Episode Transcript
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0:00
In. Nineteen Ninety. After more
0:02
than fifty years of
0:05
building it, the Annenberg
0:07
family sold Tv Guide
0:09
Magazine. They. Sold it.
0:12
For. More than three billion
0:14
dollars. At the time. The.
0:17
Flimsy little magazine that
0:19
told people what was
0:21
on television. Was
0:23
worth more. Than. A
0:25
B C. C. B S.
0:28
Or. N B C. The. Very
0:30
networks it was covering. College,
0:33
you are it. Sneak in Fukuoka,
0:35
Japan and this is a special
0:37
archived episode of Akimbo. That's.
0:44
Crazy. How could it
0:47
be that a directory of
0:49
what's on television. Could. Be
0:51
worth more. Than. Television.
0:54
Well. Fast forward less than twenty
0:56
years. I am walking to Union Square
0:59
in New York City and wearing a
1:01
Google t shirt. Google was a pre
1:03
new company at the time I got
1:06
in the t shirt because I've done
1:08
a gig with them and from across
1:10
the farmers' market, hundreds of people across
1:13
this woman. Yells. Out. google.
1:16
Do. You work a google. google.
1:19
Is. My best friend. And
1:22
she runs right up to me. What?
1:24
No, I didn't work at Google and
1:27
therefore I was into best friend. But.
1:30
How could it be? That a
1:32
search engine could create so much
1:34
value for a single user? It
1:37
turns out. That. The magic trick
1:39
that Google figured out how to
1:41
perform. Was. Priceless to
1:44
billions of people. The.
1:47
Idea. That you could
1:49
very quickly. And. Fairly
1:52
reliably. Find.
1:54
Unlimited amounts of information, For
1:57
free. Was. Ears.
2:00
The ball. And. So. google.
2:02
Has grown and as Google
2:05
has grown. It
2:07
has changed our culture in
2:09
ways large and small. We.
2:11
All live in google world
2:13
whether we want to. Who.
2:15
Are not and most people
2:18
don't really understand how google
2:20
makes all of that money
2:22
and even though we interact
2:24
with it all the time.
2:27
We're. Not really aware of
2:29
how it is impacting so
2:32
many of the institutions cultural
2:34
or business wise set it
2:36
engages with so. Here's.
2:39
A little bit of an overview. The.
2:41
First thing is this. That.
2:44
More than a trillion searches
2:46
a year happened on Google.
2:49
What? That means is that on
2:51
average. google. Makes about a
2:53
tenth of a penny from every search
2:55
that's done. How do they do that?
2:58
They do that. By. Running permission
3:01
based adds next to those
3:03
search results. In essence, they're
3:05
delivering anticipated personal and relevant
3:08
messages that match up what
3:10
the person was searching for.
3:13
Now. Most of the searches they don't
3:16
make anything on because you're not clicking
3:18
on one of those ads. But when
3:20
you do click on one of those
3:22
ads, they might make three dollars. Five
3:24
dollars, even Eighty dollars a click depending
3:26
on what it is you're clicking on.
3:28
They also make money from ads for
3:31
they place on other sites, but that's
3:33
a different category of revenue for them
3:35
because they don't have nearly as much
3:37
control, nor do they get to keep
3:39
all of the income that's coming in.
3:42
It was a brilliant idea. Bill Gross
3:44
and Overture were one of the people
3:47
who pioneered it. But the idea that
3:49
you could show up with an ad.
3:51
At someone paid for. That
3:54
matched what you just search for. His
3:57
A really big idea. It is a
3:59
form of. Direct marketing at
4:01
brand marketing that has grown
4:03
like crazy. Google
4:05
God it to catch on. With. A
4:08
brilliant strategy. Those ads
4:10
used to cost a penny, two
4:12
pennies, a nickel, a click. So
4:15
if you sold an item,
4:18
Where. It was worth ten. Or twenty or
4:20
thirty five hundred dollars. For. Someone
4:22
to buy something for you. And
4:24
you could buy the attention. Of
4:26
the surfer who just typed in the very
4:29
same you sold and you could buy it
4:31
for a penny or nickel. Gives.
4:33
Me All of them. This
4:36
idea. Give me all of them. Is
4:39
the holy grail of advertising you
4:41
don't need a salesforce, you just
4:43
have to have the seeing someone
4:45
wants an unlimited number? And
4:47
as soon as people started paying a nickel,
4:50
a click. Other people.
4:52
When. They googled themselves
4:54
saw. That. Their competitors.
