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0:04
This is the Cato Daily Podcast for
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Thursday, May 23, 2024. I'm Keyle Brown.
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The more people learn about central bank
0:11
digital currency, the less they like it.
0:13
But that hasn't and likely won't stop
0:16
efforts for the US to adopt some
0:18
form of the privacy killing technology. Cato's
0:20
Nick Anthony argues that among the arguments
0:23
presented on behalf of CBDCs, the one
0:25
that stands out is
0:27
literally impossible. What
0:30
is CBDC? Nick,
0:37
let's recap a little bit because
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we've talked about central bank digital
0:41
currencies on a number of occasions.
0:43
CBDCs and the
0:47
flawed, deeply flawed
0:49
rollouts of CBDCs
0:51
in other countries thus far
0:55
seemingly has not deterred those
0:57
in the US and elsewhere
1:00
looking at potentially
1:02
rolling out a CBDC. We've
1:05
talked about the privacy
1:07
implications of
1:09
CBDCs, the financial privacy
1:11
implications, the fact that
1:13
the government would be in some
1:16
ways able to direct how
1:19
money gets spent
1:21
and notably how it cannot be
1:24
spent. But there is one element
1:26
here that you and our colleague
1:28
Norbert Michel have noted, which is
1:32
this weird claim that
1:35
seems to undergird
1:38
arguments on behalf of
1:41
CBDCs. And that is
1:43
the notion of a level playing
1:46
field. Can you steel man this
1:48
for us? Give us the
1:50
best version of the
1:53
CBDC fanboys, we'll call them. What
1:56
they say when they talk about a
1:59
level playing field. field in terms of
2:01
digital currencies. Well, one of
2:04
the benefits of my work here
2:06
at Cato and my work with the
2:08
Human Rights Foundation, maintaining the
2:11
HRF CBDC tracker, is
2:14
that I can pull the best arguments
2:16
from around the world to
2:19
try to build the best case here,
2:21
even though no individual case is quite
2:23
there. And there's
2:27
this fundamental idea that a
2:29
lot of central bankers have tried to get
2:31
at, that they want to
2:34
provide something that will compete with
2:36
the private market. They want to
2:38
compete with things
2:41
as fundamental as bank accounts
2:43
or prepaid cards and
2:46
things as new and novel
2:48
as cryptocurrencies, whether that be
2:51
Bitcoin, Circle
2:53
or Tether, what have you. And
2:55
so their fundamental
2:58
argument is that they will compete
3:01
with the private sector and
3:03
competition makes everything better. At
3:07
first glance, I agree with
3:09
that, I want more competition. But what are
3:11
the features that they see in
3:14
other currencies that
3:16
they believe CBDCs will
3:18
be providing? Presumably
3:20
speed is one of them. That
3:22
is one of them. They often argue
3:24
that it'll provide instant
3:28
transactions or instant
3:30
settlement rather. It'll be free
3:32
to use, so there's no fees associated
3:34
with anything you want to do with
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it. Sometimes it'll pay
3:39
interest so that you can make
3:42
money just by holding it effectively like
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you would if you were holding it
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in a savings account, except they'll pay
3:48
more than that. And
3:50
then also just having
3:52
a direct hand where monetary policy can
3:55
change the individual holding. So those are
3:57
some of the characteristics.
3:59
statistics that are common
4:01
across many of the proposals
4:03
that create the largest effect.
4:06
Yeah, if I'm a central banker and I
4:08
wanted to pitch CBDCs, I'm getting off topic
4:10
here. I apologize for that. But
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if I'm a central banker and I
4:15
wanted to suddenly give every
4:17
American a cash
4:19
infusion for
4:21
the purposes of, I don't know,
4:24
goosing spending, for example, increasing
4:26
the velocity of money for
4:28
it temporarily, CBDCs seem
4:30
like they could help achieve that
4:33
really efficiently, instantaneously
4:37
and in a way that would, if
4:39
nothing else, do it in
4:41
an equitable, quick way. But
4:43
that's, of course, not what we're talking
4:46
about. We're talking about a level playing
4:48
field. So speed is one. Are there
4:50
other elements that the central bankers
4:52
believe would enhance a level playing
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field? Well, as far
4:56
as enhancing a level playing field, they
4:58
actually often shy away
5:01
from that concept. Rather,
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they just say that it's going to
5:05
offer all of these features, the speed,
5:07
as you mentioned, monetary policy, implementation,
5:10
and the like. It will offer all
5:12
those characteristics, but they
5:15
kind of dance around how that playing
5:17
field is actually going to work in
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practice. Okay. And
5:21
that is to their credit.
