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period.
0:40
For
0:54
more than a week, the attacks in Israel and
0:56
Gaza have become a political and humanitarian
0:59
crisis on a scale and complexity
1:02
that is difficult to comprehend.
1:05
These events will change both sides forever.
1:09
Our cover story this week therefore asks,
1:11
will Israel's agony and retribution end
1:14
in chaos or stability?
1:18
Next, we turn to the global backlash
1:20
against green politics. As
1:23
climate-friendly policies around the world are coming
1:25
under attack, we argue
1:27
that governments must seek to reduce their burden
1:30
on the individual.
1:33
And finally, our Bartleby columnist,
1:35
who reflects on the world of work and management,
1:38
puts the trendy new two-day
1:40
work week
1:41
to the test.
1:48
First up, what the Israel-Palestine crisis
1:51
means for the future of the region.
1:59
believe that real change is possible.
2:02
Be in no doubt, however, that
2:04
Hamas's murderous assault has
2:06
blown up the status quo between
2:09
Israel and the Palestinians. The
2:11
coming weeks will determine whether war in
2:14
Gaza sinks the Middle East deeper
2:16
into chaos, or whether despite
2:18
Hamas's atrocities, Israel
2:20
can begin to create the foundations
2:23
for regional stability and one
2:25
day peace. Change
2:28
is inevitable because of the gravity of Hamas's
2:30
crimes. More than 1,200 Israelis,
2:34
most of them civilians, many of those
2:36
women and children, were murdered in their
2:38
homes on the street in Kibbutzim
2:41
at a music festival. Perhaps 150
2:43
more have been
2:46
dragged to Gaza and shut in
2:48
makeshift dungeons. Israel's
2:51
belief that it could indefinitely manage
2:53
Palestinian hostility with money
2:56
and airstrikes crumpled early
2:58
on October 7th, as the
3:00
first Hamas bulldozer breached
3:03
the security fence. Hamas
3:05
has chosen mass murder, and
3:08
there is no going back. Gaza
3:11
is now awaiting a huge Israeli ground
3:13
offensive. Its extent and
3:16
success will determine the legacy
3:18
of Hamas's bloody assault. So
3:21
will the fundamental choice that Israel's
3:23
politicians face after the
3:25
worst catastrophe in their country's
3:28
history? Do they unite
3:31
or continue to exploit divisions for
3:33
their own advantage? A third factor
3:36
is the choices of Israel's Middle Eastern
3:38
neighbors, including Iran.
3:42
In the weeks and months ahead, Israel's
3:44
leaders carry a heavy responsibility
3:47
to temper their understandable desire
3:49
for fire and retribution with
3:52
a hard-headed calculation about
3:54
their country's long-term interests
3:57
and an unwavering respect for the rules
3:59
of Israel. war. They left
4:01
their people vulnerable by failing
4:04
to foresee Hamas's looming attack.
4:07
They must not compound their error by
4:09
failing to see ahead clearly for
4:11
a second time. The
4:14
need for vision begins with the imminent
4:16
ground offensive. The Israel
4:18
Defense Forces will rightly strike
4:21
deep and hard at Hamas. But
4:23
how deep and how hard? Israel
4:26
will be tempted to unleash a spasm
4:29
of briefly satisfying violence.
4:32
Its defense minister has called Hamas fighters
4:35
human animals and announced
4:37
a blockade of food, water and energy.
4:40
Israeli officials and President Joe
4:42
Biden have taken to comparing
4:44
Hamas to Islamic State
4:46
or ISIS, an Islamist group
4:48
that America vowed to eradicate.
4:52
That comparison is dangerous
4:55
because although Hamas deserves to
4:57
be eradicated, achieving
4:59
that goal in an enclave of two million
5:01
impoverished people with nowhere to
5:03
flee will be impossible.
5:06
A better comparison than ISIS is
5:09
the 9-11 attacks in 2001,
5:12
not just because of Israel's agony,
5:15
but also because America's invasions
5:17
of Afghanistan and Iraq show
5:19
how steeply the costs of invasion
5:22
mount, which is precisely Hamas's
5:25
calculation. At
5:27
such a moment, self-restraint matters
5:30
more than ever. It is in Israel's
5:32
interest because street fighting
5:35
is perilous and the hostages
5:37
are defenseless. It makes
5:39
the operation militarily sustainable
5:42
and preserves international support.
5:45
It avoids playing into the hands of foes
5:47
who calculate that dead Palestinian
5:50
women and children will further their
5:52
cause. By clinging to
5:54
its identity as a state that
5:56
values human life, Israel
5:59
becomes stronger. stronger. Restraint
6:02
in the ground offensive depends
6:04
on the choices of Israel's politicians.
