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Google fires protestors, NPR chaos, Humane's AI Pin, Startup tax crisis, sports betting scandal

Google fires protestors, NPR chaos, Humane's AI Pin, Startup tax crisis, sports betting scandal

Released Friday, 19th April 2024
Good episode? Give it some love!
Google fires protestors, NPR chaos, Humane's AI Pin, Startup tax crisis, sports betting scandal

Google fires protestors, NPR chaos, Humane's AI Pin, Startup tax crisis, sports betting scandal

Google fires protestors, NPR chaos, Humane's AI Pin, Startup tax crisis, sports betting scandal

Google fires protestors, NPR chaos, Humane's AI Pin, Startup tax crisis, sports betting scandal

Friday, 19th April 2024
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Episode Transcript

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0:00

To Mark did you go down to the breakthrough thing? It's

0:02

we get. The. Breakthrough Prize is amazing. It's

0:04

like observing exotic animals and better natural habitat.

0:07

Or friend of mine who you hung out

0:09

with down there called me. Last

0:11

night. To give me the breakdown on

0:14

all the individuals he saw and what was going

0:16

on Or them. I mean he's like I don't

0:18

even know how not and I keep getting invited

0:20

to this but like to say we were outclassed

0:22

is an understatement for a clip of got pregnant

0:24

worker. what is your regular awards debris of Rise

0:27

Up? Yeah, I couldn't make it, I got invited

0:29

to she's Only variable. Okay, first of all, shudder

0:31

to your and Juliet It is incredible. There.

0:33

Were two moments where. I.

0:36

Cried. This. Woman: Goes.

0:39

Up on stage to give an award to

0:41

the people that had made this investment in

0:43

cystic fibrosis. Yeah. And she

0:45

says. My. Child is

0:47

born with cystic fibrosis, And.

0:49

Then my second child was born with

0:51

cystic fibrosis and then my second child

0:53

died. She said that I just burst

0:55

into tears. And then

0:58

you present a war to the person that

1:00

actually is helping them. Stamp. Out

1:02

the disease we celebrated the people that found the

1:04

gene that. Cause. Parkinson's and then

1:06

the at them. Indeed, The people at

1:08

that is pretty incredible. It's an ally,

1:10

right? they did in Los Angeles. Yeah,

1:12

me like look. Yuri Milner and Julia

1:14

Milner. Zoc.

1:17

And Priscilla Chan and and Widgets and

1:19

Sergei Brin. Those six people are the

1:21

ones that organizes Breakthrough Prize and I

1:23

think it's just. A.

1:26

Modern version of the Nobel. Which.

1:28

Tries to really. Shine. A

1:30

spotlight on people doing really groundbreaking work in.

1:33

Physics. And math and life sciences. And.

1:36

So you get people that have just.

1:39

Done. Things that are just very. Practical.

1:42

And are very real. And.

1:45

I think what they do is they make. Frankly,

1:47

these kinds of achievements. Much.

1:50

More. High level

1:53

in the sense that you're bringing together people

1:55

from Hollywood and people from Silicon Valley and

1:57

the awareness is up and it's just incredibly

1:59

well produced. than. Yeah,

2:01

it's really a cool thing to be a part of. But I

2:03

mean, seeing some of these

2:06

people are very intimidating. I sat beside

2:08

Vin Diesel. Oh,

2:11

really? That was super cool. He

2:13

is a super nice guy. And

2:16

on the other side of me was someone that

2:18

actually Sax knows Toby Emmerich, who's, uh, who's the

2:20

chairman of Warner Brothers. So just

2:22

talking to these guys was super cool. Moving

2:24

it to Los Angeles was a great move.

2:26

Great idea. Yeah, it's just I was invited.

2:28

I couldn't so sorry. Thank you to Julia

2:30

and Yuri for

2:32

inviting us again. But it's really

2:35

great that they're giving

2:37

it the celebration it deserves and

2:40

making it, you know, like, dare I

2:42

say, sexy and cool and hip to

2:45

be a scientist and solve the world's biggest

2:47

problems. I think it's just so awesome. And

2:49

you're right. Sergey Brin, Anwojecki, Sakha

2:54

Priscilla, and Julia and Yuri are

2:56

the founders of the Breakthrough

2:58

Five. The easiest thing is they give a

3:00

they give a youth Breakthrough Award. So the

3:02

Breakthrough Prize is this beautiful globe. And

3:04

then the junior winner gets like a

3:06

smaller version, very appropriate. And it

3:08

was a video of this kid in India

3:10

who had wanted a few years ago, and

3:13

then went off to MIT, and

3:15

then graduated. And then

3:18

the video is of him coming back to

3:20

Bangalore, because his sister had

3:22

won this year. And he

3:24

presented to the sister. And all I could

3:26

think of was, this is

3:28

an incredible achievement by like a 16

3:30

year old. And literally at the

3:33

same time, my 16 year old

3:35

was like, dad, the chicken tenders from

3:37

DoorDash. I

4:00

said give me the spicy. Fries not

4:02

the regular. Kids. Brides the

4:04

girl that one is that would free

4:06

bird did something with Yamanaka factors. Result.

4:10

It's like it's really incredible and inspiring. But.

4:13

Fortunately, Dory. My. My sixteen

4:15

year old was able to get the chicken tenders

4:17

and everything was forced to sell Can Can just

4:19

because. Rerouted it sucks

4:22

get guess it's answers

4:24

were treated as similar

4:26

as a. Bit better the

4:28

other the everything else is. The. Person

4:30

that performed is really amazing. Frawley Peace and

4:32

and the reason I say it as. If.

4:35

You google. Charlie.

4:37

Puce. This

4:39

guy. He's a young guy. In.

4:42

His early twenty's I'm guessing she is so talented.

4:44

There's all these videos of Trolley Peace where. He'll.

4:47

Make a random noise like killed clink a

4:49

coke bottle with a fork. And

4:51

then he'll recorded. And. Then he'll put

4:54

it into these digital editing tools. And

4:56

then he'll make like of entire five minutes

4:58

song using that as the base. Like.

5:01

As the basic. Building. Block. The

5:05

guy is so. Talented.

5:08

and was was very it was a very

5:10

cool then fantastic. How. You doing sachs

5:13

your body? Gets distorted.

5:17

Earnest folks were back to

5:19

the reality show. let's go

5:21

to their fuckers time. With

5:24

my guns, pants or thousand people soon

5:26

as the banter of a mentor bro,

5:29

how you doing free Berkeley, I lula

5:31

seen from the movie? Mouth.

5:35

Work strong! Start your the girls a

5:37

contribution. The. I got

5:39

to shrug from Freiburg, I gotta. Grind.

5:42

When I started from Saxon I'm talking about

5:44

my backrest with got. Anything good

5:46

on the menu tonight? Your mother just one uncommon

5:48

of poker ones you know there's an octopus. Ah,

5:52

To the Greek comes back. And. You

5:54

get the octopus on. Get the octopus. I'd say

5:56

that I miss you. Yeah he did. By the

5:58

way, Shot experimented with some. Green. Tea

6:01

that you grill that was pretty delicious.

6:03

Five billion back ability coloring. Are.

6:05

Editor. Who. Was a

6:07

plural Octopuses Octopi. Party.

6:10

Licensing creatures or something. Hulu.

6:12

Me or you know what is interesting? You bring

6:15

that up. I. Had a

6:17

grilled octopus stand. that one of our

6:19

events in somebody who. Is.

6:23

The. Are conscientious, Consumer.

6:25

Of calories. Lobby

6:27

me to take. The. Grilled

6:29

octopus off of the many. I

6:32

would say help. For. What What we

6:34

was. I. Got lobbied

6:36

very strong. Not only is it

6:38

deeply wrong. To. Eat every I'm

6:40

at that young people eat and you

6:43

will one day realize it. Or your

6:45

children. Are your children, children or realize

6:47

it. But octopus in particular have the

6:49

I Q afforded a year olds. they

6:52

can actually sign. They can communicate. They.

6:54

Can solve problems. Are you

6:56

can watch you tube videos on this? It's pretty

6:58

incredible. They're amazing creatures. It's also why in the

7:01

movie The Arrival. The. future

7:03

alien race is made out to be

7:05

cephalopods because they're the most. Advanced.

7:07

Creature that likely to become a civilized.

7:10

Form. As Humans in excess. Of one

7:12

word reaction to the. Young.

7:17

Anything. About

7:23

art are. At

7:26

the same like yours. like the spice up

7:28

with the fat content you know it or

7:30

kind of like that marveling that it's the

7:32

margins. The Murrah building, Omnibus, Zarganar. Oh yeah

7:34

by the way Thanks guys yeah I'm fine.

7:36

yeah I'm great. I'm feeling great your the

7:38

truth is he all the got the anyone?

7:40

could you been eating? Well. So

7:43

I just only things with above one hundred twenty. are

7:45

you off the would go be earth the somebody call

7:48

it no no you don't I did was I got

7:50

off the would go be so I could eat more

7:52

animals. And has been added Getting

7:54

Back On A Society. Also half a bottle

7:56

about how many apps? how is it on

7:58

that? I hate everybody. Generally.

8:00

I'm sorry, but in yoga. If

8:03

you eat. High I Q

8:05

Foods doesn't make you smarter? Absolutely

8:07

Absolutely. This is why the Greeks

8:09

invented so many things. We invited:

8:11

Bath, plumbing, cities, democracy, all the

8:13

great things The Greeks. Created.

8:16

Comes from the fact that we ate so

8:18

many high I Q creatures. Cracks are you

8:20

able to be vegetarian? Were able to find

8:22

good vegetarian or vegan options in Austin. Who

8:26

tried to make the I. Have

8:29

a huge ice the events through. I push it

8:31

on. hey. I'm. Like

8:33

wait a second day goes on, a seafood

8:35

died in Austin of his ass off or

8:37

the a that you're not over but. It's

8:40

not inaccurate. The barbecue he

8:43

in Austin is so spectacular.

8:45

Terry Blacks beef ribs. I.

8:48

Had with a friend of ours, Bad

8:50

Marriages Dynamite and then the Salt Lick

8:52

Brisket. Franklin's. Brisk and mean

8:55

it is just extraordinary shot at home. I

8:57

burped folks there and sorry for triggering every

8:59

animal that wasn't. Button. Down.

9:02

Shirt and on the Saturday and barbecue

9:04

sauce and. Sedona.

9:07

Broke out the rent was the bison. I'm sorry

9:09

I was way apologies the audience it took out

9:11

a tooth at. you know as far as I

9:13

feel worse it what does a bison referees and

9:15

because it tastes like Matt as it is it's

9:17

the beef. Ribs are very tender, the bisons got

9:19

a little more chew to it's that little more

9:22

tax for yeah he and his and and they

9:24

let this thing go. At the Salt

9:26

Lick. For. Like twelve hours

9:28

and they're just. Barbecue.

9:30

Sauce and it forever so little chewy, Until.

9:33

After got the tooth. But. Great

9:35

job Free bird on moderating. Episode was fantastic.

9:37

Yes, I was something on the bit. quite

9:40

literally. Sachs to talk about sums it up.

9:42

Shopping. On the bit to the point out that a shutter to

9:44

sooth. I have asked and I have

9:46

so much m I miss you guys!

9:48

I actually miss y'all Freiburg! So much

9:50

good stuff happening with the summit and

9:52

I. Am delighted that Johnny's doing

9:55

all this work. You're doing. all this work.

9:57

I can just sit back. And

9:59

enjoy. It so tell us is or an update

10:01

on the summit. There. You just clicking

10:04

your coupon. But. The

10:06

yeah we had within. Seventy

10:08

two hours. I think we had more

10:10

applications than we have seeds, but we're

10:12

still leading applications open and in the

10:15

next week will start to. Respond.

10:17

To people so. Basically. If

10:19

you're interested in going to Summit, Sign.

10:22

Up Now get your applications in the sweet

10:24

Apply early in his the key yeah cause

10:26

it's gonna be done in order of one

10:29

it's received. And they're going

10:31

to start processing applications this week. We'd

10:33

love to. Get. Everyone wants

10:35

to show up. shot and if you went in the

10:37

past. Your. Registration.

10:40

Window. Is wrapped up this week so. But.

10:43

The rest of us and I automatically get

10:45

in Alumni automatically are in a can tell

10:47

all about scholarship because I'm getting bombarded in

10:50

everybody who's and up and coming all in

10:52

fan or going on outside a couple weeks

10:54

so a plane yes he he will still

10:56

do scholarships because I think they were super

10:59

successful and helpful to people that otherwise couldn't

11:01

afford the ticket. I know it's expensive this

11:03

year but the reason was we actually spent

11:06

a lot more per person last year. Than.

11:08

People actually type of it is so it's less

11:11

intense, some it we're we're we're trying to get

11:13

the price to so that we can make make

11:15

the same break even. And. We're

11:17

gonna scholarship tickets with the balance. South.

11:20

To be a couple speakers come in. there's

11:22

to know about it yet. but I'm not.

11:24

Come on. just can we just tell the

11:27

two speakers who said yes, No yes I'm

11:29

not yet. Will doing an act made it

11:31

a big speaker and I think it's gonna

11:33

be awesome in a week in week. will

11:35

announce a bunch together message. but one thing

11:37

I don't want to wait on is today

11:39

socket because it is unbelievable. Welcome everybody to

11:41

Episode One Seventy Five. That's right,

11:43

Zappa. So one seventy five of

11:45

your favorite podcast and. The.

11:48

Largest and most listen to podcasts in the

11:50

world. Officially Episode One Seventy Five New Holland

11:52

Podcast starts right now. And. Asked.

11:55

the get some recently made about les mis of the

11:58

largest most listen to podcasts in the room I'm

12:00

manifesting. Oh, you're manifesting.

12:02

I'm manifesting. I'm off. Just

12:04

like, just like Fel Helm Youth is the

12:06

world's greatest poker player, and then we watch

12:08

Robo roll over him. Is that a new

12:10

word that narcissists use for lying? Manifesting?