4:57
Were. Buying some of the folks
5:00
they were hoping. Would. Click
5:02
over to their site instead. What
5:04
do you mean? people are going
5:07
to our competitor for just a
5:09
nickel bid Ten cents. And
5:12
so the auction is on. once we
5:14
know what it is worth, To.
5:16
Have someone click on an. We.
5:18
Are willing to bid up to a
5:20
penny less than that. Rather,
5:23
Than having our competitor. Engage.
5:25
In that auction. So.
5:29
Here's the first side effect of
5:31
Googles business model. If
5:34
it ends up being worth of hundred
5:36
dollars to you to get someone to
5:38
click over to your travel site. And
5:41
your competitor. His bidding. Ninety
5:43
Nine dollars. Your bid. Ninety
5:45
Nine Dollars And Fifty cents.
5:48
So. Where's your profit going? While
5:50
you used to keep a hundred
5:52
dollars in profit from every person
5:54
you sold to, now you're keeping
5:57
fifty cents And google. Is
5:59
keeping ninety? Nine dollars and Fifty cents.
6:02
Like a landlord. They're. Going
6:04
to take. Almost all of
6:06
the money off the table
6:08
as long as the market
6:10
is competitive Is someone else
6:12
also wants that? Click? Someone.
6:15
Else is also going to
6:17
bid on. So. Now
6:19
you see the pass. A hundred
6:22
and thirty six billion dollars in
6:24
revenue. Most of it straight to
6:26
the bottom line from a company.
6:29
Doing one? See. Offering
6:32
a magical search engine's second
6:34
x billions of people to
6:36
the information they desperately seek
6:39
and every time you use.
6:42
google. Makes. Money. The
6:44
more searches, the happier they are.
6:47
So. How do we explain all the
6:49
other things that Google does? Well
6:52
Googles mission they say is
6:54
to organize the world's information.
6:57
But in fact, Their. Business
6:59
mission is to have people
7:01
do a Google search. Doing
7:03
a Google search is where
7:05
they make almost all of
7:07
their profit. Perhaps eighty percent
7:09
of all of the paid
7:11
search advertising in the world
7:13
goes through this one company
7:15
in an auction where the
7:17
sales people don't have to
7:19
do very much at all
7:21
except soothe the people who
7:23
aren't winning the auctions once
7:25
you're hooked on it and
7:27
paying for this traffic. You
7:30
will keep paying for it. Because
7:32
it's still worth it to you. So
7:34
google see something like blogs. Blogs.
7:38
And I'm partial here. Are
7:41
a fun, free, easy way to
7:43
get information from a trusted source.
7:46
The best way. To. Read:
7:48
A blog is with something called
7:51
an Rss Reader And Rss Reader
7:53
bypasses the search engine. He just
7:55
lives on your device, your phone
7:57
or your laptop. And it.
8:00
You. Unimpeded, Uninterrupted all
8:02
of the blogs you want
8:04
to read. So Google
8:06
ads as Google Reader. It's free.
8:08
like everything Googles doing, and it
8:11
works. It's fast, it's well designed.
8:13
Go ahead, move the blogs you
8:15
like or the Google reader. They're.
8:18
On one page. You. Can
8:20
read how the blogs you want to. Guess.
8:23
What This does. This
8:25
depresses search. The.
8:28
People the most interested, highest status
8:30
people. The kind of people who
8:32
are reading blogs are going to
8:34
search last because you don't have
8:36
to go to Google and type
8:39
in blog or Sas or any
8:41
other topic to find the blog
8:43
the blog is coming to you.
8:46
That. Doesn't help search. Saw.
8:48
A few years into it. google. Shuts
8:51
down Google reader. Sending.
8:53
All of those blog readers either.
8:56
To. A more difficult to find Rss
8:58
reader or. Back.
9:00
To the search and. Think
9:03
about what happens if you search
9:05
for lyrics. Are I can't
9:07
get the my has scuse me while
9:09
I kissed this guy. What's that lyric?
9:11
if you type that into google. And.
9:14
It takes you. To a
9:17
site filled with detailed
9:19
discussions about lyrics. You're.
9:21
Gone. You're not searching for the
9:24
next thing you're looking for. On
9:26
the other hand, If Google
9:28
manages to scrape that
9:30
site or hire an
9:32
intermediary, And just puts the
9:34
answer right there on the page with no
9:36
clicking on your part. You're.
9:38
Gonna do. Another. google.
9:41
Search. And self bit
9:43
by bit. Topic by topic, Google
9:45
is cramming more and more onto
9:47
their page and not sending you
9:49
to a pace as far away.
9:53
When I worked at Yahoo in
9:55
the late nineties, Yahoos,
9:57
Mission was come to Yahoo.
