Episode Transcript
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0:00
To Mark did you go down to the breakthrough thing? It's
0:02
we get. The. Breakthrough Prize is amazing. It's
0:04
like observing exotic animals and better natural habitat.
0:07
Or friend of mine who you hung out
0:09
with down there called me. Last
0:11
night. To give me the breakdown on
0:14
all the individuals he saw and what was going
0:16
on Or them. I mean he's like I don't
0:18
even know how not and I keep getting invited
0:20
to this but like to say we were outclassed
0:22
is an understatement for a clip of got pregnant
0:24
worker. what is your regular awards debris of Rise
0:27
Up? Yeah, I couldn't make it, I got invited
0:29
to she's Only variable. Okay, first of all, shudder
0:31
to your and Juliet It is incredible. There.
0:33
Were two moments where. I.
0:36
Cried. This. Woman: Goes.
0:39
Up on stage to give an award to
0:41
the people that had made this investment in
0:43
cystic fibrosis. Yeah. And she
0:45
says. My. Child is
0:47
born with cystic fibrosis, And.
0:49
Then my second child was born with
0:51
cystic fibrosis and then my second child
0:53
died. She said that I just burst
0:55
into tears. And then
0:58
you present a war to the person that
1:00
actually is helping them. Stamp. Out
1:02
the disease we celebrated the people that found the
1:04
gene that. Cause. Parkinson's and then
1:06
the at them. Indeed, The people at
1:08
that is pretty incredible. It's an ally,
1:10
right? they did in Los Angeles. Yeah,
1:12
me like look. Yuri Milner and Julia
1:14
Milner. Zoc.
1:17
And Priscilla Chan and and Widgets and
1:19
Sergei Brin. Those six people are the
1:21
ones that organizes Breakthrough Prize and I
1:23
think it's just. A.
1:26
Modern version of the Nobel. Which.
1:28
Tries to really. Shine. A
1:30
spotlight on people doing really groundbreaking work in.
1:33
Physics. And math and life sciences. And.
1:36
So you get people that have just.
1:39
Done. Things that are just very. Practical.
1:42
And are very real. And.
1:45
I think what they do is they make. Frankly,
1:47
these kinds of achievements. Much.
1:50
More. High level
1:53
in the sense that you're bringing together people
1:55
from Hollywood and people from Silicon Valley and
1:57
the awareness is up and it's just incredibly
1:59
well produced. than. Yeah,
2:01
it's really a cool thing to be a part of. But I
2:03
mean, seeing some of these
2:06
people are very intimidating. I sat beside
2:08
Vin Diesel. Oh,
2:11
really? That was super cool. He
2:13
is a super nice guy. And
2:16
on the other side of me was someone that
2:18
actually Sax knows Toby Emmerich, who's, uh, who's the
2:20
chairman of Warner Brothers. So just
2:22
talking to these guys was super cool. Moving
2:24
it to Los Angeles was a great move.
2:26
Great idea. Yeah, it's just I was invited.
2:28
I couldn't so sorry. Thank you to Julia
2:30
and Yuri for
2:32
inviting us again. But it's really
2:35
great that they're giving
2:37
it the celebration it deserves and
2:40
making it, you know, like, dare I
2:42
say, sexy and cool and hip to
2:45
be a scientist and solve the world's biggest
2:47
problems. I think it's just so awesome. And
2:49
you're right. Sergey Brin, Anwojecki, Sakha
2:54
Priscilla, and Julia and Yuri are
2:56
the founders of the Breakthrough
2:58
Five. The easiest thing is they give a
3:00
they give a youth Breakthrough Award. So the
3:02
Breakthrough Prize is this beautiful globe. And
3:04
then the junior winner gets like a
3:06
smaller version, very appropriate. And it
3:08
was a video of this kid in India
3:10
who had wanted a few years ago, and
3:13
then went off to MIT, and
3:15
then graduated. And then
3:18
the video is of him coming back to
3:20
Bangalore, because his sister had
3:22
won this year. And he
3:24
presented to the sister. And all I could
3:26
think of was, this is
3:28
an incredible achievement by like a 16
3:30
year old. And literally at the
3:33
same time, my 16 year old
3:35
was like, dad, the chicken tenders from
3:37
DoorDash. I
4:00
said give me the spicy. Fries not
4:02
the regular. Kids. Brides the
4:04
girl that one is that would free
4:06
bird did something with Yamanaka factors. Result.
4:10
It's like it's really incredible and inspiring. But.
4:13
Fortunately, Dory. My. My sixteen
4:15
year old was able to get the chicken tenders
4:17
and everything was forced to sell Can Can just
4:19
because. Rerouted it sucks
4:22
get guess it's answers
4:24
were treated as similar
4:26
as a. Bit better the
4:28
other the everything else is. The. Person
4:30
that performed is really amazing. Frawley Peace and
4:32
and the reason I say it as. If.
4:35
You google. Charlie.
4:37
Puce. This
4:39
guy. He's a young guy. In.
4:42
His early twenty's I'm guessing she is so talented.
4:44
There's all these videos of Trolley Peace where. He'll.
4:47
Make a random noise like killed clink a
4:49
coke bottle with a fork. And
4:51
then he'll recorded. And. Then he'll put
4:54
it into these digital editing tools. And
4:56
then he'll make like of entire five minutes
4:58
song using that as the base. Like.
5:01
As the basic. Building. Block. The
5:05
guy is so. Talented.
5:08
and was was very it was a very
5:10
cool then fantastic. How. You doing sachs
5:13
your body? Gets distorted.
5:17
Earnest folks were back to
5:19
the reality show. let's go
5:21
to their fuckers time. With
5:24
my guns, pants or thousand people soon
5:26
as the banter of a mentor bro,
5:29
how you doing free Berkeley, I lula
5:31
seen from the movie? Mouth.
5:35
Work strong! Start your the girls a
5:37
contribution. The. I got
5:39
to shrug from Freiburg, I gotta. Grind.
5:42
When I started from Saxon I'm talking about
5:44
my backrest with got. Anything good
5:46
on the menu tonight? Your mother just one uncommon
5:48
of poker ones you know there's an octopus. Ah,
5:52
To the Greek comes back. And. You
5:54
get the octopus on. Get the octopus. I'd say
5:56
that I miss you. Yeah he did. By the
5:58
way, Shot experimented with some. Green. Tea
6:01
that you grill that was pretty delicious.
6:03
Five billion back ability coloring. Are.
6:05
Editor. Who. Was a
6:07
plural Octopuses Octopi. Party.
6:10
Licensing creatures or something. Hulu.
6:12
Me or you know what is interesting? You bring
6:15
that up. I. Had a
6:17
grilled octopus stand. that one of our
6:19
events in somebody who. Is.
6:23
The. Are conscientious, Consumer.
6:25
Of calories. Lobby
6:27
me to take. The. Grilled
6:29
octopus off of the many. I
6:32
would say help. For. What What we
6:34
was. I. Got lobbied
6:36
very strong. Not only is it
6:38
deeply wrong. To. Eat every I'm
6:40
at that young people eat and you
6:43
will one day realize it. Or your
6:45
children. Are your children, children or realize
6:47
it. But octopus in particular have the
6:49
I Q afforded a year olds. they
6:52
can actually sign. They can communicate. They.
6:54
Can solve problems. Are you
6:56
can watch you tube videos on this? It's pretty
6:58
incredible. They're amazing creatures. It's also why in the
7:01
movie The Arrival. The. future
7:03
alien race is made out to be
7:05
cephalopods because they're the most. Advanced.
7:07
Creature that likely to become a civilized.
7:10
Form. As Humans in excess. Of one
7:12
word reaction to the. Young.
7:17
Anything. About
7:23
art are. At
7:26
the same like yours. like the spice up
7:28
with the fat content you know it or
7:30
kind of like that marveling that it's the
7:32
margins. The Murrah building, Omnibus, Zarganar. Oh yeah
7:34
by the way Thanks guys yeah I'm fine.
7:36
yeah I'm great. I'm feeling great your the
7:38
truth is he all the got the anyone?
7:40
could you been eating? Well. So
7:43
I just only things with above one hundred twenty. are
7:45
you off the would go be earth the somebody call
7:48
it no no you don't I did was I got
7:50
off the would go be so I could eat more
7:52
animals. And has been added Getting
7:54
Back On A Society. Also half a bottle
7:56
about how many apps? how is it on
7:58
that? I hate everybody. Generally.
8:00
I'm sorry, but in yoga. If
8:03
you eat. High I Q
8:05
Foods doesn't make you smarter? Absolutely
8:07
Absolutely. This is why the Greeks
8:09
invented so many things. We invited:
8:11
Bath, plumbing, cities, democracy, all the
8:13
great things The Greeks. Created.
8:16
Comes from the fact that we ate so
8:18
many high I Q creatures. Cracks are you
8:20
able to be vegetarian? Were able to find
8:22
good vegetarian or vegan options in Austin. Who
8:26
tried to make the I. Have
8:29
a huge ice the events through. I push it
8:31
on. hey. I'm. Like
8:33
wait a second day goes on, a seafood
8:35
died in Austin of his ass off or
8:37
the a that you're not over but. It's
8:40
not inaccurate. The barbecue he
8:43
in Austin is so spectacular.
8:45
Terry Blacks beef ribs. I.
8:48
Had with a friend of ours, Bad
8:50
Marriages Dynamite and then the Salt Lick
8:52
Brisket. Franklin's. Brisk and mean
8:55
it is just extraordinary shot at home. I
8:57
burped folks there and sorry for triggering every
8:59
animal that wasn't. Button. Down.
9:02
Shirt and on the Saturday and barbecue
9:04
sauce and. Sedona.
9:07
Broke out the rent was the bison. I'm sorry
9:09
I was way apologies the audience it took out
9:11
a tooth at. you know as far as I
9:13
feel worse it what does a bison referees and
9:15
because it tastes like Matt as it is it's
9:17
the beef. Ribs are very tender, the bisons got
9:19
a little more chew to it's that little more
9:22
tax for yeah he and his and and they
9:24
let this thing go. At the Salt
9:26
Lick. For. Like twelve hours
9:28
and they're just. Barbecue.
9:30
Sauce and it forever so little chewy, Until.
9:33
After got the tooth. But. Great
9:35
job Free bird on moderating. Episode was fantastic.
9:37
Yes, I was something on the bit. quite
9:40
literally. Sachs to talk about sums it up.
9:42
Shopping. On the bit to the point out that a shutter to
9:44
sooth. I have asked and I have
9:46
so much m I miss you guys!
9:48
I actually miss y'all Freiburg! So much
9:50
good stuff happening with the summit and
9:52
I. Am delighted that Johnny's doing
9:55
all this work. You're doing. all this work.
9:57
I can just sit back. And
9:59
enjoy. It so tell us is or an update
10:01
on the summit. There. You just clicking
10:04
your coupon. But. The
10:06
yeah we had within. Seventy
10:08
two hours. I think we had more
10:10
applications than we have seeds, but we're
10:12
still leading applications open and in the
10:15
next week will start to. Respond.
10:17
To people so. Basically. If
10:19
you're interested in going to Summit, Sign.
10:22
Up Now get your applications in the sweet
10:24
Apply early in his the key yeah cause
10:26
it's gonna be done in order of one
10:29
it's received. And they're going
10:31
to start processing applications this week. We'd
10:33
love to. Get. Everyone wants
10:35
to show up. shot and if you went in the
10:37
past. Your. Registration.
10:40
Window. Is wrapped up this week so. But.
10:43
The rest of us and I automatically get
10:45
in Alumni automatically are in a can tell
10:47
all about scholarship because I'm getting bombarded in
10:50
everybody who's and up and coming all in
10:52
fan or going on outside a couple weeks
10:54
so a plane yes he he will still
10:56
do scholarships because I think they were super
10:59
successful and helpful to people that otherwise couldn't
11:01
afford the ticket. I know it's expensive this
11:03
year but the reason was we actually spent
11:06
a lot more per person last year. Than.
11:08
People actually type of it is so it's less
11:11
intense, some it we're we're we're trying to get
11:13
the price to so that we can make make
11:15
the same break even. And. We're
11:17
gonna scholarship tickets with the balance. South.
11:20
To be a couple speakers come in. there's
11:22
to know about it yet. but I'm not.
11:24
Come on. just can we just tell the
11:27
two speakers who said yes, No yes I'm
11:29
not yet. Will doing an act made it
11:31
a big speaker and I think it's gonna
11:33
be awesome in a week in week. will
11:35
announce a bunch together message. but one thing
11:37
I don't want to wait on is today
11:39
socket because it is unbelievable. Welcome everybody to
11:41
Episode One Seventy Five. That's right,
11:43
Zappa. So one seventy five of
11:45
your favorite podcast and. The.
11:48
Largest and most listen to podcasts in the
11:50
world. Officially Episode One Seventy Five New Holland
11:52
Podcast starts right now. And. Asked.
11:55
the get some recently made about les mis of the
11:58
largest most listen to podcasts in the room I'm
12:00
manifesting. Oh, you're manifesting.
12:02
I'm manifesting. I'm off. Just
12:04
like, just like Fel Helm Youth is the
12:06
world's greatest poker player, and then we watch
12:08
Robo roll over him. Is that a new
12:10
word that narcissists use for lying? Manifesting?
12:13
No, it's just like the
12:15
world's greatest poker player, and then we see Fel
12:18
Helm Youth get dominated by
12:20
Jason Kuhn. Just so you know, tonight
12:22
is a murderer's row, and Helm Youth
12:24
is flying back. You saw the lineup.
12:26
I'm very excited to see what happens to that. Is
12:28
Jason Kuhn coming or no? Yeah.
12:31
I mean, Kuhn and Robl, and then the world's
12:34
greatest Helm Youth playing is so great to watch.