6:07
Before the war, they were tearing the country
6:10
apart over a new law curbing
6:12
the Supreme Court. For now,
6:15
grief and horror have brought people
6:17
back together. But the left blames
6:19
the far-right government of Benjamin Netanyahu,
6:22
the Prime Minister, for poisoning
6:24
relations with the army and security
6:26
services over the court and
6:29
neglecting security in Gaza because
6:31
of a fixation with helping Jewish settlers
6:34
in the West Bank. The right,
6:36
counters that calls for civil disobedience
6:39
by senior officials opposed to
6:41
Mr. Netanyahu, were a green
6:43
light for Hamas. Mr.
6:46
Netanyahu must try to use his new
6:48
war cabinet announced this week to
6:51
unite Israel. Only
6:53
by healing its own politics will
6:56
the country be able to deal with Gaza.
6:58
Mr. Netanyahu will not want to help
7:00
his most plausible rivals for
7:02
office. Yet he was the man
7:05
in charge when Hamas struck, and
7:07
his political career is ending. Having
7:10
spent a lifetime seeking power at
7:12
any price, he should finally
7:15
put his country before himself.
7:18
A unified centrist government would
7:21
also be better placed to cope with the last
7:23
set of challenges, the politics
7:26
of the Middle East. Israel
7:28
will be in grave peril if
7:30
the war in Gaza spreads to its
7:32
northern border with Lebanon, where
7:34
tensions with Hezbollah, a formidably
7:37
armed militia, are already growing
7:39
ominously. The longer and
7:42
bloodier the fighting in Gaza, the
7:44
more Hezbollah will feel it must
7:46
be seen to support its brethren. There
7:49
is also a possibility of war with
7:52
Iran, which has replaced Arab
7:54
governments as the sponsor of Palestinian
7:57
violence. Even Iran
7:59
hawks. in the West should not wish
8:01
for that. A wider
8:04
war would wreck the detente built
8:06
on the Abraham Accords between
8:09
Israel and its Arab neighbors, including
8:12
Bahrain, Morocco, the United
8:14
Arab Emirates and potentially Saudi
8:17
Arabia. This grouping stands
8:20
for a new Middle East that is
8:22
pragmatic and focused on
8:24
economic development rather than
8:26
ideology. It is still
8:28
inchoate but it has the potential
8:31
to become a force for moderation and
8:34
possibly even security. Simply
8:37
by surviving the Abraham
8:40
Accords could emerge from this crisis
8:42
stronger. However Hamas
8:44
has shown that the signatories neglect
8:47
of the Palestinians is a mistake.
8:50
Israel and its Arab partners need
8:52
a new optimistic vision for Gaza
8:55
and the West Bank as an alternative
8:57
to Iran's cult of violence and
8:59
killing. And that leads
9:01
back to the fighting in Gaza. How
9:04
does it end? Israel
9:06
has no good options. Occupation
9:10
is unsustainable. A Hamas
9:12
government is unacceptable. Rule
9:15
by its rival Fattah is untenable.
9:18
An Arab peacekeeping force is unattainable
9:22
and a puppet government is unimaginable.
9:25
If Israel destroys Hamas in Gaza
9:28
and pulls out, who knows
9:31
what destructive forces will fill the
9:33
vacuum left behind? Israeli
9:36
strategists must therefore start
9:38
thinking about how to create the conditions
9:40
for life alongside the Palestinians,
9:44
however remote that seems today. All
9:47
those elements may have a part. A
9:49
short period of martial law in Gaza,
9:52
a search for Palestinian leaders acceptable
9:55
to both sides and the good
9:57
offices of Arab intermediaries.
10:00
The only way to eradicate Hamas
10:04
is for Israel and its Arab allies
10:06
to create stability and
10:09
one day
10:10
peace.
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Did
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you know that personal information like
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addresses and phone numbers is collected
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and sold by data brokers across the internet? Fortunately,
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Aura.com.safety. That's
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A-U-R-A dot
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com slash safety. This
11:06
is Editor's Picks from The Economist. Next,
11:09
how to reduce the backlash against
11:11
green policies.
11:14
The shift to electric cars is
11:16
a transition to hell that
11:18
will destroy your beautiful way of
11:20
life, says Donald Trump. He
11:22
is far from the only politician to
11:25
oppose greenery. Rishi Sunak,
11:27
Britain's Prime Minister, has kicked plans
11:30
to phase out petrol cars years into
11:32
the future, saying it cannot
11:34
be right to impose such significant
11:36
costs on working people. On
11:39
October 8th, voters in two
11:41
big German states walloped the parties
11:44
of the green-tinged ruling coalition. Even
11:47
Sweden has cut fossil fuel prices
11:49
several times in the past year. A backlash
11:53
against climate-friendly policies is
11:55
underway in rich democracies.