10:00
And stay. Amazon's
10:03
mission was com to Amazon
10:05
and something. When
10:07
google came along. The. Giant
10:09
disruption in the early two
10:11
thousand was com to Google
10:13
and leave google. That.
10:15
Was their goal? To. Only three
10:18
buttons to buttons on the homepage.
10:20
At the time, Yahoo had a
10:22
one hundred and eighty eight buttons
10:24
on their home page, and of
10:26
the hundred and eighty eight, almost
10:28
all of them pointed to other
10:30
things you could do on Yahoo.
10:32
Yahoo hadn't figured out. How
10:34
to run the right kind of ads? They.
10:37
Were busy running banner ads. They
10:39
needed to generate billions and billions
10:41
of page views to make them
10:44
pay. google. On the
10:46
other hand, just wanted you to find what
10:48
you're looking for. And leave.
10:51
But. It's there to continue to grow.
10:54
They. Need you to do more and more
10:56
searches. And sell bringing
10:58
the concept back onto their
11:00
pages encourages you to do
11:02
that. A
11:04
little bit of an aside about this whole
11:07
idea of continuing to grow. Part.
11:09
Of the lore. Of the last twenty
11:11
five years. His it the best way
11:14
to hit Rich. His to work
11:16
for a fast growing public. Tech.
11:18
Company. Why? Is that? Most.
11:23
Of the people who are in senior
11:25
positions at these companies and I'll argue
11:27
that are more than ten thousand people
11:29
in a senior position at Google. Has
11:32
stock options. Stock. Options says
11:34
that one day in the future. You're.
11:37
Going to get some shares. That. You can
11:39
buy for x number of dollars. let's say
11:41
fifty dollars a share and on the very
11:44
same day that you can buy them from
11:46
us for fifty. As a
11:48
prize for working here. You. Can
11:50
sell them. At whatever the
11:52
stock market says, they're worth. Which.
11:55
Means that as soon as the stock
11:57
goes over fifty dollars. As.
12:00
The time. The. Stock goes
12:02
up a dollar. Your.
12:04
Stock options are was another dollar
12:06
each in value. says you're sitting
12:08
there holding a hundred thousand stock
12:10
options which is not that unusual
12:13
and the price goes up A
12:15
dollar. That means one day soon
12:17
you just made a hundred thousand
12:19
dollars to goes up ten dollars
12:21
you just made a million dollars.
12:24
So try to imagine what it's
12:26
like at a meeting at Google.
12:29
When. They have to make a decision. About
12:31
some, it's going to make their stock
12:33
price go up by five dollars. or
12:36
maybe even down by a dollar. You.
12:38
Look around the room. And every
12:41
single person in that room
12:43
knows what to multiply. The
12:45
increase in stock price by to figure
12:48
out what it did to their net
12:50
worth. So even if
12:52
the multi billionaires who run the
12:54
place decide to take a longer
12:56
term view deep down. There
12:58
are tens of thousands of people each
13:01
of these companies who are driven. To.
13:03
Figure out. How to make. The
13:06
stock prices go up. And
13:08
so we come face to face
13:10
with the Moto Tomato set first
13:13
appeared and google home page more
13:15
than fifteen years ago. Don't.
13:17
Be evil. Lots of
13:20
people claimed they made up
13:22
in this motto. He was
13:24
probably Todd, book Eight and
13:26
a meat Patel and their
13:28
idea was don't be Evil
13:30
means. Do. It on behalf
13:32
of the user. Give.
13:35
Users long term
13:38
pads dissatisfaction. Some.
13:40
People say it was in contrast
13:42
to Microsoft was the time was
13:44
a monopoly and wasn't giving people
13:47
a choice. So don't
13:49
be evil can mean lots of
13:51
different things. But. For a
13:53
long time it meant. Don't. Be
13:55
greedy. Give. People a
13:58
choice. Back to those. Music:
14:00
lyric, The
14:03
website, genius.com which has had a
14:06
fairly checkered past, is a site
14:08
where lots of people can chime
14:10
in and comment on the lyrics
14:13
to many songs, particularly rap songs,
14:16
And they did something really clever. Which.
14:18
Is they see did a code.
14:21
And all of the lyrics they
14:23
had on their paid so little
14:25
bit like morse code in the
14:27
way that they use certain characters.
14:30
Well. You guessed it. google.
14:33
Got busted. google. Was
14:35
stealing probably to a contractor. All
14:37
of the hard work the genius
14:39
had put in. In creating
14:41
the typed up lyrics which you could
14:44
argue were stolen from the people who
14:46
wrote the lyrics. but that's a whole
14:48
other discussion. What we know. Is
14:51
that? Googles. People. Incentive
14:54
to keep folks on the
14:56
site. Do. Things. Like.
