

firms are not necessarily the ones that

30:46

are backing these companies that go

30:48

on to become unicorns. That makes

30:51

sense. I think the point of

30:53

what both of you are saying now is

30:55

fragmentation, is that this is quite a fragmented

30:57

market. And there isn't any clear, dominant-winning VC,

30:59

while we oftentimes point to them that it's

31:01

a far more fragmented market, which is a

31:04

good thing and a bad thing, because then

31:06

it's hard to track success, right?

31:08

Absolutely. Although this does allow

31:10

me to cap off the show with my

31:12

favorite version of an Ankhja, which is people

31:14

say that the press are haters and that

31:16

we are just bitter peons who are trying

31:18

to tear down other people's success. Well, there's

31:20

no bigger hater in the world

31:22

than an active venture capital fund, because

31:25

they love to tell you how they turn down 99.9% of businesses that

31:27

come their way, some of

31:30

which go on to become unicorns. So if you want to figure

31:32

out who the biggest hater in the world is, go find your

31:34

local friendly VC and tape a sign on them that says, it's

31:36

me. And with that, we're done for the

31:38

day, everybody. And when it comes out

31:40

Mondays, Wednesdays, and Fridays, except for when we do

31:43

have an interview episode and then we drop those

31:45

when we can, we have two sister shows found

31:47

in chain reaction. Today on the pod, we had

31:49

Kirsten Koracek, the head of all things transit, automotive,

31:52

and awesomeness at TC and Marianne, who covers Fintech

31:54

down in Austin for us. So that way we

31:56

can combine tacos and interest rates. My name is Alex.

31:59

Equity's back on Monday. See you then. Bye. Bye.

32:02

Bye. Equity

32:04

is hosted by myself, Alex Wilhelm,

32:06

and TechCrunch Senior Reporter, Mary Ann

32:08

Azevedo. We are produced by Teresa

32:10

Locun Solo with editing by Kel.

32:12

Price Durbin is our illustrator and

32:15

a big thank you to the

32:17

audience development team and Henry Piccavet

32:19

who manages TechCrunch Audio products. Thank

32:21

you so much for listening and we'll talk to you next time.

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