12:36
It's like a meta ego battle. It
12:39
is. And those, you know, it's interesting. Two of those three
12:41
guys are like the most humble guys you
12:43
would ever meet in
12:45
your life. Am I correct? In your life. Just,
12:48
you could not be more low key and self-effacing
12:50
than Robl and Kuhn for how good they are. If
12:54
you were honestly going to rank the three of them
12:56
in a high stakes cash game, could you just
12:58
handicap it for the audience? Because we are
13:00
in a lucky position, you and I, to
13:03
play with these three epic players in the
13:05
world. Break down
13:07
how they play in a home game, you know,
13:09
like ours. So
13:15
I would say the most dynamic
13:19
range would probably be Robl, because Robl
13:21
has the most experience playing super, super
13:23
high stakes cash. I
13:26
think Kuhn is the most precise
13:32
and like
13:35
true to GTO. Part
13:37
two exploit. I mean, Kuhn is impossible to
13:39
exploit. Impossible. No
13:41
mistakes. No mistakes. No
13:43
mistakes. Robl knows how to gamble in certain spots. Kuhn
13:46
knows how to be unexploitable. And
13:49
the third player is from obvious. And
13:51
the third person just loses his mind. And
13:55
instead of... Now
13:57
The thing with Talby says he's capable. Like
14:00
anyone I've ever seen a folding. In
14:02
spots that are and and she's correct By the way,
14:04
I've seen how me for. A King
14:06
and Spots had none of us would ever do
14:08
it. As scene unfold, Kings and spots that are
14:10
basically impossible. So how means is able to get
14:12
the soul read Some people. that I mean. Are.
14:16
Amazing. Yeah, but. Look
14:18
as the the. The. Higher
14:20
and higher the steaks get. The.
14:22
More and more I think Robot will be
14:25
comfortable and and coon will just go to
14:27
a playbook that he knows and trusts. I'm
14:31
I'm so excited to be back at the
14:33
game tonight. Or it. listen. The.
14:35
Docket is so great! This week we got a great
14:37
classic all and Doc and I want to start with
14:39
google. Firing. Twenty eight employees
14:42
who were involved in this protest at
14:44
their offices. We. Didn't think that this
14:46
would happen. You're having a discussion on the group chat.
14:49
On. Tuesday about a dozen employees engage
14:51
incidence of the company's offices in Sunnyvale,
14:53
a New York City. Protesting.
14:56
The. Conflict. In. The Middle
14:58
East between Israel and. Palestine.
15:01
And so they took over. Literally
15:04
to have the offices of the as
15:06
Ceo of Google Cloud and nine employees
15:08
were arrested after refusing to leave. The
15:10
protests was organized by a group called.
15:12
Know. Tech for Apartheid. And.
15:15
They posted a bunch eclipse. Of.
15:17
This sit in on acts. Those
15:19
twenty eight employees were. Fired.
15:22
On Wednesday after a quick investigation,
15:24
the Vp of Global Security. Was
15:27
pretty direct and candid am in.
15:29
This is based. He
15:31
took over office spaces, defaced our property,
15:33
and physically impeded the work of other
15:36
Googlers. Behavior like this has no place
15:38
in our workplace and will will not
15:40
tolerate it. If you're one of the
15:42
few who are tempted to think we're
15:45
going to overlook conduct that violates our
15:47
policies, think again. So. What
15:49
were the protests about? Google is are
15:51
involved in a project Nimbus a one
15:53
point two billion dark cloud contract with
15:55
Israel's government. Both. Google and Amazon or
15:57
involved in the project which was in as and twenty.
16:00
Twenty One Google has denied it was doing
16:02
work for the military. Saying.
16:04
It was working with department's like fine, it's
16:06
healthcare transportation. There's a lot of detail so
16:08
this, but let let's start with you free
16:10
broke since you were a Googlers and we've
16:12
been talking about the culture of Google putting
16:14
aside what the protests were about. How
16:17
do you feel about. Protests in
16:19
the workplace. We talked about it before
16:22
here with coin base and others. And.
16:24
Then. Is.
16:26
This. A distinct change in
16:28
tone that I'm hearing from Google that
16:30
they've had enough. Of Social
16:33
Activism at the Office. I'm
16:38
yeah, there's obviously a line crossing. An
16:40
old. The. View of
16:43
security but. I did.
16:46
You. Could look at a two ways. You.
16:49
Could look at us as being a culture
16:51
of entitlement. That led
16:53
folks feel that our employees that they
16:55
have permission. To
16:57
stage sit ins and behaviors. I
16:59
this because google is so. Infinitely
17:02
tolerant. Man and giving
17:04
employees. The space and the.
17:07
Room. To do whatever they want to do and
17:09
all of their wishes and demands can be met and
17:11
will be met. If they demanded
17:13
strongly enough. That's. One
17:16
way to look at this and that back. culture. Manifested.
17:19
This behavior. Another way to
17:21
look at it is that these people feel so
17:23
deeply, strongly and passionately about the issue at hand.
17:25
That. They were willing to risk their jobs. And
17:28
Arrest. And. They care so deeply about
17:30
an issue that they think know and pay enough
17:32
attention to that they're willing to put themselves in
17:34
sacrifice themselves for. So. I
17:36
want to be empathetic to that point of view.
17:39
As well. but I do think that there's.
17:43
A. Belief that there may have been this kind of.
17:46
Entitlement culture where any time Google employees
17:48
ask for stars, they get it. Someone
17:50
told me the other day. How
17:52
are T G I asked the google now what
17:54
they do these all hands and people get ask
17:56
questions. This person is kind of executive level. They're
17:58
so sick and tired. of how
18:01
every question is all about employees asking
18:03
for more things that they want. So
18:06
it's like, when are we gonna get this bonus? When
18:08
are we gonna get this, yeah, when are we gonna
18:10
get this, that so much of the orientation of being
18:12
an employee at Google is all about what Google can
18:14
do for me and how
18:16
I can get more. And that becomes
18:18
what you ask for. It's like you give a kid something, you
18:21
give them candy, they're always asked for candy. And
18:24
I think that there is certainly an element of that
18:26
culture kind of being frothed
18:29
up over the years at Google. But I do think
18:31
that this is an issue that people care very passionately
18:33
at right now and you're seeing it all over the
18:35
place. So certainly
18:37
not- In the same week we had the
18:40
Golden Gate Bridge get shut down, the
18:42
Bay Bridge gets shut down as well. Chamath,
18:44
your thoughts on these protests and then
18:46
obviously the entitlement issues that
18:48
Freeburg alludes to specifically at
18:50
Alphabet slash Google. They're
18:53
two separate things and I think it's
18:55
important to deal with them individually. Groups
18:59
of people in society in a democracy should
19:01
have a right to protest. That's
19:04
absolutely fundamental and I think
19:07
they can raise a lot of issues that could otherwise get
19:09
swept into the carpet. When
19:11
that stuff impedes the public functioning
19:13
of society for other people, then
19:16
I think there's a responsibility for
19:20
law enforcement and other people to act and
19:22
make sure that that is better
19:25
managed. So shutting down
19:27
an entire bridge is not
19:29
only disruptive, it can be really dangerous.
19:32
Of course, and it can hurt your cause because
19:34
then people dislike the cause because it hurt
19:37
them. Typically what happens is you're
19:39
supposed to file for a permit to protest and
19:41
when you get that, there are areas that are cordoned
19:44
off and then people are allowed to express their views.
19:46
That's a really healthy form of democracy. Going
19:48
rogue like this will only blow up in people's
19:50
faces because the folks that are somewhat
19:53
sympathetic will eventually get burned by this experience
19:55
and turn against them. So that's
19:57
one set of issues. I think that's just people
19:59
going. rogue and I think that you can't
20:01
be tolerant of that kind of chaos. There
20:03
should be organized protests but not
20:06
disorganized chaos. And law enforcement needs
20:08
to get a control of that. Inside
20:10
of a company, I think this is different. It's this
20:12
weird thing that I see, which is like what I
20:14
would call like left on left violence. It's like left-leaning
20:17
people creating all
20:19
of these distractions and demonstrations inside of
20:22
left-leaning organizations for not being left leaning
20:24
enough. And
20:26
so it's kind of like a little bit nutty
20:29
because I think it actually shows
20:31
how totally naive these employees are
20:34
and what basic business understanding they
20:36
have. The first and
20:38
foremost being that they are at will employees.
20:41
These are not people that are contracted players
20:43
in the NBA or are part
20:45
of a union, okay, where you
20:47
have guaranteed employment through some mechanism or
20:49
some arbitration process to even be let
20:51
go. The fact that you don't
20:54
even understand that you are at will means that you are
20:56
there because you want to be there. And Google allows you
20:58
to be there because they choose for you to be there.
21:00
And at any point, if either of you break a covenant,
21:02
you can be gone. That
21:05
kind of stuff, I think, is very distracting
21:07
and it just belies a poor understanding of
21:10
what you're there to do. Google is a
21:12
for-profit business and they are in
21:15
the business of generating maximum profit on
21:17
behalf of their shareholders. They are also
21:20
incentivized to do that in a way that achieves
21:22
a mission and a set of values that the
21:24
majority of their employees
21:26
agree with. And the
21:28
fact that a small cohort of people can
21:31
try to hijack and sabotage that overall
21:33
direction, I think, is very
21:35
misguided. Sacks,
21:39
I don't know if you have any opinions on this. I
21:41
didn't see anything in the docket. I'm not sure if you
21:43
have any strong feelings here. But your thoughts
21:45
on Google employees and the protests, putting
21:48
aside the nature
21:50
of the protests. This could be for
21:52
BLM. This could be for Trump's indictments.
21:54
You could be protesting any number of
21:57
things. But the protesting at work issue
21:59
and then Google's The civically which we
22:01
talked about. With. A Gemini your
22:03
shoes and. Your. Job this stuff
22:05
bleeding over into product getting free. Bird said
22:07
it really nicely. Hey
22:09
are or people. Actually focused on products
22:12
and cool anymore or is the
22:14
whole place? Just focus on
22:16
social issues that have nothing to
22:18
do with their waning apparently products
22:20
and. Why? He got no choice
22:22
but to fire these employees. They were
22:24
being disruptive and they were trespassing and
22:26
good was a business or on. So
22:28
this is what any business would do
22:30
and I don't think they deserve either
22:33
credit or blame. For. Taking
22:35
the actually tough. And. Sorts of
22:37
the protesters themselves. I
22:39
think that. In
22:41
the fullness of time we may come to
22:43
think of them. And a slightly different
22:46
light. And some of this reminds
22:48
me a little bit of of another
22:50
war, The Protesters, and another war. The.
22:52
Vietnam War. Where. They
22:54
were very disruptive. In some cases
22:56
they trespass. In some cases they got
22:59
arrested. They. Were easy to make fun of
23:01
in terms of what they look like they were serve
23:03
and. Camped on saving all the rest
23:05
of that suffer hippies. And
23:07
at the time people were I'd say
23:09
very dismissive of them or actually antagonistic.
23:11
There are seen as giving aid and
23:14
comfort the enemy and they were. Sort.
23:17
Of demonized. But. Now in the
23:19
fullness of time, we look back on that war
23:21
and realize that than a point of fact, maybe
23:23
they were right. In fact,
23:25
maybe their actions were justified.
23:28
And I think that's. How we view
23:30
these protests were google since Be does now I
23:32
think it's def be judged on the full time
23:35
based on. How. We perceive this war in
23:37
Gaza. And. I want to make
23:39
two points about why I think this
23:41
war will eventually be viewed as Israel's
23:43
Vietnam. The. First is that.
23:46
In. Gaza, Israel faces. A.
23:50
A guerrilla style. Force.
23:53
At. Their en o'clock Meyer. And if
23:55
you read the latest news that's coming out
23:57
of Gaza, While. You're here. That.
24:01
After Israel has supposedly cleared in
24:03
the area like Gaza City or
24:05
Khan Yunis, they then move south.
24:07
Hamas has pop back up again. This
24:10
whole idea that they can clear and area. Has
24:12
been proven False is like playing Whack A Mole.
24:15
They. Basically hit a mass in one area. I'm
24:17
asked. disappears down the tunnels, they come back in
24:19
a different area and this is why you're seeing
24:22
a lot of articles now in horror as switch
24:24
the Israeli newspaper saying the war in Gaza is
24:26
ready last. You. Had the Wall Street Journal.
24:28
Last. Week run an article. Saying.
24:31
That Israel is winning every
24:33
battle, but losing the war.
24:36
Which. Is the weekend shades
24:38
of Vietnam? Hear? And understand
24:40
the was You Journal is the most
24:43
pro israel of all the major mainstream
24:45
publications. I don't think the most you
24:47
girls ever written a truly critical. Article.
24:49
About Israel and they described as
24:51
Guatemala. Dynamic. You. Also
24:53
have the general. Dot. The I's
24:55
and cop whose as. A member of.
24:58
The. War cabinet is members of the sort
25:01
of war government. In Israel came
25:03
out and said that we can degrade Hamas
25:05
in Gaza but we cannot destroy it. And.
25:08
He said anyone who's telling you that we can story.
25:10
Hamas. Is tell you a tall tale
25:12
and that was I think, an appointed reference
25:14
to Netanyahu's claim that they would destroy. Hamas.
25:17
In Gaza. So. You've. Got seeds
25:19
of Vietnam In terms of a being this on
25:22
winnable war I think the second aspect. Of
25:24
of a similarity to Vietnam is
25:27
just the you summer civilian casualties.
25:29
You. Recall that in Vietnam the Vietcong try
25:32
to grab a spy the belt buckle. They
25:34
knew that America had superior firepower, so they
25:36
tried. To. Get in close. Use.
25:39
Ambushes, booby traps, snipers and
25:41
in response to that. The.
25:43
Americans used immense amounts of
25:45
firepower and bombing to try
25:47
and subdue the Vietnamese, and
25:49
three point, four million. Vietnamese.
25:52
Were killed in that war according to
25:54
our Robert Mcnamara. The.