14:58
Shut down Google reader. They. Do
15:00
things like include the lyrics
15:03
on their site instead of
15:05
sending you. To a site
15:07
where you can see them yourself. So
15:11
back to Tv Guide where we began.
15:14
Try. To imagine it's Nineteen Eighty Eight
15:16
and you are a Tv programmer and
15:18
you figure out how to make a
15:20
shot. Said Tv guide is really
15:23
didn't like and if Tv Guide really likes
15:25
it and put it on the cover of
15:27
their magazine. You're. Going to get
15:29
more viewers and if you get more viewers
15:31
you're going to sell more as if you
15:33
somewhere as. You're. Going to make more money.
15:37
That. Is where the power of
15:39
someone like Tv Guide comes from. Now
15:42
Google will bend over backwards to tell
15:44
you. They. Don't have somebody.
15:46
Who's. making editorial choices inside
15:48
of google. Is true.
15:52
But. There are more than
15:54
three thousand people working full
15:56
time. To program Google
15:58
search and. And there
16:01
is no human who knows
16:03
exactly how Google search engine
16:05
works anymore. It's too complicated.
16:07
Three thousand people working night
16:09
and day for decades create
16:11
quite a complicated algorithm. But.
16:14
What is also true? Is
16:17
that algorithm is making choices.
16:21
It may not make choices that you can influence
16:23
by taking it out for dinner. But.
16:26
Choices it makes and those
16:28
choices impact what website get
16:30
built. How they get but. What
16:33
Those? Website: Talk about. Around
16:37
the time of Googles ascendancy, A
16:40
craft called Se O began to
16:42
hit it's stride as Ceo stands
16:45
for search engine Optimization and at
16:47
the beginning the idea of as
16:49
Ceo was benign. Let's.
16:52
Organize our website so that
16:54
when Google visits it. It.
16:57
Knows what it's about because if we
16:59
can be clear for google about what
17:01
kind of person we want to come
17:03
here. Than. That kind of
17:05
person. Will. Find us! When.
17:08
They searching google. But
17:10
over time. People. Got a
17:12
little bit more hurried and lazy over time.
17:14
Sites got a lot more greedy. And
17:17
so a combination occurred. First, We.
17:19
Know that the vast majority more than
17:22
ninety percent of the people who do
17:24
a Google search never get to page
17:26
Two. Of the Google results, Google
17:28
is that good. We. Trust google
17:30
so much. Sits on the
17:33
first page, maybe assist in the first
17:35
two or three matches. That's enough. We.
17:37
Satisfies. We click through, were
17:39
done looking so even though
17:42
there might be eighty four
17:44
thousand matches, First. Search on
17:46
out and ba. You're. Only gonna
17:48
look at the first two or three
17:50
to what you are looking for. Which.
17:53
Means that you're the top of the search
17:56
results. You're going to get it on. Fair
17:58
share of attention. Which means
18:00
you gotta do everything you can. To.
18:03
Be at the top of the search results. And.
18:06
That leads to the blackout. Biggest.
18:08
Ones as C began to work. Company.
18:11
Study budgeting for it and if
18:13
companies want to be number one,
18:16
Fourteen. Of them are gonna lose. So.
18:19
People start looking for short
18:21
cuts, so people start changing
18:23
the site itself, so people
18:25
stuck resorting to paying other people
18:27
to linked to them, acting
18:29
in ways that make absolutely
18:31
no cultural or rational sense.
18:34
They simply exist to make
18:36
a mythical algorithm. Happy.
18:39
And when it's not happy, theories abound
18:42
as to what to do to make
18:44
it happier. and as soon as someone
18:46
starts doing some, it works. Everyone tries
18:48
to copy it so it will last
18:50
with. Is. A
18:52
cycle that was started by Google where
18:54
it looked at a system. Or
18:56
but nine. Sought. For system
18:59
is it tears web page. And.
19:01
It started to try to make guesses as to
19:04
what that web page was about. and so then
19:06
as Ceo shows up. And sharpens it
19:08
a little bit. And then Google
19:10
response to that and then as your response to
19:12
that end Google response to it and what we
19:14
end up with. His. Page after
19:17
page of the Internet. That.
19:19
Isn't organize for users anymore?
19:22
It's organized for this idea that
19:24
maybe we can get free traffic
19:26
from the website the people think
19:28
of as their best friend. That
19:30
maybe we can get the equivalent.
19:32
Of the cover of our edition
19:34
of Tv Guide, maybe we can
19:36
be swamped with a whole bunch
19:38
of people who want to show
19:41
up and. Okay,
19:43
another aside. As
19:45
the same time that all this is going
19:48
on. Email. Continues.