12:13

No, it's just like the

12:15

world's greatest poker player, and then we see Fel

12:18

Helm Youth get dominated by

12:20

Jason Kuhn. Just so you know, tonight

12:22

is a murderer's row, and Helm Youth

12:24

is flying back. You saw the lineup.

12:26

I'm very excited to see what happens to that. Is

12:28

Jason Kuhn coming or no? Yeah.

12:31

I mean, Kuhn and Robl, and then the world's

12:34

greatest Helm Youth playing is so great to watch.

12:36

It's like a meta ego battle. It

12:39

is. And those, you know, it's interesting. Two of those three

12:41

guys are like the most humble guys you

12:43

would ever meet in

12:45

your life. Am I correct? In your life. Just,

12:48

you could not be more low key and self-effacing

12:50

than Robl and Kuhn for how good they are. If

12:54

you were honestly going to rank the three of them

12:56

in a high stakes cash game, could you just

12:58

handicap it for the audience? Because we are

13:00

in a lucky position, you and I, to

13:03

play with these three epic players in the

13:05

world. Break down

13:07

how they play in a home game, you know,

13:09

like ours. So

13:15

I would say the most dynamic

13:19

range would probably be Robl, because Robl

13:21

has the most experience playing super, super

13:23

high stakes cash. I

13:26

think Kuhn is the most precise

13:32

and like

13:35

true to GTO. Part

13:37

two exploit. I mean, Kuhn is impossible to

13:39

exploit. Impossible. No

13:41

mistakes. No mistakes. No

13:43

mistakes. Robl knows how to gamble in certain spots. Kuhn

13:46

knows how to be unexploitable. And

13:49

the third player is from obvious. And

13:51

the third person just loses his mind. And

13:55

instead of... Now

13:57

The thing with Talby says he's capable. Like

14:00

anyone I've ever seen a folding. In

14:02

spots that are and and she's correct By the way,

14:04

I've seen how me for. A King

14:06

and Spots had none of us would ever do

14:08

it. As scene unfold, Kings and spots that are

14:10

basically impossible. So how means is able to get

14:12

the soul read Some people. that I mean. Are.

14:16

Amazing. Yeah, but. Look

14:18

as the the. The. Higher

14:20

and higher the steaks get. The.

14:22

More and more I think Robot will be

14:25

comfortable and and coon will just go to

14:27

a playbook that he knows and trusts. I'm

14:31

I'm so excited to be back at the

14:33

game tonight. Or it. listen. The.

14:35

Docket is so great! This week we got a great

14:37

classic all and Doc and I want to start with

14:39

google. Firing. Twenty eight employees

14:42

who were involved in this protest at

14:44

their offices. We. Didn't think that this

14:46

would happen. You're having a discussion on the group chat.

14:49

On. Tuesday about a dozen employees engage

14:51

incidence of the company's offices in Sunnyvale,

14:53

a New York City. Protesting.

14:56

The. Conflict. In. The Middle

14:58

East between Israel and. Palestine.

15:01

And so they took over. Literally

15:04

to have the offices of the as

15:06

Ceo of Google Cloud and nine employees

15:08

were arrested after refusing to leave. The

15:10

protests was organized by a group called.

15:12

Know. Tech for Apartheid. And.

15:15

They posted a bunch eclipse. Of.

15:17

This sit in on acts. Those

15:19

twenty eight employees were. Fired.

15:22

On Wednesday after a quick investigation,

15:24

the Vp of Global Security. Was

15:27

pretty direct and candid am in.

15:29

This is based. He

15:31

took over office spaces, defaced our property,

15:33

and physically impeded the work of other

15:36

Googlers. Behavior like this has no place

15:38

in our workplace and will will not

15:40

tolerate it. If you're one of the

15:42

few who are tempted to think we're

15:45

going to overlook conduct that violates our

15:47

policies, think again. So. What

15:49

were the protests about? Google is are

15:51

involved in a project Nimbus a one

15:53

point two billion dark cloud contract with

15:55

Israel's government. Both. Google and Amazon or

15:57

involved in the project which was in as and twenty.

16:00

Twenty One Google has denied it was doing

16:02

work for the military. Saying.

16:04

It was working with department's like fine, it's

16:06

healthcare transportation. There's a lot of detail so

16:08

this, but let let's start with you free

16:10

broke since you were a Googlers and we've

16:12

been talking about the culture of Google putting

16:14

aside what the protests were about. How

16:17

do you feel about. Protests in

16:19

the workplace. We talked about it before

16:22

here with coin base and others. And.

16:24

Then. Is.

16:26

This. A distinct change in

16:28

tone that I'm hearing from Google that

16:30

they've had enough. Of Social

16:33

Activism at the Office. I'm

16:38

yeah, there's obviously a line crossing. An

16:40

old. The. View of

16:43

security but. I did.

16:46

You. Could look at a two ways. You.

16:49

Could look at us as being a culture

16:51

of entitlement. That led

16:53

folks feel that our employees that they

16:55

have permission. To

16:57

stage sit ins and behaviors. I

16:59

this because google is so. Infinitely

17:02

tolerant. Man and giving

17:04

employees. The space and the.

17:07

Room. To do whatever they want to do and

17:09

all of their wishes and demands can be met and

17:11

will be met. If they demanded

17:13

strongly enough. That's. One

17:16

way to look at this and that back. culture. Manifested.

17:19

This behavior. Another way to

17:21

look at it is that these people feel so

17:23

deeply, strongly and passionately about the issue at hand.

17:25

That. They were willing to risk their jobs. And

17:28

Arrest. And. They care so deeply about

17:30

an issue that they think know and pay enough

17:32

attention to that they're willing to put themselves in

17:34

sacrifice themselves for. So. I

17:36

want to be empathetic to that point of view.

17:39

As well. but I do think that there's.

17:43

A. Belief that there may have been this kind of.

17:46

Entitlement culture where any time Google employees

17:48

ask for stars, they get it. Someone

17:50

told me the other day. How

17:52

are T G I asked the google now what

17:54

they do these all hands and people get ask

17:56

questions. This person is kind of executive level. They're

17:58

so sick and tired. of how

18:01

every question is all about employees asking

18:03

for more things that they want. So

18:06

it's like, when are we gonna get this bonus? When

18:08

are we gonna get this, yeah, when are we gonna

18:10

get this, that so much of the orientation of being

18:12

an employee at Google is all about what Google can

18:14

do for me and how

18:16

I can get more. And that becomes

18:18

what you ask for. It's like you give a kid something, you

18:21

give them candy, they're always asked for candy. And

18:24

I think that there is certainly an element of that

18:26

culture kind of being frothed

18:29

up over the years at Google. But I do think

18:31

that this is an issue that people care very passionately

18:33

at right now and you're seeing it all over the

18:35

place. So certainly

18:37

not- In the same week we had the

18:40

Golden Gate Bridge get shut down, the

18:42

Bay Bridge gets shut down as well. Chamath,

18:44

your thoughts on these protests and then

18:46

obviously the entitlement issues that

18:48

Freeburg alludes to specifically at

18:50

Alphabet slash Google. They're

18:53

two separate things and I think it's

18:55

important to deal with them individually. Groups

18:59

of people in society in a democracy should

19:01

have a right to protest. That's

19:04

absolutely fundamental and I think

19:07

they can raise a lot of issues that could otherwise get

19:09

swept into the carpet. When

19:11

that stuff impedes the public functioning

19:13

of society for other people, then

19:16

I think there's a responsibility for

19:20

law enforcement and other people to act and

19:22

make sure that that is better

19:25

managed. So shutting down

19:27

an entire bridge is not

19:29

only disruptive, it can be really dangerous.

19:32

Of course, and it can hurt your cause because

19:34

then people dislike the cause because it hurt

19:37

them. Typically what happens is you're

19:39

supposed to file for a permit to protest and

19:41

when you get that, there are areas that are cordoned

19:44

off and then people are allowed to express their views.

19:46

That's a really healthy form of democracy. Going

19:48

rogue like this will only blow up in people's

19:50

faces because the folks that are somewhat

19:53

sympathetic will eventually get burned by this experience

19:55

and turn against them. So that's

19:57

one set of issues. I think that's just people

19:59

going. rogue and I think that you can't

20:01

be tolerant of that kind of chaos. There

20:03

should be organized protests but not

20:06

disorganized chaos. And law enforcement needs

20:08

to get a control of that. Inside

20:10

of a company, I think this is different. It's this

20:12

weird thing that I see, which is like what I

20:14

would call like left on left violence. It's like left-leaning

20:17

people creating all

20:19

of these distractions and demonstrations inside of

20:22

left-leaning organizations for not being left leaning

20:24

enough. And

20:26

so it's kind of like a little bit nutty

20:29

because I think it actually shows

20:31

how totally naive these employees are

20:34

and what basic business understanding they

20:36

have. The first and

20:38

foremost being that they are at will employees.

20:41

These are not people that are contracted players

20:43

in the NBA or are part

20:45

of a union, okay, where you

20:47

have guaranteed employment through some mechanism or

20:49

some arbitration process to even be let

20:51

go. The fact that you don't

20:54

even understand that you are at will means that you are

20:56

there because you want to be there. And Google allows you

20:58

to be there because they choose for you to be there.

21:00

And at any point, if either of you break a covenant,

21:02

you can be gone. That

21:05

kind of stuff, I think, is very distracting

21:07

and it just belies a poor understanding of

21:10

what you're there to do. Google is a

21:12

for-profit business and they are in

21:15

the business of generating maximum profit on

21:17

behalf of their shareholders. They are also

21:20

incentivized to do that in a way that achieves

21:22

a mission and a set of values that the

21:24

majority of their employees

21:26

agree with. And the

21:28

fact that a small cohort of people can

21:31

try to hijack and sabotage that overall

21:33

direction, I think, is very

21:35

misguided. Sacks,

21:39

I don't know if you have any opinions on this. I

21:41

didn't see anything in the docket. I'm not sure if you

21:43

have any strong feelings here. But your thoughts

21:45

on Google employees and the protests, putting

21:48

aside the nature

21:50

of the protests. This could be for

21:52

BLM. This could be for Trump's indictments.

21:54

You could be protesting any number of

21:57

things. But the protesting at work issue

21:59

and then Google's The civically which we

22:01

talked about. With. A Gemini your

22:03

shoes and. Your. Job this stuff

22:05

bleeding over into product getting free. Bird said

22:07

it really nicely. Hey

22:09

are or people. Actually focused on products

22:12

and cool anymore or is the

22:14

whole place? Just focus on

22:16

social issues that have nothing to

22:18

do with their waning apparently products

22:20

and. Why? He got no choice

22:22

but to fire these employees. They were

22:24

being disruptive and they were trespassing and

22:26

good was a business or on. So

22:28

this is what any business would do

22:30

and I don't think they deserve either

22:33

credit or blame. For. Taking

22:35

the actually tough. And. Sorts of

22:37

the protesters themselves. I

22:39

think that. In

22:41

the fullness of time we may come to

22:43

think of them. And a slightly different

22:46

light. And some of this reminds

22:48

me a little bit of of another

22:50

war, The Protesters, and another war. The.

22:52

Vietnam War. Where. They

22:54

were very disruptive. In some cases

22:56

they trespass. In some cases they got

22:59

arrested. They. Were easy to make fun of

23:01

in terms of what they look like they were serve

23:03

and. Camped on saving all the rest

23:05

of that suffer hippies. And

23:07

at the time people were I'd say

23:09

very dismissive of them or actually antagonistic.

23:11

There are seen as giving aid and

23:14

comfort the enemy and they were. Sort.

23:17

Of demonized. But. Now in the

23:19

fullness of time, we look back on that war

23:21

and realize that than a point of fact, maybe

23:23

they were right. In fact,

23:25

maybe their actions were justified.

23:28

And I think that's. How we view

23:30

these protests were google since Be does now I

23:32

think it's def be judged on the full time

23:35

based on. How. We perceive this war in

23:37

Gaza. And. I want to make

23:39

two points about why I think this

23:41

war will eventually be viewed as Israel's

23:43

Vietnam. The. First is that.

23:46

In. Gaza, Israel faces. A.

23:50

A guerrilla style. Force.

23:53

At. Their en o'clock Meyer. And if

23:55

you read the latest news that's coming out

23:57

of Gaza, While. You're here. That.

24:01

After Israel has supposedly cleared in

24:03

the area like Gaza City or

24:05

Khan Yunis, they then move south.

24:07

Hamas has pop back up again. This

24:10

whole idea that they can clear and area. Has

24:12

been proven False is like playing Whack A Mole.

24:15

They. Basically hit a mass in one area. I'm

24:17

asked. disappears down the tunnels, they come back in

24:19

a different area and this is why you're seeing

24:22

a lot of articles now in horror as switch

24:24

the Israeli newspaper saying the war in Gaza is

24:26

ready last. You. Had the Wall Street Journal.

24:28

Last. Week run an article. Saying.

24:31

That Israel is winning every

24:33

battle, but losing the war.

24:36

Which. Is the weekend shades

24:38

of Vietnam? Hear? And understand

24:40

the was You Journal is the most

24:43

pro israel of all the major mainstream

24:45

publications. I don't think the most you

24:47

girls ever written a truly critical. Article.

24:49

About Israel and they described as

24:51

Guatemala. Dynamic. You. Also

24:53

have the general. Dot. The I's

24:55

and cop whose as. A member of.

24:58

The. War cabinet is members of the sort

25:01

of war government. In Israel came

25:03

out and said that we can degrade Hamas

25:05

in Gaza but we cannot destroy it. And.

25:08

He said anyone who's telling you that we can story.

25:10

Hamas. Is tell you a tall tale

25:12

and that was I think, an appointed reference

25:14

to Netanyahu's claim that they would destroy. Hamas.

25:17

In Gaza. So. You've. Got seeds

25:19

of Vietnam In terms of a being this on

25:22

winnable war I think the second aspect. Of

25:24

of a similarity to Vietnam is

25:27

just the you summer civilian casualties.