25:56
second thing that happens the rules of engagement
25:58
in vietnam got extremely li You
26:00
took a bunch of scared American kids, many of
26:03
whom were conscripts, you dropped them in a jungle,
26:05
pretty much because they feared ambushes, they
26:07
shot anything that moved. And
26:10
then finally, I think, partly to justify this,
26:12
you had a
26:14
dehumanization of the Vietnamese that they
26:16
were seen as somehow kind of
26:19
subhuman. In any event, if you
26:21
watch movies about Vietnam, like Platoon, which was
26:23
made by Oliver Stone, who was a GI
26:25
in Vietnam, or if you watched
26:28
Stanley Kubrick's masterpiece Full Metal
26:30
Jacket, which was based on
26:32
books about Vietnam, you can see these dynamics
26:34
in play very vividly. Now,
26:36
turn to Gaza. All you
26:38
got to do is look at the miles and miles
26:41
of video to see. It
26:43
looks like a lunar surface. I mean, even
26:45
in the words of Joe Biden, there's been
26:47
indiscriminate bombing there. In terms of the rules
26:49
of engagement, the rules of engagement have gotten
26:51
very loose. A week or two ago,
26:53
you had the deaths of those seven aid workers from the international
26:57
kitchen organization. And
26:59
there's an article in Heretz recently about the kill zones
27:01
have been set up pretty much. If
27:04
you come within a certain invisible perimeter of Israeli
27:06
troops, you can be shot. I mean, those are
27:08
the rules of engagement. And this is why there
27:10
were three Israeli hostages who escaped,
27:13
and they were running towards Israeli troops and yelling
27:16
in Hebrew, and they still got shot. And again,
27:18
this goes back to the rules of engagement being
27:20
very loose. And then the final
27:22
piece of it is you do have this
27:24
dehumanization going on of the Palestinians. You
27:26
can see this in a lot of the videos that
27:28
have been posted by IDF soldiers. So look,
27:31
I think that these
27:33
protesters, their actions are going to be judged
27:35
in the fullness of time. I think
27:37
there are actually good reasons to
27:40
believe that Israel's war
27:42
in Gaza, its shades of Vietnam. And
27:44
I think that over the long term,
27:46
people may regard these protesters in a
27:49
different light. They're being
27:51
disruptive and annoying and
27:53
interfering. But if this
27:55
war ends up being Israel's Vietnam, which
27:57
I think it's on track to be. Again,
28:00
I think that people may in time give these protesters
28:02
a little bit more credit. Jay,
28:05
what do you think? Interesting
28:07
question, you know, putting aside what they're
28:09
protesting about, I think they knew
28:13
or some number of them knew they were going to
28:15
get fired. So I think they're kind of resigning by
28:17
sit-in. And I think, yeah,
28:20
there could be nobility to that. If you
28:22
do not want to participate in
28:24
supporting things in the world, you do not have
28:26
to work at Google and you can protest and
28:29
you can get fired. And we've
28:31
seen some pretty intense protests. I don't know
28:33
if you guys are aware of what Greenpeace
28:36
and other environmentalists did to stop whaling. I'm
28:38
sure you are aware, Friedberg, for your
28:40
passion on the subject. Those
28:42
people went to jail in Japan for
28:45
boarding Japanese whaling ships. Those
28:47
are really intense protesters. But
28:49
then to your point, Chamath, you
28:51
can really hurt your cause. Climate
28:55
activists have been throwing paint on works of art. I
28:57
don't know if you've seen that. And that's just infuriating.
29:00
Like, I have no tolerance for people
29:02
destroying works of art or attempting to
29:04
get attention. Here it is
29:06
benign to sit in an office and
29:09
get fired. So I just consider it resigning by
29:11
sit-in. If they want to do that, that's fine.
29:14
I do think there is something to Google enabling
29:16
all this, to your point, Friedberg, over
29:18
time. And listen,
29:20
they were parodied on
29:22
Silicon Valley, the TV show, because
29:24
of how coddled and entitled people are.
29:27
So there's a bunch of things going
29:29
on at the same time. And
29:31
if you want to do these intense protests, you have
29:34
the right to do them. And history
29:36
will judge you over time. But you need
29:38
to be able to pay the price. In
29:40
this case, the price is getting fired. In
29:43
the case of shutting down the Golden Gate Bridge, you
29:45
should get a fine for doing that, I believe. And
29:47
the fine should be based on whatever that costs to shut
29:49
that bridge down. And
29:51
that's got to be a serious fine. And
29:54
you're right, Chamath. If there's an
29:56
emergency situation, somebody's got to get to a hospital
29:58
or something. That's what I always... think about
30:00
when I see those things when you block streets
30:02
and stuff or you block airports or you block
30:05
these throughways, there's a lot of
30:07
just normal everyday people trying to live their life
30:09
who are probably very sympathetic to what
30:11
you stand for. But when you
30:13
disrupt their everyday lives and or threaten
30:15
their physical security,
30:18
they're not going to think that that's worth it. I'm
30:22
also shocked that these people actually came to
30:24
an office. I mean, these Googlers, I don't
30:26
think they've actually been to an office before.
30:28
They probably had to check that their badges
30:30
weren't. To Saksa's point, I actually would have
30:32
had more respect for these
30:34
people if they actually protested the
30:37
war. But they didn't do that.
30:39
They had a very discreet, specific claim,
30:41
which was that they wanted to dissolve
30:44
a business deal that Google had to
30:46
provide cloud services to the state of
30:48
Israel called Project Nimbus. And I
30:50
think that's such a discreet
30:52
thing that it's hard to understand
30:54
that those 28 people would have
30:56
even enough knowledge of what that is. But
30:58
it sounds like a cloud hosting
31:01
deal. Well, what's hosted there? And
31:03
it could be any number of things. And I
31:05
suspect if it's a billion dollar a year deal,
31:07
it's many things. It's probably like the Israeli DMV.
31:09
Is that really what you want? And
31:11
I think that it would have been much of
31:14
a more powerful thing
31:16
to do to protest the actual war if
31:18
that's what they cared about. You know, dovetails
31:20
nicely with the discussion you all had last week
31:22
about would you back a
31:25
not a defensive, but an offensive
31:27
weapons company, a technology company. And
31:30
it seemed like you all had
31:32
reservations on if you would not
31:34
back a defensive one, anybody, I think,
31:36
reasonably would back a defensive,
31:39
you know, dome or interception of bombs coming
31:41
in. That's an easy one. But
31:43
going around the horn here, how
31:45
many of us would back a
31:48
company making missiles or
31:50
bombs that blow people up or
31:53
mines? Would you back a
31:55
robot that had weapon systems on
31:57
it? I think if you want to summarize what we
31:59
said last week. week. It's like there
32:01
are all kinds of businesses where you'll end up investing
32:04
in it and over time as
32:06
it morphs, some
32:08
of us will be faced with some of those decisions and
32:11
it'll frankly depend on what is the
32:13
alternative in that moment. So
32:15
I don't think anybody of
32:18
us are going into go
32:20
and build a nuclear bomb but you should
32:22
not be naive that if you're building nuclear
32:24
reactors, you could
32:26
end up being in a situation where that
32:28
thing gets licensed into a thing that you
32:30
either agree or disagree with. So this
32:33
is my point is I think that those
32:35
kinds of answers or those kinds of questions
32:39
are missing the nuances and the nuances are
32:41
very important. So it's impossible to answer this
32:43
question in a thoughtful way I think would
32:45
be my honest answer. Okay, Sacks, any
32:48
closing thoughts here? Well,
32:51
I think Chamath brings up
32:53
an interesting point about why didn't the
32:56
protesters just focus on the war itself rather than
32:58
Google doing business with Israel. My
33:00
interpretation of that is they're trying to create a nexus to
33:03
themselves, meaning they're employees of
33:05
Google. They're trying to create a reason for
33:07
them to stage the sit-in at
33:10
Google. Otherwise, if they just
33:12
grab picket signs and were on the street, it
33:14
would just be much less newsworthy. So
33:16
I think they were just trying to create something newsworthy
33:18
here and it's kind of worked in the sense that
33:20
we're talking about it, other people are talking about it.
33:23
So that's my interpretation of that is they
33:26
were just trying to elevate the issue
33:28
in a slightly novel way.
33:31
But look, I think that they should
33:33
be willing to pay the price of getting fired
33:35
or getting arrested. I mean, if you're going to engage in
33:37
that kind of civil disobedience or
33:39
protest, you should be willing to accept the price.
33:42
And I did see some comments by
33:44
the Googlers who got fired saying that they thought
33:46
they're being treated unfairly by Google. I think that's
33:48
the wrong attitude. I think the
33:50
attitude is, hey, this cause is
33:53
so important to me that I'm willing to accept the
33:55
price of being fired, saying
33:57
that you don't deserve to be fired for disrupting
34:00
the workplace, that is kind of an entitled attitude.
34:03
So I think they should have just said, yeah, we did this
34:05
on purpose because it's a
34:07
really important cause. Yeah. They
34:09
should say I'm proud to get fired because that's how much I
34:11
believe in it. My stock options at Google
34:14
are less important than this issue to me. Yeah.
34:17
And I accept them. I think they would have gotten
34:19
just as much press if they actually protested the war.
34:22
I think in a week from now, everybody will
34:24
forget what Project Nimbus is. The odds that it
34:26
gets canceled are less than zero and
34:29
everybody will move on. And
34:31
it will not add to the drum beat,
34:33
as SAC said, of people that may be
34:36
eventually on the right side of this issue
34:38
theoretically. I say
34:40
theoretically because that stone is still
34:42
yet to be overturned on that topic. So
34:44
I think that they missed the mark. And
34:48
I think that the part of the press that people glommed
34:50
onto was it was happening inside of a company in
34:53
real time and there is video of it. That
34:56
mission accomplished for them. We're talking about it here as
34:58
the top story. And if
35:00
that was there, if they wanted to raise
35:02
awareness, they succeeded and they should just own
35:04
their firing because they knew they would get
35:06
fired, I think. All
35:09
right. There has been a ton of
35:11
chaos and the culture wars continue over
35:13
NPR. A couple of
35:15
things happened simultaneously this week that are worth
35:17
discussing. Catherine Marr was named NPR's new
35:19
CEO back in January. I'm going to have to give
35:21
a little bit of a timeline here before I get
35:24
comments from the boys because there's
35:26
a little setup. And
35:29
so she was named the CEO back
35:31
in January. She officially started in March.
35:33
Okay. She formally worked at
35:35
Wikimedia Foundation. Those are the people who run
35:37
the Wikipedia, obviously. NPR's mission,
35:39
if you don't know, is to create
35:42
a more informed public, one
35:44
challenged and invigorated by a deeper understanding
35:46
and appreciation of events, ideas, and culture.
35:48
That's their state admission from their website.
35:51
On April 9th, Uri Berliner, an editor
35:53
who's been with NPR for 25 years,
35:55
wrote an op-ed for Barry Weiss's Free
35:58
Press from the Department of Health. explaining
36:00
how NPR lost America's trust by
36:03
going hard left and becoming closed-minded.
36:05
He said, quote, an open-minded spirit no
36:08
longer exists within NPR and now predictably
36:10
we don't have an audience that reflects
36:12
America. Last Friday,
36:15
Marr put out a statement calling
36:17
his actions profoundly disrespectful, hurtful, and
36:19
demeaning. The Sunday, conservative activist
36:22
Christopher Rufo, he's the
36:24
person who exposed
36:27
former Harvard president's clotting
36:29
gaze, plagiarism, he's a vocal
36:31
critic of LGBTQ stuff at
36:34
schools, started reposting old tweets from Marr,
36:36
this new CEO. Her tweets
36:38
are super far left, Trump's a
36:40
racist, yada yada. There's an
36:42
interesting clip of her talking at TED,
36:45
talking about how truth is
36:47
a bit of a distraction that prevents people
36:49
from getting things done. People have gotten
36:52
pretty inflamed about that clip
36:54
and then on April 16th Berliner
36:58
was suspended for five days without pay.
37:00
Wrapping this all up, Berliner then resigned
37:02
after 25 years saying, quote, I cannot
37:05
work in a newsroom where I
37:07
am disparaged by a new CEO whose divisive
37:10
views confirm the very problems
37:12
that NPR cite in
37:14
my free press essay, Sacks
37:16
or Thots? I mean this
37:18
just seems like a dog bites man story.
37:20
I mean what is the novel revelation here?
37:23
The person running NPR is a liberal? I
37:27
mean I'm kind of with you but what took
37:29
25 years to resign? I mean all you have
37:31
to do is listen to NPR. It's always been
37:33
liberal. Okay? This is not some recent capture of
37:35
an institution by the left. So why is it
37:38
going so crazy viral right now? Why has this
37:40
become the topic of the moment? Well
37:43
apparently there are some quotes that this
37:46
new CEO Catherine Marr tweeted
37:49
or said that you can point to That
37:53
seem kind of woke and kind
37:55
of crazy woke, but they're just
37:57
actually pretty standard. I Just don't
37:59
see. The. Breaking News Your. If
38:01
they and of firing Catherine Mar, they're going to
38:03
hire someone to spiker. I mean they're not have
38:06
the same views. And. Pr is always been.
38:08
Left. Of Center. And. The only
38:11
change has happened is that the left
38:13
has now. Become. Woke.
38:15
The. And so it's become of Sicily.
38:17
Focus with the ideas of. White.
38:20
Supremacy and and will and. White.
38:22
Privilege. And she's simply suitably
38:24
reflects that. I agree. I was
38:26
singing Tempest in a teapot like
38:28
newsflash. Npr is woke and left
38:30
leaning. I mean, I.
38:32
Guess maybe that somebody who was there for
38:35
twenty five years wrote the expos. A is
38:37
interesting or. An announcement any boss on
38:39
this one and why it's. taking up
38:41
so much head space where people. I.