11:58
It has many causes. Some
12:00
voters deny that climate change is
12:02
happening. Others accept that
12:05
it is, but do not want to pay
12:07
higher taxes or energy prices
12:09
to tackle it. Many object
12:12
to the hassle of installing new equipment.
12:15
Some, especially the old, resist any
12:17
kind of change. Others ask
12:19
why they should make sacrifices when
12:22
other countries, especially ones they dislike,
12:24
are doing less. Under
12:27
this cauldron of grievances, populist
12:30
politicians have heaped lighted coals.
12:33
Many exaggerate the costs of going
12:35
green, embellish the details.
12:37
Britain's opposition had no plans for
12:40
a meat tax, whatever Mr Sunak
12:42
says, and seek to turn climate
12:44
into a culture war battleground. The
12:47
metropolitan elite will grab your
12:49
car and make you eat tofu. Such
12:52
tactics have proved potent. Although
12:55
awareness of climate change has increased,
12:58
a political divide has opened. Voters
13:01
on the left in Australia, Canada,
13:03
Germany and Sweden are 23 to 44
13:05
percentage points more
13:08
likely than those on the right to
13:10
see it as a major threat. In
13:12
America, the gap is a stunning 63 points
13:15
according to Pew upholster. Such
13:19
polarisation means bigger flip-flops
13:21
when power changes hands. Imagine
13:24
France under the wind farm loathing
13:27
Marine Le Pen. Everywhere
13:29
making climate policy less predictable
13:32
makes it harder for investors to
13:34
plan for the long term as they must.
13:37
What can be done? President
13:40
Joe Biden's approach has been to throw hundreds
13:42
of billions of dollars at everything from batteries
13:45
to smart grids and to call
13:47
it a programme to create jobs and face
13:49
down China.
13:51
Even voters who do not care about
13:53
greenery like
13:54
jobs and fear China
13:56
goes the calculation and a future
13:59
Republican President
13:59
would shrink from scrapping
14:02
subsidies that are popular with recipients
14:04
in red and blue states alike. All
14:08
true, but this approach has big
14:10
drawbacks. First,
14:12
framing green energy as a matter of
14:15
industrial policy and national security
14:18
opens the door to protectionism, which
14:20
raises the cost of green technology
14:23
by shutting out some of the best suppliers.
14:26
Second, a subsidy-based approach
14:28
will be far more expensive than one
14:30
that makes more use of carbon pricing,
14:33
which encourages the reduction of emissions
14:36
throughout the economy. The
14:38
IMF estimates that in a typical
14:40
rich country, trying to reach net
14:43
zero using mostly subsidies would
14:45
raise public debt by an unsustainable 45
14:48
to 50 percent of GDP by 2050. Using a well-designed mix
14:54
of carbon taxes and other measures would
14:57
raise debt by a more manageable 10 to 15
15:00
percent of GDP. The
15:02
downside of carbon taxes is
15:05
that voters don't like the sound of them,
15:07
since they are, as the name implies,
15:10
taxes. Governments
15:12
have typically succeeded in putting a price
15:14
on carbon only by stealth, using
15:17
emissions trading schemes that few
15:19
voters understand. Carbon
15:22
prices now cover almost a quarter of
15:24
global emissions, but that is not nearly
15:26
enough. To curb
15:28
carbon fast enough without generating
15:31
too much resistance, climate
15:33
policy should be designed to inflict as
15:35
little hassle and cost on households as
15:37
is practical. To reduce
15:40
hassle, government should remember that
15:42
voters' time is valuable and many
15:44
green chores are dull. So,
15:47
for example, instead of placing the burden
15:49
on householders to install heat pumps,
15:51
governments could place it on the utilities
15:54
that hook up homes to the grid. Such
15:57
firms could work their way across
15:58
a country in store
15:59
calling a big heat pump in each road
16:02
and connecting all the nearby houses to
16:04
it, a process a bit like the rollout
16:06
of broadband over the past two decades.
16:09
To curb costs,
16:11
governments should create predictable incentives
16:14
to reduce emissions efficiently,
16:17
meaning far more use of carbon pricing.
16:20
Workers in industries that will eventually
16:23
be shut down such as coal should
16:25
be offered help, including training
16:27
for new jobs. Judicious regulation
16:30
can also play a role.
16:32
If car firms are given a deadline
16:34
to stop selling new petrol cars,
16:36
they will strain to bring down the price
16:39
and extend the range of electric vehicles.
16:42
If deadlines are realistic,
16:44
cleaner tech may already be cheaper
16:47
than the dirty sort before it is
16:49
compulsory.