25:29

You. Recall that in Vietnam the Vietcong try

25:32

to grab a spy the belt buckle. They

25:34

knew that America had superior firepower, so they

25:36

tried. To. Get in close. Use.

25:39

Ambushes, booby traps, snipers and

25:41

in response to that. The.

25:43

Americans used immense amounts of

25:45

firepower and bombing to try

25:47

and subdue the Vietnamese, and

25:49

three point, four million. Vietnamese.

25:52

Were killed in that war according to

25:54

our Robert Mcnamara. The.

25:56

second thing that happens the rules of engagement

25:58

in vietnam got extremely li You

26:00

took a bunch of scared American kids, many of

26:03

whom were conscripts, you dropped them in a jungle,

26:05

pretty much because they feared ambushes, they

26:07

shot anything that moved. And

26:10

then finally, I think, partly to justify this,

26:12

you had a

26:14

dehumanization of the Vietnamese that they

26:16

were seen as somehow kind of

26:19

subhuman. In any event, if you

26:21

watch movies about Vietnam, like Platoon, which was

26:23

made by Oliver Stone, who was a GI

26:25

in Vietnam, or if you watched

26:28

Stanley Kubrick's masterpiece Full Metal

26:30

Jacket, which was based on

26:32

books about Vietnam, you can see these dynamics

26:34

in play very vividly. Now,

26:36

turn to Gaza. All you

26:38

got to do is look at the miles and miles

26:41

of video to see. It

26:43

looks like a lunar surface. I mean, even

26:45

in the words of Joe Biden, there's been

26:47

indiscriminate bombing there. In terms of the rules

26:49

of engagement, the rules of engagement have gotten

26:51

very loose. A week or two ago,

26:53

you had the deaths of those seven aid workers from the international

26:57

kitchen organization. And

26:59

there's an article in Heretz recently about the kill zones

27:01

have been set up pretty much. If

27:04

you come within a certain invisible perimeter of Israeli

27:06

troops, you can be shot. I mean, those are

27:08

the rules of engagement. And this is why there

27:10

were three Israeli hostages who escaped,

27:13

and they were running towards Israeli troops and yelling

27:16

in Hebrew, and they still got shot. And again,

27:18

this goes back to the rules of engagement being

27:20

very loose. And then the final

27:22

piece of it is you do have this

27:24

dehumanization going on of the Palestinians. You

27:26

can see this in a lot of the videos that

27:28

have been posted by IDF soldiers. So look,

27:31

I think that these

27:33

protesters, their actions are going to be judged

27:35

in the fullness of time. I think

27:37

there are actually good reasons to

27:40

believe that Israel's war

27:42

in Gaza, its shades of Vietnam. And

27:44

I think that over the long term,

27:46

people may regard these protesters in a

27:49

different light. They're being

27:51

disruptive and annoying and

27:53

interfering. But if this

27:55

war ends up being Israel's Vietnam, which

27:57

I think it's on track to be. Again,

28:00

I think that people may in time give these protesters

28:02

a little bit more credit. Jay,

28:05

what do you think? Interesting

28:07

question, you know, putting aside what they're

28:09

protesting about, I think they knew

28:13

or some number of them knew they were going to

28:15

get fired. So I think they're kind of resigning by

28:17

sit-in. And I think, yeah,

28:20

there could be nobility to that. If you

28:22

do not want to participate in

28:24

supporting things in the world, you do not have

28:26

to work at Google and you can protest and

28:29

you can get fired. And we've

28:31

seen some pretty intense protests. I don't know

28:33

if you guys are aware of what Greenpeace

28:36

and other environmentalists did to stop whaling. I'm

28:38

sure you are aware, Friedberg, for your

28:40

passion on the subject. Those

28:42

people went to jail in Japan for

28:45

boarding Japanese whaling ships. Those

28:47

are really intense protesters. But

28:49

then to your point, Chamath, you

28:51

can really hurt your cause. Climate

28:55

activists have been throwing paint on works of art. I

28:57

don't know if you've seen that. And that's just infuriating.

29:00

Like, I have no tolerance for people

29:02

destroying works of art or attempting to

29:04

get attention. Here it is

29:06

benign to sit in an office and

29:09

get fired. So I just consider it resigning by

29:11

sit-in. If they want to do that, that's fine.

29:14

I do think there is something to Google enabling

29:16

all this, to your point, Friedberg, over

29:18

time. And listen,

29:20

they were parodied on

29:22

Silicon Valley, the TV show, because

29:24

of how coddled and entitled people are.

29:27

So there's a bunch of things going

29:29

on at the same time. And

29:31

if you want to do these intense protests, you have

29:34

the right to do them. And history

29:36

will judge you over time. But you need

29:38

to be able to pay the price. In

29:40

this case, the price is getting fired. In

29:43

the case of shutting down the Golden Gate Bridge, you

29:45

should get a fine for doing that, I believe. And

29:47

the fine should be based on whatever that costs to shut

29:49

that bridge down. And

29:51

that's got to be a serious fine. And

29:54

you're right, Chamath. If there's an

29:56

emergency situation, somebody's got to get to a hospital

29:58

or something. That's what I always... think about

30:00

when I see those things when you block streets

30:02

and stuff or you block airports or you block

30:05

these throughways, there's a lot of

30:07

just normal everyday people trying to live their life

30:09

who are probably very sympathetic to what

30:11

you stand for. But when you

30:13

disrupt their everyday lives and or threaten

30:15

their physical security,

30:18

they're not going to think that that's worth it. I'm

30:22

also shocked that these people actually came to

30:24

an office. I mean, these Googlers, I don't

30:26

think they've actually been to an office before.

30:28

They probably had to check that their badges

30:30

weren't. To Saksa's point, I actually would have

30:32

had more respect for these

30:34

people if they actually protested the

30:37

war. But they didn't do that.

30:39

They had a very discreet, specific claim,

30:41

which was that they wanted to dissolve

30:44

a business deal that Google had to

30:46

provide cloud services to the state of

30:48

Israel called Project Nimbus. And I

30:50

think that's such a discreet

30:52

thing that it's hard to understand

30:54

that those 28 people would have

30:56

even enough knowledge of what that is. But

30:58

it sounds like a cloud hosting

31:01

deal. Well, what's hosted there? And

31:03

it could be any number of things. And I

31:05

suspect if it's a billion dollar a year deal,

31:07

it's many things. It's probably like the Israeli DMV.

31:09

Is that really what you want? And

31:11

I think that it would have been much of

31:14

a more powerful thing

31:16

to do to protest the actual war if

31:18

that's what they cared about. You know, dovetails

31:20

nicely with the discussion you all had last week

31:22

about would you back a

31:25

not a defensive, but an offensive

31:27

weapons company, a technology company. And

31:30

it seemed like you all had

31:32

reservations on if you would not

31:34

back a defensive one, anybody, I think,

31:36

reasonably would back a defensive,

31:39

you know, dome or interception of bombs coming

31:41

in. That's an easy one. But

31:43

going around the horn here, how

31:45

many of us would back a

31:48

company making missiles or

31:50

bombs that blow people up or

31:53

mines? Would you back a

31:55

robot that had weapon systems on

31:57

it? I think if you want to summarize what we

31:59

said last week. week. It's like there

32:01

are all kinds of businesses where you'll end up investing

32:04

in it and over time as

32:06

it morphs, some

32:08

of us will be faced with some of those decisions and

32:11

it'll frankly depend on what is the

32:13

alternative in that moment. So

32:15

I don't think anybody of

32:18

us are going into go

32:20

and build a nuclear bomb but you should

32:22

not be naive that if you're building nuclear

32:24

reactors, you could

32:26

end up being in a situation where that

32:28

thing gets licensed into a thing that you

32:30

either agree or disagree with. So this

32:33

is my point is I think that those

32:35

kinds of answers or those kinds of questions

32:39

are missing the nuances and the nuances are

32:41

very important. So it's impossible to answer this

32:43

question in a thoughtful way I think would

32:45

be my honest answer. Okay, Sacks, any

32:48

closing thoughts here? Well,

32:51

I think Chamath brings up

32:53

an interesting point about why didn't the

32:56

protesters just focus on the war itself rather than

32:58

Google doing business with Israel. My

33:00

interpretation of that is they're trying to create a nexus to

33:03

themselves, meaning they're employees of

33:05

Google. They're trying to create a reason for

33:07

them to stage the sit-in at

33:10

Google. Otherwise, if they just

33:12

grab picket signs and were on the street, it

33:14

would just be much less newsworthy. So

33:16

I think they were just trying to create something newsworthy

33:18

here and it's kind of worked in the sense that

33:20

we're talking about it, other people are talking about it.

33:23

So that's my interpretation of that is they

33:26

were just trying to elevate the issue

33:28

in a slightly novel way.

33:31

But look, I think that they should

33:33

be willing to pay the price of getting fired

33:35

or getting arrested. I mean, if you're going to engage in

33:37

that kind of civil disobedience or

33:39

protest, you should be willing to accept the price.

33:42

And I did see some comments by

33:44

the Googlers who got fired saying that they thought

33:46

they're being treated unfairly by Google. I think that's

33:48

the wrong attitude. I think the

33:50

attitude is, hey, this cause is

33:53

so important to me that I'm willing to accept the

33:55

price of being fired, saying

33:57

that you don't deserve to be fired for disrupting

34:00

the workplace, that is kind of an entitled attitude.

34:03

So I think they should have just said, yeah, we did this

34:05

on purpose because it's a

34:07

really important cause. Yeah. They

34:09

should say I'm proud to get fired because that's how much I

34:11

believe in it. My stock options at Google

34:14

are less important than this issue to me. Yeah.

34:17

And I accept them. I think they would have gotten

34:19

just as much press if they actually protested the war.

34:22

I think in a week from now, everybody will

34:24

forget what Project Nimbus is. The odds that it

34:26

gets canceled are less than zero and

34:29

everybody will move on. And

34:31

it will not add to the drum beat,

34:33

as SAC said, of people that may be

34:36

eventually on the right side of this issue

34:38

theoretically. I say

34:40

theoretically because that stone is still

34:42

yet to be overturned on that topic. So

34:44

I think that they missed the mark. And

34:48

I think that the part of the press that people glommed

34:50

onto was it was happening inside of a company in

34:53

real time and there is video of it. That

34:56

mission accomplished for them. We're talking about it here as

34:58

the top story. And if

35:00

that was there, if they wanted to raise

35:02

awareness, they succeeded and they should just own

35:04

their firing because they knew they would get

35:06

fired, I think. All

35:09

right. There has been a ton of

35:11

chaos and the culture wars continue over

35:13

NPR. A couple of

35:15

things happened simultaneously this week that are worth

35:17

discussing. Catherine Marr was named NPR's new

35:19

CEO back in January. I'm going to have to give

35:21

a little bit of a timeline here before I get

35:24

comments from the boys because there's

35:26

a little setup. And

35:29

so she was named the CEO back

35:31

in January. She officially started in March.

35:33

Okay. She formally worked at

35:35

Wikimedia Foundation. Those are the people who run

35:37

the Wikipedia, obviously. NPR's mission,

35:39

if you don't know, is to create

35:42

a more informed public, one

35:44

challenged and invigorated by a deeper understanding

35:46

and appreciation of events, ideas, and culture.

35:48

That's their state admission from their website.

35:51

On April 9th, Uri Berliner, an editor

35:53

who's been with NPR for 25 years,

35:55

wrote an op-ed for Barry Weiss's Free

35:58

Press from the Department of Health. explaining

36:00

how NPR lost America's trust by

36:03

going hard left and becoming closed-minded.

36:05

He said, quote, an open-minded spirit no

36:08

longer exists within NPR and now predictably

36:10

we don't have an audience that reflects

36:12

America. Last Friday,

36:15

Marr put out a statement calling

36:17

his actions profoundly disrespectful, hurtful, and

36:19

demeaning. The Sunday, conservative activist

36:22

Christopher Rufo, he's the

36:24

person who exposed

36:27

former Harvard president's clotting

36:29

gaze, plagiarism, he's a vocal

36:31

critic of LGBTQ stuff at

36:34

schools, started reposting old tweets from Marr,

36:36

this new CEO. Her tweets

36:38

are super far left, Trump's a

36:40

racist, yada yada. There's an

36:42

interesting clip of her talking at TED,

36:45

talking about how truth is

36:47

a bit of a distraction that prevents people

36:49

from getting things done. People have gotten

36:52

pretty inflamed about that clip

36:54

and then on April 16th Berliner

36:58

was suspended for five days without pay.

37:00

Wrapping this all up, Berliner then resigned

37:02

after 25 years saying, quote, I cannot

37:05

work in a newsroom where I

37:07

am disparaged by a new CEO whose divisive

37:10

views confirm the very problems

37:12

that NPR cite in

37:14

my free press essay, Sacks

37:16

or Thots? I mean this

37:18

just seems like a dog bites man story.

37:20

I mean what is the novel revelation here?

37:23

The person running NPR is a liberal? I

37:27

mean I'm kind of with you but what took

37:29

25 years to resign? I mean all you have

37:31

to do is listen to NPR. It's always been

37:33

liberal. Okay? This is not some recent capture of

37:35

an institution by the left. So why is it

37:38

going so crazy viral right now? Why has this

37:40

become the topic of the moment? Well

37:43

apparently there are some quotes that this

37:46

new CEO Catherine Marr tweeted

37:49

or said that you can point to That

37:53

seem kind of woke and kind

37:55

of crazy woke, but they're just

37:57

actually pretty standard. I Just don't

37:59

see. The. Breaking News Your. If

38:01

they and of firing Catherine Mar, they're going to

38:03

hire someone to spiker. I mean they're not have

38:06

the same views. And. Pr is always been.

38:08

Left. Of Center. And. The only

38:11

change has happened is that the left

38:13

has now. Become. Woke.

38:15

The. And so it's become of Sicily.

38:17

Focus with the ideas of. White.

38:20

Supremacy and and will and. White.

38:22

Privilege. And she's simply suitably

38:24

reflects that. I agree. I was

38:26

singing Tempest in a teapot like

38:28

newsflash. Npr is woke and left

38:30

leaning. I mean, I.