38:43
Don't think it is. I think it's taking a bloody had
38:45
space. Amongst breathless journalists and I'll
38:47
take it matters to the public at
38:50
large in on the Anybody Cares has
38:52
had one thing which is I do
38:54
think that the government should not be
38:56
funding this anymore. I think Npr at
38:58
this point is mostly funded by private
39:00
donations. Yeah, they got started with government
39:02
money and the government's dolphins it. And
39:04
given that it is this who left
39:07
institution at this point and and really
39:09
always has been recently, no reason for
39:11
the government to be funding one side
39:13
of the political debate that way. So
39:15
I think there. Is maybe an
39:17
issue there in terms of
39:19
reminding people? That. Hey, this is
39:21
like government funded Why? And there's no reason
39:24
why npr it be funded. With.
39:26
Either private donations or. Private.
39:28
Yeah percentages I just to give people some back
39:30
of your blog math. It. And
39:32
be ours, budget is like three hundred twenty
39:34
million dollar. Prefer American. And. They.
39:37
Get a bunch of programming fees and
39:39
some corporate sponsorship. Corporate sponsorship is like
39:41
one hundred million bucks. The program visas
39:43
what the local radio stations play them.
39:45
net net. This is costing like may
39:47
be. On our know study sense
39:50
in american hand if you just swap out and
39:52
this is the way I like to look at
39:54
these to be objective. If you were saying this
39:56
was funding Fox News or. I. Don't know
39:58
Ben Shapiro in Delhi? Why? How would you
40:00
feel about. It you black boys, the government funding that.
40:03
They. Should just cut Npr in all this public broadcasting
40:05
stuff loose over the next year or two. Winded
40:07
down. And. Let them
40:09
fend for themselves in the new media landscape.
40:11
Luggage a Calgary through, they could easily sub
40:13
socket Mps. I've always just. Christmas.
40:16
Gifts sense and you're far. Yeah.
40:18
I'm it's only like they're down to whatever
40:20
it's it's It's very hard to find the
40:22
numbers as a little like hiding of the
40:24
money here, but they're so little at stake
40:26
here. I think that's why it's so contentious.
40:28
Know what you're going to dobie funding one
40:30
sided a theological institutions on either side of
40:32
the political debate. And you're right, if this
40:34
was funding going to up. Daily. Wire
40:36
something like that. People would be up
40:38
in arms so. The event was
40:40
gonna be this good for the gander. The
40:43
next Tempest in a teapot. Issue.
40:45
Mains A I can getting barbecued by
40:47
our modern day What? Mossberg Marquez Brownlee
40:49
who is an awesome you tube or
40:52
I love his reviews. And.
40:54
Is quite a bit of our social media
40:56
Russia Taseer. Getting. A
40:58
lot of feals from people in Silicon Valley. Let's
41:00
is t disappear. Humane is a hardware store that
41:03
bad that you may have heard of. They make
41:05
an Ai powered wearable computer specially have any but
41:07
on your chest. To. Buffer size of
41:09
a pack of cigarettes. maybe half the size of
41:11
it, Cited. By to Apple exact
41:14
back and Twenty eighteen raised a
41:16
quarter of a billion dollars or
41:18
so. And. Damn. the device
41:20
is now in the. Hands of reviewers it's
41:22
pretty innovative and marked as talks about
41:24
how innovative it is in his review.
41:27
It. Will I'll let you talk to. it's got a camera
41:29
on it. Will. Show it here on
41:31
the screen If you're not subscribed to the youtube
41:34
channel, just go to Youtube right now uses. Claimed.
41:36
Video of it Search from fallen. And.
41:39
I'm the really interesting interface at does obviously
41:41
voice to connect you to an L am
41:43
on the back and so if you want
41:46
to know. That. You know
41:48
some piece of information. he can answer those
41:50
questions for you. But Marquez I showed it.
41:53
Just. Absolutely failing out a bunch of
41:55
tests. Being. Overpriced. And.
41:58
He called it the worst pro. product
42:00
he's ever reviewed. It's
42:03
very thoughtful and methodical, but the
42:06
title is obviously a bit link-fading.
42:08
As a co-founder of Engadget, I can tell you if
42:10
you want to get a lot of clicks to say something is
42:13
the best or the worst ever, and you can get 10 times
42:16
the views. The
42:19
pin, according to him, doesn't
42:22
do anything better than a smartphone. It's low.
42:24
It doesn't work. It's often
42:26
wrong. It's $700. The battery
42:28
sucks. So many different ways
42:30
to go with this. Everybody
42:32
is talking about it on X and
42:34
in the media. Where
42:37
do you stand on this one, Friedberg?
42:41
Both on how
42:43
people are responding to it in the
42:45
tech industry as being like anti-tech, anti-innovation
42:47
versus, hey, it's just a reviewer giving
42:50
his candid feedback on a product that's
42:52
clearly not ready for prime time. I
42:54
think there's a lot of issues. One
42:56
is just the challenge of deep
42:59
tech, more specifically
43:01
in this case, hardware investing. You have
43:04
to invest a lot of capital before
43:06
you even have your first product, and then you
43:09
don't really know how well it works until you've
43:11
already burned through a lot of capital. This
43:14
is one of the stunning stories of
43:16
a startup that has raised a quarter
43:18
billion dollars, and then they come out with their first
43:20
product, and it turns out it needs a lot of work because
43:23
it doesn't do anything that
43:25
consumers really are compelled by,
43:28
as evidenced by the review.
43:31
I think it highlights that challenge and
43:33
why that market finds,
43:36
particularly in this environment, it to be so
43:38
hard to get
43:40
capitalized. Now, obviously, there are some
43:42
entrepreneurs like Elon who can
43:44
take that capital and drive
43:47
to the outcome, spending hundreds
43:49
of millions of dollars before you get your first rocket
43:52
into space, and you have a lot of failings
43:54
along the way. But
43:56
the general tone here is tech
44:00
investment is very likely to fail
44:02
because you spend so much money before you've known at
44:04
that point you have less money and you can't really
44:06
make the necessary iteration to get there.
44:09
So it's a tough data point
44:11
for other deep tech companies that
44:14
need to raise a lot of capital. Then I
44:16
think it brings up the point about ex-Apple
44:19
people, that there's a degree of
44:21
confidence because people come from Apple and
44:23
a degree of hubris in the employees
44:25
that come from Apple that says,
44:28
I have worked at the best hardware company in the
44:30
world, therefore this person is likely to succeed. It turns
44:32
out that when you don't have
44:34
all that built-in infrastructure for testing and
44:36
optimization, all of that built-in distribution, all
44:39
of the feedback systems that Apple has engineered
44:41
into their business model for so long, maybe
44:43
you missed some of the data around what
44:45
makes a product great or not before you
44:47
launch. I think that's your key point,
44:50
Freeberg. That is the best point. If these folks come
44:52
from Apple, they're used to
44:54
unlimited resources, and
44:56
what you don't see is all the product
44:58
Apple doesn't release, right? They never release their
45:00
car, correct, Freeberg? I
45:03
think then there's also this question about where
45:05
is the value in the product because
45:07
they thought, hey, if we have AI
45:09
on a pen, it'll work without
45:12
the consumer feedback about whether
45:14
or not people are willing to sit around and wait
45:16
for 12 seconds to get an
45:18
answer to a question. And then it brings up
45:20
this other really important point, which is half
45:23
the people in Silicon Valley are running breathlessly
45:25
into the conversation saying, do not
45:27
disparage a startup that's working really hard at
45:29
getting their first product right. It'll destroy the
45:32
motivation of other startups that need to kind of
45:35
iterate to get there. And we
45:37
can't just take the first V1 and
45:39
say, that's it. Tramat, your thoughts? Your
45:41
laughing hysterical at this. No, the
45:43
other half of Silicon Valley are running in and saying,
45:45
this thing's a piece of shit. What are you talking
45:47
about? It doesn't work. So it is a really interesting
45:49
kind of, you know, debate.
45:51
Yeah. We're shocked. Test on what's going on. What
45:54
do you want? What do you want in block
45:57
of a product? Neither of
45:59
those two. I think that
46:01
incredibly motivated, dedicated
46:03
entrepreneurs don't even know
46:05
that this is happening and don't care. Got
46:08
it. In other words, the
46:10
reviewers are going to review products and
46:12
you just got to plow ahead and make a better product.
46:15
The idea that in 2009,
46:17
10 or 11, right, that
46:21
when all the rockets weren't working, you know, and
46:23
Elon was back against the wall, that
46:26
he was reading TechCrunch or getting
46:29
upset because a product failed, some other random product
46:31
that had nothing to do with his, I
46:34
think is laughable. I think no great entrepreneur
46:36
cares. I don't think Freiburg
46:38
is going to change what's happening at
46:40
O'Hollow based on, what is
46:43
this thing called? Humane. Right.
46:46
Freiburg, have you made decisions? Are you sadder
46:48
today in O'Hollow when you walked into the
46:50
office demanding your team? Okay, so there you
46:52
go. There's your answer. Not a big matter.
46:55
You're failing on this? I'm having a hard time
46:57
understanding all the controversies this week. I mean, reviewers
47:00
are going to review, protesters are going to protest,
47:02
and the NPR presidents are going to NPR. Here
47:04
we go. What's going on? Everyone's
47:07
just doing their job. Here's
47:11
an idea for the Humane team. Be thankful somebody
47:13
took the time to review your product
47:15
and give you candid feedback and incorporate it back
47:17
into your product and make it work. An
47:20
irreverent elitist who will eat octopus. Here
47:23
we are. Absolutely. High
47:25
IQ foods. We should create a new
47:27
category. High IQ foods? Yeah, what are the other
47:29
high IQ foods? Acorn-fed
47:32
beef. Yeah, for sure
47:34
high IQ. Pigs, very
47:36
high IQ. I saw that cow playing
47:38
chess before he was served for dinner.
47:42
I was having a pork sandwich from
47:44
Bucky's, and it helped me
47:46
solve Wurdle for the day before
47:49
I ate it. So I got Wurdle in
47:51
two tries. Oh,
47:53
I'm so sorry. I'm a lad.
47:56
I didn't want that one to land. Yeah,
48:00
I mean, okay, let me ask this question.
48:03
Do we think the world, let's say this thing
48:05
did respond in one second. Here's the
48:07
theme, Jason. Here's the theme, Jason. The
48:09
problem is that I think people right now,
48:12
the real Rorschach test is if you
48:14
are so easily distracted, you probably don't
48:16
have enough to do. Right,
48:19
that's the entitlement is that you don't have enough
48:21
work on your plate. I don't wanna
48:23
call it entitlement, but I think the reality is that
48:25
if you get caught up in
48:27
all these silly little fake
48:29
battles or decisions, I think
48:32
what it really means is that you're not busy
48:34
enough and or you're not working on something that
48:36
matters enough to you. Because when either of those
48:38
two things are true, people tend
48:41
to have blinders on and they are super focused.
48:43
And they just don't have an opinion, they don't
48:46
care. Like honestly, many of these topics today, I
48:48
really don't care. And it's not because I'm better
48:50
or worse or smarter or dumber, it's because I'm
48:52
so overworked right now, I don't have time to
48:54
have an opinion on this stuff. Your mom's got
48:57
a CEO job and now he's gotta work. And
48:59
I think that anybody else trying to do their
49:01
job well is probably in the same category. I
49:04
hadn't even heard of this reviewer. What's his name? Mark
49:07
Marquez? Brown? Marquez
49:10
Brownlee. I never heard of him. If you're
49:12
on YouTube, he's kinda like the new Walt Mossberg.
49:15
He does 20, 30 minute videos.
49:17
They get millions of views. Yeah.
49:19
He's cute. I don't know that he makes or breaks a
49:22
product though, by the way, he does not make or break
49:24
a product. The product makes or breaks itself. When
49:27
I was running companies, I wouldn't
49:29
care about what one reviewer said. I
49:31
would care about the totality of the
49:33
reaction to the product, which would include
49:36
customers as well as reviewers and so
49:38
forth. So I don't think there's
49:40
any point getting too bad out of shape about
49:42
one review. I think what's kinda happening in terms
49:44
of the reaction here is that
49:47
people wanna give this company
49:49
mercy points for being innovative.
49:52
So my guess is the product just isn't ready for prime
49:54
time but everyone wants to kinda like, they
49:57
want their reviewers to take it easy on them or
49:59
something because. They are being innovative and
50:01
they're breaking new ground in this area of
50:03
wearables, but the reality is in
50:05
the real world, where you
50:07
want to charge people for your product like customers
50:10
don't have mercy points. No, so
50:13
if it is the car breaks down, the car breaks
50:15
down and by the way, Marquez got a
50:17
little bit of heat just a month ago because he
50:19
reviewed the Fisker. The Fisker is just
50:21
a piece of garbage car. He said it's the worst
50:23
car he's ever reviewed and you
50:26
know what reviewers exist in the world. To
50:29
inform customers about what products and services they
50:31
should buy and then they should inform you
50:33
to make a better product period full stop.
50:36
There is an easy solution to this by the way, which Apple
50:39
did they released the vision pro as
50:42
a developer kit. They put a
50:44
bunch of caveats on it and said hey,
50:46
we understand this is high priced. It's a
50:48
developer kit. This is in beta.
50:50
What humane should have done is they should
50:52
have said this is the humane beta for
50:54
developers. I still don't know what it is.
50:56
What is this? Okay, it's a wearable. It's
50:58
a square. It has a
51:01
projector on it. You put your hand out. It
51:03
projects a little screen that shows you like
51:05
a computer screen and you can talk to
51:07
it. Well, the primary function is like a
51:10
chat assistant that sits on
51:12
you and has a camera. And
51:14
so you can say it's taping everything
51:17
that it sees. It doesn't do
51:19
that by default, but it could. But sorry, let
51:21
me just give the quick overview and basically you
51:23
ask it questions and it can go
51:25
get the answers. The problem is that it
51:27
has to go make a request to the Internet,
51:29
run an AI model and come back. So it
51:32
takes like 12 seconds to get results. Most
51:34
of the time, according to the reviewer, the
51:36
results are actually wrong because it's an L.
