Tom Harvey
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The CPI came in at 5.4%, and that is inflationary. The US Treasury bonds are decreasing in interest rates, and that is deflationary. The market is at an all time peak, and if it cracks, it is deflationary. What is going on? How can we have
Where did the term "TINA" come from? And, how is it being used today in the financial markets? The bond market is rising - so what does this very significant move mean? How is President Putin upsetting the French today - and why is the EU to
In the strong US economy, there exist a few cracks and worries. MMT is one of them as money printing does not create wealth, nor does it drive the economy. No one is talking about Credit Default Swaps, but what if? Buffett makes it clear tha
The 7 rules to follow when picking growth stocks in the markets by the founder of Investor Business Daily, the best financial newspaper on the planet. What lessons can we learn from the history of margin debt in the markets? What rumors are g
The FEDs are now thinking about raising interest rates in 2023, rather than 2024. And, they think that inflation may average out at 3.4%, and not 2/0%. That is amazing and confusing and real.--- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.sp
The CPI came in at 5.0% for May, but this didn't push the markets as one would predict. The US Housing Market has a new buying organization pushing prices up. A banker's banker is predicting inflation, followed by deflation, followed by BIG
There is a revolution coming to the Bullion Banks who control the price of gold today. It is called the Basel III Agreement. This is only positive for the price of gold in the future. Some top economists think a great deflationary depression
Why is the FED still pumping money into the US economy when the GDP (the whole economy) has recovered from Covid? Why is the FED holding interest rates down - both FED Funds rate and mortgage rates? IS Europe moving right? Why did foreigners
The French are in a bit of turmoil as their election next year approaches - and this is explained. Gold was the best market this last week, and it is showing. The FED has the back of the stock market - right? What happens if you are wrong?
Both the CPI and wages are going up, and going up strongly. I think inflation is not only in our future, but is here today. Why are we having a shooting war in Gaza right now, and what is China thinking about Taiwan? We now have a RED indic
Shrinking? How can that be? Ask the millennial who are postponing their child production years. Europe is getting ready for elections and everything is up for sale - Scotland nearly missed another independence election call. Will N Ireland
The markets basically went sideways last week, and politics ruled the world. In France, the French military warned the French government to get their act together and solve the problems of the country (or else!!!) China is explained as the mo
The US 10 Year Treasury is at a critical technical position right now and will either rebound (higher interest rate), or fall to lower interest rates. The former is probable. The US Dollar fell against most currencies about 1% and represents
The CPI came in greater than anyone expected. This week I explore the meaning of inflation to stocks and bonds. I look at the definition of inflation, and try to bet a good gut understanding of inflation - so you can make sense of it in the f
The war drums are beating in Ukraine. Will Russia or China take advantage of the turmoil in the world? How much electricity is Bitcoin costing the world today - and every day? What lessons can we learn from the Archegos disaster - and how wa
Happy Easter. It was a sideways market most places last week. The US economy is strong and getting stronger as the economy opens up. Many technologies will change the face of the world and fortunes will be made in them.--- Support this p
Several housing tidbits were covered in the US housing market this week. A large cargo ship has blocked the Suez Canal - so what? What shares should you buy, and do you know how to analyze them? How much debt is too much debt? How much is t
Crises are upon us around the world - hyperinflation in Lebanon, nuclear warhead count in the UK, pandemic numbers in Europe, and (not the least) FED predictions of the future. I give a lesson in "compound interest." Warren Buffett gives his
A big change in the mortgage market will affect the mortgage rate second home and vacation home rates. How does the gold market work - here is my own ideas after decades of observations. Does the FED use bad data to determine inflation? Is b
A unique perspective of the influence of the 10 Year Treasury Bond yield on ALL other markets is presented. The market action for the week was reviewed. Many interesting tidbits in the economic news were reviewed including the massive outflow
The 10 Year Treasury bond is rising rapidly in its interest rate. This means the US Government must pay more interest on its newly created bonds. Housing mortgage rates are rising slowly, and are expected to rise more rapidly. What can the F
Several new indications of the US stock market being way too high were reviewed. The US markets review showed the importance of the changes in the US 10 Year Treasury Bond. An Option Hedge strategy was reviewed to protect yourself from a mark
I review some interesting international movements and review the markets and economic measures in the USA. I review what true market experts are using to measure the "exuberance" of the market today. Do you use any of these measures? Perhaps
Gamestop lost most of its value, but is still elevated above its fair value - this means the fight between the little investors and the Hedge Funds is still on. The FED has shown many times in its history that it gets things wrong - what does
The Dow lost 1000 points last week. Why? Was it just a correction, or did the GameStop (GME) story influence all of the participants in the market? Why were the big boys and girls - hedge funds and brokerage firms - so upset about GameStop's
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