38:32

Guess maybe that somebody who was there for

38:35

twenty five years wrote the expos. A is

38:37

interesting or. An announcement any boss on

38:39

this one and why it's. taking up

38:41

so much head space where people. I.

38:43

Don't think it is. I think it's taking a bloody had

38:45

space. Amongst breathless journalists and I'll

38:47

take it matters to the public at

38:50

large in on the Anybody Cares has

38:52

had one thing which is I do

38:54

think that the government should not be

38:56

funding this anymore. I think Npr at

38:58

this point is mostly funded by private

39:00

donations. Yeah, they got started with government

39:02

money and the government's dolphins it. And

39:04

given that it is this who left

39:07

institution at this point and and really

39:09

always has been recently, no reason for

39:11

the government to be funding one side

39:13

of the political debate that way. So

39:15

I think there. Is maybe an

39:17

issue there in terms of

39:19

reminding people? That. Hey, this is

39:21

like government funded Why? And there's no reason

39:24

why npr it be funded. With.

39:26

Either private donations or. Private.

39:28

Yeah percentages I just to give people some back

39:30

of your blog math. It. And

39:32

be ours, budget is like three hundred twenty

39:34

million dollar. Prefer American. And. They.

39:37

Get a bunch of programming fees and

39:39

some corporate sponsorship. Corporate sponsorship is like

39:41

one hundred million bucks. The program visas

39:43

what the local radio stations play them.

39:45

net net. This is costing like may

39:47

be. On our know study sense

39:50

in american hand if you just swap out and

39:52

this is the way I like to look at

39:54

these to be objective. If you were saying this

39:56

was funding Fox News or. I. Don't know

39:58

Ben Shapiro in Delhi? Why? How would you

40:00

feel about. It you black boys, the government funding that.

40:03

They. Should just cut Npr in all this public broadcasting

40:05

stuff loose over the next year or two. Winded

40:07

down. And. Let them

40:09

fend for themselves in the new media landscape.

40:11

Luggage a Calgary through, they could easily sub

40:13

socket Mps. I've always just. Christmas.

40:16

Gifts sense and you're far. Yeah.

40:18

I'm it's only like they're down to whatever

40:20

it's it's It's very hard to find the

40:22

numbers as a little like hiding of the

40:24

money here, but they're so little at stake

40:26

here. I think that's why it's so contentious.

40:28

Know what you're going to dobie funding one

40:30

sided a theological institutions on either side of

40:32

the political debate. And you're right, if this

40:34

was funding going to up. Daily. Wire

40:36

something like that. People would be up

40:38

in arms so. The event was

40:40

gonna be this good for the gander. The

40:43

next Tempest in a teapot. Issue.

40:45

Mains A I can getting barbecued by

40:47

our modern day What? Mossberg Marquez Brownlee

40:49

who is an awesome you tube or

40:52

I love his reviews. And.

40:54

Is quite a bit of our social media

40:56

Russia Taseer. Getting. A

40:58

lot of feals from people in Silicon Valley. Let's

41:00

is t disappear. Humane is a hardware store that

41:03

bad that you may have heard of. They make

41:05

an Ai powered wearable computer specially have any but

41:07

on your chest. To. Buffer size of

41:09

a pack of cigarettes. maybe half the size of

41:11

it, Cited. By to Apple exact

41:14

back and Twenty eighteen raised a

41:16

quarter of a billion dollars or

41:18

so. And. Damn. the device

41:20

is now in the. Hands of reviewers it's

41:22

pretty innovative and marked as talks about

41:24

how innovative it is in his review.

41:27

It. Will I'll let you talk to. it's got a camera

41:29

on it. Will. Show it here on

41:31

the screen If you're not subscribed to the youtube

41:34

channel, just go to Youtube right now uses. Claimed.

41:36

Video of it Search from fallen. And.

41:39

I'm the really interesting interface at does obviously

41:41

voice to connect you to an L am

41:43

on the back and so if you want

41:46

to know. That. You know

41:48

some piece of information. he can answer those

41:50

questions for you. But Marquez I showed it.

41:53

Just. Absolutely failing out a bunch of

41:55

tests. Being. Overpriced. And.

41:58

He called it the worst pro. product

42:00

he's ever reviewed. It's

42:03

very thoughtful and methodical, but the

42:06

title is obviously a bit link-fading.

42:08

As a co-founder of Engadget, I can tell you if

42:10

you want to get a lot of clicks to say something is

42:13

the best or the worst ever, and you can get 10 times

42:16

the views. The

42:19

pin, according to him, doesn't

42:22

do anything better than a smartphone. It's low.

42:24

It doesn't work. It's often

42:26

wrong. It's $700. The battery

42:28

sucks. So many different ways

42:30

to go with this. Everybody

42:32

is talking about it on X and

42:34

in the media. Where

42:37

do you stand on this one, Friedberg?

42:41

Both on how

42:43

people are responding to it in the

42:45

tech industry as being like anti-tech, anti-innovation

42:47

versus, hey, it's just a reviewer giving

42:50

his candid feedback on a product that's

42:52

clearly not ready for prime time. I

42:54

think there's a lot of issues. One

42:56

is just the challenge of deep

42:59

tech, more specifically

43:01

in this case, hardware investing. You have

43:04

to invest a lot of capital before

43:06

you even have your first product, and then you

43:09

don't really know how well it works until you've

43:11

already burned through a lot of capital. This

43:14

is one of the stunning stories of

43:16

a startup that has raised a quarter

43:18

billion dollars, and then they come out with their first

43:20

product, and it turns out it needs a lot of work because

43:23

it doesn't do anything that

43:25

consumers really are compelled by,

43:28

as evidenced by the review.

43:31

I think it highlights that challenge and

43:33

why that market finds,

43:36

particularly in this environment, it to be so

43:38

hard to get

43:40

capitalized. Now, obviously, there are some

43:42

entrepreneurs like Elon who can

43:44

take that capital and drive

43:47

to the outcome, spending hundreds

43:49

of millions of dollars before you get your first rocket

43:52

into space, and you have a lot of failings

43:54

along the way. But

43:56

the general tone here is tech

44:00

investment is very likely to fail

44:02

because you spend so much money before you've known at

44:04

that point you have less money and you can't really

44:06

make the necessary iteration to get there.

44:09

So it's a tough data point

44:11

for other deep tech companies that

44:14

need to raise a lot of capital. Then I

44:16

think it brings up the point about ex-Apple

44:19

people, that there's a degree of

44:21

confidence because people come from Apple and

44:23

a degree of hubris in the employees

44:25

that come from Apple that says,

44:28

I have worked at the best hardware company in the

44:30

world, therefore this person is likely to succeed. It turns

44:32

out that when you don't have

44:34

all that built-in infrastructure for testing and

44:36

optimization, all of that built-in distribution, all

44:39

of the feedback systems that Apple has engineered

44:41

into their business model for so long, maybe

44:43

you missed some of the data around what

44:45

makes a product great or not before you

44:47

launch. I think that's your key point,

44:50

Freeberg. That is the best point. If these folks come

44:52

from Apple, they're used to

44:54

unlimited resources, and

44:56

what you don't see is all the product

44:58

Apple doesn't release, right? They never release their

45:00

car, correct, Freeberg? I

45:03

think then there's also this question about where

45:05

is the value in the product because

45:07

they thought, hey, if we have AI

45:09

on a pen, it'll work without

45:12

the consumer feedback about whether

45:14

or not people are willing to sit around and wait

45:16

for 12 seconds to get an

45:18

answer to a question. And then it brings up

45:20

this other really important point, which is half

45:23

the people in Silicon Valley are running breathlessly

45:25

into the conversation saying, do not

45:27

disparage a startup that's working really hard at

45:29

getting their first product right. It'll destroy the

45:32

motivation of other startups that need to kind of

45:35

iterate to get there. And we

45:37

can't just take the first V1 and

45:39

say, that's it. Tramat, your thoughts? Your

45:41

laughing hysterical at this. No, the

45:43

other half of Silicon Valley are running in and saying,

45:45

this thing's a piece of shit. What are you talking

45:47

about? It doesn't work. So it is a really interesting

45:49

kind of, you know, debate.

45:51

Yeah. We're shocked. Test on what's going on. What

45:54

do you want? What do you want in block

45:57

of a product? Neither of

45:59

those two. I think that

46:01

incredibly motivated, dedicated

46:03

entrepreneurs don't even know

46:05

that this is happening and don't care. Got

46:08

it. In other words, the

46:10

reviewers are going to review products and

46:12

you just got to plow ahead and make a better product.

46:15

The idea that in 2009,

46:17

10 or 11, right, that

46:21

when all the rockets weren't working, you know, and

46:23

Elon was back against the wall, that

46:26

he was reading TechCrunch or getting

46:29

upset because a product failed, some other random product

46:31

that had nothing to do with his, I

46:34

think is laughable. I think no great entrepreneur

46:36

cares. I don't think Freiburg

46:38

is going to change what's happening at

46:40

O'Hollow based on, what is

46:43

this thing called? Humane. Right.

46:46

Freiburg, have you made decisions? Are you sadder

46:48

today in O'Hollow when you walked into the

46:50

office demanding your team? Okay, so there you

46:52

go. There's your answer. Not a big matter.

46:55

You're failing on this? I'm having a hard time

46:57

understanding all the controversies this week. I mean, reviewers

47:00

are going to review, protesters are going to protest,

47:02

and the NPR presidents are going to NPR. Here

47:04

we go. What's going on? Everyone's

47:07

just doing their job. Here's

47:11

an idea for the Humane team. Be thankful somebody

47:13

took the time to review your product

47:15

and give you candid feedback and incorporate it back

47:17

into your product and make it work. An

47:20

irreverent elitist who will eat octopus. Here

47:23

we are. Absolutely. High

47:25

IQ foods. We should create a new

47:27

category. High IQ foods? Yeah, what are the other

47:29

high IQ foods? Acorn-fed

47:32

beef. Yeah, for sure

47:34

high IQ. Pigs, very

47:36

high IQ. I saw that cow playing

47:38

chess before he was served for dinner.

47:42

I was having a pork sandwich from

47:44

Bucky's, and it helped me

47:46

solve Wurdle for the day before

47:49

I ate it. So I got Wurdle in

47:51

two tries. Oh,

47:53

I'm so sorry. I'm a lad.

47:56

I didn't want that one to land. Yeah,

48:00

I mean, okay, let me ask this question.

48:03

Do we think the world, let's say this thing

48:05

did respond in one second. Here's the

48:07

theme, Jason. Here's the theme, Jason. The

48:09

problem is that I think people right now,

48:12

the real Rorschach test is if you

48:14

are so easily distracted, you probably don't

48:16

have enough to do. Right,

48:19

that's the entitlement is that you don't have enough

48:21

work on your plate. I don't wanna

48:23

call it entitlement, but I think the reality is that

48:25

if you get caught up in

48:27

all these silly little fake

48:29

battles or decisions, I think

48:32

what it really means is that you're not busy

48:34

enough and or you're not working on something that

48:36

matters enough to you. Because when either of those

48:38

two things are true, people tend

48:41

to have blinders on and they are super focused.

48:43

And they just don't have an opinion, they don't

48:46

care. Like honestly, many of these topics today, I

48:48

really don't care. And it's not because I'm better

48:50

or worse or smarter or dumber, it's because I'm

48:52

so overworked right now, I don't have time to

48:54

have an opinion on this stuff. Your mom's got

48:57

a CEO job and now he's gotta work. And

48:59

I think that anybody else trying to do their

49:01

job well is probably in the same category. I

49:04

hadn't even heard of this reviewer. What's his name? Mark

49:07

Marquez? Brown? Marquez

49:10

Brownlee. I never heard of him. If you're

49:12

on YouTube, he's kinda like the new Walt Mossberg.

49:15

He does 20, 30 minute videos.

49:17

They get millions of views. Yeah.

49:19

He's cute. I don't know that he makes or breaks a

49:22

product though, by the way, he does not make or break

49:24

a product. The product makes or breaks itself. When

49:27

I was running companies, I wouldn't

49:29

care about what one reviewer said. I

49:31

would care about the totality of the

49:33

reaction to the product, which would include

49:36

customers as well as reviewers and so

49:38

forth. So I don't think there's

49:40

any point getting too bad out of shape about

49:42

one review. I think what's kinda happening in terms

49:44

of the reaction here is that

49:47

people wanna give this company

49:49

mercy points for being innovative.

49:52

So my guess is the product just isn't ready for prime

49:54

time but everyone wants to kinda like, they

49:57

want their reviewers to take it easy on them or

49:59

something because. They are being innovative and

50:01

they're breaking new ground in this area of

50:03

wearables, but the reality is in

50:05

the real world, where you

50:07

want to charge people for your product like customers

50:10

don't have mercy points. No, so

50:13

if it is the car breaks down, the car breaks

50:15

down and by the way, Marquez got a

50:17

little bit of heat just a month ago because he

50:19

reviewed the Fisker. The Fisker is just

50:21

a piece of garbage car. He said it's the worst

50:23

car he's ever reviewed and you

50:26

know what reviewers exist in the world. To

50:29

inform customers about what products and services they

50:31

should buy and then they should inform you

50:33

to make a better product period full stop.

50:36

There is an easy solution to this by the way, which Apple

50:39

did they released the vision pro as

50:42

a developer kit. They put a

50:44

bunch of caveats on it and said hey,

50:46

we understand this is high priced. It's a

50:48

developer kit. This is in beta.

50:50

What humane should have done is they should

50:52

have said this is the humane beta for

50:54

developers. I still don't know what it is.

50:56

What is this? Okay, it's a wearable. It's

50:58

a square. It has a

51:01

projector on it. You put your hand out. It

51:03

projects a little screen that shows you like

51:05

a computer screen and you can talk to

51:07

it. Well, the primary function is like a

51:10

chat assistant that sits on

51:12

you and has a camera. And

51:14

so you can say it's taping everything

51:17

that it sees. It doesn't do

51:19

that by default, but it could. But sorry, let

51:21

me just give the quick overview and basically you

51:23

ask it questions and it can go

51:25

get the answers. The problem is that it

51:27

has to go make a request to the Internet,

51:29

run an AI model and come back. So it

51:32

takes like 12 seconds to get results. Most

51:34

of the time, according to the reviewer, the

51:36

results are actually wrong because it's an L.