51:38
And models suck. The voice to text translation is
51:40
wrong. There's a lot of things that are wrong
51:42
about it. So it takes a long time. It's
51:44
clunky. And then the battery burns out every two
51:46
hours and it gets super hot because of the
51:48
way they get it to magnetically think your clothes.
51:51
So it gets very hot. So there's also
51:53
a $700 bucks. Other
51:55
than that, how is the play? It misses Lincoln.
51:58
And by the way, most importantly to you. off,
52:00
it will screw up your fabrics. If you wear this
52:02
with a Laura Piana sweater, I'm going to drag your
52:04
sweater down. Hold on, I was just thinking this. You
52:06
would never attach it to a $6,000 sweater. Yeah,
52:10
it's basically what you're telling me is
52:12
it's an overpriced device that could give
52:14
you first-degree burns, and
52:16
it will ruin your sweaters. It doesn't answer the
52:18
questions that you ask. Yeah, basically.
52:21
But then do I think the questions or do I have
52:23
to say it out loud so it looks like I'm talking
52:25
to myself? You look like a lunatic. Yes, you're walking around
52:27
like a crazy person talking to yourself. That was the other
52:30
thing he said is like when you're in a crowd and
52:32
there's a voice around, you can use your hand and hand
52:34
gestures to control it and do things
52:36
with the projector thing that it does. And it's a
52:38
major problem. It's some really cool, interesting features. It's just
52:40
like it's not quite there yet. Who invested in it?
52:43
Let's not make fun of it. Let's make fun
52:45
of the investors. Who invested? Sam
52:47
Baldwin. Shout out to Sam. He's coming out of the
52:49
program, I think. Yeah.
52:52
Listen, the concept I think
52:55
is good. Wearables are going to
52:57
provide some distinct value when they work because
52:59
you don't have to take your phone out. And
53:01
so the idea behind wearables, like
53:03
your watch, is you know, like there
53:05
are some things I do on my watch now where
53:07
I don't take my phone out. I have fun at the club. I'll
53:09
take the other side of this. Yeah, I'll take the other side. When
53:12
you're done. Yeah, I use Fitbit, a company we
53:14
invested in and it puts all my workouts on my watch.
53:16
When I'm doing weights, I started doing weights now. That's why
53:18
I look so buff, folks. Subscribe to
53:20
the YouTube channel to see. And I do
53:22
my sets and I log them all with my watch.
53:25
I don't have to take my phone out. That's like
53:27
the first thing. And then when I'm skiing, I can
53:29
see each one. I showed you slopes. I'm not an investor in.
53:32
Shmof, where I could see my speed and all
53:34
that stuff. But you're saying something totally different. That's
53:36
utility. Of course, you'll find a device
53:39
will give you utility. I thought you were saying
53:41
something else, which is everybody's going to have wearables.
53:43
And I want to take the exact
53:45
opposite side of that. Okay, go ahead. Yeah. I don't
53:47
know that everybody will have wearables, but I do find
53:49
a couple of little things that work for me. I
53:51
totally get that, you know, the use of an accelerometer
53:54
or whatever in a watch or in a band that
53:56
you wear on your wrist for a workout. And
53:58
I think that that's valuable. heart rate, a
54:01
glycemic monitor so that you get all of that stuff
54:03
makes super sense for you as an individual. But that's
54:06
not an experience where you're
54:08
engaging with it to replace some
54:12
other social interaction. That's
54:14
just you getting utility as you live your life.
54:17
What I'm saying is the idea that you
54:19
start to rely on a device as
54:21
your interface into the world, I
54:23
would take the exact other side of the bat which
54:26
is I think that humans are getting so sick
54:29
and tired of being, of
54:32
only communicating in these
54:34
very rigid ways. Like I'm telling
54:36
you, like if you look at our children's generation,
54:39
they don't know how to make eye contact, they don't know how to
54:41
talk, and I think it's going to come back and
54:43
bite them in the ass. And so I think
54:45
the pendulum is going to swing in the other direction where it's
54:47
like, okay, enough of this stuff. Let's
54:50
actually look each other in the eye and talk to each
54:52
other the way that humans were meant to be. And
54:54
I think that in that, devices
54:57
like a glucose monitor or a band has value,
54:59
but I don't think it's going to be this
55:01
interface where you're sign languaging it while you're at
55:03
Coachella. I think you're going to rip the devices
55:05
off and actually be at Coachella without
55:08
any devices. Did any of you guys read
55:10
Jonathan Hates' book, Anxious Generation? It
55:12
is unbelievably awesome. I'm not right yet.
55:14
Stop what you're doing and
55:17
just listen to the audio book on your
55:19
walks on Audible. This book is super important
55:21
and awesome. The Anxious Generation by Jonathan
55:23
Hates. I cannot tell you how important it is.
55:25
Sacks, any closing feelings here? You have a take?
55:28
Any hot take? Well, I would slightly
55:30
disagree with you guys about this
55:33
device. So first of all, I think that humans
55:35
are becoming more and more cybernetic. We're getting more
55:37
and more immersed with computing
55:39
power. And I agree, it creates this anxiety and
55:41
all these problems. But on the other hand, I
55:44
think it's an irreversible trend. So I
55:46
think that I would not bet against things
55:48
that make us more cybernetic. I think the
55:50
problem here is that this company is
55:52
trying to do two difficult things. The first thing
55:54
is it's trying to capture everything that's
55:57
happening in the world around you to feed it into
55:59
an AI model. model so it can make
56:01
you smarter. The other thing
56:03
it's trying to do is reduce your
56:05
dependence on your phone by creating this
56:07
new projection surface. And
56:10
in my experience, when you try to do
56:12
two hard things, you actually square the complexity
56:14
and you square the difficulty as opposed to
56:16
adding it. So I think of
56:18
these two things, the one that sounds interesting to
56:21
me is taking in all the information from the
56:23
physical world and putting in an AI model that
56:25
can be helpful to you. But
56:27
I see no reason to replace the phone. I
56:29
think it should just work with your phone. The
56:31
problem they're going to have is that that pendant
56:33
will compete with the Apple glasses and all
56:36
the other wearables that are
56:38
going to be created to suck in
56:40
all this information, this computer vision from
56:43
the world. Nonetheless, I do think
56:45
that is the opportunity. It's not replacing
56:47
the phone. It's layering a new
56:49
platform on top of the phone that can kind of, again,
56:51
give you that terminator
56:54
mode in the real world. And that was
56:56
a complaint about this device specifically. It was
56:58
detached from the phone. I understand why they
57:00
want to make it standalone, but... And
57:03
then this opens up all the privacy. Let me
57:05
ask the panel here, what do
57:07
you think about this concept of recording the
57:09
entire world, all these conversations and video with
57:11
these devices? I think it's a quick way
57:13
to get yourself punched in the face. I
57:15
mean, we saw that with Google Glass. People
57:18
showed up at bars in San Francisco and parties
57:20
with these Google Glass things on and
57:22
literally got punched in the face. Well, this is...
57:24
This is why... The privacy of things
57:26
recording your entire life with a pendant? Man, no,
57:28
thank you. This is why I said what I
57:30
said. I do think Saks is right that ultimately,
57:32
you'll have some kind of brain interface because
57:35
I do think a chip implant of some
57:37
kind is very valuable. But what
57:39
I'm also saying is that I think that that will
57:41
actually lessen the
57:44
social acceptability of
57:46
these visible devices that are constantly getting
57:48
in between you and another person. And
57:51
so the idea that we're kind of already
57:53
in a quasi-surveillance state and now we're going
57:55
to increase that by N-factorial
57:58
to the number of people. The
58:00
kids are very depressing. It. Is depressing
58:02
and either in Brooklyn Jonathan his book.
58:04
He talks about phone lockers for schools
58:06
and the transformative power they have had
58:08
when you go to school. There are
58:10
some schools now high schools where the
58:12
students put their phones in specific. Really?
58:14
Doctor? do it. They do it in
58:16
my kids. It's a it's actually Jason.
58:18
The special pouches pouches. Yeah, but those
58:20
are the largest comedians use like Chappelle.
58:22
He shows Chappelle use a cabin use
58:24
of them. Yeah, exactly. And they are
58:26
great. And then what?
58:29
what? The school now also teaches the kids at
58:31
least our school, which I found really interesting is.
58:34
The. Graduated form of that is the actually Now
58:36
allow you to put it in a. Envelope
58:38
because their training the kid like the pouch you
58:40
can't get access to the have to go back
58:42
and lox in a lot unlocked of I see
58:44
him and then I saw that my son last
58:47
week had it actually in a in a white
58:49
envelope and yet to close the envelope and just
58:51
keep it with him. As.
58:53
As like a way of graduating from the.
58:55
Prison. Form of. Cute. As
58:57
on a way to like you know having it in your
59:00
pocket. So the love that front of do a lot to
59:02
try to teaches kids are to be so dependent. they should
59:04
ban these devices the schools one hundred percent. And then at
59:06
the poker game tonight we should meet people stack their phones
59:08
in charge somebody a thousand dollars whoever takes the form. Funny
59:11
I landed that I could do it tonight. Greek.
59:13
Really give us a shout out to were
59:15
my favorite Psi Phi book series is called
59:18
Nexus by Ramos Nom as kind of like
59:20
Cyber Palm. Futuristic.
59:22
Series. But where he talks about is it it
59:24
where we have this brain. Computer.
59:26
Interface. you'll be on upload your memories.
59:29
And so you're you. Talk about this idea of.
59:31
Recording. Your whole life through upended while
59:34
you eventually. You. Be able to record your
59:36
whole life based on to sue your eyeballs. And.
59:39
You know you'd be able to upload
59:41
in Syria. First person view. Of
59:43
whatever conversation the you've been in the
59:45
you know and so. There's. A certain
59:48
that are you up this pretty far off, but
59:50
there is maybe a certain inevitability to that. And.
59:53
Dot Org have to figure out of your part
59:55
of research says there's a black mirror bestowed on
59:57
this exact idea of the up. Here. you
59:59
have to dvr your entire life. And
1:00:01
it is gnarly to think these things will exist. And
1:00:04
I think humanity is going to have to
1:00:06
make a decision, I think, to fight this or embrace it.
1:00:08
I think we should fight it. I think it's going to
1:00:10
ruin, like, social existence.
1:00:12
And it's already ruined poker games, etc. when
1:00:14
everybody's on their phone. It's ruined dinner parties
1:00:16
when everybody's on their phones. A
1:00:18
constant distraction is just horrific. And it's having a
1:00:20
horrible impact on this generation. I'll double down on
1:00:22
what you're saying. It is so lovely to be
1:00:25
able to have a dinner where everybody just talks
1:00:27
to each other and looks each other in the
1:00:29
eyes. And then when you have a handful of
1:00:31
people always on their phone, it's depressing.
1:00:35
It's actually not even neutral. It's
1:00:37
a net negative and a drag on the entire
1:00:39
night. Absolutely. I
1:00:42
am trying to come up with ways to
1:00:44
remove these devices from the social settings.
1:00:46
I mean, I've been to a couple of parties with high profile
1:00:48
people where they have everybody check their phones
1:00:50
at the LA and the door. I gotta say those
1:00:52
are the best nights of my life. Those
1:00:55
are the best nights. And, you know, no offense to people
1:00:57
who are addicted to their phones. I am to a certain
1:00:59
extent. I put my social media at one
1:01:01
hour on my phone. My lord, it
1:01:03
is hard to do less than an
1:01:06
hour of social media in our job positions. I
1:01:09
deleted TikTok about a month ago. It's
1:01:13
been liberating. I was a slave to
1:01:15
that app. I couldn't believe how
1:01:18
much TikTok I was consuming after
1:01:20
it was gone because I couldn't find anything
1:01:22
to replace it. And then I stumbled
1:01:24
into the fact that YouTube has YouTube shorts and
1:01:27
there is a lot of that content, but it's
1:01:29
terrible and the algorithm is really bad. And
1:01:32
so fortunately I just stopped using YouTube.
1:01:35
It just shows you how the algorithm is
1:01:37
such a key component of that TikTok experience
1:01:39
because I had the same experience. Shorts
1:01:43
serves up garbage. Instagram
1:01:45
serves up garbage. And then TikTok
1:01:48
is just like right into your brain. It
1:01:50
kicks ass. It kicks ass. By the way, I want to
1:01:52
give another shout out to a book. I miss TikTok. TikTok,
1:01:54
I miss you. Yeah, whatever. It's just going
1:01:57
away. Another incredible book. I think
1:01:59
we should. The speaker for
1:02:01
All in Summit Bad therapy. Why
1:02:03
the kids aren't growing up? Abigail
1:02:06
Schreier. This book is
1:02:08
incredible and if you read these two but
1:02:10
every parent. Read. These two bucks
1:02:12
and we need have a conversation on it as
1:02:14
parents year. Everybody reads two bucks.
1:02:17
Beast. These are my two top choices for the
1:02:19
all. in some it's. I think it's like
1:02:21
they're gonna be the the topic of our time.
1:02:24
Wireless. Keep going down this incredible docket. Very
1:02:26
important issue for us to talk about. Silicon.
1:02:29
Valley Startup seven a bit of that
1:02:31
are indeed tax problem that's putting on
1:02:33
the docket. You're free bird. Said.
1:02:35
Bit inside baseball but very important topic.
1:02:38
Let's say company like Acme Cooperation generate a
1:02:40
million bucks revenue and they spend a million
1:02:42
bucks on their software developers. Last you a
1:02:44
said add. An hour five developers can
1:02:47
pay two hundred grand each. While tradition as
1:02:49
company would paid nothing in income tax right
1:02:51
to spend a million. they deduct that million
1:02:53
from the million dollars in revenue that came
1:02:55
in. And. Everything's.
1:02:57
Good, but. Due. To The
1:02:59
Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of
1:03:01
Twenty Seven Team. Starting.