16:51
Plenty of clean technologies
16:53
are cheaper in the long run but have stiff,
16:56
upfront costs. Many
16:58
voters in rich countries will need help
17:01
with these. So will developing
17:03
countries where the high cost of capital
17:05
still makes many green projects unaffordable.
17:09
Globally, politicians who care about the
17:11
climate should take the backlash seriously.
17:14
That means being honest with voters about the
17:16
inevitable disruption and striving
17:19
to minimise the pain.
17:25
Before we continue with our final article
17:27
of the week,
17:29
you'll hopefully know by now that we're launching
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a new podcast subscription which
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If you're too busy to do that right now, it's
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If you already subscribe to The Economist,
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you for being part of our community.
18:38
And now, back to this week's editor's picks.
18:42
Our final story asks, Is
18:44
the two-day work week misery
18:47
or bliss?
18:48
We have completed our pilot
18:51
of the two-day work week and
18:53
present our findings below. We
18:56
would like to thank the leadership team for
18:58
being imaginative enough to allow
19:00
this experiment. We are also
19:03
very sorry.
19:04
We are consistently
19:07
looking for ways to stand out as an
19:09
employer of choice.
19:11
Recent trials of the four-day
19:13
work week at other companies suggest
19:16
that there might be ways to improve work-life
19:18
balance and satisfaction without
19:21
hurting productivity. Our
19:24
former head of HR, Joe King,
19:26
pushed us to be bolder.
19:28
If people were able to fit a whole week
19:31
into four days, was it possible
19:33
to go further still? The
19:36
idea to trial a two-day work week
19:38
in our North American Territory was born,
19:41
and to reiterate the point above,
19:43
you all agreed to this.
19:46
Outline of the trial. This
19:49
began work at 9am on
19:51
a Monday as usual. They
19:53
did a 20-hour shift until early
19:55
Tuesday morning and then had an
19:58
eight-hour break before beginning a new trial.
19:59
second 20-hour shift.
20:02
The work week ended at 9am
20:05
on Wednesday morning, at which point
20:07
employees took the next five days
20:09
off and returned the following Monday.
20:12
To make things simple, all employees
20:15
in the region were opted into this new
20:17
arrangement.
20:18
Regrettably, we quickly
20:21
lost all colleagues who were single
20:23
parents and many other employees
20:25
with young children.
20:27
Some legal action is continuing
20:30
as a result.
20:31
But the initial
20:32
response from those who remained was
20:34
extremely positive.
20:36
Results of the trial. It immediately
20:39
became clear that most people were unable
20:41
to stay awake during either shift
20:44
without needing some kind of stimulant.
20:46
A few members of the marketing team
20:49
remained extremely animated
20:51
throughout their shifts.
20:53
As you know, the early morning cleaners later
20:56
reported that they had come across three of
20:58
them snorting cocaine off
21:00
the reception desk. In
21:02
later weeks, we invested in various
21:05
options to keep staff peped up, including
21:08
energy drinks, guarana powder
21:10
and free M&Ms. We
21:13
also provided sleeping bags for people
21:15
to grab power naps.
21:17
The extent of other problems became clearer
21:20
as the pilot proceeded. Customers
21:23
who tried to reach us outside our new
21:25
working hours were told to contact
21:28
us again at 9am on the following
21:30
Monday. We saw enormous
21:33
core waiting times at the start
21:35
of each week.
21:36
In one case, a customer was
21:38
told they would be put on hold for
21:41
an estimated 49 hours,
21:44
putting them outside the window of that
21:46
work week too.
21:47
We attracted a lot of criticism
21:50
for this on social media, though
21:52
none of us noticed.
21:54
The rush to get everything done in two
21:56
days caused other problems.
24:00
We do not recommend a repeat
24:02
of this experiment. This
24:04
may be academic since the North American
24:07
business is now closing down.
24:09
If creativity is a willingness
24:11
to take immensely stupid risks,
24:14
we can all look back on this episode
24:17
with pride. On any
24:19
other definition, we cannot.
24:26
If you like that story, you'll
24:28
no doubt enjoy Boss Class, our
24:30
upcoming podcast series on management.
24:33
It's hosted by Bartleby himself, the
24:35
columnist who brought you that final story.
24:39
As you'd expect, Boss Class is full of practical
24:41
advice, it's relatable, and,
24:43
trust me, it's funny. To
24:46
listen to Boss Class when it comes out later
24:48
this month, and to listen to a very special weekend
24:51
version of The Intelligence, featuring
24:53
my colleagues' finest reporting and storytelling
24:55
every week, you need Economist
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Podcast Plus. Just google
25:00
Economist Podcast to find out more
25:02
about our new subscription service. That's
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all from us. Thank you for listening to Editor's
25:07
Picks. I'm Adam Roberts, and
25:09
in London, this is The Economist.
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