51:38

And models suck. The voice to text translation is

51:40

wrong. There's a lot of things that are wrong

51:42

about it. So it takes a long time. It's

51:44

clunky. And then the battery burns out every two

51:46

hours and it gets super hot because of the

51:48

way they get it to magnetically think your clothes.

51:51

So it gets very hot. So there's also

51:53

a $700 bucks. Other

51:55

than that, how is the play? It misses Lincoln.

51:58

And by the way, most importantly to you. off,

52:00

it will screw up your fabrics. If you wear this

52:02

with a Laura Piana sweater, I'm going to drag your

52:04

sweater down. Hold on, I was just thinking this. You

52:06

would never attach it to a $6,000 sweater. Yeah,

52:10

it's basically what you're telling me is

52:12

it's an overpriced device that could give

52:14

you first-degree burns, and

52:16

it will ruin your sweaters. It doesn't answer the

52:18

questions that you ask. Yeah, basically.

52:21

But then do I think the questions or do I have

52:23

to say it out loud so it looks like I'm talking

52:25

to myself? You look like a lunatic. Yes, you're walking around

52:27

like a crazy person talking to yourself. That was the other

52:30

thing he said is like when you're in a crowd and

52:32

there's a voice around, you can use your hand and hand

52:34

gestures to control it and do things

52:36

with the projector thing that it does. And it's a

52:38

major problem. It's some really cool, interesting features. It's just

52:40

like it's not quite there yet. Who invested in it?

52:43

Let's not make fun of it. Let's make fun

52:45

of the investors. Who invested? Sam

52:47

Baldwin. Shout out to Sam. He's coming out of the

52:49

program, I think. Yeah.

52:52

Listen, the concept I think

52:55

is good. Wearables are going to

52:57

provide some distinct value when they work because

52:59

you don't have to take your phone out. And

53:01

so the idea behind wearables, like

53:03

your watch, is you know, like there

53:05

are some things I do on my watch now where

53:07

I don't take my phone out. I have fun at the club. I'll

53:09

take the other side of this. Yeah, I'll take the other side. When

53:12

you're done. Yeah, I use Fitbit, a company we

53:14

invested in and it puts all my workouts on my watch.

53:16

When I'm doing weights, I started doing weights now. That's why

53:18

I look so buff, folks. Subscribe to

53:20

the YouTube channel to see. And I do

53:22

my sets and I log them all with my watch.

53:25

I don't have to take my phone out. That's like

53:27

the first thing. And then when I'm skiing, I can

53:29

see each one. I showed you slopes. I'm not an investor in.

53:32

Shmof, where I could see my speed and all

53:34

that stuff. But you're saying something totally different. That's

53:36

utility. Of course, you'll find a device

53:39

will give you utility. I thought you were saying

53:41

something else, which is everybody's going to have wearables.

53:43

And I want to take the exact

53:45

opposite side of that. Okay, go ahead. Yeah. I don't

53:47

know that everybody will have wearables, but I do find

53:49

a couple of little things that work for me. I

53:51

totally get that, you know, the use of an accelerometer

53:54

or whatever in a watch or in a band that

53:56

you wear on your wrist for a workout. And

53:58

I think that that's valuable. heart rate, a

54:01

glycemic monitor so that you get all of that stuff

54:03

makes super sense for you as an individual. But that's

54:06

not an experience where you're

54:08

engaging with it to replace some

54:12

other social interaction. That's

54:14

just you getting utility as you live your life.

54:17

What I'm saying is the idea that you

54:19

start to rely on a device as

54:21

your interface into the world, I

54:23

would take the exact other side of the bat which

54:26

is I think that humans are getting so sick

54:29

and tired of being, of

54:32

only communicating in these

54:34

very rigid ways. Like I'm telling

54:36

you, like if you look at our children's generation,

54:39

they don't know how to make eye contact, they don't know how to

54:41

talk, and I think it's going to come back and

54:43

bite them in the ass. And so I think

54:45

the pendulum is going to swing in the other direction where it's

54:47

like, okay, enough of this stuff. Let's

54:50

actually look each other in the eye and talk to each

54:52

other the way that humans were meant to be. And

54:54

I think that in that, devices

54:57

like a glucose monitor or a band has value,

54:59

but I don't think it's going to be this

55:01

interface where you're sign languaging it while you're at

55:03

Coachella. I think you're going to rip the devices

55:05

off and actually be at Coachella without

55:08

any devices. Did any of you guys read

55:10

Jonathan Hates' book, Anxious Generation? It

55:12

is unbelievably awesome. I'm not right yet.

55:14

Stop what you're doing and

55:17

just listen to the audio book on your

55:19

walks on Audible. This book is super important

55:21

and awesome. The Anxious Generation by Jonathan

55:23

Hates. I cannot tell you how important it is.

55:25

Sacks, any closing feelings here? You have a take?

55:28

Any hot take? Well, I would slightly

55:30

disagree with you guys about this

55:33

device. So first of all, I think that humans

55:35

are becoming more and more cybernetic. We're getting more

55:37

and more immersed with computing

55:39

power. And I agree, it creates this anxiety and

55:41

all these problems. But on the other hand, I

55:44

think it's an irreversible trend. So I

55:46

think that I would not bet against things

55:48

that make us more cybernetic. I think the

55:50

problem here is that this company is

55:52

trying to do two difficult things. The first thing

55:54

is it's trying to capture everything that's

55:57

happening in the world around you to feed it into

55:59

an AI model. model so it can make

56:01

you smarter. The other thing

56:03

it's trying to do is reduce your

56:05

dependence on your phone by creating this

56:07

new projection surface. And

56:10

in my experience, when you try to do

56:12

two hard things, you actually square the complexity

56:14

and you square the difficulty as opposed to

56:16

adding it. So I think of

56:18

these two things, the one that sounds interesting to

56:21

me is taking in all the information from the

56:23

physical world and putting in an AI model that

56:25

can be helpful to you. But

56:27

I see no reason to replace the phone. I

56:29

think it should just work with your phone. The

56:31

problem they're going to have is that that pendant

56:33

will compete with the Apple glasses and all

56:36

the other wearables that are

56:38

going to be created to suck in

56:40

all this information, this computer vision from

56:43

the world. Nonetheless, I do think

56:45

that is the opportunity. It's not replacing

56:47

the phone. It's layering a new

56:49

platform on top of the phone that can kind of, again,

56:51

give you that terminator

56:54

mode in the real world. And that was

56:56

a complaint about this device specifically. It was

56:58

detached from the phone. I understand why they

57:00

want to make it standalone, but... And

57:03

then this opens up all the privacy. Let me

57:05

ask the panel here, what do

57:07

you think about this concept of recording the

57:09

entire world, all these conversations and video with

57:11

these devices? I think it's a quick way

57:13

to get yourself punched in the face. I

57:15

mean, we saw that with Google Glass. People

57:18

showed up at bars in San Francisco and parties

57:20

with these Google Glass things on and

57:22

literally got punched in the face. Well, this is...

57:24

This is why... The privacy of things

57:26

recording your entire life with a pendant? Man, no,

57:28

thank you. This is why I said what I

57:30

said. I do think Saks is right that ultimately,

57:32

you'll have some kind of brain interface because

57:35

I do think a chip implant of some

57:37

kind is very valuable. But what

57:39

I'm also saying is that I think that that will

57:41

actually lessen the

57:44

social acceptability of

57:46

these visible devices that are constantly getting

57:48

in between you and another person. And

57:51

so the idea that we're kind of already

57:53

in a quasi-surveillance state and now we're going

57:55

to increase that by N-factorial

57:58

to the number of people. The

58:00

kids are very depressing. It. Is depressing

58:02

and either in Brooklyn Jonathan his book.

58:04

He talks about phone lockers for schools

58:06

and the transformative power they have had

58:08

when you go to school. There are

58:10

some schools now high schools where the

58:12

students put their phones in specific. Really?

58:14

Doctor? do it. They do it in

58:16

my kids. It's a it's actually Jason.

58:18

The special pouches pouches. Yeah, but those

58:20

are the largest comedians use like Chappelle.

58:22

He shows Chappelle use a cabin use

58:24

of them. Yeah, exactly. And they are

58:26

great. And then what?

58:29

what? The school now also teaches the kids at

58:31

least our school, which I found really interesting is.

58:34

The. Graduated form of that is the actually Now

58:36

allow you to put it in a. Envelope

58:38

because their training the kid like the pouch you

58:40

can't get access to the have to go back

58:42

and lox in a lot unlocked of I see

58:44

him and then I saw that my son last

58:47

week had it actually in a in a white

58:49

envelope and yet to close the envelope and just

58:51

keep it with him. As.

58:53

As like a way of graduating from the.

58:55

Prison. Form of. Cute. As

58:57

on a way to like you know having it in your

59:00

pocket. So the love that front of do a lot to

59:02

try to teaches kids are to be so dependent. they should

59:04

ban these devices the schools one hundred percent. And then at

59:06

the poker game tonight we should meet people stack their phones

59:08

in charge somebody a thousand dollars whoever takes the form. Funny

59:11

I landed that I could do it tonight. Greek.

59:13

Really give us a shout out to were

59:15

my favorite Psi Phi book series is called

59:18

Nexus by Ramos Nom as kind of like

59:20

Cyber Palm. Futuristic.

59:22

Series. But where he talks about is it it

59:24

where we have this brain. Computer.

59:26

Interface. you'll be on upload your memories.

59:29

And so you're you. Talk about this idea of.

59:31

Recording. Your whole life through upended while

59:34

you eventually. You. Be able to record your

59:36

whole life based on to sue your eyeballs. And.

59:39

You know you'd be able to upload

59:41

in Syria. First person view. Of

59:43

whatever conversation the you've been in the

59:45

you know and so. There's. A certain

59:48

that are you up this pretty far off, but

59:50

there is maybe a certain inevitability to that. And.

59:53

Dot Org have to figure out of your part

59:55

of research says there's a black mirror bestowed on

59:57

this exact idea of the up. Here. you

59:59

have to dvr your entire life. And

1:00:01

it is gnarly to think these things will exist. And

1:00:04

I think humanity is going to have to

1:00:06

make a decision, I think, to fight this or embrace it.

1:00:08

I think we should fight it. I think it's going to

1:00:10

ruin, like, social existence.

1:00:12

And it's already ruined poker games, etc. when

1:00:14

everybody's on their phone. It's ruined dinner parties

1:00:16

when everybody's on their phones. A

1:00:18

constant distraction is just horrific. And it's having a

1:00:20

horrible impact on this generation. I'll double down on

1:00:22

what you're saying. It is so lovely to be

1:00:25

able to have a dinner where everybody just talks

1:00:27

to each other and looks each other in the

1:00:29

eyes. And then when you have a handful of

1:00:31

people always on their phone, it's depressing.

1:00:35

It's actually not even neutral. It's

1:00:37

a net negative and a drag on the entire

1:00:39

night. Absolutely. I

1:00:42

am trying to come up with ways to

1:00:44

remove these devices from the social settings.

1:00:46

I mean, I've been to a couple of parties with high profile

1:00:48

people where they have everybody check their phones

1:00:50

at the LA and the door. I gotta say those

1:00:52

are the best nights of my life. Those

1:00:55

are the best nights. And, you know, no offense to people

1:00:57

who are addicted to their phones. I am to a certain

1:00:59

extent. I put my social media at one

1:01:01

hour on my phone. My lord, it

1:01:03

is hard to do less than an

1:01:06

hour of social media in our job positions. I

1:01:09

deleted TikTok about a month ago. It's

1:01:13

been liberating. I was a slave to

1:01:15

that app. I couldn't believe how

1:01:18

much TikTok I was consuming after

1:01:20

it was gone because I couldn't find anything

1:01:22

to replace it. And then I stumbled

1:01:24

into the fact that YouTube has YouTube shorts and

1:01:27

there is a lot of that content, but it's

1:01:29

terrible and the algorithm is really bad. And

1:01:32

so fortunately I just stopped using YouTube.

1:01:35

It just shows you how the algorithm is

1:01:37

such a key component of that TikTok experience

1:01:39

because I had the same experience. Shorts

1:01:43

serves up garbage. Instagram

1:01:45

serves up garbage. And then TikTok

1:01:48

is just like right into your brain. It

1:01:50

kicks ass. It kicks ass. By the way, I want to

1:01:52

give another shout out to a book. I miss TikTok. TikTok,

1:01:54

I miss you. Yeah, whatever. It's just going

1:01:57

away. Another incredible book. I think

1:01:59

we should. The speaker for

1:02:01

All in Summit Bad therapy. Why

1:02:03

the kids aren't growing up? Abigail

1:02:06

Schreier. This book is

1:02:08

incredible and if you read these two but

1:02:10

every parent. Read. These two bucks

1:02:12

and we need have a conversation on it as

1:02:14

parents year. Everybody reads two bucks.

1:02:17

Beast. These are my two top choices for the

1:02:19

all. in some it's. I think it's like

1:02:21

they're gonna be the the topic of our time.

1:02:24

Wireless. Keep going down this incredible docket. Very

1:02:26

important issue for us to talk about. Silicon.

1:02:29

Valley Startup seven a bit of that

1:02:31

are indeed tax problem that's putting on

1:02:33

the docket. You're free bird. Said.

1:02:35

Bit inside baseball but very important topic.

1:02:38

Let's say company like Acme Cooperation generate a

1:02:40

million bucks revenue and they spend a million

1:02:42

bucks on their software developers. Last you a

1:02:44

said add. An hour five developers can

1:02:47

pay two hundred grand each. While tradition as

1:02:49

company would paid nothing in income tax right

1:02:51

to spend a million. they deduct that million

1:02:53

from the million dollars in revenue that came

1:02:55

in. And. Everything's.