1:03:03
Last year a provision kicked in forcing companies
1:03:05
to advertise the are the expense. Over five
1:03:07
years. So. In this. Hypothetical.
1:03:10
Situation: The Acme Corporation. With
1:03:12
amortize two hundred a year. And. Pay
1:03:15
income tax on the hundred came profits. This
1:03:18
is brutal, offers offer start votes,
1:03:20
profit circled Sarcos profits corridor and
1:03:22
this is absolutely Brutal. And.
1:03:25
A lot of companies took a wait and see
1:03:27
approach is hoping Congress or fix the issue. In January
1:03:30
a bipartisan tax bill. That. Would vs
1:03:32
changes pass in the house? But. The
1:03:34
bill has stalled in the senate. And we gotta
1:03:36
get this thing sex because is gonna sink a lot of start
1:03:38
ups. Maybe. People will start putting
1:03:40
their companies and other countries. But.
1:03:43
I it's attached to this child tax credit
1:03:45
which republicans don't wanna pass. Sir. No
1:03:48
reversal has happened. Freiburg, you highlighted this for
1:03:50
us. Very important topic. Thank you for doing
1:03:52
so. As. Our
1:03:54
our. Great. Contributor:
1:03:57
Hear what are your thoughts on? This became
1:03:59
law. in the 2017 Jobs
1:04:02
Act as you highlighted. And
1:04:05
basically it means that companies, not
1:04:07
just like tech companies, but life
1:04:09
sciences companies, defense companies are
1:04:12
pushing Congress to change this law because
1:04:15
you can't actually deduct the
1:04:17
expenses that you use to run your
1:04:19
business. You have to only
1:04:21
deduct them over five years, 20% a year. So
1:04:24
like you pointed out, if you're making a million dollars but
1:04:26
you're spending a million dollars, you made no profit. But
1:04:29
you got to pay taxes if you made 800 grand in
1:04:31
profit. And a lot of these small
1:04:33
companies don't have that cash. So
1:04:35
venture capital backed companies and public companies
1:04:37
that are profitable, they can afford to
1:04:39
do this because they have large balance sheets. So it doesn't
1:04:41
affect them as much as it does. The
1:04:44
literally hundreds of thousands of
1:04:46
small businesses that work in the life sciences
1:04:49
sector, the defense sector, the tech sector, that
1:04:51
are struggling this year to make
1:04:53
the tax payments that are required under
1:04:56
this law that went into effect last
1:04:58
year. And Congress promised that they were gonna
1:05:00
repeal this law leading up
1:05:03
to April 15th, which happens obviously a
1:05:05
few days ago and make it retroactive to
1:05:07
2023, but they didn't. But
1:05:09
they know basic math, Congress knows basic
1:05:11
math. How do they, what do they
1:05:14
think they're close to? Yeah,
1:05:16
so the original intent was that this was
1:05:18
one of the ways, you guys know whenever
1:05:20
you pass a bill, it gets run through
1:05:22
the OMB and the CDF that
1:05:25
figures out what's the budgetary cost of the bill. And
1:05:28
one of the ways that they made this work, this
1:05:30
bill, the 2017 Trump Tax and Jobs Act, you guys
1:05:32
may remember in that bill, they also
1:05:34
made it impossible to deduct entertainment and dining expenses
1:05:36
when you take people out to dinner anymore. That
1:05:38
sucks. And they did all those things to make
1:05:40
up some of the money they were using
1:05:43
for basic general tax breaks for companies. So
1:05:45
they used this as a way to say
1:05:47
like, look, in a couple of years, we're
1:05:49
gonna kick in this R&D expenditure thing, and
1:05:51
it'll trigger a lot more revenue for the
1:05:53
federal government. It'll create a lot more taxes
1:05:56
and a lot more revenue. So
1:05:58
that was the idea. And everyone was like, yeah, okay. sure, we'll
1:06:00
do that. Great. It makes the accounting work. And then in
1:06:02
a couple years, you know, nudge, nudge, wink, wink, we're going
1:06:04
to come back and repeal it. Except
1:06:06
Congress has stalled out. There's this
1:06:08
ineptitude, where anytime someone tries to pass
1:06:11
a bill in Congress, someone
1:06:13
else says, I want to get money. And
1:06:15
so the Democrats showed up and said, we want this
1:06:17
child tax credit thing to show up, which
1:06:20
basically was
1:06:22
passed during COVID. And they
1:06:24
want to extend it going forward. And the child
1:06:26
tax credit says that you can get a check
1:06:28
for 1800 a year in 2023, 1900, in 2024, and $2,000 in 2025, for having for each child
1:06:30
you have. And the
1:06:37
Republicans in the Senate are saying, wait a second,
1:06:39
for people to get this thing, we want to make sure
1:06:41
they're working, we want to make sure it's not as retroactive.
1:06:44
So now there's this big debate about how big the child
1:06:46
tax credit should be. And that's
1:06:48
keeping this R&D thing from
1:06:50
going through. And meanwhile, I've gotten tons of
1:06:52
emails from CEOs of tech companies that
1:06:55
are breaking even either not tech companies that are
1:06:57
making a ton of profit, they're not public, they're
1:06:59
not venture backed. They're just people running
1:07:01
running their, their business. And
1:07:03
now they're going to have this huge tax bill, even though they
1:07:05
didn't make any money this year. And
1:07:07
it's crippling businesses around the country.
1:07:09
And what do they do? They're
1:07:12
going to write a check, they're going to borrow money, they're going
1:07:14
to go to the bank, borrow money, or they're going to incur
1:07:16
penalties at the IRS, because they don't have the cash to
1:07:18
pay the tax bill, because they don't have any profit, they didn't
1:07:20
make any money. If they just ran the
1:07:22
business break even, which a lot of these companies do is
1:07:24
just make a little bit of money or break even. And
1:07:26
then they've got this huge tax bill and profits they
1:07:28
didn't actually have, they got to go figure
1:07:31
out how to write a check. And also, how do
1:07:33
you define R&D? I was talking to an accountant, he's
1:07:35
like, Yeah, I don't know if that's R&D. I'm like,
1:07:37
you don't know it's R&D. Like, okay, so if
1:07:39
I make some piece of software, yeah, yeah, there's all
1:07:42
this writing in the, if you get audited by the
1:07:44
IRS, they have the ability to
1:07:46
basically capture everything. So like, let's say you're
1:07:48
a mobile app developer, and you
1:07:50
make a million dollars a year, but you spend
1:07:52
a million dollars a year on your developers, okay,
1:07:55
they're gonna count that they have the ability to count that
1:07:57
as an R&D. So that the accountants the tax accountants
1:08:00
tell you book it all as R&D
1:08:02
because otherwise you could get audited and actually get in trouble.
1:08:04
Because anything that involves the development of
1:08:07
technology now is considered R&D. Again,
1:08:09
a company working in life sciences as a
1:08:11
research company doing lab work can
1:08:13
get it fixes is a bug fix
1:08:16
R&D. If I make a new feature
1:08:18
in an application this year, does it
1:08:20
have to be amortized over five years or
1:08:22
I put a new filter on my photo?
1:08:24
My understanding is most most of this stuff
1:08:26
is getting captured. And that's why it's hurting
1:08:29
everything from defense to life sciences, to lab
1:08:31
equipment to startups, and software
1:08:33
to everything. And
1:08:35
Congress can't get out of its own way where this this
1:08:38
bill passed, by the way, bipartisan in
1:08:40
the house, then it went to the Senate. And
1:08:42
now it's getting taken apart in the Senate. Now it's stalled out
1:08:45
and everyone's freaking out that it's stalled out past April 15. And
1:08:47
it's actually going to
1:08:49
hurt a lot of small businesses in this country. And
1:08:51
here's the other problem is it actually
1:08:53
limits our ability to invest in innovation in
1:08:56
this country. Because now you're better
1:08:58
off, there's no other country in the world
1:09:00
that does this. Every other country in the
1:09:02
world tries to incentivize investment in innovation. And
1:09:05
here in the US, we're basically saying
1:09:07
no, we're going to tax you for
1:09:09
investing in technology development and innovation. And
1:09:11
the other thing that's, that's actually not
1:09:13
being talked about is even in
1:09:16
this bill where they're repealing this, they're
1:09:18
leaving in the fact that
1:09:21
if you invest in R&D outside the US,
1:09:23
you have to amortize it over 15 years.
1:09:26
So let's say that you're a US developer
1:09:28
and you hire people offshore. Yeah, you
1:09:31
got to basically amortize the offshore stuff over
1:09:33
15 years, which means you'll never
1:09:35
make a profit, you're always gonna have to pay
1:09:37
tax. I mean, how we're trying to kill innovation
1:09:39
in this country. And the two things they got
1:09:41
to solve is this one. And then M&A, we got
1:09:45
to have a better solution
1:09:47
for allowing companies to be bought and sold
1:09:50
in this or merge in this country. These
1:09:53
two things are putting a lot of
1:09:55
headwinds on the startup ecosystem
1:09:57
and on the venture and the
1:09:59
risk taking capital. ecosystems. If you're in
1:10:03
Washington, D.C., or involved in our government,
1:10:06
please solve these two issues. You got to figure out a
1:10:08
way to allow companies to be bought and sold. You got
1:10:10
to figure out a way to fix
1:10:14
this tax issue or else we're going to kill a
1:10:16
lot of startups. And these are the companies that
1:10:19
pay a lot of taxes. And these are
1:10:21
the capital gains that fund a lot of
1:10:23
states treasuries. Well, it's also an illustration of
1:10:25
just how hungry we are for tax revenue
1:10:28
in this country. It's
1:10:30
only going to grow. And I'm not sitting here complaining
1:10:32
about taxes. The Trump tax cut that he put in
1:10:34
place in 2017 added $1.5 trillion to the federal deficit.
1:10:37
So tax cuts in general
1:10:41
are not great when you're spending a lot, but
1:10:44
it does highlight just how much we are spending
1:10:46
at the federal level and the demand for tax
1:10:48
revenue. And that demand causes this
1:10:50
countercyclical problem, which is now we're going
1:10:52
to eat into innovation, which is supposed
1:10:54
to drive get us out of the
1:10:56
problem, the spiral that results from this debt.
1:10:59
So it really highlights like just
1:11:01
the challenges that are going to emerge, particularly
1:11:03
in a decade ahead, because we have all
1:11:05
of the spending that's coming in front of
1:11:07
us over the next decade, and how we're
1:11:09
going to start to demand more and more
1:11:11
tax and all these weird ways that can
1:11:13
really hurt industry. Unintended consequences are very real.
1:11:17
Chamappi, we're gonna say something? Well,
1:11:19
doesn't it mean, though, that if you run it at break
1:11:21
even, and without
1:11:24
a lot of growth, by year five, you'll be
1:11:26
back to where you were. So you really have
1:11:28
to cover the taxes in years one through four.
1:11:30
That's right. If the business but if the business is
1:11:32
growing, you're always going to be in a hole. Right.
1:11:36
Right. So if your revenue is growing, and your OpEx
1:11:38
is growing, you're always going to be in a hole.
1:11:40
I think Jason mentioned it earlier. And I think it's
1:11:43
the key thing, which is what is R&D then? Yeah.
1:11:45
And maybe you just move things
1:11:47
to cogs and just be
1:11:49
done with it. I mean, remember, remember
1:11:51
businesses. And you guys know this, like
1:11:54
when you look at a public company's
1:11:56
financials, what you're seeing is their gap
1:11:58
financials, generally accepted accounting. principles. And
1:12:01
that's the way that you present the financials of
1:12:03
a business. That's different than the way you present
1:12:05
financials to the IRS. You don't
1:12:07
have a lot of discretion in your
1:12:09
tax financials. Your tax financials are actually
1:12:11
quite different than your gap financials.
1:12:14
Yes. So when you file your taxes,
1:12:16
there's a lot of rules on what you are allowed
1:12:18
to deduct and aren't allowed to deduct. It's quite different than
1:12:20
how you present your corporate financials to investors. And
1:12:23
that's really where people get screwed. You don't have that
1:12:25
sort of discretion that you do in kind of
1:12:28
sharing your financials with investors. This
1:12:31
is not financial or accounting advice. Get great
1:12:33
representation. I just hope Congress resolves this because
1:12:35
it's... Yes. Quite. Super important. All right. Sports
1:12:37
betting has gone mainstream, if you don't know.
1:12:40
Two out of three colleges have placed a
1:12:42
bet in the last year. Since
1:12:44
the Supreme Court stripped down the
1:12:46
Amateur Sports Protection Act, 38 states
1:12:48
have legalized sports betting. I think
1:12:50
that's a great thing, but we're starting to see some
1:12:53
weird behavior because of it. Tons
1:12:55
of sites like DraftKings, FanDuel, ESPN,
1:12:57
Bet, BetMGM, all of these have
1:12:59
broken out. But this week,
1:13:02
we started to see some weird behavior.
1:13:04
The NBA banned a 24-year-old player, John
1:13:07
T. Porter, for life
1:13:10
after a scandal. This one
1:13:12
is bizarre and interesting. Porter was
1:13:14
the bench player for the Toronto Raptors, averaging
1:13:16
about 14 minutes per game. It's important.
1:13:19
On these gambling apps, you can do all kinds
1:13:21
of prop bets. For those of you who don't know, prop
1:13:23
bets could be things like, Steph
1:13:26
is going to hit five threes
1:13:28
in a game, or LeBron's going to score
1:13:30
under 30 points. You're just betting on unique
1:13:32
things that could happen, and then you can
1:13:34
parlay them together. You can put multiple bets
1:13:36
together, and it automatically gives you a price,
1:13:38
and you can do really deep
1:13:42
wagers doing this. The
1:13:44
NBA found out that Porter was telling people
1:13:46
to bet his unders for points and rebounds
1:13:49
during certain games. During those games, he'd play
1:13:51
a few minutes, then check himself
1:13:53
out of the game with an illness,
1:13:55
quote-unquote. Technically, the bet would
1:13:57
still count since he played the game. everybody
1:14:00
who bet his unders would win. Normally
1:14:02
nobody would notice this, of course, because
1:14:04
he doesn't play that much. He's a bench player, but
1:14:06
draft Kings, because they have all the data,
1:14:10
tipped everyone off because
1:14:13
Porter was the biggest money maker on
1:14:15
March 20th. This led to
1:14:17
an NBA investigation. Draft Kings will give you a
1:14:19
leaderboard of the biggest bets. And they
1:14:22
saw that somebody placed an $80,000 bet that Porter
1:14:24
would hit the unders on a bunch of different
1:14:26
categories. Crazy outlier bet. Draft
1:14:28
Kings canceled the bet. The
1:14:30
NBA found that Porter separately placed dozens
1:14:33
of bets on NBA games, using his
1:14:35
friends accounts, winning a whopping $22,000.