19:51
To evolve as a way to
19:53
contact people who want to hear
19:55
from you. The original permission marketing
19:57
medium anticipated impressed. A relevant messages
20:00
to people who want to get
20:02
them. For.
20:05
Last thirty years. The. Bad
20:07
guys have been going after email attention
20:09
as well because emails and open a
20:11
pr you don't need stamps. If you
20:14
format your email properly, use and put
20:16
as much emails you want into the
20:18
system. And so some
20:20
people do. Some people sent a
20:23
million or ten million emails a
20:25
day. Spam. Continues.
20:28
To be rampant. If
20:31
I have to and trust any amount
20:33
of money under your custody. I
20:36
am Mr. Michael Bangoora the son of
20:38
late mister Say I'm Bangoora. Who?
20:41
A minister of finance Sierra
20:44
Leone ourselves the Civil War.
20:48
Nine years. In
20:50
the face of all that spam. People.
20:53
Who run email services Needed a
20:55
way to filter out. Google
20:57
of course launched an email service. It
21:00
ended up becoming the biggest one. Email.
21:03
And because Google programmers are so good.
21:06
Teammate. Spam filters are excellent and
21:08
they got rid of a huge
21:10
chunk of the spam that was bedevilling
21:12
most of us. But.
21:14
Businesses: Businesses that understood Permission Marketing
21:16
who are not spamming people They
21:19
were emailing people who wanted to
21:21
hear from them. So.
21:23
We're bloggers so we're charities
21:25
so a political campaign so
21:27
we're people who are sending
21:29
out newsletters. And now
21:32
google has another decision to make
21:34
another decision on the boundaries as
21:36
don't be evil. The
21:38
question is. If. I signed
21:40
up to get emails from you and
21:42
you're sending me email every day. Is
21:45
an email I wanna read. I. Think
21:47
it is google. Will. They
21:49
have a business reason to think it's
21:52
not because if they can put all
21:54
that email. Into a different
21:56
folder. Call it I don't know.
21:58
the promotions folder. Then.
22:00
They get to do a couple things. First of
22:03
all, They. Can sell as inside
22:05
the promotion folder. Next all the
22:07
stuff I wanted to get. They
22:10
can put stuff I didn't want to get.
22:13
Number two: once it's in the
22:15
promotions folder, lotta people don't read
22:17
it anymore cause we're busy working
22:20
their way to are quote real
22:22
unquote email in our inbox. Maybe
22:24
we'll get around to the promo
22:26
folder one day if you're using
22:29
your phone to do it with
22:31
one swipe. You. Can send
22:33
all your promotions all at once.
22:36
To. The Archives and never season. Why?
22:39
Does google want you to do that? Google
22:41
wants you to do that. Because.
22:44
If you haven't heard from Pottery Barn in a while,
22:47
You. Need to go google. Pottery.
22:49
Barn. And when you google Pottery
22:51
Barn, go try it. I'll wait. What
22:54
you'll see. Our ads for Pottery
22:56
Barn and Pottery Barnes competitors I did
22:58
the top of the page. Pottery Barn
23:00
has to repay and repay and repay
23:02
to get you back to the site
23:04
you signed up for in the first
23:06
place. So, my blog, if
23:09
you get it might very well be
23:11
in the promo folder even though I'm
23:13
not sending you promotions even though you
23:15
ask. Because Google has
23:17
people with stock options who don't
23:20
think they're being evil who have
23:22
decided on your behalf. To.
23:25
You don't wanna see the seems. And
23:27
I don't think I to do google
23:30
Saab as well as Google is currently.
23:32
Doing. Google stop. But.
23:34
I do think. They. Have. Worked.
23:37
Their way into a corner. And
23:39
the corner. They've gone way beyond
23:41
Tv Guide. The thing is, I
23:44
never got Tv guide at my house growing up.
23:46
Because we get the newspaper and the listings
23:48
where in the newspaper and those things where
23:50
enough. Also, there are only three channels, so
23:53
clicking around was pretty easy. But.
23:55
That's Not what's happening now. What's.
23:57
Happening now? Is it all.
24:00
The information were counting on
24:02
sooner or later. Is.
24:04
Touching Google and also Facebook.
24:07
That. The news is going to
24:09
those two sides. I haven't even gotten
24:11
into the whole google news discussed. That.
24:14
It is shaping our culture because it
24:16
is the filter of our culture and
24:19
because it is a filter of our
24:21
culture. The. Culture itself is
24:23
changing. To make itself
24:25
suddenly. To be found on
24:28
Google and because it is Google itself
24:30
is changing since it is chasing its
24:32
tail and or a bar us going
24:34
around and around and around in the
24:37
cycle. Where. They're getting paid less
24:39
than a penny per search, but they need more
24:41
searches. They need more searches to make more money.