1:02:57

Good, but. Due. To The

1:02:59

Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of

1:03:01

Twenty Seven Team. Starting.

1:03:03

Last year a provision kicked in forcing companies

1:03:05

to advertise the are the expense. Over five

1:03:07

years. So. In this. Hypothetical.

1:03:10

Situation: The Acme Corporation. With

1:03:12

amortize two hundred a year. And. Pay

1:03:15

income tax on the hundred came profits. This

1:03:18

is brutal, offers offer start votes,

1:03:20

profit circled Sarcos profits corridor and

1:03:22

this is absolutely Brutal. And.

1:03:25

A lot of companies took a wait and see

1:03:27

approach is hoping Congress or fix the issue. In January

1:03:30

a bipartisan tax bill. That. Would vs

1:03:32

changes pass in the house? But. The

1:03:34

bill has stalled in the senate. And we gotta

1:03:36

get this thing sex because is gonna sink a lot of start

1:03:38

ups. Maybe. People will start putting

1:03:40

their companies and other countries. But.

1:03:43

I it's attached to this child tax credit

1:03:45

which republicans don't wanna pass. Sir. No

1:03:48

reversal has happened. Freiburg, you highlighted this for

1:03:50

us. Very important topic. Thank you for doing

1:03:52

so. As. Our

1:03:54

our. Great. Contributor:

1:03:57

Hear what are your thoughts on? This became

1:03:59

law. in the 2017 Jobs

1:04:02

Act as you highlighted. And

1:04:05

basically it means that companies, not

1:04:07

just like tech companies, but life

1:04:09

sciences companies, defense companies are

1:04:12

pushing Congress to change this law because

1:04:15

you can't actually deduct the

1:04:17

expenses that you use to run your

1:04:19

business. You have to only

1:04:21

deduct them over five years, 20% a year. So

1:04:24

like you pointed out, if you're making a million dollars but

1:04:26

you're spending a million dollars, you made no profit. But

1:04:29

you got to pay taxes if you made 800 grand in

1:04:31

profit. And a lot of these small

1:04:33

companies don't have that cash. So

1:04:35

venture capital backed companies and public companies

1:04:37

that are profitable, they can afford to

1:04:39

do this because they have large balance sheets. So it doesn't

1:04:41

affect them as much as it does. The

1:04:44

literally hundreds of thousands of

1:04:46

small businesses that work in the life sciences

1:04:49

sector, the defense sector, the tech sector, that

1:04:51

are struggling this year to make

1:04:53

the tax payments that are required under

1:04:56

this law that went into effect last

1:04:58

year. And Congress promised that they were gonna

1:05:00

repeal this law leading up

1:05:03

to April 15th, which happens obviously a

1:05:05

few days ago and make it retroactive to

1:05:07

2023, but they didn't. But

1:05:09

they know basic math, Congress knows basic

1:05:11

math. How do they, what do they

1:05:14

think they're close to? Yeah,

1:05:16

so the original intent was that this was

1:05:18

one of the ways, you guys know whenever

1:05:20

you pass a bill, it gets run through

1:05:22

the OMB and the CDF that

1:05:25

figures out what's the budgetary cost of the bill. And

1:05:28

one of the ways that they made this work, this

1:05:30

bill, the 2017 Trump Tax and Jobs Act, you guys

1:05:32

may remember in that bill, they also

1:05:34

made it impossible to deduct entertainment and dining expenses

1:05:36

when you take people out to dinner anymore. That

1:05:38

sucks. And they did all those things to make

1:05:40

up some of the money they were using

1:05:43

for basic general tax breaks for companies. So

1:05:45

they used this as a way to say

1:05:47

like, look, in a couple of years, we're

1:05:49

gonna kick in this R&D expenditure thing, and

1:05:51

it'll trigger a lot more revenue for the

1:05:53

federal government. It'll create a lot more taxes

1:05:56

and a lot more revenue. So

1:05:58

that was the idea. And everyone was like, yeah, okay. sure, we'll

1:06:00

do that. Great. It makes the accounting work. And then in

1:06:02

a couple years, you know, nudge, nudge, wink, wink, we're going

1:06:04

to come back and repeal it. Except

1:06:06

Congress has stalled out. There's this

1:06:08

ineptitude, where anytime someone tries to pass

1:06:11

a bill in Congress, someone

1:06:13

else says, I want to get money. And

1:06:15

so the Democrats showed up and said, we want this

1:06:17

child tax credit thing to show up, which

1:06:20

basically was

1:06:22

passed during COVID. And they

1:06:24

want to extend it going forward. And the child

1:06:26

tax credit says that you can get a check

1:06:28

for 1800 a year in 2023, 1900, in 2024, and $2,000 in 2025, for having for each child

1:06:30

you have. And the

1:06:37

Republicans in the Senate are saying, wait a second,

1:06:39

for people to get this thing, we want to make sure

1:06:41

they're working, we want to make sure it's not as retroactive.

1:06:44

So now there's this big debate about how big the child

1:06:46

tax credit should be. And that's

1:06:48

keeping this R&D thing from

1:06:50

going through. And meanwhile, I've gotten tons of

1:06:52

emails from CEOs of tech companies that

1:06:55

are breaking even either not tech companies that are

1:06:57

making a ton of profit, they're not public, they're

1:06:59

not venture backed. They're just people running

1:07:01

running their, their business. And

1:07:03

now they're going to have this huge tax bill, even though they

1:07:05

didn't make any money this year. And

1:07:07

it's crippling businesses around the country.

1:07:09

And what do they do? They're

1:07:12

going to write a check, they're going to borrow money, they're going

1:07:14

to go to the bank, borrow money, or they're going to incur

1:07:16

penalties at the IRS, because they don't have the cash to

1:07:18

pay the tax bill, because they don't have any profit, they didn't

1:07:20

make any money. If they just ran the

1:07:22

business break even, which a lot of these companies do is

1:07:24

just make a little bit of money or break even. And

1:07:26

then they've got this huge tax bill and profits they

1:07:28

didn't actually have, they got to go figure

1:07:31

out how to write a check. And also, how do

1:07:33

you define R&D? I was talking to an accountant, he's

1:07:35

like, Yeah, I don't know if that's R&D. I'm like,

1:07:37

you don't know it's R&D. Like, okay, so if

1:07:39

I make some piece of software, yeah, yeah, there's all

1:07:42

this writing in the, if you get audited by the

1:07:44

IRS, they have the ability to

1:07:46

basically capture everything. So like, let's say you're

1:07:48

a mobile app developer, and you

1:07:50

make a million dollars a year, but you spend

1:07:52

a million dollars a year on your developers, okay,

1:07:55

they're gonna count that they have the ability to count that

1:07:57

as an R&D. So that the accountants the tax accountants

1:08:00

tell you book it all as R&D

1:08:02

because otherwise you could get audited and actually get in trouble.

1:08:04

Because anything that involves the development of

1:08:07

technology now is considered R&D. Again,

1:08:09

a company working in life sciences as a

1:08:11

research company doing lab work can

1:08:13

get it fixes is a bug fix

1:08:16

R&D. If I make a new feature

1:08:18

in an application this year, does it

1:08:20

have to be amortized over five years or

1:08:22

I put a new filter on my photo?

1:08:24

My understanding is most most of this stuff

1:08:26

is getting captured. And that's why it's hurting

1:08:29

everything from defense to life sciences, to lab

1:08:31

equipment to startups, and software

1:08:33

to everything. And

1:08:35

Congress can't get out of its own way where this this

1:08:38

bill passed, by the way, bipartisan in

1:08:40

the house, then it went to the Senate. And

1:08:42

now it's getting taken apart in the Senate. Now it's stalled out

1:08:45

and everyone's freaking out that it's stalled out past April 15. And

1:08:47

it's actually going to

1:08:49

hurt a lot of small businesses in this country. And

1:08:51

here's the other problem is it actually

1:08:53

limits our ability to invest in innovation in

1:08:56

this country. Because now you're better

1:08:58

off, there's no other country in the world

1:09:00

that does this. Every other country in the

1:09:02

world tries to incentivize investment in innovation. And

1:09:05

here in the US, we're basically saying

1:09:07

no, we're going to tax you for

1:09:09

investing in technology development and innovation. And

1:09:11

the other thing that's, that's actually not

1:09:13

being talked about is even in

1:09:16

this bill where they're repealing this, they're

1:09:18

leaving in the fact that

1:09:21

if you invest in R&D outside the US,

1:09:23

you have to amortize it over 15 years.

1:09:26

So let's say that you're a US developer

1:09:28

and you hire people offshore. Yeah, you

1:09:31

got to basically amortize the offshore stuff over

1:09:33

15 years, which means you'll never

1:09:35

make a profit, you're always gonna have to pay

1:09:37

tax. I mean, how we're trying to kill innovation

1:09:39

in this country. And the two things they got

1:09:41

to solve is this one. And then M&A, we got

1:09:45

to have a better solution

1:09:47

for allowing companies to be bought and sold

1:09:50

in this or merge in this country. These

1:09:53

two things are putting a lot of

1:09:55

headwinds on the startup ecosystem

1:09:57

and on the venture and the

1:09:59

risk taking capital. ecosystems. If you're in

1:10:03

Washington, D.C., or involved in our government,

1:10:06

please solve these two issues. You got to figure out a

1:10:08

way to allow companies to be bought and sold. You got

1:10:10

to figure out a way to fix

1:10:14

this tax issue or else we're going to kill a

1:10:16

lot of startups. And these are the companies that

1:10:19

pay a lot of taxes. And these are

1:10:21

the capital gains that fund a lot of

1:10:23

states treasuries. Well, it's also an illustration of

1:10:25

just how hungry we are for tax revenue

1:10:28

in this country. It's

1:10:30

only going to grow. And I'm not sitting here complaining

1:10:32

about taxes. The Trump tax cut that he put in

1:10:34

place in 2017 added $1.5 trillion to the federal deficit.

1:10:37

So tax cuts in general

1:10:41

are not great when you're spending a lot, but

1:10:44

it does highlight just how much we are spending

1:10:46

at the federal level and the demand for tax

1:10:48

revenue. And that demand causes this

1:10:50

countercyclical problem, which is now we're going

1:10:52

to eat into innovation, which is supposed

1:10:54

to drive get us out of the

1:10:56

problem, the spiral that results from this debt.

1:10:59

So it really highlights like just

1:11:01

the challenges that are going to emerge, particularly

1:11:03

in a decade ahead, because we have all

1:11:05

of the spending that's coming in front of

1:11:07

us over the next decade, and how we're

1:11:09

going to start to demand more and more

1:11:11

tax and all these weird ways that can

1:11:13

really hurt industry. Unintended consequences are very real.

1:11:17

Chamappi, we're gonna say something? Well,

1:11:19

doesn't it mean, though, that if you run it at break

1:11:21

even, and without

1:11:24

a lot of growth, by year five, you'll be

1:11:26

back to where you were. So you really have

1:11:28

to cover the taxes in years one through four.

1:11:30

That's right. If the business but if the business is

1:11:32

growing, you're always going to be in a hole. Right.

1:11:36

Right. So if your revenue is growing, and your OpEx

1:11:38

is growing, you're always going to be in a hole.

1:11:40

I think Jason mentioned it earlier. And I think it's

1:11:43

the key thing, which is what is R&D then? Yeah.

1:11:45

And maybe you just move things

1:11:47

to cogs and just be

1:11:49

done with it. I mean, remember, remember

1:11:51

businesses. And you guys know this, like

1:11:54

when you look at a public company's

1:11:56

financials, what you're seeing is their gap

1:11:58

financials, generally accepted accounting. principles. And

1:12:01

that's the way that you present the financials of

1:12:03

a business. That's different than the way you present

1:12:05

financials to the IRS. You don't

1:12:07

have a lot of discretion in your

1:12:09

tax financials. Your tax financials are actually

1:12:11

quite different than your gap financials.

1:12:14

Yes. So when you file your taxes,

1:12:16

there's a lot of rules on what you are allowed

1:12:18

to deduct and aren't allowed to deduct. It's quite different than

1:12:20

how you present your corporate financials to investors. And

1:12:23

that's really where people get screwed. You don't have that

1:12:25

sort of discretion that you do in kind of

1:12:28

sharing your financials with investors. This

1:12:31

is not financial or accounting advice. Get great

1:12:33

representation. I just hope Congress resolves this because

1:12:35

it's... Yes. Quite. Super important. All right. Sports

1:12:37

betting has gone mainstream, if you don't know.

1:12:40

Two out of three colleges have placed a

1:12:42

bet in the last year. Since

1:12:44

the Supreme Court stripped down the

1:12:46

Amateur Sports Protection Act, 38 states

1:12:48

have legalized sports betting. I think

1:12:50

that's a great thing, but we're starting to see some

1:12:53

weird behavior because of it. Tons

1:12:55

of sites like DraftKings, FanDuel, ESPN,

1:12:57

Bet, BetMGM, all of these have

1:12:59

broken out. But this week,

1:13:02

we started to see some weird behavior.

1:13:04

The NBA banned a 24-year-old player, John

1:13:07

T. Porter, for life

1:13:10

after a scandal. This one

1:13:12

is bizarre and interesting. Porter was

1:13:14

the bench player for the Toronto Raptors, averaging

1:13:16

about 14 minutes per game. It's important.