1:14:40
And this idiot now is
1:14:42
banned from the NBA, allegedly,
1:14:44
allegedly, allegedly, but obviously the
1:14:47
NBA has the receipts with
1:14:49
Draft Kings. Tommas, you owned a
1:14:51
NBA team for a little while and
1:14:53
you watched as David Stern. For
1:14:56
a decade, you watched as David Stern, who was absolutely
1:14:59
opposed to gambling. And
1:15:02
then Adam Silver embraced it. Tell us
1:15:04
from your front row seat, your thoughts
1:15:06
on wagering in the NBA. Wagering
1:15:09
writ large. Okay.
1:15:11
Look, I
1:15:14
remember when I joined
1:15:18
the ownership group of the Warriors, I had
1:15:20
to file this enormous document. And
1:15:23
one of the things that they really dig into
1:15:25
is whether you've bet
1:15:27
before. And
1:15:30
they make it really, really clear that
1:15:33
it is completely not allowed
1:15:35
to bet. And the only way that you
1:15:37
can bet is if you're betting on non-basketball. And if
1:15:40
you were in Vegas and you go to a casino
1:15:42
and a troop sports book, that's the only
1:15:44
time it's tolerated. The thing
1:15:46
with all of these sites, FanDuel and
1:15:48
Draft Kings is they did deals with
1:15:50
the leagues, where part
1:15:52
of the feature is that when
1:15:55
there is really crazy asymmetric betting
1:15:57
on something that's obscure, they
1:15:59
reported to the leagues, so the leagues know how
1:16:01
to look at it. Because typically what happens is, if
1:16:04
you're talking like a very
1:16:07
well contested basketball, Jason, you
1:16:09
have a relatively balanced book, right?
1:16:12
And what the goal is, is to figure out
1:16:14
where are the sharps betting, meaning the really smart
1:16:16
money guys, and everybody else is a
1:16:18
square, and most of retail is a square, okay, they're
1:16:20
going to lose their money. And so
1:16:22
the goal is to always find out where the sharps are going. But
1:16:24
there are some of these bets, and in this case,
1:16:27
this is why they found out, when
1:16:29
you have something being bet that's very
1:16:31
obscure in size, these
1:16:34
apps immediately go back to the league and
1:16:36
say this just happened. So
1:16:38
compare that to Trimoth, what would happen
1:16:40
previously, before sports betting was legal in
1:16:42
the US. Before what would
1:16:44
happen is like, all of
1:16:46
these bookies would be able to have relationships with
1:16:48
some of these players. Sometimes they would
1:16:51
also have relationships with some of the
1:16:53
refs, and it has spilled over. So
1:16:55
the NBA has had to deal with an
1:16:57
example where one of the refs were, I
1:17:00
think he was betting on some Tim Donahue,
1:17:02
and then he was point shaving. So this
1:17:04
has been going on for a long time,
1:17:06
it moved into the realm of it
1:17:09
being automated with algorithms looking out.
1:17:12
The fact that this kid didn't have
1:17:15
anybody on his team that explained that
1:17:18
DraftKings and FanDuel are going to send this
1:17:20
data to the NBA is
1:17:22
inexcusable, because maybe the kid would not have done
1:17:25
it. Do you agree with
1:17:27
the lifetime ban? Or do you think they should be? Yeah, it
1:17:29
has to be lifetime. It has to be
1:17:31
for the NBA to have integrity. Yeah,
1:17:34
it's really, and
1:17:36
what do we think about this becoming
1:17:39
legal in the US and people? Well,
1:17:42
the other thing I'll say, and I mentioned this a few weeks ago,
1:17:46
everything is being gamified. You
1:17:48
have an entire population that seemingly in
1:17:50
America, consumer
1:17:53
spending still goes up, folks
1:17:55
are relatively still flush with cash. There's
1:17:57
lots of free cash flows. There
1:18:01
are new and more aggressive
1:18:03
forms of stimulus constantly coming down
1:18:05
the pike, whether it's
1:18:08
student loan forgiveness or something else, right? Governments are
1:18:10
inventing new and new ways of buying votes. That's
1:18:13
going to put more and more money in people's hands. That
1:18:16
means a larger and larger percentage of it will bleed
1:18:18
into these kinds of things. And it's not just sports
1:18:20
gambling. There was an article in the Wall Street Journal
1:18:23
about this woman who's a well-respected
1:18:25
lawyer who became totally addicted playing
1:18:28
like a bingo app, right,
1:18:30
and lost her entire life. So these
1:18:32
forms of gambling and addiction are just going
1:18:34
to skyrocket, I think, because you
1:18:37
have these apps that are really
1:18:39
incredibly well-engineered to
1:18:41
get you super hooked. And
1:18:43
then the adrenaline rush and the dopamine rush
1:18:46
of actually winning money is a thing that
1:18:48
for some people, they can't turn off
1:18:50
once they feel it for the person. We know some
1:18:52
of those people, and you know, it's hard for them
1:18:54
to control their sports betting, blackjack playing, other
1:18:56
things. They just, they get too into
1:18:59
it. They get too into it. They
1:19:01
get just, you know, but other societies,
1:19:04
other geos, Australia, New Zealand, and the UK, they've had
1:19:06
this for a while, so they figured out how to
1:19:08
deal with this. This is what I'm going to tell
1:19:10
you. The last thing I'll say on this is when
1:19:12
I was in high school, so in the early 90s
1:19:14
in Ontario and Canada, they introduced
1:19:16
sports betting as a way of generating revenue
1:19:19
for the government. What
1:19:21
I will tell you is that my entire
1:19:23
high school, all the boys, not the girls,
1:19:26
we became instant gambling addicts.
1:19:30
We were figuring out how to put bets on. Most
1:19:32
of it was betting in hockey, because that's the sport
1:19:34
that we all knew the best growing up in
1:19:37
Ottawa. But
1:19:39
it was all day, every day. It consumed
1:19:41
us. And I think when you look
1:19:44
inside of these apps, you're seeing a lot of young men
1:19:46
with a lot of free cash and a lot of time
1:19:48
getting sucked into the gamification of this thing. I
1:19:51
think it's going to be a big problem. I
1:19:53
will tell you, Sacks, I'm interested in your position
1:19:55
on this, because there is a whole system, an
1:19:57
ecosystem emerging here. The states are getting massive amounts
1:19:59
of revenue. revenue. $11 billion generated
1:20:01
last year, up 44.5% from
1:20:04
2022. The league is printing money
1:20:08
from this, all the leagues. The NBA will generate $167 million from
1:20:10
betting this season
1:20:13
up 11% year over year. The sports books, obviously
1:20:15
Killing the Draft King's got a $20 billion
1:20:18
market cap and betters obviously love it. It's
1:20:20
more fun, it's making the games more engaging
1:20:22
and the media is
1:20:26
loving this. All of the
1:20:28
podcasts, Bill Simmons, ESPN, you
1:20:30
can't watch a game, you can't hear
1:20:32
sports commentary without this being integrated. And
1:20:34
it's being integrated at a very fundamental
1:20:36
editorial level. They're asking the host of
1:20:39
the show their spend and
1:20:41
what they're betting on. And they're
1:20:43
doing something very smart, which is they're paying huge
1:20:45
endorsement deals to the players as well. Yes, I
1:20:47
think Draft King's did something with LeBron. This is
1:20:49
genius because when you get that ingratiated, you'll never
1:20:51
get ripped out. Because if they
1:20:54
become a huge part of the off
1:20:56
court revenue model for these players. We're
1:20:59
locked in. It's like the new, it's like the
1:21:01
new Eric Jordans. What do you
1:21:03
think about this just in terms of on a societal
1:21:05
basis, and the United States? You
1:21:08
know, it's sort of like cannabis, you know,
1:21:10
if this is a new thing for Americans
1:21:12
to have access to, there's a lot of
1:21:14
weird behaviors going on edge cases. But what do
1:21:17
you think net net has a society take
1:21:19
away from the emergence of sports betting, and
1:21:22
this next generation being so addicted to it?
1:21:25
Well, I think cannabis is the right analogy. I think
1:21:28
adults should be allowed to bet on
1:21:30
sporting events, or just like they're allowed
1:21:32
to drink or, you know,
1:21:35
smoke pot or engage in other mild vices. Some
1:21:38
people handle it responsibly and some don't. It's
1:21:40
probably on a societal basis, it's probably not
1:21:42
a great thing. But it's something you allow
1:21:44
to happen as
1:21:47
a personal freedom and hopefully people use
1:21:49
it responsibly. on
1:22:00
sports, but I love playing cards because it's
1:22:02
social. So, you do any sports betting now
1:22:04
and again? Maybe on the Super Bowl you get
1:22:07
once in a while you play a bet, a
1:22:09
wager? When I got admitted to the ownership group
1:22:11
of the NBA, I stopped and I probably made
1:22:14
three bets since then. All three
1:22:16
were like on the Super Bowl at
1:22:19
a casino, so it was legal when I
1:22:21
was still an owner and I've
1:22:23
not done it since. I've refused to download these
1:22:25
apps because I love
1:22:28
sports and I think that if I added
1:22:31
this to it, I just
1:22:33
don't think it would be good for me, so I don't want to do it. That
1:22:36
was my exact take too. Sacks, you ever play any
1:22:38
stats? You're not a wager on the stuff either, right?
1:22:41
I'm not a sports better. Yeah. You ever bet on chess? Is
1:22:44
there any game on that? No one bets on
1:22:46
chess because it's so obvious who's going to win.
1:22:48
There's a very precise rating system. Correct. So in
1:22:50
poker, poker is very
1:22:52
different because you can have players at
1:22:55
the same table and you know who are the
1:22:57
great players and who are not great players, but
1:22:59
still in any given hand the
1:23:01
underdog can win because you can basically
1:23:03
suck out or whatever. There's a significant
1:23:05
luck component on every single hand. Over
1:23:08
the long term, you believe that
1:23:10
the luck kind of evens out and you
1:23:12
reach your expected value, but on any given
1:23:14
hand, you can believe that you're the winner.
1:23:16
So there's a lot of gambling in
1:23:18
poker even though it is a skill game. In
1:23:21
chess, like that just doesn't work. I
1:23:23
mean, if I play Magnus
1:23:25
Carlsen or any 2000 rated
1:23:27
player, I'm just never going to win. So
1:23:29
yeah, there's no point in betting. Sacks, what's
1:23:31
your rating? 1400. I'm
1:23:35
a little better than that. I'm like, um, I'm
1:23:37
probably more like 1600. Last time
1:23:39
at 1400 I stopped playing him because he would just, I would
1:23:42
get to the middle game with Sacks. I get like 30 moves
1:23:44
in and then he would just smash me. I'm like 800 or
1:23:46
something. How do you get better at
1:23:48
chess? Freebird never rating. I don't
1:23:50
want to talk about it. He doesn't want to
1:23:52
talk. Freebird never rating. Are you still
1:23:54
upset about the octopus stuff? No.
1:23:58
Oh, okay. But what's your rating? Do
1:24:00
you have a question? It's
1:24:02
too personal a question. Do you do
1:24:04
you never share information where people can
1:24:06
actually like get to know you? Yeah
1:24:08
people dude, come on I'm
1:24:11
asking me other questions Just
1:24:13
don't have my reading don't ask me about
1:24:15
my chest reading. What
1:24:17
is the lowest way to get better? Should I get a
1:24:19
coach or something facts? What's the best? I'll
1:24:21
call map has very good lessons on it, too. It's
1:24:24
actually quite good. Yeah, you could get a
1:24:26
coach and that would definitely help There's also these exercise
1:24:29
you can do called puzzle rushes that teach
1:24:31
you how to spot tactics. Well, that's all
1:24:33
tactics Yeah, probably half the game. Yeah,
1:24:35
huh? Like you learn how to
1:24:37
do a night fork or something like that how to
1:24:39
do pins you see to spot tactics quickly is really
1:24:42
my Puzzle rush scores are pretty good Yeah
1:24:44
over a thousand No, no
1:24:46
you play it's like how many you can get
1:24:48
in a certain period of time I mean and
1:24:50
it gets it gets sequentially harder as you complete
1:24:52
the puzzles and you have like a limited period
1:24:54
to do it So yet you
1:24:57
feel shame you feel shame if you want
1:24:59
to get better. Yes I've watched a lot
1:25:01
of chess videos on YouTube and there's a
1:25:03
very good series by John
1:25:05
Bartholomew call climbing the ratings ladder.
1:25:07
Ah and For each
1:25:10
level of elo ratings. He has a series of
1:25:12
videos So like I don't know if you're like
1:25:14
at 1200 There's a whole series
1:25:16
for 1200 and he'll play
1:25:18
a bunch of games against 1200s
1:25:21
showing what they typically do wrong And
1:25:23
you can learn from it. It's actually Have
1:25:26
you spent time sacks like studying
1:25:29
like openings and like
1:25:31
studying Like specific lines. I
1:25:33
don't even know if I'm using the right language. You're like Opening
1:25:37
right? I haven't spent a ton
1:25:39
of time studying them, but I'm certainly familiar
1:25:41
with a number of the most common openings
1:25:45
So I guess yes, I guess on some level I
1:25:47
studied them I would say that depending
1:25:49
on where you are in your Development
1:25:52
that may not be the most pressing thing for you
1:25:54
to do You
1:25:57
know, I think you probably do want
1:25:59
to just know a few basics of
1:26:01
a few of the most common openings.