5:23
I suppose that they don't want to
5:26
talk about that directly, because as you
5:28
and Norbert have pointed out,
5:31
the very notion of
5:34
a level playing field between,
5:37
let's say, a popular cryptocurrency
5:40
and a CBDC is
5:43
an absolute impossibility. That
5:47
is exactly right. And
5:51
it's almost too
5:53
ridiculous to critique, because
5:55
it should be obvious. And yet, this
5:57
is something that is danced around time and time. time
6:00
again. Of course, competition is something that
6:02
I want to see more of in
6:04
financial services. But
6:06
as George Selgin as well has written about,
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it's something that is incredibly
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important that happens on a level
6:13
playing field that everyone is coming
6:15
at this on the same
6:17
page. If you have
6:19
barriers to entry or legal
6:21
privileges on one side or
6:23
the other, you're creating an unlevel playing
6:26
field and you're shifting it in the
6:28
favor of one entity or another. And
6:30
in this case, it
6:32
really shouldn't need to be said that
6:35
a federal government has
6:38
unbelievable legal privileges that give
6:40
it a huge advantage over
6:43
any private sector player. So that's
6:45
anyone from a cryptocurrency
6:48
startup in somebody's garage
6:51
or a major financial
6:53
institution on Wall Street.
6:56
All of those pale in comparison
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to the advantages that federal governments
7:01
have in their ability to create
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the rules, enforce the rules, and
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change them on their own behalf.
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A great small example of this is
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George Selgin pushed back on
7:13
this same principle with the
7:15
creation of FedNow, the Federal
7:17
Reserve's real-time payment system. And
7:19
he warned that the Federal
7:21
Reserve is able to lower
7:24
its prices beyond the market
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price. And now
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in practice, we're seeing exactly
7:30
that. The Federal Reserve has a
7:32
$0 fee to join the FedNow
7:36
service. And it keeps updating that it's
7:38
going to keep the entry fee at
7:40
$0. How
7:42
a private sector competitor is supposed
7:45
to say, oh yeah, the fee
7:47
for entering our service, yeah, it's
7:49
$0. How they're supposed to do
7:51
that in comparison, I really don't know. It
7:54
reminds me a little bit of in
7:56
the run-up to Obamacare, the arguments around
7:58
a public option. health
8:01
care plan, which
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is the same people who
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have the power to tax other
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options are going to offer a
8:11
public option. The notion
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that the government's hands are
8:16
tied in terms of
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making a public option, the only
8:21
option is sort of laughable.
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So this should be a powerful
8:26
argument against developing a
8:29
CBDC or rolling one out in the US.
8:33
I suspect that the interests
8:35
aligned on behalf of this are
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also undeterred. Unfortunately,
8:41
like we were talking about
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earlier, they've really just danced
8:46
around this issue and tried
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to say that competition is going to
8:50
come through and they ignore the aspect
8:53
that this is an unfair advantage and
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this should be something that clearly says
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or this should be an observation that clearly
9:01
shows that this is a
9:03
bad idea. This is something that could
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overturn the entire system and
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yet they continue to push forward.
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They continue to move forward saying,
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well, we need this. We
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still need to do this. People still
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want this. And I
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really don't think people want this. I really
9:22
don't think we need this. And
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I really don't think we still need to
9:27
do this as evidence continues to
9:29
come out that CBDCs are a bad
9:32
solution and really
9:34
don't fix the problems we're
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facing in the current system. Nick
9:43
Anthony is a policy analyst at the Cato Institute. Subscribe
9:46
to and rate The Cato Daily podcast
9:48
anywhere you like. Thank
9:50
you for listening.
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