1:13:19

On these gambling apps, you can do all kinds

1:13:21

of prop bets. For those of you who don't know, prop

1:13:23

bets could be things like, Steph

1:13:26

is going to hit five threes

1:13:28

in a game, or LeBron's going to score

1:13:30

under 30 points. You're just betting on unique

1:13:32

things that could happen, and then you can

1:13:34

parlay them together. You can put multiple bets

1:13:36

together, and it automatically gives you a price,

1:13:38

and you can do really deep

1:13:42

wagers doing this. The

1:13:44

NBA found out that Porter was telling people

1:13:46

to bet his unders for points and rebounds

1:13:49

during certain games. During those games, he'd play

1:13:51

a few minutes, then check himself

1:13:53

out of the game with an illness,

1:13:55

quote-unquote. Technically, the bet would

1:13:57

still count since he played the game. everybody

1:14:00

who bet his unders would win. Normally

1:14:02

nobody would notice this, of course, because

1:14:04

he doesn't play that much. He's a bench player, but

1:14:06

draft Kings, because they have all the data,

1:14:10

tipped everyone off because

1:14:13

Porter was the biggest money maker on

1:14:15

March 20th. This led to

1:14:17

an NBA investigation. Draft Kings will give you a

1:14:19

leaderboard of the biggest bets. And they

1:14:22

saw that somebody placed an $80,000 bet that Porter

1:14:24

would hit the unders on a bunch of different

1:14:26

categories. Crazy outlier bet. Draft

1:14:28

Kings canceled the bet. The

1:14:30

NBA found that Porter separately placed dozens

1:14:33

of bets on NBA games, using his

1:14:35

friends accounts, winning a whopping $22,000.

1:14:40

And this idiot now is

1:14:42

banned from the NBA, allegedly,

1:14:44

allegedly, allegedly, but obviously the

1:14:47

NBA has the receipts with

1:14:49

Draft Kings. Tommas, you owned a

1:14:51

NBA team for a little while and

1:14:53

you watched as David Stern. For

1:14:56

a decade, you watched as David Stern, who was absolutely

1:14:59

opposed to gambling. And

1:15:02

then Adam Silver embraced it. Tell us

1:15:04

from your front row seat, your thoughts

1:15:06

on wagering in the NBA. Wagering

1:15:09

writ large. Okay.

1:15:11

Look, I

1:15:14

remember when I joined

1:15:18

the ownership group of the Warriors, I had

1:15:20

to file this enormous document. And

1:15:23

one of the things that they really dig into

1:15:25

is whether you've bet

1:15:27

before. And

1:15:30

they make it really, really clear that

1:15:33

it is completely not allowed

1:15:35

to bet. And the only way that you

1:15:37

can bet is if you're betting on non-basketball. And if

1:15:40

you were in Vegas and you go to a casino

1:15:42

and a troop sports book, that's the only

1:15:44

time it's tolerated. The thing

1:15:46

with all of these sites, FanDuel and

1:15:48

Draft Kings is they did deals with

1:15:50

the leagues, where part

1:15:52

of the feature is that when

1:15:55

there is really crazy asymmetric betting

1:15:57

on something that's obscure, they

1:15:59

reported to the leagues, so the leagues know how

1:16:01

to look at it. Because typically what happens is, if

1:16:04

you're talking like a very

1:16:07

well contested basketball, Jason, you

1:16:09

have a relatively balanced book, right?

1:16:12

And what the goal is, is to figure out

1:16:14

where are the sharps betting, meaning the really smart

1:16:16

money guys, and everybody else is a

1:16:18

square, and most of retail is a square, okay, they're

1:16:20

going to lose their money. And so

1:16:22

the goal is to always find out where the sharps are going. But

1:16:24

there are some of these bets, and in this case,

1:16:27

this is why they found out, when

1:16:29

you have something being bet that's very

1:16:31

obscure in size, these

1:16:34

apps immediately go back to the league and

1:16:36

say this just happened. So

1:16:38

compare that to Trimoth, what would happen

1:16:40

previously, before sports betting was legal in

1:16:42

the US. Before what would

1:16:44

happen is like, all of

1:16:46

these bookies would be able to have relationships with

1:16:48

some of these players. Sometimes they would

1:16:51

also have relationships with some of the

1:16:53

refs, and it has spilled over. So

1:16:55

the NBA has had to deal with an

1:16:57

example where one of the refs were, I

1:17:00

think he was betting on some Tim Donahue,

1:17:02

and then he was point shaving. So this

1:17:04

has been going on for a long time,

1:17:06

it moved into the realm of it

1:17:09

being automated with algorithms looking out.

1:17:12

The fact that this kid didn't have

1:17:15

anybody on his team that explained that

1:17:18

DraftKings and FanDuel are going to send this

1:17:20

data to the NBA is

1:17:22

inexcusable, because maybe the kid would not have done

1:17:25

it. Do you agree with

1:17:27

the lifetime ban? Or do you think they should be? Yeah, it

1:17:29

has to be lifetime. It has to be

1:17:31

for the NBA to have integrity. Yeah,

1:17:34

it's really, and

1:17:36

what do we think about this becoming

1:17:39

legal in the US and people? Well,

1:17:42

the other thing I'll say, and I mentioned this a few weeks ago,

1:17:46

everything is being gamified. You

1:17:48

have an entire population that seemingly in

1:17:50

America, consumer

1:17:53

spending still goes up, folks

1:17:55

are relatively still flush with cash. There's

1:17:57

lots of free cash flows. There

1:18:01

are new and more aggressive

1:18:03

forms of stimulus constantly coming down

1:18:05

the pike, whether it's

1:18:08

student loan forgiveness or something else, right? Governments are

1:18:10

inventing new and new ways of buying votes. That's

1:18:13

going to put more and more money in people's hands. That

1:18:16

means a larger and larger percentage of it will bleed

1:18:18

into these kinds of things. And it's not just sports

1:18:20

gambling. There was an article in the Wall Street Journal

1:18:23

about this woman who's a well-respected

1:18:25

lawyer who became totally addicted playing

1:18:28

like a bingo app, right,

1:18:30

and lost her entire life. So these

1:18:32

forms of gambling and addiction are just going

1:18:34

to skyrocket, I think, because you

1:18:37

have these apps that are really

1:18:39

incredibly well-engineered to

1:18:41

get you super hooked. And

1:18:43

then the adrenaline rush and the dopamine rush

1:18:46

of actually winning money is a thing that

1:18:48

for some people, they can't turn off

1:18:50

once they feel it for the person. We know some

1:18:52

of those people, and you know, it's hard for them

1:18:54

to control their sports betting, blackjack playing, other

1:18:56

things. They just, they get too into

1:18:59

it. They get too into it. They

1:19:01

get just, you know, but other societies,

1:19:04

other geos, Australia, New Zealand, and the UK, they've had

1:19:06

this for a while, so they figured out how to

1:19:08

deal with this. This is what I'm going to tell

1:19:10

you. The last thing I'll say on this is when

1:19:12

I was in high school, so in the early 90s

1:19:14

in Ontario and Canada, they introduced

1:19:16

sports betting as a way of generating revenue

1:19:19

for the government. What

1:19:21

I will tell you is that my entire

1:19:23

high school, all the boys, not the girls,

1:19:26

we became instant gambling addicts.

1:19:30

We were figuring out how to put bets on. Most

1:19:32

of it was betting in hockey, because that's the sport

1:19:34

that we all knew the best growing up in

1:19:37

Ottawa. But

1:19:39

it was all day, every day. It consumed

1:19:41

us. And I think when you look

1:19:44

inside of these apps, you're seeing a lot of young men

1:19:46

with a lot of free cash and a lot of time

1:19:48

getting sucked into the gamification of this thing. I

1:19:51

think it's going to be a big problem. I

1:19:53

will tell you, Sacks, I'm interested in your position

1:19:55

on this, because there is a whole system, an

1:19:57

ecosystem emerging here. The states are getting massive amounts

1:19:59

of revenue. revenue. $11 billion generated

1:20:01

last year, up 44.5% from

1:20:04

2022. The league is printing money

1:20:08

from this, all the leagues. The NBA will generate $167 million from

1:20:10

betting this season

1:20:13

up 11% year over year. The sports books, obviously

1:20:15

Killing the Draft King's got a $20 billion

1:20:18

market cap and betters obviously love it. It's

1:20:20

more fun, it's making the games more engaging

1:20:22

and the media is

1:20:26

loving this. All of the

1:20:28

podcasts, Bill Simmons, ESPN, you

1:20:30

can't watch a game, you can't hear

1:20:32

sports commentary without this being integrated. And

1:20:34

it's being integrated at a very fundamental

1:20:36

editorial level. They're asking the host of

1:20:39

the show their spend and

1:20:41

what they're betting on. And they're

1:20:43

doing something very smart, which is they're paying huge

1:20:45

endorsement deals to the players as well. Yes, I

1:20:47

think Draft King's did something with LeBron. This is

1:20:49

genius because when you get that ingratiated, you'll never

1:20:51

get ripped out. Because if they

1:20:54

become a huge part of the off

1:20:56

court revenue model for these players. We're

1:20:59

locked in. It's like the new, it's like the

1:21:01

new Eric Jordans. What do you

1:21:03

think about this just in terms of on a societal

1:21:05

basis, and the United States? You

1:21:08

know, it's sort of like cannabis, you know,

1:21:10

if this is a new thing for Americans

1:21:12

to have access to, there's a lot of

1:21:14

weird behaviors going on edge cases. But what do

1:21:17

you think net net has a society take

1:21:19

away from the emergence of sports betting, and

1:21:22

this next generation being so addicted to it?

1:21:25

Well, I think cannabis is the right analogy. I think

1:21:28

adults should be allowed to bet on

1:21:30

sporting events, or just like they're allowed

1:21:32

to drink or, you know,

1:21:35

smoke pot or engage in other mild vices. Some

1:21:38

people handle it responsibly and some don't. It's

1:21:40

probably on a societal basis, it's probably not

1:21:42

a great thing. But it's something you allow

1:21:44

to happen as

1:21:47

a personal freedom and hopefully people use

1:21:49

it responsibly. on

1:22:00

sports, but I love playing cards because it's

1:22:02

social. So, you do any sports betting now

1:22:04

and again? Maybe on the Super Bowl you get

1:22:07

once in a while you play a bet, a

1:22:09

wager? When I got admitted to the ownership group

1:22:11

of the NBA, I stopped and I probably made

1:22:14

three bets since then. All three

1:22:16

were like on the Super Bowl at

1:22:19

a casino, so it was legal when I

1:22:21

was still an owner and I've

1:22:23

not done it since. I've refused to download these

1:22:25

apps because I love

1:22:28

sports and I think that if I added

1:22:31

this to it, I just

1:22:33

don't think it would be good for me, so I don't want to do it. That

1:22:36

was my exact take too. Sacks, you ever play any

1:22:38

stats? You're not a wager on the stuff either, right?

1:22:41

I'm not a sports better. Yeah. You ever bet on chess? Is

1:22:44

there any game on that? No one bets on

1:22:46

chess because it's so obvious who's going to win.

1:22:48

There's a very precise rating system. Correct. So in

1:22:50

poker, poker is very

1:22:52

different because you can have players at

1:22:55

the same table and you know who are the

1:22:57

great players and who are not great players, but

1:22:59

still in any given hand the

1:23:01

underdog can win because you can basically

1:23:03

suck out or whatever. There's a significant

1:23:05

luck component on every single hand. Over

1:23:08

the long term, you believe that

1:23:10

the luck kind of evens out and you

1:23:12

reach your expected value, but on any given

1:23:14

hand, you can believe that you're the winner.

1:23:16

So there's a lot of gambling in

1:23:18

poker even though it is a skill game. In

1:23:21

chess, like that just doesn't work. I

1:23:23

mean, if I play Magnus

1:23:25

Carlsen or any 2000 rated

1:23:27

player, I'm just never going to win. So

1:23:29

yeah, there's no point in betting. Sacks, what's

1:23:31

your rating? 1400. I'm

1:23:35

a little better than that. I'm like, um, I'm

1:23:37

probably more like 1600. Last time

1:23:39

at 1400 I stopped playing him because he would just, I would

1:23:42

get to the middle game with Sacks. I get like 30 moves

1:23:44

in and then he would just smash me. I'm like 800 or

1:23:46

something. How do you get better at

1:23:48

chess? Freebird never rating. I don't

1:23:50

want to talk about it. He doesn't want to

1:23:52

talk. Freebird never rating. Are you still

1:23:54

upset about the octopus stuff? No.

1:23:58

Oh, okay. But what's your rating? Do

1:24:00

you have a question? It's

1:24:02

too personal a question. Do you do

1:24:04

you never share information where people can

1:24:06

actually like get to know you? Yeah

1:24:08

people dude, come on I'm

1:24:11

asking me other questions Just

1:24:13

don't have my reading don't ask me about

1:24:15

my chest reading. What

1:24:17

is the lowest way to get better? Should I get a

1:24:19

coach or something facts? What's the best? I'll

1:24:21

call map has very good lessons on it, too. It's

1:24:24

actually quite good. Yeah, you could get a

1:24:26

coach and that would definitely help There's also these exercise

1:24:29

you can do called puzzle rushes that teach

1:24:31

you how to spot tactics. Well, that's all

1:24:33

tactics Yeah, probably half the game. Yeah,

1:24:35

huh? Like you learn how to

1:24:37

do a night fork or something like that how to

1:24:39

do pins you see to spot tactics quickly is really

1:24:42

my Puzzle rush scores are pretty good Yeah

1:24:44

over a thousand No, no

1:24:46

you play it's like how many you can get

1:24:48

in a certain period of time I mean and

1:24:50

it gets it gets sequentially harder as you complete

1:24:52

the puzzles and you have like a limited period

1:24:54

to do it So yet you

1:24:57

feel shame you feel shame if you want

1:24:59

to get better. Yes I've watched a lot

1:25:01

of chess videos on YouTube and there's a

1:25:03

very good series by John

1:25:05

Bartholomew call climbing the ratings ladder.

1:25:07

Ah and For each

1:25:10

level of elo ratings. He has a series of

1:25:12

videos So like I don't know if you're like

1:25:14

at 1200 There's a whole series

1:25:16

for 1200 and he'll play

1:25:18

a bunch of games against 1200s

1:25:21

showing what they typically do wrong And

1:25:23

you can learn from it. It's actually Have

1:25:26

you spent time sacks like studying

1:25:29

like openings and like

1:25:31

studying Like specific lines. I

1:25:33

don't even know if I'm using the right language. You're like Opening

1:25:37

right? I haven't spent a ton

1:25:39

of time studying them, but I'm certainly familiar

1:25:41

with a number of the most common openings

1:25:45

So I guess yes, I guess on some level I

1:25:47

studied them I would say that depending

1:25:49

on where you are in your Development

1:25:52

that may not be the most pressing thing for you

1:25:54

to do You

1:25:57

know, I think you probably do want

1:25:59

to just know a few basics of

1:26:01

a few of the most common openings.