1:26:03
But there's probably other things
1:26:05
for you to learn first. You don't need to memorize a
1:26:07
bunch of complicated lines. I think it's
1:26:09
really cool that kids are learning this, I
1:26:11
know this may be a counter or a
1:26:14
contrarian view, but I think kids having access,
1:26:18
or young adults having access to sports betting
1:26:20
poker, it's kind of
1:26:22
a good thing because if controlled,
1:26:24
because they're learning about odds and
1:26:26
gambling and framing it, I, with
1:26:28
my 14 year old, are doing
1:26:31
an allowance, and then I
1:26:33
decided to do an investment club, and so I'm
1:26:35
putting $100 every month into
1:26:37
like a Robinhood account, and
1:26:39
we're gonna do like two meetings every month, one
1:26:41
to buy a new stock and one to examine
1:26:44
our existing stocks, and I'm just starting
1:26:46
an investment club. So if anybody's kids are in that age group
1:26:48
and they wanna join it, let me know, because
1:26:51
I'm gonna do like a, with a cousin's
1:26:53
like a Zoom call every month, where we just talk
1:26:55
about stocks, and then I'm
1:26:57
gonna have them actually buy it, so
1:27:00
that they can be prepared for the real world and how
1:27:02
companies are going, but how do you
1:27:04
think about your kids, Chamath, because you got to
1:27:06
do this gambling when you were young, didn't that
1:27:08
help you ultimately as an adult? I
1:27:10
mean, I ran a casino in my high school. Was
1:27:15
that the? Yeah, I mean, I
1:27:17
ran a little block check game, where the
1:27:19
rich kids could play and I was the
1:27:21
house, and I would make a few extra
1:27:23
hundred bucks a week. Nice. And
1:27:27
that was great, because like, you know, between that and
1:27:29
my job at Burger King, it really helped. And
1:27:33
then I would go and take that, and I actually came pretty decent
1:27:35
at block check, and I would go, there would be these, what's
1:27:38
called charity casinos, so casinos in Ottawa, Ontario
1:27:40
were illegal, but if they were
1:27:42
to raise charity for various
1:27:44
charities, they were allowed, and so my
1:27:46
friend and I would show up at these
1:27:48
things and just run them over. Anybody
1:27:51
else run an illegal business as a kid? I'll
1:27:53
tell you about mine. Sacks, you
1:27:55
run any illegal business as a kid? No comment.
1:27:58
Come on, it's statute of limitations. What did you
1:28:00
do? You must have been running some scams. Come on, tell us.
1:28:02
I'll tell you my two scams after you tell us yours. Well,
1:28:04
by the way, I'll tell you I had a bad debt situation
1:28:07
in my in my lunch game. You know,
1:28:09
I used it I used to let people bet up to
1:28:11
a buck. Okay, so four or five
1:28:13
guys up, you know, 25 cents, 50 cents
1:28:15
or a dollar and one guy He
1:28:17
like demanded an expanded credit line and that
1:28:20
gave him up to two bucks And
1:28:22
how many boxes of ziti did he go down and
1:28:24
one lunch? He lost 80 bucks and it took me
1:28:26
three months to get paid. It was the worst experience.
1:28:29
80 boxes of ziti? I had no 80 dollars. I
1:28:31
had no, I know I'm just doing a soprano. I
1:28:33
had to I had to sweat this guy for three
1:28:35
months To get my 80 dollars He
1:28:38
was rich too. His parents were rich. What
1:28:40
did he do? Did he have to do your term papers
1:28:42
or something? Did he have to do your essays? Clean your
1:28:44
bike? I wouldn't have gotten this money. Come on, Sacks. Give
1:28:46
it up What was your scam you were running? Let's move
1:28:48
on. I
1:28:51
had two scams. Freiburg, you have a scam when you were
1:28:53
running? When you were a kid? Any
1:28:56
scams? I used to go to the recycler
1:28:58
newspaper. Do you guys remember that? Yeah,
1:29:01
the recycler and I would buy used
1:29:03
like electronics equipment, computer equipment And
1:29:06
then I would like sell it So
1:29:08
I would then like post other ads I basically did
1:29:10
ad arbitrage as a way to think about it So
1:29:13
I would go and find people selling stuff that I
1:29:15
thought was like underpriced And then I would buy it
1:29:17
And there was nothing to fix you would just it
1:29:19
was under priced and then I knew like the
1:29:21
better market to go sell it I'd make more
1:29:23
money So then I'd buy like all these like
1:29:25
old like like a broken receiver Distiffment and a
1:29:27
receiver good speakers that I knew were good, but
1:29:29
they were like deeply discounted I'd drive around in
1:29:32
my white van. I'd pay people cash I'd load
1:29:34
it up and then I'd go sell it to
1:29:36
like other people by putting ads and No
1:29:39
wonder you wound up at google I
1:29:41
had I had two really good scams when I was a kid
1:29:44
The first was this guy owed my dad some
1:29:46
money for backgammon My dad was a backgammon shark
1:29:48
and he would play in his bar When
1:29:51
I would show up at six in the morning, my dad would be playing
1:29:53
blackjack with guys. They would get you know In
1:29:56
deep with him. And so this guy who
1:29:58
was in the mob. Oh my dad some
1:30:00
money and for the vig he gave him
1:30:02
a copy of The Empire Strikes Back on
1:30:04
VHS. And I
1:30:06
was like, what? This is
1:30:08
before it was out. They had recorded it in
1:30:11
the movie theaters in 1984 or something, whenever that
1:30:13
came out. And it was a
1:30:15
really bad copy. So my
1:30:17
dad comes home, he gives me the copy. We watch it, it
1:30:19
was incredible. He's like, thanks, Dad. And I
1:30:21
got my friend to bring over his VHS. I made 10
1:30:24
copies of it. I go to school in McKinley
1:30:26
Junior High School in Brooklyn and I sell them
1:30:28
for 30 bucks a pop. I
1:30:30
sell them like hotcakes. And
1:30:32
then I get pinched. Math
1:30:35
teacher says, what's going on with these Empire Strikes Back?
1:30:38
And I said, what do you mean? I don't know what you're
1:30:40
talking about. It's like, I heard you got Empire Strikes Back. He
1:30:43
gave me a mouth shut. I looked him dead
1:30:45
in the eye and I said, are you
1:30:47
interested? And
1:30:49
he goes, yeah, how much are we? I
1:30:51
said 30 bucks, but I'll give you one
1:30:53
for 10. And
1:30:55
he said, okay, pull that 10 bucks. I sold my
1:30:58
math teacher. I kid you're not the Empire Strikes Back
1:31:00
for 10 bucks. Can you do this whole thing again
1:31:02
but in the Christopher Walken voice? I'm not going to.
1:31:04
Well, give me the other one I did. No,
1:31:07
it's the Joe Pesci voice. Do this one in the Christopher
1:31:09
Walken voice. And so the name of it was Jason's Hot
1:31:11
Tapes. And so I made a business card
1:31:13
and laminated Jason's Hot Tapes and I would hand it to
1:31:15
people and I'd hand them the Jason's Hot Tape card.
1:31:18
And they'd say, give me my card back. But I would just show
1:31:20
them that I had a card. I was
1:31:22
also in the fake ID business. Oh,
1:31:24
say more. I granted out fake
1:31:27
IDs with a buddy of mine. All right, that
1:31:29
was mine. That was mine. Oh,
1:31:31
Zach, this is the fake ID business too. We
1:31:34
used Harvard graphics. Zach, what were you using? I was
1:31:36
using Harvard graphics. Well, this is
1:31:38
the day before holograms and it just
1:31:40
wasn't that hard to, you know, copy.
1:31:42
So we just made like boards or
1:31:44
whatever and Polaroids. So we did it
1:31:46
for ourselves and we did it for friends. Yeah, same. Here's
1:31:49
the thing about the fake ID business. The
1:31:51
bouncers were like, if
1:31:53
you've got money, show us any piece of
1:31:56
paper. They knew. We have plausible.
1:31:58
We have plausible deniability. One
1:32:00
of plausible deniability. Exactly. That was the, that's
1:32:02
the key to the rack. Did
1:32:05
you put McLovin in university Hawaii? Yeah.
1:32:09
Actually, well, it's kind of funny if sometimes
1:32:11
the bouncers would go, what's your name and
1:32:14
it'd be like, you'd be because you didn't
1:32:16
remember what he's on the ground, you know what
1:32:18
he's remember? Like,
1:32:20
I, my man, mine was like, oh, mine was like
1:32:22
Raj Patel. Mad
1:32:27
was Raj, Raj is a Patel.
1:32:30
Or they'd ask you, what was your birthday? And you don't
1:32:32
remember what's on your ID. Yeah. You don't
1:32:34
know what's on your ID. I don't remember.
1:32:36
I don't remember. How about the key? I
1:32:38
had one drink. Now the key
1:32:40
in the fake ID game is to use your,
1:32:43
your month and day. That's
1:32:45
yours. Yeah. And then change the year. Yeah.
1:32:47
That's the key. That's the key. All right.
1:32:49
So I'll give you the second one. Do
1:32:51
it in the principle of walk-in voice. So
1:32:54
my friend, his brother
1:32:57
had a DeLorean. He,
1:33:00
I can't do it. I can't sustain
1:33:02
it. Anyway, this kid, who
1:33:04
I grew up with, well, I shouldn't
1:33:06
say, anyways, they would beep
1:33:09
that out. He lived up on 13th Avenue. I
1:33:11
go to his house. His brother's got a DeLorean.
1:33:14
It was incredible. And we're in
1:33:16
junior high school and I'm talking to
1:33:18
his brother and I go into the garage
1:33:20
and there's all DeLorean parts on
1:33:22
the wall. And I said, why
1:33:25
do you have all these parts? And he
1:33:27
said, Oh, you know, uh, there was
1:33:29
a DeLorean that, um, you know,
1:33:31
fell apart and we picked up the pieces.
1:33:34
They had stolen another DeLorean cause DeLorean stopped producing and they
1:33:36
just chopped it up, but he had it in his
1:33:38
garage. So anyway, uh, we're playing chess
1:33:40
master at the time and I had hacked a copy of
1:33:42
chess master. It was very easy to do. And
1:33:45
the guy said, you got chess master. Can you get me more
1:33:47
copies of that? I said, sure. How many copies you want? He's
1:33:49
like, how many can you make? I was like,
1:33:51
well, floppy disc costs four bucks. He's
1:33:53
like, I'll give you 10 bucks to copy a chess master. I
1:33:55
said, fine. I go, my friend, we
1:33:58
go steal floppy discs. from
1:34:00
the store. So we don't want to pay them
1:34:02
four bucks for them. Not the three and a
1:34:04
halfs, the five and a quarters. These are five and a
1:34:07
quarters. And we go into the store and
1:34:09
we take the flyer and
1:34:11
I hold the flyer open and I hold it
1:34:13
behind my back and my friend takes the discs
1:34:15
out of the sleeve at Staples, whatever, jumps in
1:34:18
there. We made copies of it. And then we
1:34:20
were selling Chess Master for 10 bucks a pop
1:34:22
at scale and giving them to the guys on
1:34:24
13th Avenue who were then reselling them for 20
1:34:26
bucks. This is when Chess Master was like a
1:34:29
hundred dollar product. Shout out to Chess Master. That
1:34:31
was my second scam. This
1:34:33
is some degenerate. Yeah. And
1:34:36
that's not even the best one. I'll give you the
1:34:38
best one. This is the best and I'll give you the last scam we
1:34:40
ran. There
1:34:42
were parking permits in the late 80s in
1:34:45
Manhattan. They were hard to get, but
1:34:47
they were legit. If you had a parking permit
1:34:49
in your window for the fire
1:34:51
department police, yeah, you
1:34:54
could park in Manhattan in a lot of different areas.
1:34:57
And so we went and we took
1:34:59
a picture of these. Then we got
1:35:01
on PageMaker or whatever and
1:35:03
I went down to Canal Street and I
1:35:05
bought at Pearl Paints like the same color
1:35:08
orange and that lamination kit.
1:35:11
And we got on Photoshop, I kid you not, we held the
1:35:13
picture up and we tried to figure out the fonts they
1:35:15
used. And we made a copy of
1:35:18
the placards to park. And
1:35:21
then we sold those for like 50 bucks and people
1:35:23
used them and they wouldn't get tickets. They worked. So
1:35:26
we sold police placards that had to be
1:35:28
super illegal in 1988. All
1:35:30
right, everybody. Four, you're a
1:35:32
Sultan of science. The exception, David
1:35:34
Freiburg. Your chairman, Dick Kater, from
1:35:36
Off-5, Apatia. The Rain
1:35:39
Man, yeah. David Sacks, I am your
1:35:42
world's greatest moderator. J. Kyle, we'll
1:35:44
see you on episode 176 and
1:35:47
hopefully in September at the All-In
1:35:49
Summit. Bye-bye. Bye-bye.
1:35:52
I like your winner all. Rain
1:35:56
Man Belvis Sacks, We
1:36:01
open sourced hands and they just come and read.
1:36:03
Do you want me to ask you a question?
1:36:06
We do. We
1:36:12
are talking about a dog. Hey,
1:36:15
uh, dog, are you gonna go sit right with you? I'm
1:36:18
gonna get a hug. Oh,
1:36:20
man. You should
1:36:22
have asked me to meet you at one of your shows.
1:36:24
You should all just get a room and just have one
1:36:26
big huge order because they're all like sexual. You
1:36:29
should just meet the police somehow.
1:36:31
You're about to meet the rest
1:36:33
of your family. You're gonna
1:36:35
meet me at a feast. You're gonna meet
1:36:37
me at a feast.
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