24:43
They need more money to make the stock by,
24:45
go up and at the very same time. All
24:48
of the web sites. That. Need
24:51
your attention. Are fighting
24:53
harder than ever to do it? Some.
24:55
Of them are cheating. Some. Of them are
24:57
trying to play it straight. But.
24:59
We have choke points now. Chokepoints.
25:02
we never used to have for for. Sure,
25:05
The local bookstore got to decide which books
25:08
were in the south. And. He
25:10
could only hold forty thousand totals.
25:12
Forty. Thousand is different than three sir
25:15
two cents. And so
25:17
the shift that's happening here and I
25:19
could talk about Googles repercussion since all
25:21
of the other services that Google has
25:23
tried and failed all of the other
25:26
services the Google is building now. I'll
25:29
add one more to the equation. Android.
25:33
Has lost Google billions
25:35
of dollars. Why does
25:38
Google create a free
25:40
operating system? It's. Simple.
25:43
Because it's the only way to
25:45
be sure. That the
25:47
Google search box remains primary even
25:49
as we switch to mobile. google.
25:52
Maps hasn't made them much of
25:54
anything in terms of profit, but
25:57
Google Maps keeps you connected to
25:59
do. One click away
26:01
from searching for the next thing.
26:04
When we see people who aren't in
26:06
the center. The. Four squares in
26:09
the Alps. Trying to get their
26:11
share of search, we see just
26:13
how difficult it is. To.
26:15
Get away from a monoculture. The.
26:18
Biggest miss of Googles entire
26:21
history is Facebook. Organizing.
26:23
The World's Information. Apparently
26:25
didn't include organizing all of
26:28
the world friendships and relationships.
26:30
And so Facebook following as
26:32
closely as they can in
26:34
Google footsteps is trying to
26:36
do the same thing. Lease
26:39
out attention in an auction? To.
26:41
Organizations that want attention.
26:44
Click. Here. And you can
26:46
find out about X, y or z. But.
26:49
Just as Google has shifted
26:51
the way that website act
26:53
facebook. Has shifted the way
26:55
that humans act, the way that
26:57
politicians talk to a that people
27:00
who are seeking a following are
27:02
behaving because winning. At
27:04
search means winning at attention. And
27:06
winning at attention gives you a
27:09
chance. To tell your
27:11
story in telling your story helps you
27:13
get closer to the people who seek
27:15
to change. So. All.
27:17
Of our economy, All of our culture,
27:20
Is tied together between two companies that are
27:23
just a few miles apart. Mere.
27:25
Mountain View, California. So.
27:28
The name of this episode. Also, I
27:30
think. Needs. To be the
27:32
name of the North Star, we've got to
27:34
figure out how to legislate how to regulate
27:37
because they can't do it themselves. Don't
27:39
Be evil. What? Does it
27:41
mean to come up with the rules? For.
27:44
The world we're gonna live in
27:46
tomorrow said it's mighty and they
27:49
to my name's Kyle reading sound
27:51
Steven out Madison, Wisconsin away from
27:53
south in high that. Has
27:57
tasked the warm greetings from Curacao.
28:00
My name is Nick I'm running
28:02
from Pittsburgh Pennsylvania Services rank high
28:05
school is how this is Robert
28:07
Parry of my question. And
28:10
that completes my question. We.
28:13
Love to hear from you. If
28:15
you've got a question about this
28:18
episode or anything previous, please visit
28:20
Akimbo.link that: Ak I M B
28:23
O.l I N K. And.
28:25
Press the appropriate button. Before.
28:27
I get to the questions. A heads up.
28:30
The Bootstrap Ers Workshop is starting this week.
28:32
You can find it at Boot. At
28:34
work. And you can check
28:36
out all the upcoming Akimbo workshops and
28:38
akimbo.com As a gay I M B
28:41
O. Dot. C O M. In.
28:43
Response to last week's episode
28:46
about interesting problems we ought
28:48
to. Good. Notes from educators
28:50
I says: thank you for making
28:52
a ruckus. I found your podcast
28:54
five months ago and I have
28:56
been since listening to it since.
28:58
Episode One: As a teacher, I
29:00
wanted to add to your salt.
29:02
Mean More Problems Episode Many schools
29:05
and teachers are using two approaches
29:07
to help students engage in solving
29:09
meaning for problems or one is
29:11
called project based learning where everything
29:13
is learned to completing a gigantic
29:15
project and the second is service
29:17
learning where students learn content in
29:20
order to provide surface to community.