1:26:03

But there's probably other things

1:26:05

for you to learn first. You don't need to memorize a

1:26:07

bunch of complicated lines. I think it's

1:26:09

really cool that kids are learning this, I

1:26:11

know this may be a counter or a

1:26:14

contrarian view, but I think kids having access,

1:26:18

or young adults having access to sports betting

1:26:20

poker, it's kind of

1:26:22

a good thing because if controlled,

1:26:24

because they're learning about odds and

1:26:26

gambling and framing it, I, with

1:26:28

my 14 year old, are doing

1:26:31

an allowance, and then I

1:26:33

decided to do an investment club, and so I'm

1:26:35

putting $100 every month into

1:26:37

like a Robinhood account, and

1:26:39

we're gonna do like two meetings every month, one

1:26:41

to buy a new stock and one to examine

1:26:44

our existing stocks, and I'm just starting

1:26:46

an investment club. So if anybody's kids are in that age group

1:26:48

and they wanna join it, let me know, because

1:26:51

I'm gonna do like a, with a cousin's

1:26:53

like a Zoom call every month, where we just talk

1:26:55

about stocks, and then I'm

1:26:57

gonna have them actually buy it, so

1:27:00

that they can be prepared for the real world and how

1:27:02

companies are going, but how do you

1:27:04

think about your kids, Chamath, because you got to

1:27:06

do this gambling when you were young, didn't that

1:27:08

help you ultimately as an adult? I

1:27:10

mean, I ran a casino in my high school. Was

1:27:15

that the? Yeah, I mean, I

1:27:17

ran a little block check game, where the

1:27:19

rich kids could play and I was the

1:27:21

house, and I would make a few extra

1:27:23

hundred bucks a week. Nice. And

1:27:27

that was great, because like, you know, between that and

1:27:29

my job at Burger King, it really helped. And

1:27:33

then I would go and take that, and I actually came pretty decent

1:27:35

at block check, and I would go, there would be these, what's

1:27:38

called charity casinos, so casinos in Ottawa, Ontario

1:27:40

were illegal, but if they were

1:27:42

to raise charity for various

1:27:44

charities, they were allowed, and so my

1:27:46

friend and I would show up at these

1:27:48

things and just run them over. Anybody

1:27:51

else run an illegal business as a kid? I'll

1:27:53

tell you about mine. Sacks, you

1:27:55

run any illegal business as a kid? No comment.

1:27:58

Come on, it's statute of limitations. What did you

1:28:00

do? You must have been running some scams. Come on, tell us.

1:28:02

I'll tell you my two scams after you tell us yours. Well,

1:28:04

by the way, I'll tell you I had a bad debt situation

1:28:07

in my in my lunch game. You know,

1:28:09

I used it I used to let people bet up to

1:28:11

a buck. Okay, so four or five

1:28:13

guys up, you know, 25 cents, 50 cents

1:28:15

or a dollar and one guy He

1:28:17

like demanded an expanded credit line and that

1:28:20

gave him up to two bucks And

1:28:22

how many boxes of ziti did he go down and

1:28:24

one lunch? He lost 80 bucks and it took me

1:28:26

three months to get paid. It was the worst experience.

1:28:29

80 boxes of ziti? I had no 80 dollars. I

1:28:31

had no, I know I'm just doing a soprano. I

1:28:33

had to I had to sweat this guy for three

1:28:35

months To get my 80 dollars He

1:28:38

was rich too. His parents were rich. What

1:28:40

did he do? Did he have to do your term papers

1:28:42

or something? Did he have to do your essays? Clean your

1:28:44

bike? I wouldn't have gotten this money. Come on, Sacks. Give

1:28:46

it up What was your scam you were running? Let's move

1:28:48

on. I

1:28:51

had two scams. Freiburg, you have a scam when you were

1:28:53

running? When you were a kid? Any

1:28:56

scams? I used to go to the recycler

1:28:58

newspaper. Do you guys remember that? Yeah,

1:29:01

the recycler and I would buy used

1:29:03

like electronics equipment, computer equipment And

1:29:06

then I would like sell it So

1:29:08

I would then like post other ads I basically did

1:29:10

ad arbitrage as a way to think about it So

1:29:13

I would go and find people selling stuff that I

1:29:15

thought was like underpriced And then I would buy it

1:29:17

And there was nothing to fix you would just it

1:29:19

was under priced and then I knew like the

1:29:21

better market to go sell it I'd make more

1:29:23

money So then I'd buy like all these like

1:29:25

old like like a broken receiver Distiffment and a

1:29:27

receiver good speakers that I knew were good, but

1:29:29

they were like deeply discounted I'd drive around in

1:29:32

my white van. I'd pay people cash I'd load

1:29:34

it up and then I'd go sell it to

1:29:36

like other people by putting ads and No

1:29:39

wonder you wound up at google I

1:29:41

had I had two really good scams when I was a kid

1:29:44

The first was this guy owed my dad some

1:29:46

money for backgammon My dad was a backgammon shark

1:29:48

and he would play in his bar When

1:29:51

I would show up at six in the morning, my dad would be playing

1:29:53

blackjack with guys. They would get you know In

1:29:56

deep with him. And so this guy who

1:29:58

was in the mob. Oh my dad some

1:30:00

money and for the vig he gave him

1:30:02

a copy of The Empire Strikes Back on

1:30:04

VHS. And I

1:30:06

was like, what? This is

1:30:08

before it was out. They had recorded it in

1:30:11

the movie theaters in 1984 or something, whenever that

1:30:13

came out. And it was a

1:30:15

really bad copy. So my

1:30:17

dad comes home, he gives me the copy. We watch it, it

1:30:19

was incredible. He's like, thanks, Dad. And I

1:30:21

got my friend to bring over his VHS. I made 10

1:30:24

copies of it. I go to school in McKinley

1:30:26

Junior High School in Brooklyn and I sell them

1:30:28

for 30 bucks a pop. I

1:30:30

sell them like hotcakes. And

1:30:32

then I get pinched. Math

1:30:35

teacher says, what's going on with these Empire Strikes Back?

1:30:38

And I said, what do you mean? I don't know what you're

1:30:40

talking about. It's like, I heard you got Empire Strikes Back. He

1:30:43

gave me a mouth shut. I looked him dead

1:30:45

in the eye and I said, are you

1:30:47

interested? And

1:30:49

he goes, yeah, how much are we? I

1:30:51

said 30 bucks, but I'll give you one

1:30:53

for 10. And

1:30:55

he said, okay, pull that 10 bucks. I sold my

1:30:58

math teacher. I kid you're not the Empire Strikes Back

1:31:00

for 10 bucks. Can you do this whole thing again

1:31:02

but in the Christopher Walken voice? I'm not going to.

1:31:04

Well, give me the other one I did. No,

1:31:07

it's the Joe Pesci voice. Do this one in the Christopher

1:31:09

Walken voice. And so the name of it was Jason's Hot

1:31:11

Tapes. And so I made a business card

1:31:13

and laminated Jason's Hot Tapes and I would hand it to

1:31:15

people and I'd hand them the Jason's Hot Tape card.

1:31:18

And they'd say, give me my card back. But I would just show

1:31:20

them that I had a card. I was

1:31:22

also in the fake ID business. Oh,

1:31:24

say more. I granted out fake

1:31:27

IDs with a buddy of mine. All right, that

1:31:29

was mine. That was mine. Oh,

1:31:31

Zach, this is the fake ID business too. We

1:31:34

used Harvard graphics. Zach, what were you using? I was

1:31:36

using Harvard graphics. Well, this is

1:31:38

the day before holograms and it just

1:31:40

wasn't that hard to, you know, copy.

1:31:42

So we just made like boards or

1:31:44

whatever and Polaroids. So we did it

1:31:46

for ourselves and we did it for friends. Yeah, same. Here's

1:31:49

the thing about the fake ID business. The

1:31:51

bouncers were like, if

1:31:53

you've got money, show us any piece of

1:31:56

paper. They knew. We have plausible.

1:31:58

We have plausible deniability. One

1:32:00

of plausible deniability. Exactly. That was the, that's

1:32:02

the key to the rack. Did

1:32:05

you put McLovin in university Hawaii? Yeah.

1:32:09

Actually, well, it's kind of funny if sometimes

1:32:11

the bouncers would go, what's your name and

1:32:14

it'd be like, you'd be because you didn't

1:32:16

remember what he's on the ground, you know what

1:32:18

he's remember? Like,

1:32:20

I, my man, mine was like, oh, mine was like

1:32:22

Raj Patel. Mad

1:32:27

was Raj, Raj is a Patel.

1:32:30

Or they'd ask you, what was your birthday? And you don't

1:32:32

remember what's on your ID. Yeah. You don't

1:32:34

know what's on your ID. I don't remember.

1:32:36

I don't remember. How about the key? I

1:32:38

had one drink. Now the key

1:32:40

in the fake ID game is to use your,

1:32:43

your month and day. That's

1:32:45

yours. Yeah. And then change the year. Yeah.

1:32:47

That's the key. That's the key. All right.

1:32:49

So I'll give you the second one. Do

1:32:51

it in the principle of walk-in voice. So

1:32:54

my friend, his brother

1:32:57

had a DeLorean. He,

1:33:00

I can't do it. I can't sustain

1:33:02

it. Anyway, this kid, who

1:33:04

I grew up with, well, I shouldn't

1:33:06

say, anyways, they would beep

1:33:09

that out. He lived up on 13th Avenue. I

1:33:11

go to his house. His brother's got a DeLorean.

1:33:14

It was incredible. And we're in

1:33:16

junior high school and I'm talking to

1:33:18

his brother and I go into the garage

1:33:20

and there's all DeLorean parts on

1:33:22

the wall. And I said, why

1:33:25

do you have all these parts? And he

1:33:27

said, Oh, you know, uh, there was

1:33:29

a DeLorean that, um, you know,

1:33:31

fell apart and we picked up the pieces.

1:33:34

They had stolen another DeLorean cause DeLorean stopped producing and they

1:33:36

just chopped it up, but he had it in his

1:33:38

garage. So anyway, uh, we're playing chess

1:33:40

master at the time and I had hacked a copy of

1:33:42

chess master. It was very easy to do. And

1:33:45

the guy said, you got chess master. Can you get me more

1:33:47

copies of that? I said, sure. How many copies you want? He's

1:33:49

like, how many can you make? I was like,

1:33:51

well, floppy disc costs four bucks. He's

1:33:53

like, I'll give you 10 bucks to copy a chess master. I

1:33:55

said, fine. I go, my friend, we

1:33:58

go steal floppy discs. from

1:34:00

the store. So we don't want to pay them

1:34:02

four bucks for them. Not the three and a

1:34:04

halfs, the five and a quarters. These are five and a

1:34:07

quarters. And we go into the store and

1:34:09

we take the flyer and

1:34:11

I hold the flyer open and I hold it

1:34:13

behind my back and my friend takes the discs

1:34:15

out of the sleeve at Staples, whatever, jumps in

1:34:18

there. We made copies of it. And then we

1:34:20

were selling Chess Master for 10 bucks a pop

1:34:22

at scale and giving them to the guys on

1:34:24

13th Avenue who were then reselling them for 20

1:34:26

bucks. This is when Chess Master was like a

1:34:29

hundred dollar product. Shout out to Chess Master. That

1:34:31

was my second scam. This

1:34:33

is some degenerate. Yeah. And

1:34:36

that's not even the best one. I'll give you the

1:34:38

best one. This is the best and I'll give you the last scam we

1:34:40

ran. There

1:34:42

were parking permits in the late 80s in

1:34:45

Manhattan. They were hard to get, but

1:34:47

they were legit. If you had a parking permit

1:34:49

in your window for the fire

1:34:51

department police, yeah, you

1:34:54

could park in Manhattan in a lot of different areas.

1:34:57

And so we went and we took

1:34:59

a picture of these. Then we got

1:35:01

on PageMaker or whatever and

1:35:03

I went down to Canal Street and I

1:35:05

bought at Pearl Paints like the same color

1:35:08

orange and that lamination kit.

1:35:11

And we got on Photoshop, I kid you not, we held the

1:35:13

picture up and we tried to figure out the fonts they

1:35:15

used. And we made a copy of

1:35:18

the placards to park. And

1:35:21

then we sold those for like 50 bucks and people

1:35:23

used them and they wouldn't get tickets. They worked. So

1:35:26

we sold police placards that had to be

1:35:28

super illegal in 1988. All

1:35:30

right, everybody. Four, you're a

1:35:32

Sultan of science. The exception, David

1:35:34

Freiburg. Your chairman, Dick Kater, from

1:35:36

Off-5, Apatia. The Rain

1:35:39

Man, yeah. David Sacks, I am your

1:35:42

world's greatest moderator. J. Kyle, we'll

1:35:44

see you on episode 176 and

1:35:47

hopefully in September at the All-In

1:35:49

Summit. Bye-bye. Bye-bye.

1:35:52

I like your winner all. Rain

1:35:56

Man Belvis Sacks, We

1:36:01

open sourced hands and they just come and read.

1:36:03

Do you want me to ask you a question?

1:36:06

We do. We

1:36:12

are talking about a dog. Hey,

1:36:15

uh, dog, are you gonna go sit right with you? I'm

1:36:18

gonna get a hug. Oh,

1:36:20

man. You should

1:36:22

have asked me to meet you at one of your shows.

1:36:24

You should all just get a room and just have one

1:36:26

big huge order because they're all like sexual. You

1:36:29

should just meet the police somehow.

1:36:31

You're about to meet the rest

1:36:33

of your family. You're gonna

1:36:35

meet me at a feast. You're gonna meet

1:36:37

me at a feast.

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