29:22
Parents who wants to encourage six
29:24
children to saw opinion for problems
29:26
can learn from these principles. I
29:28
hope this helps and to keep
29:30
on making a ruckus. The
29:33
Pacers This is Dave my com
29:35
and from Durham, North Carolina who
29:37
really enjoyed your podcast on the
29:39
interesting problems and it's just so
29:41
happens on the head of school
29:43
to school which is a project
29:45
a school. Well.
29:47
I totally agree that we
29:50
bought to give students and
29:52
children interesting challenges to pursue.
29:54
I think maybe you missed
29:56
two points in your podcast
29:59
the for. The Is: These
30:01
problems need to be
30:03
intrinsically interesting to children.
30:06
So are You may find how to
30:08
design a garbage can to be an
30:10
interesting problem. Many three year olds, six
30:13
year olds, an eight year olds would
30:15
not fit. Is
30:17
the complete reworking of the infrastructures
30:19
of schools. If is interesting challenges
30:21
are be presented their as you
30:24
implied in your podcast if you
30:26
give a student a grade for
30:28
doing this work to be looking
30:31
for the great not little proud
30:33
of Salt interesting problems. The
30:35
really enjoy your podcasts in the interesting
30:38
problems you bring up for me to
30:40
think about. Thanks for your great work.
30:42
But. His points out to me is
30:45
something is quite relevant to the next
30:47
question. So let's go to that question
30:49
first. So. My question is.
30:52
He and Supple. Head. And post
30:54
modern world you talked about be
30:56
unable to identify as. Game
30:59
changing technologies are cultural shifts and
31:01
supple You talked about yourself and
31:03
Bill Gates. Be a just a
31:06
little bit late to the games.
31:09
Concerning the internet. So.
31:13
The question is how do we identify
31:15
as. Those. Things that
31:17
will be true game changers and
31:19
not just another eraser knows. What's.
31:22
Already happening in my example today
31:24
as Five G. It's Five G
31:26
as moved from he no conception
31:29
to reality and a certain way.
31:31
It's certainly has a lot of
31:33
potential. But. As are
31:35
true game changer. While. They changed
31:37
the way we do things everyday. Or.
31:40
Is it just another It array shifts
31:42
And how will that affect? Current.
31:45
Technology and things that are being used
31:47
now. Spell thanks again for all you
31:49
do. When. We think about betting
31:51
on the future. Two things are worth
31:53
considering. The first one is. It's
31:56
a bet. There. Are
31:58
lots of bet they can be
32:00
made you good bet on third
32:02
race at Santa Ana. Tomorrow you
32:04
can bet on Bitcoin. you can
32:06
bet on five g. You can
32:08
bet on the infrastructure changes that
32:10
are happening in places like India.
32:13
You cannot make. All.
32:15
Of the bets. So the
32:17
first place we begin is to
32:20
realize that there are betting strategies.
32:22
Any Duke writes about this and
32:24
thinking and bet they betting strategies
32:26
that make sense. He would hold
32:29
a portfolio of bets. You can
32:31
make small bets that will pay
32:33
off early, thus financing your ability
32:35
to make bigger bets down the
32:38
road. It. Is foolish
32:40
to mortgage everything you
32:42
own to make one
32:44
big bet on one
32:46
future idea. Because. Once
32:48
you're out of the game, you out of the. The.
32:51
Second piece which connects directly
32:53
to the first one is
32:56
that sunk costs while they
32:58
are real must be ignored.
33:01
What you invested in yesterday.
33:04
Is. Irrelevant when you make
33:06
a new decision about what
33:08
to do today. Yes, You
33:10
may now own an asset that's
33:13
different, but the fact that you
33:15
committed. To. The asset. Is.
33:18
Irrelevant. So. This is the
33:20
problem that Bill Gates head when the
33:22
Internet showed up. The Internet. If.
33:25
You look at it rationally
33:27
as a technologist in the
33:29
late Nineteen eighties, early Nineteen
33:31
nineties, Of course it
33:33
was a smart thing to make
33:35
a series of bets on. It
33:37
was cheap. To. Make those bets.
33:39
And the potential upside was
33:42
significant. But Microsoft.
33:45
Had a huge amount of
33:47
sunk cost In a world.
33:49
That wasn't based on the internet.
33:52
Steve Ballmer never understood this
33:54
lesson. That is why he
33:57
pro family and loudly Danny.
34:00
They did any new technology
34:02
that undermined a sunk cost
34:04
that Microsoft had already made.
34:06
In my case, Yoyo. Died
34:08
was built on email. We had
34:10
made a huge investment in email,
34:12
not just money, but emotionally. So.
34:15
To me. When. The worldwide
34:17
web showed up. I. Intentionally
34:19
didn't get the joke because
34:21
I was defending my sunk
34:23
cost. So. Back to the
34:26
idea of education that challenge that
34:28
so many schools have. Is
34:31
A have made an emotional commitment.
34:33
To a bureaucratic structure to
34:35
a top down compliance based
34:37
system and sell when a
34:40
new educational idea shows up.
34:43
The. First thing they ask is not.
34:45
What? Small bet. can we make year?
34:47
What can we learned from this opportunity
34:49
that is clearly in our wheelhouse? But
34:52
instead it's how do we defend
34:54
what we've already done? So.
34:57
When someone says. This. Isn't
35:00
going to work because we have this
35:02
sort of system. These sort of teachers,
35:04
The sort of processes. My.
35:06
Answers while but other people who aren't
35:08
defending that some cost, what will they
35:10
choose to do? With. This
35:12
opportunity. And so
35:14
we see online learning accelerating
35:17
rarely. Because. Existing
35:19
institutions are pioneering. It.
35:22
Mostly. Because people with nothing
35:24
to lose, Nothing sunk. Are
35:26
going ahead. And. Exploring it, When.
35:29
I hear from educators who are. On
35:31
the cutting edge when I visit schools
35:33
in New York and other places where
35:35
people are leaning out as a boat
35:37
exploring. New. Ways To Educate
35:40
children. I see how caring
35:42
and Braves sees administrators and
35:44
teachers are, and I can't
35:46
help but feel optimistic about
35:48
what we're going to be
35:50
able to create. I.
35:52
Was in. Brook runs the Lab School
35:55
in New York and public school that
35:57
is on the cutting edge as treating
35:59
kids differently and seeing how extraordinary the
36:01
results are. And all I can say
36:04
to any educator who's on the front
36:06
night. Estate. You. I'd.
36:09
Be remiss if I didn't take this
36:11
opportunity to share Ellie Marks and story
36:13
of Joey New Dell and the Two
36:15
Sticks. To his the situation.
36:18
Six. Eight year olds
36:20
arrive at summer camp homesick. It's the
36:23
first day. There's. Two more
36:25
kids left the com in the cabin
36:27
but they're on a bus that to
36:29
an hour later. She's got the six
36:31
kids who don't know each other. You've
36:33
got an hour to kill at all.
36:35
You've got. His two
36:37
sticks. Join. A
36:39
Dell took the two sticks. And
36:42
figured out how to help the
36:44
kids invent a game with it's
36:46
own set of rules. A complicated
36:49
game. That. These kids ended
36:51
up playing not for an hour. But.
36:53
For a months. Peters.
36:56
Even. Two sticks. Can.
36:58
Present an interesting problem, Is.
37:01
You can create an environment. That.
37:03
Makes the problem seem interesting. That
37:07
challenge that we have in
37:09
giving students problems. Is
37:12
that what makes something intrinsically
37:14
interesting? Is. Not.
37:17
Whether. Or not, it is part
37:19
of their lights. So far, it's
37:21
whether we are building systems and
37:23
emotions and seed back cycles. That.
37:26
Reward people. For.
37:28
Playing. With. Interesting problems.
37:31
You're. Exactly right. Students who
37:33
are going to get a grade for
37:35
solving interesting problems will do whatever they
37:37
can. To. Get a better grade because that's
37:39
what we taught them. To. Do.
37:42
But. We also know. That.
37:44
If you give kids room
37:47
to play. They. Will
37:49
often. To. Supply. Thanks
37:52
everyone for listening for the ruckus you're making. Will.
37:54
See you next time and. It's
37:57
back to boot. Sappers Workshop
37:59
is back. Proven. Effective.
38:03
Tested. People. Like
38:05
you in search of a chance to
38:07
own something to build a business bigger
38:10
than themselves as valuable if not more
38:12
than that and the consensus that the
38:14
people who are attracted to this is
38:17
it's real gift. Make that happen and
38:19
it and I still ready to look
38:21
forward to have this little baby muscle
38:23
now that I need to keep building
38:26
about how to sing huge and execute
38:28
small and keep building like one brick
38:30
at a time. What was really
38:32
beneficial was people saying well that's okay
38:35
an encouraging me to stretch my mind
38:37
and and go with it and just
38:39
see what happened. You have to go find
38:41
the answer and that's and relax at check out
38:43
the details. To. Visit Boot. Dot.
38:46
Work. We'd. Love to have you
38:48
join! The. Bootstrap Or his. Workshop.
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